Gateway Cities Strategic Transportation Plan and Nexus ...

GATEWAY CITIES STRATEGIC TRANSPORTATION PLAN AND NEXUS WITH MOBILITY MATRIX

Executive Summary

Prepared for:

Prepared by: Cambridge Systematics, Inc.

445 S. Figueroa Street, Suite 3100 Los Angeles, CA 90071

March 2015

Gateway Cities STP Overview

Executive Summary

S T R A T E G I C T R A N S P O R T A T I O N P L A N O V E R V I E W – G A T E W A Y C I T I E S March 2015 Page ES-1

Overview InFebruary2014,theLosAngelesCountyMetropolitanTransportationAuthority Metro Boardapprovedtheholistic,countywideapproachforpreparingMobilityMatricesforCentralLosAngeles,theLasVirgenes/MalibuCouncilofGovernments LVMCOG ,NorthCountyTransportationCoalition NCTC ,SanFernandoValleyCouncilofGovernments SFVCOG ,SanGabrielValleyCouncilofGovernments SGVCOG ,SouthBayCitiesCouncilofGovernments SBCCOG andWestsideCitiesCouncilofGovernments WCCOG seeFigureES‐1 .InlieuofaMobilityMatrix,theGatewayCitiesCouncilofGovernments GCCOG isdevelopingitsownStrategicTransportationPlan STP .ThisdocumentprovidesanoverviewoftheSTPeffortanditsrelationshiptotheparallelMobilityMatrixprojectsandforthcomingMetroLongRangeTransportationPlan LRTP update.

ForthepurposesoftheMobilityMatrix,citieswithmembershipintwosubregionsselectedonesubregioninwhichtoparticipate.TheArroyoVerdugosubregiondecidedtoincludethecitiesofLaCañadaFlintridge,Pasadena,andSouthPasadenaintheSGVCOG,andBurbankandGlendaleintheSFVCOG.TheCityofSantaClaritaoptedtobeincludedintheSFVCOGinsteadoftheNCTC.TheCityofIndustrydecidedtobeincludedintheSanGabrielValleyratherthantheGatewayCities.WhiletheCityofIndustry’sprojectsareincludedintheSGVCOG’smobilitymatrix,projectsofsubregionalimportancelocatedintheCityofIndustryarealsoincludedintheSTP.

BoundariesbetweentheWCCOGandCentralLosAngeles,andtheWCCOGandSBCCOG,weremodifiedbasedonMetroBoarddirectioninJanuary2015.

InJanuary2015,theMetroBoardcreatedtheRegionalFacilitiescategory.RegionalFacilitiesincludeprojectsandprogramsrelatedtoLosAngelesCounty’sfourcommercialairports LosAngelesInternationalAirport,BurbankBobHopeAirport,LongBeachAirport,andPalmdaleRegionalAirport ,thetwoseaports PortofLosAngelesandPortofLongBeach ,andUnionStation.Theprojects/programsrelatedtoRegionalFacilitieshaveeitherbeenremovedfromthesubregionalMobilityMatricesoraRegionalFacilitiescategorycreatedattherequestofthesubregion.

TheSTPincludesanalysisofallprojectcategoriesthatareinclusiveoftheGCCOGboundaries,includingtherelevantRegionalFacilitiesandprojectswithintheCityofIndustry.However,anyduplicativeprojectswillbereconciledthroughtheLRTPprocess,scheduledforadoptionin2017.

Project Purpose TheSTPandtheGCCOG’sMobilityMatrix,areessentiallyoneinthesame,withtheSTPofferingasignificantlymorerobustanalysisthatquantifiesthebenefitsofsubregionallysignificantmulti‐modalregionallinkages.TheGCCOG’scontributiontotheMobilityMatrixincludesallprojectsidentifiedandincludedintheSTP,andadditionalprojectsprovidedbyGCCOGjurisdictionsforinclusionintheLRTPupdateprocess.

Gateway Cities STP Overview

Executive Summary

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TheGatewayCitiesSTP,alongwithconcurrentMobilityMatrixeffortsinotherMetrosubregions,includesthedevelopmentofsubregionalgoalsandobjectivestoguidefuturetransportationinvestments,anassessmentofbaselinetransportationsystemconditionstoidentifycriticalneedsanddeficiencies,andaninitiallistofprojectsandprogramsintendedtoaddresssubregional

objectives.FortheGatewayCitiessubregion,theongoingGatewayCitiesSTPefforthasprovidedtheevaluationanddocumentationinformationnecessarytorepresentthesubregioninMetro’sforthcomingLRTPupdate.TheSTPremainsunderdevelopment,withanexpecteddeliverydateofDecember2015.

Figure ES-1. Los Angeles County Mobility Matrix Subregions

Gateway Cities STP Overview

Executive Summary

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ThepurposeoftheGatewayCitiesSTPistodevelopandimplementaunifiedinter‐jurisdictionaltransportationimprovementstrategythatensureseffectivemanagementandconsensusaimedatmeetingsubregionaltransportationgoalsandobjectives.TheSTPisstructuredaroundfourkeyelements:

Avisionforachievingfuturemultimodaltransportationgoalsinthesubregion.TheSTPlaysoutastrategicvisionforthefutureofmultimodaltravelintheGatewayCities,includingoutliningasetofstrategictransportationgoalsandobjectivesthatcumulativelybenefitmembercitiesandregionalstakeholders.

Aprogramofprojectsandinitiativestoachievethesegoals.TheSTPinvolvesthedevelopmentandanalysisofanintegratedprogramofprojectsandinitiativesthataddressdeficienciesinthesubregionalfreeway,arterial,transit,park‐and‐ride,activetransportation,goodsmovement,ITS/technology includingazero‐emissiontruckcorridor andstormwatermanagementsystems.

Thedevelopmentofnewstateoftheartanalyticalmodelstoevaluateprogramperformance.Anewthree‐tiermodelsystemallowsforanalysisofmacroregional ,meso sub‐regional ,andmicro corridor‐level analysisoftheimpactsoftheSTPprogramelements.Thisnewmodelframeworkallowsfortheevaluationofdozensofnewperformancemeasures.Inaddition,anupdatedairqualitymodelallowsforevaluationofairqualityimpacts.

Aroadmapforimplementationoftheprogram.Thisincludesafundingandfinancingplan,geometricdesignsforselectpriorityprojects,azero‐emissiontruckcommercializationstudy,andalivingmodelthatcanbeusedtopursuefundingandimplementationoftheSTPvision.

ToreviewandapproveelementsoftheSTP,theGCCOGhasestablishedanSTPTechnicalAdvisoryCommitteeTAC ,consistingofmembercitypublicworksofficials,andrepresentativesofmunicipaltransitagencies,andwaterqualityrepresentatives.InadditiontotheSTPTAC,theprocesshasinvolvedthereviewofamultitudeofpriorstudiesandprojectsandextensiveconsultationandcollaborationdirectlywithcitystaff,subregionalagencies,andprivatesectorentities.ThisfrequentstakeholderinputhasleddirectlytorefinementandimprovementoftheSTPprogram,andwillcontinuethroughtheproposedadoptionoftheSTP,anticipatedinlate2015.

Subregional Overview TheGCCOGisaCaliforniaJointPowersAuthoritythatrepresentsthegovernmentsof28jurisdictionslocatedinthesubregion.ItsmembersarethecitiesofArtesia,Avalon,Bell,Bellflower,BellGardens,Cerritos,Commerce,Compton,Cudahy,Downey,HawaiianGardens,HuntingtonPark,Industry,LaMirada,Lakewood,LongBeach,Lynwood,Maywood,Montebello,Norwalk,Paramount,PicoRivera,SantaFeSprings,SignalHill,SouthGate,Vernon,Whittier,andunincorporatedareasofLosAngelesCounty.TheGCCOG’smissionistoprovidemembergovernmentswithaunifiedvoicetoactcollaborativelyandadvocateto

Gateway Cities STP Overview

Executive Summary

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improveissuesrelatedtotransportation,airquality,housing,andeconomicdevelopment.

BasedondatafromtheMetro2014ShortRangeTransportationPlan SRTP TravelDemandModel,theGatewayCitiesTransitAssessment,CaltransTrafficAccidentSurveillanceandAnalysisSystem,andanalysesperformedfortheGatewayCitiesSTP;keyfindingsregardingtheexistingGCCOGtransportationsysteminclude:

TheGatewayCitiesSubregionhasanapproximatepopulationof1,988,000.Overthenexttenyears,subregionalpopulationisexpectedtoincreasesixpercent,withthehighestincreasesinSantaFeSprings 13percent andLongBeach eightpercent .Employmentisexpectedtoincreasebyfourpercentinthesubregion.

Approximately67percentofthetripsgeneratedinthesubregionhavedestinationsinsidetheGatewayCities’boundariesaswell.ThenextlargestdestinationsareOrangeCounty ninepercent ,CentralLosAngeles ninepercent ,andSouthBayCities ninepercent .Theaveragetriptimesforthesedestinationsrangefrom22to32minutes.By2024,tripsandaveragedelaysareexpectedtoincreasebyapproximatelyfourpercentandeightpercent,respectively.

Subregionalsafetyisamajorconcern,particularlyonfreeways.Approximately39percentofthefreewaysysteminthesubregionfeaturesaccidentratesthatare30percentabovethestatewideaverageforsimilarfacilities.Thesafetyproblemisexacerbated

bythelargenumberoftrucksaccessingthePortsofLongBeachandLosAngeles.

TransitservicesintheGatewayCitiesincludecommuterandintercitypassengerrail,lightrail,rapidandexpressbusservice,andlocalbusservices.Serviceisprovidedbymultipleoperators,includingAmtrak,Metrolink,Metro,LongBeachTransit,LADOT,andseverallocaloperators.Theseserveabout318,790tripseachweekday.Ofthesetrips,approximately311,000boardoralightinthesubregion,and7,770passthrough.Thelargestshareofestimatedridershiptakesplaceonlocalandotherbuses 60percent ,followedbylightrail 32percent ,rapidandexpressbuses 5.5percent ,andcommuterandintercityrail 2.5percent .

Anaverageof5,750vehiclesperweekdayusethe18park‐and‐ridefacilitiesinthesubregion,representingabout81percentofthedailyparkingcapacityof7,130vehicles.Severallotsareatornearcapacity.

Combined,thePortsofLongBeachandLosAngelesrepresentthelargestcontainerportcomplexintheUnitedStatesandtheeighthlargestintheworld.Morethan31percentofallmarinecontainersintheU.S.movedthroughtheseportsin2012.Assuch,theGatewayCitiessubregionishometoacomplexgoodsmovementsystemcomprisedoftheports,intermodalrailyards,warehouses,andtransloadingfacilities,whichareconnectedtoanextensivenetworkofhighwaysandrailroadlineswhichgeneratesignificantvolumesoftruckandtraintraffic.Goodsmovementinthesubregionisanticipatedtodoubleoreventripleoverthenext20years.

Gateway Cities STP Overview

Executive Summary

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Goals and Objectives TheGatewayCitiesishometothePortofLongBeach,theAlamedaCorridor,largeintermodalrailyards,truckdepots,andvastwarehouseanddistributioncenters.Thesegoodsmovementfacilitiesprovidesignificanteconomicbenefitsforthesubregion,butalsoresultsinsignificantcommunityandregionalimpactsfromtruckandtrainactivity,includinghistoricallypoorairqualityandlimitedmobilityonsurfacestreetsandfreeways.Furthermore,theGatewayCitiesishometoalargetransit‐dependentpopulation,withmedianhouseholdincomessevenpercentlowerthantheLosAngelesCountyaverage.

ThroughtheSTP,theGatewayCitieshaveidentifiedthefollowingmultimodaltransportationgoals,whichareconsistentwiththecounty’soverallframeworkconsistingofsixbroadthemescommonamongallsubregions seeFigureES‐2 :

Mobility

Reduceroadwaycongestionandimprovetraveltimes

Improvesystemconnectivity

Provideincreasedtransitandactivetraveloptions

Safety

Reducesafetyincidentsandcollisions

Sustainability

Improveairqualityandpublichealth

Reducegreenhousegas GHG emissions

Improvequalityoflife

Economy

Strengthentheeconomythroughefficientgoodsmovementandjobcreation

Accessibility

Providenewmultimodalaccess

Increaseservicetolow‐incomeandtransit‐dependentresidents

Improvefirst/lastmileconnectionstotransit

State of Good Repair

Extendthelifeofexistingtransportationfacilitiesandequipment

Subregional Projects and Programs AninitialprojectandprogramlistfortheGatewayCitiesSTPwascompiledfrompriorsubregionalandcountywidestudies,includingunfunded2009LRTPprojects;unfundedMeasureRscopeelements;andadditionalsubregionalneeds.TheprojectandprogramlistwasupdatedthroughanextensiveoutreachprocesstoincorporateinputfromsubregionstakeholdersincludingeachofthecitiesintheGCCOG,LosAngelesCounty,Caltrans,thePortofLongBeach,LongBeachTransit,andtheGCCOG.Over550transportationimprovementprojectsandprogramswereidentifiedfortheGatewayCities.

Gateway Cities STP Overview

Executive Summary

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Figure ES-2. Common Countywide Themes for All Mobility Matrices

Gateway Cities STP Overview

Executive Summary

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Evaluation TheSTPefforthasaninvolveddetailedevaluationofthesystemwideinteractionsofprojectsandprogramsintheGatewayCities.Evaluationandsummarizationofresultsisongoing,andresultshavenotyetbeenapprovedbysubregionalstakeholders.Assuch,detailedevaluationsoftheSTPprojectsareasyetunavailable.However,thedevelopmentofnewanalyticaltools,includingathree‐tiertrafficforecastingmodelandanupdatedairqualityandgreenhousegasemissionsmodel,willallowforarobustanalysisoftheperformanceofproposedprojectsasneededintheforthcomingMetroLRTPupdate.FinalsubregionalprojectandprogramanalysisresultswillbemadeavailablewhentheSTPiscomplete,expectedinlate2015.

Implementation Timeframes and Cost Estimates ForconsistencywiththeMobilityMatrix,theSTPhasincludedthedevelopmentofhigh‐level,roughorder‐of‐magnitudeplanning‐costrangesforshort‐,mid‐,andlong‐termsubregionalfundingneeds.TableES‐1indicatesanticipatedGatewayCitiesSTPcostestimaterangesbyprojecttype.NotethatimplementationtimeframesforSTPprojectsareunderdevelopmentpendingstakeholderandGCCOGreviewandwillnotbefinaluntilanticipatedadoptionoftheSTP.Severalprojectcostsremainunknownatthistime.ForthemostpartTableES‐1reportsonlycapitalcostsandomitscostsassociatedwithvehicles,operating,maintenanceandfinancing.

Duetovariationsinprojectscopeandavailabledata,costsestimatedfortheSTParenotintendedtobeusedforfutureproject‐levelplanning.Rather,thecostrangesdevelopedviathisprocessconstituteahigh‐level,roughorder‐of‐magnitudeplanningestimaterangeforshort‐,mid‐,andlong‐termsubregionalfundingneedsfortheSTPeffortonly.MoredetailedanalysismaybeconductedthroughtheMetroLRTPupdateprocess,whichmaynecessitaterefinementofproject/programdetailsandassociatedcostestimates.

Sincethelistwascompiledfromvarioussources,someoftheprojectsinthelistmayoverlapinscopeorpurpose,leadingtoduplicativecostsinthecostmatrix.ProjectsorprogramsthatcrosssubregionalboundariesmaybeincludedinneighboringsubregionalMobilityMatrixprojectlistsaswell.Wherethesameprojectsorprogramsareincludedinmultiplesubregions,thecostestimatesincludethetotalestimatedprojectcost,notthecostshareforeachsubregion.Anysubregionalcostsharingwillbedeterminedthroughfutureefforts.

What’s Next? CompletionandadoptionoftheSTP.Overthe

followingseveralmonths,theSTPTACandmemberjurisdictionswillbereviewingSTPelements,withadoptionofthefinalSTPprogramanticipatedinlate2015.

GatewayCitiesPrioritizationofProjects. Withlimitedexceptions,theSTPstudydoesnotprioritizeprojects.Instead,itprovidessomeoftheinformationneededfordecisionmakerstoprioritizeprojects/programs,andanunconstrainedlistofpotentialtransportation

Gateway Cities STP Overview

Executive Summary

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projects/programsintheregion.InpreparationforapotentialballotmeasureandLRTPupdate asdescribedfurtherbelow ,theGCCOGshoulddecidehowitwantstoprioritizetheseprojects/programsassumingaconstrainedfundingscenario.

MetroBallotMeasurePreparations. MetrowillbeginworkingwiththeGCCOGtoensuresubregionalinputasitstartsdevelopingapotentialballotmeasure.Partoftheballotmeasureworkwouldinvolvegeographicequitydetermination,aswellasdeterminingtheamountoffundingavailableforeachcategoryofprojects/programsandsubregionsoftheCounty.

MetroLRTPUpdate.ThepotentialballotmeasurewouldthenfeedintoafutureMetroLRTPupdateandbeintegratedintotheLRTPFinancePlan.Ifadditionalfundingbecomesavailablethroughaballotmeasureorothernewfundingsourcesorinitiatives,thelistofprojectsdevelopedthroughtheMobilityMatrixandanysubsequentlistdevelopedbythesubregioncouldbeusedtoupdatetheconstrainedprojectlistfortheLRTPmovingforward.

Gateway Cities STP Overview

Executive Summary

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Table ES-1. Gateway Cities STP Summary Rough Order of Magnitude Cost Estimates

Type/ Category Highway Arterial Transit

Active Transportation

Goods Movement Other

Regional Facilities Total

Total

Estimates for 69 out of 97

Projects $12.4B – $19.3B

Estimates for 160 out of

290 Projects $1.1B – $1.7B

Estimates for 38 out of

50 Projects $6.9B – $10.4B

Estimates for 54 out of

59 Projects $210M – $320M

Estimates for 8 out of 8 Projects

$5.9B – $8.8B

Estimates for 30 out of

31 Projects $2.3B – $3.5B

Estimates for 18 out of

27 Projects $852M –

$1.3B

Estimates for 377 out of

562 Projects $29.7B – $45.3B

Estimatedcostsin2015dollars.Theseestimatesunderrepresenttheoperationsandmaintenancecostsduetolimitationsofdataavailability.Costsarealsounderestimatedduetoprojectsandprogramswherecostestimaterangesarestillunderdevelopment.Projectsorprogramsthatcrosssubregionalboundariesmaybeincludedinmultiplesubregionalprojectlists.Wherethesameprojectsorprogramsareincludedinmultiplesubregions,thecostestimatesincludethetotalestimatedprojectcost,notthecostshareforeachsubregion.Anysubregionalcostsharingagreementswillbedeterminedthroughfutureplanningefforts.OneexceptiontothisintheGatewayCitiesSTPistheGreenLineExtensionfromTorrancetotheMetroBlueLinewherethecostisincludedintheSouthBayCitiesMobilityMatrix.SomecostestimatesmaybeduplicativeastheSTPprojectlistincludesprogramsthatmayincludesomeofthespecificprojectssubmittedbylocaljurisdictions.