Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s ca-global.org Future Health Care ...largely unseen, but on the radar ! cochrane.org.uk Wednesday, 14 March 12
May 08, 2015
Peter Cochrane
COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s
ca-global.org
Future Health Care...largely unseen, but on
the radar !
cochrane.org.uk
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Context, context! My kingdom for Context!
Richard The Third Act 5, scene 4, 7–10
With apologies to William Shakespear
Wednesday, 14 March 12
The rules of the game have changed...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Healthcare worldwide is struggling to cope...in the future it will be much worse...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
S o l u t i o n s w i l l b e technology driven and come from the home and local facilitues...
...only the timing is the issue...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
A recent example...a family member is now suffering this and can’t speak...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
The NHS supplied this...
But I thought we could do a lot better with an i P a d a n d a F r e e App...and I was right!
Wednesday, 14 March 12
We will be the last generation to know so little about our health and the state of our bodies...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Home testing, diagnosis and treatment wi l l (have to ?) grow...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Much of it will be built in . . . sub l imina l . . .and those who elect to opt out or ignore the data, and warning signs / fail to take action will die early...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Technology has moved t h e c e n t r e o f gravity...and it won’t s t o p . . . i t w i l l o n l y accelerate...and we have to do much better than just hanging on...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
And there is no going back...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
This is the new norm, the new stability...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
The Red Queen hypothesis, Alice in Wonderland: Lewis Carroll
“It takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place”
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Networks of people and things have changed the way we see our w o r l d , t h i n k a n d act...with social nets and distributed working now centre stage...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Users now call the shots, with creativity, problem solving and innovation moving to the edge...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Old people, systems, lawyers,managers, companies, societies, governments . . .a re finding it hard to cope, and even harder to change...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
The only human that likes change...
...and even they cry and s c r eam t houghou t t h e process !
Wednesday, 14 March 12
“…can be almost impossible, and it is generally far easier to build a new one”
Changing an established company !
Niccolò Machiavelli 1469 - 1527
Wednesday, 14 March 12
“…can be almost impossible, and it is generally far easier to build a new one”
Changing an established company !
Niccolò Machiavelli 1469 - 1527
This is what you have
Wednesday, 14 March 12
“…can be almost impossible, and it is generally far easier to build a new one”
Changing an established company !
Niccolò Machiavelli 1469 - 1527
This is what you haveThis is what you need
Wednesday, 14 March 12
But giant leaps are risky!
Exciting - and very definitely dangerous !!
Wednesday, 14 March 12
A n d y e t s o m e companies seem to get it right !
Wednesday, 14 March 12
How do they do it?
Wednesday, 14 March 12
By understanding...
What is available
What it can do now
What it will do in future
Wednesday, 14 March 12
By understanding a n d s a t i s f y i n g markets
Make it easyMake it simpleMake it obviousMake it convenient
Solve a problemSatisfy a need
Deliver value
Wednesday, 14 March 12
By understanding & s a t i s f y i n g customers...
...which is now quite a span !!
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Timing !
Has to be spot on
Wednesday, 14 March 12
During the reformation ever yth ing became stove-piped... initially t h i s b rough t huge benefit, but it is now a major inhibitor...
...there is only science...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
We really do have to start taking a much wider perspective to see what must be done, when and by what mechanisms...nothing is disconnected anymore; the ecology, economy, technology and all of life on this planet shares a mutual dependency...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
So what is the big future opportunity !
The world of atoms and bits is coming together...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Sustainability cannot be realised with old technologies and old industry models...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Changing all the light bulbs and tinkering at the edges won’t cure this problem..
Wednesday, 14 March 12
We have to stop doing things like this and find planet (and p e o p l e ) f r i e n d l y alternatives...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Underu sed v i deo conference is a sign of the lack of network b a n d w i d t h a n d connectivity...
...it does not signify a lack of need, demand, or suitable technology !
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Tele-operations in the NHS c i rc a 1992...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
And 20 years on it is still seen as on the leading edge...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
People are always the ultimate road block to our progress... the biggest risk to success...and now we are far slower to change than our technology...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Our future and that of the planet lies in the hands of new technologies and new models for industry and society...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
So, whats on, and just over the horizon ?
Wednesday, 14 March 12
It all hinges on the the next tech hot spot.... ...and the next industrial revolution
Nano Bio
IT + AI
Wednesday, 14 March 12
It all hinges on the the next tech hot spot.... ...and the next industrial revolution
This is where all the real action is going to be
Nano Bio
IT + AI
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Moving on from bulk materials and the d e s t r u c t i o n o f resources...
. . . 3 D p r i n t i n g i s g o i n g mainstream in industry... and soon it will be in every office
and home
Wednesday, 14 March 12
It is revolutionising the way we think of design & production... ...enabling new ways to realize complex s t ruc tures , and
integrated components...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
In the extreme it will change everything...
...and we have to think in terms of shipping designs and not
goods...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
For those who don’t see how 3D printers will change the way we live...
...how about a printed jaw and other body parts...scaffolding for bone growth and repair where cure is impossible
Wednesday, 14 March 12
T i s s u e I n j e c t i o n Molding..
Trachea 2002
Vertrebal Disc 2002
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Cranofacial Implants2003
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Bridging the organic and the biological to create new materials and capabilities...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Programming materials to form 3D objects of predefined shape & function...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
We can afford to have a gene decode @ $600 & 0.5day...
...and within 5 years it will be $10 and 10min...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Nano - s en so r s a nd decoding the genome will change medicine and care...
...whilst the decoding the protein will lead to a new chapter for the human race...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
All the science we need to make a tri-c o r d e r i s n o w available...
...all that is left is the e n g i n e e r i n g o f a product...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Scanadu - NASA Research Park Moffett Field CA
Wednesday, 14 March 12
This all leads to an e x p e c t a t i o n o f technology assisted personal survival...
Total Body Scan -bio samples to
storage
Continual Monitoring
Injury or IllHealth
Repair and Regeneration
Wednesday, 14 March 12
And perhaps a little fine tuning!
Wednesday, 14 March 12
But there is much much more rapidly approaching!
Wednesday, 14 March 12
We can now manipulate individual atoms and program cell by cell...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
And our machines are designing machines...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Still at an infantile stage - part magic - part reality...mutating matter....
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Really interesting exper iences this year so far!
Wednesday, 14 March 12
A new breed, and a new model operating at the edge...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
A global network of home bio-labs is now producing useful results and contributing to the professional world...
...the happened before in the 1940 - 2010 with electronics, hi-fi, radio, computers , software , apps...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
And what of the connected world and mainstream ?
Wednesday, 14 March 12
For most professionalsthe amount of data and info is doubling in less than 2 years !
Wednesday, 14 March 12
They can’t cope, but the patients can...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
A solution is coming from the direction of a game show out of the USA - Jeopardy...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
This application of AI is really powerful and will soon be available via The Cloud...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Life and death decisions are a fact of life...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
To say the least this p o s e s s o m e v e r y serious issues...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
And this is only the beginning of a whole n e w l i n e o f s e l f generating technology...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
The world is no longer simple, linear and well behaved....it never has been...but now it really shows...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
The complexities of Mother Nature have now been compounded by those we have engineered!
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Outcomes are very often counterintuitive and small things can often have very big consequences...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Stress and mental illness amongst the professional classes is becoming an epidemic!
Wednesday, 14 March 12
We are not going to get any smarter and the situation can only get worse !
Wednesday, 14 March 12
We need help and there is only one direction to look !
Wednesday, 14 March 12
We need a different perspective and new ways of thinking...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Computer modelling, scenario testing, risk assessment, decision support...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
And there is so much more...
• Social nets use GPS to go real
• Machine to machine + robotics
• Telepresence for maintenance
• Logistics and RFID + tracking
• Vehicle and people tracking
• Appliance and device tracking
• Dynamic energy management
• Interactive books & newspapers
• Interactive media
• The death of radio, TV, print +++
Wednesday, 14 March 12
New e c o n om i e s fuelled by data and meta-data
Wednesday, 14 March 12
New e c o n om i e s fuelled by data and meta-data
Where you are ?Where you have been ?Where you are likely to be going to ?Who you have met ?Who you are going to meet ?Who you call ?Who calls you ?Who you TXT - IM - Link ?All your contactsAll your urlsAll you passwordsWhat you are doing now ?What have you done in the past ?What games you play ?What apps you use ?What music you listen to...?What you watch...?What you read...?++++++++++
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Big government & big companies ‘think big centralized solutions’...
...and the almost always fail...complexity kills !
Wednesday, 14 March 12
But local small scale system almost always do a far better job...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Tagging for life
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Tagging for life
Chunky technology
PrettyJewelry
Limited information
Cradleto Grave
Data
Chips and tags on and in everythingincluding goods, animals & people
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Challenges - My Big 3 !
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Artificial Intelligence
Bio/Nano Sensors
Manufactured Parts
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Life will be governed by our da ta , bu t our survival will be decided by our MetaData...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
Thank You
ca-global.orgcochrane.org.uk
COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s
Wednesday, 14 March 12