CCBY Per Olof Arnäs Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers [email protected] @Dr_PO An outlook into a (possible) future
Future outlook
Jan 15, 2015
How will we live in 30 years time? How will the transportation and logistics industry be affected?
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Per Olof ArnäsChalmers
per-‐[email protected]@Dr_PO
An outlook into a (possible) future
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
In 30 yearsfrom now...
...what will the
world be like?
...how will we
live?work?travel?consume?
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Global trends
UrbanizaJon
Sustainability focus
Popula4on growth
Some
Climate change
Energy shortage Efficiency focus
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Sustainability will affect everything we do
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Environmental tax will increase greatly
Consumers demand transparency
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Most of us will live in ciJes
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
ExponenJal increase in complexity
City LogisJcs becomes a global industry
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
We will experience an energy shortage
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Not enough biomass,materials etc.
Not available where it is needed most
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Vehicles and vessels will (always) be ”full”
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Specialized vehicles
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Twoother
1: Homo Digitalis
2: Prosumerism
affect logisJcs and transportaJon
trendsthat will
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
We are in the middle of a huge exponenJal development curve
beginning
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
A new global eco-‐system where new types of, knowledge based, industriescompete with the tradiJonal ones
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-‐problem-‐with-‐innova=on
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planeshiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-‐problem-‐with-‐innova=on
Startups compete with airlines by invenJng videoconferencing.
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planeshiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Homo Digitalis
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Even though the created world around us evolves quickly...
...we as a species do not. Well, not without tools, anyway.
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
People will sJll want the same things
Get paid
Get made
Quote from Dave McClure
Get laid
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
We are deeply connected to everything around us
From Minority Report
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Homo EconomicusThe Economic Man
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Homo Digitalis Economicus
The Economic ManWell-‐informedWell-‐equippedWell-‐connected
With high expectaJons ondataopJmizaJoninteracJon
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Our digital double will be our extension into the ”matrix”
No difference between personal and professional
Our double will handleInterac4onNego4a4onOp4miza4onCommunica4onFiltering
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Prosumerism
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
3D-‐prinJng will be done at home or in local/regional faciliJes
Increased global flows of raw materials
Decreased global flow of products
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Per Olof ArnäsChalmersper-‐[email protected]@Dr_PO
Thank you!
Slides available on my SlideShare channel:slideshare.net/poarImages CC-‐licensed, source in comments
Related Documents
