14 th July 2015 Smart, Secure and Sustainable Cities India, Windsor Future Cities: Innovation, Investment and Transformation. Professor Sir David King UK Foreign Secretary’s Special Representative for Climate Change Chair, Future Cities Catapult, UK
Aug 17, 2015
14th July 2015
Smart, Secure and Sustainable Cities India,
Windsor
,
Toronto,, Ontario, CANADA
CRISIS, WHICH CRISIS?
Cambridge
1
Future Cities: Innovation, Investment and
Transformation.
Professor Sir David King
UK Foreign Secretary’s Special Representative for Climate ChangeChair, Future Cities Catapult, UK
Total Population of the World in Billions
Source: IIASA
Middle Class*
*Middle class here defined as daily per capita spending of between $10 and $100 in PPP terms
21st Century Challenges
Conflict andterrorism
Water resource
Energy security and supply
Health and developmen
t
Food production
Climate change
Ecosystems
Minerals
Population – the driver
Conflict andterrorism
Water resource
Energy security and supply
Food production
Climate change
Ecosystems
Minerals
Demographics – the driver
2008 >50%
2050 >70%
GLOBAL URBAN GROWTH
MGI Commodity Price Index (years 1999-2001=100)
Source: McKinsey Global Institute 2011
Crude Oil Price versus Crude Oil Production from 1998 to present
Source: Murray, J. and King, D. (2012) Oil’s Tipping Point has Passed, Nature, Volume 481, 433-435
Sea Level and Temperature Measurements
Source: Met Office & Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory Liverpool
Cumulative total anthropogenic CO2 emissions from 1870 (GtCO2)
Risk of fatal heat stress
Risk of Crop Failure (Rice)
Probability of exceeding 4°C
Change in Return Periodof present 100-year flood event
Data extracted from Hallegatte et al. (2013)
Traffic
“Circular Economy”
Source: Ellen MacArthur Foundation
Low Carbon Vehicles
Source: Gordon Murray Designs
Energy & Urban Density
D. Lam & P. Head (Arup) in O.R. Inderwildi & D.A. Kind (Eds.), ‘Energy, Transport & the Environment, Springer 2012
People vs. Cars: Bogota
Source: Courtesy of Enrique Penalosa
VariaLift Airship
THANK YOU
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David King, John Browne, Richard Layard, Gus O’Donnell,
Martin Rees, Nicholas Stern, Adair Turner