FY 2018 Study on Business Opportunity of High-quality Infrastructure to Overseas (Feasibility Study for the Sewerage System Development Project in the Philippines) Final Report February 2019 Ministy of Economy, Trade and Industry Outsourcing Contractors: Deloitte Tohmatsu Financial Advisory LLC General Incorporated Association, Global Water Recycling and Reuse System Association, Japan Original Engineering Consultants Co., Ltd.
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FY 2018 Study on Business Opportunity of High-quality
Infrastructure to Overseas
(Feasibility Study for the Sewerage System Development Project in
the Philippines)
Final Report
February 2019
Ministy of Economy, Trade and Industry
Outsourcing Contractors:
Deloitte Tohmatsu Financial Advisory LLC
General Incorporated Association,
Global Water Recycling and Reuse System Association, Japan
CEPMO City Environment and Parks Management Office
CLUP 2013-2023 Comprehensive Land Use Plan of Baguio City
COD Chemical Oxygen Demand
CODCr Chemical Oxygen Demand by potassium dichromate
DBP Development Bank of the Philippines
DENR Department of Environment and Natural Resource
DOF Department of Finance
DPS Department of Public Services
DPWH Department of Public Works and Highways
EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return
E/S Engineering Services
FIRR Financial Internal Rate of Return
NPV Net Present Value
HUC Highly Urbanized Cities
IRA Internal Revenue Allotment
JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency
JV Joint Venture
Kj-N Kjeldahl Nitrogen
LCC Life Cycle Cost
LGU Local Government Unit
LOI Letter of Intent
MBBR Moving Bed Bio-film Reactor
MLSS Mixed Liquor Suspended Solids
NCR National Capital Region
NEDA The National Economic and Development Authority
NO3-N Nitrate Nitrogen
NSSMP National Sewerage and Septage Management Program
OD Oxidation Ditch
PAC PolyAluminum Chloride
PDMF Project Development and Monitoring Facility
PO4-P Phosphate Phosphorus
PPP Public-Private Partnership
PWRF Philippine Water Revolving Fund
SBR Sequence Batch Reactor
SS Suspended Solid
T-N Total Nitrogen
T-P Total Phosphorus
UN United Nations
UPS Uninterruptible Power Supply
USAID United States Agency for International Development
VfM Value for Money
WD Water District
6
Introduction
(1) Background and Objective of Study
The National Sewerage and Septage Management Program (NSSMP) in the Philippines was was
approved by the Administrative Board of the National Economic and Development Authority
(NEDA) in 2012. It sought to promote and develop sewerage infrastructure in urban areas beyond
Metro Manilla. Under this program, the central government introduced an implementation support
system where 40% of total development costs for sewerage infrastructure of local government units
(LGUs) would be subsidized by the national government, subject to standard appraisal procedures
headed by the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH). The said 40% subsidy cover
was eventually increased to 50% with the intent to attract more interested LGUs to apply for the
support facility.. However, as of February 2019, only one local government unit has officially
applied for the NSSMP support facility (Zamboanga City. In order to remedy this situation, the
DPWH established a policy of striving to increase the application of this system through the
expansion of local governments receiving the subsidy by means of infrastructure development.
Instead of restricting the subsidy facility only to highly urbanized cities (HUCs), the facility was
also made available to component cities (cities not regarded as highly urbanized) as well as first
class municipalities.
One of the reasons that sewerage infrastructure development has not progressed at the same pace
as what the Philippines requires is due to the limited basic infrastructure in urban localities outside
Metro Manila. However, the government of the Philippines is aware that delays in the provision of
sewerage services would not only lead to environmental degradation, but also have an adverse
impact on the tourism industry as well as agriculture, forestry, fisheries and other such industries.
Improving sewerage and septage conditions in the Philippines was manifested in the much
publicized closure of the popular resort island of Boracay in April 2018 by no less than President
Rodrigo Duterte at a cabinet meeting. The president at that time decided to close down the island
due to utter failures in sewerage management in the locality and due to sewerage management
violations of several establishments in the island. Furthermore, announcements that effluent
standards were not being upheld in 82 of 351 resort hotels in Bohol (another similar holiday
destination) also made news Therefore, it is expected that development of sewerage infrastructure
facilities will be strongly promoted in the future.
Another known tourist destination – Baguio City is proposed as the target location for this project.
It is one of a very few local governments in the Philippines which themselves provide public
sewerage services. This essentially indicates that the infrastructure for project implementation is set
in place. It is envisaged that formulating and implementing sewerage projects as a Public-Private
Partnership (PPP) will enable promotion as a business development model that can be utilized
various other cities in the Philippines.
7
I. Overview of Project Target Area (Baguio City)
Baguio City in the center of the Luzon Island is located
approximately 250km north of the Metropolitan Manila Area
(Metro Manila). It has a population of about 350,000 (2015
census), an area of approx. 57.5 km2, and is catagorized as a
Highly Urbanized City (HUC) geographically situated in the
Province of Benguet, one of the provinces within the Cordillera
Administrative Region (CAR).
Due to its location at an altitude of about 1,500 meters, the
climate is cooler compared to other areas in the Philippines,
making it a popular summer destination especially for local
tourists. In 2017, Baguio City was visited by an estimated 1.5
million tourists – an increase of about 17.5% compared to the
previous year. The breakdown is as follows: 90% Philippine
nationals, with foreign tourists mainly consisting of Americans,
Koreans and Japanese. Furthermore, there are approximately 150 lodging and accommodations
facilities in the city, making tourism one of the key industries in the city.
On the other hand, since Baguio City is located in a steep mountainous area, there is a limit to
the amount of land that can be utilized for sewerage and septage facility use. According to the
Baguio City Comprehensive Land Use Plan 2013-2023 (CLUP), approximately 56% of the land in
Baguio City is designated as residential zones, and approximately 5% is designated as commercial
zones, implying that the development area has already reached the limit in terms of expansion,
making the land issue a bottleneck when attempting to implement projects with sizeable land area
in this city.
Fig. 2 Current Status of Land Usage in Baguio City
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on the Baguio City Comprehensive Land Use Plan 2013-
2023
There has been a report that Baguio City will be the next location to be designated as an
Ecotourism Zone by the Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) after Boracay,
Palawan and Bohol due to the necessity to facilitate rebuilding from a massive earthquake that
occurred in the 1990s as well as the concentration of air pollution in the central part of the city as a
Fig. 1 Location of Baguio City
Source: Prepared by Study Team
Baguio City
Manila
8
result of the cone shaped topography1. According to this report, the importance of the role that the
environment plays in the tourism industry in Baguio City is positioned at the same level as the
international tourist destinations such as Boracay and Palawan, although no mention was made
regarding measures to deal with the decline in water quality.
Fig. 3 Scenes of Baguio City
Source: Baguio City
In addition, there is a robust agricultural industry in the region, and Baguio City is a center point
for highland crops harvested in and around the city. According to the Philippine Statistics Authority,
the gross domestic product growth rate in the Cordillera Administrative Region (a region with a
population of 1.72 million) was pegged at 12.1% in 2017 compared to the previous year, far
surpassing the national average growth rate of 6.7%, one of the highest growth rates in the entire
nation. The main industries consist of manufacturing at 52.1%, followed by the service sector
(39.6%) and agriculture, forestry and fisheries (8.3%). The main industry of Benguet province (a
province with approximately 446,000 inhabitants and where Baguio City is geographically situated)
is in mining gold, copper, and coal among others. However, agriculture has been strategically
positioned as a key industry from a long time ago. Due to its elevation and viability for growing
high value crops, an assortment of vegetables are produced in this area – giving the area the moniker
“The Salad Bowl of the Philippines”. In addition, it has also been called “Strawberry Country” in
recent years. Relevant persons in Baguio City are aware that improvement of the environment
through development of the sewerage system will make a substantial contribution to further
invigorating agriculture as another key industry in this city.
II. Overview of Water Supply in Project Target Region (Baguio City)
A) Overview of Sewerage System
The sewerage system infrastructure in Baguio City was developed through grant aids from
Japan between 1980 and 1990. The planned treatment capacity of the sewage treatment plant
that was developed in Baguio City in 1986 was 8,600 m3/day, with a service provision area
that consisted of the city center (with an approximate 10,000 households / business
establishments). In addition, the total length of sewer pipes is spanned approximately 57 km,
developed also through Japanese grant aid. Operations of the sewerage treatment facilities was
directly undertaken by the City Government of Baguio through a specialized office under the
City Environment and Parks Management Office (CEPMO).
1 GMA News Online (Dec. 9, 2018 “Baguio next ecotourism zone to be rehabilitated – DENR”)
9
Fig. 4 Current Status of Sewage Treatment in Baguio City (Pink portion is sewerage service
area)
Source: Baguio City CEPMO (City Environment and Parks Management)
Through time, , measures need to be taken to deal with the aging sewerage infrastructure in
Baguio City and the increase in treatment demand brought about by the continuous population
and economic growth of the locality. While the population of the city was somewhere between
100 and 200 thousand in the mid-1980s when operation of the sewage treatment facility began,
the population has grown to 350 thousand by 2015.
By 2010, the treatment facility On the other hand, approximately 12,000 m3/day of sewage
was being treated by year 2010, a figure roughly 30% more than the designed capacity of the
the existing sewerage treatment facility. This figure however dropped to 8,000 m3/day in 2013
due to the aging sewerage system of Baguio City.
Fig. 5 Population Growth in Baguio City
Source: Baguio City
119,009
183,142
226,883
252,386
301,926 318,676
345,366
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
10
Fig. 6 Transition in Sewage Treatment Volume in Baguio City
Source: CDIA Pre-F/S
Furthermore, it has been recommended in the NSSMP that while the local government is
charged with developing the sewerage system, maintenance of the facilities would be better
off transferred to the Water District (WD) which also provides water supply services in the
particular franchise area. Thus, the Study Team also looked into formulating a project scheme
that takes into consideration the possibility of transfer of sewerage system operation to the WD.
Baguio City will be collecting two usage fees/charges related to the sewerage system. The
first is a sewerage charge that entities using sewerage service are due to pay, consisting of 30%
of the basic charge for water supply collected. The second charge is an Environmental Charge,
with 20% of the basic charge for water supply collected from all parties who have water supply
connections, regardless of whether or not sewerage services are being provided.
B) Overview of Water Supply
The Baguio City Water District has jurisdiction of water supply in Baguio City. The WD
was established in 1975 and took over the task of water supply operations from the Department
of Public Services (DPS).
As of 2012, the Baguio City Water District supplies 8.61 million m3/year, covering nearly
the entire city. Water is supplied 24 hours/day in the Central Business District (CBD), and 6
hours/day in other areas2. Water consumption by households is the highest at 71%, followed
by commercial facilities which comprise 22% of total water consumption. Government
agencies (both national and city) consume 5% of total water consumption in Baguio City.
2 From CDIA Pre-F/S
11
Source: Prepared by Study Team from CDIA Pre-F/S
Fig. 8 Baguio City Water District Supply Area (Yellow is 100% supply area)
Source: Pre-F/S
The future water supply plan calls for water supply to the entire population to be achieved
by 2020, with the supply volume increasing to 50,000 m3/day in 2022, approximately 1.2 times
the volume in 2013.
Fig. 7 Transition in Water Consumption and Customer Breakdown (For 2012)
(㎥/year)
12
Fig. 9 Water Supply Population Forecast
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on the materials from Baguio City Water District
The Non-Revenue Water (NRW) rate as of 2013 was 31.4%. This figure has however
decreased to 24.8% in 2017. Plans call for the NRW rate to be further reduced to 20% by the
year 20203.
Fig. 10 Transition in Non Revenue Water (NRW) Rate
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on the materials from Baguio City Water District
III. Actions to Upgrade/Develop Baguio City Sewerage Infrastructure
Baguio City implemented a Pre-Feasibility Study (Pre-F/S) between 2015 and 2016 in
cooperation with the Cities Development Initiative for Asia (CDIA) based on the idea of utilizing
the above NSSMP subsidy. Short-, medium- and long term sewerage related infrastructure
development goals were set and planned thought his Pre F/S. The short-term (within 5 years) and
3 From Pre-F/S
Supply to entire population in 2020
13
medium-term (5 – 10 years) infrastructure development policy goals for this pre-F/S are described
below. These include updating/expansion of the current sewage treatment facilities,
updating/extension of sewer lines and other related works (Total short-term project cost: 2.9 billion
yen, medium-term: 5 billion yen).
Fig. 11 Baguio City Sewerage Services Goals in Pre-F/S
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on the Pre-F/S
Table 12 Approximate Sewerage Related Infrastructure Development Budget in Pre-F/S (2015
prices)
Note: Converted at 1 Peso = 2.1 Yen
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on the Pre-F/S
■Current Situation
Treatment capacity of BSTP
8,600m3/day
The average daily inflow of sewage to the BSTP in 2010 was 12,434 m3/day . This is well beyond the 8,000 m3/day which is the treatment capacity of the BSTP.
Total length of sewer line
57 km
Total length of sewer line leading to the BTSP. Due to the BSTP’s limited capacity, the number of new connections is around 200 connections per year.
Sewerage connection rate
15 %
Sewerage service is provided in 65 /128 barangays either fully or partially. The total number of registered users is 9,820 (15 per cent of the population).
25% in 2020 100 % in 203550% in 2025
15,000m3/day32,000m3/day
+ DEWATS39,000m3/day
67 km
+ 15km replacement
117km 257km
Short-term Mid-term Long-term
*BSTP: The Baguio Sewage Treatment Plant
■Goals
14
Table 13 Main Projects in Sewerage Upgrade Program
Note: Converted at 1 Peso = 2.1 Yen
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on the Pre-F/S
Initially, Baguio City envisaged that the project could be implemented by tapping into the NSSMP
subsidy (previously set at up to 40% of total project costs) based on the results of the CDIA Pre-
F/S, but an application for a subsidy was not made because it was difficult to raise capital to finance
the project from other sources to counterpart for the NSSMP subsidy. This led Baguio City LGU
to explore ways to compensate for counterpart funds, including venturing into Public-Private
Partnerships (PPPs).
IV. Actions by Baguio City Towards Sewerage Infrastructure Updating/Development
The significance of Japanese corporations participating in the Baguio City Sewerage Project is
organized in this section.
A) Baguio City – A Showcase for Public Sewerage Projects in the Philippines
As stated earlier, although the central government in the Philippines has ventured into promoting
the development of sewerage infrastructure beyond Metro Manila, At present, still many HUCs have
had limited to virtually non-existent sewerage infrastructure. Local governments around the country
have been kown to have low level of planning / implementation capabilities in the sewerage field.
In light of this, , if sewerage infrastructure updating / expansion succeeds in Baguio City, the city
will become a project model that can be used as an example to be spread throughout the country.
There are 334 cities with a population of 300 thousand or more that are of the same size or larger
than Baguio City outside Metro Manila (as of 2015). This means that the success of this project will
serve as a large opportunity for further business development. Although the project that is being
examined in this study is relatively small in scale since it involves the rehabilitation and expansion
of existing facilities, if sewerage projects are newly implemented in other HUCs, it would amount
to a market scale of approximately 100 billion yen for development of the sewage treatment
The increase in the volume of water treated will require additional dehydrators. The number of
dehydrators required will be reviewed, taking into consideration 24 hour operation and other factors.
In addition, since the excess sludge from the final sedimentation tank can be directly dehydrated, it
may be possible to eliminate the sludge concentration tank, so this matter will also be taken into
consideration.
G) Effective Usage of Filtered Water
Introduction of a filtration process to remove phosphorous is being under consideration, which
will allow to maintainance of water quality suitable for reuse. Therefore, effective usage for other
locations in addition to within this facility will be considered.
H) Water Treatment Facility
The results of the field survey and items A) to G) will be used to set the preconditions for basic
design and estimate the capacity of the water treatment facility.
I) Handling of Waste Water Containing Heavy Metals
It was clarified in the field survey that the inflowing sewage contains heavy metals, and these
heavy metals need to be separately treated, but this will be excluded from the sewage treatment
facility plans that are being made this time. However, proposals will be made on examples of how
to deal with waste water that contains heavy metals.
III. Review of Project Implementation Scheme and Project Feasibility
Based on the specification settings for the infrastructure facility and the approximate cost
stipulated from the results of section I. and II., a review will be conducted on what type of
infrastructure can be developed and maintained by a consortium of Japanese corporations. As stated
in section “(2) Outline of the Study in the Introduction”, it is expected that the core projects will be
the expansion of the existing sewage treatment facility (short-term project) and upgrading /
rehabilitation (medium-term project).
20
Fig. 17 Project Implementation Scheme and Feasibility Review Process
Source: Prepared by Study Team
After the above work is performed, several project implementation schemes that are feasible will
be set. Furthermore, as it is presumed that the costs related to infrastructure development cannot be
adequately recovered with sewerage related charges alone, it will be difficult for a private sector
company to cover the demand risk. Therefore, although adoption of the PPP availability payment
type will be kept in mind for this feasibility study, the self-supporting type will be also considered
to provide comparison materials in order to review how the development of the related infrastructure
and maintenance can be performed over a certain period of time. Moreover, the Generic Preferred
Risks Allocation Matrix (GPRAM) utilized by the Philippine PPP Center will be used as the base
for the method to allocate the risk when implementing a PPP project in the Philippines, and the
adoption of GPRAM will adequately be reviewed, taking into consideration the characteristics of
sewerage services and the fact that there is a tendency to transfer too much of the risk and obligations
to the private sector.
In addition, as stated in “IV. Actions by Baguio City Towards Sewerage Infrastructure
Updating/Development under (1) Background and Objective of Study in the Introduction”, although
sewerage services are currently being directly operated by the city, it is quite possible that the Water
District will be placed in charge of this role in the future from the perspective that this is the policy
of the central government. This may lead to enhanced operational efficiency. Consequently, when
the review of the project scheme is performed, the possibility that the Water District to serve as a
business partner from a long-term perspective will be kept in mind when considering short/medium-
term contract policy.
Furthermore, when the PPP scheme is formulated, the various laws and regulations related to PPP
(revised BOT law, JV guidelines, foreign investment regulations, etc.) will be taken into
consideration during the review process. In particular, for projects that are implemented under the
revised IRR of the BOT law, a Philippine capital ratio of 60% or more needs to be secured. Therefore,
during this feasibility study, cooperation candidates will be narrowed down while conducting an
opinion exchange with local influential firms. After this is performed, a review will be conducted
to determine whether or not VfM can be achieved based on the premise that the private business
will need to secure a certain level of profit in order to select the most effective method while having
discussions with the local cooperation candidates. Subsequently, discussions will be held with
Setting of Infrastructure Development/Maintenance Scope by Japanese Corporations
• The scope of the infrastructure developed/maintained by Japanese Corporations will be set by taking into consideration the specifications of the infrastructure developed and local circumstances (review of related infrastructures based on the results for treatment facility).
Setting of Project Patterns (2 – 3 patterns)
• Setting of self-supporting type, availability payment type, etc.
• Project term, various guarantees and other details will be stipulated, taking into consideration local circumstances.
Calculation of VfM, Review of Feasibility
• The VfM for Baguio City as a result of project implementation will be calculated. The feasibility of the operator will be considered at this time.
• Interviews of local companies and other organizations will be implemented to facilitate formulation of the project scheme.
Discussions with Related Organizations
• Confirmation concerning costs to be borne by Baguio City
• Discussion with DPWH (confirmation of the possibility of providing NSSMP subsidy, project scale, etc.).
• Discussions with local companies on potential of cooperation.
21
Baguio City, DPWH and other related parties, and the feasibility for project implementation and
challenges will be summarized.
IV. Review of Benefits to Baguio City and the Philippines
The benefits provided to Baguio City and the Philippines as a result of implementation of this
project will be reviewed. Since it was calculated that the Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR)
when this entire project is implemented as stipulated in the Pre-F/S would exceed 30%, it has
already been recognized that this project will have a large impact on Baguio City. Therefore,
although it is probably not necessary to recalculate the EIRR, the effect of this project on agriculture
and tourism will be reviewed in this study since these industries are considered to be key industries
in Baguio City.
V. Review of Financing
When the NSSMP subsidy (up to 50% of development cost) is applied to the infrastructure project
that is being reviewed with this feasibility study, the private business will need to procure 50% of
the funds to pay for infrastructure development (please pay attention to the fact that in the revised
BOT law, burden of the development costs on the public agency side is limited to less than 50% of
the entire infrastructure development costs.). Therefore, fund procurement methods for the above
50% will be reviewed.
Specifically, it is expected that funds can be procured from commercial banks, loans made by
public institutions and other funds, and that investments will be made by private businesses, which
will be reviewed along with the project scheme. During this review, interview surveys will be
conducted with a focus on local and other financial institutions in the Philippines based on the
overview of the project scheme results, and information on the amount of funds to be procured,
financing conditions and other details will be collected and organized.
VI. Review of Future Strategy
Based on the results of I. – V., the project scheme proposal will be compiled, and a report meeting
will be implemented for Baguio City and the DPWH.
22
1. Reexamination of Existing Pre-F/S
In this chapter, the relevance of the items described in the Pre-F/S will be analyzed by means of the
field survey and other information, and the results of the review of the methods, cost unit price and
other conditions to be adopted will be described. The field surveys were conducted with the schedule
described below.
First Field Survey: July 30 – August 3, 2018 (5 days)
Second Field Survey: September 25 – 29, 2018 (5 days)
Third Field Survey: October 21 – 25, 2018 (5 days)
Fourth Field Survey: January 28 – February 2, 2019 (6 days)
Table 18 Survey Schedule
# Item 2018 2019
Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb.
1 Reexamination of Existing Pre-F/S
2 Basic Design of Water Treatment System
3 Review of Project Implementation Scheme
and Project Feasibility
4 Review of Benefits to Baguio/Philippines
5 Review of Financing
6 Review of Future Strategy
Field Survey
Source: Prepared by Study Team
★ ★ ★ ★
23
Fig. 19 Photos of Field Survey (Survey of Existing Facilities in Baguio City)
Source: Study Team
Source: Study Team
Fig. 20 Photos of Field Survey (Meeting with the Mayor of Baguio)
24
(1) Overview of Existing Pre- F/S
As stated in “III. Review of Project Implementation Scheme and Project Feasibility under (2)
Outline of the Study in the Introduction”, a Pre-F/S was implemented between 2015 and 2016 for
sewerage management in Baguio City with the cooperation of CDIA by means of the ADB fund.
An overview of the treatment process reviewed in the Pre-F/S is shown in the table below.
However, as effluent water standards of the Philippine government became stricter after the Pre-F/S
was conducted5, it is currently necessary to remove phosphorous / nitrogen and other such pollutants
which was not foreseen initially in the Pre F/S.
Table 21 Overview of Existing Pre-F/S Treatment Process Review
CAS* OD Process SBR MBBR*
Overview of
Treatment
Process
Process where
water is treated
with following
flow: primary
sedimentation tank
⇒biological
reactor⇒final
sedimentation
tank.
Inflowing sewage
↓
Primary
sedimentation tank
↓
Biological reactor
↓
Final
sedimentation tank
↓
Treated water
Process that does
not have primary
sedimentation
tank, and uses
endless channel to
perform biological
reaction.
Inflowing sewage
↓
Biological reactor
(Endless channel)
↓
Final
sedimentation tank
↓
Treated water
Process where
water is treated
with single
reaction tank.
Inflowing sewage
↓
Biological reactor
↓
Treated water
Process where
water is treated in
a biological
reactor filled with
carriers.
Inflowing sewage
↓
Biological reactor
(filled with carriers )
↓
Final
sedimentation tank
↓
Treated water
Rough
development cost
for 5,000 m3/day
treatment plant (M
USD)
3.11 3.29 2.88 2.23
Rough annual
O&M cost
(M USD)
0.337 0.362 0.314 0.258
25 year project 1.18 1.01 1.28 0.95
5 Water Quality Guidelines and General Effluent Standards of 2016
25
cost (1 m3)(PHP)
Track Record
Adopted in Metro
Manila.
Adopted in
Baguio City and
other areas in the
Philippines.
Adopted by
private sector
development in
the Philippines,
but mainly less
than 5,000
m3/day.
Not adopted in the
Philippines, but
may be chance to
consider due to
track record in
Europe.
Main Risks
Low risk since
technology is
established and
has track record in
the Philippines.
Weak with
respect to load
fluctuation.
Low technical
risk since adopted
at existing facility
in Baguio.
Impossible to
expand functions
with existing
facility due to site
limitations.
Flocculants need
to be added to
remove
phosphorous.
Technically
advanced and
complicated, risk
that treatment not
successful
(technical/cost).
Need adjustment
tank before
reaction tank to
level sewage.
Possibility that
effluent standard
may not be
satisfied.
No track record
in the Philippines.
Due to features
of biotreatment,
risk that expected
effect not obtained
(commercial risk).
Not suited to
removal of
nitrogen /
phosphorous
Source: CDIA Pre-F/S
Note: CAS: Conventional Activated Sludge, MBBR: Moving Bed Bio-film Reactor
(2) Results of Existing Pre-F/S
In the existing Pre-F/S, short-term / medium-term / long-term goals were set for development of
sewerage related infrastructure, and a short-term plan (within 5 years) was formulated to expand
treatment capacity of the existing facility from 8,600 m3/day to 15,000 m3/day. In addition, as the
removal of phosphorous / nitrogen needs to be taken into consideration, MBBR was identified as
the optimum process.
(3) Results of Reexamination of Existing Pre-F/S
In the existing Pre-F/S, the conclusion was made that an SBR or MBBR for which the installed
area is small was appropriate as the treatment process for the expanded facility as nitrogen or
phosphorous limits in the final effluent of sewage treatment plant were out of scope.
However, during this reexamination, the removal of nitrogen and phosphorous had to be
considered when selecting the appropriate treatment process. Therefore, an advanced treatment OD
process that is an oxidation ditch process enabling removal of nitrogen and a sequence batch reactor
(SBR) process that can remove both nitrogen and phosphorous by using a specific
operation/management method have been deemed viable candidates.
Regarding the existing facility, it would be appropriate to modify the OD process currently being
26
used into an advanced treatment OD process considering the maintainability and construction costs,
and as for the facility newly constructed or upgraded, it would be appropriate to improve treatment
performance by using the SBR or the advanced treatment OD process.
The settings for the treatment facility scale and treatment process review content are described
below.
I. Change in Environmental Standards
Due to the fact that the Balili River into which treated water discharges from the existing
treatment plant is upstream from the point where water for the city water supply is taken, the Class
A Water Quality Guidelines and General Effluent Standards of the Philippine government are
applied. The water quality guidelines are described below.
programs and projects of national government agencies
and LGUs.
Cooperation with Private Sector for City Investment Projects
Promote tripartite partnership between private investors,
labor, and public to gain support to the City’s Investment
Portfolio.
Increase Financial Revenue
Intensify revenue sourcing through increased tax
collection, identification of new sources of revenue,
implementation of fiscal laws and policies with the aim of
increasing income to improve quality services of the city.
Decrease Financial Expenditures
Reduce cost of local government services without
sacrificing its quality to increase fiscal capacity.
Boost Technical Level of City Government and Staff
Continue enhancing organizational and technical
competency of officials and staff.
Fund Procurement for Development of Large-Scale Projects
such as BOT
Explore alternatives to funding critical big development
projects such as BOT, bond flotation, grants, etc.
Efficient and Effective
Infrastructure Support
Facilities and Utilities
Provide Equal City and Public Services Throughout City
Provision of equitable distribution and allocation of urban
services, facilities and utilities in all areas following their
functional roles to the overall city development.
Source: Prepared by Study Team from CLUP
(2) Expected Benefits to the Philippines as a Whole
I. Issue 1 for The Philippines as a Whole and Each City: Delay in Sewerage Development in
areas beyond Metro Manila
Sewerage system development has proceeded in Metro Manila in the Philippines, but
development is extremely limited beyond it. The penetration rate of sewage treatment facilities is
above 10% in Metro Manila, but is only three to five percent outside of Metro Manila.
73
Table 65 Sewerage Infrastructure Development Status Inside/Outside Metro Manila
Inside Metro Manila Outside Metro Manila
Development
Scope
West District: Maynilad
East District: Manila Water
Only several cities
(Baguio, Vigan, Zamboanga7, etc.)
Penetration
Rate
West District: 11%
East District: 12%
(As of 2013)
3-5%
(As of 2013)
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on MWSS, 2014, “Water Supply and Wastewater Programs”, ADB, 2013,
“Water Supply and Sanitation Sector Assessment, Strategy, and Road Map”
As stated in “(1) Background and Objective of Study in the Introduction”, the government of the
Philippines created a subsidy system (NSSMP) in 2013 which makes up about 40-50%8 of total
development costs for sewerage infrastructure outside of Metro Manila. However it took five years
for the first project to be supported by the NSSMP subsidy to be carried out for in Zamboanga in
20189 . Furthermore, the project in Zamboanga was carried out through a conventional public
procurement process10.
II. Issue 2 for the Philippines as a Whole/Each City: Closure of Tourist/Other Locations Due
to Environmental Degradation
The increase in the number of tourists and other visitors to locations that do not have sewage and
other such facilities has resulted in the serious problem of environmental degradation in various
areas in the Philippines. President Duterte has issued orders to prohibit the entrance of tourists into
tourist destinations. Closure and penalty orders have been issued to tourist facilities and ordered
implementation of environmental rehabilitation programs in tourism regions, which have resulted
in stagnation of the tourism industry in regions which was considered a big blow to the local
economy.
Table 66 Current Status/Impact of Environmental Pollution in Tourist/Other Locations
Region Background/Status Impact
Boracay Island Visiting by tourists prohibited for six months
due to environmental pollution on the island
caused by increase in number of tourists.
Limits on number of visitors implemented
after island was reopened to tourists.
NEDA announced that it will
invest 25.27 billion Pesos
(Approx. 52.4 billion Yen)
for environmental
rehabilitation (15.89 billion
7 The sewerage infrastructures in Baguio, Vigan, and Zamboanga Cities have been developed in the 1920s and 1930s
by USA. 8 Response to interview that subsidy rate had been revised to 50% as of Aug. 2018 9 Confirmed in interview in November 2018 that budget was implemented in 2018 10 From response to interview in July 2018
74
Wastewater treatment facilities were
developed and illegally constructed
structures were removed.
Pesos to be procured from
private sector companies).
El Nido,
Palawan
Closure order issued for tourist facilities that
violate environmental related laws and codes
(environmental improvements implemented
when facilities not closed).
N/A Panglao Island,
Bohol
Manila Bay Water quality deteriorated due to household
sewage, industrial wastewater containing
harmful substances, percolating water from
garbage dumps and other wastewater inflow
(Number of bacteria coliform 3 times or
more allowable value).
Operation suspension order issued for
facilities in areas that do not have wastewater
treatment facilities, and declared that max.
Penalty of 200,000 Pesos per day (Approx.
416,000 Yen) would be imposed.
Rehabilitation program to commence in
2019 (minimum of 4 years).
Total cost of environmental
improvements projected to be
132 billion Pesos (Approx.
274.5 billion Yen).
Source: Prepared by Study Team using news report from NNA news, etc.
III. Benefits of Baguio City Sewerage Development Project on The Philippines as a Whole
The sewerage development project in Baguio City can be judged to be significant to the
Philippines as a whole from the following perspectives.
This development project is being implemented outside Metro Manila where the penetration
rate of sewage treatment facilities is substantially low.
Utilization of NSSMP is being reviewed for fund procurement.
A PPP scheme including private sector participation is being reviewed as an option.
Sewerage infrastructure development project includes environmental management in tourist
sites.
From the above points, the sewerage development project in Baguio City is envisaged as a
showcase for infrastructure development by LGUs through long term partnerships with the private
sector. It is anticipated that it will result in ripple effects on other LGUs and contribute to
environmental preservation and sustainable development of a balanced economy.
75
5.Review of Financing
In this chapter, based on the premise that an NSSMP subsidy (up to 50% of total development costs)
will be applied for a sewerage infrastructure development project, a review was conducted into the
fund procurement methods used by the private sector company which needs to cover the the remaining
50%. In addition, a description of the interview survey that was conducted with domestic and overseas
financial institutions as part of this review is also provided.
(1) Overview of NSSMP
The NSSMP was established through the Philippine Clean Water Act of 2004. It is a system that
provides a 50% subsidy by the central government to LGUs for sewerage infrastructure
development projects. The NSSMP has a goal of improving water quality in urban areas outside
Metro Manila and protecting public health in the Philippines by the year 2020, and HUCs including
Baguio City have been strongly urged to develop sewage treatment systems by this year (refer to
diagram below).
The DPWH has jurisdiction over the NSSMP, and the Environmental and Social Safeguards
Division (ESSD) is a unit in this department tasked to promote the NSSMP, functioning as the focal
point with related departments and divisions as well as serves as the supervising agency for NSSMP
as a whole (refer to diagram below).
Fig. 67 Goal/Objectives/Targets/Strategy of NSSMP
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on NSSMP Program Operations Manual (hereinafter referred to as “POM”)
1. By 2020, all LGUs have developed septage management systems and the 17 highly urbanized cities (HUCs) have developed sewerage systems.
2. By 2020, approximately 43.6 million people have access to septage treatment facilities and about 3.2 million will have access to sewage treatment facilities.
3. By 2020, PhP 26.3 billion has been invested in sanitation improvement projects.4. By 2020, about 346 million kilograms of BOD is diverted from the environment per year
as a result of the sewerage and septage management projects.
Goal
Objectives
Targets
To improve water quality and protect pubic health in urban areas of the Philippines by 2020.
1. To enhance the ability of local implementers to build and operate wastewater treatment systems for urban centers.
2. To promote the behavior change and supporting environment needed for systems to be effective and sustainable.
StrategyTo facilitate a bottom-up, demand-driven project development process by providing national government support and incentives.
76
Fig. 68 Implementation Organizations of NSSMP
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on NSSMP POM
Before an application is made to the NSSMP, it is necessary to formulate a plan for sewage
treatment and other details, followed by technical design and implementation of an F/S.
Subsequently, the LGU submits application documents to the DPWH for the NSSMP subsidy based
on the results of the F/S that was performed. Afterwards, when the application documents have been
positively appraised in the screening process done at the DPWH, the process proceeds to
implementation of actual project construction, operation, maintenance, evaluation and monitoring
following the procurement procedure. As stated in “(1) Background and Objective of Study in the
Introduction”, only Zamboanga City has made a successful application for NSSMP support as of
February11. The DPWH observed that one of the reasons for the lack of NSSMP applications and
adoptions is that there is no budget to implement the F/S required for NSSMP application, and it
has created a system that subsidizes the costs for the said F/S.
11 Budget implemented in 2018.
Policy
NSSMP Implementation Focal Point
Project Implementers
Project Facilitators
NEDA INFRACOMSub-committee on Water
Resources
NSSMP Committee
NSSMP Office(DPWH – ESSD)
Water Districts LGUs
Private Companies
DENR(WQMAs)
Industry Asscrr’s &
DonorsMWSS LWUA DOH DILG
77
Fig. 69 NSSMP Process
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on NSSMP POM
(2) Expected Fund Sources for This Project
In this project which will implement upgrade and expansion of a sewage treatment facility in the
Philippines, it is expected that the fund sources for the 50% portion of the development costs that
will not be covered by the NSSMP subsidy will be as shown in the diagram below. The fund sources
are roughly divided into public funds and private sector funds. It is expected that the public funds
for Baguio City which is an LGU will consist of city government finances and donor funds.
Furthermore, it is also expected that loans will be made with concessional conditions, which include
project loans and two-step loans.
Fig. 70 Expected Fund Sources for This Project
Source: Prepared by Study Team
First, regarding the financial situation of LGUs, the annual revenue and expenditures of Baguio
City (Fiscal 2016) both amounted to approximately 1.6 billion Pesos (approximately 3.4 billion
Yen)12. It shows that it would be difficult for Baguio City to independently cover the costs of this
project for the initial few years when this project is implemented.
12 OANDA rate as of Jan. 22, 2019 (1 Peso = 2.08 Yen)
Sanitation Planning
Sewerage / Septage System
Design
Project Feasibility
Application and Selection
Procurement
Construction
Operation and Maintenance
Monitoring and Evaluation
78
Next, there is the possibility that donor funds may be provided by means of loans. These loans
consist of development funds that are made to developing countries with favorable conditions such
as low interest and a long concession term in order to support efforts to facilitate the development
of developing countries. Normally, the conditions under which loans are extended are determined
by considering the income level and other conditions in the target country13. Furthermore, loans are
classified into project type loans and non-project type loans. Project type loans consist of (1) Project
loans, (2) Loans for Engineering Services (E/S), (3) Development financing loans (two-step loans)
and (4) Sector loans. Non-project type loans consist of (1) Development policy loans, (2) Product
loans and (3) Sector program loans. It is thought that the loans that can be applied to this project
consist of (1) Project loans and (2) Development financing loans (two-step loans), which are project
type loans.
In addition, when considering the private sector funds that may not be independently invested in
this project, it is expected that the PPP scheme will be used, with funds provided by public and
private financial institutions. The banking sector in the Philippines is dominated to a large extent in
terms of the scale of total assets by the private banks centered around conglomerates and
government based banks. Specifically, the top five banks in the Philippines in the diagram below
which include Banco Deoro (BDO) (Sy Conglomerate), Metropolitan Bank and Trust Company (Ty
Conglomerate) and Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI), account for the majority of assets in the
Philippines.
Many PPP projects obtain funds by means of fund transfer within corporate groups beneath
conglomerates, or by procuring funds by appropriating corporate financing by private sector
constituent companies. When there are projects that require large-scale fund procurement, banks
procure funds by forming syndicates.
However, when funds are procured by transferring funds within a corporate group beneath one
of the above conglomerates or by other such means, there are rules on DOSRI (Directors, Officers,
Stockholders, and Related Interests of the bank) for the financial activity within the group set forth
by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipina (BSP) (Central Bank of the Philippines). Consequently, there are
transactions between conglomerates because of the lending restrictions within groups.
13 The Philippines is classified as a low/middle income country.
79
Fig. 71 Total Asset Share by Top 10 Banks and Other Banks (As of March 2018)
Source: BSP
As stated in “3. Review of Project Implementation Scheme and Project Feasibility”, it would be
difficult to recover the investment for this project with income for sewerage related charges alone,
and due to the fact that there are risks posed by the difficulty with service charge collection itself, it
was assumed that an availability payment type of PPP project would be adopted. The judgment was
made that Baguio City could shoulder the financial burden for this type of PPP project in view of
the financial situation of the city. The financial situation of Baguio City was briefly described above.
The city revenue of approximately 1.6 billion Pesos consists of approximately 700 million Pesos
(approximately 1.4 billion Yen) from taxes and other internal revenue (independent revenue
source)14, and approximately 900 million Pesos (approximately 1.8 billion Yen) from IRA (Internal
Revenue Allotment) and other external revenue15. Furthermore, IRA comprised approximately 600
million Pesos (approximately 1.3 billion Yen) of the external revenue16. In the Local Government
Code of the Philippines, since it is stipulated that each LGU should use 20% or more of the IRA for
local development projects, Baguio City must spend approximately 120 million Pesos
(approximately 260 million Yen)17 or more on development projects18. The sources of tax revenue
in the Philippines are described in the table below. Baguio City is allowed to collect more types of
14 OANDA rate as of Jan. 22, 2019 (1 Peso = 2.08 Yen) 15 Subsidy from the government; 23% of the total budget for IRA is allocated to “Cities” which Baguio City is
classified as. Out of the allocated portion of IRA, half of the budget is then allocated to each LGU (Province, City,
Town, Barangay) according to the population ratio, 25% according to the land area ratio, and the remaining 25% is
equally allocated to all LGUs. 16 Same as the above 17 Same as the above 18 Confirmed by interview of Baguio City Budget Office in Jan. 2019.
80
taxes compared to other general LGUs by virtue of it being an HUC. In addition, the tax rate upper
limit is set at a higher level than for provinces and towns. From this perspective, it is thought that
Baguio City has more internal revenue compared to other LGUs. Baguio City is considerably less
dependent on Internal Revenue Allotments (IRA) (percentage of IRA share in the annual revenue
of the city is low) in spite of the fact that the IRA calculation method is beneficial for Baguio City
(since the allotment amount is determined based on the population and land area ratios). The
dependence rate of Baguio City on IRA was around 40% for the 5 years between 2012 and 2016 as
shown in the table below, which is a lower value compared to the average value for cities of 66%
and the average value for provinces and towns of 84%.
Table 72 Types of Tax Revenue Sources for LGUs
Type of Tax Province City Town Barangay19
Business Tax X O O X
Real Estate Tax O O Share Share
Idle Land Tax O O X X
Real Estate Transfer Tax O O X X
Printing/Publishing Tax O O X X
Crushed Stone Resource Tax O O Share Share
Delivery Vehicle Tax O O X X
Recreational Facility Tax O O Share X
Influential Individual Tax O O X X
City/Town Tax X O O Share
Patent Tax O O X X
Source: Local Government Code of the Philippines, materials from Philippine Department of Finance
Note: “Share” indicates that a certain amount is allocated from local government that is allowed to collect the
tax.
Table 73 Dependence Rate of Baguio City and Other LGUs on IRA
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Baguio City 38% 35% 37% 40% 42%
Average (Province) 84% 83% 85% 84% 84%
Average (City) 66% 66% 66% 67% 66%
Average (Town) 81% 83% 86% 86% 85%
Source: Prepared by Study Team from Philippine Department of Finance website
19 Barangays are smallest local government unit in the Philippines that comprise cities and town, and implement
administrative services.
81
(3) Interview Survey of Domestic and Overseas Financial Institutions
I. JICA
Interviews with the representatives of the JICA Headquarters and JICA Philippine Office
confirmed the possibility of providing funds by means of a two-step loan in case this project is
actually implemented. Two-step loans comprise a portion of project type loans as stated above, but
in general the required funds are provided in order to implement a certain policy such as promotion
of a specific sector or development of the local infrastructure for the poor through the development
bank or other financial institution in the country borrowing the funds20. A Japanese ODA Loan
Agreement for two-step loans was concluded with the DBP in the Philippines for “Environmental
Development Projects” in 2008. Medium and long-term loans were granted in this project in order
to facilitate fund-raising required for four target sectors through the DBP with the objective of
protecting the environment in the Philippines: a. Water supply/water quality preservation
(development of water supply / sanitation facilities), b. Renewable energy, c. Prevention of
industrial pollution and d. Disposal of solid, medical, and harmful waste. The Philippine Water
Revolving Fund (PWRF) was established in cooperation with the DBP in order to facilitate loans to
the a. Water supply/water quality preservation sector, under which funds reimbursed from projects
are saved, and this fund is used to make loans to new projects as the means to provide funds on a
continuing basis. The PWRF scheme is shown in the diagram below.
Fig. 74 PWRF Scheme
Source: Prepared by Study Team based on materials from the World Bank
The main conditions for this project are described below.