1 WWW.EXEMPTANALYST.COM | DEALER OR AGENT USE ONLY | READ DISCLOSURES ON PAGE 52 Fostering a Culture of Transparency in the Exempt Market Industry April 26, 2012 William McNarland, CFA Senior Analyst [email protected]Barry MacIsaac Research Analyst [email protected]Suite 1903, 246 Stewart Green SW Calgary, AB, Canada T3H 3C8 Frontenac Mortgage Investment Corporation QUICK FACTS Type Mortgage Investment Corporation (“MIC”) Risk Rating M1 – ‘Low Risk’ Expected Internal Rate of Return Ideal Case – 9.00% Optimistic Case – 7.25% Base Case – 5.50% Pessimistic Case – 3.50% Unsatisfactory Case – 1.75% Head Office The Simonett Building, 208 – 14,216 Road #38 Sharbot Lake, Ontario K0H 2P0 Minimum Client Purchase $5,000 Price Per Unit/Share $30 per common share. Deferred Plan Eligibility Yes. Expected Issue Closing Date Continuous offering. Reporting Issuer Frontenac MIC issues reports for investors via the Internet at http://www.sedar.com/. Approximate Time to Exit Continuous offering. Auditor Raymond Chabot Grant Thornton LLP Legal Torkin Manes LLP Jurisdiction BC, AB, SK, MB, ON Website http://www.fmic.ca/
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Frontenac Mortgage Investment Corporation...institutions or individuals investing in Frontenac MIC: 1. Mortgage Investment Corporations 2. Frontenac MIC Portfolio 3. Financial Performance
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Fostering a Culture of Transparency in the Exempt Market Industry
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Large Mortgage Funds’ Best Years from 2004 to 2011
The Globe and Mail
Large Mortgage Funds’ Worst Years from 2004 to 2011
The Globe and Mail
One-year Annualized Returns
The Globe and Mail
Fund Best Year
BMO Mortgage and Short-term Income 5.85%
CI Signature Mortgage 4.59%
Investors Mortgage and Short-term 6.02%
Frontenac MIC 7.20%
National Bank Mortgage 5.50%
Scotia Mortgage Income 5.89%
TD Mortgage 7.36%
Fund Worst Year
BMO Mortgage and Short-term Income 1.53%
CI Signature Mortgage 1.02%
Investors Mortgage and Short-term 1.11%
Frontenac MIC 5.01%
National Bank Mortgage 1.83%
Scotia Mortgage Income 0.99%
TD Mortgage 1.63%
Fund Return
BMO Mortgage and Short-term Income 2.77%
CI Signature Mortgage 2.35%
Investors Mortgage and Short-term 2.12%
Frontenac MIC 6.67%
National Bank Mortgage 3.55%
Scotia Mortgage Income 0.99%
TD Mortgage 2.27%
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Three-year Annualized Returns
Five-year Annualized Returns
Ten-year Annualized Returns
Fund Return
BMO Mortgage and Short-term Income 1.88%
CI Signature Mortgage 2.05%
Investors Mortgage and Short-term 1.94%
Frontenac MIC 5.85%
National Bank Mortgage 2.20%
Scotia Mortgage Income 1.37%
TD Mortgage 2.05%
Fund Return
BMO Mortgage and Short-term Income 2.84%
CI Signature Mortgage 2.31%
Investors Mortgage and Short-term 3.13%
Frontenac MIC 6.20%
National Bank Mortgage 3.05%
Scotia Mortgage Income 2.74%
TD Mortgage 3.44%
Fund Return
BMO Mortgage and Short-term Income 2.67%
CI Signature Mortgage 2.57%
Investors Mortgage and Short-term 2.92%
Frontenac MIC 6.29%
National Bank Mortgage 3.74%
Scotia Mortgage Income 3.05%
TD Mortgage 3.65%
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Frontenac MIC Lending Area
The best areas for mortgage lending have low unemployment, high
family incomes, and reasonable real estate prices. Below is a
comparison of Ottawa with other Canadian major cities.
Overview of Ottawa
Ottawa is the capital of Canada, the second largest city in the
Province of Ontario, and the fourth largest city in Canada. The city is
located on the south bank of the Ottawa River in the eastern portion
of Southern Ontario. Ottawa borders Gatineau, Quebec, located on
the north bank of the Ottawa River; together they form the “National Capital Region.” The 2011 census identified the city’s population as 883,391, and the metropolitan area’s population as 1,236,324. From
1990 to 2000, Ottawa experienced significant population growth that
has continued through today.
Ottawa Dominion Bureau of Statistics
Mercer ranks Ottawa among the top cities for quality of living among
the worlds’ large cities and second in North America. In addition, it
was rated the second cleanest city in Canada and the third cleanest
city in the world. In 2012, for the third consecutive year,
MoneySense ranked Ottawa as the best community in Canada to
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The Canadian Press
Among the provinces above, Ontario has a fairly average
unemployment rate. Compared with cities in Ontario, Ottawa has
one of the lowest unemployment rates, which is an indicator that the
city is poised for strong population growth.
The Canadian Press
Canadian Province Unemployment Rate
Newfoundland and Labrador 12.9% Prince Edward Island 10.8% New Brunswick 10.1% Quebec 8.4% Nova Scotia 8.2% Ontario 7.6% British Columbia 6.9% Manitoba 5.6% Saskatchewan 5.0% Alberta 5.0%
National Average 7.4%
Canadian City Unemployment Rate
Windsor 10.7% Peterborough 9.6% Barrie 9.2% Brantford 8.8% Toronto 8.6% London 8.5% Oshawa 7.8% Niagara 7.5% Kingston 7.4% Sudbury 7.2% Kitchener 6.7% Ottawa 6.2% Hamilton 6.0% Guelph 5.4% Thunder Bay 5.3%
Ontario Average 7.6%
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Ottawa has the second highest family income of all major Canadian
cities. The median family income was $90,990 in 2008, which was
much higher than the Ontario and Canada average..
Statistics Canada 2008
The Federal government is Ottawa’s largest employer, employing
over 110,000 individuals from the National Capital Region. In
addition, Ottawa is an important technology center; its 1,800
companies employ approximately 80,000 people. Most of these
companies specialize in telecommunications, software
development, and environmental technology. Large technology
companies such as Nortel, Corel, Mitel, Cognos, and JDS Uniphase
were founded in Ottawa. Ottawa also has regional locations for 3M,
Adobe Systems, Bell Canada, IBM, Alcatel-Lucent, and Hewlett-
Packard. Many of Ottawa’s telecommunications and new technology companies are located in the western part of the city.
Location Median Family Income
Calgary $91,570 Ottawa $90,990 Edmonton $88,190 Oshawa $83,220 Guelph $81,910 Regina $81,480 Sudbury $79,570 Victoria $77,810 Saskatoon $77,740 Alberta $86,080 Ontario $70,910
Saskatchewan $69,800 British Columbia $67,890 Manitoba $64,530 Quebec $63,830
Canada $68,860
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Another major employer is the health sector, which employs over
18,000 people. Nordion and i-Stat, as well as the National Research
Council of Canada and OHRI, are part of a growing life sciences
sector. Business, finance, administration, and sales and service
occupations rank high among types of occupations. Approximately
10% of Ottawa's GDP is derived from the financial services,
insurance, and real estate sectors, whereas employment in goods-
producing industries is only half the national average. The City of
Ottawa is the area’s second largest employer with over 15,000 employees.
Cost of Living
The cost of living in Ottawa is considerably cheaper than most major
Canadian cities. MoneySense evaluated 179 Canadian cities and
Ottawa was ranked in first place due to its low cost of living, strong
economy, low crime rate, and steady population growth. The table
below compares average annual household expenditures by city
based on tax rates, living costs, transportation, food, recreation,
insurance costs, healthcare, entertainment, and education.
Statistics Canada 2011
Among the major Canadian cities listed, Ottawa is the cheapest are
in which to live. Combined with its high median family income,
Ottawa likely experiences more savings, which allows for more
accessible housing. The table below compares the average home
prices of standard two-story houses, single detached houses, and
condominiums.
City Average Household Expenditures
Calgary $82,722 Toronto $73,407 Edmonton $70,216 Vancouver $67,967 Saskatoon $66,584 Halifax $60,636 Winnipeg $58,074 Montreal $56,053
Ottawa $52,796
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RBC 2012
The price for a single detached home in Ottawa is approximately 4.1
times the average family income. Housing in Ottawa is very
affordable when compared to Vancouver, which is at over 10 times
family income and Toronto, which is at over 7 times
CMHC 2012
Newly completed housing in Ottawa is stable compared to
Vancouver and Toronto. In 2009, rapid growth, low interest rates,
and accessible mortgages led to a sharp decline in home prices.
With steady population growth, a low unemployment rate, high
wages, and steady GDP growth, Ottawa is in a position that enables
it to be one of the major cities least affected by a housing downturn.
City Standard 2-
Story Single
Detached Condominium
Vancouver $845,000 $790,000 $403,200 Toronto $602,000 $515,100 $326,400 Calgary $414,700 $423,600 $254,500 Ottawa $379,800 $371,900 $257,000
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MLS 2011
The average home in Ottawa sold for $339,041 in 2010 compared
to $304,801 in 2009. This represents an 11.2% increase, the
highest of all major Canadian cities.
City Average Home Sale Price
Year 2009 2010 Change Vancouver $592,441 $653,499 10.3% Toronto $396,154 $435,277 9.9% Calgary $385,882 $399,332 3.5% Montreal $330,056 $355,109 7.6% Ottawa $304,801 $339,041 11.2% Edmonton $320,378 $323,488 1.0% Saskatoon $280,784 $291,056 3.7% Halifax $239,784 $254,949 6.3% Winnipeg $216,012 $227,370 5.3%
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STRUCTURE COSTS
INVESTMENT
STRUCTURE & ENTITIES
Indicated returns are net of management fee, which is 1.0% plus
expenses, and net of mortgage administration fee of 1.0%. Investors
will pay management fees and operating expenses.
The investment structure is a “Mortgage Investment Corporation” as described in the “Key Due Diligence Considerations” sub-heading.
The following entities are associated with Frontenac MIC:
W.A. Robinson & Associates Ltd.
W.A. Robinson & Associates is Frontenac MIC’s manager, portfolio advisor, registrar of common shares, and transfer agent. W.A.
Robinson & Associates is a registered portfolio manager and
investment fund manager retained by Frontenac to manage the
overall business and operations of the corporation and to provide it
with investment advice and portfolio management services in
respect of its investment portfolio. W.A. Robinson & Associates is
majority-owned by Wayne Robinson. Frontenac will pay W.A.
Robinson & Associates an annual fee of 1% of the value of
Frontenac’s total assets, calculated and payable at the end of every month.
Pillar Financial Services Inc.
Pillar Financial Services is a licensed mortgage broker and
mortgage administrator retained by Frontenac to service the
mortgage portfolio, including the sourcing and administration of
mortgages. The Pillar Financial Services is also responsible for the
underwriting and approval of prospective mortgage applications,
collection of payments and, where necessary, commencing
enforcement proceedings against delinquent mortgagors. Pillar
Financial Services is wholly-owned by Wayne Robinson and is an
affiliate of W.A. Robinson & Associates. Frontenac pays Pillar
Financial Services an annual fee of 1% of the total asset value in
consideration for the mortgage brokering and administration
services they provide.
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MANAGEMENT FEE
VALUATION
CONSIDERATIONS
LIABILITIES
REDEMPTION OPTIONS
Pillar Financial Services is the administrator and W.A. Robinson &
Associates is the manager for the Company. Frontenac signed new
contracts for these services in 2008 under which Pillar and W.A.
each charge an annual fee of 1% of the total asset value calculated
on a monthly basis.
Administration and management fees paid under these agreements
were $800,627 for 2011 compared to $639,149 for 2010. The
increase in the dollar value of the administration and management
fees from 2010 is a reflection of the increase in the total net assets
of Frontenac.
The fund values its common shares on a monthly basis. The net
asset value is confirmed by an independent account audit once a
year. Since there has not been a year with a loss, the net asset
value has been constant.
In July 2007, the Board of Directors approved a $3,000,000 line of
credit with the Royal Bank of Canada. The purpose of the line of
credit is to provide liquidity, not to provide leverage. On December
31, 2011, there was no outstanding balance on the line of credit.
Due to the regulatory restrictions placed on an MIC offered by a
prospectus, liquidity is only available each year on November 30.
There is no charge for investors to redeem from FMIC. In the case
of extreme redemptions that cause a liquidity concern for other
investors, the board may restrict redemptions to 25% of the
common shares.
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RETURN
EXPECTATIONS
The base case return for 2011 is based on the following formula:
Expected Canada Bank Rate + Manager Skill = Investors’ Return
The current Bank of Canada rate is 1.00%, and the average historic
management skill has been 3.78%. The Bank of Canada rate is
defined as the upper limit of the Bank of Canada’s operating band. Canadian interest rates are expected to stay low until at least 2014.
This would provide an expected return for FMIC in 2012 of 4.78%.
With Bank of Canada rates at 1.00% and a manager skill rate of
4.50%, the internal rate of return would be 5.50% for the year
ending December 31, 2012.
Scenario Bank of
Canada Rate Manager
Skill Return
Ideal 3.00% 6.00% 9.00%
Optimistic 1.75% 5.50% 7.25%
Base-case 1.00% 4.50% 5.50%
Pessimistic 0.50% 3.00% 3.50%
Unsatisfactory 0.25% 1.50% 1.75%
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EXIT STRATEGY
KEY RISKS
Frontenac is an on-going investment fund. Investors may redeem
their common shares at their discretion, subject to timing and
liquidity restrictions.
Falling Property Values
If real estate properties fall in value, less equity cushion is provided
by the current LTV.
Increase in Terminal Losses
It is possible that terminal losses could increase, which would
reduce income to the point that investors could potentially lose
capital.
Interest Rates
A fall in interest rates would reduce the amounts that FMIC could
charge mortgage holders, which would lower the portfolio’s return.
Manager Skill
If management cannot find mortgage holders to pay higher than
conventional rates of interest, the Fund’s returns would suffer.
Investors receive one vote per shared owned. A quorum for a
meeting of shareholders shall be the holders of at least 25% of the
shares entitled to vote at a meeting of shareholders, whether
present in person or represented by proxy.
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FINANCIAL SAFETY MECHANISMS
INVESTOR LIABILITY
POTENTIAL CONFLICTS OR CONCERNS
SIMILARITY BETWEEN OFFERING DOCUMENTS & MARKETING REPRESENTATIONS
Frontenac MIC has the following financial safety mechanisms in
place:
1. Clients will often use an intimidator like TD Waterhouse or
RBC Dominion Securities.
2. The custodian of the Fund is Computershare.
3. Frontenac is a public security, so all information is available
independently on SEDAR.
4. Clients receive annual audited financials.
5. In order to provide liquidity to its shareholders, Frontenac is
required to maintain approximately 5% of its net assets in
cash throughout the year. Management regularly monitors its
available cash and credit line facility to ensure that a 5% cash
reserve is maintained.
If the investor remains at arm’s length, and is not involved in any management of the corporation’s operations, there should be no concerns regarding liability.
No potential conflicts or concerns were identified.
There are no discrepancies between the Frontenac MIC offering
documents and its marketing materials.
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BANKRUPTCY & REGULATORY HISTORY
HISTORIC CORPORATE
CHANGES
LITIGATION
SECURITIES REGISTRATION
SUITABILITY
EA analysts have confirmed that no director or member of
management of Frontenac MIC, W. A. Robinson & Associates or
any related parties of the above corporations have been subject to
bankruptcy within the past 10 years. In addition, there have been no
regulatory issues with the Canadian Securities Commission or any
other regulatory committees.
EA analysts are unaware of any historic corporate changes
regarding Frontenac MIC or any of the corporation’s affiliates.
EA analysts are unaware of any acts of litigation against Frontenac
MIC, W.A. Robinson & Associates, any related parties, or any
members of management or directors of the above-mentioned
corporations.
W.A. Robinson & Associates is a registered exempt market dealer
and portfolio manager in British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan,
and Manitoba, a registered portfolio manager in Quebec, and a
registered limited market dealer in Ontario.
An investment in Frontenac MIC common shares is considered risky
and should be undertaken only by sophisticated investors of
adequate financial means who can bear the risks associated with
the offering. Individuals who are eligible or accredited investors and
who reside in British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba,
or Ontario may participate in the offering.
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RATING
The EA Analyst team has rated Frontenac “M-1” on the MIC risk
rating schedule of M-1 to M-7. M-1 is the lowest risk rating, which is
reserved for MICs with long track records of consistent positive
returns. Other factors that lead to this rating are:
1. Frontenac has a high level of diversification.
2. Frontenac has a low Loan-to-value ratio.
3. In the analyst’s opinion, areas in Eastern Ontario, notably Ottawa, are considered to be desirable economic lending
areas for MICs.
4. The ratio of first to second mortgages is favourably high in
Frontenac’s investment portfolio. 5. Mortgages in Frontenac’s portfolio have recent appraisal
data.
6. Frontenac has experienced minimal terminal losses.
7. There is low interest rate risk due to fixed rate mortgages.
8. Returns have been steady over a substantial amount of time,
demonstrating management’s ability to weather economic storms.
9. Mortgages in Frontenac’s portfolio have short maturity dates. This policy management has enacted is key to preventing
terminal losses.
Rating Definition
M-1 Very Low Risk M-2 Low Risk M-3 Low-to-Average Risk M-4 Average Risk M-5 Average-to-High Risk M-6 High Risk M-7 Very High Risk
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Rating Definition
M-1
Mortgage Investment Corporations rated M-1 have the highest level
of stability and sustainability of distributions per unit. Corporations
with this rating have a superior combination of the following factors:
good history of operating performance, outstanding financial
flexibility, high quality assets, good diversification, large size in
terms of breadth and scale of operations, and a strong industry
structure. The corporation is likely to have strong sponsors or
owners or specific structural or contractual elements that eliminate
or mitigate risks or other potentially negative factors.
M-2
Mortgage Investment Corporations rated M-2 have very good
distributions per unit stability and sustainability. The corporation
exhibits performance that is only slightly below the M-1 level,
typically shows above-average strength in areas of consideration,
and possesses levels of distributable income per unit that are not
likely to be significantly negatively affected by foreseeable events.
The corporation’s performance is above average in many, if not most, areas of consideration.
M-3
Mortgage Investment Corporations rated at M-3 have good
distributions per unit stability and sustainability, but performance
may be more sensitive to economic factors, have greater cyclical
tendencies, and may not be as well diversified as an M-2 firm,
resulting in some potential for distributions per unit to fluctuate. The
corporation will not be above average in all areas of consideration,
but will tend to outperform in many areas. M-3 is usually the highest
rating category for a new and smaller corporation and often
represents a ceiling for some of the better commodity-oriented
corporations.
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M-4
Mortgage Investment Corporations rated at M-4 have adequate
distributions per unit stability and sustainability, but distributions per
unit are affected by one or more factors such as cyclicality,
seasonality, and commodity price fluctuations, and economic cycles
have a comparatively greater influence over performance compared
to first in the higher rating categories. Concentration and lack of
diversity may affect stability.
M-5
Mortgage Investment Corporations rated at M-5 have weak
distributions per unit stability and sustainability. The corporation is
subject to many of the same cyclical, seasonal, and economic
factors as those in the M-4 rating category, but the lack of
diversification is generally more pronounced, and the corporation’s performance will tend to fall below average in several areas.
M-6
Mortgage Investment Corporations rated at M-6 have very weak
distributions per unit stability and sustainability. The corporation will
tend toward below average performance in many areas of
consideration. There may be a high degree of volatility associated
with current levels of distributions per unit, and the ongoing
operational performance and financial flexibility of the corporation
are weak. The corporation may also be relatively new and small,
and have limited sponsor support.
M-7
Mortgage Investment Corporations rated at M-7 have poor
distributions per unit in terms of stability and sustainability. The
corporation performs below average in most areas of consideration.
There is a high degree of volatility associated with current levels of
distributions per unit. In addition, depending upon the specific
circumstances, this category may also contain those Mortgage
Investment Corporations that have ceased distributions.
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DISCLAIMERS
General
ExemptAnalyst is a fully-owned trademark of Mount Fortress Capital
Inc., which is registered in the Province of Alberta. The particulars
contained in this report were obtained from sources we believe to be
reliable, but they are not guaranteed and may be incomplete. The
opinions found in this report are the analysts’ and are not to be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy the securities analyzed in
the report.
Research Analysts
The research analysts who prepared the report certify that it
accurately reflects their opinions and that their compensation is not
directly or indirectly derived from the rating assigned in the report.
Compensation
Fees have been paid to the analysts to write this report, which help
to offset the high cost of research. ExemptAnalyst must abide by the
CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional
Conduct.
Liability
Mount Fortress Capital Inc. and ExemptAnalyst do not make any
warranties, expressed or implied, as to the risk or results from
investing in any exempt market security. Anyone reading this report
assumes full responsibility for the outcome of investing in any
exempt market security. Only your financial advisor can recommend
whether this investment is suitable for your particular situation. It is
vital that investors study the Offering Memorandum to review the