FUTURE MOBILITIES : THE MAJOR DISRUPTION FOR AUTOMOBILE AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin Rémi BASTIEN - Chairman of VEDECOM Institute for Energy T ransition VP Automotive Prospective at RENAULT 22nd International Forum on Advanced Microsystems for Automotive Applications
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FUTURE MOBILITIES : THE MAJOR DISRUPTION FOR AUTOMOBILE
AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin
Rémi BASTIEN - Chairman of VEDECOM Institute for Energy Transition
VP Automotive Prospective at RENAULT
22nd International Forum on Advanced Microsystems for Automotive Applications
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6 DRIVING FORCES FOR FUTURE MOBILITIES
VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin
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DISRUPTIONS IN VALUE CHAIN AND TECHNOLOGIES
AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin VEDECOM Property – Copy forbidden
Non-Traditional entrants
New Retail
Shift to Asia
Alternative fuels
Low cost brands
Start-up OEMs
Light-weighting
Automated driving
(level 0’2) (1)
Fuel Cells
Electrification
Shared mobility
Connectivity
Automated driving
(level 3-5) (1)
Combustion engine
advancement
Digital experience
Source : Roland BERGER
Disruptive change in expanded value chain Evoluationary change within incubent value chain Disruptive change 1) SAE automated driving classification
DISRUPTIVE impact on the value chain
LIMITED impact on the value chain
ITERATIVE technology change
DISTRUPTIVE technology change
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Mobility and connectivity (recurring revenue) After market One time vehicle sales
AUTOMOTIVE REVENUES 2015 ► 2030
3,500
6,700
In USD B. Source: McKinsey, Goldman Sachs
2015 2030
2,750 (78%)
720 (21%)
30 (1%)
4,000 (60%)
1,200 (18%)
1,500 (22%)
In 2030 for every 100 USD, 22 USD are generated through mobility and connected services
+30% p.y.
+2.2% p.y.
MOBILITY AND CONNECTIVITY SERVICES TO GROW BY 30% P.Y
The services will become a major revenue pool by 2030: >50% of today’s vehicle sales
AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin
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VEDECOM 360° VISION & EXPERIENCE
3 programs to answer major society challenges
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VEDECOM’S VISION: TO PREPARE THE SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY FOR ALL
VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden
Towards…
• 0 emissions
• 0 fatalities
• 0 stress
• 0 left out (access to mobility)
• 0 waste (energy, time, space)
AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin
VEDECOM: a cooperative research hub
Industrials Academics Local authorities
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VEDECOM‘S MISSION: TO ADDRESS 3 MAJOR SOCIETY CHALLENGES
VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden
Mission Develop disruptive technologies and a cross-disciplinary vision of new usages, for sustainable, safe, efficient and affordable mobility
AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin
VEDECOMDomains
Challenges Autonomous
drive Connected
car Electric vehicle
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BENEFITS OF ELECTRIC VEHICLE
Dynamic performance Quietness
Running cost Zero emission
Contribute massively to air quality in urban aereas
and CO2 reduction
by moving electric vehicule from niche to mass market