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Indexing Strategies Asia November 2007 Fran Thompson Director, FTSE Asia Pacific INDEXING IN ASIA
29

FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Sep 14, 2014

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Page 1: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Indexing Strategies Asia

November 2007

Fran Thompson

Director, FTSE Asia Pacific

INDEXING IN ASIA

Page 2: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

© FTSE LIMITED 2004. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

•Growth of institutional assets in Asia

•Investment Strategy indexing takes hold

•Unique asset classes - real estate and infrastructure

•Emerging markets

•Development of Asian exchange indices

•2008 outlook in Asian indexing

OVERVIEW

Page 3: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 2 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Jason Hsu 28 November, 2007Page 2

Growth of Institutional Assets in Asia

Page 4: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 3 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Asian Pension Assets Growing

Pension Assets as a Share of GDP

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

2005 2010 2015

Australia Japan Asia

* CLSA, Dec. 2005

Pension Assets as a Share of GDP

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2005 2010 2015

Korea Malaysia China

Taiwan Singapore Thailand

India Hong Kong Indonesia

Philippines

Page 5: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 4 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Jason Hsu 28 November, 2007Page 4

Indexing: Investment Strategy Indices taking hold

Page 6: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 5 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Cap-Weighted vs Wealth-Weighted

Cap-weighted

• Macro-consistent

• Recognise future earnings growth expectations

• Occupy prime place in the benchmark hierarchy

• Highly transparent and uniquely specified

Wealth-weighted• Consistent with long-

term investment principles

• Don’t recognise future earnings growth

• No current standing in the benchmark hierarchy

• Opaque and non-unique

Page 7: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 6 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Cap-Weighted vs Wealth-Weighted

Cap-weighted

• Very limited rebalancing

• Subject to market bubbles

• No rebalancing effects

• Concentration in positions

• No diversity to strategies

Wealth-weighted• Rebalancing is part of

the alpha strategy • Value and anti-

momentum biases• Growth from

rebalancing• Less concentration in

positions• Diversity to strategies

Page 8: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 7 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

FTSE/RAFI Country Weightings in Cap-Weighted World Index

Source: Research Affiliates, LLC.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Jan-88 Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06

US Canada UK Germany France Italy Other Europe Asia Pacific ex Japan Japan

Japan

US

Page 9: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 8 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

FTSE/RAFI Country Weightings in Fundamentally Weighted World Index

Source: Research Affiliates, LLC.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Jan-88 Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06

US Canada UK Germany France Italy Other Europe Asia Pacific ex Japan Japan

Japan

US

Page 10: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 9 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1969

1972

1975

1978

1981

1984

1987

1990

1993

1996

1999

2002

2005

2008

Mkt Cap Earnings Cashflow Dividends Book

Prices Follow Wealth: Developed Markets

Page 11: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 10 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Jason Hsu 28 November, 2007Page 10

Indexing: Unique Asset Classes

Page 12: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 11 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Unique Asset Classes – Real Estate

FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Asia 33 Index vs. FTSE All-World Index

Price Performance in U.S. Dollars from 18 February 2005 to 14 September 2007

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Feb-05 May-05 Aug-05 Nov-05 Feb-06 May-06 Aug-06 Nov-06 Feb-07 May-07 Aug-07

Rebase

d V

alu

e (18 F

ebru

ary

2005 =

100)

FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Asia 33 Index FTSE All-World Index

Page 13: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 12 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Unique Asset Classes – Infrastructure

Page 14: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 13 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Jason Hsu 28 November, 2007Page 13

Indexing: Emerging markets

Page 15: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 14 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

China – FTSE Xinhua Index

Page 16: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 15 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Vietnam

Source: The World Bank

80%2,254,4871,183,815China

68%51,55630,726Vietnam

Growth20052000

GNI (current US$) (millions)

Page 17: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 16 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Jason Hsu 28 November, 2007Page 16

Indexing: Development of exchanges and their domestic benchmarks

Page 18: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 17 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Classification of financial markets

FTSE Country Classification introduced in 2004 and reviews markets based on:

•Market & regulatory environment

•Custody and settlement

•Dealing landscape

•Derivatives market

Page 19: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 18 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Development of Asian Exchanges

Philippines

Thailand

PakistanJapan

MalaysiaHong Kong

IndonesiaSingapore

IndiaTaiwanNew Zealand

China (A share only)

South KoreaAustralia

Secondary Emerging

Advanced Emerging

Developed

Page 20: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 19 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Case Study 1: TSEC Taiwan

FTSE TSEC Index Series

TSEC Taiwan

50 Index

TSEC Taiwan

Mid-Cap 100 Index

TSEC Taiwan

Eight Industries Index

TSEC Taiwan

Dividend+ Index

TSEC Taiwan

Technology Index

(Small Cap)

Page 21: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 20 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Case Study 2: Malaysia

Burs

a M

ala

ysia

Main

Board

Fledgling

EMAS

Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap

EMAS Shariah

Hijrah Shariah

MESDAQ

Second BoardBurs

a

Mala

ysia

Second B

oard

& M

ESDAQ

Mark

et

Page 22: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 21 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Case Study 3: Singapore

Straits Times Index

(30 Stocks)

FTSE ST Mid Cap Index

FTSE ST Small Cap Index

FTSE ST Fledgling Index

FTSE STAll-ShareIndex(98% of

SGX Main

Board)

13

FTSE ST

All-Share

Sector

Indices

New FTSE ST Index Family

Straits Times Index

(50 Stocks)

Current ST Index Family

FTSE STChinaIndex

7 All-Share Sector Indices

Page 23: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 22 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Case Study 4: Thailand

The new series is likely to be similar to other exchange indices with:

•Large cap

•Mid Cap

•Small Cap

•Fledgling

Page 24: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 23 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Jason Hsu 28 November, 2007Page 23

Indexing: 2008 Outlook in Asian Indexing

Page 25: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 24 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Global Developments

New approaches to weighting:

• Capping

• Dividends

• Fundamental factors

• Wealth weights

Page 26: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 25 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Asian Developments

• Emerging market institutions beginning international investment with various investment mandates. In Asia:

• China NSSF

• Taiwan Bureau of Labor Insurance

• Korea Investment Corporation

Page 27: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson November 2007Page 26 Indexing Strategies Asia 2007

© FTSE LIMITED 2007. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY INFORMATION PRODUCED MUST BE DONE WITH PRIOR AGREEMENT WITH FTSE.

Shariah Investment

(2 indices) (6 indices) (9 indices) (4 indices) (10 indices)(16 indices)

95 global indices in total: (36 x Global Developed); (31 x Global Emerging); (28 x Global Rest of World)

Page 28: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview
Page 29: FTSE, Asia Index Market Overview

Fran Thompson

Director – Asia Pacific

FTSE Group

Tel No: (852) 2230 5800

Email: [email protected]

Index assistance: [email protected]

Contact Details