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Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4] , Andrey Pushkarev [2,4] , Alexander Prokofiev [3,4] and Alexander Korotkevich [1,3] 1. University of Arizona 2. Lebedev Institute for Physics 3. Landau Institute for Theoretical Physics 4. Waves and Solitons LLC, W. Sereno Dr., Gilbert, AZ, 85233, USA
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Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

Dec 21, 2015

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Page 1: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

Freak Waves and Wave Breaking -Catastrophic Events in Ocean

V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4]

in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev [2,4], Alexander Prokofiev [3,4] and Alexander Korotkevich [1,3]

1. University of Arizona2. Lebedev Institute for Physics3. Landau Institute for Theoretical Physics4. Waves and Solitons LLC, W. Sereno Dr., Gilbert,

AZ, 85233, USA

Page 2: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

Let elevation of ocean surface. In the first approximation this is quasi-stationary, quasi homogeneous random process, close to Gaussian.

),( tr

Page 3: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

There are two types of rare catastrophic events on the ocean surface:

1. Freak waves (major catastrophic event) 2. Wave breaking (minor catastrophic event)

Freak waves are responsible for ship-wreaking, loss of boats, cargo and lives.Wave breaking is the most important mechanism of wave energy dissipationand for transport of momentum from wind to ocean.

Analytic theory is for both of these are not developed

Page 4: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

“New Year” wave – 1995 year

Extreme wave in the Black sea – 2002 year

Page 5: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 6: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 7: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 8: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 9: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 10: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 11: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 12: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 13: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 14: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 15: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 16: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 17: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 18: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 19: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 20: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 21: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 22: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.
Page 23: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

Freak waves – program for future.

We are planning to perform massive numerical simulation of different stationary wave spectra to determine dependence of probability of freak wave formation on energy spectrum.

Measuring of energy spectrum is a relatively easy problem. It will Make possible to estimate a danger of freak wave appearance in a given place in a given time…

Page 24: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

Wave breaking

dissnlink SSSt

N

nlS

inS

Evolution of the surface waves spectra is described by the Hasselmann kinetic equation

Here nothing but the standart quantum kinetics equation for Boson-type Quasiparticles in the limit of large occupation numbers.

- nothing but the standart quantum kinetics equation for Boson-type quasiparticles in the limit of large occupation numbers.

dissS - dissipation due to wave breaking.

To find inS we should have an adequate theory of atmospheric boundary layer

over ocean. This boundary layer is badly turbulent.

Page 25: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

dissS

k

RRUURit

Rk

)( //

VRgRBUVit

Vk

)1()( //

k

To find we need the theory of wave breaking. It is not developed yet.

But we can perform a numerical experiment

should be the same in both equations. The instability growth rate was

Page 26: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

-0.015

-0.01

-0.005

0

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Magnified surface shape Y(x) for time t=2994 (start of run-off)

Page 27: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

Surface shape Y(x) for time t=2994 Similar scale for both axes

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

Page 28: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

H(t)

0

2e-05

4e-05

6e-05

8e-05

0.0001

0.00012

0.00014

0.00016

0.00018

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000

Page 29: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

Steepness μ(t), smoothed

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000

Page 30: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

-2e-11

-1.8e-11

-1.6e-11

-1.4e-11

-1.2e-11

-1e-11

-8e-12

-6e-12

-4e-12

-2e-12

0

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000

t

tH

)(

Particular experiment

t

Page 31: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

Approximation of function:

0

5e-05

0.0001

0.00015

0.0002

0.00025

0 0.005 0.01 0.015 0.02 0.025 0.03 0.035 0.04

H

H )( 0

8750

2260

105102)(:02.0

104106)(:02.0

xxf

xxf

(numerical values obtained by least squares method)

Page 32: Freak Waves and Wave Breaking - Catastrophic Events in Ocean V.E. Zakharov [1,2,3,4] in collaboration with Alexander Dyachenko [3,4], Andrey Pushkarev.

ProgramdissSDevelopment of these experiments will make possible to determine in a reliable

way and improve essentially quality of wave-forecasting models.

inSThen from comparison with experimental data we will be able to estimate which model of is closer to reality.