Fortum Corporation Interim report January–June 2014 18 July 2014
Fortum Corporation Interim report January–June 2014 18 July 2014
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Disclaimer
This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Fortum shares. Past performance is no guide to future performance, and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial adviser.
Q2 2014 Results
Key figures (EUR) II/14 II/13 I-II/14 I-II/13 2013 LTM Sales, million 1,016 1,205 2,489 2,858 5,309 4,940
Comparable EBITDA, million 382 429 1,009 1,093 1,975 1,892
Operating profit, million 295 429 2,629 905 1,508 3,232
Comparable operating profit, million 255 289 732 813 1,403 1,322
Profit before taxes, million 284 388 2,626 878 1,398 3,146
Earnings per share 0.28 0.35 2.81 0.80 1.36 3.36
Items affecting comparability 0.05 0.12 2.14 0.08 0.10 2.16
Net cash from operating activities, million 455 282 1,022 749 1,548 1,821
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Summary of the second quarter of 2014
• Good results despite seasonality, low spot prices and rouble
• Strong cash flow from operations
• Norwegian electricity distribution business sale completed
• The target for the Russia Segment in Russian roubles (RUB 18.2 billion) to be reached during 2015 is intact, but the euro result level will be volatile and with current exchanges rates lower than EUR 500 million
• Finnish Government decided not to introduce the power plant tax (so called windfall tax)
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Market conditions in the second quarter 2014 Nordic countries • Power consumption in the Nordic countries declined marginally compared to the same
period in 2013 • Hydro reservoirs at long-term average • Nordic system spot prices EUR 13 per MWh lower compared to 2013, while Finnish and
Swedish area prices approximately EUR 5-7 per MWh lower
European business environment and carbon market • The European Parliament election held in May • New EU energy and environment state aid guideline came into force • Energy security and efficiency in focus in EU triggered by the political crises in Ukraine
Russia • Power consumption in Fortum’s operating areas on same level as in corresponding
period in 2013 • Spot price for power increased by 15% (in RUB) in the First price zone compared to the
same period in 2013
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Nordic water reservoirs
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Source: Nord Pool Spot
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
20
40
60
80
100
120
rese
rvoi
r con
tent
(TW
h)
0
2000 2003 2013 2012 reference level 2014
Wholesale price for electricity
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Source: Nord Pool Spot, NASDAQ OMX Commodities Europe
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110EUR/MWh Nord Pool Spot System Price Forwards
15 July 2014
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023
0
30
60
90
120
150
USD
/ bb
l
Crude oil price (ICE Brent)
2006 2007 20102008 2009 20122011 2013 2014 20150
7
14
21
28
35
EUR
/ tC
O2
CO2 price (ICE ECX EUA)
2006 2007 20102008 2009 20122011 2013 2014 2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
USD
/ t
Coal price (ICE Rotterdam)
2006 2007 20102008 2009 20122011 2013 2014 20150
20
40
60
80
100
GB
p / t
herm
Gas price (ICE NBP)
2006 2007 20102008 2009 20122011 2013 2014 2015
8
Source: ICE
Market prices 15 July 2014; 2014-2015 future quotations
Fuel and CO2 allowance prices
Price development in the Nordic region and Russia
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Includes capacity income
-34% +17%
-10% +2%
Q2: Low spot prices burdened Power and Technology - Russia improved
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Comparable operating profit, EUR million
* The divested distribution operations are included in the segment information until the closing of the transactions
*
January- June: Good results despite seasonality, low spot prices and weak rouble
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Comparable operating profit, EUR million
* The divested distribution operations are included in the segment information until the closing of the transactions
*
Financials
Comparable and reported operating profit
II/2014 II/2013 II/2014 II/2013 I-II/2014 I-II/2013 I-II/2014 I-II/2013
Power and Technology 183 210 151 338 434 513 413 600 Heat, Electricity Sales and Solutions 11 13 67 24 59 70 112 75
Russia 28 20 28 20 102 61 101 61
Distribution 45 60 63 61 164 197 2,030 197
Other -13 -14 -13 -14 -27 -28 -28 -28
Total 255 289 295 429 732 813 2,629 905
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Comparable operating profit
Reported operating profit MEUR
• Non-recurring items (mainly to the sale of the Finnish electricity distribution business), IFRS accounting treatment (IAS 39) of derivatives and nuclear fund adjustments had an impact on the reported operating profit EUR 41 (140) million in the second quarter and 1,897 (93) million in the first half year.
Comparable operating profit
Reported operating profit
Note: The divested distribution operations are included in the segment information until the closing of the transactions.
Power and Technology
MEUR II/2014 II/2013 I-II/2014 I-II/2013 2013 LTM
Sales 487 548 1,072 1,213 2,252 2,111
Comparable operating profit 183 210 434 513 859 780
Net assets 6,113 6,402 6,355
Comparable RONA % 13.8 12.6
Gross investments 37 43 72 70 181 183
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Q2 2014 • Lower achieved power price – average
spot price EUR 13 per MWh lower, area prices EUR 5-7 per MWh lower
• Higher hydro production • Nuclear volumes lower due to timing and
length of annual maintenance outages • 6/10 annual nuclear maintenance
outages completed
H1 2014 • Lower achieved power price – average
spot price EUR 12.5 per MWh lower, area prices EUR 6-10 per MWh lower
• Higher hydro production – normalised hydro inflow and reservoir levels
• Nuclear availability high in all reactors expect Oskarshamn 2
Heat, Electricity Sales and Solutions
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Q2 2014 • Divestments made in Finland in 2013
burdened CHP volumes (despite new capacity)
• Divestment of the Norwegian heat business completed
MEUR II/2014 II/2013 I-II/2014 I-II/2013 2013 LTM
Sales 269 308 715 839 1,516 1,392
Comparable operating profit 11 13 59 70 109 98
Net assets 2,176 2,287 2,295
Comparable RONA % 8.7 8.4
Gross investments 14 37 27 70 134 91
H1 2014 • Exceptionally warm weather, and
divestments made in Finland in 2013 burdened both CHP volumes (despite new capacity) and retail sales.
• Fortum Värme contributed associated company result with EUR 48 million.
Russia Q2 2014 • Comparable operating profit improved
due to CSA capacity payments, better electricity and heat spreads and increased efficiency
• Reversal of provisions EUR 4 (10) included
• Overall, weakened rouble affected negatively approximately EUR 3 million
MEUR II/2014 II/2013 I-II/2014 I-II/2013 2013 LTM
Sales 234 251 567 595 1,119 1,091
Comparable operating profit 28 20 102 61 156 197
Net assets 3,870 3,793 3,846
Comparable RONA % 5.2 6.2
Gross investments 97 98 156 169 435 422
H1 2014 • Positive effect from CSA capacity
payments, better electricity and heat spreads, improved bad debt collections and increased efficiency
• Overall, weakened rouble affected negatively approximately EUR 17 million
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Distribution
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Q2 2014
• Norwegian electricity networks sale finalised
• Volumes in Sweden in line with last year
MEUR II/2014 II/2013 I-II/2014 I-II/2013 2013 LTM
Sales 148 227 449 566 1,064 947
Comparable operating profit 45 60 164 197 332 299
Net assets 2,642 3,742 3,745
Comparable RONA % 8.8 9.1
Gross investments 35 59 60 109 255 206
H1 2014
• Finnish and Norwegian electricity networks sale finalised
• Fortum continues evaluating the possible future divestment opportunity of the Swedish electricity distribution business
Note: The divested distribution operations are included in the segment information until the closing of the transactions
Income statement MEUR II/2014 II/2013 I-II/2014 I-II/2013 2013 LTM
Sales 1,016 1,205 2,489 2,858 5,309 4,940
Other income and expenses 761 916 1,758 2,046 3,906 3,618
Comparable operating profit 255 289 732 813 1,403 1,322
Items affecting comparability 41 140 1,897 93 106 1,910
Operating profit 295 429 2,629 905 1,508 3,232
Share of profit of associates and jv’s 37 34 109 112 178 175
Financial expenses, net -48 -75 -113 -140 -289 -262
Profit before taxes 284 388 2,626 878 1,398 3,146
Income tax expense -37 -74 -124 -160 -186 -150
Net profit for the period 247 314 2,502 718 1,212 2,996
Non-controlling interests 0 0 4 3 8 9
EPS, basic (EUR) 0.28 0.35 2.81 0.80 1.36 3.36
EPS, diluted (EUR) 0.28 0.35 2.81 0.80 1.36 3.36
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Cash flow statement MEUR II/2014 II/2013 I-II/2014 I-II/2013 2013 LTM
Operating profit before depreciations 427 579 2,909 1,196 2,129 3,842
Non-cash flow items and divesting activities -58 -189 -1,921 -163 -262 -2,020
Financial items and fx gains/losses 29 -100 4 -309 -188 125
Taxes -67 -51 -95 -81 -210 -224
Funds from operations (FFO) 330 240 897 641 1,469 1,725
Change in working capital 125 42 125 107 79 97
Total net cash from operating activities 455 282 1,022 749 1,548 1,821
Paid capital expenditures -168 -201 -330 -411 -1,004 -923
Divestments of shares * 316 2 2,817 37 144 2,924
Other investing activities 171 18 219 126 -83 10
Cash flow before financing activities 774 101 3,727 501 604 3,830
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* Including Proceeds from the interest-bearing receivables relating to divestments
Key ratios
MEUR LTM 2013 EBITDA 3,843 2,129 Comparable EBITDA 1,892 1,975 Interest-bearing net debt 5,008 7,793 Comparable net debt/EBITDA 2.6 3.9
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Return on capital employed, ROCE (%) 18.4 9.0 Return on shareholders’ equity, ROE (%) 28.2 12.0
Good liquidity – committed credit lines total EUR 2.2 billion
Debt Maturity Profile
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+
Bonds Financial institutions Other long-term debt CPs Other short-term debt
MEUR
2014 286
2015 1,014
2016 862
2017 544
2018 628
2019 821
2020 76
2021 545
2022 1,033
2023 112
2024+
TOTAL
1,245
7,166
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per 30 Jun, 2014 per 31 Dec, 2013 Average Interest Rate (incl. swaps and forwards) 4.0 % 3.6 % Portion of floating / fixed debt 39 / 61 % 51 / 49 %
• Efficiency programme proceeding according to plan
• Total annual cost savings visible in all divisions • Improved working capital efficiency • Divestments of non-core assets totalling approximately EUR 400 million
Fortum's efficiency programme 2013-2014
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SPEED - Cash flow improved by EUR 1 billion – FLEXIBILITY
CAPEX EUR 250-350 million
DIVESTMENTS EUR 500 million
WORKING CAPITAL Reduction
FIXED COSTS Reduce EUR 150 million compared to 2012
WHY WHAT WHEN 2013-2014
Outlook
Outlook
Nordic markets • Fortum continues to expect that the annual electricity demand growth will average
0.5% in the coming years • Electricity is expected to continue to gain share of total energy consumption
Russia • The target for the Russia Segment in Russian roubles (RUB 18.2 billion) to be reached
during 2015 is intact, but the euro result level will be volatile and with current exchanges rates lower than EUR 500 million
Key drivers and risks • Wholesale price of electricity and volumes
• demand and supply • fuels • hydrological situation • power plant availability • CO2 emissions allowance prices
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Outlook
Annual capex estimate excluding potential acquisitions • 2014 EUR 0.9 to 1.1 billion (incl. Finnish distribution Q1/2014, Norway 1H/2014, excluding
Fortum Värme)
Hedging • Rest of the year 2014 approx. 55% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 45/MWh • 2015 approx. 30% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 41/MWh
Target for efficiency programme is to improve cash flow by EUR 1 billion during 2013-2014
Taxation
• Effective tax rate for the Group 19-21% • In Finland, the power plant tax (so called windfall tax) has been revoked
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