Roundtable Part 2: Our panelists name their top investment ideas for 2021. PAGE 22 Picks From the Pros > 63142 VOL. CI NO. 4 JANUARY 25, 2021 $5.00 WHAT BIDEN MEANS FOR THE MARKETS • PAGES 6, 12 MSGS MSFT Madison Square Garden Sports Microsoft GAN NEP SBGI AGR Avangrid GAN NextEra Energy Partners Sinclair Broadcast Group WLKP VIV NOC GLD ASIX PM DHI MPACX D.R. Horton Matthews Asia Growth Westlake Chemical Partners Telefônica Brasil Northrop Grumman SPDR Gold Shares AdvanSix Philip Morris International SCOTT BLACK SONAL DESAI MARIO GABELLI RUPAL J. BHANSALI
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Roundtable Part 2: Our panelists name their top investment ideas for 2021. PAGE 22
Picks From the Pros
>
63142
VOL. CI NO. 4 JANUARY 25, 2021 $5.00
WHAT BIDEN MEANS FOR THE MARKETS • PAGES 6, 12
MSGS
MSFT
Madison Square Garden Sports
Microsoft
GANNEP SBGIAGRAvangrid GAN
NextEra Energy Partners Sinclair Broadcast Group
WLKP
VIV
NOCGLD ASIX
PMDHIMPACXD.R. HortonMatthewsAsia Growth Westlake Chemical Partners
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Marsico Growth2019 RANK: NA TICKER: MGRIX 2020 TOTAL RETURN: 57.1%
Putnam Sustainable Future2019 RANK: NA TICKER: PMVAX 2020 TOTAL RETURN: 52.7%
Columbia Select Large Cap Growth2019 RANK: 6 TICKER: UMLGX 2020 TOTAL RETURN: 47.8%
BlackRock Large Cap Focus Growth2019 RANK: NA TICKER: MAFOX 2020 TOTAL RETURN: 46.8%
The 191 sustainable funds on our list returned 20% last year, on average, outpacingthe S&P 500 index’s 18% gain. Many funds did far better.
Trouncing the Market
Source: Morningstar DirectNA=Not applicable
2345
1
P.31
The Top Sustainable FundsOur fifth annual ranking reinforces the value of investing in companies that prioritizeenvironmental, social, and governance, or ESG, factors. ByLESLIEP.NORTON
Also: Investing in China can be problematic. Focusing on ESG can help. P. 35
P.6
Up & Down Wall Street:Speculation ReturnsThe buying frenzy in stocks suchas GameStop and megacap technames points to a market peak.Take a cue from the smart money.ByRANDALLW.FORSYTH
P.9
Streetwise: ScreenTime to the RescuePandemic lockdowns have ledto an explosion in videogaming—and upstart companies arerushing to get in on the action.ByJACKHOUGH
P. 12
Biden Isn’t Likely toEase Up on ChinaFollow-Up: Despite a reset onU.S.-China policy, investorsbetting on China’s rapid growthstill need to tread carefully.ByRESHMAKAPADIA
P. 13
A Corner of TechSet to Play Catch-UpRising spending on digitalinfrastructure makes these fourtower and data-center stockssavvy bets for the year to come.ByDARENFONDA
P. 15
Auto-Parts SupplierLKQ Is Purring AgainThe pandemic has prompted theused-parts specialist to make thefixes needed to get its profits—andstock price—moving higher.ByTERESARIVAS
P. 16
Our Stock Picks Beatthe Market in 2020Readers who followed our advice tobuy names such as Carrier Global,Boyd Gaming, and Michaels lastyear were well rewarded.ByAVI SALZMAN
P. 19
Income: Patience PaysWith Dividend FundsFunds that focus on stocks withabove-average payouts tend toshine when the going gets tough.Here are six to consider.ByLAWRENCEC.STRAUSS
P.22
Roundtable, Part 2:Place Your BetsCover Story: This installmenthighlights 28 investment ideasfrom Scott Black, Mario Gabelli,Rupal J. Bhansali, and Sonal Desai.ByLAURENR.RUBLIN
Tech Trader: A NetflixNaysayer No MoreByERIC J.SAVITZ
P.38
Other Voices:Seafarer RestrictionsImperil Supply ChainsByGUYPLATTEN
P.M1
Trader: Spring CouldBring Market BargainsByBENLEVISOHN
P.M4
Euro Trader: A BrightOutlook for PolymetalByRUPERTSTEINER
P.M4
Emerging Markets:Investors OverlookObstacles in IndiaByCRAIGMELLOW
P.M5
Striking Price: WhyTesla Is a Perfect Fitfor Options TradingBySTEVENM.SEARS
P.M6
Commodities: LumberPrices Are WhittledDown as Supply GrowsByMYRAP.SAEFONG
Barron’s Roundtableon Fox BusinessWatch our TV show Fridays at 10p.m. or 11:30 p.m. ET; Saturdays at10 a.m. or 11:30 a.m.; or Sundaysat 7 a.m., 10 a.m., or 11:30 a.m.This week, we look at PresidentBiden’s policy priorities with GregValliere, AGF Investments chiefU.S. policy strategist, and gaininsights on 2021 stock picks fromMario Gabelli, chairman of GamcoInvestors.
Roundtable Part 2: Our panelists name their top investment ideas for 2021. PAGE 22
Picks From the Pros
>
63142
VOL. CI NO. 4 JANUARY 25, 2021 $5.00
WHAT BIDEN MEANS FOR THE MARKETS • PAGES 6, 12
MSGS
MSFT
Madison Square Garden Sports
Microsoft
GANNEP SBGIAGRAvangrid GAN
NextEra Energy Partners Sinclair Broadcast Group
WLKP
VIV
NOCGLD ASIX
PMDHIMPACXD.R. HortonMatthewsAsia Growth Westlake Chemical Partners
Before investing, carefully consider fund investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. For this and other information that should be read carefully,please request a prospectus or summary prospectus from your financial professional or Nuveen at 800.752.8700 or visit nuveen.com.Nuveen Securities, LLC, member FINRA and SIPC. 20854 GAD-1134692CR-W0420X
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6 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
U P & D OWN WA L L S T R E E T A short squeeze helped boost GameStop 80% atone point Friday before trading in the videogameseller’s stockwas halted. Still, it closed up 50%.
A return to normalcy orsnafu? The formerrecalls the presidencyofWarren G. Harding,inaugurated a centuryago, after the upheavalsofWorldWar I and the
flu pandemic of 1918. The latter refers toan acronym fromWorldWar II, whichroughly translates to “Situation normal,all fouled up” in its PG version.
Snafu rather than normalcy seemsmore apt to describe the speculativefrenzy in certain quarters of the finan-cial markets. Frenetic trading in stocksand options of no apparent worth haserupted anew, a classic sign of specula-tion that often coincides with tops inthe market.
The new poster child for this crazi-ness isGameStop (ticker: GME),which frankly I had forgotten still ex-ists. The bricks-and-mortar retailer ofvideogames, both new and used, shut-teredmy local store, which had been afew doors down fromwhat once was aBlockbuster Video outlet. I thoughtboth had been supplanted by onlinedelivery of content. Ditto for the youn-gest member of the Forsyth household,an avid gamer, whose powerful PClacks a DVD drive for physical content.
Yet traders have piled intoGameStop, sending the stock soaringmore than 80% Friday before beinghalted; it ultimately closed upmorethan 50%. Not coincidentally, theshares have been heavily shorted andhave been prominently featured byAndrew Left, the head of Citron Re-search, who posted his assessment ofthe extreme overvaluation of GameStopin a YouTube video that fanned only
contempt from the stock’s fans.The speculative froth also has been
visible in other corners of the market.Ironically, the cooling of the frenzy inBitcoin—back to around $32,000 froma recent peak over $40,000, followingits surge from around $24,000—hasshifted the speculative crowd back tothe action in megacap tech stocks. Butinstead of slices of these shares withprices in the hundreds or thousands ofdollars, they’re playing the low-priceoptions on these names, says JulianEmanuel, BTIG’s chief equity and de-rivatives strategist.
Specifically, the punters are buyingbullish call options on some of the big-gest of the FAANGs (he’s not allowed to
name names, but you know the stocksthat are covered by the famous acro-nym). More important, they’re playingcheap calls with strike prices that arefar out of the money andwith weeklyexpirations with only a few days to run.
The bottom line: These bets on high-price shares can be bought literally forpennies. Inevitably, they will expireworthless. But before that, the optionsmight rise a cent or two, making for bigpercentage moves for players who arequick to cash in.
This sort of action was prevalentlast August, just before the big techsthat drive the Nasdaq topped out,Emanuel notes. Now it’s back—a cau-tion signal for the short term.
The frenetic buying of bullish calloptions has kept implied volatilities—the key determinant of optionsprices—above their actual realizedvolatilities, he adds. Usually, buyingput options to protect portfolios fromdeclines pushes up implied volatility,which is most widely measured in theCboe Volatility Index, or VIX, themarket’s so-called fear gauge. Itclosed Friday at 21.91, well above theteens, where it might be expected tobe—with the Nasdaq Composite end-ing the holiday-shortened week upover 4% and at a record, and with
By Randall W.Forsyth
A shopperleaves a GameStopstore with the newPlay Station 5gaming consolelast Black Friday.
other averages near their peaks.But the mostly well-heeled and expe-
rienced clientele of Interactive Brokersare taking the opposite tack, writesThomas Peterffy, the firm’s founder, inan email. They are writing, or selling,call options against their substantialpositions in the expensive stocks onwhich they have big, accumulated prof-its. That generates current income,whichmight be why the smart moneygets that name.
More scary is the opprobriumheaped on GameStop’s detractors, whohave been objects of online attacks.“There is a consistent stridence to ma-jor market peaks,” writes Peter Atwa-ter, an adjunct professor of economicsat the College ofWilliam &Mary, in hisFinancial Insyghts newsletter. A returnto normalcy would be indeed welcome.
T he U.S. stock market endedInauguration Day at a recordhigh, but the connection isstrained. For fans of presi-
dential trivia, theWilshire 5000 totalstock market index’s gain that day of1.25%, or about $525 billion, put it upby nearly 72%, or $18.8 trillion, fromthe previous Inauguration Day, Jan. 20,2017. But this broad measure of theU.S. market has risen even more—some 82%, or $19.3 trillion—sinceMarch 23, when the Federal Reserve letloose its array of aggressive monetarymeasures to arrest the economic effectsof the coronavirus pandemic.
Since then, the bull market hasbeen built on hopes that the triumvi-rate of monetary and fiscal spurs plusvaccines will return the economy andthe world to something approachingnormalcy. But if past is prologue, theroad ahead could be bumpy for stocks.
February historically is the worstmonth for equities in a new president’sfirst year, according to a report fromStrategas Research Partners’Washing-ton research team, led by Dan Clifton.From 1927 to 2017, the S&P 500, onaverage, fell 4% in suchmonths. How-ever, that record is heavily skewed bythe steep drops in February 2009 at theheight of the financial crisis at the be-ginning of Barack Obama’s initial term,and in February 2001 during the reces-sion at the outset of GeorgeW. Bush’s A
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January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 7
first term, after the dot-com bubble burst.For now, much of the bullishness is a
product of fiscal actions, taken or antici-pated. The $900 billion measure enactedat the end of 2020 provides $600 checksfor most Americans, while a massive $1.9trillion plan proposed by President JoeBiden’s administration would add another$1,400, for a total of $2,000.
But the February just after a new presi-dent takes up residence in the WhiteHouse brings “governing into focus,” theStrategas team writes. That could meanthat the Biden program’s high expecta-tions get scaled back. Some critics contendthat $1.9 trillion is more than needed, es-pecially if the full effects of the stimulushit the economy in the second half, just asenough Americans are vaccinated to fi-nally release the pent-up demand forgoods and services built up over nearly 1½years of curtailed activity.
Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist atthe Leuthold Group, further contends thatthe fiscal andmonetary thrusts already aresubstantially greater than in past timeswhen joblessness was at levels similar tonow. The 11.7%U6 “under-employment”rate (which includes part-timers whowant afull-time job, plus people marginally at-tached to the labor market) is in line withthose of the recoveries that followed the1982, 1990, and 2007-09 recessions. More-over, he adds, the latest rebound has beenfar quicker.
In addition, he continues, policy ismuch more stimulative this time. Thebroad M2 money supply was growing at a25.1% annual rate in December, four timesas fast as in September 2014, when U6 wasat the current level. The fiscal deficit, at15.2% of gross domestic product, was fourtimes greater than in November 1993. Andthe 10-year Treasury yield, at 0.90% inDecember, was one-seventh the level inDecember 1986.
All this adds up to “too much cowbell,”as in the classic Saturday Night Live sketch.Paulsen says that could produce muchhigher inflation, possibly forcing the Fedand fiscal authorities to tighten policies,rekindling recession. (For another view,see Matthew Klein’s Economy column,page 21.)
The Fed, however, has stated its willing-ness to let inflation rise considerably overits 2% target to make up for previous short-falls. The projections released at the De-cember Federal Open Market Committeemeeting show a consensus calling for thefederal-funds target rate to remain near thecurrent 0% to 0.25% through 2023. So pre-
mature tightening seems unlikely.A more proximate worry for stocks
should be that, after the anticipated fiscallargess of up to $1.9 trillion from the Bidenteam, tax increases are likely for infra-structure and clean-energy initiatives.
That won’t necessarily result in a fullrepeal of the Trump tax cuts, former FedChair Janet Yellen, Biden’s Treasury Secre-tary nominee, said at her confirmationhearing on Tuesday, notes Ian Katz of Cap-ital Alpha Partners in a client note. Oncethe pandemic is no longer depressing theeconomy, Yellen said, the administrationwould propose repealing parts of the taxact “that benefited the highest-incomeAmericans and large companies.”
The Strategas research team thinks thecurrent corporate tax rate of 21% could belifted to 28%, halfway back to the 35% thatprevailed prior to the Tax Cut and Jobs Actof 2017. (For S&P 500 companies, the ef-fective rate actually fell to 17.7% in 2018from 24.4% in 2017, the researchersfound.) But, they add, it doesn’t seem thata future corporate tax hike has been dis-counted by the market, based on the rela-tive price action of stocks of more highlytaxed companies.
Very high-income investors could alsoface increased levies on dividends and capi-tal gains, the Strategas team points out. Un-der the Biden plan, capital gains and divi-dends could be taxed at a total federal rate of43.4% for those earningmore than $1 mil-lion a year. The capital-gains rate hasn’tbeen over 30% since 1978. Cap-gains rateincreases also result in fewer investors cash-ing in realized gains, they add.
The Biden proposal also would lift theeffective tax rate on dividends to 60% from40% (after taking into account the doubletaxation of payouts at the corporate andpersonal levels). Since the 2003 tax cut,which effectively lowered the effective fed-eral rate to 45% from 60%, a 25-year de-cline in the total of companies paying divi-dends has reversed.
As for stock repurchases—a more tax-efficient way to return cash to sharehold-ers—Strategas points out that Biden hasbeen critical of these since he was a sena-tor. The administration might tighten ruleson buybacks, while requiring more disclo-sure and shareholder approval.
Whatever the politics of higher taxes onwell-heeled investors, the economics sug-gests they aren’t positive for stock prices, allelse being equal. WhatWashington givethin stimulus, it might taketh in taxes. B
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S T R E E TW I S E If there is a spoiler, it might be a comingwave ofinitial public offerings that could flood the marketwith videogame shares.
Roblox, Videogaming,And the Boom MarketIn Desperate Parents
M y bad parent-ing is aboutto get its ownstock listing.Ticker symbol:RBLX. Techni-cally, that’s for
a company called Roblox, but it’smore or less the same thing.
See, I used to be a solid B- as a dad,bribing my kids with M&Ms to doextra math drills and forcing theminto overmanaged sports leagues toburn off the calories. Then the pan-demic shut down in-person activitiesand turned my home into a daytimeturf war between the Zoom SchoolGang and the Department of HomeOffice Security. Evenings bring sweetrelief, my wife and I have discovered,so long as we allow our kids to raisethemselves as feral videogamers.Their favorite habitat is Roblox ontheir iPads.
Scold me if you must, but my familyisn’t alone. Roblox says its users in-clude two-thirds of U.S. children ages9 to 12. During the first nine monthsof 2020, the number of daily users rose82%, to 31 million. Hours played morethan doubled, to 22 billion.
That’s nothing compared withwhat happened to the company’svalue. Consider: The best-sellingvideogame property of all time is theGrand Theft Auto franchise, and itsowner, Take-Two Interactive Soft-ware (ticker: TTWO), has enjoyeda stock gain of more than 1,500%over the past decade, its recent valueat $23 billion. Roblox’s value, mean-while, has jumped to $30 billion from$4 billion over the past year, judging
by the terms of funding rounds ear-lier this month and last February.
Roblox was first launched for per-sonal computers in 2006, and is to-day played on Apple and Androidmobile devices, Xbox One gamingmachines, and Oculus Rift virtual-reality headsets. It’s not one game butrather millions of them—a “humanco-experience platform,” as the com-pany puts it. The games are made bysome seven million player-develop-ers, of whom nearly a million makemoney for their efforts. Graphics areblocky and cartoonish.
Games are free to play, but develop-ers can charge for things like a weaponthat launches eight pumpkins at once,or a “Doge hat” to give a player’s avatarthe head of a dog from a past internetmeme. Let your children onto Robloxand there will soon be incessant re-quests for the in-game currencyRobux, bought with real money. Theremight also be a sharp increase in in-stances of the littlest one trying to callyou “dude,” my field work indicates.Players can meet up in games withtheir real-world friends and commu-
nicate through a chat feature. Robloxfilters these messages for inappropri-ate content, not always thoroughly,and employs a small army of gamemonitors.
The company had planned aninitial public offering last year, butdelayed it, and then announced thismonth that it would instead pursuea direct listing, whereby companiesbegin trading but don’t issue newshares or raise money. The stockcould begin trading next month.
Roblox isn’t yet profitable, in partbecause it recognizes revenue fromin-game purchases little by little overthe gaming lives of its users. Revenuerose 68%, to $589 million, in the firstnine months of last year. Bookings,a simpler measure of money comingin, jumped 171%, to $1.24 billion.
MKM Partners analyst Eric Han-dler estimates that Roblox has re-cently been averaging $100 million infree cash flow a quarter. Assume thatfigure could quickly double and youcan make a case for Roblox’s valuationresembling that of Take-Two, the pric-iest of the legacy videogame makers,at 39 times projected free cash flow.Activision Blizzard (ATVI) trades at29 times and Electronic Arts (EA),23 times. All three stocks soared lastyear, as time playing videogames ex-ploded.
And it’s not just kids. Adults 45to 54 increased their game time by59% last year, according to the NPDGroup, a market researcher. Spend-ing rose faster. Last year, the globalvideogame business took in an esti-mated $180 billion. That’s about $80billion more than the movie businessat its peak.
Could now be as good as it gets forinvestors? “What’s so fascinatingabout this fiscal year for us, as greatas it has been...is it is still a very lightrelease year,” Take-Two CEO StraussZelnick told me this past week. “Thebulk of the titles that made up theyear existed previously, and havebeen ongoing consumer experiences.”Over the next five years, he expects torelease more than 90 new titles,which he says is double the pipelinethat Take-Two had a few years ago.
M KM’s Handler likes Ac-tivision Blizzard for itspromising release calen-dar, including Call of
Duty: Mobile, which came out inChina on Christmas. He says it couldbe a $500 million to $600 milliongame this year. He also likes Elec-tronic Arts for its recent acquisitionof Codemasters, which makes racinggames that haven’t yet added muchrecurring revenue from in-gameservices.
If there is a spoiler, it might be acoming wave of initial public offer-ings, which will generate excitementbut could also flood the market withvideogame shares. Playtika Holding(PLTK), a maker of casual casino-type games, came public earlier thismonth, and was recently valued atclose to $13 billion. Beyond Roblox,candidates for going public this yearinclude mobile game makers App-Lovin and Scopely, which couldbe valued at several billion dollarsapiece, and Epic Games, maker of theshoot-’em-up blockbuster Fortnite,which was valued in an August fund-ing round at more than $17 billion.
That should give bulls pause. Also,the long-term outlook for videogam-ing is bright—but near term, oncegroup activities resume, I might haveto start parenting again. That willmean switching my kids from Robloxto their previous human co-experi-ence platforms, like Little League,which has a chat feature called yell-ing stuff, and where players can altertheir in-game appearance for free bysliding in dirt. B
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10 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
R E V I EW 30,996.98Dow Industrials: +182.72
511.02Dow Global Index: +7.87
1.09%10-year treasury note: -0.01
PROSPECTS FOR STELLANTIS
Inauguration HighsU.S. markets were closed for MartinLuther King’s Birthday, but stocks rosearound the world.With earnings roll-ing out in earnest, U.S. indexes hit newhighs as the new president was (peace-fully) sworn in. The rally was fueled byhopes for a jumbo relief measure andby huge numbers fromNetflix. TheDow and S&P 500 slipped on Friday,weighed down by concerns about oldtech: IBM and Intel. On the week, theDow industrials edged up 0.6%, to30,996.98; the S&P 500 rose 1.9%, to3841.47; and the Nasdaq Compositegained 4.2%, to 13,543.06.
TransitionsFormer President Trump left theWhite House and flew to Mar-a-Lago,the first outgoing president to refuseto greet his successor in 150 years.Security in Washington, D.C., wastight as President Biden was sworn in,speaking of unity and civility. Law-en-forcement officials continued toround up suspects alleged to haveparticipated in the Capitol riot. Fewthreats, however, materialized againststate capitols or Washington, D.C.
Biden: First MovesBiden signed a stack of executiveorders on Day One, and kept on sign-ing, targeting dozens of Trump poli-cies: killing the Muslim ban, rejoiningthe Paris climate accord andWorldHealth Organization, canceling theKeystone XL pipeline, and seeking toreunite children separated at the bor-der. He also outlined big initiatives—further Covid relief, steps to boost theeconomy, and immigration reform—and liberated Dr. Anthony Fauci.
Pardons and ImpeachmentsTrump signed 143 pardons and com-mutations before exiting, including forformer adviser Steve Bannon, GOPdonor Elliott Broidy, singer Lil Wayne,convicted Republican officials, andothers. Not on the list were his chil-dren, anyone involved in the Capitolriot, lawyer Rudolph Giuliani, or him-self. In Congress, GOP Leader MitchMcConnell said Trump “provoked” theCapitol riot, while the House said itwould send an impeachment article to
Old BrandsOn Tesla TurfPoof—and a giant auto company emerges. It’s mysteri-ously called Stellantis, and it’s the product of Fiat Chrys-ler’s merger with Peugeot. Stellantis is, by marriage, one ofthe once-dominant Detroit Three auto makers, withGen-eralMotors and FordMotor.
A lot has changed since the D-3 ruled. Chryslermerged, demerged, merged again. General Motors wentbankrupt in the financial crisis. Today, electric-vehiclestart-upTesla is the world’s most valuable auto maker.Tesla has been around for 17 years, but compared withthe D-3, it’s a pup. Tesla shipped some 500,000 vehiclesin 2020, Stellantis eight million, making it the third- orfourth-largest auto maker on the planet. Volumes fell formost car makers in 2020—but not for Tesla.
Still, the stock looks promising. J.P. Morgan’s Jose Asu-mendi began covering Stellantis last week with a Buy andan 18 euro ($21.90) price target. That’s a 35% implied gainon the current $16.15. He believes the two legacy firmscomplement each other. Fiat lost money in Europe; Peu-geot will help with that. Peugeot wasn’t a big player inNorth America; Chrysler is. He says the larger entity cancut costs and streamline capital spending, eventually pro-ducing annual savings in excess of €5 billion.
About 70% of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy.The average Buy ratio for Dow Jones Industrial stocks is57%. Stellantis is down 11%, year to date, in contrast toGM, up 33%, and Ford, up 31%. Investors are starting tovalue those companies’ autonomous and EV investmentsmore highly.With the merger closed, Stellantis shouldstart talking about its EV plans. —Al Root
25%Percentage of Americans livingin their home for more than 20years, a figure that’s been risingsteadily. Average stay: 13 years.
100.1%U.S. debt, at $21.6 trillion, togross domestic product at theend of 2020.
37 MNumber of new Netflix sub-scribers in 2020, a record, for atotal of 204 million at year-end.
$82 BAmount raised by special-pur-pose acquisition companies in2020, more than all other years’combined.
To get Numbers by Barron’sdaily, sign up whereveryou listen to podcasts or atBarrons.com/podcasts
THE NUMBERS
HE SAID
“We’re in anational emergency,and it’s time wetreated it like one.”President JoeBiden in announcinghis pandemic-responseplan
the Senate onMonday.
The 100-Day Vaccine GoalBiden has set as a goal 100million vacci-nations in the first 100 days. The head oftheWorld Health Organization warned ofa “catastrophic moral failure” as poorernations struggle to get vaccines. Mean-while, the U.S. death toll breached400,000, and some 900,000workersfiled for unemployment.
Navalny Returns to JailRussian dissident Alexei Navalny wasarrested when he and his wife flew fromGermany to Russia after recovering froman assassination attempt by poisoning.The arrest spurred international de-mands to release him and Navalny urgedsupporters to take to the streets.
Annals of Deal-MakingOptical components maker LumentumHoldings agreed to buy laser maker Co-herent for $5.7 billion….MytheresaGroup, the Munich-based luxury e-com-merce company and former NeimanMarcus subsidiary, went public, valuedat $2.2 billion. Mytheresa had been sub-ject of a creditor dispute after a spinoffand Neiman’s bankruptcy. Ill
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January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 11
P R E V I EW
SPIRALING CONTAINER COSTS
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Monday 1/25Kimberly-Clark and Philips reportquarterly results.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Chi-cago releases its National Activity in-dex for December. Consensus estimateis for a 0.10 reading, below December’s0.27 figure. The recent data for theindex suggest a slightly above-averagegrowth rate for the economy after apowerful third-quarter rebound.
Tuesday 1/263M,Advanced Micro Devices,American Express, Capital OneFinancial, General Electric, In-vesco, Johnson & Johnson, Lock-heed Martin,Microsoft, Prologis,Raytheon Technologies, Star-bucks, Texas Instruments, and Ve-rizon Communications announceearnings.
The Conference Board releases itsConsumer Confidence index for Janu-ary. Economists forecast a 91.6 read-ing, three points more than in Decem-ber. Consumer confidence remainswell below prepandemic levels.
The Federal OpenMarket Commit-tee announces its monetary-policydecision. The central bank is all butassured to keep the federal-funds rateunchanged at near zero. ButWallStreet is interested to learn if andwhen the Fed will consider paring itsbond purchases, currently at $120billion a month.
The Census Bureau releases thedurable goods report for December.New orders for manufactured durablegoods are expected to rise 0.8%month
The Bureau of EconomicAnalysisreports its advance estimate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product. Con-sensus estimate is for the economy tohave grown at a seasonally adjustedannual rate of 4.3%, after a record paceof 33.4% in the third quarter.
Friday 1/29Caterpillar, Charter Communica-tions, Chevron, Colgate-Palmolive,Eli Lilly, andHoneywell Interna-tional host conference calls to discussquarterly results.
The BEA reports personal incomeand spending data for December. Econ-omists forecast both personal incomeand expenditures to tick down 0.1%month over month. In November, in-come fell 1.1%; spending declined 0.4%.
Half of the six largest U.S. companies bymarket cap report results. Apple, Facebook,
and Tesla will also host calls to discuss their earnings after the market close.
Wednesday
Will ShippingFuel Inflation?Locked-down consumers are spending more on goods—mostly made overseas and transported on container ships—than on services. That, plus pandemic-related shipping dis-ruptions, have sent costs spiraling. The Baltic Dry Index, ameasure of rates to move dry goods, is up 128% in a year andnearly 60% since early December, boosted by China, theworld’s largest exporter, reopening its industrial economy.
That has been a boon for shipping lines, which have seenprofit margins widen. Shares ofMaersk and Cosco Ship-ping Holdings are up 92% and 195%, respectively, over thepast year, andTriton International, the world’s largestlessor of containers, has seen a 36.5% total return in a year.
Normally, higher shipping costs mean higher retail pricesand inflation. Bond yields have risen to price in higher infla-tion since the fall. But shipping is unlikely to ignite cost-push inflation. “First, the increase in shipping costs is likelyto be partially absorbed within wholesale and retail mar-gins,” writes Capital Economics group chief economist NeilShearing. “Second, while it’s difficult to be precise, the mostaffected goods are likely to account for a relatively smallshare of the overall [consumer price index] basket.”
Shearing estimates shipping costs at only 5% of retailprices. So, the past eight months’ doubling has added onlyabout that much to the cost of goods, with consumers proba-bly seeing only some of that. Aweaker dollar also offsetshigher shipping costs for non-U.S .importers. Then there’sthe upcoming Chinese NewYear, when factories shut downand exports fall. That could ease upward pressure on rates.The biggest relief? An end to the pandemic, with consumersspending again on services. —Nicholas Jasinski
Carrying TradeBig global shippers have prosperedas trade in goods has surged andshipping rates have followed.
Sources: FactSet; Bloomberg
High TideShipping rates fell as Covid emerged,then more than doubled as trade andChina recovered.
Maersk, Cosco Holdings,Triton Holdings, Last 12 Months
Baltic Exchange Dry Index,Last 12 months
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12 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
F O L L OW - U P While China policy may be less volatile, investorsshould brace for continued complexities based ona changing relationship between the two nations.
Expect Biden to TakeTough Stance on China
Exchange to delist some of the stocks,including telecoms like China Mobile(ticker: 941.Hong Kong). Though in-vestors have until November to divest,many have already struggled to selltheir shares.
Adding to the uncertainty, the Chi-nese telecoms on Friday asked theNYSE to reconsider the delisting. Asthe new administration reviews recentTrump administration orders, it couldrein in some provisions or removecompanies from the list if they decidethe rationale to ban them was weak.
More broadly, the Biden China ap-proach is likely to be clearer, more mul-tilateral, and less ad-hoc. The selectionof Kurt Campbell, the top Asia diplo-mat in the Obama administration, for anew role as Indo-Pacific coordinatorsignals that the new team is thinkingabout more coherent policies, bothdomestically and among U.S. allies,that would have a better chance to sur-vive, says Scott Kennedy, senior advi-sor and trustee chair in Chinese Busi-ness and Economics at the Center forStrategic and International Studies.
Delisting threats could persist, butfund managers still see a chance U.S.
and Chinese regulators may compro-mise on legislation delisting Chinesecompanies if they fail to comply withU.S. audit rules within three years.
Another reason for investor cau-tion: The State Department on Tues-day just before Biden took office de-termined that China had committed“genocide and crimes against human-ity,” against the Uighurs, a Muslimminority group in Xianjiang prov-ince—a view shared by Secretary ofState nominee Anthony Blinken.
That may pave the way for sanc-tions or technology restrictions. Con-gress may also reintroduce a bill put-ting the burden on companies toprove no connection to goods made by
As President Joe Biden fillsChina-related positions in hisadministration, investors ex-pect a continued tough stance
against the country, especially on hu-man rights issues, along with a reviewof recent Trump administration exec-utive orders.
While policy may be less volatile,investors should brace for continuedcomplexities as they adjust portfoliosbased on a changing relationship be-tween the two countries.
Cabinet nominees in confirmationhearings made clear that the relation-ship with China would continue to bea major focus, with Janet Yellen, nomi-nated for Treasury Secretary, empha-sizing a willingness to use an array oftools to address what the former Fed-eral Reserve chair described asChina’s abusive and illegal practices.
But fund managers still favorChina, despite confusion around aNovember executive order banningU.S. investment in companies the Pen-tagon says have ties to the Chinesemilitary. That led the New York Stock
By RESHMA KAPADIA
New voices on China: President Biden, Kurt Campbell, left, and Anthony Blinken.
forced labor in Xianjiang, says AnnaAshton, vice president of governmentaffairs for the U.S.-China BusinessCouncil
For now, fund managers are hedg-ing their bets. “We don’t expect Bidento be soft on China, but we think wewill have a situation where it will be amore multilateral approach that willtake down the volatility and reducethe equity risk premium,” says JoanneIrving, co-manager of the $5.3 billionAberdeen Emerging Markets fund(ABEMX), which is overweightChina, but has favored Hong Konglistings over American depositaryreceipts when making new pur-chases. B P
hoto
IllustrationbyNicole
Fara
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refe
renceGetty(3
)
Risks: Mutual fund investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. The funds invest in foreign securities, which involve greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.Each fund seeks long-term capital appreciation and current income.Each fund’s investment objectives, risk charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information about the investment company, and it may be obtainedby calling 877-485-8586. Read the prospectus carefully before investing.Distributed by ALPS Distributors, INC.
For further information, please contact 212.644.1800, [email protected] or visit www.cullenfunds.com
CHDVXCULLEN HIGH DIV IDEND EQUITY FUND
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 13
They’ll need to upgrade antennas,radios, and other equipment, startinga new growth cycle for the towercompanies.
At the same time, data centersare benefiting from a shift to cloud-computing, digital storage, and othertech trends accelerated by thepandemic.
Two tower companies are particu-larly well positioned in the year tocome: Crown Castle International(CCI) and SBA Communications(SBAC). Among data centers,Equinix (EQIX) and CoreSite Realty(COR) look appealing. The stocks areall structured as real estate invest-ment trusts, or REITs, with CrownCastle and CoreSite each yieldingmore than 3%.
The merger of T-Mobile US andSprint temporarily clouded the picturefor tower companies and weighed ontheir stocks in 2020. The consolida-tion removed an important customerfrom the market. T-Mobile, the No. 3wireless player in the U.S., plans todecommission 35,000 legacy towersused by Sprint.
Most of the leasing losses are ini-tially expected atAmerican Tower(AMT), the largest tower player, al-though Crown Castle and SBA willalso lose Sprint towers over time.Ultimately, less than a third of Sprint’slegacy towers are likely to survive,according to LightShed Partners ana-lyst Walter Piecyk.
Those Sprint losses are nowfactored intoWall Street estimates.Crown is forecast to generate $6.71 ashare in adjusted funds from opera-tions, REITs’ preferred measure ofoperating earnings, in the coming year,up from $6.08. SBA’s AFFO is seenrising 9%, to $10.25 a share. Revenuecould rise 5% for both companies, ac-cording to consensus estimate, as tow-ers get C-band-related antennas andother equipment upgrades.
The three major wireless carriersare each adding about $2 billion totheir capital-expenditure plans in2021. T-Mobile is making the biggestrelative boost, with spending forecastto hit $13.6 billion this year, up from$11.4 billion in 2020; it has to upgradeequipment to improve performance on
its 2.5 GHz network, which was bol-stered by its Sprint deal.
Despite losing Sprint, the wirelessmarketplace is actually getting morecrowded, with satellite and cable com-panies angling to get into the business.Dish Network (DISH) plans to builda 5G network with 15,000 sites byJune 2023. Comcast (CMCSA) andCharter Communications (CHTR)have been buying spectrum and mayhave spent billions on C-band; finalresults are expected to be releasednext month. They could start deploy-ing some of it on towers over the nextfew years.
Overall, Piecyk estimates that theindustry should get back to double-digit growth in AFFO.
While Crown and SBA are generalbeneficiaries of the 5G buildout, thereare specific reasons to own each stock.Crown is a bet on small cells and therevival of its fiberoptic business.
The company invested more than$11 billion in fiber in recent years,mainly selling the service to enter-prise customers, while adding small-cell nodes for wireless, which allowproviders to fill in service gaps indense population areas. It has been acontroversial strategy; the returns andgrowth on fiber are much lower thanon large-scale macro towers, andCrown has been under pressure byactivist investor Elliott Managementto stop investing in small cells andenterprise fiber.
The fiber business has weighedon Crown’s multiple, but it may be thevalue in the stock, says Cowen analystColby Synesael, who notes that Crownrecently reshuffled the leadership of itsfiber group in an effort to jump-startthe turnaround. Since then, Dish hassigned a contract to use Crown’s fiberalong with up to 20,000 of its towersto help build out its new 5G network.
Morgan Stanley analyst SimonFlannery calls Crown his top pick intowers. He sees the stock hitting$187, based on a multiple of 26 times2022 estimates of $7.10 a share inAFFO. Crown historically trades atan average 21 times, but strongtower-leasing trends warrant ahigher multiple, he says.
SBA is a more traditional bet ondomestic wireless towers, which havethe best business model in telecominfrastructure, Flannery says. Theyaccount for 75% of SBA’s revenue;more than 60% of the company’stowers are in the top 100 domesticmarkets.
4Ways to Play aBoom inDigitalInfrastructureCell tower and data center stocks have lagged behind,despite their key role in the digital transformation
Soaring demand for band-width and the rollout of 5Ghelped propel tech stockshigher in 2020. So it’s sur-prising that cell towers anddata centers—two of theindustries tied to those
themes—aren’t winning much lovewith investors.
Rising interest rates are partly toblame, pressuring the economics ofleasing tower space and financing newdata centers. Investors have favoredcyclical sectors more closely tied to aneconomic recovery. While the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index soared44% in 2020, tower stocks returnedan average of 11%, including divi-dends, while data centers returned anaverage of 8%. Both sectors couldcatch up and provide solid returns inthe year to come.
Fifth-generation wireless is stillin the early stages, with penetrationat just 4% in North America. It’sexpected to reach 17% in 2021 and37% by 2022, according to MorganStanley. For data centers, information-technology budgets are expected togrow 1.4% in 2021 after contracting2.5% in 2020. Mobile-data usage isrising at a 30% annualized clip, andtelecom companiesAT&T (ticker: T),Verizon Communications (VZ), andT-Mobile US (TMUS) are boostingtheir capital spending.
Cell towers, which rent space forantennas and other wireless equip-ment, should be long-term beneficiariesof the 5G rollout. Telecom companiesjust spent $95 billion on auctions forwireless spectrum known as C-band.
By DAREN FONDADigitalInfrastructurePicksWireless Towers
The C-band auctions should be a “signif-icant driver” of leasing in the second halfof 2021, Brendan Cavanagh, SBA’s chieffinancial officer, recently told investors.
“U.S. towers are the gold standard, andSBA has the most exposure to the busi-ness,” says MoffettNathanson analyst NickDel Deo, who calls SBA his top tower pick.He expects the stock to hit $320 in the next12 months, from a recent $272.
While tower companies are poised tobenefit from our ever-growing wirelessconnectivity, data centers are the facilita-tors of our addiction to data. Tech trendssuch as cloud computing, outsourcing ofcorporate servers, and increased demandfor data analytics are driving demand.
Cloud capex is expected to grow 16%in the first half of the year and 10% in thesecond half, according to Morgan Stanley.
CoreSite has actually missed potentialbusiness in recent years as the companyran short of inventory. But it’s now comingoff a building spree in core markets such asthe San Francisco Bay Area, Northern Vir-ginia, and Los Angeles. AFFO growth isexpected to jump from 5.4% this year to7.3% in 2022.
“They generate the best returns on in-vested capital, but the stock trades in linewith the group,” Del Deo says. At a recent$126, CoreSite trades at 23 times AFFOestimates for 2021. Del Deo has a pricetarget of $142 on the stock.
Equinix trades at a premium to CoreSite,at 27 times Wall Street’s estimate for 2021AFFO—but it’s the largest and arguablybest-positioned data-center owner. Tenantturnover is low, and the company’s globalportfolio of facilities in urban areas can’tbe easily replicated. Equinix has a largedevelopment pipeline, including expansionplans in India, and it has built strategicalliances with several tech giants, includingMicrosoft (MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN), and Cisco Systems (CSCO).
Credit Suisse analyst Sami Badri hasOutperform ratings on Equinix and Core-Site. “Both companies have built highlyconnected ecosystems that offer key advan-tages to their customers versus other datacenters,” he says.
Badri has a $915 target on Equinix, nearthe top of Wall Street estimates. That maybe a stretch, and would require the stock toexpand its already premium multiple. Butearnings growth alone could drive gains inthe year to come. At a consistent 27 timesAFFO, the stock could hit $800 in a year,an 11% gain.
Towers and data centers may be thesleepy part of the technology market. Butthey could also be the least volatile part oftech in the coming year. In 2021, it’s worthpaying up for some stability. B
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lot on a muffler or rearviewmirror.The stock dropped 1.3% last year as
Covid-19 led to fewer miles driven formany people—meaning less wear andtear on vehicles and fewer accidents,causing scrap-metal prices to increase.
But most of LKQ’s problems havebeen self-inflicted. For years, LKQwas a consolidation story, snappingup smaller players and building adominant business, both in the U.S.and Europe. Yet the synergies thatshould have resulted from thisacquisition binge never emerged. Thecompany’s operating margins declinedeach year from 2015 to 2019, andexpenses were higher than theyshould have been. Covid-19 has forcedLKQ to get leaner—and that couldallow the stock to benefit from thereopening of the economy in 2021.
“LKQ, like a lot of other companies,realized that they can do more withless” during the pandemic, says JoshWein, a portfolio manager at HennessyFunds, which bought the stock inOctober. “Companies use it as anexcuse to do what they should havedone anyway—get rid of some fat.”
Disappointment has been the nameof the game for LKQ in recent years.The stock has been range-bound atabout $20 to $43 since late 2012 asmetrics such as return on assets andreturn on equity fell and debt rose. Ithas become easy to doubt an LKQturnaround. “We’ve owned the stocksince 2014, and it has been a perennialdisappointment,” says Lamar Villere,partner and portfolio manager atVillere & Co., which recently sold thestock. “The problem is, it’s six yearslater and [things are] moving moreslowly than hoped.”
S till, 2021 might be the year thatLKQ finally lives up to thepromises it made. The stock hasalready gained more than 6%
this year, putting it on course to finallybreak out of its trading range.
The company has reduced oper-ating expenses by about 6% in thefirst nine months of 2020, and LKQ’sstreamlined operations mean thatmargins are also a major focus. Bothnet margins and earnings beforeinterest and taxes, or Ebit, at 4.3% and7.8%, respectively, were lower in 2019than they were five years prior. Yetanalysts expect these to improve in2020, to 6.2% and 9%, both above thecompany’s five-year average.
Moreover, after years of mergersand acquisitions, LKQ has pulled backfromM&A, unlocking free cash flowand allowing the company to paydown debt and repurchase stock.Analysts expect that net debt will fallsome $600 million in 2021 to $3.5billion, on free cash flow of $859million, roughly double the levels itsaw from 2015 to 2018.
“LKQ is in the early-to-middleinnings of a multiyear plan, and theimprovement in profitability, coupledwith a return to [sales] growth nextyear, should drive multiple expan-sion,” says Stephens analyst DanielImbro, who points to the recent stringof better-than-expected earningsreports from the company.
Consensus estimates call for LKQ’searnings per share to have edged upjust 2.5% year over year in 2020 to$2.43, with revenue dipping 7.5%, to
$11.56 billion. Yet 2021 looks brighter,with earnings per share expected tojump 13% to a record $2.7forced ittoget leaner 5 on a 5.8% rise in sales to$12.22 billion.
Despite the positive outlook, LKQ’sprice/earnings ratio fell from about 20times at the beginning of 2020 to 14.5times at the end of the year, at a timewhen the S&P 500’s multiple rosefrom roughly 21 times to 31 times. Thegood news is that the low expectationsembedded in the multiple could workin LKQ’s favor, especially if it managesto right its European division.
The stock is cheap: At 13.7 times2021 earnings, it’s trading below itsfive-year average of 14.4 times, andbelow the P/E of peers like GenuineParts (GPC) andO’Reilly Auto-motive (ORLY), whose multiples arein the high teens, and Copart (CPRT)and Fastenal (FAST), which changehands for more than 30 times thisyear’s earnings.
“As execution improves, you’regoing to see the multiple recover,” saysImbro. He has a $44 price target onLKQ stock, up 17% fromWednesday’sclose of $37.60.
None of this takes into account theeconomic factors that should helpLKQ in 2021. The pandemic will end,and the reopening will unleash pent-up demand from motorists eager totravel again. And Americans, stilldealing with an uncertain economicoutlook, could be motivated to fix,rather than replace, damaged cars.
If 2020 taught us anything, it’s toexpect the unexpected. That includesa longtime lemon finally moving intothe fast lane. B
Auto-Parts SupplierLKQGets Into GearThe company spent years and took on a lot of debt trying to consolidate the
business. Then the pandemic forced it to get leaner and more profitable.
“LKQ, like alot of othercompanies,realizedthat theycan domorewith less”during thepandemic.Josh Wein,Hennessy Funds
Auto-parts supplier LKQhas been stuck in neutralfor years, but 2021 couldsee things turn around forthe company as thepandemic forces it to takesteps that some say it
should have taken long ago.Although LKQ (ticker: LKQ)
distributes car parts, don’t think of it asanotherAdvance Auto Parts (AAP)orAutoZone (AZO). The company,which takes its name from “like, kind,and quality,” the three criteria thatinsurers require for vehiclereplacement parts, buys used cars andwrecks, salvages them for reusableparts, and scraps the rest. It’s whereyou go when you don’t want to spend a
By TERESA RIVAS
IllustrationbyBenMounsey-W
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Shifting GearsLKQ stock could be ready to pick upthe pace.
Source: FactSet
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16 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
end of the year, versus 20.4% for thebenchmarks they are tracked against.It was the second straight year that webeat the benchmarks, after a three-year drought.
That said, Barron’s didn’t do aswell with its bearish picks. On aver-age, those rose more than their bench-marks, meaning that investors whoavoided stocks based on our reportingmight have missed out on gains—or ifthey shorted the stocks, they mighthave lost money.
Barron’s tracks the performance ofstock picks every year in an attempt ataccountability. It’s an imperfect pro-
cess, but one that hopefully showswhere we have succeeded and wherewe can improve. We track only articlesthat chose three stocks or fewer, sothat larger sector bets aren’t part ofthe tally. And the stocks chosen incolumns like Tech Trader aren’tincluded, either.
If Barron’swriters change theiropinion on a stock in a follow-up, thegain or loss is locked in on the date ofthe follow-up, similar to when an in-vestor decides to liquidate a position.As for benchmarks, we track large-caps against the S&P 500, mid-capsagainst the S&PMidCap 400, andsmall-caps against the Russell 2000.
Although wemissedTesla (ticker:TSLA), which rose 743% in 2020, Bar-ron’s found some special situations thatpaid off handsomely for investors.
In April, Andrew Bary wrote aboutthe two companies that had spun offfrom United Technologies—CarrierGlobal (CARR) andOtisWorldwide(OTIS)—and the company thatemerged from the merger, RaytheonTechnologies (RTX). The first two ofthose stocks had enormous gainsthrough the end of the year. Carrier,which makes air-conditioning andheating systems, returned 177%through the end of the year. Its prod-ucts have become crucial for trans-porting the Covid-19 vaccine producedby Pfizer (PFE) and BioNTech(BNTX), which must be kept inextremely cold temperatures.
Otis, an elevator maker, has prof-ited from the success of its servicesbusiness, which accounts for about80% of earnings. Its stock has re-turned 48%.
Boyd Gaming (BYD) more thandoubled after Barron’s recommendedthe gambling stock in May. With casi-nos closed, the stock had tumbled inthe weeks before, but Lawrence C.Strauss predicted that Boyd wouldrebound because a lot of its profitscome from regional casinos thatwould attract people who might notwant to get on a plane.
Tech stocks drove much of lastyear’s rally, and they helped our re-sults, as well. Sales atAmazon.com(AMZN) boomed as Americansbought more online instead of goinginto stores. We had recommended iteven before the pandemic began todevastate bricks-and-mortar retailers.Shares rose 74% after Jack Hough’sJanuary call.
Another winner wasTwitter(TWTR), which had fallen 3% over
the prior year when Bill Alpert wroteabout it in a June cover story. Twitterwas in a battle with President DonaldTrump at the time over warning labelson his tweets regarding factual accu-racy and violence. It has since barredTrump entirely. But the company’simproving ad services and its ability todominate conversation have kept itrelevant and helped propel the stock to55% gains through the end of the year.
Other picks didn’t do as well.FirstCash (FCFS), the nation’s largestoperator of pawnshops, tends to dowell during recessions, but the latestone was an exception—the corona-virus downturn was bad for just aboutevery retail business. An evictionmoratorium, meanwhile, meant thatpeople could delay selling off posses-sions at pawnshops.
Another pick, Bank of America(BAC), slumped as low interest rateshurt returns. That said, Bank ofAmerica is already up 5% this year, aslong-term interest rates have trendedhigher and banks are back in favor.
Our bearish picks performedpoorly—or rather they did too well,on average. It was the first time in thepast six years that our bearish picksrose more than their benchmarks, onaverage. They returned some 80%,even as their benchmarks returned27%. One problem might have beenthat there were just seven negativecalls last year.
Of those, two did correctly warninvestors about coming turbulence. AChinese electric-auto maker namedKandi Technologies Group (KNDI)lost 51% after we pointed out the chal-lenges that the company faces in get-ting Americans to buy its cars.
AndNikola (NKLA) fell as doubtsgrew about the highflying electric-truck company’s prospects. FounderTrevor Milton resigned in September.
Negative Barron’s pieces on otherstocks—some of them also richlyvalued—didn’t come to fruition duringthe year. Plug Power (PLUG), whichdevelops hydrogen fuel-cell systems,kept rising after our skeptical Julyarticle, and it has kept rocketinghigher, nearly doubling since the startof this year. That is despite the com-pany still being unprofitable.
A skeptical take on online used-cardealer Carvana (CVNA) also hasn’tpanned out. Carvana rose as Ameri-cans went online to buy cars amid thepandemic. That success hasn’t yetturned into profits, but investors areclearly optimistic about the future. B
HowOur 2020 Stock PicksOutran aRampaging BullBarron’s writers outperformed stock market benchmarks for the second consecutive year,
helped by Carrier, Amazon, Boyd Gaming, and Twitter. Our bearish calls didn’t fare as well.
Barron’s picked stocks thatbeat a red-hot market in2020—and we didn’t evenchoose Tesla.
In a year of turmoil andhardship, as the pandemicthrottled the economy, the
stock market persevered, with theS&P 500 index rising 16%. Someoverseas markets did even better.
Stocks that were highlighted inbullish Barron’s articles had a totalreturn of 24.7% from the last tradingday before publication through the
By AVI SALZMAN
IllustrationbyGluekit
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 17
Carrier Global / CARR 4/20 $13.74 $37.72 177.1% 32.3%
Boyd Gaming / BYD 5/11 17.98 42.92 138.7 39.0
Vivint Smart Home / VVNT 1/20 9.90 20.75 109.6 17.7
Michaels / MIK 7/6 6.85 13.01 89.9 38.7
Amazon.com / AMZN 1/3 1,874.97 3,256.93 73.7 18.2
TMobile US / TMUS 1/29 81.66 134.85 65.4 16.6
Terex / TEX 10/5 21.59 34.89 61.6 28.6
Group 1 Automotive / GPI 8/3 84.02 131.14 56.5 34.1
Twitter / TWTR 6/8 34.87 54.15 55.3 18.7
Performance Food Group / PFGC 6/8 31.44 47.61 51.4 21.7
Crocs / CROX 9/14 41.99 62.66 49.2 32.4
OtisWorldwide / OTIS 4/20 46.15 67.55 47.8 32.3
GrahamHoldings / GHC 7/20 362.98 533.38 47.5 26.5
US Foods Holding / USFD 6/8 23.40 33.31 42.4 21.7
Liberty SiriusXM / LSXMK 5/18 31.44 43.51 40.9 47.5
Magna International / MGA 8/31 50.67 70.80 40.6 7.7
AutoNation / AN 8/3 51.34 69.79 35.9 24.6
Caterpillar / CAT 2/24 137.21 182.02 35.7 14.3
Albertsons / ACI 9/21 13.06 17.58 35.5 24.1
Truist Financial / TFC 9/28 36.17 47.93 33.8 14.4
Estée Lauder / EL 8/10 199.99 266.19 33.7 12.8
Liberty Braves Group / BATRK 5/18 18.69 24.88 33.1 58.3
PG&E / PCG 7/27 9.36 12.46 33.1 17.7
Goldman Sachs Group / GS 6/15 201.78 263.71 32.2 24.6
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January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 19
I N C OM E I N V E S T I N G Dividend stocks outpaced the broader marketin 25 of the 41 five-year rolling periodsfrom 1976 through 2020.
6 Dividend Funds forLong-Term Investors
A lthough dividendstocks lagged behindflashier tech stocksduring the pandemiclast year, their “long-term investment caseremains solid.”
So concludes Amy Arnott, a portfo-lio strategist at Morningstar, in a re-cent note. A lot of the mutual fundsthat specialize in these stocks “reallysuffered from not having as much techexposure” as others did, Arnott tellsBarron’s. These equity income funds,Arnott adds, also took a hit, owing tothe many dividend cuts and suspen-sions last year as companies tried topreserve cash.
From Feb. 19 of last year, when themarket peaked at what was then a re-cord high, throughMarch 23, the aver-age stock dividend fund had a returnof minus 36.6%, versus minus 33.5%for the S&P 500 index, according toMorningstar. TheMSCI USAHighDividend Yield Index notched aslightly better result, with a gross re-turn of minus 32.6% over that stretch.
Looking at the full year, the Tech-nology Select Sector SPDR fund(ticker: XLK), a proxy for large tech-nology companies, returned 43.6% in2020, well above the S&P 500’s 18.4%return or the S&P 500DividendAristocrats’ 8.7%.
However, Arnott observes, dividendstocks have acquitted themselves betterduring other challenging periods—per-formance levels they maywell return toin future rough patches. In fact, divi-dend shares outpaced the broader mar-ket in 25 of the 41 five-year rolling peri-ods from 1976 through 2020. But aswith so much else during the pan-demic, 2020was an aberration forthese issues.
“They’ve typically fared best during
periods of slow economic growth andsluggish market returns, such as theearly part of the [2000s] and in the1980s, when stagflation dragged downmarket returns,” Arnott pointed out inher Jan. 11 note.
In contrast, dividend stocks trailedthe broader market throughmuch ofthe 1990s when the tech-stock bubblewas inflating. They “tend to fare worstduring more ebullient times, such as1995-99 and the generally strong periodfrom 2016 through 2020,” she wrote.
Arnott also looked at payout stocks’trailing 20-year returns and volatility,as measured by standard deviation.The MSCI USAHigh Dividend YieldIndex had a 20-year annual return of7.89%, versus 7.49% for the S&P 500.That dividend index also was less vol-atile over that period, with a standarddeviation of 13.23, nearly two percent-age points better than the broadermarket’s 15.08.
“Stocks with above-average divi-dends have generally held up rela-tively well in previous market down-turns,” Arnott wrote, pointing to thefourth quarter of 1987, the early
2000s, and the fourth quarter of 2018as examples.
To supplement Arnott’s observa-tions, Barron’s looked at some of theequity income funds we have writtenabout in recent years.
None of these outperformed theS&P 500 over the past 12 months.Nearly all of them, however, have fin-ished in the top half of their Morning-star category when measured bythree- and five-year returns—andmany have strong performance overeven longer periods, as well.
T. Rowe Price Dividend Growth(PRDGX), which tries to generate in-come and capital appreciation, has aone-year return of 12.3%, ranking sec-ond among the funds included in theaccompanying table.
As of Dec. 31, the portfolio’s topsector weighting was technology at22.2%, followed by health care at16.5%, and financials at 12.8%. Thefund’s top two holdings wereMicro-soft (MSFT), which yields just 1%,andApple (AAPL), which yields amere 0.6%. Nonetheless, Microsofthas returned about 36% over the pastyear, dividends included, and Applehas gained about 67%.
The Columbia Dividend Incomefund (GSFTX) has a one-year returnof 9.2%. A fourth-quarter tailwind forthe fund was an overweight positionin bank stocks ,such as Bank ofAmerica (BAC), which yields 2.2%,and JPMorgan Chase (JPM), 2.7%.
“The segment benefited from thequarter’s rotation into value,” accord-
ing to the fund managers’ commentaryon the company’s website, adding thatbank stocks helped as well.
JPMorgan Equity Income (OI-EIX) had a tougher time, with a returnof 4.8% over the past 12 months, plac-ing it in the middle of the pack amongits peers.
Under longtime leadmanager ClareHart, the portfolio has placed in the tophalf of its Morningstar peer group overthe past three and five years and in thetop 10% over the past 10 and 15 years.“Underperformance was predomi-nantly a function of what we don’t own,rather than what we do,” according toan assessment of the fund’s fourth-quarter performance by Hart and oneof her colleagues, Jamie Steinhardt.
The managers also pointed out thatBest Buy (BBY) andHome Depot(HD) “gave back some of their gains[despite] both companies reportingdouble-digit earnings growth.”
The fund did benefit from financialholdings, such as Bank of America.
Actively managed funds aren’t theonly option for investors. There arevarious ETFs, which typically hew toan index and don’t have a manageractively buying and selling stocks.
TheVanguard Dividend Appre-ciation ETF (VIG) has a one-yearreturn of 13%, tops among the fundsincluded in the table, helped by anultralow expense ratio of 0.06%.
The fund,which tries to track theNasdaqUSDividendAchieversSe-lect Index, recently held 212 stocks,with amedianmarket capitalization ofabout $158 billion, giving it a large-capbent.As ofDec. 31, its biggest sectorweightingwas consumer discretionaryat 22.8%, followedby industrials at20.8%, andhealth care at 14.9%.Tech-nology clocked in at 12.5%—showingthat a dividend stock funddoesn’t needa big tech overweighting to performwellright now.
“The bottom line is that every downmarket is different, and dividend-ori-ented stocks won’t excel in every one,”Arnott’s note concluded. “Overall,though, they tend to hold up a bit bet-ter than average during times of mar-ket turbulence and have generatedattractive risk-adjusted returns overlonger periods.” B
By Lawrence C.Strauss
Beaten but Not BrokenDespite recent underperformance, the long-term case for dividend funds “remains solid,” concludes a recent Morn-ingstar note. The funds included here all have placed in the top half of their peer groups over the past three years.
1-Year Dividend Net ExpenseFund or Index / Ticker Return Yield AUM (bil.) Ratio
Columbia Dividend Income / GSFTX 9.2% 1.7% $28.9 0.69%
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January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 21
T H E E C O N OMY The level of federal debt has soared by roughly$15 trillion since the end of 2008, but Americans’total indebtedness has stayed basically flat.
Why Biden Shouldn’tLet the Federal DebtDeter Spending Spree
P resident Joe Biden takesoffice at a time of mo-mentous opportunity.With vaccinationsunder way and moremoney heading intoAmericans’ pockets, the
U.S. economy is set up to boom in thenext few years, potentially boosted bypandemic-induced productivity gains.
But America also faces significantchallenges in the decade ahead—whether it’s shifting to renewable-energy resources to reduce carbonemissions, reviving the manufacturingbase, or confronting an increasinglyaggressive China—and meeting themwill probably require substantial pub-lic investment.
Trillions of dollars of additionalgovernment spending will probably beneeded. And Congress and the Bidenadministration should do everythingthey can to address those challenges,even if it means adding trillions moreto the U.S.’s $21 trillion debt load.
Yes, those eager to object to the newpresident’s agenda are correct that theratio of debt to national income is al-ready higher than at any point sinceWorldWar II. But that’s not an argu-ment against spending much more.
Instead, there are two compellingreasons to deficit-spend at a vast scale.First, market signals suggest that pub-lic borrowing has been far too low tomeet the private sector’s needs for along time, which means that addi-tional federal debt would be helpfulfor savers both at home and abroad.Current spending plans don’t seem tobe altering this basic reality. Second,investments that boost growth—
whether in infrastructure, pollutioncontrol, scientific research, education,or public health—effectively pay forthemselves. A richer society can af-ford to carry more debt.
While the level of federal debt hassoared by some $15 trillion since theend of 2008, Americans’ total indebt-edness has not—even with the pan-demic. Rising government borrowinghas been offset by a much larger econ-omy and by lower levels of privatedebt. Thus, while the ratio of federaldebt to gross domestic product hasrisen from about 50% to over 100%,the ratio of private debt has droppedfrom about 290% to about 240% overthe same period, leaving overall indebt-edness roughly unchanged.
This is why the massive increase in
the federal government’s debt hasn’tcoincided with an increase in interestrates. Instead, interest rates havefallen precipitously because publicborrowing hasn’t been sufficient tomeet the income and savings needsof households and businesses.
If the government was spending toomuch money into the economy rela-tive to how much it was taking outwith taxes, the difference would showup in wide-ranging price increases ofconsumer goods and services. Thathasn’t happened so far, and in factFederal Reserve officials have beenfrustrated for years by inflation thathas been below target.
Similarly, if the Biden administra-tion’s plans for borrowing and spend-ing were excessive, inflation-sensitiveassets’ prices would adjust in anticipa-tion. But sophisticated investors don’tseem worried about inflation at all,even if they are less concerned aboutdeflation than they were back inMarch.
The prices of most commodities—including copper, silver, oil, wheat, andcotton—remain far lower than 10 yearsago. And the prices of inflation optionsimply only a 1-in-5 chance that theconsumer price index will rise morethan 3% each year over the next fiveyears, on average, and only a 10%chance that prices will rise more than
3.4% each year. Those implied oddsare far lower than the implied odds in2012, and about the same as in 2017-18.
The persistent weakness of infla-tion explains why the Fed and othercentral banks around the world havefelt compelled to lower interest ratessince the late 1980s in an attempt tostoke private borrowing and spending.That in turn explains why the federalgovernment is spending far less ondebt service now than it was 30 yearsago—even though the debt level is somuch higher now. It all suggests thereis a great deal of scope to borrow andspend more money without harmingthe economy.
On top of all this, borrowing andspending on the right things shouldalso increase the economy’s productivecapacity, which would make everyonebetter off and further reduce the riskof excessive consumer price increases.
Consider that in August 2007—just before the global financial crisis—economists at the CongressionalBudget Office expected that the U.S.economy could sustainably grow about2.6% each year, at least through the endof 2017. Had that happened, the U.S.economy would have been 12% biggerthan it was. That gap represents a tre-mendous loss of income and wealth.
Rather than acknowledge the mag-nitude of the financial crisis, though,the CBO concluded that its pre-crisisforecast was simply too optimistic. Fornearly a decade, the CBO continuouslydowngraded its estimate of the Ameri-can economy’s potential—until theTrump administration and Congressignored the estimates and decided tocut taxes and boost spending.
The resulting uptick in investmentwas modest, but it was enough that, bythe eve of the pandemic, the CBO hadconcluded that the U.S. had more roomto grow than it had previously be-lieved. The accelerating economy low-ered total U.S. indebtedness from theend of 2016 to the end of 2019 even asthe federal budget deficit rose.
Already, the CBO is forecasting apermanent loss in income due to thecoronavirus. That would be a disaster,but the upshot for the new adminis-tration is that it can be preventedwith enough money and focus now. B
Debt PerspectivesThe interest costs on federal government debt are well below the peak years in the 1980s and 1990s,while overall national indebtedness has remained flat thanks to private deleveraging, even after a surgein federal borrowing to combat the financial crisis and pandemic.
Sources: Federal Reserve Board; Bureau of Economic Analysis; Barron’s calculations
Federal government net interest paymentsrelative to gross domestic product
Rupal J. Bhansali, Scott Black,Mario Gabelli, and Sonal Desaishare their top investment ideas
ByLAUREN R. RUBLIN
Illustrations by HELEN GREEN
24 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
2021 RoundtablePanelists
Todd AhlstenCIO and lead portfolio manager,Parnassus Core Equity
Parnassus Investments
San Francisco
Sonal DesaiCIO and portfolio manager
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income
San Mateo, Calif.
James AndersonPartner and head of Global Equities
Baillie Gifford
Edinburgh
Henry EllenbogenCIO and managing partner
Durable Capital Partners
Chevy Chase, Md.
Rupal J. BhansaliCIO and portfolio managerInternational & Global Equities
Ariel Investments
New York
Mario GabelliChairman and CEO
Gamco Investors
Greenwich, Conn.
Scott BlackFounder and president
Delphi Management
Boston
William PriestExecutive chairman and co-CIO
Epoch Investment Partners
New York
Abby Joseph CohenAdvisory director and seniorinvestment strategist
Goldman Sachs
New York
Meryl WitmerGeneral partner
Eagle Capital Partners
New York
In America, it was a week of momen-tous change, as one president’s termended and another’s began. But onWall Street, it was business as usual:The stock market hit another high,and the biggest tech stocks continuedto soar. Small wonder that manyinvestors now decry a dearth ofbargains—except for those who stillthink Tesla is cheap at 200 timesearnings, and those who know howto spot genuine deals.
The members of the Barron’s Round-table belong to the second group, asyou’ll see from this week’s Roundtableinstallment, which highlights 28 invest-ment recommendations from Rupal J.Bhansali, of Ariel Investments; ScottBlack, of Delphi Management; MarioGabelli, the boss at Gamco Investors;and Sonal Desai, chief investmentofficer of Franklin Templeton FixedIncome. Their picks range from thefamiliar—likeMicrosoft (ticker:MSFT) andNorthrop Grumman(NOC)—to the obscure—Hyster-YaleMaterials Handling (HY), anyone?But all of them share several character-istics: They trade at relatively cheapvaluations, and could be worth more,maybe muchmore, as operations andbusiness conditions improve. Thatmany sport tantalizing yields onlymakes themmore inviting.
When this year’s Roundtable meton Jan. 11 and Jan. 12 on Zoom, our 10panelists forecast a snappy reboundfor the U.S. economy after last year’sgrim, pandemic-fueled recession. Butthe group, whose big-picture viewswere featured in last week’s issue,predicted merely muted gains for thebroad market, not to mention bonds,given 2020’s exuberant rally andthe past 11 years’ cumulative gains.(Could that explain the profusion oftulips on Mario’s desk?)
Read on for an edited version of thestock- and bond-picking conversation.In next week’s final Roundtable pack-age, you’ll hear from the rest of oursavvy crew.
Barron’s: Rupal, what investmentideas have you brought us today?Rupal Bhansali: Given my negativemarket outlook, I believe we need tobe much more defensive in our in-vestment exposure this year. Divi-dend yields will become a biggersource of total returns in the stockmarket, especially given the low levelof interest rates and bond yields. Youcan find stocks today that yield morethan high-yield bonds—and dividendyields can grow, whereas fixed-in-come yields can’t.
I have five picks. All are uncorre-lated with the broad stock market. Nordo I want a single theme cascadingthrough my holdings, because then itbecomes a binary bet.
I mentioned the attractiveness ofEuropean stocks this morning. My firstpick is Snam [SRG.Italy], a utility thatisn’t well known in the U.S. Utilitystocks have done well here as incomeproxies. That isn’t the case interna-tionally. Snam is a regulated gas-transmission utility based in Italy,which is increasingly becoming thegas-storage and transmission hub ofEurope. Historically, Europe has pro-cured most of its gas from Russia, butits dependence on Russia has been asource of concern. Snam is the solu-tion. Snam needs to invest billions ofeuros to create a gas-pipeline infra-structure, so a low-single digit rate ofrevenue growth is assured. Returns onthis investment spend are also guaran-teed, because it is a regulated utility.Despite these attributes, there is agrowing concern that the businessof transporting gas is going to be up-ended by renewable energy. I believethis overhang is unwarranted.
Renewable energy is an incrementalsource of energy, but it won’t replacegas-fired power plants anytime soon.Could gas transmission become astranded asset 25 years from now?Possibly, but it is premature to thinkabout pricing that in now. In fact, gaspipelines are being constructed in away that will enable them to be retro-fitted to transport hydrogen, the next-generation renewable energy source.
What does Snam trade for?Bhansali:The stock has been tradingaround 4.60 euros. [Snam also tradesin the U.S. under the ticker SNMRY.] Ithas a price/earnings multiple in the lowteens, with a dividend yield of 5.5%.The company has a higher level of debtcompared to my other picks, but be-cause it is a regulated utility, its debt is
highly rated. I see the stock as more ofa single or double than a home run. Itprovides ballast in turbulent times andoffers steady income with steadygrowth.
I like companies with strong bal-ance sheets and an outlook deter-mined more by self-help than quanti-tative easing, stimulus spending, taxrates, or other macroeconomic trends,or the coming of a Covid vaccine. Iwant to have a portfolio that will per-form, no matter what. My second ideain Europe isMunich Re [MUV2.Ger-many], one of the world’s leading rein-surance companies. It is well capital-ized, with a solvency ratio of 200%.One thing people haven’t realized isthat the reinsurance industry is a bigbeneficiary of climate change. One ofthe biggest adverse impacts of climatechange is the increase in natural catas-trophes, which reinsurance compa-nies tend to reinsure. In the first 50years of the 20th century, the worldhad, on average, about 20 natural ca-tastrophes a year. In the past 10 to 20years, we’ve been averaging about 300to 350 natural catastrophes a year. Notonly is the frequency rising, but theseverity is far greater.
The reinsurance market is oligopo-listic, with few players. From time totime, new entrants dabble in the mar-ket via sidecars, thinking it is a low- tono-risk investment, but last year, theylost their shirts as unexpected lossesmounted. That will reduce the appe-tite for new entrants, so the incum-bents are likely to be writing most ofthe business.
Munich Re is one of the most pru-dent, conservative underwriters inthe world. It tends to have good loss-reserve ratios. Investors get exposure toan industry with both secular and cy-clical tailwinds, as the market typicallyhardens [premiums rise as reinsurancedemand exceeds supply] after a big lossyear like 2020. Should interest rates goup—and I’m not predicting they will,but that looks to be the tendency—thatis an added bonus for the company’sinvestment returns. Munich Re has a4% dividend yield, lower than some ofmy other ideas. If the market has a 10%to 20% pullback, I would look to aver-age down [buymore at lower prices].At a recent price of €242, the stock is agood value. And, it is uncorrelated withmy other stock picks.
What is your next idea?Bhansali: Telecom is one of my favor-ite sectors. Perhaps you’ve heard me
IJanuary 25, 2021 BARRON’S 25
call telecom companies the new con-sumer staples. I was intrigued by BillPriest’s T-Mobile US [TMUS] recom-mendation [in 2021’s first Roundtableinstallment], but T-Mobile’s balancesheet scares me. The company has alot of debt. I am recommending a dif-ferent telecom—one with a far stron-ger balance sheet, in a country thathas also seen consolidation of its tele-com market. The country is Brazil,and the company is Telefônica Bra-sil [VIV], the leading player in Brazil’swireless market, with 77 million sub-scribers and about a 32% marketshare. Brazil’s telecom sector is goingthrough an in-market consolidation,which is beneficial in any industrywith high fixed costs, where scale isan advantage.
More important, Brazil’s regula-tory framework is improving. Regu-lators have taken an enlightenedview: If you create too much competi-tion and don’t allow incumbents tomake money, it prevents them frominvesting. Through a merger, fourplayers will be reduced to three. Reg-ulators also have allowed the top twoplayers—TIM Brasil, a subsidiary ofTelecom Italia [TIT.Italy], and Vivo,Telefônica Brasil’s wireless unit—toshare networks, which enables themto reduce capital spending.
Telefônica Brasil has an AAA-ratedbalance sheet, remarkable in a worldwhere companies are gorging on debt.The headline dividend yield screens atonly 1% to 2%, but Brasil confers a taxadvantage on what it calls a return oncapital, which is a dividend, as wewould understand it. As a conse-quence, the effective yield is 7.5%.Finally, in my view, the Brazilian realis undervalued. As I said this morn-ing, the dollar is more likely to depre-ciate, and international currencies aremore likely to appreciate. For a dollar-based investor, owning a nondollar-denominated asset like TelefônicaBrasil could enable you to makemoney in two ways: capital apprecia-tion and currency appreciation.
Bill, are you worried aboutT-Mobile’s debt?William Priest: T-Mobile has a lot ofdebt stemming from its acquisition ofSprint. But significant cost savings willcome out of this merger. T-Mobile alsohas a pricing advantage as we get intothe deployment of 5G opportunities.The debt is high, but I don’t expectthat paying it down will be a problem.Bhansali:My next stock is controver-
sial and may not play well from aheadline basis, but is an example of aninvestment opportunity that couldprovide idiosyncratic alpha [excessreturn, relative to the broad stock mar-ket]. The stock is Philip Morris In-ternational [PM], the internationalarm of the old Philip Morris, whichsplit into the U.S. arm,Altria Group[MO], and Philip Morris International,run out of Switzerland.
Everyone views nicotine as harm-ful, but it isn’t harmful in and of itself.It causes harm when you burn it—thatis, light a cigarette. I am not condon-ing smoking, but there are more thanone billion chain smokers in the worldtoday, and they need help in reducingthe adverse effects on their healthfrom smoking.
In years past, pharmaceutical com-panies came up with nicotine patches
Company / Ticker Price 1/8/21
AdvanSix / ASIX $22.11
Kimball Electronics / KE 17.11
Westlake Chemical Partners / WLKP 21.99
D.R. Horton / DHI 66.96
Magna International / MGA 75.85
Northrop Grumman / NOC 288.33
Scott Black’s Picks
Source: BloombergCourtesyofNorthropGrumman
26 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
and gum to help such smokers stopsmoking. These products were evenapproved by the Food and Drug Ad-ministration, but failed to gain marketacceptance because they didn’t delivera similar experience to smoking.Philip Morris International has comeup with a product called IQOS—anelectronic device that heats tobaccojust enough to release nicotine vapors,but not enough to burn the tobacco.The letters are thought to stand forI quit original smoking.
PhilipMorris has converted about 10million smokers to IQOS. The companyspent more than $6 billion on researchand development and clinical trials forthe product, and leading health-carebodies around the world have approvedit as lowering the risk of consumingnicotine. In fact, clinical data show adramatic reduction of risk of 90%-plus,a game changer for chain smokers.
Sales fell last year because of Covid,but we expect them to pick up again.By 2025, Philip Morris hopes to gener-ate 40% of its revenue from IQOS.Weexpect the company to earn $10 billionto $11 billion this year, and it will dis-tribute the majority of its earnings individends. The stock yields about5.5%, and the P/E multiple is around15. Admittedly, this isn’t a mainstreaminvestment idea, as tobacco stocks areconsidered sin stocks, but I believewe’re better off encouraging compa-nies to invent a product that signifi-cantly lowers the risk of consumingnicotine and secondhand smoke.
Can Philip Morris sell IQOS di-rectly in the U.S., or must it sellthe product through Altria?Bhansali: It has a distribution ar-rangement in the U.S. with Altria, butthe vast majority of the opportunity isin international markets, where it sellsdirectly. Japan is one of its biggest andmost successful markets for IQOS.Priest: China has always had an issuewith foreign-based tobacco compa-nies. Is that a problem for IQOS? Sec-ondly, what do people who use IQOSlike about the product, other than thefact that it’s healthier than smoking?Bhansali: China’s tobacco market is anational monopoly. The governmentowns it, so the market isn’t open forprivate companies. But there is a largeopportunity outside China. As forIQOS users, unlike nicotine patches orgums, this product gives them an ap-proximate sensation of smoking. Thatis why adoption has been high.
I try to discuss stocks that readers
might not know. Meanwhile, Micro-soft has been sitting right under mynose. We have owned the stock foralmost a decade. It is the poster childfor everything right with technologycompanies, whether it’s SaaS [soft-ware as a service] business models orproductivity enhancement. You mightwonder what is left to squeeze out ofthis name after a near-tenfold increasein market value in the past nine years.A number of things aren’t yet fullypriced into the stock.
Microsoft is trading for roughly 25times June 2023 earnings. The com-pany nets more than $50 billion ofprofit every year, and earnings cangrow by double digits in coming years.The biggest opportunity is Azure, Mi-crosoft’s hybrid public/private cloudservice. AmazonWeb Services, in con-trast, operates only a public cloud. Formost large companies, particularly infinancial services and health care, dataprivacy is very important, and it is go-ing to become even more so. In order tohave control over data, sometimes evenphysical control in a particular juris-diction, you need to have a privatecloud. Microsoft’s Azure is the onlyscaled player that offers a private anda public cloud.While Azure has doneextremely well, it is probably in thethird inning of a nine-inning story.
What else isn’t priced in?Bhansali:Another vector of opportu-nity is videogaming. Microsoft ownsXbox, which has overtaken Sony’s[SNE] PlayStation in popularity. Now,Microsoft is on its way to becoming theNetflix [NFLX] of gaming. Just as westreammedia content, Microsoft‘sxCloud will stream videogames. Thenext generation of games won’t requireconsoles. Gamers want subscription-based streaming models becausegames are quite expensive. Microsofthas a library of games and produces itsown content. What’s more,Nintendo[NTDOY] and PlayStation have agreedto let their games be hosted onMicro-soft’s xCloud, so it is likely to becomethe dominant platform for consumers.
Microsoft 365 (which includes Office365 andWindows 10) is yet anothergrowth vector. Office 365 has a lot oftraction, as we all use Outlook, Power-Point,Word, and Excel. ButWindows,the underlying operating system, hasn’tyet seen the same traction and growthrate. Again, the best is yet to come.
So far, Salesforce.com [CRM]has been the unchallenged leader incustomer-relationship management
software. But Microsoft is beefing upits own CRM business, Microsoft Dy-namics 365. In most businesses, Micro-soft hasn’t been first to the party, but itcatches up rapidly. I expect that to hap-pen in the CRM space. Dynamics 365is a plug-and-play module that worksmuch faster and seamlessly out of thegate than alternatives. It is anotheropportunity that isn’t well understood.
Finally, [Microsoft’s] LinkedIn is theonly B2B [business to business] socialnetwork, and that means advertiserscan domicrotargeting, which is ex-tremely valuable.While the user en-gagementmight not seem likemuch,LinkedIn is coming up on a billion us-ers. Today, graduating students fromanywalk of life make sure their profilegoes on LinkedIn. This marks an inflec-tion point, and speaks to the power ofthe platform in the professional world.Priest:We have a large holding inMicrosoft, but three things concernme. They have a latency problem withtheir cloud. AWS has a faster cloud. Inthe gaming world, Fortnite is going todominate. And, Salesforce.com re-cently purchased Slack and plans toestablish its own rival to MicrosoftTeams. It seems some things are mov-ing away fromMicrosoft.Bhansali: The public cloud is fasterbecause it doesn’t have the same secu-rity firewalls as the private cloud.More controls mean that it will takeslightly longer to access data. Regard-ing Teams, it’s the incumbent tool,so Salesforce is unlikely to upend it.And, yes, Fortnite is a spectacularsuccess story, but it was played on the
Xbox and will be played on Micro-soft’s streaming platform.
Microsoft is a $1.7 trillion-in-mar-ket-cap company. Can videogamesreally move the needle at this point?Bhansali: I gave you several growthdrivers, not just one. Sometimes, wethink of trillion-dollar companies asbeing mature and devoid of opportuni-ties. All of these are blockbuster oppor-tunities. And, unlike the Teslas [TSLA]of the market, Microsoft sells for a rela-tively modest multiple of future earn-ings, and has net cash on its balancesheet and recurring revenue streams.We spent a lot of time this morningdiscussing the economic outlook forincreased productivity. Microsoft’s goalis to improve the productivity of enter-prises and their employees.
You recommended ChinaMobile[CHL] at several past Roundtables.The Trump administration put thecompany on its sanctions list be-cause of its ties to China’s military.What should investors do now?Bhansali:My fundamental bullish viewon ChinaMobile’s business prospectsand undervalued stock hasn’t changed,but it’s an academic question now thatthe U.S. government has issued an exec-utive order that prevents U.S. personsfrom buying the stock after Jan. 11, 2021,and compels them to sell any existingholdings byNov. 11, 2021. Obviously, wewill abide by the law.
Thank you, Rupal. Scott, you’re next.Scott Black:We look for companieslikely to have rising sales and earningsthis year, strong balance sheets, andsustainable cash positions, and thatgenerate free cash flow. As valueinvestors, we like low P/E ratios.I build my own earnings models.
My first pick isAdvanSix [ASIX],a chemical company spun out ofHoneywell International [HON] inOctober 2016. It has three manufactur-ing sites in the U.S. AdvanSix makesan array of chemicals and ammoniumsulfate fertilizer. It could generateabout $1.23 billion of revenue this year,up 11%. Pretax income will be about$81 million. Taxed at 25%, that’s $60.8million in net income, or $2.16 a share.The stock trades for $22.11, or 10.2times expected earnings and 1.47 timesbook value. The market cap is only$621 million. There is no dividend.Return on equity is about 13%; returnon total capital, 9%.
We estimate that AdvanSix will gen-
“Microsoft owns Xbox,which has overtaken Sony’sPlayStation in popularity.Now, Microsoft is on its wayto becoming the Netflixof gaming. Just as we streammedia content, Microsoft‘sxCloud will streamvideogames.”Rupal J. Bhansali
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 27
erate free cash flow of about $46 mil-lion this year. It has roughly $313 mil-lion of debt, and another $112 million inlines of credit. Net debt to Ebitda [earn-ings before interest, taxes, depreciation,and amortization] is 3.1 times, but theyare targeting a 2.5 ratio.
AdvanSix’s main addressable mar-ket is building and construction. Thenext-biggest market is fertilizer, and thethird is acetone, used in paints andadhesives in the auto industry. Thecompany has strong internal cost con-trols, and creates a formal five-yearstrategic plan to address strengths,weaknesses, opportunities, and threats.This isn’t a glamorous industry. Thecompany isn’t a disruptor. But it hasrising earnings and a cheap stock.
We can’t argue with that.Black: We own a lot of technologycompanies, but many stocks havegone up sharply. Kimball Electron-ics [KE] is under the radar. The stockis $17.11, and the market cap is $433million, with no dividend. Kimball isa global provider of electronic manu-facturing services. It offers engineer-ing and supply-chain support for theautomotive, medical, industrial, andpublic-safety markets. It also makesnonelectrical components. The com-pany has a June fiscal year. We expectrevenue to grow 8% this year, to $1.3billion, yielding operating income of$58 million to $61 million. Interestexpense is only $3.3 million. We seepretax income of $54.8 million to$57.8 million, and $1.77 to $1.87 inearnings per share, with the midpointat $1.82. On a calendar-year basis,Kimball could earn $1.95, giving thestock an 8.8 P/E multiple, and a mul-tiple of 1.08 times book value. Thecompany will earn an 11.5% returnon equity, and has almost no debt.Free cash flow could total $35 millionthis year.
The revenue mix is about 38% auto-mobiles, 33%medical, 23% industrial,and 6% other. Philips [PHG] accountsfor 16% of revenue, andMichigan-basedNexteer Automotive Group[1316.Hong Kong], 14%. The businessis sticky; 30 customers account foralmost 80% of revenue, and have beencustomers for more than 10 years.Kimball has 11 manufacturing facilitiesaround the world.
Next,Westlake Chemical Part-ners [WLKP] will appeal to investorslooking for yield. It was spun out ofWestlake Chemical [WLK] in 2014.It trades for $21.99, and the market
cap is $774 million. Westlake is a lim-ited partnership. It pays an annualdividend of $1.89, for an 8.6% yield.The company has production capacityof 3.72 million pounds of ethylene. Itprovides ethylene to Westlake Chemi-cal. It is guaranteed a certain price,regardless of the price of its feedstockor the market price for the chemical.
We expect Westlake to have $1.25billion in revenue this year, and oper-ating income of $347 million. Interestexpense will be $10 million; the debtis owed to the parent company, whichstill owns 77.2% of the partnership.Earnings available to other sharehold-ers, like me, will total $77 million, or$2.19 a share, up from $1.97 for 2020.Return on equity is an impressive27%. Westlake Chemical Partners istrading for 10 times expected earn-ings. Investors needn’t worry aboutthe solvency of Westlake Chemical,which takes 100% of the partnership’soutput. It will have about $8.2 billionof revenue this year, and $3.25 a sharein earnings. It has a low net debt-to-
equity ratio of 0.37. To summarize,Westlake Chemical Partners offersa rich yield. It has a strong balancesheet and a deep-pocketed parent, andthe potential for capital appreciation.
Do you expect small-caps, ingeneral, to rebound this year?Last year was great for large-caps.Black: Contrary to what peoplethought, small- and mid-cap growthstocks outperformed the S&P 500 lastyear. The Russell 2000 Growth indexreturned 34.6%; the Russell 2500Growth index returned 40.5%. Thatcompares with the S&P’s total returnof 18.4%. The multiples on the growthindexes are astronomical: The Russell2000 Growth trades for 34 times for-ward earnings and 2500 Growth is at38.5 times forward earnings. The S&P500 has a P/E of 23.
My next pick, home builderD.R.Horton [DHI], has a market capital-ization of $24.4 billion. The stockclosed on Friday [Jan. 8] at $66.96.Horton pays an annual dividend of 80cents a share and yields 1.2%. The com-pany is based in Arlington, Texas, andis the largest home builder in the U.S.In fiscal 2020, it delivered 65,388 newhomes, and has guided for 77,000 to80,000 this year. My earnings modelis based on the midpoint: 78,500. Theiraverage home price last year was$299,100. Assuming 3% price inflation,we see $24.19 billion of home-buildingrevenue this fiscal year, ending in Sep-tember.With financial services, totalrevenue will come to nearly $25 billion.We calculate pretax profit at $3.8 bil-lion, up from $3 billion last year, basedon more homes built, operating lever-age, and higher gross margins. Hortoncould net $2.92 billion, or $8.01 a share.Return on equity should be about22.4%. Net debt to equity is only 10%.Horton generated $1.13 billion in freecash last fiscal year.
With mortgage rates as low as2.87%, Horton has the wind at itsback. The Horton brand, designed formove-up buyers, accounts for 66% ofrevenue. Express, for entry-level buy-ers, contributes 28%. Emerald, forhigh-end buyers, is 3%, as is Freedom,which targets downsizers. Hortonoperates in 88 markets in 29 states,and is No. 1, 2, or 3 in most of its mar-kets. The company knows, down tothe individual house, how profitableit is. It wants to grow revenue by 10%to 15% per annum for the next threeto five years, with earnings growing atan even faster rate. You’re paying 8.4
Company / Ticker Price 1/8/21
NextEra Energy Partners / NEP $79.76
Avangrid / AGR 46.97
GCP Applied Technologies / GCP 25.47
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling / HY 65.98
Deutsche Telekom / DTE.Germany €15.20
Genuine Parts / GPC $103.34
Madison Square Garden Sports / MSGS 182.54
Liberty Braves Group / BATRA 26.25
Fox / FOX 29.62
Sinclair Broadcast Group / SBGI 32.49
GAN / GAN 21.71
Mario Gabelli’s Picks
Source: Bloomberg
28 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
times earnings for a company thatearns well over 20% on book value.Horton has a five-year inventory oflots; it owns 30% outright and hasa call option on the other 70%.
Have you another pick, Scott?Black:Magna International [MGA]trades for $75.85. It has a $23.7 billionmarket cap and pays a dividend of $1.60a share, yielding 2.1%. It is the third-largest auto original equipment manu-facturer, or OEM, in the world. It hasfour divisions: Body exteriors andstructures accounts for 42% of revenue,power and vision is 29%, seating is14%, and complete vehicles is the rest.I estimate revenue of $38 billion thisyear, and Ebit [earnings before interestand taxes] of $2.85 billion.We get pre-tax profits of $2.75 billion, and net in-come of $2.02 billion, or $6.75 a share.Return on equity is 18%, and the P/E is11.2.We expect Magna to generate $1.5billion to $2 billion of free cash flowthis year.
Magna doesn’t see the growth ofelectric vehicles as a big threat to itsbusiness because the power-train por-tion of traditional vehicles is under10% of revenue. The company workswith EV companies, although notwith Tesla. Its customer roster hasbeen steady in recent years, with Gen-eral Motors [GM] contributing 15%of revenue; FordMotor [F], 13%; andBMW [BMW.Germany], 14%.
Auto companies expect OEMs tocut their prices by 1% to 3% a year,and Magna complies, but has toimprove its manufacturing efficien-cies to compensate.Bhansali: IfApple [AAPL] movesinto the EV industry, as seems likely,this could be an opportunity forMagna.Black: I agree. So far, it appears thatApple will team up withHyundaiMotor [005380.Korea].
My last recommendation is Nor-throp Grumman. The stock is tradingfor $288.33, and the market cap is $48billion—big for Delphi. The companypays a $5.80 dividend, for a yield of2%. Northrop is a major aerospace anddefense manufacturer, based in FallsChurch, Va. Its core competencies arestrategic deterrence, stealth, and cyber.The company has four divisions: Aero-nautics is 32% of revenue; defense sys-tems, 20%; mission systems, 28%; andspace, 24%. Among their major pro-grams is Skyborg, which combines AIintegration with UAV [unmanned aer-ial vehicle] combat systems, and
the ground-based strategic deterrent,which will replace the Minuteman IIIprogram, an intercontinental ballisticmissile system.
For last year, Northrop should post$35.85 billion of revenue. That’s afterthe planned sale of its federal IT andmission-support services business for$3.4 billion. After deducting interestexpense of $590million and adjustingfor other items, we get pretax profits of
$4.69 billion to $4.83 billion. Taxed at16.5%, that’s net income of $3.92 billionto $4.03 billion, or about $24.50 ashare. Return on equity is 33.4%, andreturn on total capital, about 18.5%. At11.8 times expected earnings, this stockis dirt cheap. Northrop generates morethan $2.5 billion of free cash flow, yearafter year, and this year it could exceed$3 billion.
The U.S. government accounts for
Fund / Ticker Price 1/8/21
Matthews Asia Growth / MPACX $41.25
SPDR Gold Shares / GLD 173.34
Payden Emerging Markets Bond / PYEWX 13.83
Franklin High Income / FVHIX 1.88
Franklin Federal Tax-Free Income / FAFTX 12.31
Franklin High Yield Tax-Free Income / FHYVX 10.44
Sonal Desai’s Picks
Source: Bloomberg
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 29
ing euro. The stock pays 60 eurocents, for a 3.9% current return.
Switching gears, about 40millionused cars are sold in the U.S. everyyear.Genuine Parts [GPC] sells auto-motive replacement parts under theNAPA brand for the more than one-quarter billion vehicles on the road inthe U.S. and over one billion world-wide. The stock is trading around$100, the market cap is $15 billion, andthe company has $2 billion of debt. Inthe U.S., about 80% of auto-parts salesare for do-it-yourself repairs, and 20%are do-it-for-me. Business was sluggishin 2020 because of the absence of do-it-for-me work. Also, the company’s in-ternational operations have sufferedfrom Covid-related lockdowns.Whenlockdowns end in Europe, and thereis renewed growth in the company’sAustralia/New Zealand operations,demand could surge for auto partsand repairs.
Genuine Parts should have $18billion in revenue this year, with $6billion coming fromMotion Indus-tries, its industrial-parts distributionbusiness. In the next four years, therewill be a surge in cars in the four- toeight-year-old bracket and a cyclicalrecovery at Motion. The companycould earn close to $7 a share by 2023,with earnings growing about 9% ayear thereafter. Unfortunately, theypay a big dividend [$3.16 a share],which I don’t like, because taxes ondividends are likely to rise.
Howwill growing sales of electricvehicles affect Genuine Parts?
83% of revenue, and sales to non-U.S.military services are 15%. The companyhas an $81.3 billion backlog, which rep-resents more than two years of futurerevenue. In themost recent quarter, thebook-to-bill ratio was 2.2. Northropoffers stability and earnings growth,and it is focused on areas that are a pri-ority of the U.S. Department of Defense.
Thanks, Scott. Mario, are youready to share your ideas?Mario Gabelli:Yes. I’m going to talkabout clusters of stocks. One theme is“love our planet,” or companies focusedon climate change and sustainability. I’llecho Bill’s recommendation [in the firstRoundtable installment] ofNextEraEnergy Partners [NEP]. James Robo[the chairman and CEO] has done afabulous job of creating that investmentvehicle, or “yieldco,” which develops,owns, and manages onshore wind andsolar projects. The stock trades for $80;there are 175 million shares, including60% owned byNextEra Energy[NEE]. The entire environmental eco-system is going to get enormous atten-tion from investors. NEP is expectedto grow its $2.38-per-share annualdistribution to $4.15 by year-end 2024.
Avangrid [AGR], an energy andutility company, is another love-the-planet play. It trades for $47, andhas 309 million shares; Iberdrola[IBE.Spain], the Spanish utility andanother of my favorite stocks, owns260 million shares. Avangrid an-nounced in October that it plans toacquire PNM Resources [PNM],which we also own. Iberdrola under-stands the renewables world and iswell positioned in the U.S. I have sug-gested that the company spin out aportion of Avangrid’s renewablesbusiness as a yieldco, similar to Next-Era Energy’s spinout of NextEraEnergy Partners, and thereby createa higher valuation. The PNM dealwill add significantly to Avangrid’srevenue and Ebitda, and you’ll get adecent dividend. Avangrid’s currentreturn is 3.85%.
Our revenue estimate for 2022, in-cluding PNM, is $8.9 billion, and ourearnings-per-share estimate is $2.60,after allowing for the sale of shares tofinance the PNM acquisition.
What else do you like?Gabelli: GCP Applied Technolo-gies’ [GCP] main product lines arecement and concrete additives. Theyalso have a smaller waterproofing-membrane business, which makes
products used in residential roofing.The company should benefit frominfrastructure spending on roads,bridges, and inland waterways. Thestock sells for $25; there are 73 millionshares, and the market capitalization is$1.8 billion. The company has about$120 million in net cash. GCPwill earn$1 a share on $975 million in revenuein 2022, with chemicals about $555million and building products, $420million. Activist Starboard Value hasadded directors and controls the board.
Infrastructure spending should bol-ster demand for forklift trucks. Hyster-YaleMaterials Handling, based inCleveland, sells forklifts and aftermar-ket parts. The stock sells for $66, andthere are around 16.8million shares,of which 13million are common shares,and 3.9million are Class B shares with10 votes per share. The CEO and hisfamily own 3.3 million, or 85% of theClass B voting shares.
Hyster-Yale will earn $6.10 a sharein two years, up from $2.10 this year.Aside from earnings increases, I aminterested in Hyster-Yale, as it hasspent $200million over the past five orsix years to develop its own hydrogenfuel-cell technology. At the last Hyster-Yale investor meeting, I asked, “Whynot monetize your hydrogen-cell opera-tion?” Since then, Plug Power [PLUG]shares rose from $4 to more than $60in the past year because investors areviewing hydrogen as an alternativeenergy source. Plug sold $1.5 billionof shares to South Korea–based SKGroup, and that stock now has a mar-ket cap of $25 billion. Hyster-Yale ishaving its next investor day inMay.The stock could double in the next twoyears, assuming that Nuvera, the hy-drogen business, becomes profitable.
What else appeals to you?Gabelli: Deutsche Telekom[DTE.Germany] is trading for €15. Ifyou back out the company’s stake inT-Mobile US, and associated debt,you’re getting the German and Euro-pean telecom companies for €3. Theoperating company, ex-TMUS, couldearn 65 euro cents in 2021, going to95 euro cents in 2022. In addition,Deutsche Telekom has the option ofbuying an additional 101.5 millionshares—an additional 8.2% stake—inT-Mobile US from SoftBank Group[9984.Japan]. It is an interesting wayto play the postpandemic recoverystory in Germany and continuedmomentum of T-Mobile US, and youmight get the benefit of an appreciat-
Gabelli: Battery and hybrid electricvehicles should account for about 170million cars in the world by 2030. Atthat time, the automotive populationshould be around 1.4 billion vehicles.They will consume fewer engine partsper car, but the existing base willremain quite fertile for the sale ofreplacement parts.
Finally, I want to put down a lot ofbets on the gaming business. I can playit by owning sports teams, media com-panies, and companies that supply theiGaming infrastructure. Sports teamswill get fees from online gambling,which is growing.Madison SquareGarden Sports [MSGS] sells for about$180 a share. There are 24millionshares; 20million are nonvoting. TheDolan family owns the four millionshares of voting stock. MSGS owns theNewYork Knicks and the NewYorkRangers. At some point, Jimmy [Dolan,MSGS’ executive chairman] has to fig-ure out what he wants to do withMSGS.We believe there would be (andare) buyers for the NewYork Knicks.
I also like Liberty Braves Group[BATRA]. The stock is $25, and thereare 60 million shares outstanding.Liberty Braves, better known as theAtlanta Braves, is controlled by JohnMalone’s Liberty Media through an-other Liberty entity, Formula OneGroup [FWONK]. At some point,Liberty Braves, which is a trackingstock, will be sold. We estimate thatit will go for $45 a share.
Next, Fox [FOX] is $30 a share.[Fox and Barron’s parentNews Corp(NWS) share common ownership.]FOX Bet has a valuable partnershipwith Flutter Entertainment[FLTR.UK], which controls FanDuel, agaming company. Fox also has a sportsnetwork, and owns Fox News. Adver-tising spending on TVwill pick upwith a consumer-led economic recov-ery, and Fox will benefit. Contractswith the NFL and other sports leagueswill be renewed, but at a higher cost.Fox has about 600million shares,including 257 million voting shares.I recommend buying the voting stock,as it sells for about the same price asthe nonvoting shares. Buy the sharesbased on the benefits of online sportsbetting, coupled with a good sports andlocal business. I estimate revenue forthe fiscal year ending on June 30 of$12.4 billion, going to $13 billion infiscal 2022, and earnings per share of$2.45, climbing to $2.65 in fiscal 2022.
Sinclair Broadcast Group [SBGI]is also attractive. Sinclair is selling the
“Madison Square Garden Sportsowns the NewYork Knicks andthe NewYork Rangers. At somepoint, Jimmy [Dolan, MSGS’executive chairman] has tofigure outwhat hewants to dowithMSGS.We believe therewould be (and are) buyersfor the NewYork Knicks.”Mario Gabelli
30 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
naming rights to its regional sportsnetworks, or RSNs, toBally’s [BALY],the gaming company. Sinclair has 75million shares, trading at $32, for amarket cap of $2.5 billion.While debtlooks significant at $12.5 billion, $8billion is nonrecourse and tied to theRSN business. Meanwhile, the RSNbusiness will bounce back, with reve-nue growth from the recovery in thesports-related ecosystem, and they aregoing to enjoy significant cash frombroadcasting. Sinclair has warrantsto buy a significant piece of Bally’s atnominal prices, and the online sports-betting business at Bally’s is doing well.
I estimate revenue for calendar2020 from broadcasting at around$3.3 billion, dropping to $3 billion thisyear, but rising to $3.5 billion in 2022,with Ebitda of $1 billion rising to$1.2 billion in 2022.
Barry Diller’s IAC/InterActive-Corp [IAC] is the largest holderofMGMResorts International[MGM], which is pursuing a bid forEntain [ENT.UK], the owner of Lad-brokes. [On Jan. 19, MGMwithdrew itspreliminary offer to merge with En-tain.]We likeGAN [GAN], a B2B pro-vider of iGaming and sports-bettinginfrastructure and services to sportsbooks like FanDuel andWynnBET.The company came public last May andis trading for $20. There are 38 millionshares. GAN earns a percentage of thegaming revenue that its sports-bookcustomers generate, so its revenuegrows with theirs. We expect GAN tocontinue signing new client engage-ments as more states legalize sportsbetting and iGaming. Eventually, webelieve GANwill be acquired at a sig-nificant premium to its current price.
Thank you,Mario. Sonal, the flooris yours.Sonal Desai: I’ll start with theMat-thewsAsia Growth fund [MPACX].Asia has done a much better job on thevirus front than the rest of the world,so this is a way to capture that recovery.China was the sole major global econ-omy to post positive growth in 2020,and has experienced a largely V-shaperebound in manufacturing and con-sumption. Other Asian countries, suchas Japan and South Korea, are also re-covering steadily, and are beneficiariesof structural growth in new technolo-gies and the diversification of globaltechnology supply chains. Many Asiancompanies have successfully executedduring the pandemic and shouldemerge from the crisis in stronger com-
petitive positions.Weakness in the U.S.dollar will also likely continue to helpAsian equities in the year ahead.
Matthews Asia has almost a third ofits holdings invested in Japan. Last year,I recommended the Japanese yen. Thisyear, I’d rather invest in Asian stocks.
I still think gold is good to hold, soI’m going to recommend the SPDRGold Shares exchange-traded fund[GLD], which I also recommended lastyear. This reflects my strong view thatcommodity prices will do well, inflationis picking up, and the dollar will remainweak. Given these three elements, it isworth holding gold for a while longer.
Gold has been trading around$1,900 an ounce. How high doyou see the gold price going?Desai: I’m not a gold specialist, butI think gold could easily go up to$2,200. I’m not saying it will happenin the next month or two, but produc-tion of gold is quite low right now. Iprefer gold to Bitcoin. Gold is a time-honored store of value.
I also like emerging markets, butyou have to be very careful—not allemerging markets look attractive. Iwill stick with my pick from last year:the Payden Emerging MarketsBond fund [PYEWX]. I like the teammanaging it, and it has an optimal mixof approximately 70% U.S. dollar-denominated debt and 30% local-currency debt. Emerging markets aregiving us yield at a time when yieldis needed. [The Payden fund yields4.42%.] Spread levels over developed-market government bonds shouldcontinue to attract inflows, and inves-tors remain structurally underweightemerging market debt. Not all emerg-ing markets have handled the pan-demic well, but in some cases—suchas India, with its vaccine rollout—they are doing surprisingly well.And many benefit from youngerpopulations, with many no longerimposing lockdown restrictions.
What else should income investorsconsider?Desai: There is very little income to behad within the fixed-income universe,and there is even $17 trillion in nega-tive-yielding global debt. So high-yielddebt should look good to investors,even if valuations aren’t cheap.Webelieve the potential for further spreadtightening, combined with lower dura-tion exposure and the relative yieldpickup, will continue to make high-yield assets attractive in 2021.
The Franklin High Income fund[FVHIX; managed by Franklin Tem-pleton] yields 5.3%. Investors need torecognize that they have to take addi-tional risk if they want that yield, butwith vaccines now available and theeconomic recovery as our base case,that’s a supportive backdrop. The de-fault rate should be manageable, andother issues are further down the road.
The other reason I like high yield isthat it is lower duration. I see Trea-sury yields increasing in the secondhalf of the year, so I prefer to staywith lower duration. In the rest of theworld, especially Europe and Japan,you aren’t likely to see yields rise theway they will in the U.S.
Is there any reason to own a 10-year Treasury note or other long-dated bonds now?Desai: I would not be extending dura-tion anywhere. But some fixed-incomeinvestors are obliged to hold a certainamount of Treasuries. To generate anattractive return, investors must in-crease their level of risk, and they needto reduce duration—thus, high-yieldbonds. Last year, I recommendedinvestment-grade credits. I can’t recom-mend investment-grade at this stage.
The next stimulus bill in the U.S.could include aid to state and localgovernments. Do you see opportu-nities in municipal bonds?Desai:Within my top picks are twomunicipal bond funds: FranklinFederal Tax-Free Income [FAFTX]and Franklin High Yield Tax Free
Income [FHYVX]. Tax-free munisdon’t look particularly attractive, un-less you think tax rates are going to goup. I see that happening later in theyear. High-yield munis could do wellthis year. There is going to be a lot offiscal stimulus. Investment-grade mu-nis are safer than high-yield, but offerless yield. I would recommend bothfunds to capture the tax-free benefits,plus the federal fiscal support. It seemspretty clear the Biden administrationwill give assistance to municipal gov-ernments, and I think it will be sizable.ToddAhlsten: Sonal, I know youexpect inflation to pick up this year.But are you thinking about the possi-bility of a deflationary spiral a fewyears down the road?Desai: It’s a great question. I don’tthink it will happen next year or in thenext several years. Everyone points tothe parallels with Japan, but the U.S.isn’t Japan. U.S. demographics don’teven begin to approximate Japan’s.Consider Korea, China, Germany,Italy—a whole host of other countrieswhose demographics are an order ofmagnitude worse than U.S. demo-graphics. None of them is seeing defla-tion. Demographics in the U.S. don’tsuggest a deflationary spiral.
Creative destruction is very real inthe U.S. Firms go bankrupt. You don’thave zombie companies, as Japan didfor a long time, until productivitygrowth turned things around. So, I’mnot too worried about the Japanifica-tion of the U.S. The assumption thatproductivity growth is permanentlybehind us—that somehow every tech-nological advance that was ever goingto happen has happened and is in ourpast—is hugely, vastly arrogant.Abby Joseph Cohen: In Japan, themost important zombie companies werethe banks. Poorly performing assetswere kept on bank balance sheets indef-initely, limiting the ability to lend. Incontrast, the U.S. responded quicklyduring the global financial crisis, bene-fiting frommore stringent accountingand regulation for banks. Bad assetswere written down, often dramatically.This was hugely important in puttingthe financial system right and gettingthe economy moving again.Desai: It’s enormous. It is an additionalreasonwhy the recovery from the cur-rent crisis is going to be significantlydifferent than from the financial crisis.
Thank you, Sonal. B
Additional editing by Nicholas Jasinski
“I’m not a gold specialist, but Ithink gold could easily go upto $2,200 [an ounce]. I’m notsaying it will happen in thenext month or two, butproduction of gold is quitelow right now. I prefer goldto Bitcoin. Gold is a time-honored store of value.”Sonal Desai
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 31
After a tumultuous yearthat included nationaluprisings over race in-equality, mass unemploy-ment, and more than400,000 deaths from thecoronavirus pandemic,
sustainable funds shone.As the pandemic wound its deadly
path, divisions between the haves andhave-nots pushed companies to serveconstituents other than shareholders,such as their employees and commu-nities. It was a year when the stockmarket lurched downward as theworld was struck by the pandemic,then was revived by massive stimulusfrom central banks and governmentsaround the world. It became a year forinvestment managers to fight racism,adopt diversity, and mitigate climate
change. And the funds that looked forcompanies that did so—that leanedtoward sustainability and high envi-ronmental, social, and governance(ESG) ratings—outperformed.
On average, the 191 large-companysustainable funds on our list returned20%, beating both the 18.4% return ofthe SPDR S&P 500 exchange-tradedfund (ticker: SPY) and the average ac-tively managed large-cap fund, whichreturned 19%. Of our funds, 103, or54%, beat the S&P, compared to just43% of all active large-cap funds. It wasa good year for sustainable funds inother areas of the market as well: Threeout of four sustainable stock funds beattheir category average, according toMorningstar, and 42% ranked in thetop quartile of their categories, versusjust 6% in the bottom quartile.
With regard to the top sustainablefunds on our list, this year’s averageoutperformance was no fluke. Overthree years, they returned 14.6% annu-alized, versus 14.1% for the S&P 500,with 52% beating the market. Over fiveyears, they slightly underperformed asa group, returning 14.9%, versus 15.1%for the index; nevertheless, 49% wereoutperformers for the period.
“The transformation of the econ-omy led us to companies that are morediscerning about how they sourcedifferent materials and services, andhow they treat employees and otherstakeholders,” says TomMarsico, thecelebrated growth investor, whosefund, the $460 millionMarsicoGrowth (MGRIX), turned in a 57%return for 2020 and was ranked No. 2.“It’s become a much more important
The Top Sustainable FundsThe trials andtribulations of 2020prompted morecompanies to becomebetter corporatecitizens, taking care oftheir employees andcommunities.The funds that investedin them did very well.
By LESLIE P. NORTON
Illustration by CHRIS GASH
32 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
issue, especially to younger genera-tions. How people feel has becomebasic to how we look at all aspects of acompany.” With the Biden administra-tion refocusing on climate change andbuilding a modern, sustainable infra-structure, more gains may lie ahead.
This year, we also took a look atfunds that had beaten the S&P 500over the long haul—not just over theone-, three-, and five-year periods, butover the 10-, 15-, and 20-year periods.We found 22 of them: You can see thebest-performing 10 in the nearby table.
To construct our list, we began withthe large-cap stock mutual and ex-change-traded funds in Morningstar’s
universe, and eliminated those withless than $300million in assets and asustainability rating of “average” orbelow.We did, however, include all 39big-cap funds that have an explicit sus-tainability mandate, even the six thathad lower sustainability ratings. TheMorningstar sustainability rating isbased on the fund’s holdings, whetheror not the fund has a stated mandate toinvest according to any sustainable orESG principles. More on that below.
As usual, high-quality companiesscore high on sustainability. The topfunds included those that invest ingrowth stocks—companies withstrong earnings and revenue potential,
which deftly navigated a weakeningeconomy—and generally eschewedfossil fuels. This year, many managersalso invested in stocks that benefitedfrom people working at home, andtook advantage of the downturn topick up promising stocks.
No. 1 on our list for 2020 perfor-mance was the $561 millionMassMu-tual Select Growth Opps (MGRSX),up fromNo. 94 last year. The fund isco-managed by two growth boutiques:Jackson Square Partners and SandsCapital, both of which look for compa-nies with swiftly growing earnings andleadership positions. Billy Montana, aportfolio manager at Jackson Square,
notes that the fund was underweightmegacaps and “significantly overbet onyounger disruptive companies that arereinvesting all their cash flow to buildscale, take share, and build profits.”These includedTwilio (TWLO), whichmakes customer communications toolsand jumped 244% in 2020, and CoupaSoftware (COUP), up 132%. ESGanalysis is “critical,” says Montana:“It’s the pricing of externalities thatcan impact the company’s financials.”
No. 2 is Marsico Growth, whosesustainability scores improved. Mar-sico looks at revenue growth, debtloads, return on invested capital, andother financial metrics. Healthy grow-
2020 2019 Total Return MorningstarRank Rank Fund / Ticker 2020 3-Yr 5-Yr Sustainability Rating Assets (mil) Expense Ratio
1 94 MassMutual Select Growth Opps / MGRSX 57.7% 28.1% 20.9% Above Average $561 0.86%2 NA Marsico Growth / MGRIX 57.1 27.5 20.9 Above Average 460 1.37
3 NA Putnam Sustainable Future / PMVAX 52.7 22.6 18.2 Average 537 1.07
4 6 Columbia Select Large Cap Growth / UMLGX 47.8 24.6 19.1 Above Average 2,283 0.855 NA BlackRock Large Cap Focus Growth / MAFOX 46.8 25.9 21.1 Above Average 2,003 0.676 NA Delaware Select Growth / DVEAX 46.0 21.9 16.8 Above Average 379 1.25
7 146 Delaware US Growth / DUGAX 44.2 20.8 16.4 High 2,828 1.098 NA PGIM Jennison Diversified Growth / TBDAX 42.4 22.3 19.3 Above Average 321 1.229 29 Edgewood Growth / EGFIX 42.21 25.0 22.2 High 26,921 1.00
10 NA USAA Aggressive Growth / USAUX 41.8 20.1 17.8 Above Average 2,110 0.7211 NA VALIC Company I Growth / VCULX 41.8 22.1 19.9 Above Average 1,696 0.6512 NA BlackRock Advantage Large Cap Growth / BMCAX 41.3 22.3 19.9 Above Average 988 0.87
13 8 Vanguard Mega Cap Growth / MGK 41.0 23.5 21.0 Above Average 9,945 0.0714 NA BlackRock Capital Appreciation / BFGBX 40.6 23.9 20.4 Above Average 4,331 0.6515 10 Vanguard Growth Index / VIGRX 40.0 22.8 20.2 Above Average 145,656 0.17
16 NA Nuveen ESG Large-Cap Growth / NULG 39.7 25.1 NA High 431 0.35
17 66 PACE Large Co Growth Equity / PCLCX 39.4 21.2 18.5 Above Average 1,214 0.8818 16 TCW Select Equities / TGCEX 39.3 24.7 18.8 High 852 0.80
19 28 Gabelli Growth AAA / GABGX 39.1 23.9 20.4 Above Average 994 1.3820 25 Brown Advisory Sustainable Growth / BAFWX 39.1 25.3 21.6 Above Average 4,696 0.71
21 NA DWS Capital Growth / SCGSX 38.6 23.0 19.6 Above Average 2,108 0.69
22 NA iShares Morningstar Large-Cap Growth / JKE 38.5 23.6 20.2 Above Average 1,886 0.2523 13 Putnam Growth Opportunities / POGAX 38.4 24.5 21.9 Above Average 8,077 1.0524 NA Fidelity Series Large Cp Grwth Idx / FHOFX 38.3 NA NA Above Average 418 0.01
25 NA Laudus US Large Cap Growth / LGILX 38.3 23.2 20.3 Above Average 3,036 0.7426 40 Nuveen Winslow Large-Cap Growth ESG / NVLIX 37.9 24.0 19.9 Above Average 762 0.73
27 43 MainStay Winslow Large Cap Growth / MLAAX 37.0 23.6 19.5 Above Average 15,206 0.99
28 NA William Blair Large Cap Growth / LCGFX 36.6 25.1 21.3 Above Average 712 0.6529 NA American Century NT Growth / ACLTX 36.2 23.0 20.4 Above Average 1,472 0.0030 52 John Hancock US Global Leaders Growth / USGLX 35.4 23.1 18.7 Above Average 2,259 1.15
31 NA American Century Growth / TWCGX 35.2 21.7 19.5 Above Average 11,577 0.9832 NA Principal Blue Chip / PBCKX 34.8 24.4 22.0 Above Average 8,884 0.6633 19 Pioneer Disciplined Growth / PINDX 34.3 19.8 17.6 Above Average 1,786 1.07
36 NA Praxis Growth Index / MMDEX 33.2 20.8 19.2 Above Average 400 0.43
Note: Data through Dec. 31, 2020. Three- and five-year returns are annualized. NA=Not applicable Source: Morningstar Direct
Top-Performing Sustainable FundsBelow are the 100 sustainable large-cap stock fundswith the best one-year returns. The ranking includes funds that Morningstar has rated
above average or higher for sustainability.We also included all fundswith an ESGmandate, regardless of their rating; they are highlighted in green.
A full ranking of 191 funds appears at barrons.com/sustainablefunds.
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 33
2020 2019 Total Return MorningstarRank Rank Name / Ticker 2020 3-Year 5-Year Sustainability Rating Assets (mil) Expense Ratio
40 161 Invesco Dynamic Large Cap Growth / PWB 31.7 18.4 17.4 High 760 0.5641 26 Congress Large Cap Growth / CMLIX 31.7 21.2 18.0 Above Average 429 0.7142 NA ClearBridge Large Cap Growth / SBLGX 30.8 19.8 18.1 Above Average 18,567 1.03
43 12 Ivy Large Cap Growth / WLGAX 30.8 22.1 18.9 Above Average 5,517 1.0144 76 Domini Impact Equity / DSEFX 30.6 16.1 15.0 Above Average 973 1.0945 15 MFS Growth / MEGBX 30.3 21.7 18.9 Above Average 40,356 1.66
46 68 Fidelity Disciplined Equity / FDEQX 29.8 15.5 14.7 Above Average 1,836 0.7147 NA Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth / RPG 29.2 16.6 15.8 Above Average 2,740 0.3548 77 Carillon ClariVest Capital Appreciation / HRCPX 28.9 16.3 16.6 Above Average 515 1.00
49 100 Parnassus Mid Cap Growth / PARNX 28.6 14.7 14.7 High 1,079 0.8450 17 Putnam Sustainable Leaders / PNOPX 28.5 20.0 19.2 Above Average 5,751 1.03
56 NA Eaton Vance Atlanta Capital Focused Gr / EILGX 27.2 24.2 20.3 Above Average 390 0.8057 36 Pioneer Fundamental Growth / PIGFX 27.0 19.1 16.5 Above Average 6,935 1.07
58 NA JPMorgan US Equity / JJMUEX 26.5 26.5 16.2 Above Average 18,694 0.5959 NA JPMorgan US Large Cap Core Plus / JLPSX 26.2 15.0 15.2 Above Average 3,025 1.67
60 54 Calvert US Large Cap Core Rspnb Idx / CISIX 26.1 17.1 16.6 Average 3,591 0.24
61 42 Vanguard ESG US Stock / ESGV 25.7 NA NA Above Average 2,981 0.1262 NA Aberdeen US Sustainable Leaders / GXXAX 25.6 17.0 16.4 Above Average 444 1.19
69 22 Pax Large Cap / PXLIX 24.0 16.9 NA High 1,041 0.70
70 61 GE RSP US Equity / GESSX 23.8 16.7 16.1 Above Average 6,217 0.1471 59 State Street Instl US Equity / SUSIX 23.0 16.4 15.9 Above Average 527 0.38
72 35 Vanguard FTSE Social Index / VFTNX 22.7 16.7 16.8 Above Average 10,065 0.12
73 63 iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA / ESGU 22.5 15.8 NA Above Average 13,394 0.15
74 3 VALIC Company I Large Capital Growth / VLCGX 22.4 20.0 18.7 Above Average 620 0.7575 4 MFS Massachusetts Inv Gr Stk / MIGFX 22.4 20.0 18.7 Above Average 9,982 0.72
76 NA TIAA-CREF Social Choice LwCrbn Eq / TNWCX 22.3 15.1 15.8 Above Average 558 0.3277 89 Green Century Equity Individual / GCEQX 22.2 15.3 15.3 High 418 1.25
78 NA Federated Hermes MDT All Cap Core / QIACX 21.9 14.7 15.5 Above Average 428 0.75
79 64 DFA US Large Cap Growth / DUSLX 21.8 16.4 16.8 Above Average 2,698 0.1880 NA AB Concentrated Growth / WPSGX 21.3 19.8 17.4 Above Average 970 0.78
81 NA DFA US Sustainability Core / DFSIX 21.2 14.4 15.7 Below Average 3,856 0.23
82 91 Parnassus Core Equity / PRBLX 21.2 16.5 15.3 High 23,190 0.8683 81 iShares MSCI KLD 400 Social / DSI 20.8 15.1 15.3 High 2,628 0.25
93 50 DFA US Hi Relatv Profitability / DURPX 19.3 14.6 NA Above Average 4,404 0.25
94 NA Franklin U.S. Core Equity / FCEUX 19.1 NA NA Above Average 753 0.0095 23 Independent Franchise Partners US / IFPUX 19.0 14.3 14.5 Above Average 1,893 0.72
96 38 American Century Sustainable Equity / AFDAX 19.0 14.4 15.4 High 3,173 1.05
97 88 Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US LgCp Eq / GSLC 18.9 14.3 14.7 Above Average 11,445 0.0998 39 Nicholas / NICSX 18.9 16.1 13.1 Above Average 3,280 0.7299 NA iShares ESG MSCI USA Leaders / SUSL 18.8 NA NA High 2,813 0.10
100 86 Global X S&P 500 Catholic Values / CATH 18.7 13.9 NA Above Average 455 0.29
Note: Data through Dec. 31, 2020. Three- and five-year returns are annualized. NA=Not applicable Source: Morningstar Direct
34 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
ing businesses, Marsico says, allowscompanies to pay above-average sala-ries and focus on social and environ-mental issues. “That is increasinglythe cost of doing business,” says Bran-don Geisler of Marsico.
No. 3 is $537 million Putnam Sus-tainable Future (PMVAX), makingits first appearance on our list. Put-nam converted the fund to have a sus-tainable mandate in 2018, at the sametime that Katherine Collins, a onetimehead of research for Fidelity Invest-ments, and Stephanie Dobson, a for-mer Fidelity analyst, took over manag-ing the portfolio. The concentratedfund, which invests in companies withstrong cash-flow growth, is up 53% forthe year. Says Collins: “It’s bittersweetto report such strong results. The tur-moil of this year has amplified andaccelerated so many of the solutionswe were already invested in.”
No. 4 is the $2.3 billion ColumbiaSelect Large Cap Growth (UMLGX),up from No. 6 last year. The fundowns just 35 stocks; lead managerTom Galvin likes companies withstrong balance sheets. “The end resultof improved sustainability and a tar-geted focus on stronger governance isstronger investment performance,”says Galvin. The fund’s big winnersinclude pandemic plays such as IdexxLaboratories (IDXX), a beneficiary ofpandemic pet adoptions; HVAC com-pany Trane Technologies (TT); andtech investments that scored well onsustainability and low emissions suchas Square (SQ), Paypal Holdings
(PYPL), andNvidia (NVDA).No. 5 is $2 billion BlackRock
Large Cap Focus Growth (MAFOX),run by Lawrence Kemp and Phil Ru-vinsky. The fund owns 40 to 50growth stocks that are gaining marketshare or prosper during economicexpansions. Kemp and Ruvinsky willpay up if they feel the market misun-derstands a company’s growth pros-pects; its five largest positions includeAmazon.com (AMZN),Microsoft(MSFT),Visa (V),Mastercard (MA),andApple (AAPL).
Portfolio makeup is the basis ofMorningstar’s sustainability ratings, soeven if a fund has a sustainable man-date, it can have a lower sustainabilityrating. Consider Putnam SustainableFuture, which has a sustainable man-date yet is rated just “average” for sus-tainability. Because Morningstar looksat corporate behavior over a period ofyears, improved sustainability can takea long time to be fully reflected in therating. The Amana funds, which fol-low Islamic principles and have sus-tainable mandates, often are forced toinvest in ratings-challenged industrialsbecause the funds, by mandate, can’town financials.
Also, our ranking only uses onesustainability data provider—Morning-star. There are several others, includ-ing MSCI. Thus, Calvert US LargeCap Core Responsible Index (CISIX)and Calvert US Large Cap ValueResponsible Index (CFJIX) have only“average” sustainability ratings fromMorningstar, even though Calvert is a
longtime sustainability powerhouse.Anthony Eames, Calvert’s director ofresponsible investment strategy, notesthat other providers rank them morehighly, and that the company usesengagement “to drive improvementsin company performance on materialESG issues that Calvert believes driveshareholder value.”
S everal funds emerged as long-term winners, beating the S&P500 over the short and longhauls. And the top three have
sustainable mandates.Putnam managers Collins and Dob-
son have a short track record at theirfund, but a long record at Fidelity;Collins was a portfolio manager andeventually research chief, and workedclosely with legendary investor WillDanoff before attending divinityschool and starting a firm that prac-ticed resilient investment strategies.When she started at Putnam in 2017,she pushed for “ESG fluency” to beintegrated throughout the company.Big winners in 2020 included Tela-doc Health (TDOC), as mental healthservices jumped 100%-plus during thepandemic; Sunrun (RUN), the No. 1installer of residential solar panels;and Mastercard, “contributing to help-ing unbanked populations becomebanked,” Collins says.
The second long-term winner isParnassus Core Equity (PRBLX), ledby Barron’s Roundtable member ToddAhlsten since 2001, and co-managedby Parnassus CEO Ben Allen since
2012. Parnassus looks for high-qualitycompanies: “ESG risk analysis—high-lighting risks and identifying posi-tives—is additive to quality,” says Al-len. Stock-picking shouldn’t beconfined to companies highly rated bySustainalytics or MSCI, he argues.Instead, stewardship—proxy voting,engagement—“will be increasinglyimportant for an ESG asset managerto prove his or her worth.”
No. 3 for the long haul isAmanaGrowth (AMAGX); it ranked No. 37on this year’s list. The fund is run ac-cording to Islamic principles. Its long-time manager, Nick Kaiser, steppeddown last year, although he remainsthe global strategist for its subadvisor,Saturna Capital. Scott Klimo, who hasco-managed the fund since 2012, cred-its performance to the fact that thefund eschews fossil fuels and finan-cials, which bombed during the year asinterest rates plunged. Meanwhile, thefund’s big tech holdings surged.
Today, the market “is balanced on aknife edge,” says Klimo. “It’s not irra-tional to expect rates to back up on theback of a vaccine distribution.” Still,there’s reason for optimism, with vac-cines expected to be widely distributedthrough the second quarter, and pent-up demand revving up the recovery inthe third quarter, even as central bankskeep rates low. True, people are con-cerned about long-term inflation, andthat’s a risk to financial markets. “Butit’s not a 2021 concern,” says Allen ofParnassus. “For the next 12 months, it’ssupportive for stock prices.” B
Beating theMarket—AgainIn 2020, thelarge-companysustainablefunds on our listreturned
20%That outpaced the18.4% return of theSPDR S&P 500ETF, and the 19%return of the aver-age actively man-aged large-capfund.
Note: All returns are annualized except for 2020. *Date in parenthesis refers to when manager began managing the fund. Data through Dec. 31, 2020. Source: Morningstar Direct
Sustainable GainsSustainable funds,many ofwhich are activelymanaged, have demonstrated sustainability in their performance aswell—22 sustainable funds beat the
S&P500 over all six time periods, including the 20-year span. The top 10 are on this list.
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 35
pollution and emissions.Dozens of countries have con-
demned China’s treatment of Uighurs.On Tuesday, the U.S. State Depart-ment declared it to be genocide.Human-rights issues will remain athorny issue for companies that makelabor-intensive consumer goods andwant to protect their supply chains,which are critical for manufacturersall over the world.
“The headlines that jar customersin theWest are about buying productsmade in Asia and someplace in thesupply chain where you have forcedlabor,” says Sudhir Roc-Sennett, headof ESG at Vontobel Quality Growth, the$34 billion equities arm of VontobelAsset Management. That creates regu-latory risk and brand risk for compa-nies, he adds.
Multinationals, wary of criticism,are newly vigilant about supply chains.Last year,Hennes &Mauritz (ticker:
HM.B.Sweden), which runs H&Mstores, cut ties with a supplier saidto have been using Uighur detainees.Meanwhile, an influential report fromthe Australian Strategic Policy Institutelast year alleged that the supply chainsof more than 83 well-known globalbrands may have used Uighur labor.The U.S. has sanctioned a number ofsuppliers to such brands.
Recently, a weeklong campaign al-leging that Inditex (ITX.Spain), whoseZara unit sells fashion to youthful con-sumers, used Uighur forced labor gen-erated nearly 100,000 interactionsand mentions on Facebook, Twitter,and Instagram, according to Storyful.
In an email to Barron’s, an Inditexrepresentative said the retailer “takesa zero-tolerance approach towardforced labor of any kind and hasstringent policies and actions in placeto ensure that it does not take placeanywhere in our supply chain....Inditex does not have commercialrelations with any factory in Xinji-ang, China.”
Investing in China—which ac-counts for roughly 40% of the MSCIEmerging Markets Index—can be adifficult proposition. But it can beeased with environmental, social, andgovernance, or ESG, approaches.
Last year, China committed tocarbon neutrality by 2060. It hasintroduced policies to drive that tran-sition, including one of the world’slargest emissions-trading programs.It’s investing in green transportation,including high-speed rail and electricvehicles. “There has been an impor-tant shift in the direction of a greenway of doing things,” says Luiz Peix-oto, emerging markets economist atBNP Paribas.
Chinese companies often ignorecommunications from ratings firmsabout improving their ESG scores.“We have the lowest response ratefor Chinese companies comparedwith any other country in our cover-age,” says Wilco van Heteren ofSustainalytics.
That’s about to change. This year,Chinese regulators are requiring com-panies traded on the Shanghai andShenzhen exchanges to report on ESGrisks, as Hong Kong–listed companiesalready do. Once companies disclose,you can track their progress. In 2019,about 85% of the large CSI 300 com-panies released official ESG disclo-sures, up from 54% in 2013.
“We see a lot of top-down momen-
tum” for ESG disclosures, says Kath-lyn Collins, ESG analyst at MatthewsAsia. More Chinese companies sportthe lower CCC and B sustainabilityratings from MSCI than other emerg-ing market and developed marketcompanies. But once MSCI beganrating Chinese companies for ESG,“there was a small increase in BB-and AA-rated issuers,” explainsXiaoshu Wang of MSCI’s ESG re-search team.
Proxy voting is also on the rise.A Calvert study of Proxy Insight datafor Calvert and the world’s 10 largestinvestors showed that the number ofshareholder resolutions voted on roseto 1,610 in 2019 from 979 in 2015,with most of those coming fromChina, says Calvert’s Jade Huang.
Homegrown demand for ESG willhelp. In 2019, inflows into ESG-theme ETFs in China totaled $20.5billion, versus $4.9 billion in 2018,according to a report by Ping An.ESG investments also outperformed.And the number of Chinese signato-ries to the United Nations–backedPrinciples for Responsible Invest-ment, which offers a blueprint forcompanies to incorporate ESG invest-ment practices, now totals 52, makingit the fastest-growing region behindLatin America.
Social issues such as privacy, labor,and human rights will remain prob-lematic in China, necessitating vigi-lance by companies that operate thereand their investors.
For now, China does have ESGleaders. The KraneShares MSCIChina ESG Leaders exchange-traded fund (KESG), which is basedon the MSCI China ESG Leaders in-dex, includes 149 large- and mid-capcompanies, and limits individual con-stituent weightings to 10% and sectorweightings to 40%. Its largest hold-ings include China ConstructionBank (939.Hong Kong), online food-delivery company Meituan(3690.Hong Kong), and tech con-glomerate Tencent Holdings (700.Hong Kong). The firm also offers theKraneShares MSCI China Envi-ronment Index ETF (KGRN).
Both funds are tiny. Still, Krane-Shares founder Jonathan Krane ishopeful. “When you use ESGscreens, it takes you into New China,where you’re focused more on tech-nology companies, green companies,EV companies.”
In other words, the most promis-ing parts of the Chinese market. B
The TroubleWithChina’s ESGRatingsEven as China is criticized for its social practices, it’s making rapidprogress on its environmental actions. Here’s how to dodge the pitfalls.
Social issuessuch asprivacy,labor, andhumanrights willremainproblematicin China.
China is on a path to becom-ing the largest economy inthe world—but many in-vestors remain wary of it.
The country has at-tracted international con-demnation for its harsh
treatment of the Uighur Muslim mi-nority group in Xinjiang province—treatment that includes restrictionson travel, education, speech, andworship, as well as forced steriliza-tion and abortion. China has crackeddown on pro-democracy initiatives inHong Kong. And its record on corpo-rate governance is spotty, at best.
Yet even as China is criticized forits social practices, it’s making rapidprogress on its environmental ac-tions. The world’s largest greenhouse-gas emitter, it has big ambitions tomake its economy green, slashing
By LESLIE P. NORTON
36 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
T E C H T R A D E R As Netflix starts to generate cash, the companyhas a lot more flexibility. Sports, news, music, orgaming could be next.
For All Us NetflixSkeptics, It’s FinallyTime to Concede
When it comestoNetflix,Barron’s hasa long recordof beingwrong.We’ve been
negative on the stock almost from theday the company came public in 2002.It reflects the well-intentioned work ofmultiple writers raising a range ofquestions about the company, from itssustainability to its valuation.
Back in 2004, I wrote that Netflix(ticker: NFLX) could be crushed byWalmart (WMT) and Blockbuster inthe DVD-by-mail business. That wasbefore Netflix turned to streaming,and I warned that “in the long run,consumers will download most oftheir movies, rather than buy or rentthem.” I got the future right—but thewinner wrong. “The stock’s valuationtriggers vertigo,” I added. At the time,Netflix had a market value of $1.8 bil-lion. Now it’s $256 billion. In the caseof real disruption, fundamental analy-sis just doesn’t apply.
In 2020, Netflix rallied 67%, gettinga boost from shuttered movie theatersand other entertainment venues. It wasamong the more obvious stay-at-homeplays. Netflix has gained another 8%this year. And while the ghost of for-mer Barron’s editor Alan Abelsonmight haunt me for it, I predict furtherNetflix gains from here.
The Netflix story fundamentallychanged this past week, with the sur-prising news that the company nowplans to break even on a free-cash-flow basis this year. The company hadpreviously forecast a loss of up to $1
By Eric J. Savitz
billion on the year.With more than 203 million sub-
scribers paying on average $11 amonth, Netflix now generates enoughcash to cover its production costs. Asthe subscriber base continues to ex-pand, the level of cash generationshould grow.
“We believe we no longer have aneed to raise external financing forour day-to-day operations,” the com-pany said this past week in its fourth-quarter shareholder letter. Netflix,which has $16 billion in debt out-standing, said it would soon pay down$500 million of maturing debt fromcash on hand, “as we are currentlywell above our minimum cash needs.”Netflix added that as it generates ex-cess cash, it would “explore” stockbuybacks—something it hasn’t donesince 2011.
There was other good news in thispast week’s earnings report: Netflixadded a net of 8.5 million subscribersin the fourth quarter, easily beating itsforecast of six million net adds. Reve-nue was up 22%, to $6.6 billion. And
its profit guidance for the currentquarter was well aboveWall Streetestimates. Still, the big news was therevelation that Netflix is no longer amoney pit. It’s now well on the way tobecoming a cash machine.
Rich Greenfield, a longtime mediaand entertainment analyst and co-founder of boutique research firmLightshed Partners, says for yearsHollywood insiders doubted Netflix’sfinancial sustainability, arguing thecompany could never pay back thedebt it piled up to finance content.“That was their rallying cry, year afteryear,” Greenfield says.
But with increased scale the eco-nomics have begun to work in Net-flix’s favor, increasing the competitiverisks for traditional studios. Green-field estimates that the company’s 200million subscribers represent about600 million viewers, roughly twicethe number of people that bought tick-ets for Avengers: Endgame, the mostsuccessful movie of all time.
That huge audience—and the cashflow it generates—should enable Net-flix to make movies and TV shows ateven greater scale without sacrificingquality. Netflix is now promising todeliver at least one new movie a weekin 2021, just as traditional film studiosstruggle with low attendance at U.S.movie theaters.
Separately, Netflix has proven thatit can retain customers even as itraises prices. Despite an October pricehike in the U.S., net subscriber growthin the U.S./Canada market last quarterwas triple what Wall Street had ex-pected. Greenfield notes that the $14monthly price remains a bargain in
the world of entertainment.The worry that Netflix would lose
market share to streaming newcomerslike Disney+, Peacock, or HBOMaxalso seems to be melting away. So far,there’s no evidence consumers areswitching services; what they’re doingis adding new subscriptions. The ser-vices can all thrive, Greenfield says.The losers are traditional TV bundlerslike cable and satellite TV.
Greenfield says the conversation onNetflix has shifted from “when theyare going to run out of money” to“how are they going to spend all thiscash.” For the next few years, hethinks Netflix will do the basics—pay-ing down debt and buying back stock,while beefing up content offerings inlarge overseas markets such as India.In 2024 and beyond, he says, youcould see it start to invest in new ar-eas—potentially sports, news, music,or gaming.
Morgan Stanley analyst BenjaminSwinburne last week reiterated hisOverweight rating on Netflix shares,upping his price target from $650 to$700, suggesting another 20% ofgains from the recent close. He seesthe breakthrough to positive cash flowas an opportunity for Netflix to pressits advantage.
“Longer term, it would not surpriseus if Netflix is more open about mov-ing into new verticals such as sports,or if it takes a more opportunistic ap-proach to acquisitions,” Swinburnewrote. “For now, however, it is likelyto return excess [free cash flow] toshareholders.”
And there is nothing wrong withthat. B
Kamachi209/D
reamstime
The conversation about Netflix has shiftedfrom “when they are going to run out ofmoney” to “how are they going to spend allthis cash,” says veteran media analyst RichGreenfield of Lightshed Partners.
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 37
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38 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
O T H E R V O I C E S Action is needed to reduce the risk of disruption toglobal supply chainswhile contributing tomaritimesafety and ensuring thewell-being of seafarers.
A Disaster IsUnfolding in theGlobal Shipping Fleet
T he shipping indus-try is facing one ofthe most significanthumanitarian crisesin a generation.Hundreds of thou-sands of seafarers
are either unable to leave a ship andstaying well beyond their normal toursof duty, or they can’t travel to replacefellow exhausted crewmembers.
On Tuesday, global industry andhuman-rights leaders will sign theNeptune Declaration on SeafarerWell-being and Crew Change. The declara-tion, to be discussed at the upcomingDavos Dialogues, represents a world-wide call to action to avoid a disasterunfolding among the global fleet.
As an industry, we have workedtirelessly to manage the restrictionsimposed by governments to close theirborders, and have put in place detailedprotocols to ensure the health andsafety of our seafarers and the commu-nities they travel through. At times,we have gone to extraordinary lengths,diverting ships thousands of miles toenable crew changes to take place andincurring significant extra costs. Wehave lobbied governments to declareseafarers key workers and make surethey can be prioritized for travel, but todate, only 46 countries have made thispledge. Some companies will not char-ter ships if crew changes are needed,placing undue pressure on shipownersand crews.We are also fearful that thenewmutant strains of the coronaviruswill undo whatever progress we havemade.
Governments haven’t lived up totheir responsibilities, as codified in
international law: to do right by theseafarers who keep their countriessupplied. Our crews are in limbo. Thisis not acceptable.
Without properly functioning ship-ping and ports, cargoes—includingthose with life-saving supplies—can’tbe transported to where they areneeded. Lacking this transport, oursupermarket shelves will be empty.Our hospitals will face a severe short-age of essential medical supplies. Par-ticularly in developing economies, sea-farers are crucial to the well-being ofmillions of people.
With the approval of multiple vac-
cines at the end of 2020, some of us inthe industry dared to breathe a sigh ofrelief. We hoped that seafarers wouldbe prioritized for vaccination as front-line key workers. After all, the UnitedNations passed a resolution in Decem-ber calling on member states to recog-nize them as such.
Instead, some governments havestepped backward. For example, thePhilippines, the world’s largest mari-time labor-supply country, recentlyextended a ban to 35 countries onchanging crews at Philippine ports.These decisions will have ramifica-tions. Fatigue after long periods at seaaffects seafarers’ physical and mentalwell-being. The risk of maritime inci-dents and environmental disasterswill rise.
As borders across the world closein response to new Covid-19 strains,combined with the slow pace of vaccinedistribution to developing nations, theworld’s delicate supply chain is facingthe most significant test since the pan-demic began. This poses an immensethreat not just to stranded sailors, butalso to the ability of shipping routes totransport 90% of global trade.
Governments and industry should
By Guy Platten
take several vital steps without delay.First, recognize seafarers as essen-
tial workers, and give them priorityaccess to Covid-19 vaccines. Somecountries are showing strong leader-ship. Singapore’s Sea–Air VaccinationExercise will see 10,000 frontline mar-itime personnel vaccinated for Covid-19by the end of January. Others mustfollow their lead.
Second, create a trusted health-datasystem. There is an immediate andpragmatic need to create a standard-ized format for health passes—“vaccinepassports”—that contain secure vacci-nation information. They can be usedby seafarers and others who need tocross borders to do their jobs.
While the sovereignty of individualcountries should be respected, the ben-efits of trusted, interoperable healthdata are clear. Authorities gain peaceof mind around crew changes, and theprocess of seafarers traveling from shipto port to plane to home becomes safeand secure.
Third, increase collaboration be-tween ship operators and charterers.Only a reliable flow of accurate dataallows for necessary crew changes andminimizes associated costs or delays.
Basics must be observed. Ownersshould provide charterers with theadvance notice they need for crewchange. The charterer should make allreasonable efforts to accommodate this.We cannot have contracts that containclauses preventing necessary crewchanges from being carried out, orworse, situations where a shipownerdiscloses the need for a crew changeand the business suddenly is takenelsewhere. The risks are too high.
The pandemic is the stiffest chal-lenge many of us will ever face. Howwe respond to this shared responsibil-ity—whether government or industry—will be remembered for decades.
The signing of the Neptune Declara-tion will send a clear message.We canreduce the risk of disruption to globalsupply chains while contributing tomaritime safety and ensuring the well-being of seafarers. The consequences offailure would be dire.We need to act. B
Guy Platten is secretary-general of theInternational Chamber of Shipping. A
ngela
Weiss/A
FP/G
ettyIm
ages
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S 39
MA I L B A G Send letters to [email protected]. To be considered forpublication, correspondence must bear the writer’s name,address, and phone number. Letters are subject to editing.
The Readback, a podcast taking youinside the latest stories, is availablewherever you listen to podcasts.
income equality. Check the graduationand truancy rates. It isn’t racism whenyou don’t hire a candidate—no matterthe race—because he or she doesn’thave the needed skills.Charles NekvasilColumbus, Ohio
To the Editor:I was much impressed with JamesAnderson’s comment, “What lastyear makes me think is that we allneed a huge dose of humility.” Thatresonates with all of us who havesought to be on guard against theDunning-Kruger effect [a cognitivebias whereby people overestimatetheir own competence in a given do-main]. And it was also interesting tonote that Anderson’s 2020 picksperformed best among your experts.
Clearly, there is no performance-based invitation to return, as one ofyour experts had 75% of her long selec-tions down 20% to 30%—in a strongmarket—and 100% of her shorts up byas much as 60% to almost 80%. A finalthanks to Anderson for not giving hisviews on the economic prospects of theUnited Kingdom. I am able to sleepbetter as a result, although, like a child,I occasionally wake up screaming,thinking about the economic future ofthe U.K. Singapore-on-the-Thames?Delusional.James D. Alban-DaviesRye, N.Y.
To the Editor:Thank you for your article makinga case for index funds. Actually, itwasn’t really an article on indexfunds. It was your 2020 Roundtablereview of stock picks. Of a total of 58stocks picked by the experts, only 15beat the S&P 500. Like I said, a casefor index funds.Steve MartinNorthbrook, Ill.
To the Editor:As always, I enjoyed reading yourinsightful Roundtable, but given thetimes and circumstances, a namechange is in order: the RectangularTableau.Paul MattenNaples, Fla.
Free-Speech RightsTo the Editor:With regard to “Why RepealingSection 230 Could Ruin the Internet”(Tech Trader, Jan. 15), the irony of thedigital information age is that it hasgiven respectability to uninformed,gauche, even ignorant opinion.YouTube, Facebook, Google+, Twitter,10 million bloggers bombard us 24/7.
We don’t need Section 230 because itis redundant.We have something calledthe First Amendment. I avoid social-media sophistry because it has distortedfreedom of speech into hate speechwithimpunity. Section 230 is a lawyer’sdream. It has allowed government tointerfere where interference is unwar-ranted.We need only one set of lawsthat apply to all media. That lawwasestablished in the Bill of Rights in 1791.
I subscribe to TheWall Street Jour-nal and Barron’s because they do anexcellent job of attempting to presentonly the most tempered and accurateinformation. Being an adult means youare responsible for your conduct.B.J. KhalifahGrosse Pointe Park, Mich.
To the Editor:Eric J. Savitz is correct that makingamendments to the 1996 Communica-tions Decency Act should be studiedcarefully and not made in great haste.The U.S. Senate will probably stop in-temperate measures from becominglaw, but manymembers of Congressare whipping themselves into a frenzyfor different reasons.
However, any free-speech rights wemay still have are more important tome than the market value or utility ofAmazon.com, Twitter, or Facebook.We
cannot delegate the regulation of theFirst Amendment to three private com-panies with their own ideas of whatfree-speech rights we get to have.StephenWeeksHouston
“You can kick the can downthe road only so far before youcome to a dead end.”Fred Johnson, on Barrons.com
Stock PicksAnd IdeasFor 2021To the Editor:Regarding “The 2021 Roundtable” (Cover Story, Jan. 15),I agree that there will be a lot of pent-up demand onceenough people get the vaccine, but what happens afterthe party? High stock valuations, a $27 trillion debt that’sclimbing rapidly, rampant speculation in initial publicofferings, stocks like Tesla with a market cap higher thanthe top 11 car companies combined, Bitcoin going throughthe roof, retiring baby boomers, record low interest ratesthat have nowhere to go but up, and inflation. It’s not 2021I’m worried about; it’s when all of these issues have to beaddressed. You can kick the can down the road only sofar before you come to a dead end.Fred JohnsonOn Barrons.com
To the Editor:Meryl Witmer’s comments need to be repeated againand again. We are not going to get income equality untilwe get education equality. Public schools in city aftercity, including Chicago, my former home, are not pre-paring young people for careers—and certainly not for
Seeking NominationsOn Educational Inclusion
Barron’s is looking to recognize or-ganizations that are having a mean-ingful impact in addressing unevenaccess to education in the U.S.
Educational inclusion is thetheme of this year’s installment ofthe Barron’s Celebrates program.Challenges that parents and chil-dren face in gaining access to educa-tional resources aren’t new. But dif-ficulties have intensified with theCovid-19 crisis and remote learning.
Organizations that are making adifference are encouraged to partici-pate. Programs and organizationseligible include those that help pro-vide access to technology and tutor-ing; support schools and teachers inproviding access to learning; andassist families that face difficultiesjuggling responsibilities for at-hometeaching, caregiving, and work. Pro-grams should serve kindergarten to12th-grade education in the U.S.
Up to three organizations will beselected to be highlighted in Barron’sand at an event later this year. En-trants will be judged on purpose,scalability, and effectiveness. Bar-ron’swill name independent judgeswho will review the submissions.
The deadline for entering isFeb. 15. Nominations may be sub-mitted using this link: barrons.com/celebrates/nominate.
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CYAN
MAGENTA
YELLOW
BLACK
Composite
Composite
CMYKMARKET WEEK
January 18 through January 22, 2021
EuroTrader P.M4
EmergingMarkets P.M4
StrikingPrice P.M5
Commodities P.M6
InsideScoop P.M7
13D filings P.M7
PowerPlay P.M7
Charting theMarket P.M9
Winners&Losers P.M10
ResearchReports P.M11
MarketView P.M12
Statistics P.M13
30,996.9852-wk: +6.92% YTD: +1.28% Wkly: +0.59%
Dow Jones Industrials
3841.47S&P 500
52-wk: +16.57% YTD: +2.27% Wkly: +1.94%
13,543.06Nasdaq Composite
52-wk: +45.39% YTD: +5.08% Wkly: +4.19%
6704.16NYSE Fang+
52-wk: +98.93% YTD: +6.21% Wkly: +7.37%
10%
0
4
2
6
8
Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Close
Source: Barron’s Statistics
Friday
M A R K E T P E R F O R M A N C E D A S H B O A R D
‘Act Big’Janet Yellen, President Joe Biden’snominee for Treasury Secretary,argued the need for more stimulusspending in a virtual confirmationhearing on Tuesday.
Inaugural SweepFANG+ stocks jumped 4.7% on Wednesday afterwell-received results from Netflix on Tuesday night.The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq hit record highs.
Stepping BackThe Dow and S&P 500 fell to end the week asinvestors fretted over new Covid-19 strains and GOPresistance to Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus proposal.
Growing GainsGrowth stocks led the market for the third-straight session on Thursday, as cyclicalsectors slipped. Broad indexes finished flat.
THE TRADER
Big TechStages aComeback.What toExpect Next.
T he sleeping giantthat is Big Tech hasawoken—and that’sbeen great news fora stock market thatwas starting to looka little tired.
It was only in our Jan. 18 columnthat we marveled at the S&P 500’sability to gain nearly 8% since Aug. 31despite the FAANGs plusMicrosoft(ticker: MSFT) sitting out the rally.That all changed this past week as thetech titans found themselves suddenlyback in fashion.
The Dow Jones Industrial Averagerose just 182.72 points, or 0.6%, to30,996.98 this past week, and the S&P500 gained 1.9%, to 3841.47. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped
4.2%, to 13,543.06, its biggest gain sincethe week ended Nov. 6.
CreditNetflix (NFLX), whichsoared 13% this past week after addingfar more subscribers thanWall Streethad been modeling, for helping theNasdaq soar. But it wasn’t the onlyFAANG on the move, with the rest ofthe group—Facebook (FB),Ama-zon.com (AMZN),Apple (AAPL),and Google parentAlphabet(GOOGL)—averaging a gain of morethan 8%. They were helped by earn-ings optimism following Netflix’s re-lease and the fact that 10-year Trea-sury yields stopped going up. Risingyields point to a stronger economy andmake fast-growing companies lookless attractive on a valuation basis.
Of course, the Federal Reserve will
have something to say about that fol-lowing this coming week’s FederalOpen Market Committee meeting. FedChairman Jerome Powell and his col-leagues had to tamp down fears of anearly end to their bond buying earlierthis month, so don’t expect him torock the boat. If anything, he will con-tinue to call on the federal governmentto help bail out the economy with an-other round of stimulus—and he willpromise to remain on hold for as longas the economy needs it.
“[We] expect Chair Jerome Powellwill use his post-meeting press con-ference to reinforce the message thatthe Fed would be tightening policy ‘notime soon,’”writes Capital Economicseconomist Paul Ashworth. “The Fedclearly views its short-lived tightening
By Ben Levisohn
M40 X W L C 10 11 12 H G R P BARRON’S 4 8 3 F A D 6 7 9 0 I January 25, 2021
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M2 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
several years ago as a mistake and is muchmore likely to err on the side of caution thistime around—to avoid another ‘taper tan-trum’ in the bond markets.”
But what’s really needed now is progressin combating Covid-19. As the virus goes, sogoes the market. In 2020, that meantwatching the change in the number ofCovid cases for evidence that the reopeningwas continuing apace. Now, the market istaking its cues from the pace of vaccina-tions, in particular the percentage of thepopulation that is vaccinated weekly, ex-plains UBS strategist Keith Parker.
The small-company Russell 2000 hasbeen especially responsive to accelerationsin the pace of dosing—the number of peo-ple getting vaccinated is now over900,000 a day—and could get a boost ifthat number continues to increase. ByParker’s math, a doubling in the rate couldlift the index by an additional 6% to 9% bythe middle of the second quarter, and theS&P 500 by 3% to 5%.
“The current number of allocated U.S.doses points to potential for the pace todouble, though bottlenecks still remain,” hewrites. “Removing bottlenecks for adminis-tering doses would present an upside casenear-term in our view.”
That doesn’t mean we shouldn’t expect acorrection—and perhaps soon. Lori Calva-sina, chief U.S. equity strategist at RBC Capi-tal Markets, notes the S&P 500 has beenfollowing a pattern typical of recessionssince 1990, one that sees the recovery occurin three phases: an initial recovery, a periodof consolidation, and a second rebound.
The initial recovery has lasted an averageof 10 months, with an average return of48%. That was followed by a period of con-solidation that lasted from two to sevenmonths and saw stocks sink an average of17%. That was then followed by anotherrally that saw stocks gain an average of 19%.
The current bounce from theMarch lowshas lasted about 10 months and produced
gains of just over 71%. If the market followsthe historical pattern, it should pull back byspring—but that will be a buying opportu-nity. “My assumption is that we’ll see a con-tinuation of the recovery rather than a dou-ble-dip recession,” Calvasina says. “If youthink that, you have to buy the dip.”
But it may also be time to add some pro-tection to your portfolio. The market’s de-mand for risky, high-beta, cyclically orientedstocks has meant that stocks with low vola-tility have gotten left behind. The returndifferential between the MSCI USAMini-mumVolatility Index, which owns a portfo-lio of low-volatility stocks, and the MSCIUSA Index is now at its widest level since1999, says John Kolovos, chief technicalstrategist at Macro Risk Advisors. Owningsome of these left-behind companies couldbe the way to add some ballast to a portfolioin case of a drop, Kolovos says.
“Buy some utilities, buy some staples,” heexplains. “Those are the most oversold in anenvironment of market froth and excess.”
Just be sure to sell them again once thecorrection is over.
Revenge of the NerdsLike muscle cars revving their engines at astoplight, shares of FordMotor (F) andGeneral Motors (GM) finally took off thispast week. Long-suffering investors arebreathing a sigh of relief, but they shouldn’ttake profits just yet. The ride isn’t over.
GM stock rose 11% this holiday-short-ened week, and Ford shares gained 17%,leaving both stocks up more than 30% yearto date. It’s the best start to the year since1987. What’s all the excitement about? In-vestors are finally giving these traditionalauto makers credit for their electric-vehicleand autonomous-driving investments.
GM kicked things off Tuesday, announc-ing an investment fromMicrosoft in itsCruise autonomous-driving company thatGM bought in 2016. The deal values Cruiseat about $30 billion. GM owns roughly 70%
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January 25, 2021 BARRON’S M3
of the self-driving company. GM shares rosealmost 10% the day of the announcement.
Ford also got a valuation bump from oneof its investments. Electric-pickup-truckmaker Rivian took in an additional $2.7billion, valuing the EV start-up at about$28 billion, according to reports. Riviandeclined to comment on its private marketvaluation. Details are a little thin, but thevaluation increase for Rivian could haveamounted to a whopping $20 billion. Fordowns only 10% to 15% of the company. Still,that’s still roughly $2 to $3 billion in marketvalue. It wasn’t long ago that Ford’s entiremarket capitalization was only $28 billion.
Wall Street loved both deals.Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Ros-
ner put both stocks on his Catalyst Buylist—meaning he expects them to soonrise—a day after the announcements partlybecause he expects more bullish updatesfrom both regarding their EV and AV(short for autonomous vehicle) plans.
Rosner sees more gains for both stockson the near-term horizon. So does J.P. Mor-gan analyst Ryan Brinkman. He increasedhis price target for GM stock to $63 from$49 after the Microsoft investment inCruise. He rates GM shares Buy.
On Friday, Brinkman upgraded Fordstock to Buy fromHold because of its “in-coming tide of hot new products we expectwill bring substantial volume, mix, and pric-ing benefits,” such as the newMustangMach-E all-electric crossover vehicle, whichjust started shipping to customers.
“This is a big deal,” Benchmark analystMikeWard told Barron’s, referring to theGM-Microsoft news. His reasoning appliesto Ford as well. Barron’swas bullish on Fordin a November 2020 cover story and on GMin this column in August.
The problem for GM and Ford has neverbeen their businesses per se, but how in-vestors perceived those businesses. Yes,
they struggle to grow earnings consistently,but investors have been more worriedabout the existential threat EVs pose andhaven’t been convinced traditional automakers can compete against Tesla (TSLA)and other EV start-ups. Tesla, of course, isthe world’s most valuable auto maker by amargin equal to roughly three Toyota Mo-tors (TM).
The latest moves have started to changethat perception. TheMicrosoft deal “adds tobelief that GM is the global leader in thisdeveloping technology,”Ward says. Tradi-tional auto makers as tech leaders is a newidea. But it’s an idea which could have thebiggest impact on Ford and GM in 2021.
Ford trades for about 11 times estimated2021 earnings, while GM trades for aboutnine times. That’s a far cry from the S&P500 multiple of more than 20 times. If in-vestors become convinced there is moneyfor both in EVs and AVs, then both valua-tion multiples could expand.
How high is the question. We aren’t sug-gesting multiples will balloon to EV-like, oreven market-like, levels. But as traditionalauto makers talk more about EV and AVinvestments, perhaps a 30% discount to themarket is a reasonable target. That’sroughly 14 or 15 times earnings—wheresome other slower-than-market growingtransportation stocks have traded over time.
Key to seeing sustainable margin expan-sion will be traction, not talk, from Ford andGMEV launches. That makes the MustangMach-E, the Cadillac Lyriq, and the all-elec-tric Hummer really big deals and somethinginvestors will have to pay close attention to.
Multiple expansion for auto companiesno longer feels like crazy talk. But even if itdoesn’t happen, there is still the prospectfor improving profit margins as auto salescontinue their recovery from pandemic-in-duced lows. Things are looking up for bothGM and Ford. —Al Root
Industry ActionPerformance of the Dow Jones U.S. Industrials, ranked by weekly percent change.*
Technology 5.45%
Consumer Services 2.54
Consumer Goods 0.89
Health Care 0.82
Industrials 0.26
Telecommunications 0.09
Utilities–0.45
Financials–0.75
Oil & Gas–1.59
Basic Materials–1.65
Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices* For breakdown see page M36.
Visit www.sectorspdrs.com or call 1-866-SECTOR-ETF
FINANCIAL SECTOR OFTHE S&P 500 IN ONE ETF
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All ETFs are subject to risk, including possible loss of principal. Sector ETF products are also subject to sector risks and non-diversification risks, which generallyresults in greater price fluctuations than the overall stock market. Ordinary brokerage commissions apply.
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M4 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
E U R O P E A N T R A D E R
G old and silver have alwaysbeen havens for investors dur-ing difficult times, but findingan entry point can be a chal-
lenge. Investing in a precious-metalsminer is one option.
London-listed Polymetal Interna-tional (ticker: POLY.UK) is a top-10 goldproducer and a top-5 silver producer,with assets in Russia and Kazakhstan.
Shares in the Anglo-Russian firm haverisen 212% over the past five years and39.1% in the past 12 months, to 16.94pounds sterling ($23 ), as investors seek-ing to reduce volatility in their portfolioand hedge against inflation boosted de-mand.
Gold climbed to an eight-week high to$1,900 an ounce on the first day of trad-ing of the new year, as the emergence ofmore infectious strains of Covid-19 trig-gered deeper global lockdowns.
Polymetal, which has nine gold andsilver-producing mines, gave an updateon its production pipeline at the end oflast year, promising a 17% increase ingold volume over the next five years. Thecompany sports a 3.5% dividend yield.
Krishan Agarwal, an analyst at Citi,has marked the stock a Buy and thinks itcould rise further because of the com-pany’s significant gold reserves. Poly-metal has boosted its reserve estimates atits Kyzyl mine in Russia, implying a 25%increase.
That should extend the mine’s life to30 years, one of the longest in the globalgold universe, Agarwal wrote at the endof last year. He has a £24.50 price targeton Polymetal. He added: “We expect thecompany to beat its 2020 production andcash cost guidance.”
RBC Capital Markets set the same tar-get for the stock in a December note, andRussian investment bank VTB Capitalestimates a 124% rise, to £38.
Polymetal, which has a market value
of £8 billion, employs 11,611 workers andis the second-largest gold producer inRussia. It fetches a multiple of 8.7 timesthis year’s expected earnings and is val-ued at a 20% premium to its peers. TheFTSE 100–listed company posted a pre-tax profit of $618 million for the 2020calendar year, up from $426 million in2018, on sales of $2.2 billion.
Maxim Nazimok, Polymetal’s chieffinancial officer, tells Barron’s that 2020“was certainly challenging for the globalmining industry due to the Covid-19 out-break.” Despite this, Polymetal avoided“any meaningful disruption to operationsand delivered on our production targets,”he said. “We have also continued to movewith our growth projects on schedule.”
Polymetal generated record cash flow,thanks in part to higher precious metalsprices, lower local currencies and robustoperating results, he said. In the yearahead, Polymetal will see the “commis-sioning and start of production at Nezhdamine and progress on other projects inour long-term pipeline,” Nazimok said.
The company, which dates to 1998,was founded by private-equity boss Alex-ander Nesis, who still retains a 28% stakein the business. Established in Saint Pe-tersburg, Polymetal accumulated minesand focused on assets that had beenlargely left inactive since Soviet-era ex-ploration.
The business is well-positioned tobenefit from the transfer to sustainableenergy because it owns platinum metalmines. These also contain palladium,which with copper form the cells used forsolar power.
In a December note on mining, Citianalysts wrote, “We remain very bullishon palladium and rhodium, with palla-dium set to reach $3,000 an ounce overthe next 6 to 12 months.” WhilePolymetal owns mines containing palla-dium, it has yet to decide to extract it.
Polymetal’s stock may be a bright spotfor investors this year. B
By Rupert Steiner
EM E R G I N G M A R K E T S
Covid Can’t Stop India’sStock Market Rally
I ndia’s coronavirus vaccine cam-paign, which kicked off Jan. 16, ishaving a rocky start. Thanks to itsvaccine-production prowess, the
country has dibs on 500 million doses ofthe promising Oxford-AstraZeneca jab.Instead, Prime Minister Narendra Modi’sgovernment is distributing a domesticallydesigned vaccine from Bharat Biotech,with no published trial results. Somefront-of-line medical workers are saying,“No thanks.”
“It’s an odd move to go with an optionthat has no data,” says Andrea Taylor, ascientist at the Duke Global Health Inno-vation Center. “I’m quite puzzled.”
Investors couldn’t care less, however.Life is all but back to normal in India’scities, a V-shaped-looking recovery isunder way, and markets are on fire. TheiShares MSCI India exchange-tradedfund (ticker: INDA) has jumped by aquarter since Nov. 1, outpacing even the18% gain in Chinese stocks.
“The vaccination drive is a noneventfrom the market’s point of view,” saysJimeet Modi, CEO of Samco Securities inMumbai (and no relation to the head ofgovernment). “Cars and housing sales arein strong recovery, and you can’t book adecent hotel room until March.”
One market driver has nothing to dowith India itself. IT-outsourcing power-houses such as Infosys (INFY) and TataConsultancy Services (532540. India),No. 3 and 4 in the market index, havesoared on anticipation of global post-Covid demand. But the nation of 1.4 bil-lion is also beating the pandemic for rea-sons not entirely understood, butpossibly due to a young population (aver-age age 27), high previous exposure toinfectious diseases, and signs of herdimmunity in the densest population cen-ters. Whatever the explanation, reportedcases and deaths are down sixfold from apeak in September, unleashing pent-up
consumer demand.“The Covid situation has astonishingly
normalized,” says Venkat Pasupuleti, co-portfolio manager for India at Dalton In-vestments. “White-collar people are start-ing to spend the savings they racked up.”
IT shares are starting to look fullyvalued, Pasupuleti and Modi say. Butdomestically facing firms have benefitedstructurally from the pandemic, by cut-ting costs and gobbling market sharefrom distressed competitors in India’shuge informal sector.
“The stock market is skewed towardcompanies that benefit from the crisis,”Pasupuleti says. Dalton is particularlyleaning toward “large front-line banks”such as ICICI Bank (IBN) andAxisBank (532215.India), where nonperform-ing loan piles have proved smaller thanpreviously feared.
A longer-term boost for India couldcome fromModi’s latest plan to boostmanufacturing, known as the produc-tion-linked incentive, says Rohit Chopra,an emerging markets portfolio managerat Lazard Asset Management.
The program looks to filch jobs fromChina by offering generous subsidies formaking a wide variety of goods in India.It could turn the country into an exporterof cellphones, auto parts, and other lucra-tive wares, Chopra predicts. “We havesome of the highest India weightings inour portfolio’s history right now,” hesays. “There is a really strong case forIndia emerging as a middle-income coun-try over the next decade.”
Public-health expert Taylor warns thatother countries have mistakenly assumedthey were over Covid, and Indian data isunderreported at best. “People are enjoy-ing a false sense of security, and Indiawill pay for it,” she says.
But investors are ready for the ‘20s toroar now. “Very few pockets are exhibit-ing value, but you could see another 20%gain anyway,” Jimeet Modi says. “This isa bull market.” B
By Craig Mellow
Anglo-Russian PolymetalShould Shine for Investors
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S M5
T H E S T R I K I N G P R I C E Tesla largely exists in a world of its ownmaking,complete with critics and short sellers who havebeen regularly humbled and abused.
How to Play Tesla’sEarnings With Options
I t’s a sign of these unusual times thatTesla, one of the world’s most contro-versial stocks, might offer stability tothe weary and the wizened.
The electric-vehicle maker’s stock(ticker: TSLA) is a relatively known quan-tity, and arguably even an aggressively de-fensive investment, at a time when the oldways of advancing through the equity andoption markets on the back of major tech-nology companies might give way to stocksthat have been battered by the Covid-19pandemic, such as cruise ship operators,airlines, and hotels.
Tesla largely exists in a world of its ownmaking, complete with critics and shortsellers who are regularly humbled andabused by the shares’ incredible advance.One might observe that Tesla is in a secularbull market, but such dry descriptions failto convey the power of the stock. In thepast 52 weeks, Tesla has gained 649% (thatis not a typo). So far this year, it’s up 20%.
The path forward for the stock marketmight prove to be heavily dependent onwhatever fiscal stimulus plan Congressapproves. Janet Yellen, the incoming Trea-sury secretary, essentially said during hercongressional testimony that the plan wasto “act big.” Yet Tesla’s pathway is likelybeyond the influence of politicians andbureaucrats.
As my young son recently observed,Elon Musk, Tesla’s founder and CEO, iscreating the future. Many people agree, andthat could explain why Tesla seems im-mune from the ordinary laws of marketsand financial analysis—at least for now.
Thanks to the flexible qualities of op-tions, it’s possible to calibrate any enthusi-asm one might feel toward Tesla to a keyevent: the release of Tesla’s financial resultsfor the fourth quarter on Jan. 27.
With Tesla’s stock trading around $847,investors can sell the January $740 putoption that expires Jan. 29 for about $4.50and buy the January $900 call option that
expires Jan. 29 for about $16. This “riskreversal”—that is, selling a put and buyinga call with different strike prices and thesame expiration date—costs $11.50. Thestrategy obligates investors to buy the stockat $740 and enables participation in gainsabove $900.
The trade’s upside profitability is predi-cated on Tesla’s stock moving into a new,higher trading range. During the past 52weeks, the stock has ranged from $70.10 to$884.49. The difference between Tesla’shigh and low price is among the widest, ifnot wildest, in memory. The gap betweenthe prices is a graveyard for skeptics and asea of celebration for true believers.
The risk is that the stock tumbles, leav-ing investors on the hook.
Every earnings report summons a truth-or-consequences moment for a stock. All ofthe haters and fans will gather around tomake concentrated wagers on the post-earnings direction. They will parse man-agement’s language and discount or hypewhatever is said and not said.
All that is certain as far Tesla is con-cerned is that the stock tends to exhibitextraordinary swings. The ferocity of themovement is, in many ways, a perfect fitfor options trading. As we have noted sev-eral times, a little bit of money spent in theoptions market can become a lot of moneyif the stock price moves in the anticipateddirection. The appeal of that type of poten-tial profit—despite the significant risk ofprofound loss—is likely why so many peo-ple treat Tesla like a messianic lotteryticket.
We could cite all sorts of analyst com-mentary to support the bullish Tesla thesisinto earnings. We could note that someanalysts recently increased their targetprice. We could cite reams of negative com-mentary, too. Frankly, all of it is probably ofminimal utility. Musk’s vision of the future,and his command of Tesla’s ecosystem,exists in what is arguably an alternativeuniverse that children understand, even ifmany adults do not. B
By Steven M. Sears
Equity OptionsCBOE VOLATILITY INDEXVIX Close VIX Futures
10
30
50
70
90
F M A M J J A S O N D J
Source: CBOEDaily Values
THE EQUITY-ONLY PUT-CALL RATIOPut-Call Ratio S&P 500 Index
30507090110130150170190210230250270290310
F M A M J J A S O N D J
Source: McMillan Analysis Corp.
SPX SKEWImplied volatility %
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16%
F M A M J J A S O N D J
Source: Credit Suisse Equity Derivatives Strategy
NDX SKEWImplied volatility %
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16%
F M A M J J A S O N D J
Source: Credit Suisse Equity Derivatives Strategy
Skew indicates whether the options market expects a stock-market advance or decline. It measures the differencebetween the implied volatility of puts and calls that are 10% out of the money and expire in three months. Higherreadings are bearish.
This table of themost active options this week, as compared toaverageweekly activity – not just raw volume. The idea is that theunusually heavy trading in these optionsmight be a predictor of corporate activity – takeovers, earnings surprises, earnings pre-announcements, biotech FDA hearings or drug trial result announcements, and so forth. Dividend arbitrage has been eliminated. Inshort, this list attempts to identify where heavy speculation is taking place. These options are likely to be expensive in comparison totheir usual pricing levels. Furthermore,many of these situationsmay be rumor-driven.Most rumors do not prove to be true, so oneshould be aware of these increased risks if trading in these namesRatio is the Tot Vol divided by Avg Tot Vol. IV%ile is how expensive the options are on a scale from0 to 100.
Source:McMillan Analysis
M6 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
Lumber Rally May FadeIf Housing Market Cools
L umber prices more than doubledlast year to touch a record high,but the rally has faded on the backof a rebound in supplies. With the
value of the commodity down sharply inthe new year, prospects for fresh recordshave dimmed.
“The flight to homeownership and thereallocation of discretionary money to-ward home-improvement projects” in thewake of the Covid-19 pandemic contrib-uted to the 2020 rally, says Greg Kuta,president of lumber broker Westline Capi-tal Strategies. “Federal government inter-vention and the creation of free money inthe form of low interest rates” fed home-ownership demand and boosted home-im-provement construction, he says. “Theperfect storm allowed demand to over-whelm housing [as well as] lumber supplyin 2020.”
Lumber futures climbed 115% in 2020,after hitting a record settlement of $928.20per 1,000 board feet on Sept. 1.
Most of the lumber manufacturing sup-ply chain initially shut down whenCovid-19 hit, creating a supply constraint,says Joe Sanderson, managing director ofnatural resources at Domain Timber Advi-sors. That happened at a time when “newhousing starts and the repair-and-remodelsector rose significantly.”
Many lumber manufacturers have sincecome back online, he says, leading to im-proved supply. There has also been a “fun-damental change” in the U.S. workforce, aspeople look to build additions to theirhomes for better teleworking environ-ments, says Sanderson. There’s likely “tobe increased demand for a larger housedesign, which could bolster lumber pricesfor the foreseeable future.”
Even so, he doesn’t expect to see anydrastic price changes this year, with arange of $550 to $650, but also says signifi-cant tax-policy changes may “cool” hous-ing starts or other parts of the economy,
leading to a price drop. On Jan. 21, lumbersettled at $748 per 1,000 board feet, withprices down more than 14% this year.
The rollout of Covid-19 vaccines, mean-while, might be bearish for lumber. Vaccinescould lead to a slowdown in housing con-struction and lumber demand, saysMichaelGayed, portfolio manager of theATACUSRotation exchange-traded fund (ticker:RORO), which uses lumber and gold pricesto help gauge volatility in equities.
Those vaccinated against Covid-19might move back to cities, where steel isthe dominant choice for construction, hesays. Still, a “secular shift” to work-from-home arrangements in the suburbs, whichmainly use lumber for construction, pro-vides a bullish case for prices.
Gayed, who analyzes the lumber-goldrelationship to gauge risk in the financialmarkets, sees the severe decline in lumberthis year as “a big warning sign that wecould be entering a serious risk-off periodsooner than people think.”
Lumber is a leading indicator of hous-ing, which is a leading economic indicator,so “lumber’s performance has importantimplications on future growth, inflation,construction and credit creation for theeconomy.” Meanwhile, gold is more of ahaven commodity and tends to do well inhigh-risk periods for the stock market.
Comparing the two commodities “tellsyou a lot about risk” and in 2020, lumbervastly outpaced gold performance, saysGayed. With the pullback in prices thisyear, lumber “may be starting to warn thatthe future will be more challenged than wethink for the stock market.” Lookingahead, volatility is likely to “remain ele-vated for all markets” and lumber willprobably “gyrate meaningfully,” he says.
Westline Capital’s Kuta sees a widetrading range of $450 to $1,150 this year,but admits that price forecasting “with anydegree of certainty is…useless for the fore-seeable future,” as the industry grappleswith the new norm “coming out of a case-study year like 2020.” B
By Myra P. Saefong
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January 25, 2021 BARRON’S M7
I N S I D E S C O O P
Carnival SeesWaveOf Insider Stock Sales
including dividend-equivalent stockassociated with the release of re-stricted share units. He owns another565,199 shares through a trust that hecontrols.
Chief Financial Officer David Bern-stein sold 49,031 Carnival shares onJan. 14 for a total of $1 million, anaverage price of $21.12 each. He nowowns 74,156, including dividend-equivalent shares.
Arnaldo Perez, general counsel andsecretary, sold 14,215 Carnival sharesfor $300,220, also on Jan. 14 and ata per share average price of $21.12.Perez now owns 31,357 shares, includ-ing dividend-equivalent shares. Perezalso owns another 34,832 Carnivalshares through a trust.
Carnival didn’t respond to a requestto make the executives available forcomment on their stock sales.
None of the executives sold stocklast year. B
Carnivalexecutives,including CEOArnold Donald,sold nearly $3million of stockof the cruiseoperator aftera recent slump.
IncreasesIn HoldingsDermTech (DMTK)RTW Investments increased itsinterest in the maker of skin-cancertests to 13.1% through a publicoffering. On Jan. 7, RTW bought200,000 DermTech shares at theoffering price of $29.50 apiece,increasing the investment firm’sholding to 3,118,666 DermTechcommon shares; 31,450 of whichunderlie exercisable warrants.
DermTech will use the proceedsfrom the offering to fund “furthercommercialization of its clinicalcommercial tests, accelerate pipe-line development, and for generalcorporate purposes.”
DecreasesIn HoldingsTenneco (TEN)Icahn Enterprises reported in twoseparate disclosures that it hadreduced an investment in themaker of automotive components.
Icahn Enterprises first sold699,560 Tenneco Class A shares onJan. 12 through Jan. 14 at pricesranging from $11.02 to $11.65 pershare. Icahn Enterprises then soldanother 165,658 Tenneco sharesfrom Jan. 15 through Jan. 20 at$10.75 to $10.83 each.
Icahn Enterprises now holds12.7% of Tenneco’s outstandingClass A stock, or 8,061,085 shares.In addition, it owns all of Tenneco’soutstanding, nonvoting Class Bstock, which stands at 18,101,189shares.
Bicycle Therapeutics(BCYC)Vertex Venture Managementrevealed that it had slashed itsstake in the U.K.-based biothera-peutics firm by nearly half to883,475 American depositary re-ceipts.Vertex Venture sold a totalof 737,693 Bicycle ADRs from Dec.14 through Jan. 19, at $19.20 to$28.56 each. Vertex now owns theequivalent of 4.2% of Bicycle’s out-standing ordinary shares.
Seeds ofDiscontentAt Corteva
POWER PLAY
Carnival stock cratered lastyear, as the coronaviruspandemic wiped out themarket for cruises, andin mid-January, three topexecutives, including chiefexecutive Arnold Donald,
sold shares.Carnival (ticker: CCL) shares
plunged 67% in 2020, and that wasfollowing a December boost.
On Jan. 11, Carnival stock dippedafter the company preliminarily re-ported a large fourth-quarter loss. Theshares are now down about 5% thisyear.
CEO Donald sold 62,639 Carnivalshares on Jan. 14 for $1.3 million, anaverage per share price of $21.12.According to a form he filed with theSecurities and Exchange Commission,Donald now owns 170,371 shares,
By ED LIN I t’s less than a month into 2021,and already an activist battle isbrewing.
Starboard Value, the hedgefund led by Jeff Smith, is looking totake control of seed giant Corteva’s(ticker: CTVA) board and is callingon the company to replace CEO JimCollins. While Corteva is a rela-tively young company, the result ofa spin-off from DowDupont in2019, Starboard contends that itsoperating performance could be“meaningfully improved.”
Starboard’s assessment comesafter Corteva stock gained nearly40% last year, and set an all-timehigh this month, thanks in largepart to a surge in agricultural com-modity prices. But Starboard notedin a letter to Corteva’s board thatthe company has had a “litany ofmissed promises and unforced er-rors” as the fund called out thecompany for not improving itsprofitability. Starboard is aiming togain eight of Corteva’s 12 boardseats at the annual meeting, whichhas yet to be scheduled.
Corteva countered that it is at an“inflection point” and its work overthe past 18 months will soon bereflected in earnings. It also ex-pressed confidence in CEO Collins.
The market so far appears un-sure of the outcome of the loomingstruggle. Corteva stock fell roughly5% since Starboard’s letter wasreleased—though much of thatcould be investors taking profits.
Starboard is no stranger to activ-ist dustups. It launched six cam-paigns last year and won 24 boardseats, making it one of the busiesthedge funds of 2020, according todata from Lazard. It disclosed a1.6% stake in $30 billion Cortevalate last year.
The two sides have had talks,but the battle has clearly begun . B
Jim Roumell, president of Rou-mell Asset Management, addresseda letter dated Jan. 14 to Enzo Bio-chem’s board, writing that it shouldaccept Chairman and CEO ElazarRabbani’s conditional resignationthat he tendered on Jan. 8. Per EnzoBiochem’s bylaws, the board has 90days to convene and either accept ordelay the resignation. Rabbani of-fered to step down, as he did not
receive a majority of votes for re-elec-tion at Enzo Biochem’s 2020 annualmeeting of shareholders. Roumell As-set Management believes “there is [no]reason to wait 90 days to accept Rab-bani’s resignation” and urged the boardto “abide by the will of the company’sshareholders and promptly acceptRabbani’s resignation.”
On Jan. 20, Enzo Biochem an-nounced the formation of two newboard committees. One will guidestrategic partnerships, acquisitions,and divestitures, and the other willhelp drive the development of seniorleadership at the firm. The boardprovided no update on Rabbani’sresignation.
These disclosures arefrom 13Ds filed withthe Securities andExchange Commission.13Ds are filed within10 days of an entity’sattaining more than5% in any class of acompany’s securities.Subsequent changesin holdings or inten-tions must be re-ported in amendedfilings. This material isfrom Jan. 14 throughJan. 20, 2021. Source:InsiderScore.com
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January 25, 2021 BARRON’S M9
Charting the Market
Thecharts record thenet change in shareprice, thehigh, lowandclosing trades, andshare volume for companieswithnoteworthy stockactivity lastweek. In addition, thegraphsdepict lastweek’sdaily priceactivity in detail. The
dotted lineonsomegraphsdenotes thestock’s200-daymovingaverage; lackof amovingaveragemeans theshareshave traded for less than that timeperiod.
A graphic look at selected stock activity for the week ended on January 22, 2021 n Edited by Bill AlpertNETFLIX
NFLX (NASD) •565.17 •67.19
477
508
539
M T W T F
570
601
Holiday
288
351
414
477
540
603Stock Price $
047
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
94Volume in Millions
� December-quarter reve-nue growth of 22%, andguidance for even strongergrowth this quarter, followeda 22% rise in streaming-TVsubscribers—to 204 million.
LUMENTUM HOLDINGS
LITE (NASD) • 99.00 • -7.32
91
94
97
M T W T F
100
103
Holiday
58
70
82
94
106
118Stock Price $
012
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
24Volume in Millions
� The laser networkingfirm will buy industrial-lasermaker Coherent, for $5.7billion in cash and stock.Lumentum said Decemberprofit topped $1.91 a share.
SUNPOWER
SPWR (NASD) • 47.21 • 15.25
31.0
35.5
40.0
M T W T F
44.5
49.0
Holiday
0
10
20
30
40
50Stock Price $
037
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
74Volume in Millions
� In his first days, Presi-dent Biden quickly signedexecutive orders to rejointhe Paris climate accord andcancel some fossil-fuel proj-ects. More to come.
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING
BABA (NYSE) • 258.62 • 15.16
240
248
256
M T W T F
264
272
Holiday
160
193
226
259
292
325Stock Price $
0106
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
212Volume in Millions
� Founder Jack Ma ap-peared for the first time inmonths, in a video. He hadvanished after criticizingChina’s bank regulators andscrapping Ant Group’s IPO.
RIOT BLOCKCHAIN
RIOT (NASD) • 20.97 • -4.81
16
19
22
M T W T F
25
28Holiday
0.0
6.5
13.0
19.5
26.0
32.5Stock Price $
0110
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
220Volume in Millions
� Bitcoin prices slipped, asTreasury nominee Yellensuggested curtailing crypto-currencies. Shares of theminer, and its rival Mara-thon Patent, wavered.
ALCOA
AA (NYSE) • 19.40 • -3.88
18
20
22
M T W T F
24
26
Holiday
4.0
8.5
13.0
17.5
22.0
26.5Stock Price $
029
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
58Volume in Millions
� Higher aluminum pricesbrought positive cash flowin the December quarter,despite a sales dip. Ship-ments in 2021 might declineby 6%, however.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES
IBM (NYSE) • 118.61 • -9.78
115
120
125
M T W T F
130
135
Holiday
85
100
115
130
145
160Stock Price $
031
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
62Volume in Millions
� The computing giant’srevenue fell 8% in theDecember quarter, and itsguidance for 2021 free cashflow of $11 to $12 billiondisappointed Wall Street.
WESTWATER RESOURCES
WWR (NASD) • 6.58 • 1.58
4
5
6
M T W T F
7
8
Holiday
0.0
3.5
7.0
10.5
14.0
17.5Stock Price $
0209
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
418Volume in Millions
� Reports that China mightlimit exports of raw materi-als for batteries were seenas good news for Westwa-ter’s plans to make battery-grade graphite in Alabama.
AMC ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS
AMC (NYSE) • 3.51 • 1.18
1
2
3
M T W T F
4
5
Holiday
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5Stock Price $
0384
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
768Volume in Millions
� As contemplated in De-cember, the movie theaterchain issued $100 million innotes to an institutionalinvestor. AMC can redeemthem after 2022.
INTEL
INTC (NASD) • 56.66 • -0.92
54
57
60
M T W T F
63
66
Holiday
40
46
52
58
64
70Stock Price $
0161
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
322Volume in Millions
� Although December-quarter revenue of $20 bil-lion exceeded guidance, itfell 1%, and March guidancewas weak. Earnings wereflat at $1.52 a share.
GEVO
GEVO (NASD) • 10.51 • 4.11
8
9
10
M T W T F
11
12
Holiday
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5Stock Price $
0620
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
1240Volume in Millions
� The renewable-energyfirm sold $350 million worthof stock, after its sharesjumped on the naming of itsco-founder as a Biden sci-ence adviser.
GRITSTONE ONCOLOGY
GRTS (NASD) • 27.11 • 20.72
6
14
22
M T W T F
30
38
Holiday
0.0
7.5
15.0
22.5
30.0
37.5Stock Price $
070
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
140Volume in Millions
� The biotech company ex-pects to start a Phase 1 trialof a Covid-19 vaccine in thecurrent quarter. It said thevaccine should work againstnew SARS-CoV-2 mutations.
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January 25, 2021 BARRON’S M11
Research ReportsHow Analysts Size Up Companies
These reports, excerpted and edited by Barron’s, were issued recently by investmentand research firms. The reports are a sampling of analysts’ thinking; they should notbe considered the views or recommendations of Barron’s. Some of the reports’ issuershave provided, or hope to provide, investment-banking or other services to thecompanies being analyzed.
To be considered for this section, materialshould be sent to [email protected].
MGM Resorts International• MGM-NYSEOutperform • Price $29.80 on Jan. 19by Macquarie Research
MGM has walked away from its bid toacquire Entain (ENT.UK), an online/retailgaming operator and 50/50 partner in theBetMGM joint venture. MGM offered 0.6 ofa share for each Entain share, valuing En-tain at about $18.85 a share, a 22% premiumto that company’s preannouncement price.While the intention was to control the
entire BetMGM venture, the decision showsthat MGM remains disciplined around itsbalance sheet, something that it has focusedon for the past two years.Going forward, we believe that the [comingrecovery] in Las Vegas (which produced 50%of MGM’s 2019 earnings before interest,taxes, depreciation, and amortization) re-mains the most attractive piece of the MGMstory. We expect leisure travel to be healthyfollowing vaccination progress. Comparedwith 2019, we believe that Las Vegas Ebitda,in 2021/22/23 will fall by 57%, 17%, and 10%,respectively. The consensus is for declines of59%, 21%, and 6%. Our price target is $36.
Signature Bank• SBNY-NasdaqBuy • Price $149.45 on Jan. 21by Maxim Group
Fourth-quarter earnings per share of $3.26beat the consensus estimate by 13%, asrecord deposit growth created $10 billion ofexcess cash (versus $60 billion of earningassets) available for loans (which grew by arecord amount in the period, with a strongfirst-quarter 2021 pipeline) and securities,which should drive net interest income in2021 and ’22.Covid-related loan deferrals were down to2.6% and modifications down to 6.6% (from apeak of 25%), so credit loss provisioningshould decline further. We are raising our2021 earnings estimate to $14 a share from
$13, and our stock-price target to $200 from$172. The target equates to 14.3 times ournew 2021 EPS estimate. That’s a discount toother best-in-class small- to mid-cap banks.
PDC Energy • PDCE-NasdaqOverweight • Price $25.34 on Jan. 21by J.P. Morgan
We hosted PDC’s CEO, chief financial officer,and investor relations [representatives] on avirtual roadshow with buy-side investorsyesterday. PDC outlined steps that couldnarrow the sharp discount to its intrinsicvalue. In particular, we believe that PDC [anoil-and-gas producer] could provide a three-year outlook, in conjunction with fourth-quar-ter 2020 earnings, that should showcase itsability to repeatedly deliver industry-leadingfree cash flow at conservative commodityprices and utilize free cash flow to “force”the valuation higher by delevering the bal-ance sheet and returning significant cash toshareholders via buybacks. We estimate thatPDC will generate $1.3 billion-plus of FCFover the next three years, generating an av-erage 17% FCF yield that would sit near thetop of our coverage group. Price target: $30.
Restoration Hardware’s fiscal third-quarterresults delivered across the board, with 25%sales growth, [6.7%] of gross margin expan-sion, a record margin of 26.7% on earningsbefore interest and taxes, and a 17% EPSbeat. This marks RH’s first quarter withoutthe impact of Covid-related gallery closuresand reflects very strong category demand(+42% core) that remained robust into theNovember/December period. The results re-flect pricing power in [the decorative hard-ware and home furnishings company’s] busi-ness model. Despite absorbing its fair shareof fiscal 2020 disruption, RH continues tofire on all cylinders. We continue to view theRH story as among the most intriguing inretail, with luxury positioning, 25% margin
potential, and an arsenal of levers to gener-ate long-term growth. We are raising ourprice target to $525 from $400.
Viatris • VTRS-NasdaqBuy • Price $18.30 on Jan. 8by CFRA
We have lifted our price target by $1, to $19,four times our 2021 EPS estimate. Launchedfrom the combination of Pfizer’s [PFE-NYSE] Upjohn business and Mylan, Viatrisis an attractive long-term play, Larger thanMylan was, it has an improved debt and prof-itability profile. Viatris targets cost synergiesof $1 billion over four years, enabling marginexpansion and growth in Ebitda. It also prom-ises a dividend of at least 25% of free cash
flow, which we estimate is close to $1 billion.And we expect reduced indebtedness, thanksto improved free cash flow.
Clearwater Paper • CLW-NYSEOutperform • Price $40.64 on Jan. 20by BMO Capital Markets
Clearwater [a specialist in private-label tissue]has made sweeping leadership changes. Witha checkered history, it remains an undercov-ered “show me” story. We have encouragingexperience with the new team. If it executesoperationally and delivers on deleveraging, themultiple should expand. Even without multipleexpansion, reducing debt would be a powerfullever. We estimate fiscal 2021 free cash flow at$8 a share. Price target: $48.
INSIDER TRANSACTIONS RATIO
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
Ratio of Insiders Sales to Buys. Readings under 12:1 are Bullish. Those over 20:1 are Bearish.The total top 20 sales and buys are 428,311,725 and 34,630,526 respectively; Source: Thomson Reuters
An insider is anyofficer, directororownerof10%ormoreof a classof a company's securities. Inmost cases, an insidermust report any trade totheSECwithin twobusinessdays. The tableshighlight companies that filedwith theSEC through lastWednesday. The tablesdonot includepension-planor employee stock-optionactivity, tradesbybeneficial ownersof10%ormore, tradesunder$2per shareor tradesunder100shares. The "Purchases" column includesonlyopen-market andprivatepurchases; the "Sales" column includesonlyopen-market andprivate sales,andexcludes tradesprecededbyoptionexercise in the12monthsprior to the reportedevent. Source: ThomsonReuters
Jan. 21: The broad U-6 unemployment rateis currently 11.7%, and the regular U-3 rateis still 6.7%. Unemployment is higher todaythan about 73% of the time since 1950, so itis understandable why both monetary andfiscal policies remain full tilt.Economic programs traditionally take
time to improve unemployment after a reces-sion. However, the Covid-19 crisis created aunique divergence within the job market thatwill not be solved by customary economicpolicies, but instead by vaccinations.Consequently, with literally a “shot in the
arm,” the job market may come back to lifemuch quicker than almost anyone anticipates.Should this occur, policy officials will be leftwith a nearly fully employed economy andmassive, excess stimulus—potentially creat-ing additional problems down the road.The fastest route to economic recovery—
and perhaps the best approach to minimizeunintended consequences longer term—isnot another round of relief checks, butinstead greater resources behind PresidentJoe Biden’s desire to “put shots” in 100 mil-lion arms within 100 days.
Jan. 20: Outside of imperiled commercialreal estate, almost no asset class lookscheap right now. Bonds certainly do not im-press, with safe yields still near zero whileinflation knocks on the door. Equities lookbetter. The Wall Street Journal estimatesthe S&P 500 index’s forward price/earningsratio at 25, almost exactly where it stood ayear ago at this time. Investors will need tobe selective. Corners of the market areclearly in bubble territory. This doesn’t have
to end badly for investors, as the 2000-01“tech wreck” left many stocks unscathedeven as speculative stocks fell sharply.Some of the stories we are witness to
right now can scarcely be believed. TheCEO of a fashionable growth company witha P/E over 1,000 and a market cap of almost$1 trillion recently tweeted his support for asocial-media upstart called Signal. Investorsresponded by blasting money into an unre-lated penny stock called Signal Advance,which saw its share price increase from $0.60per share to a high of $70.85. Again, this isa totally unrelated company with a similarname. The stock cooled off somewhat, but asof this writing, Signal Advance remains upmore than 1,000% from its unaffected price.The market is littered with similar stories oframpant, uninformed speculation.Investors who stick to reliable companies
backed by solid fundamentals still have agood chance to grow their purchasing powerover time, even in an elevated market.Investors who throw their money into thewind will lose it. It is as simple as that.
—DOUG GERLACH
Goodbye, Financial Crisis Funk
2020 Fourth Quarter Investor LetterPelican Bay Capital Managementpelicanbaycap.com
Jan. 14: We believe that the theme for 2021will be optimism. Society is poised to emergefrom isolation and deprivation wrought bythe pandemic. We collectively faced a cruci-ble, and while it still may be hard for manyto recognize it, we are all stronger and betterprepared for the future....Looking back at the pandemic, it may
prove to be a blessing for society, providingthe trigger that shakes us out of the funkwe have found ourselves in since the finan-cial crisis. The digitization of work and pro-ductivity is a boon for workers everywhere,as many are finally free of the 9-to-5 grindand daily commute to a large, stuffy officebuilding. The interior of the country willhave a renaissance, as high-quality jobs nolonger require a cubicle in unaffordable city
centers along the coasts. Suddenly, theimmense challenge and costs of reversingclimate change seem less daunting. Mostimportant, we have unlocked a medical mir-acle that will have a profound impact onhealth care and longevity, akin to the engi-neering gains ushered in by the space raceof the 1960s.
—TYLER HARDT
Covid Relief Could Shrink
Special CommentaryWells Fargowellsfargo.com
Jan. 22: We view Biden’s $1.9 trillion pro-posal [for Covid-19 relief] as an opening bidand not necessarily an outline that will betranslated into bill language verbatim. But,the 19-page outline is fairly detailed for anopening bid, and it firmly signals that an-other Covid relief deal will be a day-one leg-islative priority for the Biden administration.Our expectation is that a deal will even-
tually be struck, probably in March, butthat the final legislation will be muchsmaller than what is in Biden’s proposal andmore along the lines of the $900 billionpackage that was enacted in December.We think that the balance of risks is
skewed towards a smaller deal, or no deal atall, rather than a bigger deal closer to theinitial Biden proposal. That said, when pairedwith the $900 billion package enacted at theend of December, this should be plenty of fis-cal support to see the U.S. economy throughto the summer when, hopefully, vaccine dis-tribution is well on its way to completion.
—MICHAEL PUGLIESE AND HOP MATHEWS
Needed: More Houses
December Existing Home SalesAmherst Pierpontapsec.com
Jan. 22: Existing-home sales ended the yearin a familiar place—stronger than expected.The December sales pace increased to 6.76million units, up slightly from November
though down somewhat from October’s 14-year high. For the year, existing-home salestotaled 5.64 million, up by more than 5%from 2019. It would have been hard to fore-see that back in April!The release strikes an optimistic tone, as
the National Association of Realtors, orNAR, expects demand to remain robust in2021, which seems like a good bet to me, aswell. The biggest impediment to highersales at this point is a dearth of availablesupply. The number of existing homes onthe market fell by 16% from November andby 23% from a year ago. The months’ supplyfigure dropped to 1.9%, the first time everbelow two months (going back to 1982). TheNAR release applauds the sharp increase inhousing starts in recent months but argues,as I have, that starts will probably need toremain vigorous for at least another year ortwo to catch up to the once-in-a-generationrise in demand for homes that occurred inlarge part because of the pandemic.
—STEPHEN STANLEY
In Japan, Ouch!
Daily Notes on the Global EconomyHigh Frequency Economicshifreqecon.com
Jan. 22: Here is more bad news aboutJapan’s overall economic situation: Nationaldepartment-store sales in December were13.7% lower than a year ago, according tofigures this morning from industry associa-tion JDSA. In November, they were 14.3%lower than a year ago. Sales are not only de-pressed by public health measures, but alsothe population is aging fast and shrinking.That means fewer young households estab-lishing new homes and families, and fewercustomers for large-scale retail stores over-all. Declining retail spending as the nationdepopulates is a secular crisis, upon whichthe pandemic has been overlaid. Ouch!
—CARL B. WEINBERG
To be considered for this section, material, withthe author’s name and address, should be sentto [email protected].
“With literally a ‘shot in the arm,’ the job market may come back to life much quicker than almost
anyone anticipates.” —JAMES W PAULSEN, The Leuthold Group
This commentary was issued recently by money managers, research firms,and market newsletter writers and has been edited by Barron’s.
Back in the Saddle: After falling the prior week, the Dow gained 0.6% in Joe Biden’s firstweek as president. Apple jumped 9% on the week, while IBM fell 7.6% after announcingweak sales and weak guidance.
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Please visit the new Market Lab home page on barrons.com under Data.www.barrons.com/market-data/market-lab
- Earnings -52-Week Tick - Week’s - Last This Next DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Year Year Year Amt
- Earnings -52-Week Tick - Week’s - Last This Next DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Year Year Year Amt
- Earnings -52-Week Tick - Week’s - Last This Next DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Year Year Year Amt
- Earnings -52-Week Tick - Week’s - Last This Next DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Year Year Year Amt
31350
28900
26450
24000
21550
19100
581000
562400
543800
525200
506600
488000
BREADTH DJIA
F M A M J J A S O N D J
NYSE CUMULATIVE DAILY BREADTH vs DJIA
In generating this chart, we subtract each day's NYSE composite declines from that day's advances. The resultant total is added to the next day's total, and soon. When all five days' numbers are added together, this produces the weekly figure we plot. Dec. 31, 1985 =1000.
BREADTH 579,818s
DJIAs
Inaugural Ball: A rally in big tech lifted the S&P 500 by 2% for the week. NYSE Compos-ite breadth rose for a 12th week, as winning stocks beat losers by 3 to 2.
- Earnings -52-Week Tick - Week’s - Last This Next DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Year Year Year Amt
- Earnings -52-Week Tick - Week’s - Last This Next DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Year Year Year Amt
- Earnings -52-Week Tick - Week’s - Last This Next DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Year Year Year Amt
- Earnings -52-Week Tick - Week’s - Last This Next DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Year Year Year Amt
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S M19
52-Week Tick DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt.
52-Week Tick DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt.
52-Week Tick DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt.
52-Week Tick DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt.
52-Week Tick DivHigh Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt.
Nasdaq IssuesNasdaq Issues includes stocks traded on the Nasdaq Global Select and Nasdaq Global Market tiers. They are eligible for inclusion on the basis of SEC-approved market
value of publicly-held shares, trading volume, price and number of market-makers.
New Leaf: President Biden quickly boosted green energy. Netflix’s sub-scribers topped 200 million. Bitcoin prices faltered. The Nasdaq Com-posite Index finished Friday at 13,543—higher by 4% for the week.
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Please visit the new Market Lab home page on barrons.com under Data.www.barrons.com/market-data/market-lab
Earnings -RelatedCompany Date Time Earnings-RelatedPeriod
3M January26 9:00AM Q4
A.O.Smith January28 10:00AM Q4
AbbottLaboratories January27 9:00AM Q4
ABIOMED January28 8:00AM Q3
AdvancedMicroDevices January26 5:00PM Q4
AlaskaAirGroup January26 11:30AM Q4
AltriaGroup January28 9:00AM Q4
AmericanAirlinesGroup January28 8:30AM Q4
AmericanExpress January26 8:30AM Q4
AmeripriseFinancial January28 9:00AM Q4
Amphenol January27 1:00PM Q4
Anthem January27 8:30AM Q4
Apple January27 5:00PM Q1
Archer-Daniels-Midland January26 9:00AM Q4
ArthurJGallagher January28 5:15PM Q4
AT&T January27 8:30AM Q4
AutomaticDataProcessing January27 8:30AM Q2
Boeing January27 10:30AM Q4
BostonProperties January27 10:00AM Q4
CapitalOneFinancial January26 5:00PM Q4
Caterpillar January29 8:30AM Q4
Celanese January29 10:00AM Q4
CHRobinsonWorldwide January27 8:30AM Q4
CharterCommunications January29 8:30AM Q4
Chevron January29 11:00AM Q4
Church&Dwight January29 10:00AM Q4
Comcast January28 8:30AM Q4
Corning January27 8:30AM Q4
CrownCastle International January28 10:30AM Q4
D.R.Horton January26 8:30AM Q1
Danaher January28 8:00AM Q4
Dover January28 10:00AM Q4
Dow January28 8:00AM Q4
DukeRealty January28 3:00PM Q4
EastmanChemical January29 8:00AM Q4
EdwardsLifesciences January27 5:00PM Q4
Eli Lilly January29 9:00AM Q4
F5Networks January26 4:30PM Q1
Facebook January27 5:00PM Q4
Freeport-McMoRan January26 10:00AM Q4
GeneralDynamics January27 9:00AM Q4
GeneralElectric January26 8:00AM Q4
Hess January27 10:00AM Q4
Hologic January27 4:30PM Q1
Honeywell International January29 8:30AM Q4
Invesco January26 9:00AM Q4
JohnsonControls International January29 7:30AM Q1
JuniperNetworks January28 5:00PM Q4
Kimberly-Clark January25 10:00AM Q4
LamResearch January27 5:00PM Q2
LasVegasSands January27 4:30PM Q4
LockheedMartin January26 11:00AM Q4
MarketaxessHoldings January27 10:00AM Q4
Marsh&McLennanCompanies January28 8:30AM Q4
Mastercard January28 9:00AM Q4
McCormick&Company January28 8:00AM Q4
Mcdonald's January28 8:30AM Q4
Microsoft January26 5:30PM Q2
Mondelez International January28 5:00PM Q4
MSCI January28 11:00AM Q4
Nasdaq January27 8:00AM Q4
NexteraEnergy January26 9:00AM Q4
NorfolkSouthern January27 8:45AM Q4
NorthropGrumman January28 9:00AM Q4
Nucor January28 2:00PM Q4
Paccar January26 12:00PM Q4
PackagingCorpofAmerica January28 9:30AM Q4
Pentair January28 9:00AM Q4
PrincipalFinancialGroup January29 10:00AM Q4
Prologis January26 12:00PM Q4
Pultegroup January28 8:30AM Q4
RaytheonTechnologies January26 8:30AM Q4
Resmed January28 4:30PM Q2
RockwellAutomation January26 8:30AM Q1
ServiceNow January27 5:00PM Q4
SkyworksSolutions January28 4:30PM Q1
SLGreenRealty January28 2:00PM Q4
SouthwestAirlines January28 12:30PM Q4
StanleyBlack&Decker January28 8:00AM Q4
Starbucks January26 5:00PM Q1
SynchronyFinancial January29 8:30AM Q4
TEConnectivity January27 8:30AM Q1
TeledyneTechnologies January27 11:00AM Q4
Teradyne January28 8:30AM Q4
Texas Instruments January26 4:30PM Q4
Textron January27 8:00AM Q4
UnitedRentals January28 11:00AM Q4
ValeroEnergy January28 10:00AM Q4
VF January27 8:30AM Q3
Visa January28 5:00PM Q1
W.R.Berkley January26 5:00PM Q4
WesternDigital January28 4:30PM Q2
Westrock January28 8:30AM Q1
XcelEnergy January28 10:00AM Q4
XeroxHoldings January26 8:00AM Q4
Source:CCBN,www.ccbn.com
QUARTERLYEARNINGS:DOWJONES INDUSTRIALAVERAGE
This table lists the latest reporteddilutedquarterly earnings of theDowJonesAverages componentstocksbasedupongenerally accepted accountingprinciples.Earnings includediscontinuedandnonrecurring itemsbut exclude extraordinary itemsandaccounting changes as reportedby the companyandadjustedby theDowDivisor in effect at quarter end.
Base Jan. 1, 1970=1001Adjusted for foreignexchange fluctuations relative to theU.S. $.2Europe,Australasia, Far East Index.3Base: Jan. 1, 1988=100.
Source:MorganStanleyCapital International Perspective,Geneva.
KEY FOREIGN STOCK MARKET INDEXES
Amsterdam AEX 660.53 +1.35 +35.92 +5.75
Athens General 778.98 –1.41 –30.01 –3.71
Bangkok SET 1497.88 –1.40 +48.53 +3.35
Bombay Sensex 48878 –0.32 +1127.21 +2.36
Brussels Bel-20 3743.25 +0.74 +121.97 +3.37
BuenosAires Merval 48470 –4.02 –2755.58 –5.38
Copenhagen OMX20 1482.27 +1.54 +17.10 +1.17
Dublin ISEQ 7476.18 –0.63 +99.85 +1.35
EUROSTOXX SXXE 404.17 +0.09 +6.61 +1.66
EUROSTOXX50 SXSE 3602.41 +0.08 +49.77 +1.40
Frankfurt DAX 13873 +0.63 +155.19 +1.13
Helsinki OMHX 11337 +1.73 +464.97 +4.28
HongKong HangSeng 29447 +3.06 +2216.72 +8.14
Istanbul IMKB 1542.45 +1.18 +65.73 +4.45
Jakarta Composite 6307.13 –1.04 +328.06 +5.49
Johannesburg All Share 63987 +0.69 +4579.24 +7.71
KualaLumpur Composite 1596.74 –1.86 –30.47 –1.87
LISBON PSI 3959.85 +1.27 +160.15 +4.21
London FTSE -100 6695.07 –0.60 +234.55 +3.63
Madrid IBEX35 8036.40 –2.36 –37.30 –0.46
Manila Composite 7045.83 –2.66 –93.88 –1.31
MexicoCity IPC 44683 –2.63 +616.67 +1.40
Milan FTSEAll Share 24408 +0.05 +205.87 +0.85
Moscow RTS 1418.29 –3.80 +30.83 +2.22
Oslo Composite 1080.38 +0.72 +32.79 +3.13
Paris CAC 5559.57 –0.93 +8.16 +0.15
Santiago Selective 3065.29 –1.99 +207.68 +7.27
SaoPaulo Bovespa 117380 –2.47 –1636.75 –1.38
Seoul Composite 3140.63 +1.77 +267.16 +9.30
Shanghai Composite 3606.75 +1.13 +133.68 +3.85
Shenzhen BShare Idx 1096.77 +1.48 +10.05 +0.92
Singapore FTSESTI 2991.53 –0.44 +147.73 +5.19
Stockholm OMXS 803.20 +1.65 +34.82 +4.53
STOXXEurope50 SXSP 3188.77 +0.10 +80.47 +2.59
STOXXEurope600 SXXP 408.54 +0.17 +9.51 +2.38
Sydney S&P/ASX200 6800.40 +1.27 +213.30 +3.24
Taipel Weighted 16019 +2.58 +1286.50 +8.73
TelAviv 125 Index 1662.61 +0.83 +94.52 +6.03
Tokyo Nikkei-225 28631 +0.39 +1187.28 +4.33
Toronto S&P/TSX 17845 –0.35 +412.55 +2.37
Vienna ATX 3002.26 +1.84 +221.82 +7.98
Wellington S&P/NZX50 13333 +2.37 +241.79 +1.85
Zurich Swiss 10930 +0.49 +227.30 +2.12
Most Recent Week’s Year-to-DateClose %Chg. Chg. %Chg.
Most Recent Week’s Year-to-DateClose %Chg. Chg. %Chg.
Indexes are based on local currencies. Because of various holidays and other market closings, the most recent close is not necessarilythat of the week of publication.
CCalamos Funds:ConvI 23.16 0.28 4.5 80.6Gr&IncA p 41.82 0.73 2.6 43.2Gr&IncI 39.95 0.70 2.6 44.3GrowthA p 38.82 1.41 4.3 59.6MktNeutA p 14.14 0.03 0.4 12.7MktNeutI 13.96 0.03 0.5 13.5Calvert Investments:Bal A 39.82 0.45 1.1 36.0Eq A p 66.29 0.60 -0.7 66.0Carillon Eagle:MdCpGrA p 93.11 1.60 3.3 68.5Carillon Reams:CoreBd I 12.96 0.01 -0.8 26.4CorePlBd I 35.43 0.02 -0.7 27.5UnconstrndBd I 12.99 -0.01 0.2 19.4Carillon Scout:Intl I 18.34 -0.01 2.2 5.9MidCap I r 24.92 0.29 5.5 38.3CausewayInst :CausewayInst 16.58 0.00 2.1 0.0Chartwell:Income n 13.67 0.03 1.0 13.3CIBC Atlas:DispEq Inst 26.61 0.42 0.8 47.8ClearBridge:AggressGrowthA 181.98 NA NA NAAggressGrowthI 212.28 NA NA NA
AllCapValueA 13.20 NA NA NAAppreciationA 29.19 NA NA NAAppreciationI 28.96 NA NA NAAppreciationIS 29.06 NA NA NADividendStrat1 n 26.94 NA NA NADividendStratA 26.92 NA NA NADividendStratI 27.75 NA NA NALargeCapGrowthA 60.94 NA NA NALargeCapGrowthC 46.26 NA NA NALargeCapGrowthI 68.74 NA NA NALargeCapValueI 33.74 NA NA NAMidCapA 39.00 NA NA NASmallCapGrowthA 50.39 NA NA NASmallCapGrowthI 55.27 NA NA NASmallCapGrowthIS 56.20 NA NA NAClipper:ClipperFd n 136.04 1.05 3.3 20.8Cohen & Steers:GlbRltyI 54.40 0.56 0.1 16.7InstlRlty 43.67 0.67 0.8 30.0IntlRltyI r 11.90 0.08 -0.9 12.6PrefSecIncmA 14.38 0.03 0.0 18.9PrefSecIncmC 14.28 0.03 -0.1 16.5PrefSecIncnI 14.42 0.04 0.1 20.0RltyIncA p 15.43 0.19 0.6 28.2RltyIncI 16.40 0.20 0.6 29.2RltyShs n 61.53 0.95 0.8 29.2Colorado BondShares:ColoradoBdShs 9.35 NA NA NAColumbia Class A:AcornA t 13.59 0.33 7.1 53.8AMTTEBd 16.98 0.03 0.5 15.5BalancedA t 49.25 0.50 1.2 32.5BldrAggrsv 13.93 0.20 2.8 25.1BldrMod p 12.15 0.10 1.5 21.8ConSec A 31.98 0.55 6.5 88.7ContCoreA p 30.83 0.47 2.0 41.1DisplCoreA p 13.38 0.28 3.5 32.9DivIncA t 26.31 0.00 2.0 27.9DivOpptyA 35.06 -0.18 2.1 15.2EqValA 12.86 -0.08 2.3 12.6FocEqA t 23.54 0.79 2.9 75.3GlobEq 17.73 0.45 1.8 60.6GlobTech 63.55 1.88 7.9 106.4HiYldBd 12.06 -0.01 0.3 17.7IncmBldr t 13.16 0.04 1.3 22.4LgCpGrowA t 53.60 1.85 3.7 68.6LgCpIdx pn 57.49 1.10 2.3 41.7LgCpVl A 14.97 -0.07 1.7 17.4LiGoBalA p 13.40 0.16 2.2 23.9MdCpIndxA pn 17.47 0.27 6.8 28.2MidCapGthA t 28.41 0.73 5.3 70.3SelgComuInfoA 112.92 3.31 8.2 105.9SelMidCpValA 12.02 -0.03 3.8 22.2SmCapGthA t 33.52 1.07 12.2 148.9SmCpIdxA pn 27.70 0.45 10.1 30.3StratIncA 25.26 0.04 0.5 16.9TaxEA 13.63 0.02 0.4 12.9TechA p 61.01 2.33 4.3 101.3TotReBdA t 38.30 0.04 0.0 23.1Columbia Class Adv:ContCore p 31.77 0.49 2.0 42.1DivIncom 26.81 0.01 2.1 28.9Columbia Class C:Balanced 49.10 0.49 1.1 29.6ContCore p 27.29 0.41 1.9 37.9DivInc t 25.44 0.00 2.0 25.0Columbia Class I:Acorn I n 17.78 0.43 7.1 54.9AcornIntl I n 35.78 0.93 3.8 23.0AltBeta I 30.00 0.15 0.9 -20.7Balanced I 49.14 0.50 1.2 33.5ConSec I n 32.04 0.55 6.5 90.2ContCore I 31.11 0.48 2.0 42.1DivIncom I 26.34 0.01 2.1 28.9FocEq I pn 26.22 0.88 2.9 76.5GlbTechGw I 63.76 2.44 4.3 102.8IncOppty n 9.95 0.00 0.3 15.0IntmMunBd I 10.62 0.01 0.2 12.3LgCapGr 15.00 0.28 0.0 78.7LgCpGrow I n 56.67 1.96 3.7 69.9LgCpIdx I n 57.88 1.10 2.3 42.7MdCpIdx I n 17.37 0.27 6.8 29.2MidCapGth I 31.65 0.82 5.3 71.6SelComunInfo tn 127.17 3.73 8.2 107.4SelLCVal pn 28.11 -0.36 5.0 18.2SelMdCpVal I p pn 12.06 -0.03 3.8 23.1SmCapGth I 36.45 1.17 12.2 150.8SmCpIdx I n 27.91 0.46 10.1 31.2StratInc I 24.81 0.04 0.6 17.9TaxEZ n 13.63 0.02 0.4 13.6Thermostat I n 18.27 0.16 1.4 51.3TotReBd I 38.32 0.04 0.0 24.1USTrsIdx I 11.87 0.00 -1.0 15.8Columbia Class I2:ContCore I2 31.73 0.48 1.9 42.4DivIncom 26.78 0.00 2.0 29.1MidCapIndx 17.81 0.28 6.8 29.1SmCapIndx 28.63 0.46 10.1 31.2Columbia Class I3:Balanced I3 49.68 0.50 1.2 33.9Bond I3 35.97 0.02 -0.1 20.2ContCore I3 p 31.75 0.48 2.0 42.7DivIncom 26.82 0.00 2.1 29.4
SelLgCpGr t 16.50 0.30 -0.1 79.5SmCpVal II p 19.07 0.28 11.1 17.2Columbia Funds:UltShortBd Inst3 9.06 0.00 0.1 6.9Commerce Funds:Bond n 21.07 0.01 -0.4 16.5Community Capital Tr:CRAQualInvFd 10.83 0.00 -0.2 10.5Credit Suisse Common:ComdtyRet r 4.70 NA NA NACullen Funds:HiDivEqI r 15.26 0.00 3.6 9.5
The charts above show four-week moving averages of net cash flow in millions of dollars. BARRON'S • Lipper FMI
7100
2500
-2100
-6700
-11300Nov Dec Jan
Equity Funds3350
2650
1950
1250
550Nov Dec Jan
Municipal Bond Funds
10500
3000
-4500
-12000Nov Dec Jan
Money Market Funds17500
13500
9500
5500Nov Dec Jan
Taxable Bond Funds
Strong Bond: As cash left equity funds, the last month’s average weekly outflow rose to$7.4 billion. Taxable-bond funds averaged a $17 billion intake, and muni-bond fundsgained $3.2 billion. Outflows dropped money-market cash gains to $2.4 billion.
About our FundsThe listings include the top 2500 open-end funds by assets. These funds value their portfolios daily and report netasset va lues (the dollar amount of their holdings divided by the number of shares outstanding) to the NationalAssociation of Securities Dealers. Total returns reflect both price changes and dividends; these figures assume thatall distributions are reinvested in the fund. Because Lipper is constantly updating its database, these returns maydiffer from those previously published or calculated by others. 3 year returns are cumulative. The NAV is the last
reported closing price for the week. Footnotes: NA: not available. NE: performance excluded by Lipper editor. NN:fund not tracked. NS: fund not in existence for whole period. e: ex capital gains distributions. f: previous day’squote. n: no front- or back-end sales charge. p: fund assets are used to pay marketing and distribution costs (12b-1fees). r: fund levies redemption fee or back-end load. s: stock dividend or split of 25% or more. t: fund charges12b-1 fees (for marketing and distribution) and a back-end load. v: capital-gains distribution may be a return ofcapital. x: ex cash dividend. All data supplied by Lipper.
Mutual Funds Data provided by
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S M29
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
USMicro 25.10 0.44 9.8 19.5US Small 41.86 0.67 9.0 22.4US SmCpVal 37.94 0.45 10.2 7.7US TgdVal 25.86 0.28 9.6 10.6USLCpGr 27.89 0.49 0.5 48.6USLgVa 39.23 -0.05 4.5 8.6USLgVaIII 26.43 -0.03 4.5 9.0USSmCpGr 24.72 0.48 7.8 36.4USSoCoreEq2 20.96 0.31 4.2 33.5USSustCoreI 30.93 0.52 3.5 46.0USVectorEq 22.13 0.22 6.9 19.1WexUSGov 10.63 -0.03 -0.7 19.2WrdEXUSTARGETVAL 13.89 0.09 2.7 -4.7Dodge & Cox:Balanced n 104.69 -0.64 2.9 21.4GblStock n 13.82 -0.07 3.9 11.6Income n 14.59 0.02 -0.4 19.8Intl Stk n 45.39 -0.12 3.9 -0.5Stock n 201.15 -1.47 4.5 21.3Domini Funds:Intl Eq Instit 8.63 0.09 2.6 0.6US Equity Inv pn 31.68 0.89 3.6 53.0DoubleLine Funds:CoreFxdIncmI 11.30 0.02 -0.2 14.4CorFxdIncN n 11.29 0.02 -0.2 13.6EmgMktIncmI 10.64 0.02 0.1 13.8FlexibleIncomeI 9.67 NA NA NAGlobalBondN 10.71 0.01 -0.7 5.1InfraIncomeI 10.66 0.03 0.4 15.7LowDurBdI 10.01 0.01 0.3 8.7LowDurBdN n 10.00 0.01 0.3 7.9ShillerEnhCAPEI 18.68 NA NA NAShillerEnhCAPEN n 18.66 NA NA NATotRetBdI 10.72 0.02 0.2 13.2TotRetBdN n 10.71 0.02 0.1 12.3Driehaus Funds:EmMktsGr n 53.41 1.61 8.8 36.8Dupree Mutual Fds:KYTF n 8.00 0.01 0.0 13.1
EEaton Vance Class A:AtlCpSMID p 33.69 0.15 2.2 36.8DivBldrA 17.15 0.28 0.8 33.6FloatRt 9.12 0.01 1.3 10.5FltgRtAdvg p 10.56 0.01 1.6 11.4Inc Bos 5.58 0.00 0.3 15.2LgCpVal 21.57 0.02 2.7 21.7NatlMuniInc 10.41 0.01 0.1 16.5ShDurGovIncFd 8.13 0.00 0.2 6.3ShDurStratIncFd 7.39 NA NA NATMG1.0 n 1734.39 NA NA NATMG1.1 77.80 NA NA NATMG1.2 34.98 NA NA NAWWHlth Science p 13.42 0.17 3.1 46.3Eaton Vance Class I:AtlCpSMID 38.41 0.17 2.2 37.9FloatRtHiInc 8.70 0.01 1.3 12.1FltgRt 8.82 0.01 1.3 11.2GblMacAbR 8.80 0.01 0.6 9.7IncBos 5.59 0.01 0.5 16.1LgCpVal 21.67 0.03 2.8 22.6NatlMuniInc 10.41 0.01 0.1 17.4Eaton Vance Funds:ParTxMgdEmgMktIn 52.45 NA NA NAEdgewood Growth Instituti:EdgewoodGrInst 52.11 1.45 0.7 81.0
FFairholme:Fairholme n 29.14 0.03 0.0 54.9FAM Value:FAMValue n 84.67 0.11 1.7 26.2Federated Hermes A:EqIncA p 23.64 -0.17 2.0 10.1FdShInToRetA 10.74 0.00 0.0 10.8FedMunULA pn 10.05 0.00 0.0 3.7KaufmannA p 7.46 0.17 3.9 69.5KaufmnLCA p 34.75 0.94 1.0 66.8KaufmnSCA p 67.19 NA NA NAMunStkAdvA p 14.22 0.04 1.1 14.7StrValDivA p p 5.12 -0.02 2.2 1.7UltraShortA pn 9.23 0.00 0.2 6.8Federated Hermes C:StraValDivC p 5.13 -0.02 2.2 -0.5Federated Hermes Int:GloFinI 42.25 0.55 2.8 12.5InsHiYld r 9.98 -0.01 0.4 18.2MDTSmCIS 25.47 0.26 8.9 25.5TtlRtnBdI 11.50 0.00 -0.5 19.5Federated Hermes IS:IntEq IS p 31.57 0.60 4.5 28.1KaufmnIS 7.69 0.18 4.1 72.2KaufmnSCI 68.66 NA NA NACorpBondFdIS 9.97 -0.01 -0.7 21.0FdShinToRetI 10.74 0.01 0.1 11.6GovUltra 9.96 0.00 0.0 5.5KaufmnLCIS 36.00 0.98 1.0 68.1ShIntDurMuInst 10.39 0.00 0.1 6.7StraValDivIS 5.15 -0.03 2.2 2.5UltraShortI 9.23 0.00 0.2 8.1ShtlncIS 8.72 0.00 0.1 10.3FedMuniUl A 10.05 0.00 0.0 4.7Federated Hermes R:KaufmnR r 7.48 0.17 3.9 69.5Federated Hermes R6:FedInstHYBondL 9.98 -0.01 0.3 18.2KaufmnSCL n 68.13 NA NA NAStrValL 5.15 -0.03 2.2 2.6TtlRtnBdL 11.50 0.00 -0.4 19.6Fidelity:500IdxInstPrem n 133.24 2.56 2.4 43.6BalancedK6 13.45 0.20 2.4 NS
Contrafund K6 19.33 0.70 2.3 58.5EmgMktIdxInstPre n 13.74 0.35 7.8 19.6ExtMktIdxInstPre n 89.54 1.58 7.3 56.8FidSAIEmerg 14.57 0.24 7.4 NSFIDSerEmgMkt 12.38 0.38 9.2 NSFidSerToMarket 13.32 0.25 3.2 NSFIDSerTresIndxFd 10.00 0.00 0.0 NSFIDZroExtMktIx n 12.45 0.20 8.1 NSFIDZroLgCpIx n 13.75 0.26 2.2 NSFlex 500 Index 16.38 0.32 2.4 43.7FlexIntIdx 13.52 0.19 4.2 13.8FlexUSBdIdx 10.78 -0.01 -0.8 17.3Freedom2060K 14.69 NA NA NAGlexUSIdxInstPre n 15.19 0.21 4.3 13.7GrowthCompanyK6 20.42 0.73 6.2 NSHighIncome C 8.71 -0.02 0.0 NSInflPrBdIndInsPr n 11.07 0.06 0.3 19.9IntlIdxInstPrem n 46.80 0.43 2.6 10.5IntlIndex n 11.84 0.15 4.0 NSIntrTresBdIxPrem n 11.62 0.01 -0.8 19.3LgCpGwId InstPre n 24.42 0.92 2.7 78.2LgCpVlIdxIstPrem n 13.62 -0.02 2.6 16.9LTTrsBdIdxInstPr n 15.37 -0.01 -3.5 31.4MidCpInxInstPrem n 28.09 0.23 4.0 38.0MidCpValIndex n 22.80 0.06 3.9 NSNewMkt I 14.89 0.02 -1.2 NSOTCK6Port 17.92 0.78 4.6 NSRealEstIdxInst n 14.68 0.19 1.1 9.9SAIRealEstIndxFd 10.48 0.13 1.1 10.3SAIUSLgCpIndxFd 20.09 0.38 2.3 43.5SeriesBondFd 10.69 0.00 -0.7 NSSeriesOverseas 12.53 0.12 1.0 NSSerLTTreBdIdx 8.83 -0.01 -3.6 31.2SmCpIdxInstPrem n 27.44 0.58 9.8 41.2STBdIdx InstPrem n 10.33 0.01 0.0 11.6STTreIdx InstPre n 10.80 0.00 -0.1 10.8TMktIdxInstPrem n 111.20 2.11 3.2 46.1TotalMarketIndex n 13.91 0.26 3.1 NSTtlIntIdxInstPr n 14.12 0.19 4.1 13.6USBdIdxInstPrem n 12.34 0.00 -0.8 17.3USSusIdx n 16.64 0.26 2.2 45.5Fidelity Adv Focus A:HthCarA r 67.46 1.14 6.0 62.0TechA t 91.69 4.10 2.6 115.0Fidelity Adv Focus C:HthCarC p 51.98 0.87 6.0 58.4Fidelity Adv FocusM:Tech p 85.28 3.82 2.5 113.4Fidelity Advisor:SrsAdvIntlCapApp 30.39 0.66 3.2 38.4StragInc n 12.82 0.02 0.4 NSTotBdFdClZ 11.24 0.01 -0.4 20.0Fidelity Advisor A:AdvMdCpIIA p 24.09 0.39 6.6 23.8AdvStrDivInA p 16.46 0.10 2.3 28.4BalancA t 26.67 0.39 2.5 42.0BioTech 35.74 0.43 5.4 54.3DivIntlA 29.81 0.44 2.5 26.5EqGrA p/r t 16.57 0.63 4.6 85.9EqInA 29.48 -0.19 2.3 12.3FF2030A p 16.00 NA NA NAGrOppA 150.48 6.07 6.1 167.3LevCoStA p 52.24 1.13 5.8 39.2NwInsghtA p 37.63 1.43 2.9 46.3SmllCapA p 29.17 0.61 7.7 32.9StkSelMC p 41.23 0.24 5.1 32.9StrInA 12.64 0.02 0.4 15.0TotalBdA p 11.26 0.01 -0.4 18.6Fidelity Advisor C:BalancC 26.46 0.38 2.4 38.8GrOppC p 125.09 5.04 6.0 161.3NwInsghtC t 30.95 1.18 2.9 43.0StrInC t 12.61 0.02 0.3 12.5Fidelity Advisor Fun:IntlGrwZ 18.88 0.29 1.6 33.5Fidelity Advisor I:BalancI 27.27 0.39 2.4 43.1BiotechI 38.37 0.46 5.4 55.5ConsvIncmMuni I 10.06 0.00 0.0 4.3DivIntl 30.38 0.46 2.5 27.5EqGrI 18.76 0.71 4.6 87.4FAInvGrdI 8.51 0.00 -0.8 20.1FAJpFdClI 20.45 0.17 2.1 28.6FF2030 16.10 NA NA NAFF2040 17.51 NA NA NAFltRatel 9.36 0.00 1.3 11.0GrOppI 164.60 6.65 6.1 169.4HiIncAdvI 11.39 0.05 1.7 21.0HthCarI r 74.05 1.25 6.0 63.3IntlGr 18.85 0.29 1.6 33.0IntlSmCp 31.42 0.30 1.9 9.3LmtdTrmBdFd 11.96 0.01 -0.1 12.5MuniIncI r 10.90 0.01 0.3 13.1MuniIncome 13.63 0.02 0.4 NSNwInsghtI 38.79 1.48 2.9 47.4REIncmInst 11.87 0.11 1.2 19.0SmCapGrwI 37.06 1.01 8.6 80.5StrInI 12.82 0.02 0.4 15.8Total Bd 11.23 0.00 -0.5 19.4Fidelity Advisor M:Balanced p 27.03 0.39 2.4 40.9EqGr p 16.10 0.61 4.6 84.6EqIn p 30.36 -0.19 2.3 11.5GrOppM p 148.60 6.00 6.1 165.4NwInsghtM p 35.82 1.36 2.9 45.2SmllCapM p 26.28 0.54 7.6 32.0StkSelMC 41.59 0.23 5.1 32.0StrInM p 12.64 0.02 0.4 15.1Fidelity Advisor Z:CorporateBond 12.83 -0.02 -1.1 NSEmMkt Z 39.43 0.72 8.5 41.5FloatRateHighInc 9.36 0.00 1.2 NSGovtIncome 10.87 0.01 -0.7 NSGrOpp 166.35 6.73 6.1 170.4IntCpAp 30.43 0.66 3.2 38.8
InvestGradeBd 8.52 0.00 -0.7 NSNewMktsIncFdZ 14.89 0.02 -1.2 NSRE Income 11.86 0.11 1.1 NSStrgInc 12.83 0.02 0.4 NSFidelity Freedom:FAFree2020I p 14.37 NA NA NAFAFree2025I 14.80 NA NA NAFAFree2035I 16.07 NA NA NAFAFree2045A 13.65 NA NA NAFF2005 n 13.21 NA NA NAFF2010 n 16.56 NA NA NAFF2015 n 13.76 NA NA NAFF2020 n 17.58 NA NA NAFF2020A p 14.25 NA NA NAFF2025 n 15.87 NA NA NAFF2025A p 14.65 NA NA NAFF2030 n 19.88 NA NA NAFF2035 n 17.22 NA NA NAFF2035A t 15.93 NA NA NAFF2040 n 12.27 NA NA NAFF2040A p 17.37 NA NA NAFF2045 n 14.04 NA NA NAFF2050 n 14.15 NA NA NAFrdmBlen2025 K6 11.81 NA NA NSFree2045L 13.77 NA NA NAFree2050I 13.76 NA NA NAFree2055 n 16.25 NA NA NAFree2060InstPrem 15.53 0.23 3.1 33.7Free2060Investor 15.52 0.23 3.1 33.5Freedom2010 K 16.55 NA NA NAFreedom2015 K 13.74 NA NA NAFreedom2015 K6 13.70 NA NA NAFreedom2020 K 17.56 NA NA NAFreedom2020K6 17.51 NA NA NAFreedom2025 K 15.85 NA NA NAFreedom2025K6 15.81 NA NA NAFreedom2030 K 19.86 NA NA NAFreedom2030K6 19.81 NA NA NAFreedom2035 K 17.19 NA NA NAFreedom2035K6 17.16 NA NA NAFreedom2040 K 12.27 NA NA NAFreedom2040K6 12.22 NA NA NAFreedom2045 K 14.02 NA NA NAFreedom2045K6 13.98 NA NA NAFreedom2050 K 14.13 NA NA NAFreedom2050K6 14.11 NA NA NAFreedom2055 K 16.24 NA NA NAFreedom2055K6 16.22 NA NA NAFreedom2060 n 14.70 NA NA NAIdx2015InsPre 15.22 0.12 1.2 24.2Idx2020InsPre 16.61 0.15 1.5 26.3Idx2025InsPre 18.58 0.19 1.8 27.9Idx2030InsPre 19.46 0.22 2.0 29.4Idx2035InsPre 21.34 0.28 2.6 31.7Idx2040InsPre 21.47 0.32 3.1 33.7Idx2045InsPre 22.28 0.33 3.1 33.7Idx2050InsPre 22.32 0.33 3.0 33.7Idx2055InsPre 18.35 0.27 3.0 33.7Idx2055Investor 18.33 0.27 3.0 33.5Idx2025 Premier 18.57 0.18 1.8 NSIdx2030 Premier 19.46 0.22 2.0 NSIdx2035 Premier 21.34 0.29 2.6 NSIdx2040 Premier 21.46 0.32 3.1 NSIdx2045 Premier 22.28 0.33 3.1 NSIdx2050 Premier 22.32 0.34 3.1 NSIncome n 12.32 NA NA NAIncome K 12.30 NA NA NAFidelity Invest:AdvSrsGroOpport 17.38 0.70 6.4 175.4AggrInt n 28.56 0.62 3.1 38.6AilSectEq 11.84 0.21 3.1 52.3AMgr20% n 14.55 0.07 0.6 18.0AMgr50% n 21.18 0.20 1.6 26.9AMgr70% n 26.67 0.35 2.4 30.6AMgr85% n 24.19 0.39 2.9 33.8AstMgr30R n 12.47 0.08 0.9 21.7Balanc n 28.98 0.41 2.5 43.7BalancedK 28.98 0.41 2.5 44.1BluCh n 172.88 6.98 6.0 114.6BluChpGr K6 25.65 1.05 6.0 112.1BluChpGrK 173.41 7.00 6.0 115.2CALmtTrmTFB n 10.87 0.00 0.0 8.3CAMun n 13.44 0.02 0.1 13.9Canad nr 54.05 -0.50 0.8 11.6CapAp n 43.80 1.31 4.9 61.2CapDevO n 17.32 0.09 3.5 26.4ChinaReg n 62.32 2.63 12.0 70.5CnvSc n 42.38 0.62 6.0 84.5Contra n 17.21 0.66 2.6 60.0ContraK 17.24 0.65 2.6 60.3CorpBd n 12.84 -0.02 -1.0 23.4CpInc nr 10.90 0.06 1.9 23.4DisEq n 52.48 1.21 1.1 47.0DivGrowK 32.09 0.48 3.6 20.1DivGth n 32.14 0.48 3.6 19.8DivIntl n 48.82 0.67 2.4 26.3DivIntl K6 14.08 0.19 2.5 27.3DivIntlK r 48.72 0.67 2.4 26.8DivStkO n 33.26 0.85 3.9 49.0Emerg Asia nr 76.38 4.32 11.8 103.2EmrgAsiaI r 75.71 4.32 12.0 103.8EmrgMktK r 48.99 1.37 7.2 46.5EmrgMktsDebt 9.41 0.01 -1.1 8.7EmrMkt nr 48.97 1.37 7.2 46.0
Eq Inc n 64.00 0.03 2.6 22.1EqDivIncm n 26.05 -0.17 2.3 13.9EqDivIncmK 26.04 -0.17 2.3 14.3EqIncK 63.95 0.03 2.7 22.5Europ nr 43.44 0.70 2.5 18.7Export n 20.24 0.72 2.3 4.8Fidel n 63.81 2.25 2.3 52.7FltRateHi nr 9.37 0.00 1.3 11.2FocsdStk n 31.72 0.73 1.9 71.7FournOne n 56.76 0.78 2.5 33.0GNMA n 11.78 -0.02 0.0 11.4GovtInc n 10.84 0.00 -0.8 14.7GroCo n 34.94 1.24 6.3 116.6GroInc n 45.09 0.18 3.0 24.2GrowCoK 35.03 1.24 6.3 117.1GrowIncK 45.04 0.18 3.0 24.6GrStrt nr 61.15 1.20 2.4 58.8GwthDiscovery n 54.12 2.06 4.6 86.6HighInc nr 8.71 -0.02 -0.1 13.0Indepndnc n 46.40 1.27 0.1 46.9IntBd n 11.33 0.00 -0.2 16.0IntGov n 10.88 0.00 -0.3 12.4IntlCapiApp K6 16.42 0.36 3.2 40.3IntlDisc n 55.08 1.00 3.7 26.0IntlEnhIdx n 10.59 0.08 3.1 5.5IntlGrRet n 18.89 0.28 1.5 32.9IntlScOpps nr 24.98 0.14 1.4 26.3IntlSmCap nr 31.22 0.30 1.9 9.3IntMu n 10.88 0.01 0.2 13.2InvGB n 8.50 0.00 -0.8 20.3InvGrBd 11.84 0.00 -0.5 20.8JpnSmCo nr 17.73 -0.09 -0.2 3.0LargeCap n 36.34 0.19 3.6 26.2LCapCrEIdx n 19.65 0.43 3.5 41.5LCapGrEIdx n 29.00 1.15 4.0 67.3LevCoSt n 43.29 0.90 5.5 41.5LgCpVHIdx n 14.58 -0.01 3.6 17.9LmtTrmMuniIncm n 10.88 0.00 0.2 9.2LowP nr 50.91 -0.11 4.7 21.3LowPriStkK r 50.85 -0.10 4.7 21.7LowPriStkK6 13.61 -0.02 4.8 22.3LtdTmBdFd n 11.95 0.00 -0.2 12.6MagellanK 13.05 0.36 0.1 48.3Magin n 13.06 0.36 0.1 47.9MAMun n 12.65 0.02 0.0 12.8Manager40 n 13.40 0.11 1.3 24.7Manager60 n 15.12 0.17 2.0 29.0McpVl n 24.29 0.27 6.1 4.0MegaCpStk n 16.70 0.18 3.7 33.6MidCap n 38.69 0.15 4.1 29.3MidCapEnIdx nr 18.10 0.23 5.5 29.8MidCapStkK r 38.71 0.16 4.1 29.7MIMun n 12.78 0.02 0.2 14.5MNMun n 12.17 0.02 0.0 13.4MtgSec n 11.58 0.00 0.0 13.0MuniInc n 13.64 0.02 0.4 15.7NASDAQ nr 170.01 6.86 5.1 87.3NewInsights Z 38.88 1.48 2.9 47.9NewMill n 37.96 -0.06 3.8 21.1NewMkt nr 14.89 0.02 -1.2 5.3NJMun nr 12.64 0.03 0.8 17.3NYMun n 13.68 0.02 0.3 13.6OHMun n 12.52 0.01 0.0 12.9OTC n 18.34 0.78 4.7 92.0OTC K 18.68 0.80 4.7 92.6OverseasK r 59.84 0.54 0.9 21.7Ovrse n 59.98 0.54 0.9 21.3PAMun nr 11.59 0.02 0.1 14.0PcBas nr 46.90 1.32 6.9 46.5PuritanK 26.64 0.45 2.5 37.8Puritn n 26.66 0.44 2.5 37.4RealE n 39.62 0.71 0.5 15.9RealEstInc nr 11.92 0.12 1.2 19.1REInc n 10.62 0.08 1.1 19.8SAIIntlMinVolInd 10.87 0.04 0.6 5.6SAILTTreBdIdx 11.72 -0.01 -3.7 32.5SAISm-MidCap500I 14.94 0.20 5.5 41.8SAIUSMinVolIndFd 16.41 0.12 -0.5 37.1SAIUSQtyIdx 16.29 0.42 1.2 49.6SCEnhIdx n 17.00 0.37 10.4 33.2SmallCap nr 21.99 0.46 6.6 33.8SmCapDisc n 25.46 0.37 5.8 19.3SmlCapO n 17.23 0.32 7.5 43.7SmlCpGrth nr 36.95 1.00 8.5 80.6SmlCpGrth K6 21.50 0.58 8.7 82.2SmlCpVal nr 18.37 0.19 8.4 19.9Srs1000ValIndRet 13.56 -0.02 2.6 17.1SrsBlChGroRetail n 17.81 0.67 6.2 123.7SrsCommStrt 4.64 -0.08 1.1 -7.7SrsEmrgMkt 27.03 0.69 8.3 35.7SrsGlobal 14.94 0.20 4.2 13.7SrsGroCoRetail 24.20 0.85 6.3 123.0SrsIntlGrw 18.07 0.28 1.6 37.5SrsIntlSmCp 20.83 0.15 1.5 27.6SrsIntlVal 10.39 0.00 3.0 1.3SrsSmCapDiscRet 13.14 0.18 5.8 26.4STBF n 8.78 0.00 0.1 9.7StkSelSmCp n 33.05 0.67 8.0 49.6StkSlcACap n 58.60 1.11 3.1 46.2StratDivInc n 16.59 0.11 2.4 29.6StrDivIncI 16.53 0.10 2.4 29.5TaxFrB nr 12.20 0.03 0.5 16.2TotalBond n 11.25 0.00 -0.5 19.6TotalBond K6 10.47 0.00 -0.5 19.8
Trend n 155.23 5.33 2.3 83.8Utility n 28.04 0.06 2.0 32.8Value n 12.66 -0.02 5.7 20.9ValueDisc n 33.30 -0.04 3.5 19.9ValueK 12.68 -0.01 5.8 21.3Wrldw n 35.20 0.78 2.8 54.1Fidelity SAI:FidSAIEmgMktIndx 17.93 0.46 7.9 19.4FidSAIIntlIndxFd 13.41 0.13 2.6 10.5IntlValIdx 9.20 -0.02 3.8 -7.7LowDurationInc 10.01 0.00 0.0 NSMuni Inc 10.88 0.02 0.4 NSSAIEmgMktLoVolIx 10.95 0.13 3.5 NSShortTermBd 10.02 0.00 -0.1 NSTotalBd 10.70 0.01 -0.4 NSTxFreeBd 10.92 0.01 0.4 NSU.S.TreBdIdx 10.29 0.00 -1.0 16.4USMomentumIdx 17.55 0.64 5.2 54.8USValueIndex 10.63 -0.03 5.6 9.1Fidelity Selects:Biotech nr 26.71 0.23 6.1 63.2Chem nr 14.78 -0.18 2.7 -3.5Comp nr 113.84 2.48 3.8 86.4ConDis nr 69.29 1.44 4.7 65.1ConStap nr 92.26 -0.66 -3.0 15.9DfAero nr 16.27 -0.10 -1.0 7.3Energy nr 25.90 -0.39 11.3 -42.2FinSvc nr 10.54 -0.22 3.6 10.8Gold nr 28.69 0.37 -2.8 43.7Health nr 33.67 0.58 6.1 71.4HlthCareSrvPt r nr 128.33 1.36 4.2 49.1Ind n 37.81 -0.17 0.1 15.5ITSvs n 92.07 1.38 -1.7 77.1Leisr nr 17.81 0.18 -0.3 33.3MdTchDevis n 78.18 1.46 7.3 95.2Multimedia nr 85.25 4.45 2.8 68.0Pharm n 24.88 0.36 5.1 51.9Retail nr 23.85 0.40 4.8 83.7Semiconductors r nr 17.67 0.54 8.9 115.1Softwr nr 27.12 0.80 0.0 95.5Tech nr 28.48 1.17 6.0 120.6UtilGr nr 93.43 -0.30 1.8 38.7Fidelity Series:Canada 11.64 -0.12 0.8 12.5FASeriesEqGroFd 16.90 0.65 4.8 91.2HthCarZ 74.08 1.26 6.0 NSIntMuni Z 10.90 0.01 0.2 NSSTCrFd 10.23 0.00 0.0 11.3Fiera Capital:EmgMkt Inst 63.96 1.09 5.8 18.6First Eagle Funds:GlbA 62.05 0.20 1.3 15.5Gold p 24.69 0.24 -2.1 46.0OverseasA 25.93 0.07 1.4 10.1US Val A t 19.00 0.01 0.9 15.7US Val I r 19.37 0.02 0.9 16.6FMI Funds:IntlInvst n 33.27 0.14 2.7 5.9LgCapInvst n 19.66 -0.05 0.8 25.1FPA Funds:FPACres n 37.24 0.24 3.5 24.2NwInc n 10.03 0.01 0.2 9.1Franklin A1:AZ TF A1 p 11.08 0.01 0.0 13.0CA TF A1 p 7.80 0.01 -0.1 15.9CAHY A1 p 11.37 0.02 0.4 16.8CAInt A1 p 12.19 0.01 0.0 10.3Fed TF A1 p 12.32 0.02 0.2 14.3FedInt A1 p 12.38 0.02 0.1 10.4HiInc A1 1.89 0.00 0.5 17.5HY TF A1 p 10.41 0.02 0.8 17.5IncomeA1 p 2.33 0.00 1.7 12.7MIInsTF A1 p 12.00 0.02 0.1 14.3MNInsTF A1 p 12.82 0.02 -0.1 13.0MO TF A1 p 11.99 0.01 0.0 13.6NC TF A1 p 11.80 0.02 0.1 12.5NJ TF A1 p 11.61 0.02 0.3 13.2NY TF A1 p 11.39 0.02 0.1 13.2OHInsTF A1 p 13.16 0.02 0.0 13.3OR TF A1 p 11.93 0.02 -0.1 12.8PA TF A1 p 10.05 0.02 0.1 11.9US Gov A1 p 6.07 -0.01 -0.2 9.9Utils A1 p 19.53 -0.12 -0.8 32.6Franklin Templeton:TgtGro A p 20.07 0.25 2.2 27.8TgtModA p 16.41 0.15 1.5 23.2FrankTemp/Frank Adv:CA HY Adv t 11.40 0.02 0.5 17.2CA IntAdv 12.22 0.00 0.0 10.6CA TF Adv t 7.79 0.01 0.0 16.3CvtScAdv 29.39 0.44 3.9 88.8Dynat Adv 153.06 5.55 5.7 116.3Fed TF Adv 12.33 0.02 0.2 14.6FedIntAdv 12.41 0.01 0.1 10.8GrOpAdv p 59.52 1.55 0.9 82.2Growth Adv t 138.22 3.05 1.8 61.0HY TF Adv 10.46 0.02 0.9 17.8IncomeAdv 2.31 0.00 1.8 13.2RisDv Adv r 80.59 -0.06 0.6 38.1SmCpGrAdv p 32.83 0.78 8.0 87.8SmCpValAdv t 57.32 0.56 7.3 21.0StrInc Adv p 9.55 0.02 0.2 10.6USGovAdv p 6.09 -0.01 -0.2 10.4Utils Adv 19.71 -0.13 -0.8 33.2
FrankTemp/Franklin A:BAL A t 12.79 -0.07 1.3 19.3BalInv p 33.20 -0.07 3.8 4.7BioDis A p 178.17 0.17 4.0 44.1CoreAll A p 22.29 0.27 1.7 32.5CvtSc A p 29.39 0.45 3.9 87.4DynaTech A p 147.64 5.34 5.6 114.7EqIn A p 27.53 -0.15 0.8 20.7FlRtDA A p 7.62 0.01 1.5 0.2FoundFAlA p 13.75 -0.02 1.9 5.3FrkIntlGrthA 21.88 0.52 1.8 49.5FSmCoSer r 23.78 0.45 3.3 6.5GoldPrM A p 24.34 0.23 -3.1 68.1GrOp A p 54.03 1.40 0.9 80.9Growth A p 137.78 3.03 1.7 59.8LwDuToRt A 9.64 0.00 0.2 8.6RisDv A p 80.68 -0.05 0.6 37.0SmCpGr A p 29.56 0.70 8.0 86.5SmCpVal A p 54.00 0.52 7.3 20.1SmMCpGrA p 49.10 0.91 4.8 93.5StrInc A p 9.53 0.01 0.1 9.7TgtCon A p 15.07 0.10 0.8 17.6TtlRtn A p 10.16 0.00 -0.6 15.1FrankTemp/Franklin C:CA TF C t 7.79 0.01 0.0 14.1DynaTech C p 120.87 4.36 5.6 109.8Fed TF C t 12.31 0.02 0.2 12.4Growth C t 123.16 2.70 1.7 56.2Income C t 2.36 -0.01 1.7 10.7RisDv C t 79.13 -0.07 0.6 34.0Utils C t 19.40 -0.13 -0.8 30.6FrankTemp/Franklin R:FrkDynTchR6 154.83 5.61 5.7 116.9FrkGrthOppR6 60.52 1.58 0.9 82.7FrkGrthR6 138.08 3.04 1.8 61.4FrkIncR6 2.31 -0.01 1.8 13.3FrkRisDivR6 80.58 -0.05 0.6 38.4FrkSmCpGrR6 33.52 0.79 8.0 88.8FrkTotRtnR6 10.24 0.01 -0.6 16.5MutShrR6 26.04 -0.09 2.8 5.6TempGlbBndR6 9.68 0.00 -0.3 -3.7TmpGrthR6 23.92 0.07 1.3 0.0TmpFrgnR6 7.24 0.03 3.4 -4.6FrankTemp/Mutual A&B:Beacn A 16.64 0.12 2.1 15.9Shares A 25.76 -0.09 2.9 4.5FrankTemp/Temp A:DvMk A p 27.83 0.76 9.5 30.3Frgn A p 7.38 0.03 3.4 -5.8GlBond A p 9.73 0.00 -0.3 -4.7GlSmCo A p 11.12 0.21 4.4 15.1Growth A p 23.94 0.07 1.3 -0.9World A p 14.36 0.02 1.6 2.6FrankTemp/Temp Adv:Frng Adv 7.25 0.03 3.4 -5.1GlBondAdv p 9.69 0.01 -0.2 -4.0TGlTotRAdv 9.89 -0.01 -0.6 -4.2FrankTemp/Temp B&C:GlBond C p 9.76 0.00 -0.4 -5.9Frost Family of Fund:FrTRInst 10.34 0.03 0.4 11.3
GGabelli Funds:ABC pn 10.58 0.05 1.1 8.6Asset pn 55.09 0.22 1.9 22.0SmCapG n 45.15 0.69 4.9 18.0SmCpGrwI 46.90 0.72 4.9 18.9Util A p 7.90 -0.06 1.7 15.7GAMCO Funds:GwthAAA pn 87.85 3.56 2.7 81.2Gartmore Funds:NationwideInstSv 28.11 NA NA NAGateway:GatewayA 37.03 0.32 0.8 12.9GE Elfun/S&S:RSPIncm n 12.31 -0.01 -0.7 17.6RSPUSEq n 67.61 1.20 1.8 52.1Tax Ex n 11.66 0.02 0.1 13.7Trusts n 73.01 1.59 2.0 55.6GMO Trust Class III:EmgCntryDt r 26.08 0.07 -1.4 13.5Quality 26.04 0.45 1.7 49.6GMO Trust Class IV:EmgCntrDt 26.04 0.08 -1.3 13.7IntlEq 23.42 0.15 3.4 2.5Quality 26.10 0.45 1.7 49.8GMO Trust Class VI:EmgMkts r 37.36 0.63 7.8 12.8Quality 26.04 0.45 1.7 50.0Goldman Sachs A:CapGr 29.09 0.59 1.9 50.3HYMuni p 10.54 NA NA NAMuni 16.73 NA NA NAGoldman Sachs Inst:CoreFix 11.18 0.00 -0.9 20.0EmgMEq 33.19 NA NA NAGr 41.85 1.55 3.9 58.5HYMuni 10.54 NA NA NAInt 14.35 NA NA NAMuni 16.72 NA NA NAShDuTF 10.85 NA NA NASmCapVa 59.67 0.47 7.4 12.1
Guggenheim Funds Tru:MacOppFdClInstl 27.63 NA NA NATotRtnBdFdClInst 29.46 NA NA NATotRtnBondFdClA 29.44 NA NA NAGuideMark Funds:LgCpCorServ pn 25.95 0.57 3.9 44.9GuideStone Funds:AggrAllGS4 n 13.50 NA NA NABalAllGS4 n 13.05 NA NA NAEqindxGS2 41.91 NA NA NAEqIndxGS4 n 41.93 NA NA NAGrAllGS4 n 13.59 NA NA NAGrEqGS2 31.08 NA NA NAGrEqGS4 n 30.73 NA NA NAIntEqGS2 15.21 NA NA NALowDurGS2 13.64 NA NA NAMedDurGS2 15.52 NA NA NAValEqGS2 19.98 NA NA NA
IICM Small Company:ICMSmCo 32.02 0.36 8.1 16.3IFP US Equity Fund:IFP US EquityFd 19.81 NA NA NAINVESCO A Shares:AmValA 36.54 -0.23 4.8 8.4Invesco Fds Investor:DivrsDiv n 20.25 -0.05 1.5 14.6GlHltCr pn 46.65 0.49 3.6 49.5Tech n 70.48 2.80 4.3 87.8Invesco Funds A:500InxA p 40.90 0.78 2.3 41.4ActiveAllA 15.24 0.21 3.7 24.2AMTFrNY p 12.05 0.02 0.4 22.5BalancedRiskAllA 11.38 -0.02 1.6 17.0CapApprA p 75.21 2.53 2.5 66.7Chart 18.21 0.34 3.1 29.3CmstA 25.40 -0.24 4.7 7.7CoreBdA p 6.97 0.00 -0.6 18.5
CpBdA 7.90 0.00 -0.6 23.6DevMkt 44.87 0.43 4.5 23.5DevMktA 56.93 1.07 4.8 24.6DiscFdA p 119.58 4.35 9.0 104.1DisMdCpGrA 32.09 0.57 5.4 79.5DivIncm p 23.43 -0.12 2.1 10.4DivrsDiv p 20.25 -0.05 1.5 14.4EqIncA 11.25 -0.04 2.6 17.5EqInvA 15.59 0.23 3.9 22.4EqWtdA p 69.15 0.16 2.9 30.0GblAllocA 22.33 0.19 3.1 19.0GblStrIncmA p 3.78 0.00 -0.4 8.4GlbOppA p 83.53 2.37 6.8 42.1Glcoreeq p 14.87 0.25 1.8 14.8GlGr 34.91 0.37 2.5 31.3GlHltCr 46.64 0.49 3.6 49.5GrIncA 24.01 -0.12 4.1 8.8GrowAlloc p 16.34 0.21 3.4 23.2Hyld 4.01 0.00 0.8 13.2HYMuA 10.27 0.03 1.2 16.6IntlBdA p 5.79 0.00 -0.9 8.4IntlDivA 23.02 0.36 2.7 23.6IntlGrow 33.33 0.41 3.0 20.9IntlGrowA p 48.10 0.90 1.9 21.8IntlSmCoA 55.68 0.79 0.5 32.2IntTMIA p 11.52 0.01 0.5 12.4InvescoFd p 27.42 0.56 -2.1 66.9InvGloblFdA 118.14 3.87 2.2 37.8LmtdTrmMunInc p 11.58 0.01 0.3 8.9MnStFndA 54.99 1.01 3.1 36.0MnStOpA p 23.99 0.65 3.5 40.0MnStSmCpA p 28.62 0.32 4.0 26.0ModInvA 12.28 0.14 2.8 23.4MunInA 13.82 0.03 0.6 14.8QualityIncomeA 11.91 0.00 0.1 12.8RchHiYldMuniA 8.06 0.02 1.3 32.7RealEst p 18.16 0.15 0.3 11.8RisingDivA 23.14 0.34 1.2 32.9RochAMTFrMuni 7.90 0.02 0.6 30.0RochCAMuni 9.20 0.01 0.3 23.9RochLmtTrNYMuni p 3.07 0.00 0.2 23.1RochPAMuni 11.53 0.02 0.6 33.5RoMu A p 17.28 0.06 0.9 31.8SenFltRtA 6.90 0.01 1.6 -2.2ShortTerm p 8.68 0.00 0.1 9.4SmCpEq p 16.43 0.47 9.8 40.7SmCpGr 52.68 1.53 10.3 84.1SmCpValA t 17.06 -0.12 7.8 10.9SP IncomeA 3.32 -0.12 8.9 -23.9Tech p 70.77 2.81 4.3 87.3Invesco Funds C:EqWtdC 65.89 0.15 2.9 27.2RchHiYldMunC 8.02 0.02 1.1 30.1SenFltRtC 6.90 0.00 1.6 -4.4TEHYC 10.23 0.02 1.2 14.0Invesco Funds Instl:IntlGrow 34.04 0.43 3.0 22.2SmCpGr 62.73 1.82 10.3 86.1Invesco Funds P:Summit P pn 30.65 1.17 4.0 84.6Invesco Funds Y:BalancedRiskAllY n 11.59 -0.02 1.6 17.8DevMktY n 56.06 1.06 4.9 25.5DiscovY n 141.87 5.15 9.0 105.5EqWtdY n 69.90 0.16 3.0 31.0GlblOppY n 85.49 2.43 6.8 43.1GloblY n 118.75 3.89 2.2 38.8IntGrowY n 47.79 0.90 1.9 22.7IntlBdY n 5.79 0.00 -0.9 9.2IntlSmCoY n 55.24 0.79 0.5 33.2RocMuniY n 17.28 0.05 0.9 32.7Sel40Y n 4.83 -0.15 6.1 -28.2CoreBdY n 6.93 0.00 -0.5 19.7IVA Funds:Intl I r 15.50 0.05 2.0 -5.0WorldwideA t 16.84 0.06 2.1 2.5WorldwideI r 16.93 0.06 2.1 3.3Ivy Funds:AssetStrA p 24.23 0.17 1.1 24.4AssetStr I r 24.62 0.17 1.1 25.3BalancedA p 26.50 0.18 1.5 30.8CoreEqA t 17.37 0.29 2.7 44.9EmgMktEqFdI 31.04 0.67 9.2 37.2GlGrFundClA p 55.78 0.81 2.7 33.9HiIncA p 7.10 0.00 1.4 13.9HiIncI r 7.10 0.00 1.4 14.6IntlCorEqI r 19.34 -0.07 2.9 2.1LgCpGwthA p 29.01 0.91 0.2 68.0LgCpGwthl r 31.10 0.98 0.3 69.6LtdTrmI r 11.10 -0.01 0.0 10.0MidCapI 42.85 0.78 5.3 104.2MdCpGwthA p 38.68 0.70 5.3 101.8MuniHighIncA t 5.08 0.00 0.4 12.2ScTechA p 94.62 4.09 5.9 90.1ScTechI r 108.24 4.68 5.9 91.3SmCapGrA t 23.18 0.67 8.7 70.3SmCapGrI r 33.33 0.96 8.7 72.2
JJanus Henderson:Balanced C 40.66 0.52 0.5 33.1Balanced S 41.12 0.53 0.5 35.3Balanced T n 41.21 0.54 0.6 36.4Contrarian T n 27.61 0.23 3.0 69.9Enterprise Inst 96.52 0.89 2.5 55.1Enterprise T n 159.77 1.46 2.5 54.7FlxBnd T n 11.31 -0.01 -0.8 19.9Forty S 46.49 1.66 1.4 79.0GlbEqIncA 6.83 0.02 3.2 2.6GlbResch T nr 99.90 1.50 2.5 38.3GblResh Inst 65.19 0.98 2.5 38.7GlbSel T n 18.16 0.20 3.7 30.1GlLifeSci T nr 73.36 0.85 3.3 61.6GlTech T nr 55.81 2.55 4.2 112.4
Data provided byMutual Funds
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M30 BARRON’S January 25, 2021
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Net YTD 3-Yr.NAVChg. %Ret. %Ret.
Grw&Inc T n 66.05 1.00 2.4 32.5MdCpVal T n 16.14 -0.11 2.5 10.8Resh T n 65.20 2.34 1.5 66.2SCVal T n 22.42 0.18 5.6 4.9Venture T n 106.36 2.16 5.1 59.8Jensen I :Jensen I 55.05 0.81 -0.7 47.1JensenQualGrJ n:JensenQualGrJ n 55.07 0.81 -0.7 46.0John Hancock:500Index1 44.08 0.84 2.3 42.4BondI 16.67 0.01 -0.6 19.5BondR6 16.70 0.01 -0.5 19.9CapApprNAV 21.34 0.78 3.3 96.4ClassicVal I 32.95 -0.48 4.8 -0.4DispVal I 21.66 -0.06 4.4 10.6DispValMdCpR6 24.21 -0.09 3.9 16.7DispValR6 21.70 -0.06 4.4 11.0GblShrhYldI 11.32 0.00 2.0 6.9IntlGrwI 38.72 1.42 5.4 35.7MdCpIdxI 22.79 0.36 6.8 28.4Science&TechI 43.93 1.47 4.9 109.3TotalStkMktIdxI 27.15 0.53 3.4 45.0VolGrw1 12.38 0.17 2.9 8.5John Hancock Class 1:BlueChipGrw 57.29 2.27 2.3 66.6CapAppr 21.24 0.78 3.4 96.1LSAggr 16.78 0.29 4.4 32.9LSBalncd 15.68 0.16 2.4 27.2LSConserv 13.68 0.04 0.4 18.6LSGwth 16.37 0.23 3.5 30.4LSModer 14.25 0.09 1.3 22.6MidCapStock 27.34 0.60 4.5 116.6RetCho2015 11.72 0.03 0.0 17.2RetCho2025 12.74 0.06 0.5 21.2RetCho2030 13.89 0.11 1.0 24.5RetCho2035 14.66 0.17 1.9 27.0RetCho2040R4 15.01 0.19 2.3 28.2RetCho2045 15.33 0.21 2.6 29.1RetCho2050R4 13.71 0.20 2.7 29.5RetLiv2025 11.23 0.12 2.1 28.0RetLiv2030 11.77 0.15 2.6 30.4RetLiv2035 12.39 0.19 3.2 32.2RetLiv2040 12.70 0.22 3.8 34.1RetLiv2045 12.54 0.23 4.1 35.0John Hancock Funds A:BalA 24.71 0.30 1.4 30.2BondA p 16.67 0.01 -0.6 18.5DispVal 22.46 -0.06 4.4 9.9DispValMdCp 23.17 -0.09 3.9 15.5FunLgCpCorA p 62.06 1.50 3.8 36.9InvGrBdA 11.12 0.00 -0.5 17.6IntlGrw 38.62 1.42 5.3 34.5LifeAggr 16.87 0.28 4.4 31.4LifeBal 15.81 0.16 2.4 25.9LifeConsv 13.71 0.04 0.4 17.3LifeGrw 16.46 0.22 3.5 28.9LifeMod 14.34 0.09 1.3 21.2StrIncA p 6.77 0.00 -0.3 14.0USGlobLdrs 63.02 1.20 0.3 74.8John Hancock Instl:BalancedI 24.68 0.30 1.4 31.4DispValMCI 24.22 -0.09 3.9 16.4FunLgCpCorI 65.18 1.58 3.8 37.9IncomeI 6.75 0.00 -0.4 14.9StratIncmOppI 11.36 0.01 0.0 13.2USGlbLdrsGrwI 69.67 1.32 0.3 76.1JPMorgan A Class:CoreBond 12.21 NA NA NACorePlusBd p 8.68 NA NA NAEmMktEq t 46.26 NA NA NAEqInc p 19.78 NA NA NAEqIndx p 58.50 NA NA NAGwthAdv p 31.74 NA NA NAInv Bal p 16.34 NA NA NAInvCon p 13.57 NA NA NAInvG&I p 18.94 NA NA NAInvGrwt p 23.39 NA NA NALgCpGwth p 61.76 NA NA NAMdCpGrw p 44.89 NA NA NAMdCpVal p 37.59 NA NA NAShrtDurBd p 11.16 NA NA NASmCap p 61.64 NA NA NASmCapGrw p 27.54 NA NA NASR2020 p 18.66 NA NA NASR2030 p 21.07 NA NA NASR2040A p 24.26 NA NA NAUSEquity 19.66 NA NA NAValAdv t 36.75 NA NA NAJPMorgan C Class:InvBal p 16.04 NA NA NAInvConsvGr t 13.49 NA NA NAJPMorgan Funds:Fl EmMktEq L 47.75 NA NA NAMdCpVal L 38.63 NA NA NAUSEquity L 19.77 NA NA NAJPMorgan I Class:CoreBond 12.20 NA NA NACorePlusBd 8.68 NA NA NAEmMktEq I 47.37 NA NA NAEqInc 20.15 NA NA NAEqIndx 58.58 NA NA NAGrAdv r 33.16 NA NA NAGvBd 11.20 NA NA NAHighYld 7.18 NA NA NAIntlEqIndx 19.63 NA NA NAIntmdTFBd 11.32 NA NA NAInvConGw 13.66 NA NA NALgCpGwth 63.00 NA NA NAMdCpGrw 54.29 NA NA NAMdCpVal 38.08 NA NA NAMtgBckd 11.55 NA NA NAShtDurBnd 11.17 NA NA NASmCap 72.74 NA NA NASmCapGrw 31.41 NA NA NA
SR2030 I 21.15 NA NA NATxAwEq 41.74 NA NA NAUSEquity 19.73 NA NA NAUSLgCpCorPls 24.69 NA NA NAUSRechEnhEq 32.89 NA NA NAValAdv 36.92 NA NA NAJPMorgan Inst Class:ValAdv L 36.94 NA NA NAJPMorgan R Class:CoreBond 12.22 NA NA NACorePlusBd 8.69 NA NA NAHighYld r 7.18 NA NA NALimDurBd 10.21 NA NA NAMtgBckd 11.55 NA NA NAShtDurBnd 11.17 NA NA NASmCpEqR5 72.97 NA NA NASmCpVal 29.32 NA NA NAUSEqR5 19.78 NA NA NAUSRechEnhEq 32.84 NA NA NAJPMorgan R5 Class:SR2020 R5 18.77 NA NA NASR2030 R5 21.21 NA NA NASR2040 R5 24.43 NA NA NASRIncome R5 17.64 NA NA NAJPMorgan Select Cls:SmCpGrL 32.67 NA NA NA
LLaudus Funds:USLgCpGr nr 29.60 1.14 1.4 74.1Lazard Instl:EmgMktEq 18.90 -0.01 4.8 -4.7GlbLstInfr 14.30 -0.20 -2.4 9.3IntlEq 20.38 0.04 1.8 9.5IntStrtEq r 17.01 0.05 1.1 13.9USEQ Concen Inst 18.28 0.14 1.3 29.3Lazard Open:IntlStrEq n 17.17 0.06 1.1 13.0LeggMason A:GrowFdClA 17.39 NA NA NALeggMason I:IntlGrTrI 70.26 NA NA NAOpporTrI 49.12 1.66 12.3 74.1Longleaf Partners:Intl n 17.73 0.06 2.0 6.8Partners n 22.66 -0.24 4.3 3.3Sm-Cap n 25.07 -0.25 5.1 16.6Loomis Sayles Fds:HiInc 6.20 0.00 1.0 9.8LSBondI 13.53 -0.01 -0.4 9.1LSBondR pn 13.46 -0.01 -0.4 8.4LSCorBndA p 13.91 0.01 -0.6 18.6LSFixIncl 13.20 -0.01 -0.1 15.0LSStrIncA p 14.02 -0.01 -0.1 7.1SmCpGI 37.81 1.11 8.0 74.3Lord Abbett A:Affiltd p 15.62 0.03 2.5 11.8BdDeb p 8.49 0.04 1.1 17.4CalibrDivGr 17.96 0.08 0.6 33.6CoreFxdInc p 11.28 0.01 -0.5 16.5DevGt p 34.20 1.38 11.9 155.4FloatRt p 8.39 0.01 1.3 5.9FundlEq p 12.51 0.05 3.6 13.3HiYldA t 7.48 0.02 1.1 14.3HYMuniBd p 12.76 0.05 1.5 21.5IncomeA p 3.02 0.00 -0.2 19.0IntrTxFr 11.39 0.01 0.5 14.1MidCapStk 30.46 0.16 5.0 9.1MultiAstBalOppty 13.52 0.11 3.1 29.6MultiAstInc 17.08 0.10 2.3 22.5ShDurTxFr 15.93 0.01 0.2 7.5ShtDurIncmA p 4.22 0.00 0.4 10.3TaxFr p 12.08 0.03 0.7 16.8TotRet p 10.68 0.00 -0.5 15.6ValOpps p 20.47 0.37 6.8 28.0Lord Abbett C:BdDeb 8.51 0.04 1.1 15.2FloatRt p 8.40 0.01 1.4 3.9ShtDurIncmC t 4.24 0.00 0.1 8.2Lord Abbett F:BdDeb 8.48 0.04 1.3 17.8DevGt p 36.63 1.48 11.9 156.6FloatRt p 8.38 0.01 1.3 6.2HiYld p 7.48 0.03 1.2 14.8HYMuniBd 12.77 0.05 1.5 21.8Income 3.02 0.00 -0.1 19.3IntrTxFr 11.39 0.02 0.5 14.6NatlTxF p 12.07 0.03 0.7 17.1ShtDurIncm 4.21 0.00 0.1 10.6ShtDurTxF p 15.94 0.01 0.3 7.9TotRet 10.68 0.00 -0.4 16.0Lord Abbett I:BdDebentr 8.44 0.03 1.2 18.0DevlpGro 43.62 1.76 11.9 157.3FloatRt 8.40 0.01 1.4 6.5HiYld 7.52 0.03 1.2 15.1ShtDurInc p 4.21 0.00 0.2 11.0LSVValEq :LSVValEq 27.12 0.00 5.9 5.1
MMainStay Fds A:ConvtA 24.12 NA NA NAHiYldBdA 5.66 NA NA NAIncBldr 20.80 NA NA NALgCpGrA p 12.15 NA NA NATxFrBdA 10.72 NA NA NAMainStay Fds I:EpochGlb r 18.69 NA NA NAMacKaySTMuni 9.74 0.00 0.2 7.1S&P500Idx 50.57 NA NA NAS&P500IdxA 49.66 NA NA NA
TRBd 11.40 NA NA NAMairs&Power:MairsPwrBal n 107.11 1.12 1.8 27.7MairsPwrGr n 140.04 2.78 2.9 40.9Marsico Funds:Focus pn 26.04 0.88 1.2 86.0MassMutual:SelBluChipGroClI 30.56 1.02 1.8 65.3MassMutual Premier:CoreBdI 11.22 0.02 -0.3 19.4MassMutual Select:BlackRockGlAllCi 12.87 NA NA NABlChpGrR5 30.49 1.02 1.8 64.8IdxEqI 18.96 0.36 2.4 43.2IndxEqR4 n 18.34 0.35 2.3 41.0MCGrEqIII 29.24 0.36 3.5 57.5MCpGrEqIIS 28.86 0.36 3.5 57.0PIMCITRetI 10.25 0.00 -0.7 19.7Matthews Asian Funds:AsiaDivInv nr 24.00 0.67 6.1 27.4AsiaGroInv nr 44.06 2.09 11.7 62.9Asian G&I Inv nr 19.11 0.36 5.9 24.7AsiaInnovInv n 30.67 1.97 14.9 112.6ChinaInv n 31.06 2.26 15.0 53.0DLStrIncmR 31.00 2.25 15.1 53.8IndiaInv nr 26.80 0.10 1.9 2.4JapanInv nr 26.01 0.32 2.9 24.9PacTigerInv nr 38.13 1.30 9.1 31.1MergerFundThe pn:MergerFundThe pn 17.66 0.04 1.3 19.8Meridian Funds:Growth n 50.87 0.99 5.9 49.7Value n 44.55 0.61 6.9 41.7MetropolitanWest:HiYldBdI 10.69 -0.01 0.5 24.6IntmBdI 10.89 0.00 -0.1 16.5LowDurBdI 8.93 0.01 0.2 10.0TotRetBd n 11.11 0.00 -0.6 18.9TotRetBdI 11.11 0.01 -0.6 19.7TRBdPlan 10.42 0.01 -0.6 20.0UnconstrBdI 12.03 0.01 0.2 13.0MFS Funds Class A:AgGrAlA p 28.55 0.26 1.9 35.5BondA p 15.56 -0.02 -1.2 22.7CoEqyA 41.79 0.85 2.4 46.6ConAllA p 17.65 0.08 0.5 25.2Growth A p 152.26 5.29 1.1 73.8GlEqA 52.72 -0.01 -0.1 27.3GlTotA p 19.04 -0.01 1.2 17.6GrAllA p 24.46 0.20 1.5 32.9GvScA p 10.32 0.00 -0.5 13.7HiInA p 3.45 0.00 0.2 15.2IntGrA t 43.22 0.39 1.8 30.3IntlDvFdA t 24.15 0.19 2.2 25.0IntlIntVA t 51.84 0.23 0.2 31.4IntNwDA p 37.01 0.27 0.8 16.1LtdMA p 6.12 0.00 0.1 10.5MCapA 28.77 0.45 2.0 80.0MCpValA p 26.50 -0.09 3.7 19.9MIGA p 37.75 0.72 0.7 63.0MITA p 36.48 0.47 1.9 36.6ModAllA p 20.54 0.13 0.9 29.8MuHiA 8.58 0.03 1.2 17.2MuInA p 9.17 0.02 0.7 15.0MuLtA 8.43 0.01 0.3 10.6NewDA t 38.84 1.05 7.4 106.8ReInA p 22.50 0.21 1.7 19.6RetBdA t 11.52 -0.01 -0.7 18.2RschA p 51.93 0.95 1.5 42.6TechA p 67.12 2.69 2.8 91.4TotRA p 20.70 -0.02 1.2 22.2UtilA p 23.10 -0.05 1.5 34.1ValueA p 45.32 -0.24 1.0 16.2MFS Funds Class C:GrAllC p 24.00 0.19 1.4 30.0Growth C t 116.96 4.05 1.1 69.9ModAllC p 20.13 0.13 1.0 26.9ValueC t 44.80 -0.23 1.0 13.7MFS Funds Class I:BondI 15.54 -0.02 -1.2 23.5ConAllI 17.83 0.09 0.6 26.1Growth I 163.62 5.69 1.1 75.0IntNwDI 38.21 0.28 0.8 16.9MCapI 30.74 0.47 2.0 81.3MCpValI 27.21 -0.09 3.8 20.8MIGI p 39.07 0.75 0.7 64.2MITI 35.22 0.46 1.9 37.6ReInT t 23.33 0.22 1.7 20.5RetBdI 11.52 -0.01 -0.6 18.7RschI 53.43 0.97 1.6 43.6TotRI 20.70 -0.02 1.3 23.1UStdI p 31.10 0.75 3.0 33.4ValueI 45.60 -0.23 1.1 17.1MFS Funds Instl:IntlEq 30.95 0.14 1.0 22.4Mondrian:IntlValEq n 14.12 NA NA NAMorgan Stanley Fds A:InsightA p 86.57 2.34 7.1 221.1Morgan Stanley Fds I:FxInOpp I 5.88 0.01 -0.2 14.7Insight I 98.48 2.67 7.1 223.9Morgan Stanley Inst:CapGrI 96.63 2.77 5.6 180.0CapGrP p 90.10 2.57 5.6 177.9CorPlusFxdIncI 11.69 0.01 -0.5 19.0Discovery I 48.04 2.17 11.1 298.2DiscoveryA p p 36.81 1.67 11.1 295.0GloFranI t 30.70 0.21 -1.6 36.6IntlEqI 16.45 0.07 1.5 12.1MorganStanleyPathway:CoreFxIcm n 8.49 0.00 -0.8 18.9EmgMkt n 18.18 0.42 7.1 11.7LgCapEq n 23.56 0.32 2.0 40.1Sm-MdCapEq nr 22.29 0.33 5.9 39.8
Munder Funds:MndrIntlSmCpInv r 16.67 0.18 2.2 14.2Munder Funds Cl Y:MndrSCVClY p 38.57 0.18 7.9 5.1Mutual Series:BeacnZ n 16.82 0.12 2.1 16.7GlbDiscA 29.07 -0.09 3.4 4.1GlbDiscz n 29.74 -0.10 3.4 4.8QuestA t 13.30 -0.04 1.6 -0.3QuestZ n 13.52 -0.04 1.6 0.5SharesZ n 26.06 -0.09 2.9 5.3
NNationwide Fds R6:BdIdxR6 11.71 NA NA NAIntIdxR6 8.75 NA NA NAMidCapIdxR6 18.22 NA NA NANationwide Fds Serv:IDAggr p 9.97 NA NA NAIDMod p 10.07 NA NA NAIDModAggr p 10.17 NA NA NANatixis Funds:InvGradeBdA p 11.60 0.01 -0.4 19.4InvGradeBdY 11.61 0.01 -0.4 20.2LSGrowthY 23.43 0.63 1.3 59.7USEqOppsA 39.92 0.60 2.3 42.7Neuberger Berman Fds:EmgMktInst 24.70 0.39 6.4 11.6EqIncInst 13.61 0.07 2.3 17.6GenesInst 74.45 0.90 5.9 53.1HiIncBdInst 8.75 -0.01 0.3 17.9IntrinsicValInst 21.24 0.35 8.9 47.7LgShInst 16.55 0.10 -0.4 22.2MidCapGroR6 21.33 0.51 5.9 73.3MultCpOptyInst 15.41 0.22 1.1 32.3StrIncInst 11.48 -0.01 0.2 16.7SustainableEqIns 43.08 0.31 2.1 36.2Neuberger Berman Inv:Focus n 30.09 0.81 1.1 39.0Genes n 74.52 0.90 5.9 52.3Guard n 23.96 0.59 1.8 64.8IntlEqInst r 15.19 0.19 1.9 17.6LCVal n 38.25 -0.50 5.1 42.7MdCpGrInv n 21.10 0.50 5.9 71.8Neuberger Berman Tr:Genes n 74.46 0.89 5.9 52.0GenesisFdR6 74.37 0.90 5.9 53.5New Covenant Funds:Growth n 53.45 0.99 3.1 42.7Nicholas Group:Nch II I 32.53 0.32 3.1 46.6Nich n 77.62 1.25 0.7 48.9Northern Funds:ActMIntlEq nr 12.58 0.13 3.0 15.6BdIdx n 11.09 -0.01 -0.8 16.8CAIntTxEx n 11.07 0.01 -0.1 12.8EmMktsEqIdx nr 15.08 0.40 7.8 18.4FixIn n 10.77 -0.01 -0.5 17.1GlbREIdx nr 10.22 NA NA NAHiYFxInc n 6.80 0.00 0.7 18.0HiYMuni n 9.02 0.02 1.0 15.4IntlEqIdx nr 13.79 0.13 2.5 9.8IntTxExpt n 10.95 0.01 -0.1 12.8MidCpIdx n 22.37 0.35 6.8 29.5ShIntTaxFr n 10.48 0.00 0.0 9.0SmCapIdx n 16.80 0.35 9.8 39.7SmCpVal n 21.38 0.27 8.4 7.8StkIdx n 42.98 0.82 2.4 43.2TxExpt n 11.10 0.02 0.0 14.5Nuveen Cl A:AAMunBd p 12.21 0.03 0.5 16.5CAMunBd p 11.72 0.03 0.1 14.4HiYldMuBd p 17.86 0.05 1.6 19.4IntDMunBd p 9.66 0.01 0.3 13.6LtdMnBd p 11.39 0.00 0.2 10.5Nuveen Cl I:HYMunBd 17.86 0.05 1.6 20.1Nuveen Cl R:CAMunBd 11.73 0.02 0.1 15.0IntDMunBd 9.69 0.01 0.3 14.3LmtTrmR 11.35 0.00 0.2 11.2NYMunBd 11.34 0.02 0.5 13.6Nuveen Fds:RealEst 18.84 0.28 0.5 16.9
OOak Associates Funds:RedOakTec n 38.72 1.30 3.1 64.9Oakmark Funds Invest:EqtyInc nr 31.83 0.30 3.9 18.8GlbSel nr 21.81 0.37 4.0 12.8Global n 33.52 0.52 4.9 12.3Oakmark n 93.60 0.16 3.9 21.4OakmrkInt n 26.83 0.15 2.8 -6.2Select n 49.86 0.64 3.7 2.2Oberweis Funds:IntlOppInst 17.71 0.94 4.5 51.6OldWestbury Fds:AlCpCore n 22.23 0.38 0.8 49.5FixInc pn 11.56 0.00 -0.3 13.7LrgCpStr n 17.75 0.34 3.6 29.3MuniBd pn 12.54 0.01 -0.1 10.7OWstbryNYMuBndFd n 10.59 0.01 0.0 NSSm&MdCapStrategi n 19.31 0.37 4.8 34.3Optimum Funds Inst:Fixed Inc 9.94 0.00 -0.6 17.6Intl Eqty 15.33 0.12 4.6 14.0LgCpGrwth 25.11 0.87 1.5 64.5LgCpVal 18.30 -0.03 2.3 15.8SmCpGrwth 21.07 0.35 8.5 93.9SmCpVal 14.39 0.19 6.6 8.3Osterweis Strat Income:
OsterweisStrInc n 11.39 0.00 0.4 13.9
PQPACE Funds Cl P:IntlEqty P 17.69 0.13 3.3 10.8LgGrEqty P 27.68 0.79 2.4 70.2LgVEqty P 21.67 -0.13 3.2 4.7StraFxd P 14.38 -0.02 -0.6 19.5Pacific Life Funds:PortOptModAggClA p 15.21 NA NA NAPortOptModClA r 14.19 NA NA NAPalmer Square:Income Plus 10.06 NA NA NAParnassus Fds:ParnEqFd n 54.61 0.86 1.8 53.0Parnsus n 62.30 0.86 1.4 46.3PaxWorld Fds:SustAll Inv n 26.87 0.24 1.9 32.7Paydenfunds:CoreBd n 11.08 0.00 -0.6 15.2HiInc n 6.81 0.00 0.7 21.8LowDur n 10.19 0.00 0.2 9.1LtdMat n 9.53 0.00 0.1 7.0Pear Tree:ForeignVal I r 23.02 0.05 3.1 4.7PearValR6 11.80 0.03 3.1 5.0PearValSCapInst 15.09 -0.05 1.3 1.7Perm Port Funds:Permanent n 47.06 0.31 2.5 30.5PGIM Funds Cl A:2020FcA 18.25 0.50 4.2 53.5Balanced 17.74 NA NA NAHighYield 5.54 NA NA NAJennBlend 25.51 0.62 5.8 48.7JennGrowth 60.89 2.22 3.3 94.5JennHealthSci 52.86 0.64 5.8 58.0JennMidCapGrowth 22.14 0.30 4.8 77.7JennSmallCompany p 25.02 0.28 7.6 45.1JennUtility 16.24 0.03 1.6 40.5NationalMuni 15.33 0.03 0.4 13.4ShrtTermCorpBond 11.41 0.00 0.0 12.7TotalReturnBond p 14.98 NA NA NAPGIM Funds Cl C:TotalReturnBond 14.97 NA NA NAPGIM Funds Cl Z:GlobalRealEstate 22.67 0.29 0.0 14.4HighYield 5.56 NA NA NAJennGrowth 67.35 2.46 3.4 96.3JennHealthSci 61.13 0.74 5.8 59.4JennMidCapGrowth 27.81 0.37 4.8 79.3TotalReturnBond 14.93 NA NA NAPIMCO Fds Admin:RealRetAd p 12.32 NA NA NATotRtAd p 10.53 0.00 -0.6 17.0PIMCO Fds Instl:AllAsset 12.84 NA NA NAAllAssetAuth r 8.61 NA NA NACommodtyRR 6.14 NA NA NADivInc 11.33 0.01 -0.6 18.4EmMktsBd 10.74 0.03 -1.2 15.7EmrgMktCur&STInv 8.12 -0.01 -0.5 0.9ExtdDur 8.27 NA NA NAGlblBdOppUSH 10.76 0.01 0.2 14.2HiYld 9.07 -0.01 0.1 17.6HiYldMuniBd 9.73 0.02 1.0 21.3IntlBdUnhedged r 10.69 0.03 -0.3 12.4IntlBdUSH 11.08 NA NA NAInvGrdCrBd 11.16 0.00 -1.0 20.4LgTmRlRt 7.94 0.09 -0.7 40.7LgTrmCrdtBd 13.21 NA NA NALngDurTotRtrn 10.81 NA NA NALowDur 9.95 0.00 0.1 8.9LowDurInc r 8.70 0.01 0.4 13.9ModDur 10.60 0.01 -0.1 16.0MortgOppBd 11.00 0.00 0.4 13.1RAEFndmtlAdvPLUS 9.07 NA NA NARAEPLUS r 6.92 NA NA NARAEPlusEMG 11.29 NA NA NARealRtnI 12.32 NA NA NARERRStg 8.45 NA NA NAShortT 9.84 0.00 0.1 7.2ShtAssetInv 10.01 0.00 0.0 5.8StcksPLUSIntlHdg r 8.45 NA NA NAStcksPLUSSmall 12.04 NA NA NAStkPlsLgDur 9.04 NA NA NAStksPLS 12.03 NA NA NAStPlTRInst r 12.92 NA NA NATotRetESG 9.62 NA NA NATotRt 10.53 0.00 -0.5 17.9TRII 9.82 NA NA NATrndsMgdFutStrgy 10.44 NA NA NAPIMCO Funds:IncomeFd 12.13 NA NA NAStcksPLUSIntlHdg 8.35 NA NA NATotRet 10.53 0.00 -0.6 15.8PIMCO Funds A:AllAsset 12.85 NA NA NAHiYld 9.07 -0.01 0.1 16.4HiYldMuniBd 9.73 0.02 1.0 20.2IncomeFd 12.13 NA NA NAIntlBdUSH 11.08 NA NA NAInvstGrCrBd 11.16 0.00 -1.0 19.0LowDurA 9.95 0.00 0.0 7.9LowDurInc 8.70 0.01 0.4 12.5MuniBdA 10.50 0.02 0.5 16.2RealRtnA 12.32 NA NA NAShtTmA 9.84 0.00 0.1 6.4StksPLSTR 12.64 NA NA NATotRetA 10.53 0.00 -0.6 16.7PIMCO Funds C:IncomeFd 12.13 NA NA NATotRetIncC 10.53 0.00 -0.6 14.1PIMCO Funds I2:CommdtyRR 6.11 NA NA NA
ComPLUSStrtgyFd 5.20 NA NA NADivInc 11.33 0.01 -0.6 18.1GNMAGvtSec 11.46 NA NA NAHiYldMuniBd 9.73 0.02 1.0 20.9Income 12.13 NA NA NAIntlBdUSH 11.08 NA NA NAInvstGrCrBd 11.16 0.00 -1.0 20.1LowDurInc 8.70 0.01 0.4 13.6LwDur 9.95 0.00 0.0 8.6RealRtn 12.32 NA NA NAShtTm 9.84 0.00 0.1 6.9TotRt 10.53 0.00 -0.5 17.6PIMCO Funds Instl:ComPLUSStrtgyFd 5.23 NA NA NADynamicBd 10.85 0.01 0.5 13.0GNMAGvtSec 11.46 NA NA NAIncomeFd 12.13 NA NA NAInflRespMulAsset 8.98 NA NA NARAEPLUSIntl 7.35 NA NA NARAEPLUSSml 11.11 NA NA NAPioneer Funds A:AMTFreeMuniA p p 15.61 0.03 -0.5 17.3BondA 10.18 0.00 -0.3 17.6CoreEqA 22.78 0.18 1.0 37.7DiscGrA 18.62 0.36 0.5 61.1EqIncA 37.01 0.02 3.3 12.5HighIncMuniA 7.39 0.02 0.9 15.9MdCapVa 24.35 0.10 3.9 3.5PioFdA 35.29 0.38 2.2 53.0SelMCGrA 57.85 1.29 6.4 73.8StratIncA p p 11.39 0.02 -0.1 16.3Pioneer Funds Y:AMTFreeMuniY 15.55 0.03 -0.4 18.1BondY 10.09 0.01 -0.2 18.9SelMCGrY 64.56 1.43 6.4 75.1StratIncY p p 11.39 0.02 0.0 17.6Price Funds:2050RetFd n 18.42 0.32 3.6 35.4Balnanced n 27.78 0.35 2.0 29.2BdEnhIdx nr 11.65 0.00 -0.6 17.9BlChip n 169.35 6.68 2.3 67.8CA Bond n 11.93 0.02 0.2 13.6Communica&Tech n 185.41 8.35 2.7 94.3CorpInc n 10.17 -0.01 -0.9 19.8DivGro n 60.41 0.34 0.7 42.0DvsfMCGr n 47.99 0.95 4.2 73.2EmgMktB n 11.42 0.03 -1.2 6.4EmMktS n 58.27 0.92 6.4 24.0EqInc n 32.24 -0.13 3.2 13.9EqIndex n 101.49 1.94 2.3 42.9Europe n 25.19 0.60 2.7 21.1FinSvcs n 28.25 -0.44 5.0 21.7GlbGr n 44.64 1.53 5.1 71.8GlbStk n 67.86 1.21 3.1 89.0GlbTech n 29.33 1.27 7.4 108.8GMS-fd n 11.97 0.01 0.2 20.0GNMA n 9.44 -0.01 -0.1 10.8Gr&In n 34.62 0.46 1.1 39.2Growth n 100.15 5.06 3.3 69.9HelSci n 105.38 1.19 6.6 66.7HiYield n 6.66 0.01 0.6 16.4InstEmMEq 53.01 0.84 6.3 24.5InstFLRfd r 9.77 0.00 1.1 12.5InstHiYld 8.84 0.01 0.5 16.7LgCapGow I 63.51 3.12 3.8 78.4InstLCCoreGr 66.71 2.63 2.3 68.4LgCpVal 24.46 -0.03 3.6 16.3InstSmCap 32.54 0.60 6.3 65.7IntDis n 94.63 2.79 4.3 40.7IntEqIdx nr 15.58 0.15 2.5 9.7IntlBond n 9.84 0.02 -0.7 12.5IntlStk n 21.86 0.38 3.9 24.1IntlValEq n 14.71 0.05 3.4 -1.6Japan n 20.63 0.42 2.4 44.6MCapVal n 31.01 -0.28 4.8 17.6MCEqGr 75.12 0.99 3.7 56.9MD Bond n 11.11 0.01 0.2 12.8MidCap n 117.14 1.50 3.6 55.9N Asia n 27.29 0.93 8.6 41.4N Inc n 9.88 0.00 -0.4 15.3NAmer n 69.99 2.08 2.4 88.4New Era n 34.17 0.09 4.7 -3.8NHoriz n 84.61 1.82 2.8 118.7OverS SF nr 12.49 0.16 3.7 11.4QMUSSmCpGrEq n 50.54 0.88 5.9 52.9SpectConsAllo n 21.81 0.18 1.6 23.7SpectModerAllo n 27.17 0.33 2.4 29.0SpectModerGwAllo n 42.10 0.66 3.2 33.0R2005 n 14.23 0.11 1.4 23.3R2010 n 18.63 0.15 1.5 24.5R2015 n 15.22 0.14 1.7 25.5R2020 n 23.21 0.24 2.0 26.9R2025 n 19.82 0.23 2.3 29.0R2030 n 29.22 0.40 2.7 31.0R2035 n 21.89 0.33 3.1 32.7R2040 n 31.47 0.53 3.4 34.4RealEst n 16.12 0.13 1.2 3.7Ret2025A p 19.70 0.24 2.3 28.2Ret2045 n 21.77 0.39 3.6 35.5Ret2045R 21.29 0.37 3.6 33.5Ret2055 n 18.88 0.33 3.6 35.3Ret2055 18.72 0.33 3.7 34.3RetBal Inc n 16.02 0.13 1.5 23.7SciTec n 57.45 1.87 4.3 93.5Sht-Bd n 4.85 0.00 0.1 10.8SmCap n 55.92 0.46 5.9 28.7SmCapStk n 67.93 1.28 6.3 65.1SpecGr n 24.99 0.39 3.1 33.6SpecInc n 13.01 -0.01 0.2 14.7SpecIntl n 16.57 0.28 4.2 19.4SuMuInc n 12.44 0.02 0.4 14.1SuMuInt n 12.40 0.01 0.2 12.7TaxEfEqty nr 52.37 1.61 2.9 75.6TF Incom n 12.43 0.04 1.2 15.0TF Incom n 10.46 0.02 0.3 14.0
TFSI n 5.75 0.00 0.1 8.3TotIndex n 43.25 0.81 3.1 44.1U.S.EqResch n 37.39 0.73 2.0 45.4USLrgCpCore n 31.02 0.42 1.2 38.9USTInter n 6.15 0.01 -0.6 16.9USTLg n 12.06 -0.01 -3.7 31.3VABond n 12.49 0.01 0.1 13.5Value n 42.92 0.37 4.9 26.0Price Funds - Adv Cl:BlChip p 165.74 6.53 2.3 66.5CapAppA p 33.73 0.17 0.1 42.4Growth p 97.47 4.92 3.3 68.5MCapGro p 112.57 1.43 3.6 54.6R2020A p 23.00 0.24 2.0 25.9R2030A p 28.92 0.40 2.7 30.1R2035 21.76 0.34 3.1 31.8R2040A p 31.14 0.53 3.4 33.5Ret2045-A p 21.59 0.38 3.6 34.5Ret2050-A p 18.22 0.32 3.6 34.5Price Funds - R Cl:BlChipR p 158.31 6.23 2.3 65.2ExtIndex nr 39.81 0.69 7.2 54.3GrowthR p 93.55 4.72 3.3 67.2R2020R p 22.73 0.23 2.0 25.0R2030R p 28.62 0.39 2.7 29.1R2040R p 30.87 0.52 3.4 32.4Ret2025-R p 19.45 0.23 2.3 27.2Ret2035-R 21.46 0.33 3.0 30.8Ret2050-R 18.02 0.32 3.6 33.4PRIMECAP Odyssey Fds:AggGrowth nr 58.82 1.76 9.6 48.9Growth nr 46.45 1.30 9.5 38.7Stock nr 37.13 0.36 5.7 27.9Principal Investors:CapApprA p 56.71 1.10 2.4 46.5ConBalA p 13.08 0.08 1.1 19.8EqIncIA p 36.35 0.06 2.4 26.3FlIncA p 12.99 0.05 0.5 17.1HiYld IN 9.43 0.01 0.5 14.2InfPro IN 9.48 0.04 0.2 18.8LgCpStA p 22.08 0.42 2.3 41.8LgIndxI 22.07 0.43 2.4 43.0LgIndxJ tn 21.82 0.42 2.3 42.2LT2020 In 14.65 0.12 1.2 23.4LT2020J tn 14.56 0.11 1.2 22.8LT2030In 15.90 0.16 1.8 26.8LT2030J tn 15.85 0.16 1.8 26.3LT2040I 17.27 0.22 2.5 30.3LT2040J tn 17.10 0.22 2.5 29.7LT2050I 17.70 0.24 2.7 31.3MdGrIII Inst 15.78 0.24 2.8 70.0MidCpBldA 34.78 0.13 -0.9 48.6PreSecI 10.49 0.03 0.2 17.7PtrLGI In 20.75 0.67 1.6 78.5PtrLV In 17.72 -0.05 2.5 19.3RealEstSecI 26.26 0.36 0.6 26.7SAMBalA p 17.25 0.15 1.8 23.7SAMGrA p 19.65 0.21 2.3 26.7StrGrw A p 21.42 0.29 2.8 30.3ProFunds Inv Class:UltNASDAQ-100 n 81.94 6.64 7.2 181.5Putnam Funds:GrOpp R6 57.05 2.28 2.7 85.6Putnam Funds Class A:CATx p 8.33 0.01 0.2 15.3ConvSec 33.86 0.52 4.8 76.7DvrIn p 6.85 0.01 0.6 9.6DynAABalA 16.93 0.20 2.1 21.1DynAAGthA 19.49 0.30 3.2 22.9EqIn p 27.43 0.00 4.1 24.7GeorgePutBal 22.73 0.24 1.3 36.0GlblEqty p 19.70 0.28 3.2 19.7GlbHlthCare p 61.82 0.44 3.8 45.5GrOpp p 53.70 2.15 2.7 83.5HiYld A p 5.92 -0.02 0.4 15.3Incm p 7.18 -0.01 -0.7 19.5IntlEq p 27.41 0.14 2.9 8.9NYTx p 8.89 0.02 0.3 13.1ShtDurBd 10.27 0.00 0.1 9.9SmCapGr p 74.34 2.20 8.3 103.6StDurInc 10.09 0.00 0.0 6.0SustainLdrsFd p 116.23 2.45 3.3 65.9TFHY 13.09 0.04 1.2 17.0TxEx p 8.88 0.01 0.5 14.8MtgSec p 12.55 0.04 1.2 13.0Putnam Funds Class Y:EqInc 27.43 -0.01 4.1 25.7GrOpp Y 56.61 2.27 2.7 85.0Incm 7.32 -0.01 -0.6 20.4ShtDurBd 10.29 0.01 0.2 10.7StDurInc 10.10 0.00 0.0 6.3
RRBB Fund:BPSmVal2Inst 27.82 0.18 7.0 11.9RBC Funds:AccCpCommInvI 9.09 0.00 0.0 11.2RiverNorth Funds:RNDLIncomeI 10.55 NA NA NARoyce Funds:Oppty I nr 17.76 0.53 12.1 39.1PAMut I nr 11.05 0.17 7.9 34.5PremierI nr 14.43 0.19 6.2 33.9SpecEqI nr 19.19 0.27 5.3 10.7TotRet I nr 9.94 0.00 6.4 15.4RS Funds:CoreEqVIP 45.85 NA NA NAInvQBdVIP 13.09 NA NA NARussell Funds S:EmerMkts 23.28 NA NA NAIntlDvMkt 40.42 NA NA NAInvGrdBd 22.37 NA NA NAStratBd 11.24 NA NA NATaxExBd 24.06 NA NA NA
TMUSMdSmCp 36.63 NA NA NATxMngUSLgCp 57.78 NA NA NAUSSmCpEq 33.72 NA NA NARydex Dynamic Fds:NasdaqStratH p 355.14 28.82 7.2 184.7Rydex Investor Class:NasdaqInv n 64.81 2.71 3.7 91.3
SSchwab Funds:1000 Inv nr 85.79 1.59 2.7 46.2Balanced n 17.91 0.29 1.9 30.0CoreEq n 24.82 0.52 2.8 28.1DivEqSel n 14.55 0.00 3.8 3.6FunIntlLgInst nr 9.57 0.05 4.1 4.1FunUSLgInst nr 19.08 0.15 4.3 28.7HlthCare n 27.16 0.32 4.2 34.5InflProSel n 12.34 0.06 0.2 19.7IntI Sel nr 22.55 0.22 2.5 10.4IntlMstr nr 29.06 0.77 4.1 23.8MT AllEq n 20.60 0.28 3.8 24.1MT Bal n 19.71 0.18 2.0 22.7MT Gro n 24.68 0.29 3.0 24.2S&P Sel n 58.77 1.13 2.4 43.6SmCp Sel nr 37.47 0.79 9.9 41.2SmCpEqSel nr 20.48 0.46 9.8 16.3Trgt2020 nr 15.25 NA NA NATrgt2030 nr 17.35 NA NA NATrgt2040 nr 18.50 NA NA NATSMSel nr 68.61 1.30 3.2 45.9TxFrBd n 12.21 0.01 0.1 12.9USSmCoIdx nr 16.28 0.18 8.1 23.2Segall Bryant & Hami:PlusBd n 11.18 -0.01 -0.6 18.2SEI Portfolios:CoreFxIn F 11.71 -0.01 -0.9 18.6EMktDbt F 10.52 0.00 -1.3 4.8HiYld F 6.86 NA NA NAIntlEmg F 15.45 0.30 7.2 14.4IntlEq F 13.03 0.11 2.9 10.8IntMuni F 12.25 0.02 0.3 13.6LgCapGr F 46.83 NA NA NALgCVal F 24.38 NA NA NAMgdVol F 17.64 NA NA NAS&P500 F 82.46 NA NA NAShtGov F 10.56 0.00 0.0 8.1TaxMgdLC F 31.13 NA NA NATaxMgdSmMdCp F 25.57 NA NA NASelected Funds:AmShD n 42.63 0.37 5.3 25.4AmShS pn 42.53 0.37 5.2 24.2Sequoia:SequoiaFd n 176.62 4.26 4.1 51.1Sit Funds:MinnTxF n 10.76 0.01 0.2 12.1SmeadFds:SmeadValueInstl 54.52 0.91 7.9 24.0SoundShoreInv n:SoundShoreInv n 43.86 -0.16 3.7 14.0Sprott Funds Trust:GoldEq Inv p/r tn 52.39 0.86 -4.4 40.6SSgA Funds:SP500 n 243.17 4.67 2.3 43.3State Farm Associate:Balan n 85.07 1.25 1.9 31.6Gwth n 104.11 2.07 3.0 37.6Muni n 9.01 0.00 -0.2 13.6State Street Institu:SmCapEq (ICL) 20.81 0.34 7.2 35.3US Eq (ICL) 15.21 0.27 1.8 51.3State Street V.I.S.:TR V.I.S. Cl 1 17.09 0.18 2.8 14.7TR V.I.S. Cl 3 17.03 0.18 2.8 13.8Sterling Capital Fds:TotRetBdI 11.27 0.00 -0.6 19.2
TTCU ShtDur :TCU ShtDur 9.89 0.00 -0.2 10.0TCW Funds:CoreFxInc n 11.78 0.01 -0.6 18.9EmMktInc n 8.39 0.02 -1.4 12.3SelEqtyI n 35.70 1.19 0.8 82.6TotRetBondI n 10.36 0.01 -0.6 17.8TCW Funds N:TotRetBdN pn 10.69 0.02 -0.5 16.9The Bruce Fund:BruceFund n 647.61 5.20 3.7 36.3Third Avenue:ValueInst 45.43 0.05 5.7 -2.8Thompson IM Fds,Inc:Bond n 10.83 0.08 1.2 6.6Thornburg Fds:IncBuildA t 22.38 0.05 4.7 12.1IncBuildC p 22.35 0.05 4.7 9.6IntVal I 29.68 0.27 3.6 23.6IntValA p 28.63 0.26 3.6 22.4LtdTIn 14.02 0.01 -0.1 14.5LtdTIncI 14.02 0.01 -0.1 15.5LtdTMu I 14.67 0.01 0.1 8.7LtdTMuA 14.67 0.01 0.1 8.0Thrivent Funds A:DivrIncPlus 7.79 0.02 1.0 16.4LgCpStk 28.13 0.42 3.2 24.1MidCapStk 29.69 -0.03 3.8 35.2MuniBd 11.67 0.02 0.2 13.3Thrivent Funds S:LgCpVal n 24.04 -0.16 3.6 15.0MidCapStk n 34.23 -0.03 3.9 36.4OppIncmPl n 10.24 0.00 0.1 12.0TIAA-CREF/Instl Cl:CoreBond Inst 10.94 0.00 -0.5 17.7
UUM Funds:BehavVal 69.70 NA NA NAUSAA Group:500Indx Reward n 52.75 NA NA NACA Bd n 11.60 NA NA NACapGr n 12.20 NA NA NACrnrsMod n 16.38 NA NA NACrnstModAggr n 28.18 NA NA NAExtMktIn n 27.06 NA NA NAGr&Inc n 23.99 NA NA NAGr&TxStr n 24.08 NA NA NAGrwth n 34.87 NA NA NAHiIncm n 7.84 NA NA NAInco n 13.81 NA NA NAIncStk n 17.90 NA NA NAIntl n 27.13 NA NA NAIntmTerm n 13.92 NA NA NALgTerm n 13.83 NA NA NANasdaq100 n 36.99 NA NA NAntTerBd n 11.00 NA NA NAPrecMM n 20.83 NA NA NAS&PIdx n 52.72 NA NA NASciTech n 37.60 NA NA NAShtT n 10.65 NA NA NAShtTBdA n 9.36 NA NA NASmCpStk n 20.00 NA NA NATarRet2030 n 13.37 NA NA NATarRet2040 n 13.46 NA NA NATarRet2050 n 13.85 NA NA NATarRetIncm n 11.87 NA NA NAVA Bd n 11.70 NA NA NAValueFd n 16.26 NA NA NAWldGr n 28.65 NA NA NA
VVALIC:CoreBd 12.11 -0.01 -0.6 17.9
CoreVal 12.09 -0.05 2.5 10.7FrgnVal 10.53 0.07 2.2 -1.9GlobEq 10.86 0.26 8.6 13.8HighYdBd 7.87 -0.01 0.3 18.2HlthSci 29.45 NA NA NAInflPro 12.17 0.05 -0.1 15.5IntlEq 7.95 0.08 2.6 8.7IntlGro 17.48 0.32 1.2 56.5IntlSmCpEq 24.05 0.43 1.9 17.1LgCpGro 21.31 0.41 0.7 63.0MidCpIdx 29.20 0.46 6.8 28.7MidCpVal 19.36 0.01 4.6 14.9SciTech 44.22 1.57 4.9 108.3SmCpIdx 23.59 0.50 9.8 39.4SocResp 23.10 0.29 1.4 37.9StckIdx 51.26 0.98 2.3 42.2StraBd 11.84 0.01 -0.2 16.3ValUltra 24.81 0.96 1.5 71.5Value Line Funds:AstAlcClInv n 43.61 0.20 -1.1 40.8CapAppreClInv n 13.34 0.30 3.4 58.2Van Eck Funds:EmgMktsY 23.22 0.97 8.9 21.0VANGUARD ADMIRAL:400MCpIdxInst 331.24 5.18 6.8 29.8500Adml n 354.73 6.80 2.4 43.5BalAdml n 45.06 0.52 1.6 35.8CAITAdml n 12.35 0.01 0.0 13.7CALTAdml n 12.80 0.01 0.0 16.4CapOpAdml nr 191.33 4.68 7.8 49.9CoDilxAd n 152.06 4.21 6.8 82.9CoStIxAd nr 83.39 -0.45 -2.8 21.9DivAppIdxAdm n 38.27 0.07 -0.2 39.1EMAdmr n 44.78 1.19 7.4 17.6EnergyAd nr 29.00 -0.49 11.8 -39.2EnergyAdml nr 61.79 -0.84 5.0 -36.2EqIncAdml n 80.99 -0.44 2.1 19.1EuropeAdml n 77.56 0.86 2.2 8.6ExplrAdml n 127.81 2.72 6.8 70.1ExtndAdml n 133.85 2.38 7.3 57.0FinIxdAd nr 37.75 -0.59 3.5 8.6GNMAAdml n 10.72 0.00 -0.2 11.8GroIncAdml n 96.37 1.82 2.8 41.5GrwthAdml n 133.77 5.01 2.5 78.2HltClxAd nr 117.30 1.02 4.8 48.0HlthCareAdml nr 95.13 1.02 4.6 38.2HYCorAdml nr 5.97 -0.01 0.1 18.2InfProAd n 28.39 0.13 0.2 19.7InfTechIdx n 186.39 7.43 2.9 112.5IntlGrAdml n 174.65 7.87 9.0 84.4ITBondAdml n 12.48 0.00 -0.8 21.5ITCorpIx n 25.98 -0.01 -0.7 23.2ITIGradeAdml n 10.40 0.00 -0.5 22.0ITsryAdml n 11.64 0.01 -0.5 17.3ITTresIdx n 23.33 0.02 -0.5 16.6LarCapAd n 90.97 1.73 2.5 46.7LTGradeAdml n 11.46 -0.01 -2.6 30.6LTsryAdml n 13.53 -0.01 -3.6 31.9LTTresIdx n 31.07 0.00 -3.7 31.2MatIdx nr 82.36 -0.89 2.9 20.2MidCpAdml n 264.85 1.70 3.3 38.3MrgBkdIdx n 21.61 0.01 0.0 12.0MuHYAdml n 12.01 0.02 0.6 18.1MuIntAdml n 14.87 0.02 0.2 14.5MuLTAdml n 12.24 0.02 0.2 17.5MuLtdAdml n 11.27 0.01 0.2 9.4MuShtAdml n 15.95 0.00 0.0 6.0NJLTAdml n 12.77 0.03 0.7 19.1NYLTAdml n 12.22 0.02 0.2 15.9PacifAdml n 101.73 1.03 3.5 15.9PALTAdml n 12.17 0.02 0.2 17.6PrmcpAdml nr 162.88 3.19 5.9 44.4RealEstatAdml n 121.58 1.60 1.0 21.9S&PSC600Idx 371.70 6.01 10.1 31.9SmCapAdml n 99.97 1.50 7.2 41.2SmGthAdml n 101.42 2.53 7.9 73.8STBondAdml n 10.86 0.01 0.0 11.7STCorpIx n 22.62 0.01 0.0 13.6STFedAdml n 11.01 0.00 0.0 10.8STIGradeAdml n 11.02 0.00 0.0 12.9STIPSIxAdm n 25.75 0.06 0.5 11.4STsryAdml n 10.77 0.01 0.0 9.8STTresIdx n 20.55 0.00 0.0 8.5TotBdAdml n 11.51 -0.01 -0.8 17.2TotIntBdIdxAdm n 23.28 -0.06 -0.5 15.7TotIntlAdmIdx nr 33.74 0.47 3.9 13.4TotStAdml n 97.79 1.84 3.2 46.4TxMBal nr 38.57 0.38 1.3 30.1TxMCapAdml n 202.85 3.73 2.6 46.5TxMIn r 15.64 0.14 2.7 12.1TxMSC nr 81.80 1.34 10.1 31.8USGroAdml n 176.78 6.17 4.0 106.5UtilIxAd nr 69.01 -0.28 0.2 36.3ValAdml n 47.51 -0.21 2.4 18.4WdsrllAdml n 71.08 0.58 3.5 32.2WellsIAdml n 68.55 -0.15 -0.1 22.0WelltnAdml n 77.47 0.85 1.1 28.4WndsrAdml n 74.13 -0.11 3.8 20.6VANGUARD FDS:CAIT n 12.35 0.01 0.0 13.4CALT n 12.80 0.01 0.0 16.1CapOp nr 82.87 2.02 7.8 49.6DivdGro n 32.70 -0.12 -1.6 37.4DivrEq n 48.12 0.87 3.9 56.5EmgMktSelStk n 28.68 0.61 8.3 22.9Energy nr 32.94 -0.45 5.0 -36.4EqInc n 38.65 -0.20 2.1 18.7Explr n 137.40 2.93 6.8 69.5EXPValFd n 40.10 0.47 6.9 16.9FTAlWldInAdml n 37.86 0.52 4.2 14.2GlbCapCyl Inv nr 10.06 0.03 5.2 0.3GlbEq n 39.42 0.72 4.3 40.3GloMinVolFdAdm n 27.86 0.28 1.9 15.4GNMA n 10.72 0.00 -0.2 11.4GroInc n 59.05 1.12 2.8 41.1
HlthCare nr 225.61 2.42 4.6 38.0HYCor nr 5.97 -0.01 0.1 17.9InflaPro n 14.46 0.07 0.2 19.3IntlExplr n 21.00 0.44 2.9 5.2IntlGr n 54.91 2.48 9.0 83.8IntlVal n 41.20 0.02 2.4 8.1INSTTRF2015 24.79 0.15 0.9 21.8INSTTRF2020 26.63 0.22 1.4 24.7INSTTRF2025 27.94 0.27 1.8 26.7INSTTRF2030 28.72 0.32 2.1 27.9INSTTRF2035 29.43 0.37 2.4 28.9INSTTRF2040 30.16 0.42 2.8 29.8INSTTRF2045 30.80 0.46 3.0 31.1INSTTRF2050 30.89 0.46 3.1 31.3INSTTRF2055 30.97 0.46 3.1 31.3INSTTRF2060 31.07 0.47 3.1 31.4INSTTRFINC 24.52 0.13 0.8 21.6ITIGrade n 10.40 0.00 -0.5 21.7ITTsry n 11.64 0.01 -0.5 17.0LifeCon n 22.89 0.15 1.0 24.0LifeGro n 41.32 0.56 2.7 30.0LifeInc n 17.32 0.06 0.1 20.5LifeMod n 32.22 0.32 1.8 27.1LTIGrade n 11.46 -0.01 -2.6 30.2LTTsry n 13.53 -0.01 -3.6 31.5MATxEx n 11.43 0.02 0.0 17.0MgdPayFdInv n 17.71 0.09 2.2 15.4MidCpGro p 34.61 0.44 3.2 64.4MuHY n 12.01 0.02 0.6 17.8MuInt n 14.87 0.02 0.2 14.3MuLong n 12.24 0.02 0.2 17.2MuLtd n 11.27 0.01 0.2 9.1MuSht n 15.95 0.00 0.0 5.8NYLT n 12.22 0.02 0.2 15.6OHLTte n 13.25 0.02 0.1 17.7Primcp nr 157.18 3.07 5.9 44.1PrmcpCor n 30.75 0.52 6.1 34.6SelValu nr 27.10 0.03 4.3 9.4STAR n 31.89 0.38 2.6 38.8STFed n 11.01 0.00 0.0 10.4STIGrade n 11.02 0.00 0.0 12.5STIPSixInv n 25.71 0.05 0.5 11.1StratgcEq n 38.88 0.68 7.3 24.7StrSmCpEqInv n 38.87 0.74 10.0 22.1STTsry n 10.77 0.01 0.0 9.5TgtRe2015 n 15.88 0.10 1.0 21.5TgtRe2020 n 34.78 0.29 1.4 24.4TgtRe2025 n 21.93 0.22 1.8 26.6TgtRe2030 n 41.40 0.46 2.1 27.7TgtRe2035 n 25.83 0.32 2.4 28.8TgtRe2040 n 45.49 0.63 2.8 29.7TgtRe2045 n 29.06 0.44 3.1 31.1TgtRe2050 n 46.85 0.71 3.1 31.2TgtRe2060 n 44.93 0.67 3.1 31.1TgtRet2055 n 50.86 0.76 3.1 31.1TgtRetInc n 15.05 0.08 0.8 21.4TotIntBdIxInv n 11.64 -0.03 -0.5 15.7USGro n 68.25 2.38 4.0 105.8USValue n 18.36 0.03 4.0 4.0WellsI n 28.30 -0.06 -0.1 21.7Welltn n 44.86 0.49 1.1 28.1Wndsr n 21.98 -0.04 3.8 20.2WndsrII n 40.06 0.32 3.5 31.9VANGUARD INDEX FDS:500 354.74 6.80 2.3 43.1EmgMktInstPl 113.27 3.01 7.5 17.8ExtndIstPl 330.29 5.86 7.3 57.1FTAIWdInPl 127.11 1.76 4.2 14.4Growth 133.80 5.01 2.5 77.6IdxIntl n 20.17 0.28 4.0 13.2ITTresIdx Inst 28.95 0.03 -0.5 16.7LTTresIdx Inst 39.43 -0.01 -3.7 31.3MdCpGrAdml n 94.14 1.41 3.2 66.6MdCpVlAdml n 63.74 -0.19 3.5 13.4MidCp n 58.38 0.37 3.3 37.8RUSS2000IdxInst 332.41 7.01 9.9 41.2SmCap 99.94 1.50 7.2 40.6SmValAdml n 65.15 0.41 6.7 17.0TotBd 11.51 -0.01 -0.8 16.9TotBd2 11.35 0.00 -0.9 16.7TotIntlInstIdx r 134.94 1.91 4.0 13.5TotItlInstPlId r 134.97 1.91 4.0 13.5TotSt 97.75 1.83 3.2 45.9VANGUARD INSTL FDS:BalInst 45.07 0.52 1.6 35.8DevMktsIndInst 15.66 0.14 2.7 12.1DevMktsInxInst 24.48 0.23 2.7 12.1EmMkInst r 34.05 0.90 7.4 17.8EuroInst 33.07 0.36 2.2 8.6ExDurTrsInst 43.66 -0.04 -5.1 41.0ExtndInst 133.84 2.38 7.3 57.0FTAlWldIst r 120.04 1.67 4.2 14.3FTScinst 27.10 0.61 2.5 53.1GrwthInst 133.78 5.01 2.5 78.3InPrSeIn 11.57 0.06 0.3 19.8InstIdx 339.28 6.51 2.4 43.6InstPlus 339.29 6.51 2.4 43.6InstTStIdx 76.35 1.43 3.2 46.5InstTStPlus 76.34 1.43 3.2 46.5ITBdInst 12.48 0.00 -0.8 21.6ITBdInstPI 12.48 0.00 -0.8 21.6LaCapInst 374.42 7.13 2.5 46.8LTBdInst 16.16 -0.01 -2.8 31.5LTBdInstPl 16.16 -0.01 -2.8 31.5MidCpInst 58.51 0.38 3.3 38.4MidCpIstPl 288.55 1.86 3.3 38.4RealEstaInstl 18.82 0.25 1.0 21.9Rs1000GrwIdxInst 489.69 18.40 2.7 78.2Rs1000Vl IdxInst 240.27 -0.40 2.6 16.7Russ1000IdxInst 348.65 6.51 2.7 46.5Russ2000GrIxInst 438.52 12.43 10.4 65.4Russ3000Idx 347.34 6.54 3.1 46.1SmCapInst 99.97 1.51 7.2 41.2SmCapIstPl 288.54 4.34 7.2 41.2SmGthInst 81.22 2.03 7.9 73.8
SmValInst 36.41 0.23 6.6 17.0STBdIdxInstPl 10.86 0.01 0.0 11.7STBDInst 10.86 0.01 0.0 11.7STCorpIxInst p 27.69 0.01 0.0 13.7STIGradeInst 11.02 0.00 0.0 13.0STIPSIxins 25.76 0.05 0.5 11.4STTresIdx 25.82 0.01 0.0 8.6TotBdInst 11.51 -0.01 -0.8 17.3TotBdInst2 11.35 0.00 -0.8 16.9TotBdInstPl 11.51 -0.01 -0.8 17.3TotIntBdIdxInst 34.93 -0.09 -0.5 15.8TotStInst 97.80 1.83 3.2 46.4TtlWrldIxInst p 195.65 3.25 3.4 30.5TxMCaInst r 100.78 1.85 2.6 46.6TxMSCInst r 81.99 1.34 10.1 32.0ValueInst 47.51 -0.21 2.4 18.4Victory Funds:EstValA 42.77 NA NA NAEstValI 42.80 NA NA NAEstValR p 42.12 NA NA NAFundFIncI 8.31 NA NA NASmCap Grwth p 104.70 2.04 7.4 74.2SmCoOppI 50.03 NA NA NAVirtusFunds:CeredexLgCpVlEqI 13.76 -0.05 1.9 18.0CeredexMdCpVlEqI 12.74 -0.03 3.0 21.2GvSecUltShtBdI 10.04 0.00 0.0 5.5InnGrSt I 72.45 2.84 8.7 235.0VirtusFunds Cl A:MidGrA 69.74 1.70 2.5 135.8MulSStA p 4.79 0.00 0.1 9.8SmCapSusA 54.09 1.45 3.9 111.3StratGrA p 26.77 0.88 1.2 79.6TactAllA p 13.23 0.23 0.2 48.8VirtusFunds Cl I:EmMktI 14.33 0.41 7.9 19.4ForOppI 32.32 0.33 -0.2 23.9IntSmCapI 23.14 0.09 -1.1 38.9MulSStI 4.80 0.00 0.1 10.7QualitySmCapI 26.28 0.57 7.4 39.8SmCapSusI 55.65 1.49 4.0 113.0SmCpCorI 48.24 0.61 4.2 61.7Voya Fds:GNMA A 8.57 0.00 0.1 11.0GrOppI 57.44 1.97 2.2 64.4InmdBdI 10.57 -0.01 -0.6 18.7TRPGrEqI 111.00 5.78 3.5 69.8
WXYZWasatch:CoreGr n 97.76 1.96 6.8 78.3IntlGr n 35.13 0.49 1.2 31.8MicCap n 13.15 0.45 10.8 156.5SmCapGr n 60.37 1.24 6.2 126.2SmCapV n 9.87 0.14 8.7 31.8UltraGr n 50.97 1.55 7.8 168.7WCM:FcusEmgMk Inst 21.02 0.53 6.1 63.1FocInterGrFdInv 25.65 0.59 4.3 63.7WCM Focus Funds:WCMFocIntlGrwIns 25.81 0.60 4.3 64.9Weitz Funds:PIIIOpp 15.59 0.18 0.8 32.6ShtDurIncInst 12.42 0.03 0.4 9.9ValueInv n 51.34 0.98 1.5 42.9Wells Fargo Adv Admi:DiscvAdm 52.79 1.23 5.9 107.6Growth 54.06 1.59 3.4 97.3Wells Fargo Adv Cl A:AstAllA p p 16.00 NA NA NACmStkA p p 22.42 0.13 3.9 30.3DivCapBldr 12.34 0.16 3.4 32.0IdxAstAllA 40.79 0.52 1.0 32.3OmegaGwth 74.45 1.93 1.2 82.8OpptyA 50.56 1.03 1.6 40.9PremLgCoGrthA 17.34 0.53 2.7 78.5SpecTech 20.04 0.70 5.5 121.9SpSmCpValA p p 38.24 0.32 7.7 14.5StrMunA 9.33 0.00 0.3 10.3Wells Fargo Adv Inst:CoreBd 13.36 0.00 -0.7 18.0Growth 60.94 1.79 3.4 98.5MdCpVal 44.53 0.08 2.9 20.5ShDurGovBdI 9.84 0.01 0.1 9.0UlStInc 8.62 0.00 0.1 8.4UlStMuInc 9.62 0.01 0.1 4.8Western Asset:CoreBondA 13.50 NA NA NACoreBondI 13.51 NA NA NACoreBondIS 13.52 NA NA NACorePlusBdA 12.41 NA NA NACorePlusBdI 12.43 NA NA NACorePlusBdIS 12.42 NA NA NAIntermedBdI 11.35 NA NA NAIntermTermMuniA 6.56 NA NA NAIntermTermMuniI 6.56 NA NA NAManagedMuniA 16.70 NA NA NAManagedMuniI 16.73 NA NA NAShortTermBdIS 3.95 NA NA NATotalRetUnconI 10.84 NA NA NAWestwood:IncomeOppI 13.30 0.11 1.8 23.0Wilmington Funds:BroadMktBdInst 10.32 0.00 -0.7 16.5Intl Inst 10.33 0.18 4.1 12.5LgCpStrInst 27.73 0.52 2.7 45.6WmBlair Funds Cl I:IntlGthI r 41.58 1.25 4.9 40.1SmMidI r 37.25 1.04 6.0 70.6WmBlair Funds Inst:IntlGth 21.37 0.65 4.9 41.2WmBlair Funds R6:EmgMktGth 20.79 0.85 10.4 47.6
Scoreboard: China Jumps(TheS&P500 rose1.5%asapeaceful Biden inaugurationunfolded.China funds, however, surgedeven
more, 5.17%,as the country grew2.3% in2020, theonly developednation withpositive growth.
NuveenDiversDiv&Inc (JDD) .......... N NA 8.85 NA – 11.9NuveenNasdaq 100DynOv (QQQX) N 27.42 26.77 – 2.4 17.6NuvReal Est (JRS) .......................... A NA 8.54 NA – 13.5NuveenRl Asst Inc&Gro (JRI) ........ N NA 13.47 NA – 21.7NuvS&P500DynOvFd (SPXX) ......... N NA 15.29 NA 0.4NuvSP500BuyIncFd (BXMX) .......... N 13.93 12.66 – 9.1 0.3PIMGlbStkPI (PGP) ........................ N NA 10.20 NA – 9.0ReavesUtilityIncome (UTG) ............ A 32.46 32.90 + 1.4 – 8.8RMRMortgage Trust (RMRM) ........ A NA 10.87 NA – 46.1SalientMidstream&MLP (SMM) ... N NA 4.84 NA – 32.0Tortoise Energy Ind (NDP) .............. N NA 15.18 NA – 51.1Tortoise Enrgy Infra Crp (TYG) ........ N NA 22.41 NA – 66.9Tortoise EssAsst Inc Tm (TEAF)-a .... N NA 13.45 NA – 13.6TortoiseMidstreamEnrgy (NTG) .... N NA 23.65 NA – 76.3Tortoise Pipelne&Enrgy (TTP) ....... N NA 18.75 NA – 61.2Tortoise Pwr&Engy Infr (TPZ)-a ...... N NA 11.54 NA – 24.5Wells FargoUt&Hi Inc (ERH) ......... A 12.51 12.73 + 1.8 – 5.9Income&PreferredStockFundsCalamosStratTot (CSQ) .................. N 16.27 16.02 – 1.5 26.1CohenStrsLtdDurPref&Inc (LDP) ... N 25.96 25.81 – 0.6 4.3CohenStrsSelPref&Income (PSF) ... N 26.74 26.68 – 0.2 – 9.5CohenStrsTaxAvPreSecs&I (PTA) .. N 25.58 25.28 – 1.2 NSDel Div& Inc (DDF)-a ....................... N 10.01 9.55 – 4.6 – 33.6Dividend and Income (DNIF) ........... O 17.12 11.79 – 31.1 – 4.3FirstTrIntDurPref&Inc (FPF) ........... N 24.44 23.60 – 3.4 4.9Gabelli GoAnywhere Tr (GGO) ........ N 15.27 NA NA NAJHanPrefInc (HPI) .......................... N 19.89 18.82 – 5.4 – 12.8JHPrefIncII (HPF) ........................... N 19.58 18.60 – 5.0 – 9.7HnckJPfdInco III (HPS) .................. N 17.51 16.84 – 3.8 – 6.6JHanPrm (PDT) ............................. N 13.69 13.96 + 2.0 – 16.8LMPCapInco (SCD) ........................ N NA 11.84 NA – 11.9NuveenPref& I 2022 Trm (JPT) ...... N 24.50 24.34 – 0.7 4.0NuveenPref& IncOpp (JPC) .......... N 9.68 9.20 – 5.0 – 5.1Nuveen Fd (JPS) ............................. N 9.73 9.35 – 3.9 – 1.8NuveenPref& Inc Term (JPI) .......... N 24.64 24.10 – 2.2 0.3Nuveen TxAdvDivGr (JTD) .............. N 16.30 14.25 – 12.6 – 12.8TCWStrat Income (TSI) .................. N 5.56 5.56 + 0.0 0.0ConvertibleSec's. FundsAdvntCnvrtbl&IncFd (AVK) ............. N 19.82 17.00 – 14.2 19.4AllianzGI Con& Inc 2024 (CBH) ...... N 10.74 9.94 – 7.4 6.1GI Conv& Inc (NCV) ....................... N 6.53 5.77 – 11.6 9.4AGI Conv& Inc II (NCZ) ................... N 5.86 5.07 – 13.5 8.8AGIDvs Inc&Conv (ACV) ............... N 36.67 34.10 – 7.0 46.5AGI Eqty&Conv Inc (NIE) ............... N 32.02 29.36 – 8.3 31.8Bancroft Fund Ltd (BCV) ................. A 34.18 31.71 – 7.2 35.7CalamosConvHi (CHY) ................... N 16.45 15.01 – 8.8 39.5CalmosConvOp (CHI) ..................... N 15.58 14.08 – 9.6 36.6
52WeekStock Market Prem Market
FundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc Return
EllsworthG&I Fund Ltd (ECF) .......... A 15.21 15.01 – 1.3 40.7Gabelli ConvSec (GCV) ................... N 7.10 6.54 – 7.9 19.7HiIncBd (PCF)-a ............................... N 9.70 8.48 – 12.6 0.6WorldEquityFundsAbrdnAusEq (IAF) ........................... A 6.17 5.47 – 11.3 11.8Aberdeen EmgMkts Eq Inc (AEF) .... A 10.14 8.68 – 14.4 14.7AberdeenGlbl DynDiv (AGD)-a ........ N 12.39 10.84 – 12.5 11.9Aberdeen Japan Equity (JEQ) .......... N 11.03 9.47 – 14.1 25.1Aberdeen Tot DynDiv (AOD)-a ......... N 10.59 9.10 – 14.1 10.1BlackRockCapital Alloc (BCAT) ...... N NA 21.79 NA NSCalamosGloDynInc (CHW) ............. N 10.13 9.87 – 2.6 26.3CdnGenl Inv (CGI)-y ........................ T 52.34 35.25 – 32.7 32.5Central and Eastern Euro (CEE) ....... N 28.58 24.50 – 14.3 – 11.6China (CHN) ................................... N 36.19 32.68 – 9.7 68.5Delaware EnhGl Div& In (DEX)-a ..... N 10.80 9.78 – 9.4 0.6EVTxAdvGlbDivInc (ETG)-a ............. N 20.04 18.13 – 9.5 6.7EtnVncTxAdvOpp (ETO)-a ................ N 27.54 25.63 – 6.9 6.6Economic Inv Tr (N/A)-cy ................. T 167.90 111.00 – 33.9 3.3European Equity Fund Inc (EEA) ...... N 12.27 10.72 – 12.6 15.0FirstTrAbEmergOp (FEO) ................ N 16.71 14.65 – 12.3 12.0FirstTr Dyn Euro Eq Inc (FDEU) ....... N 14.04 12.11 – 13.7 – 13.8Gabelli Gl Sm&MidCpVal (GGZ) ..... N 15.74 13.10 – 16.8 19.3GabelliMultimedia (GGT)-h ............. N 8.51 8.24 – 3.2 16.9GDL Fund (GDL) ............................. N 10.86 8.77 – 19.2 – 0.8Herzfeld Caribb (CUBA) .................. O 6.57 5.63 – 14.3 – 12.6HighlandGlobal Alloc (HGLB) ......... N 10.47 6.83 – 34.8 – 12.8India Fund (IFN) .............................. N 23.40 20.64 – 11.8 13.6JHanHdgdEty& Inc (HEQ) ............ N 12.96 11.62 – 10.3 – 13.3JHancockTaxAdvGl ShYld (HTY) ... N 6.51 5.74 – 11.8 – 9.8JapanSmaller Cap (JOF) ................. N 10.34 9.15 – 11.5 7.6Korea (KF) ...................................... N NA 44.29 NA 49.3LazardGlbTotRetInc (LGI) ............... N 19.94 18.73 – 6.1 21.4MexicoEqandIncmFd (MXE) ........... N 11.51 9.76 – 15.2 – 18.1Mexico (MXF) ................................. N NA 13.84 NA – 1.8Miller/HowardHigh Inc E (HIE)-a ...... N 9.08 8.23 – 9.4 – 19.8MSChinaShrFd (CAF)-J ................... N 26.37 22.21 – 15.8 16.6MS India (IIF) .................................. N 26.31 22.26 – 15.4 7.5NewGermany (GF) ......................... N 23.04 20.18 – 12.4 44.9New Ireland (IRL) ........................... N 13.18 10.98 – 16.7 14.7RENNFund (RCG) .......................... A NA 2.09 NA 22.3RoyceGlobal Value Trust (RGT) ...... N 15.10 13.54 – 10.3 24.3SwissHelvetia (SWZ) ..................... N 10.69 9.17 – 14.2 12.8TempletonDragon (TDF) ................ N 27.97 25.28 – 9.6 67.4Templeton EmMkt (EMF) ............... N 21.99 20.36 – 7.4 33.3United Corps Ltd (UNC)-cy ............... T 172.67 110.00 – 36.3 11.8Wells FargoGl DivOppty (EOD) ....... N 5.71 5.03 – 11.9 0.6U.S.MortgageBondFunds
52WeekStock Market Prem Market
FundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc Return
BlckRk Income (BKT) ...................... N 6.20 6.10 – 1.6 6.8First TrustMtge Inc (FMY) .............. N 14.39 13.49 – 6.2 5.1InvescoHI 2023 Tgt Term (IHIT) ..... N 8.98 8.91 – 0.8 7.1InvescoHI 2024 Tgt Term (IHTA) .... N 9.29 8.98 – 3.4 6.4NuveenMortgage and Inc (JLS) ...... N NA 19.75 NA 4.9NuveenMulti-Market Inc (JMM)-c ... N NA 7.06 NA 4.4Vertical Capital Income (VCIF) ........ N NA 10.01 NA 3.7Western AssetMtgOppty (DMO)-a .. N NA 14.16 NA 10.9
InvestmentGradeBondFundsBlRckCore Bond (BHK) .................. N 16.30 16.21 – 0.6 5.0BRCredit Alloc Inc (BTZ) ................. N 15.67 14.93 – 4.7 6.8BREnhcdGovt (EGF) ...................... N NA 13.01 NA 3.6Insight Select Income (INSI) ........... N 21.77 21.70 – 0.3 3.6InvescoBond (VBF) ......................... N 21.07 20.17 – 4.3 3.3JHan Income (JHS) ........................ N 16.33 15.33 – 6.1 5.0MFSGovtMkts (MGF)-a ................... N 4.67 4.52 – 3.2 7.5MFS Intmdt (MIN)-a ........................ N 3.91 3.76 – 3.8 8.9Western Asset Inf-Lk Inc (WIA)-a ..... N NA 12.91 NA 5.7Western Asset Inf-LkO&I (WIW)-a .. N NA 12.52 NA 3.2WA InvestmentGrade Inc (PAI)-a ..... N NA 15.66 NA 3.8WesternAssetPremBd (WEA)-a ....... N NA 14.11 NA 5.5Westn Asst IGDef OppTr (IGI)-a ...... N NA 21.80 NA 3.7LoanParticipationFundsApollo Senior Floating (AFT) ........... N NA 14.58 NA 7.0BRDebt Strategy (DSU) .................. N 11.71 10.65 – 9.1 7.9BR F/R IncStr (FRA) ....................... N 14.04 12.74 – 9.3 7.6BlackRock FloatngRt Inc (BGT) ...... N 13.62 12.29 – 9.8 7.5Blackstone Lng-ShCr Inc (BGX) ..... N 15.31 13.93 – 9.0 8.8BlackstoneSr Fl Rt Tm (BSL) .......... N 16.25 14.78 – 9.0 7.6BlackstoneStrat Cr (BGB) ............... N 14.52 13.07 – 10.0 8.7BNYMellonAlct GCI 2024 (DCF) ..... N 9.25 8.71 – 5.8 7.2Eagle Point Credit (ECC) .................. N NA 11.30 NA 13.0Eagle Point Income (EIC) ................ N NA 15.13 NA 7.7EatonVance F-R2022TT (EFL) ....... N 9.35 9.13 – 2.4 4.7EtnVncFltRteInc (EFT) .................... N 14.62 13.77 – 5.8 5.4EtnVncFltRteIncPlus (EFF)-a ............ N 16.64 15.57 – 6.4 5.1EVSenFlRtTr (EFR) ......................... N 14.39 13.36 – 7.2 5.8EVSnrIncm (EVF) ........................... N 6.90 6.56 – 4.9 5.6First Eagle Senior Loan (FSLF) ........ N 15.86 14.15 – 10.8 7.4FT/Sr FltgRte Inc 2 (FCT) ................ N 12.94 11.68 – 9.7 9.8FT/Sr FltgRte 2022 TgTr (FIV) ......... N 9.61 9.19 – 4.4 2.5Highland Income (HFRO)-a .............. N 13.20 10.25 – 22.3 8.9InvDYCrOpp (VTA) ......................... N 11.97 10.97 – 8.4 8.3InvSnrIncTr (VVR) .......................... N 4.55 4.15 – 8.8 6.7NuveenCredit Strat Inc (JQC) ......... N NA 6.45 NA 16.1NuvFloatRateIncFd (JFR) ................ N NA 9.26 NA 7.1NuvFloatRteIncOppty (JRO) ........... N NA 9.16 NA 7.1NuveenSenior Income (NSL) .......... N NA 5.41 NA 7.5NuveenShtDur Crdt Opp (JSD) ...... N NA 13.65 NA 7.1PionrFltRate Tr (PHD)-a ................... N 11.65 10.78 – 7.5 6.6HighYieldBondFundsAberdeen Inc Credit Str (ACP)-a ....... N 11.34 10.93 – 3.6 12.7AllianceBernGlHiIncm (AWF) .......... N 12.96 11.65 – 10.1 6.6Angel OakDynmc FS I Trm (DYFN) .. N NA 18.45 NA NSAngel Oak FS Inc Trm (FINS) ........... N NA 17.28 NA 7.4BaringsGlb SDHYBd (BGH)-a ......... N 16.96 15.18 – 10.5 9.1BRCorporateHY (HYT) .................. N 12.05 11.24 – 6.7 8.1BlackRock LtdDur Inc (BLW) .......... N 17.10 15.98 – 6.5 7.3BNYMellonHi Yield Str (DHF) ......... N 3.30 2.98 – 9.7 8.6BrookfieldReal Asst Inc (RA)-a ........ N 19.92 18.53 – 7.0 13.3CrSuisHighYld (DHY)-a ................... A 2.54 2.29 – 9.8 8.6CSAM Income Fd (CIK)-a ................. A 3.44 3.17 – 7.8 8.5DoubleLine Inc Sol (DSL) ................ N NA 16.60 NA 10.6DoubleLine YldOpps (DLY) ............ N 20.39 19.03 – 6.7 NSEV2021TgtTm (EHT) ...................... N 9.87 9.78 – 0.9 3.4First Tr Hi Inc Lng/Shrt (FSD) .......... N 16.55 14.88 – 10.1 8.9First Trust HYOpp:2027 (FTHY) ...... N 21.49 19.67 – 8.5 NSFranklinUniv (FT) ........................... N 8.57 7.52 – 12.3 5.1InvHighIncTrII (VLT) ...................... N 15.15 13.63 – 10.0 8.5IVYHIGH INCOMEOPP (IVH) ......... N 14.76 13.16 – 10.8 8.6MFS IntmdHgInc (CIF)-a .................. N 2.48 2.49 + 0.4 9.0NeubHgYldStrt (NHS) ..................... N 12.70 11.81 – 7.0 9.2NewAmerHi Inc (HYB) ................... N 9.89 8.78 – 11.2 6.4NexPointStratOppty (NHF)-a ............ N 18.60 11.84 – 36.3 11.8NuveenCI 2023 Target (JHAA) ........ N 10.07 9.89 – 1.8 5.6NuveenCINov 2021 Tgt (JHB) ........ N 9.47 9.28 – 2.0 4.1NuveenCrdt Opps 2022 TT (JCO) .... N 8.31 8.22 – 1.1 7.0NuveenGlobal High Inc (JGH) ......... N 16.94 15.25 – 10.0 7.1PGIMGlobal HighYield (GHY) ........ N NA 14.56 NA 8.6PGIMHighYield Bond (ISD) ........... N NA 15.15 NA 8.4PGIMShDurHi YldOpp (SDHY)-a ... N 20.05 NA NA NSPioneerHilncmTr (PHT) .................. N 9.52 9.15 – 3.9 8.4Wells Fargo IncomeOppty (EAD) .... A 9.09 8.14 – 10.5 8.5WstAstHIF II (HIX)-a ........................ N NA 6.87 NA 8.5Western Asset Hi IncOpp (HIO)-a .... N NA 4.91 NA 7.8Western Asset Hi YldDO (HYI)-a ..... N NA 15.41 NA 7.3
Friday, January22, 2021GeneralEquityFundsAdamsDiversified Equity (ADX) ...... N 20.53 17.70 – 13.8 16.5Boulder Growth& Income (BIF)-a .... N 13.79 11.27 – 18.3 0.0Central Secs (CET)-c ........................ A 41.47 34.18 – 17.6 7.4CohenStrsCEOppFd (FOF) .............. N 13.01 12.98 – 0.2 3.9Eagle Capital Growth (GRF)-c ........... A NA 7.89 NA 8.6EVTxAdvDivIncm (EVT) .................. N 25.22 24.11 – 4.4 1.2Equus II (EQS) ................................ N NA 1.76 NA 1.3FoxbyCorp. (FXBY) ........................ O 3.86 NA NA NAGabelliDiv&IncTr (GDV) ................. N 25.67 22.38 – 12.8 9.1Gabelli Equity Tr (GAB)-h ................. N 6.00 6.30 + 5.0 17.7GeneralAmer (GAM) ....................... N 44.96 38.02 – 15.4 7.3JHancockTaxAdvDiv (HTD) ............ N 22.80 21.08 – 7.5 – 17.3Liberty All-Star Equity (USA)-a ......... N 7.33 7.06 – 3.7 14.5Liberty All-Star Growth (ASG)-ah ...... N 8.20 8.90 + 8.5 44.0NuvTaxAdvTRStrat (JTA) ............... N NA 9.84 NA – 9.8RoyceMicro-Cap Tr (RMT) ............. N 13.00 11.14 – 14.3 38.4RoyceValue Trust (RVT) ................. N 19.94 17.38 – 12.8 25.9Source Capital (SOR) ...................... N 46.40 41.34 – 10.9 9.95Special Opportunities (SPE)-a .......... N NA 14.54 NA 8.1Sprott Focus Trust (FUND) .............. O 8.76 7.50 – 14.4 11.2Tri-Continental (TY) ........................ N 34.40 30.52 – 11.3 12.4SpecializedEquityFundsAberdeenGlb PremProp (AWP)-a .... N 5.94 5.50 – 7.4 – 8.4AberdeenStdGl Infra I (ASGI)-a ....... N 21.99 19.93 – 9.4 NSAdamsNatural Resources (PEO) .... N 14.93 12.61 – 15.5 – 14.8AllianzGI AI&TechOpps (AIO) ....... N 29.18 28.92 – 0.9 57.1GIDivInt&PremStr (NFJ) ................ N 15.66 13.68 – 12.6 11.4ASAGold&PrecMet Ltd (ASA) ....... N 25.20 21.49 – 14.7 54.1BREnhC&I (CII) ............................. N NA 17.92 NA 10.4BlackRock Energy&Res (BGR) ...... N NA 7.78 NA – 28.9BlackRock Eq EnhDiv (BDJ) ........... N NA 8.55 NA – 3.2BlackRock EnhGlbl Div (BOE) ......... N NA 11.10 NA 8.0BlackRock Enh Intl Div (BGY) .......... N NA 6.02 NA 10.5BlackRockHlth Sci Tr II (BMEZ) ...... N NA 30.25 NA NSBlackRockHlth Sciences (BME) ...... N NA 49.84 NA 24.8BlackRockRes&Comm(BCX) ....... N 8.96 8.23 – 8.1 12.5BlackRockSci&Tech Tr II (BSTZ) .... N NA 36.88 NA 82.3BlackRockSci&Tech Trust (BST) .... N NA 54.33 NA 65.2BlackRockUtl Inf&Pwr (BUI) ......... N NA 25.85 NA 20.9CBREClrnGlbRlEst (IGR)-a .............. A 8.07 6.93 – 14.1 – 6.1CLEARBRIDGEENGYMDSOPP (EMO) N NA 15.36 NA – 59.0CLEARBRIDGEMLP&MDSTMTR (CTR) N NA 16.39 NA – 57.1ClearBridgeMLP&Midstm (CEM) .. N NA 18.95 NA – 61.6Cntr Cst BrkfldMLP&EI (CEN) ......... N 13.37 10.00 – 25.2 – 80.8ChnStrInfr (UTF) ............................. N 24.68 26.54 + 7.5 5.9COHEN&STEERSMLP INC&E (MIE) N 3.00 2.39 – 20.3 – 64.6Cohen&SteersQualInc (RQI) ........... N 13.10 12.34 – 5.8 – 5.7Cohen&Steers TotRet (RFI) ............ N 13.02 13.52 + 3.8 – 1.8CohenStrsREITPrefInc (RNP) ......... N 23.51 22.20 – 5.6 – 1.8Columbia Sel PrmTechGr (STK) ..... N 30.21 29.41 – 2.6 28.8CushingMLPTotRet (SRV)-d ............ N 31.57 23.70 – 24.9 – 32.1CushingNextGen Inf Inc (SZC) ........ N 52.72 40.33 – 23.5 – 12.1DNPSelect Income (DNP) .............. N 9.01 10.37 + 15.1 – 12.5Duff&PhUti&Infra Inc Fd (DPG) ...... N 13.53 13.04 – 3.6 – 6.1Duff&PhSelMLP&MSEngy (DSE) . N 6.80 5.37 – 21.0 – 84.7EtnVncEqtyInc (EOI)-a ..................... N 17.18 16.46 – 4.2 10.4EtnVncEqtyIncoII (EOS)-a ................ N 21.65 21.59 – 0.3 25.4EVRskMnDvsEqInc (ETJ)-a ............. N 10.20 10.45 + 2.5 21.3ETnVncTxMgdBuyWrtInc (ETB)-a .... N 14.68 14.83 + 1.0 – 0.8EtnVncTxMgdBuyWrtOpp (ETV)-a ... N 14.60 15.12 + 3.6 10.5EvTxMnDvsEqInc (ETY)-a ................ N 12.95 12.44 – 3.9 8.1EtnVncTxMgdGlbB (ETW)-a ............ N 10.42 9.73 – 6.6 3.6EVTxMnGblDvEqInc (EXG)-a ........... N 9.49 8.88 – 6.4 9.3First Trust Energy IncG (FEN)-a ....... A 12.99 11.54 – 11.2 – 38.5First Tr Enhanced Eq (FFA) .............. N 18.78 17.58 – 6.4 10.7First Tr Specialty Fn (FGB) ............... N 3.69 3.34 – 9.5 – 37.9FirstTrEnergyInfra (FIF) .................. N 13.08 11.08 – 15.3 – 29.2FirstTrMLPEner&Inc (FEI) .............. N 7.24 6.24 – 13.8 – 38.4GabGl Util & Inc (GLU)-h ................. A 19.86 18.47 – 7.0 1.4Gabelli Healthcare (GRX)-h .............. N 14.34 12.30 – 14.2 13.0GabUtility (GUT)-h .......................... N 4.13 8.04 + 94.7 17.0GAMCOGlGold&NatRes (GGN) ....... A 4.03 3.53 – 12.4 – 7.2GAMCONRGLD& INCTR (GNT) .... N 5.96 5.11 – 14.3 – 8.4JHan Finl Opptys (BTO) .................. N 31.18 32.97 + 5.7 4.5Macquarie/FirstTr Gl (MFD) ............ N 9.91 8.65 – 12.7 – 13.1MadisonCovCall & EqStr (MCN) .... N 7.26 7.19 – 1.0 23.3Neuberger BrmnMLP&EI (NML) ... N 4.96 3.73 – 24.8 – 40.5NubrgrRlEstSec (NRO) ................... A 4.46 4.23 – 5.2 – 16.6NuvDow30DynOverwrite (DIAX) .. N 16.84 15.07 – 10.5 – 8.4NuvCorEqAlpha (JCE) ..................... N 15.66 14.35 – 8.4 4.0
Weekly Closed-End FundsTRACKING CLOSED - END FUNDS
The Herzfeld Closed-End Average measures 15 equally-weighted closed-end funds based in the U.S. that invest principally inAmerican equities. The net assest value is a weighted average of the funds' NAVs. Source: Thomas J. Herzfeld Advisors Inc., Miami.305-271-1900/www.herzfeld.com
58200
51600
45000
38400
31800
25200
186002Q 20 3Q 20 4Q 20 1Q 21
*HerzfeldClosed-EndAverage
Dow Industrials
62700
56400
50100
43800
375002Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
Net Asset Value
-4
-7
-10
-13
-162Q 20 3Q 20 4Q 20 1Q 21
% Disc/Prem From Net Asset Value
52WeekStock Market Prem Market
FundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc Return
52WeekStock Market Prem Market
FundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc Return
12mosStock Market Prem Yield
FundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc 12/31/20
A Running Start: As the new Biden administration got to work, the Herzfeld Aver-age and the Dow worked, too—gaining 1.4% and 0.6%, respectively, for the weekended Thursday.
Data provided by
a-NAV and market price are ex dividend. b-NAV is fully diluted. c-NAV is as of Thursday’s close. d-NAV is as of Wednesday’s close.e-NAV assumes rights offering is fully subscribed. f-Rights offeringin process. g-Rights offering announced. h-Lipper data has been ad-justed for rights offering. j-Rights offering has expired, but Lipperdata not yet adjusted. l-NAV as of previous day. o-Tender offer inprocess. Source: Lipper
Market Sentiment LAST +1.89Citigroup Panic/EuphoriaModel
-2.1
-1.4
-0.7
0
0.7
1.4
D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
Euphoria
Panic
The panic/euphoria model is a gauge of investor sentiment. It identifies "Panic" and "Euphoria" levels which are statistically driven buy andsell signals for the broader market. Historically, a reading below panic supports a better than 95% likelihood that stock prices will behigher one year later, while euphoria levels generate a better than 80% probability of stock prices being lower one year later.
Source: Citigroup Investment Research - US Equity Strategy
2.11.51.41.31.21.11.00.90.80.70.60.50.40.30.20.1
Q118
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q119
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q120
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q121
THREE YEAR TED SPREAD
Friday's Close 0.13
TED Spread = 3-mth LIBOR – 3-mth T-bill rate
why how
January 25, 2021 BARRON’S M33
12mosStock Market Prem Yield
FundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc 12/31/20
InvescoQual Inc (IQI) ...................... N 13.87 12.89 – 7.1 4.6InvTrInvGrMu (VGM) ..................... N 14.15 13.15 – 7.1 4.6InvescoValMunInc (IIM) ................. N 16.84 15.59 – 7.4 4.4MAINSTAY:MKDEFTRMUNOP (MMD) N NA 22.03 NA 4.6MFSHgIncMuniTr (CXE)-a .............. N 5.34 5.12 – 4.1 4.8MFSHgYldMuniTr (CMU)-a ............. N 4.82 4.48 – 7.1 4.9NeubrgrBrm (NBH) ......................... A 15.41 15.39 – 0.1 4.9NuveenAMT-FrMuVal (NUW) ........ N 17.42 16.45 – 5.6 2.8NuveenAMT-FrQltyMun I (NEA) .... A 16.03 15.01 – 6.4 4.4NuveenAMT-FrMuCI (NVG) .......... A NA 16.73 NA 4.6NuveenDynMuni Opp (NDMO) ....... N 15.85 NA NA NSNuveen EnhMuni Val (NEV) ............ N NA 16.20 NA 4.3Nuveen Int DurMunTerm (NID) ...... N NA 14.14 NA 3.7Nuveen Int DurQltyMun (NIQ) ........ N NA 14.50 NA 2.8NuveenMuCrdt Opps (NMCO) ....... N NA 13.74 NA 5.5NuvMuni2021TgtTerm (NHA) ......... N NA 9.85 NA 1.3NuvMuni Credit Income (NZF) ........ A NA 16.02 NA 4.7NuvMuniHiIncOpp (NMZ) ............... A NA 14.31 NA 5.0NuveenMuni Inc (NMI) ................... N 11.38 11.40 + 0.1 3.5NuveenMuni Val (NUV) .................. N 10.76 10.98 + 2.0 3.3NuveenQualityMuni Inc (NAD) ....... N 16.37 15.15 – 7.5 4.4NuveenSelMat (NIM) ..................... N NA 10.66 NA 2.9NuveenSel TF (NXP) ....................... N NA 17.13 NA 3.0NuveenSel TF 2 (NXQ) .................... N NA 15.80 NA 3.1NuveenSel TF 3 (NXR) .................... N NA 16.96 NA 2.9PIMCOMuniInc (PMF) .................... N 13.30 14.19 + 6.7 4.6PIMCOMuniIncII (PML) .................. N 12.48 14.51 + 16.3 4.9PimcoMuni III (PMX) ..................... N 11.43 12.20 + 6.7 4.6PioneerHilncAdv (MAV)-a ................ N 12.35 11.69 – 5.3 4.4PioneerMunHiIcmT (MHI)-a ............ N 13.22 12.49 – 5.5 4.4PutnamMgd Inc (PMM)-a ............... N 8.26 8.15 – 1.3 4.7PutnamMuni Opp (PMO)-a .............. N 13.95 13.71 – 1.7 4.8RiverNorth FlexMuni Inc (RFM) ...... N 23.63 NA NA NSRiverNorthMgdDurMun I (RMM) .. N 19.70 18.51 – 6.0 6.1RiverNorthOppsMuni Inc (RMI) ..... N 23.50 21.42 – 8.9 5.0Western AssetMgdMuni (MMU)-a .. N NA 12.95 NA 4.2Western AssetMunHi Inc (MHF)-a .. N NA 7.74 NA 3.7WstAstMuniPrtnrs (MNP)-a ............ N NA 15.08 NA 3.8Westn AsstMuDefOpp Tr (MTT)-a .. N NA 21.20 NA 3.1SingleStateMuniBondBlackRockCAMun (BFZ) ................ N 16.09 14.07 – 12.6 3.2BlackRockMATax-Exempt (MHE) .. N 13.85 13.64 – 1.5 3.7BlackRockMDMunBd (BZM) ......... N 15.37 15.73 + 2.3 3.2BRMHCAQly Fd Inc (MUC) ............ N 16.04 14.91 – 7.0 3.9BRMHNJQly (MUJ) ....................... N 16.20 14.45 – 10.8 4.7BRMHNYQly (MHN) ..................... N 15.24 14.06 – 7.7 4.2BlkRkMunyldAZ (MZA) ................... N 14.94 15.41 + 3.1 3.9BRMuniYld CA (MYC) .................... N 16.45 14.67 – 10.8 3.4BRMuniYld CAQly (MCA) ............... N 16.26 14.95 – 8.1 4.0BRMuniYldMIQly (MIY) ................ N 15.89 14.62 – 8.0 4.2BRMuniYldNJ (MYJ) ..................... N 16.25 14.42 – 11.3 5.0BRMuniYldNYQly (MYN) .............. N 14.60 13.34 – 8.6 4.1BRMuniYld PAQly (MPA) ............... N 16.34 14.60 – 10.6 4.1BlckRkNYMuni IncQly (BSE) ......... N 15.14 13.86 – 8.5 4.0BlackRockNYMun (BNY) ............... N 15.22 14.55 – 4.4 4.1BlackRockNYMun II (BFY) ............. N 15.72 14.53 – 7.6 4.5BlackRockVAMun (BHV) ............... N 15.73 16.02 + 1.8 3.4Del COMuni Inc (VCF)-a ................... A 15.42 14.29 – 7.3 3.5DelMN II (VMM)-a ........................... A 15.06 13.29 – 11.8 3.1EVCAMuniBd (EVM)-a ..................... A 12.77 11.50 – 9.9 4.0EVCAMuniIncm (CEV) .................... A 14.82 13.74 – 7.3 4.0EatonVanceNYMuni Bd (ENX)-a ..... A 13.56 12.15 – 10.4 4.0EVNYMuniIncm (EVY) .................... A 15.09 13.99 – 7.3 3.8InvCaValMuIncTr (VCV) ................. N 13.73 13.21 – 3.8 4.0InvPAValMuIncTr (VPV) ................. N 14.32 12.75 – 11.0 4.6InvTrInvGrNYMu (VTN) .................. N 14.48 13.30 – 8.1 4.2NeubrgrBrmCA (NBW) ................... A 15.70 13.55 – 13.7 3.9NeubrgeBrmNY (NBO) ................... A 14.23 12.29 – 13.6 3.8NuveenAZQualMuni Inc (NAZ) ...... N 15.38 15.88 + 3.3 3.5NuveenCAAMT-FQualMI (NKX) .... A 16.93 15.44 – 8.8 4.0NuveenCAVal (NCA) ...................... N 10.86 10.95 + 0.8 2.9NuveenCAMuni Value 2 (NCB) ....... N 16.56 15.53 – 6.2 2.7NuveenCAQtyMuInc (NAC) ............. N 16.32 14.88 – 8.8 4.1NuveenCASel Tx-Free (NXC) .......... N 15.99 16.25 + 1.6 3.2NuvGAQualMuni Inc (NKG) ........... A NA 12.96 NA 3.7NuveenMAQualMuni Inc (NMT) .... N 15.26 14.65 – 4.0 3.6NuveenMDQualMuni Inc (NMY) .... N 15.39 14.05 – 8.7 4.0NuveenMIQualMuni Inc (NUM) ..... N 16.22 15.02 – 7.4 3.8NuveenMinnQualMun Inc (NMS) .. A 15.60 14.73 – 5.6 3.9NuveenMOQualMun Inc (NOM) .... A 14.08 14.02 – 0.4 3.4NuveenNJMuni Value (NJV) .......... N 15.65 14.16 – 9.5 2.7NuvNJQualMuni Inc (NXJ) ............. A 16.82 14.34 – 14.7 4.5NuveenNYAMT/Fr QualMI (NRK) .. A 15.11 13.50 – 10.7 4.1NuveenNYVal (NNY) ...................... N 10.24 10.08 – 1.6 3.2NuveenNYMuni Value 2 (NYV) ....... N 15.85 14.92 – 5.9 2.3NuveenNYQualMuni Inc (NAN) ..... N 15.64 14.34 – 8.3 4.3NuveenNYSel Tx-Free (NXN) ......... N 14.48 14.25 – 1.6 3.3NuveenOHQualMuni Inc (NUO) ..... N NA 15.64 NA 3.4NuveenPAMuni Value (NPN) ......... N NA 13.96 NA 2.6NuveenPAQualMuni Inc (NQP) ..... N NA 14.22 NA 4.3
iGobanking.com Flushing,NY (888)432-5890 1000 0.55 (CD) 0.55Dollar SavingsDirect Ossining,NY (866)395-8693 1000 0.55 (CD) 0.55Emigrant Direct NewYork,NY (800)836-1997 1000 0.50 (CD) 0.50MySavingsDirect Ossining,NY (877)752-1919 1000 0.50 (CD) 0.50BankDirect Dallas,TX (877)839-2737 10000 0.50 (CD) 0.501Includingpassbook, statement savings, andbank-offered liquidasset accounts.2Six-month CD yields assume reinvestment of principal and interest at the same rate for anadditional sixmonths.Rates are the highest yields on six types of accounts offered by federally-insured banks andsavingsassociationsnationwide.
Travis CU Concord,CA (800)435-4040 500 1.00 (CM) 1.00First Internet Bank Indianapolis,IN (888)873-3424 1000 0.95 (CM) 0.95ProGrowthBank Gaylord,MN (888)922-2265 25000 0.95 (CA) 0.95Ally Bank Philadelphia,PA (877)247-2559 1 0.85 (CD) 0.85Popular Direct NewYork,NY (800)274-5696 10000 0.80 (CD) 0.80
90-DayJumboCDsTelephone Min. Recent Effect.
Institution Location No. Deposit %Rate %Yield
LegacyBank Hinton,OK (800)687-9688 10000 0.40 (CM) 0.40First Internet Bank Indianapolis,IN (888)873-3424 1000 0.25 (CM) 0.25Radius Bank Boston,MA (800)242-0272 1000 0.25 (CD) 0.25Giantbank.com Ft.Lauderdale,FL (877)446-4200 2500 0.25 (CD) 0.25AxosBank SanDiego,CA (877)541-2634 1000 0.20 (CD) 0.20Source: (c)2021, InformaResearchServices,30501AgouraRoad,2ndFloor,AgouraHills,CA91301 818-880-8877. All rights reserved. May not be reproduced or retransmitted in anyformwithout expresswritten consentof InformaResearchServices.
Blackstone/GSOFREID (N/A) ......... z 24.13 NA NA 5.5Blackstone/GSOFREI I (N/A) .......... z 24.10 NA NA 5.8Blackstone/GSOFREI T (N/A) ......... z 24.06 NA NA 5.3Blackstone/GSOFREI T-I (N/A) ....... z 24.65 NA NA 5.3Blackstone/GSOFREIU (N/A) ......... z 25.12 NA NA 5.3Blstn CommntyDev (N/A) ............... z 10.04 NA NA 3.3BNYMAlcntr GlbMSCr Fd (N/A) ..... z 103.21 NA NA 6.9CLIFFWATERCL FD;I (N/A) ............. z 10.41 NA NA 6.8CNRStrategic Credit (N/A) .............. z 10.51 NA NA 7.9FedProj&TrFinanceTendr (N/A) ...... z 9.94 NA NA 2.7FSGlobal Crdt OpptysD (N/A) ......... z NA NA NA 8.4SchrdrsOpp Inc;A (N/A) ................. z 25.86 NA NA 1.9SchrdrsOpp Inc;A2 (N/A) ............... z NA NA NA NSSchrdrsOpp Inc;I (N/A) .................. z 25.86 NA NA 1.9SchrdrsOpp Inc;SDR (N/A) ............ z 25.90 NA NA 2.0InvescoSr LoanA (N/A) .................. z 6.39 NA NA 4.2InvescoSr LoanC (N/A) .................. z 6.40 NA NA 3.5InvescoSr Loan IB (N/A) ................. z 6.39 NA NA 4.4InvescoSr Loan IC (N/A) ................. z 6.39 NA NA 4.3InvescoSr LoanY (N/A) .................. z 6.39 NA NA 4.4Pioneer Sec Inc (N/A) ...................... z 9.78 NA NA 4.5HighYieldBondFundsGriffin Inst AccessCd:A (N/A) ......... z NA NA NA 6.0Griffin Inst AccessCd:C (N/A) ......... z NA NA NA 6.0Griffin Inst AccessCd:F (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA 6.0Griffin Inst AccessCd:I (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA 6.0Griffin Inst AccessCd:L (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA 6.0PIMCOFlexible Cr I;A-2 (N/A) .......... z 9.34 NA NA 7.3PIMCOFlexible Cr I;A-3 (N/A) .......... z 9.33 NA NA NSPIMCOFlexible Cr I;A-4 (N/A) .......... z 9.34 NA NA 7.6PIMCOFlexible Cr I;Inst (N/A) ......... z 9.34 NA NA 8.4PionrILSBridge (N/A) ..................... z 10.00 NA NA 0.0WAMiddleMkt Inc (N/A) ................. z 621.77 NA NA 7.4OtherDomesticTaxableBondFundsAlternative Credit Inc:A (N/A) .......... z 10.52 NA NA 6.7Alternative Credit Inc:C (N/A) .......... z 10.64 NA NA 6.0Alternative Credit Inc:I (N/A) ........... z 10.54 NA NA 7.0Alternative Credit Inc:L (N/A) .......... z 10.52 NA NA 6.5Alternative Credit Inc:W (N/A) ......... z 10.52 NA NA 6.7AmBeaconApollo TR:T (N/A) ......... z 10.23 NA NA 2.2AmBeaconApollo TR:Y (N/A) ......... z 10.30 NA NA 3.0AmBeaconSPEnh Inc:T (N/A) ........ z 9.60 NA NA 4.0AmBeaconSPEnh Inc:Y (N/A) ........ z 9.69 NA NA 4.7BRCredit Strat;A (N/A) ................... z 10.47 NA NA NSBRCredit Strat;Inst (N/A) ................ z 10.46 NA NA 5.2BlackRockMlt-Sctr Oppty (N/A) ...... z 88.46 NA NA 8.1BlackRockMlt-SecOpp II (N/A) ...... z 91.37 NA NA 7.9Carlyle Tact Pvt Cred:A (N/A) ........... z NA NA NA 6.6Carlyle Tact Pvt Cred:I (N/A) ............ z NA NA NA 7.3Carlyle Tact Pvt Cred:L (N/A) ........... z NA NA NA 6.9Carlyle Tact Pvt Cred:M (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA NSCarlyle Tact Pvt Cred:N (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA 7.3Carlyle Tact Pvt Cred:Y (N/A) ........... z NA NA NA 7.0CIONAresDvsfd Crdt;A (N/A) ......... z NA NA NA 5.5CIONAresDvsfd Crdt;C (N/A) ......... z NA NA NA 5.5CIONAresDvsfd Crdt;I (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA 5.5CIONAresDvsfd Crdt;L (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA 5.5CIONAresDvsfd Crdt;U (N/A) ......... z NA NA NA 5.5CIONAresDvsfd Crdt:U2 (N/A) ....... z NA NA NA NSCIONAresDvsfd Crdt;W (N/A) ........ z NA NA NA 5.5CNRSelect Strategies (N/A) ............ z 11.60 NA NA 0.0First Eagle Crdt OppsA (N/A) ........... z 25.74 NA NA NSFirst Eagle Crdt Opps I (N/A) ............ z 25.74 NA NA NSFSCredit Income;A (N/A) ................ z NA NA NA 5.4FSCredit Income;I (N/A) ................. z NA NA NA 5.7FSCredit Income;T (N/A) ................ z NA NA NA 5.2FSCredit Income;U (N/A) ................ z NA NA NA 5.2FSCredit Income;U-2 (N/A) ............ z NA NA NA NSGLBeyond Income (N/A) ................ z 0.61 NA NA NEKKRCREDITOPPTY;D (N/A) ........... z NA NA NA NSKKRCREDITOPPTY;I (N/A) ............ z NA NA NA NSKKRCREDITOPPTY;T (N/A) ........... z NA NA NA NSKKRCREDITOPPTY;U (N/A) ........... z NA NA NA NSLordAbbett CredOpps Fd (N/A) ...... z 10.65 NA NA 6.8LordAbbett CredOpps Fd (N/A) ...... z 10.66 NA NA 7.4LordAbbett CrdOp:U (N/A) ............. z 10.65 NA NA NSPalmer SquareOpp Inc (N/A) .......... z 18.63 NA NA 5.8Thrivent Church Ln&Inc:S (N/A) ..... z 10.84 NA NA 2.6World IncomeFundsDestra Int&Evt-DvnCrd:A (N/A) ...... z 26.73 NA NA 2.5Destra Int&Evt-DvnCrd:I (N/A) ....... z 26.73 NA NA 2.7Destra Int&Evt-DvnCrd:L (N/A) ...... z 26.70 NA NA 2.4Destra Int&Evt-DvnCrd:T (N/A) ...... z 26.67 NA NA 2.2NationalMuniBondFundsPIMCOFlexMun Inc;A-3 (N/A) ........ z 11.59 NA NA 2.1PIMCOFlexMun Inc:A1 (N/A) ......... z 11.59 NA NA NSPIMCOFlexMun Inc;A2 (N/A) ......... z 11.59 NA NA NSPIMCOFlexMun Inc;Inst (N/A) ....... z 11.59 NA NA 2.8Tortoise Tax-AdvSoc Inf (N/A) ........ z 9.52 NA NA 4.7
OtherDomesticTaxableBondFundsApollo Tactical Income (AIF) ........... N NA 14.38 NA 7.3AresDynamic Crdt Alloc (ARDC)-a ... N NA 14.48 NA 8.4BaringsCorporate Inv (MCI) ........... N NA 13.68 NA 7.2BaringsPart Inv (MPV) ................... N NA 12.22 NA 6.7BlackRockMlt-Sctr Inc (BIT) .......... N 18.42 17.42 – 5.4 8.4BlackRock TaxMuni Bd (BBN) ........ N 25.39 26.22 + 3.3 5.0DoubleLine:Oppor Crdt Fd (DBL) .... N NA 19.84 NA 8.6Duff&PhUtil Cor (DUC) .................. N 9.51 9.85 + 3.6 5.9EVLmtDurIncm (EVV) ..................... A 13.76 12.51 – 9.1 9.5Franklin LtdDur Income (FTF) ......... A 9.52 9.35 – 1.8 9.9JHan Investors (JHI) ...................... N 18.59 17.59 – 5.4 7.9KKR IncomeOpportunities (KIO) .... N NA 14.66 NA 10.1MFSCharter (MCR)-a ...................... N 8.86 8.69 – 1.9 7.9Nuveen TaxableMuni Inc (NBB) ...... N 22.90 23.83 + 4.1 4.6PCMFund (PCM) ............................ N NA 11.15 NA 8.9PIMCOCorp& IncOppty (PTY) ....... N NA 17.94 NA 8.7PIMCOCorp& IncStrat (PCN) ........ N NA 17.06 NA 7.8PIMCOHilnco (PHK) ....................... N NA 6.11 NA 10.6PIMCO IncmStrFd (PFL) ................. N NA 11.41 NA 9.4PIMCO IncmStrFd II (PFN) .............. N NA 9.95 NA 9.6PutnamMas Int (PIM)-a ................... N 4.50 4.21 – 6.4 8.3PutnamPrem Inc (PPT)-a ................ N 4.97 4.70 – 5.4 8.8Wells FargoMulti-Sector (ERC) ...... A 13.04 12.18 – 6.6 9.5World IncomeFundsAbrdnAP IncFd (FAX)-a ................... N 4.87 4.40 – 9.7 7.4AberdeenGlobal Income (FCO)-a ..... N 6.95 7.98 + 14.8 10.6BlackRock 2022Gl IncOp (BGIO) ... N 9.25 9.20 – 0.5 6.6BrndywnGLBGlb IncOppts (BWG) . N NA 12.40 NA 7.4EtnVncStDivInc (EVG)-a .................. N 13.86 13.10 – 5.5 6.6First Tr/AbGlbl Inc (FAM) ................ N 11.06 10.59 – 4.2 9.1MSEmMktDomDebt (EDD) ............ N 7.19 6.17 – 14.2 6.9MsEmMktDebtFd (MSD) ................ N 10.43 9.22 – 11.6 4.6Nuveen EMDbt 2022 Tg Tr (JEMD) . N 7.85 7.67 – 2.3 5.8PIMCODynCrd&Mrt Inc (PCI) ....... N NA 21.23 NA 9.8PIMCODynamic Income (PDI) ........ N NA 26.22 NA 10.0PIMCO IncomeOpportunity (PKO) .. N NA 24.82 NA 9.0PIMCOStratg Inc (RCS) .................. N NA 6.92 NA 9.5StoneHarbor EMTot Inc (EDI) ......... N 8.39 8.67 + 3.3 13.6StoneHarbor EmgMkts Inc (EDF) ... N 7.16 7.95 + 11.0 16.4Templeton Em Inc (TEI) .................. N 8.71 7.69 – 11.7 7.3TempltnGlbl Inc (GIM) ................... N 6.06 5.61 – 7.4 4.0VirtusGlMSec Inc (VGI) ................. N 12.58 11.81 – 6.1 10.9WstAstEmergDebt (EMD)-a ............. N NA 13.71 NA 8.4Western Asset Gl CrDOp (GDO)-a ... N NA 17.89 NA 6.7NationalMuniBondFundsAllBerNatlMunInc (AFB) ................. N 15.48 14.14 – 8.7 4.1BlckRk InvQMun (BKN) ................. N 16.77 16.92 + 0.9 4.3BlckRk L-TMuni Adv (BTA) ............. N 13.20 12.78 – 3.2 4.7BRMu InDur (MUI) ......................... N 16.17 14.76 – 8.7 4.0BlackRockMuni 2030 Tgt (BTT) ...... N 26.94 25.67 – 4.7 2.9BlackRockMunBd (BBK) ................ N 16.84 16.17 – 4.0 4.4BlackRockMuni (BFK) .................... N 14.81 15.09 + 1.9 4.3BlackRockMuni II (BLE) ................. N 15.22 15.44 + 1.4 4.6BlckRkMun Inc Inv (BBF) ............... N 14.53 13.84 – 4.7 4.5BlckRkMuni IncQly (BYM) ............. N 15.96 15.21 – 4.7 3.9BlckRkMuni Inc InvQly (BAF) ......... N 15.63 15.14 – 3.1 4.5BRMuniAssets Fd (MUA) ............... N 14.65 15.14 + 3.3 4.3BRMuniEnhanced (MEN) ............... N 12.52 12.14 – 3.0 4.2BRMuniHoldng2 (MUH) ................. N 16.18 15.22 – 5.9 4.6BRMuniHoldingsQly (MFL) ........... N 15.24 14.34 – 5.9 3.9BRMHQly (MUS) ........................... N 14.21 13.33 – 6.2 4.4BRMHQly 2 (MUE) ......................... N 14.33 13.35 – 6.8 4.2BRMuniHoldngs (MHD) ................. N 17.43 16.32 – 6.4 4.4BRMuniVest Fd (MVF) .................... N 9.96 9.19 – 7.7 4.3BRMuniVest 2 (MVT) ..................... N 15.65 15.32 – 2.1 4.5BRMuniYield Fd (MYD) .................. N 15.33 14.36 – 6.3 4.6BRMuniYld Invest Qly (MFT) .......... N 14.58 14.51 – 0.5 4.5BRMuniYieldQlty (MQY) ................ N 16.67 17.05 + 2.3 4.2BRMuniYldQlty2 (MQT) ................ N 14.64 14.20 – 3.0 4.1BRMuniYldQly 3 (MYI) .................. N 15.37 14.16 – 7.9 3.8BRMuniYldInv (MYF) ..................... N 14.80 14.08 – 4.9 4.8BlckRkStrMuni (BSD) .................... N 14.82 15.00 + 1.2 4.7BNYMellonMuni Bd Infra (DMB)-a .. N 14.64 14.46 – 1.2 4.5BNYMellonMuni Income (DMF) ..... A 9.38 8.97 – 4.4 4.7BNYMellonStrMuni Bond (DSM) ... N 8.39 7.82 – 6.8 4.5BNYMellonStratMuni (LEO) .......... N 8.74 8.41 – 3.8 4.9Del InvNatlMuni Income (VFL)-a ..... A 15.01 13.42 – 10.6 3.8DTF Tax-Free Income (DTF) ............ N 16.15 14.35 – 11.1 3.2DWSMuni Inc (KTF) ....................... N 12.78 11.57 – 9.5 4.0DWSStratMun (KSM) .................... N 12.81 11.62 – 9.3 4.4EVMuniBd (EIM)-a ........................... A 14.28 13.30 – 6.9 4.2EVMuniIncm (EVN) ........................ N 14.33 13.59 – 5.2 4.2EVNatMuniOpp (EOT)-a ................... N 21.98 20.71 – 5.8 3.8FedHrmsPremMuI (FMN)-a ............. N 15.73 14.54 – 7.6 4.1InvAdvMuIncTrII (VKI) ................... A 12.26 11.46 – 6.5 4.7InvescoMuniOp (OIA) .................... N 7.78 7.86 + 1.0 4.8InvescoMuOppTr (VMO) ................ N 13.71 12.96 – 5.5 4.6InvescoMuTr (VKQ) ........................ N 13.74 12.95 – 5.7 4.6
12mosStock Market Prem Yield
FundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc 12/31/20
Data provided byWeekly Closed-End Funds52Week
Stock Market Prem MarketFundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc Return
NuveenVAQltyMun Inc (NPV) ....... N 15.38 15.70 + 2.1 3.4PIMCOCA (PCQ) ............................ N 14.30 18.00 + 25.9 4.3PIMCOCAMuniII (PCK) ................... N 9.16 9.07 – 1.0 4.2PimcoCAMuni III (PZC) ................. N 10.31 10.39 + 0.8 4.4PIMCONY (PNF) ............................ N 12.05 12.18 + 1.1 4.3PIMCONYMuniII (PNI) ................... N 11.53 11.26 – 2.3 4.4PimcoNYMuni III (PYN) ................. N 9.17 8.97 – 2.2 4.7GeneralEquityFundsAlternative Strategies:I (N/A) .......... z 5.62 NA NA – 12.5AMGPantheon:1 (N/A) ................... z NA NA NA NABOWRIVERCAPTLEVGN;I (N/A) .... z NA NA NA N
SpecializedEquityFundsBluerock Total Inc+RE:A (N/A) ........ z 29.41 NA NA 1.5Bluerock Total Inc+RE:C (N/A) ........ z 27.96 NA NA 0.7Bluerock Total Inc+RE:I (N/A) ......... z 29.98 NA NA 1.7Bluerock Total Inc+RE:L (N/A) ........ z 29.14 NA NA 1.2BroadstoneRl Est Acc:I (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA NABroadstoneRl Est Acc:W (N/A) ....... z NA NA NA NACIMRA&CA (N/A) .......................... z 25.53 NA NA NSCIMRA&CC (N/A) .......................... z 25.39 NA NA NSCIMRA&C I (N/A) ........................... z 25.58 NA NA NSCIMRA&CL (N/A) .......................... z 25.48 NA NA NSClarionPartnersREID (N/A) ........... z NA NA NA NAClarionPartnersREI I (N/A) ............. z NA NA NA NAClarionPartnersREI S (N/A) ........... z NA NA NA NAClarionPartnersREI T (N/A) ............ z NA NA NA NAGriffin Inst AccessRE:A (N/A) ......... z NA NA NA NAGriffin Inst AccessRE:C (N/A) ......... z NA NA NA NAGriffin Inst AccessRE:I (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA NAGSReal Est Div Inc:A (N/A) ............. z 9.76 NA NA – 2.1GSReal Est Div Inc:C (N/A) ............. z 9.75 NA NA – 2.9GSReal Est Div Inc:I (N/A) .............. z 10.19 NA NA – 1.9GSReal Est Div Inc:L (N/A) .............. z 9.77 NA NA – 2.3GSReal Est Div Inc:W (N/A) ............ z 9.91 NA NA – 2.1NexPointRlEstStrat;A (N/A) ............ z 16.21 NA NA – 12.4NexPointRlEstStrat;C (N/A) ............ z 16.38 NA NA – 12.9NexPointRlEstStrat;Z (N/A) ............ z 16.38 NA NA – 12.2PREDEX;I (N/A) .............................. z 25.26 NA NA 0.5PREDEX;T (N/A) ............................. z 25.37 NA NA 0.5PREDEX;W (N/A) ............................ z 25.37 NA NA 0.5Principal DvsSel RAA (N/A) ........... z 26.20 NA NA 1.9Principal DvsSel RA Ins (N/A) ......... z 26.25 NA NA 2.1Principal DvsSel RAY (N/A) ........... z 26.33 NA NA 2.3SharesPost 100;A (N/A) .................. z 37.26 NA NA 26.3SharesPost 100:I (N/A) ................... z 37.55 NA NA 26.6SharesPost 100:L (N/A) .................. z 36.98 NA NA 26.0USQCoreReal Estate:I (N/A) ........... z 24.75 NA NA 0.2USQCoreReal Estate:IS (N/A) ........ z 24.76 NA NA 0.2VersusCapMMgrRE Inc:I (N/A) ..... z 27.12 NA NA NEVersusCapital Real Asst (N/A) ........ z 25.49 NA NA 1.3Wildermuth Endwmnt:A (N/A) ........ z 13.54 NA NA – 5.1Wildermuth Endwmnt:C (N/A) ........ z 13.03 NA NA – 5.9Wildermuth Endowment:I (N/A) ...... z 13.62 NA NA – 5.4Income&PreferredStockFundsA3Alternative Cr (N/A) .................... z 10.19 NA NA 1.1Calamos L/S Eqty andDI (CPZ) ....... z 20.28 18.02 – 11.1 8.8DestraMulti-Altrntv;A (N/A) ............ z 11.98 NA NA – 5.9DestraMulti-Altrntv;C (N/A) ............ z 11.45 NA NA – 6.6DestraMulti-Altrntv;I (N/A) ............. z 12.23 NA NA – 5.6DestraMulti-Altrntv;T (N/A) ............ z 11.63 NA NA – 6.3Flat RockOpportunity (N/A) ............ z 20.55 NA NA 17.4TheRelative Value:CIA (N/A) ........... z NA NA NA NAVariant Altrntv Inc:Inst (N/A) ........... z 26.65 NA NA 5.6Variant Altrntv Inc:Inv (N/A) ............ z 26.66 NA NA 5.4ConvertibleSec's. FundsCalmosDynConv and Inc (CCD) ..... z 32.07 29.98 – 6.5 60.9
WorldEquityFundsACAPStrategic:A (N/A) ................... z 27.75 NA NA 47.8ACAPStrategic:W (N/A) .................. z 20.47 NA NA 48.9BMOLGMFrontME;I (N/A) ............. z 6.00 NA NA – 29.1CalamosGlbTotRet (CGO) ............... z 15.46 15.60 + 0.9 39.3CPGCooper Square IE A (N/A) ........ z NA NA NA NSCPGCooper Square IE I (N/A) ......... z NA NA NA NSPrimark Priv Eq Inv:I (N/A) .............. z 11.55 NA NA NSVirtusTotalRetFd (ZTR) ................... z 9.29 8.73 – 6.0 – 3.9LoanParticipationFunds1WSCredit Income (N/A) ................ z NA NA NA 5.9AlphCntrc PrimeMerid In (N/A) ....... z 9.70 NA NA 11.1Angel OakStr Crdt:Inst (N/A) .......... z NA NA NA 8.0Axonic Alternative Inc (N/A)-a .......... z 22.12 NA NA 3.3
12mosStock Market Prem Yield
FundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc 12/31/20
12mosStock Market Prem Yield
FundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc 12/31/20
ContinuouslyOffered52Week
Stock Market Prem MarketFundName (Symbol) Exch NAV Price /Disc Return
3M 3.49American Express 3.99Amgen 8.01Apple 11.93Boeing 1.52Caterpillar -2.68Chevron -0.36Cisco Systems -0.66Coca-Cola -0.21Disney 1.34Dow 0.19Goldman Sachs -11.62Home Depot 8.41Honeywell Intl -3.72IBM -9.78Intel -0.92Johnson & Johnson 3.25JPMorgan Chase -4.85McDonald's 3.47Merck -2.40Microsoft 13.30Nike Cl B -1.37Procter & Gamble -4.78Salesforce.com 12.63Travelers Cos 2.60UnitedHealth Group -3.75Verizon Communications 0.09Visa Cl A 0.43Walgreens Boots Alliance -1.47Walmart 1.69
Alaska Air Group 0.82American Airlines Group 0.06Avis Budget Group 2.06CH Robinson Worldwide 2.59CSX -5.78Delta Air 0.02Expeditors Intl of Wash 0.58FedEx 1.52JB Hunt Transport -5.37JetBlue Airways 0.36Kansas City Southern 4.78Kirby Corp -3.29Landstar System 2.76Matson Inc. 2.55Norfolk Southern -8.73Ryder System 0.78Southwest Airlines 0.73Union Pacific -9.47United Airlines -1.75United Parcel Service B 0.09
AES -0.50American Elec Power 1.61American Water Works 1.19Atmos Energy -0.94Consolidated Edison -0.77Dominion Energy 0.21Duke Energy -1.82Edison Intl -2.57Exelon -0.82FirstEnergy -0.40NextEra Energy 2.17Public Service Enterprise -1.02Sempra Energy -0.71Southern 0.48Xcel Energy -0.20
Note: Theoretical highs and lows are shown.
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DJ latest 52-week earnings and dividends adjusted by Dow Divisors at Friday's close. S&P Dec. 4-quarter's GAAP earnings asreported and indicated dividends based on Friday close.S&P 500 P/E ratios based on GAAP earnings as reported. For additionalearnings series, please refer towww.spglobal.com.DJ latest availablebookvalues forFY2019and2018, andS&Platest for 2018and2017. r-Reviseddata
SECForm 144must be filed by holders of restricted securities (also called letter stock) who intend to sell shares. Shares Indi-cated: thenumbertobesold.SalesDate: theapproximatedateof thesale. (Sometimessharesaren'tsold,eventhoughtheirownerhas filed aForm144.) Source:ThomsonReuters
Shares SaleCompany Sym Indicated $Value Date Seller Title
Cloudera CLDR 776,651 10,958,546 1/14/21 Bearden, Robert AFShakeShack SHAK 285,000 31,709,100 1/15/21 Garutti, Randall AFSquare SQ 180,002 41,566,062 1/14/21 Reses, Jacqueline UTMedallia MDLA 150,000 5,565,000 1/14/21 Walske, Steven AFRealreal REAL 120,000 3,127,200 1/13/21 Sahi, Levesque AFPinterest PINS 105,000 7,851,964 1/13/21 Silbermann, Benjamin OPinterest PINS 105,000 7,719,263 1/12/21 Silbermann, Benjamin OAmeresco AMRC 100,000 5,994,000 1/13/21 Sutton, Joseph AF1LifeHealthcare ONEM 99,734 4,124,001 1/14/21 Mango, Lisa AF1LifeHealthcare ONEM 99,375 4,109,156 1/14/21 Diamond, Andrew AF
S&P Ind Index 5424.51 5285.86 4474.53P/ERatio 44.70 43.56 27.80EarnsYield% 2.24 2.30 3.60Earns $ 121.36 121.36 160.94Divs Yield% 1.33 1.37 1.69Divs $ 72.15 72.42 75.62Mkt to Book 5.74 5.60 5.07BookValue $ 944.26 944.26 883.41
Last Prev. YearWeek Week Ago
U.S. DOLLAR INDEX vs EURO and YEN
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
F M A M J J A S O N D J
EURO in $
s
YEN in $s
DXY (90.21)s
Source: Tullett Prebon
Big Bucks: A new administration arrived, with big spending plans and an accommo-dative nominee to chair the Fed. The U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.6% for the week.
BARRON'S50-STOCKAVERAGE
This index is anweighted average of 50 leading issues.Useful in security valuation. Source:Barron's Stats
SecuritySalesCustomers'margin debt(Mil $) December 778,037 722,118 579,221Customers' credit balances(Mil $) December 224,987 200,723 186,315Free credit bal. cash accounts(Mil $) December 227,127 221,567 151,543Source:NYSE.
PERSHAREVALUESOFSTOCKS INTHEDOWJONESAVERAGES
This is a list of the Dow Jones trailing 52-week dilutedshare earnings, dividends and book values as reportedby the company. Bolded numbers indicate new values.SourcesBarron's Stats andFactSet.IndustrialStocks
DELTAMARKETSENTIMENT INDICATORTheDeltaMSImeasures the position of~1,800 stocks relative to anintermediate-term moving average crossover (MAC) point. Whengreater than50%of thestocks followedareabovethisMACpoint, themarket is bullish and equities are attractive. When the indicator isbelow 50%, risk is elevated and stock exposures should be reduced.Managerusesdiscretiononasset allocationwhenMSI is 50%+/- 3%.
INVESTORSENTIMENTREADINGSHigh bullish readings in the Consensus stock index or in theMarket Vane stock index usually are signs ofMarket tops; lowones,market bottoms.
BestGradeBonds-y (Barron's index of 10 high-gradecorporate bonds.)
1.42 1.42 2.48
Interm-GradeBonds-y (Barron's index of 10medium-grade corporate bonds.)
2.66 2.70 3.29
Confidence Index (High-grade index divided by inter-mediate-grade index; decline in latter vs. former generallyindicates rising confidence, pointing to higher stocks.)
53.5 52.7 75.5
OtherConfidence Indicators:
BloombergBarclaysUSLongTreasury*(Thisindexmeasures the performance of fixed-rate, nominal USTreasurieswith at least 10 years tomaturity. Jan. 1, 1973=100.)
4543.99 4544.28 4187.39
BloombergBarclaysUSCredit (This indexincludes all publicly issued, fixed-rate, non-convertible, invest-ment-grade, dollar-denominated, SEC-registered corporatedebt. All issues have at least one year tomaturity and outstand-ing par value of at least $250million. Jan. 1, 1973=0.) (v)
3346.59 3343.25 3134.11
RyanLabsTreasury Index (Index of total return fromactive Treasury notes and bonds. Dec. 31, 1996=100.)
323.71 323.15 303.74
Last Prev. YrAgoWeek Week Week
BondBuyer20Bond Index (Index of yields of 20general obligationmunicipal bonds.)
2.21 2.21 2.54
BondBuyerMunicipalBond Index (Index of 40actively-traded tax-exempt bonds; component issues arechanged regularly to keep the index a current picture of themarket. Source: TheBondBuyer
3.46 3.47 3.55
Stock/BondYieldGap-s (Difference between yield onhighest-grade corporate bonds and yield on stocks on theDJIA.)
New Stock: Russian miner Nordgold maylist in London. The price of gold rose0.7% for the week, to $1,853 and ounce.
ARMSINDEX
TheArmsindex,alsoknownastheshorttermtradingindex, isanumberderivedbydividingonequotientintoanotherquotient.Thenumeratorinthe index is the number of advancing stocks divided by the number ofdeclining stocks. As of 3/14/11, the denominator in the index is now thecompositevolumeofadvancingstocksdividedbythecompositevolumeofdecliningstocks.
Readings in the CBOE equity put-call ratio of 60:100and in the S&P 100 of 125:100 are considered bullish,for instance. Bearish signals flash when the equityput-call level reaches the vicinity of 30:100 and theindex ratio hits 75:100.
S&P 100s
CBOEs
FOREIGNEXCHANGEFriday, January22,2021
TheNewYorkforeignexchangemid-rangeratesarequotedat5p.m. Eastern time by Tullett Prebon. Retail transactions pro-vide fewerunits of foreign currencyperdollar.
Foreign Foreign U.S. $ in U.S. $ inCurrency Currency Foreign ForeigninU.S.$ inU.S.$ Currency Currency
Volume represents total volume for themarket; price/yield data are for trades of $100,000 and greater.* Denotes a security whose last roundlot trade did not take place on the last business day prior to publication. ** Estimated spreads, in basis points (100 basis points is one percent-age point), over the 2, 5, 10 or 30-year hot run Treasury note/bond. 2-year: 0.125 12/22; 5-year: 0.375 12/25; 10-year: 0.875 11/30;30-year: 1.375 08/50.†Comparable U.S. Treasury issue.
Fed annualized yields adjusted for constant maturity. FHFAPMMS+ is the Federal Housing Finance Agency's adjusted versionof FreddieMac's 30-yr FRMPrimaryMortgageMarket Survey. ThisIndex replaces thediscontinuedFHFAContract Rate.
M40 X W L C 10 11 12 H G R P BARRON’S 4 8 3 F A D 6 7 9 0 I January 25, 2021
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