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FOREIGNEXCHANGEMARKET
By:Apoorva khirevinod kumar
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MEANING
The foreign exchange market is the "place" where currencies aretraded
A market for converting the currency of one country into thecurrency of another.
EXAMPLE- Re/$ 44.76 means 44.76=1USD
The foreign exchange market is a worldwide decentralizedfinancial market for the trading of currencies.
Open 24 hours a day
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FOREIGN EXCHANGEMARKETIN INDIA- ABRIEFBACKGROUND
The foreign exchange market in India started three decades ago when in1978 the government allowed banks to trade foreign exchange with one
another.
Trading is regulated by the Foreign Exchange Dealers Association of India
Clearing and settlement functions in the foreign exchange market are
largely carried out by the Clearing Corporation of India Limited .
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TYPESOFMARKET
Spot market
Future market
Forward market
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SPOTMARKET
Currencies are bought and sold according to the current price.
It is settled on the second working day
Saturday and Sunday are holiday
Ex: Spot rate: Rs./$40.35-41.36 supposing you have 124000 dollar
received on Thursday the bank will settle 124000*40.35=50,03,400
on the following Monday.
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FORWARDMARKET
Rate contracted today for exchange of currencies at aspecified future date.
It allows for more flexibility.
Determine the terms of the agreement between
themselves.
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FUTUREMARKET
These transactions involve future payment and futuredelivery at an agreed exchange rate
It bought and sold based upon a standard size andsettlement date on public commodities markets
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FUNCTIONS
Transfer purchasing power between countries
Obtain or provide credit for international tradetransactions
Minimize exposure to the risks of exchange ratechanges
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MARKET PARTICIPANTS
Bank and Nonbank Foreign Exchange Dealers
Individuals and Firms
Speculators and Arbitragers
Central Banks and Treasuries
Foreign Exchange Brokers9
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FACTORSAFFECTINGFOREIGNCURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES
Economic factor
International trade
Capital movements
Change in prices
Speculations
Political factors
Interest rate
Market psychology10
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1. ECONOMICFACTOR
Economic factors are the most basic things that create changesin a countrys currency.
The more prosperous a countrys economy is, the moreinvestors will be able to adhere to doing trade in a morepositive attitude.
If the economic fundamentals of a country are strong, theexchange rate of its domestic currency remains stable andstrong.
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2. INTERNATIONALTRADE
Trade of goods and services between countries is the major reason for the
demand and supply of foreign currencies.
The value or strength or weakness of a countries currency in terms of othercurrencies depends on its trade with those countries.
If a countrys imports are higher, the demand for foreign currency in this
country will be high
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3. CAPITALMOVEMENT
International investments in the form of Foreign direct
investment (FDI) and Foreign institutional investments (FII)
have become the most important factors affecting the
exchange rate in todays open world economy
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4. CHANGEINPRICE
Domestic inflation or deflation affects the exchange rate by
affecting the demand and supply of domestic currency in the
foreign exchange market.
Ex: if prices in India go up,
making Indian goods costlier, the demand for Indian goods
will go down. When exports go down, the demand for rupee
will fall, causing depreciation in its exchange value.
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5. SPECULATION
If the speculators expect a fall in the value of currency in
the near future, they will sell that currency and startbuying the other currency that they expect to appreciate.
The selling of the former currency will thus increase itssupply in the foreign exchange market and bring down its
value
The other currency appreciates as its demand increases.15
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6. POLITICALFACTORS
Political scenario of the country ultimately decides thestrength of the country.
Any events in a region can surely create negative orpositive interest among investors for a nations currency.
Stable efficient government at the centre will encouragepositive development in the country,
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7. INTERESTRATES
Difference in interest rates is an important factor for movements in
exchange rates. In this respect the growing integration of the
financial markets of major currencies, the revolution in
telecommunication facilities, the growth of specialized asset
managing agencies, the emergence of foreign exchange trading etc.
having accelerated the potential for exchange rates volatility.
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8. MARKETPSYCHOLOGY
The perception of traders and investors will greatly influence
the foreign exchange market in so many ways.
The market is highly dependent on whether or not people would
want to invest on a countrys economy in order to determine
whether currency prices will go up or down.
People or investors also invest based on what they have seen for
a long period and time.
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HOWA FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONIS CONDUCTED
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GLOBALINTERESTRATE
country Current (%) Previous (%) Last change
Canada 1 .75 Sep. 8, 2010
U.S .25 1 Dec. 16, 2008
Brazil 11.25 10.75 Jan. 24,2011
E.M.U 1 1.25 May 07, 2009
Iceland 4025 4.5 Feb. 02, 2011
Switzerland .25 .5 Mar. 12, 2009
U.K .5 1 Mar. 05, 2009
South Africa 6 6.5 Sep. 10, 2010
Australia 4.75 4.5 Nov. 02, 2010China 6.06 5.81 Feb. 08, 2011
India 6.5 6.25 Jan. 25, 2011
Japan .1 .3 Dec. 19, 200820
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MOSTTRADEDCURRENCIES
Rank Currency code(Symbol)
% daily share(April 2010)
1 United states dollar USD ($) 84.9%2 Euro EUR () 39.1%3 Japanese yen JPY () 19.0%4 Pound sterling GBP () 12.9%5 Australian dollar AUD ($) 7.6%6 Swiss franc CHF (Fr) 6.4%7 Canadian dollar CAD ($) 5.3%8 Hong kong dollar HKD ($) 2.4%9 Swedish krona SEK (kr) 2.2%
10 New zealand dollar NZD ($) 1.6%Other currencies 18.6%
Total 200%22
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KEYCURRENCYCROSS RATESTHURSDAY, MARCH 03, 2011
Dollar Euro Pound SFranc Peso Yen CdnDlr
Canada 0.9723 1.3573 1.5818 1.0434 0.0810 0.0118 ....
Japan 82.359 114.97 133.99 88.379 6.8646 .... 84.706
Mexico 11.998 16.749 19.519 12.875 .... 0.1457 12.340
Switzer
land0.9319 1.3009 1.5161 .... 0.0777 0.0113 0.9584
U.K. 0.6147 0.8581 .... 0.6596 0.0512 0.0075 0.6322
Euro 0.7163 .... 1.1654 0.7687 0.0597 0.0087 0.7367
U.S. .... 1.3960 1.6269 1.0731 0.0833 0.0121 1.028523
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Thus we can say that foreign exchange market is a
fluctuating one depending on various factors. A balance
between these factors can help in reducing the
uncertainty and gaining advantage of foreign exchange
market
CONCLUDINGNOTE
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