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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change LtdFellow, Centre for Management Development, London Business School
TakeHoldoftheFutureHowtrendssuchasInternetofThings,BigDataandtheCloudwillcombinetotransformmanufacturing
cloud computing are fusing to create huge opportunities t generation production
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Digital enterprise 4.0
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Digital Factories will be shaped by many
different industrial and consumer trends
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Robots in Factories only 7% pa 92,000-170,000 2000-2012
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3D scans - 3D printing
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InmanyEUna@ons,upto70%ofretailspendingisin<8companies
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VW mega platformVWMegaPlaKorm-basisfor1mcars
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3DModelling
•thankstoL.Soler
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World too small for more than:
5 large auto companies2 airline manufacturers
3 mobile operating systems10 large pharma
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Multiple variations in Products
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Multi-product assembly lines
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More Niche Manufacturers
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Complexity and scale create risks
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US / EU block on Chinese solar cells
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• ClicktoeditMastertextstyles
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Trade strategies often overtaken by events
World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting
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Since 1980, global trade has grown at twice the rate of production but this trend is slowing down rapidly
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“South to South” Trade will grow
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Regional trade growth in Asia $ / %
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Expect huge growth in component trade
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World exports of parts and components
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11%wageinfla@oninChinain2013and2014
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ImpactofstrongerChinesecurrencyandtougherpollu@oncontrols
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ManufacturinginMexicowillgrowforUSmarket
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85% of world population will be living in emerging
markets in 10 years
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Science,technologyengineering,
maths
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MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets
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ChinaandIndiadominate
STEMdegreesincludingpost-graduate/PhDs
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MOBILE 50% of all UK online sales are using mobile
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Over4000roadhauliersinEU
1.3bnhomedeliverede-comitemsinUKayear(+12%pa)
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3000 Parcel Shops in UK in 12 months Chosen by up to 50% customers for deliveries
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Gold standard:10am orders for 3pm Delivery
Anywhere in same country
10amordersfor3pmDelivery
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Internet of Things
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$12bn security and controlhome automation market by 2018
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250millionwearabledevicesby2023
$20bnto$70bnby2025
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1.5m components tracked perfectly in Airbus supply chain
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Self-diagnosing and healing
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Little Data often matters
most
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Big Data = PatternLittle Data = Piece
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Global and Mobile Control
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$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
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75% global growth in green energy was in China in 2014
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120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert
“40% EU power = wind by 2050” Output up 10% in 2014
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SolarCells$/wa^1990-2015
subsidies
PriceParity
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• InJune2013electricitypricesinGermanybecamenega@ve-EU150/MWhr
• SameinQueenslandAustraliaforaweekin2014
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30% EU trucks run empty
“Wewaste25million
milesayeardrivingempty
trucks”
USmajorretailer
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WebofThings-BigData-Cloud180bnspamemailsaday
600mnewviruses,malware,trojansayear>220mpeople’sdetailslostinsinglea^ack70%largecorpora@onshavebeenhacked
100,000a^acksanhouronUSNavyParalysisofEstoniagovernmentin2007
WorriesaboutUS,Russia,Chinapenetra@onofweb/cloudfollowingPrism
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Digital Enterprise 4.0
“Doing it Together”
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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
globalchange.com15millionvisitors
5millionvideoviews
@patrickdixon