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Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview
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Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Mar 27, 2015

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Page 1: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Gavin Astin 06 May 2011

Study overview

Page 2: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

2

About DNV

Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees.

Det Norske Veritas (DNV) was established in 1864 in Norway.

300 office in 100 countries.

Page 3: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

3

Rail Capabilities

Notified Body and ISA services to the rail industry.

Audit and certification, e.g. IRIS for the rail sector.

100s of rail safety studies in the past.

Written and maintain software for rail performance modelling, used extensively by Network Rail, RailCorp and others for performance prediction and asset testing purposes.

0

10

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30

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50

60

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100

< -30 < -20 < -10 On Time < 10 < 20 < 30 < 40 < 50 < 60

Time (Minutes)

Cum

ulat

ive

Per

cent

age

Delay

WTT Lateness

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

Excluded FreightTermini -Operations

Operations -External

TemporarySpeed

Restriction

Unexplained AuxiliaryPower

Interlocking P-Way TPWS TrainMissionOrigin

TrainStoppingLocations

Min

utes

Del

ay p

er Y

ear

Page 4: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

4

Study Outline

Two study stages:- Part A shall identify all prevention measures and all kinds of mitigation measures that are

existing or achievable at short and medium terms. - Part B will study all prevention measures and mitigation measures based on derailment

detection. - Scope is the EU-27 plus the 3 candidate countries, Norway and Switzerland. USA and

Japan shall be considered in the scope of safety measure identification.

Reminder: • Short term measures-> Applicable from 1st January 2013-> Efficient < 5 years-> Not compromising longer term measures

• Medium term measures-> Applicable, efficient and implemented < 5 years-> Not compromising longer term measures

Page 5: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

5

About Part A

Task A.1: Identification of existing operation and technical rules.

Task A.2: Description of the markets and technologies covered by the devices/systems in use or which may be used at the short or medium term.

Task A.3: Description of the rules (inc. specific devices/systems used) in generic functional and performance terms.

Task A.4: Advice on innovative measures (long term) which might be considered in a future R&D project.

Part A is therefore to provide a comprehensive list of existing and potentially available measures against freight train derailment as input into Part B...

Page 6: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

6

About Part A

Task A.1: Existing

derailment risk measures

Task A.2a: For existing technical measures, what

is the market

Task A.3: For ALL measures,

how do they work and perform?

Task A.2b: For potential NEW

technical measures, what

is the market

Task A.4: Future Innovations?

Input to Part B

Input to Research Project

Page 7: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

7

About Part A

Involves:- Surveys of measures via IMs, RUs, NSAs and other stakeholders.- Survey of technical systems from suppliers.- Internet research for both the above.- Existing project team knowledge.

More detail on this later.

Page 8: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

8

About Part B

Task B.1: Fault and event trees of freight train derailments, clearly showing the measures identified in Part A.

Task B.2 - Assessment of benefits and drawbacks of existing safety rules, and of new or improved measures at short and medium terms, using data on actual/targeted performance as well as conservative assumptions.

Task B.3 - top ten ranking of potentially efficient new safety measures or improvements at short and medium terms, including practical and legal implementation aspects.

Page 9: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

9

About Part B

Hazard

Basic causes Intermediate causes

Hazard/ What - if

Fully developed consequences

Developing consequences

Primary controls

Secondary controls

Fault Tree Analysis Event Tree Analysis Mitigation 2 Outcome Yes 1

Mitigation 1 Yes No 2

Yes 3 No

No 4

= Key risk reduction measures

Risk model developed in Part B

Populated with measures identified in Part A

Leading to the identification of those that are most cost-effective

Task A.1: Existing derailment risk

measures

Task A.2a: For existing technical measures, what is

the market

Task A.3: For ALL measures, how do they work and

perform?

Task A.2b: For potential NEW

technical measures, what is the market

Input to Part B

Page 10: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

10

About Part B

Involves:- Collection of accident data.- Desk work to study accident data to enable risk model to be developed,- Desktop work / consultation to determine where identified risk reduction measures “fit” onto

risk model.

Page 11: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

11

Summing Up

Part A data collection, no conclusions.

Part B, data analysis and assessment, with suggestion for improvement / further consideration.

Page 12: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

12

End of Session - Any Questions

Page 13: Gavin Astin 06 May 2011 Study overview. Study Overview 06 May 2011 2 About DNV Independent foundation with around 9,000 employees. Det Norske Veritas.

Study Overview

06 May 2011

13

Safeguarding life, property and the environment

www.dnv.com