Gardiner East Poll--Mainstreet Technologies

The poll surveyed a random sample of 2,415 Toronto residents by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) on May 28th, 2015.

Mainstreet surveyed a mixture of landlines and cell phones.Margin of error +/- 1.99%, 19/20.

EMBARGOED UNTIL 5:30 AM EST - JUNE 1ST, 2015

45% SUPPORT TEARING DOWN GARDINER EAST

June 1st, 2015. A new Mainstreet Technologies poll finds Torontonians prefer tearing down the Gardiner over rebuilding it. With 2,415 respondents the poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.99%, 19/20.

Meanwhile, John Tory’s approval rating is up 2% to 63% and approval for city council as a whole has jumped 7% to 53%. 58% of Torontonians approve of their local councillor.

“When we asked Torontonians if they approved or disapproved of the two competing plans for the Gardiner east of Jarvis both plans received strong support,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Technologies. “But the plan to remove the Gardiner east of Jarvis received the highest approval and when we asked Torontonians which option they preferred 45% chose removing the Gardiner.”

“Mr. Tory will need to do more to convince Torontonians the hybrid plan he supports is best for the city. Support for the teardown option is spread evenly among demographic lines though it receives its highest support downtown.” finished Maggi.

Highlights- 63% approve of Mayor John Tory- 53% approve of city council, 58% approve of their local councillor - 60% approve of the plan to teardown the Gardiner east of Jarvis- 54% approve of the plan to rebuild the Gardiner mostly as it is (known as the hybrid option)- 45% prefer to teardown the Gardiner compared to 33% who would prefer to mostly rebuild it

-30-

Available for interview from Toronto:Quito Maggi, [email protected], 416-570-3762

MethodologyThe poll surveyed a random sample of 2,415 Torontonians by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) on May 28th, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a mixture of cell phones and landlines.

About Mainstreet TechnologiesMainstreet Technologies is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public a�airs.

Di�erentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election and February’s by-election in Sudbury.

EMBARGOED UNTIL 5:30 AM EST - JUNE 1ST, 2015

Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as Mayor?

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

AGE & GENDER BREAKDOWN18-3427%31%8%

23%11%387

35-4941%26%12%9%11%500

50-6438%25%14%8%14%680

65+41%25%11%8%16%848

Female38%26%11%12%12%1379

Male34%28%12%13%13%1036

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.40%25%9%11%15%612

N.YORK34%23%12%16%15%454

ETOB.28%24%20%17%10%567

D. TOWN40%32%8%7%11%782

BY BOROUGH

TOTAL APPROVAL: 63% TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 24% NOT SURE: 13%

63%

24%

13%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as Mayor?

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

Janury February March April May

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Thinking about Toronto City Council, do you approve or disapprove of the way it is handling its job?

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

AGE & GENDER BREAKDOWN18-3416%40%12%17%14%387

35-4926%32%18%9%15%500

50-6413%35%18%16%18%680

65+13%35%16%14%22%848

Female16%34%14%13%22%1379

Male18%37%17%16%12%1036

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.29%25%9%21%15%612

N.YORK14%37%10%20%19%454

ETOB.10%43%21%8%17%567

D. TOWN16%37%22%8%17%782

BY BOROUGH

TOTAL APPROVAL: 53% TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 30% NOT SURE: 17%

53%

30%

17%

Thinking about Toronto City Council, do you approve or disapprove of the way it is handling its job?

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

January March May

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Thinking about your local city councilor, do you approve or disapprove of the way they are handling their job?

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

AGE & GENDER BREAKDOWN18-3436%23%22%2%17%387

35-4935%23%19%12%11%500

50-6426%27%19%11%16%680

65+25%40%15%7%13%848

Female35%23%21%7%14%1379

Male27%32%17%9%15%1036

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.40%23%20%12%6%612

N.YORK33%22%23%7%14%454

ETOB.13%41%14%8%

24%567

D. TOWN32%28%18%6%16%782

BY BOROUGH

TOTAL APPROVAL: 58% TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 27% NOT SURE: 15%

58%27%

15%

Thinking about your local city councilor, do you approve or disapprove of the way they are handling their job?

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

January March May

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Toronto City Council is debating the future of the Gardiner east of Jarvis; two options are receiving the most consideration. One plan is to remove the Gardiner east of Jarvis and replace it with a boulevard. Supporters say this is the cheapest option and allows for better development of Toronto’s waterfront. Critics say tearing down the Gardiner will add to commuting times. Do you approve or disapprove of the plan to remove the Gardiner?

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

AGE & GENDER BREAKDOWN18-3448%24%7%16%5%387

35-4937%21%12%25%5%500

50-6429%23%15%26%8%680

65+34%25%12%22%6%848

Female39%21%12%22%6%

1379

Male35%25%12%23%6%

1036

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.34%26%11%22%7%612

N.YORK38%23%11%23%5%454

ETOB.37%21%14%22%6%567

D. TOWN41%19%12%23%6%782

BY BOROUGH

TOTAL APPROVAL: 60% TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 34% NOT SURE: 6%

60%

34%

6%

Toronto City Council is debating the future of the Gardiner east of Jarvis; two options are receiving the most consideration. One plan is to rebuild the Gardiner mostly the same as it is now. Supporters say this is the better option for commuting times and economic development. Critics say this plan costs almost $450 million more than other options and will not allow proper development of the waterfront. Do you approve or disapprove of the plan to mostly rebuild the Gardiner?

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

AGE & GENDER BREAKDOWN18-3439%14%23%15%9%387

35-4935%24%14%22%5%500

50-6431%24%16%22%7%680

65+23%23%20%26%8%848

Female34%21%16%22%7%

1379

Male31%21%20%19%8%

1036

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.37%20%18%16%8%612

N.YORK30%21%19%23%6%454

ETOB.33%23%17%19%8%567

D. TOWN32%20%18%23%7%782

BY BOROUGH

TOTAL APPROVAL: 54% TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 39% NOT SURE: 7%

54%39%

7%

And thinking of the plan to tear down the Gardiner east of Jarvis and replace it with a boulevard and the plan to mostly rebuild the Gardiner east of Jarvis as it is now, which do you prefer?

REBUILDTEARDOWNNEITHERNOT SURESAMPLE

AGE & GENDER BREAKDOWN18-3432%44%12%12%387

35-4930%46%11%13%500

50-6434%44%10%12%680

65+36%43%9%11%848

Female32%44%11%13%1379

Male33%45%10%12%1036

REBUILDTEARDOWNNEITHERNOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.36%42%10%11%612

N.YORK30%45%11%13%454

ETOB.36%43%9%12%567

D. TOWN31%46%11%11%782

BY BOROUGH

REBUILD: 33% TEARDOWN: 45% NEITHER: 11% NOT SURE: 12%

33%

45%

11%

12%

- Strongly approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

And thinking of the plan to tear down the Gardiner east of Jarvis and replace it with a boulevard and the plan to mostly rebuild the Gardiner east of Jarvis as it is now, which do you prefer?

- Mostly rebuilding the Gardiner east of Jarvis as it is now - Tearing down the Gardiner east of Jarvis and replacing it with a boulevard - Neither - Not Sure

Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as Mayor?

- Strongly approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

Thinking about Toronto City Council, do you approve or disapprove of the way it is handling its job?

- Strongly approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

Thinking about your local city councilor, do you approve or disapprove of the way they are handling their job?

- Strongly approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

Toronto City Council is debating the future of the Gardiner east of Jarvis; two options are receiving the most consideration. [Next two Qs randomly rotated.]

One plan is to remove the Gardiner east of Jarvis and replace it with a boulevard. Supporters say this is the cheapest option and allows for better development of Toronto’s waterfront. Critics say tearing down

the Gardiner will add to commuting times. Do you approve or disapprove of the plan to remove the Gardiner?

- Strongly Approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

One plan is to rebuild the Gardiner mostly the same as it is now. Supporters say this is the better option for commuting times and economic development. Critics say this plan costs almost $450 million more

than other options and will not allow proper development of the waterfront. Do you approve or disapprove of the plan to mostly rebuild the Gardiner?

SCRIPT

SCRIPT CONTINUED

- Strongly approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

And thinking of the plan to tear down the Gardiner east of Jarvis and replace it with a boulevard and the plan to mostly rebuild the Gardiner east of Jarvis as it is now, which do you prefer?

- Mostly rebuilding the Gardiner east of Jarvis as it is now - Tearing down the Gardiner east of Jarvis and replacing it with a boulevard - Neither - Not Sure

Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as Mayor?

- Strongly approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

Thinking about Toronto City Council, do you approve or disapprove of the way it is handling its job?

- Strongly approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

Thinking about your local city councilor, do you approve or disapprove of the way they are handling their job?

- Strongly approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

Toronto City Council is debating the future of the Gardiner east of Jarvis; two options are receiving the most consideration. [Next two Qs randomly rotated.]

One plan is to remove the Gardiner east of Jarvis and replace it with a boulevard. Supporters say this is the cheapest option and allows for better development of Toronto’s waterfront. Critics say tearing down

the Gardiner will add to commuting times. Do you approve or disapprove of the plan to remove the Gardiner?

- Strongly Approve- Somewhat approve

- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove

- Not Sure

One plan is to rebuild the Gardiner mostly the same as it is now. Supporters say this is the better option for commuting times and economic development. Critics say this plan costs almost $450 million more

than other options and will not allow proper development of the waterfront. Do you approve or disapprove of the plan to mostly rebuild the Gardiner?