Food Security worksheet Analysis of District Dadu

ACUTE FOOD INSECURITY ANALYSIS WORKSHEET (Draft 39)Analysis AREA: _Dadu DISTRICT______Date of Analysis: ____20/4/2015 Valid For: [ ]CURRENT _____________ [ ]PrOJECTED ____________ (which area) (from when to when) (from when to when)

mSection A: Area and HH Analysis Group Definitions

STEP 1: Area Description, HH Analysis Group Definitions, and Map

Brief Area and Livelihood DescriptionINTRODUCTIONDistrict Dadu takes its name from Dadu City and came on Map as District during April, 1931. During December, District Health Office, Dadu, was established in the year 1989.

BOUNDRIES1. East.District Naushahroferoz2. West District Khuzdar & Qalat3. North..District Larkana & Qambar Shahdodkot4. South.. District Jamshoro

Total Population 1,726,390 (DC1 R2)Total Area 7866 Sq kmHealthDHQ 1THQ 4RHC 50BHU 52OTHER HEALTH FACILITIES 28UNDER PPHI CONTROL 49(DC 2 R2)

LIVELIHOOD: CULTURE AND OCCUPATIONLife style of people in this District is very different from rural area. Most of the people are directly or indirectly related to Agriculture and livestock for domestic and commercial purpose . People of towns also deal in trade and business.

Major Crops: Rice, Wheat,Sugercane and Cotton

Livestock/holding: Domestic purpose & for commercial purpose.

Estimated # of People in Area (specify source of pop. data)CurrentProjected (with assumed in and out migration)

1,726,390 (DC1 R2)

Chronic Food Insecurity Level for the area (if available)Moderately Food Insecure (or stressed) (Phase III, Yellow)

HH Analysis Group (HAG) Definitions Identify groups of relatively homogenous households with regard to their food security situation (consider contributing factors and likely outcomes). These HH Analysis Groups will be analyzed independently for their respective Phase Classifications. The number of groups will depend upon analytical needs, data availability and desired level of precision

Label of HAGBrief Description of Each HAG

[Specify Source(s): ]

# of people in HAG% of pop in HAG

A

B

C

D (...)

Section B: Classification Conclusions and Justification

STEP 4: HH Analysis Group (HAG) Classification Conclusions--Classify each HH Analysis Group and estimate number and percentage of people in applicable Phases based on convergence of evidence (from STEP 3). If a single HH Analysis Group is determined to have 2 or more distinct Phases of Household Groups, then indicate partial percentages and numbers).

Label of HAGCurrent SituationProjected Situation

Phase # of People and % of total popSummary JustificationPhase # of People and % of total popSummary Justification

A

B

C

D ()

STEP 7: Risk Factors to Monitor (List key risk factors to monitor and the monitoring period in brackets)

1. ________________________ ( _________) 2. _____________________ ( _________) 3. ________________________ ( _________) 4. _______________________ ( _________)

STEP 5: Phase Classification Conclusions Combine different HH Analysis Groups with the same Phase. If analysis is Area-based only, complete for only the one applicable Phase, and for estimated # of people and % use the cumulative number of people in the Area Phase plus people in worse Phases.

PhaseCurrent Situation[Confidence Level for Overall Analysis: ]Projected Situation[Confidence Level for Overall Analysis: ]

Estimated pop or range% of total pop or rangeJustification(key evidence and rationale of directly measured or inferred outcomes: food consumption, livelihood change, nutritional status, and mortality)Estimated pop or range% of total pop or rangeJustification(evidence and rationale of directly measured or inferred outcomes: food consumption, livelihood change, nutritional status, and mortality)

1172639

10%-City area -Business community-Landlords with land holdings, etc.-Industrialists, etc.

281140347%-Salaried people and slightly affected by Nutrition and food consumption problems.

3431595

25%Middle Class people including salaried people and small business community

424169514%Population living in severely rain fad and salt-affected areas. Desert and rangeland covering

569056

4%Extremely Drought and food availability problems, very High IMR and severe Wasting Rate.

STEP 6: Humanitarian Assistance Impact (e.g. humanitarian/disaster relief)--Write a brief statement generally describing the type, timing and coverage of assistance to the extent possible. Assess effects of assistance on Phase classification

PeriodWhat are the main humanitarian assistance programmes?Without these programmes would the Area Phase likely be worse than classified?

CurrentSindh Government supports poor females of rural areas through Benazir Income Support ProgramSeveral INGO & NGO are also working on Health, Nutrition, WASH .Yes

ProjectedYes/No

Section C: Causes Complete one for Area (reflecting the worst affected households) or for each HH Analysis Group in Phase 3 or higher

STEP 8: Limiting Factors Matrix Specify if for Current or Projected: __________________ HH Analysis Group: _____________________________

Based on guiding question, indicate the degree to which Availability, Access or Utilization is a limiting factor to people being food secure the short term Shade/Colour that cell accordingly and write brief evidence justification on the cause and effects inside of the cell. Note gender issues and differences where relevant

Food AvailabilityGuiding Question: Is sufficient food actually or potentially physically present?

(Consider national and local production, imports, markets, and natural source; and note in the justification as relevant)Food AccessGuiding Question: Are households able to sufficiently access food?

(Consider and aspects of physical, financial, and social access, and note in the justification as relevant).Food UtilizationGuiding Question: Are households making effective use of food which they have access to?

(Consider aspects of preferences, preparation, storage, and water; and note in the justification as relevant).

Extreme Limiting FactorNo(write brief justification)

No(write brief justification)

No(write brief justification)

Major Limiting FactorYes, Low wages rate & high inflation specifically for foodLow purchasing power Increase in unemploymentGrowth in crimes)

Minor Limiting Factoryes Lack of rain in Kachho and annual floods in Kacha area of DaduDecrement in (wheat, rice, production as compare to previous year and Decrement in(animal meat, fish, poultry) livestock as compare to previous yearYes, but not quite enough and/or erratic supply(write brief justification)

Yes, but not quite enough and/or erratic supply(write brief justification) Yes, The sanitation conditions are relatively poor in district Dadu & Low female literacy rate Unsafe drinking water but not /or erratic supply(write brief justification)

Not a Limiting FactorYes(write brief justification)

Yes(write brief justification)

Yes(write brief justification)

Section D: Evidence Documentation and Analysis

STEP 3: Key Evidence and Conclusions for Contributing Factors and Outcomes Document key evidence statement. For each key evidence statement: (i) Indicate Document Code (DC) to link to the Evidence Repository Template; and (ii) Specify reliability score for each evidence statement: 1=somewhat reliable, 2= reliable, 3=very reliable. For example: Market prices increased 200% as compared to same time last year (DC=1, R=2) Write summary element conclusion statements and note difference between and within HAGs and gender differences as relevant. For outcome elements, when possible determine the indicative Phase for Area or HAGs.

Contributing FactorElementsCURRENTPROJECTED

HazardsandVulnerabilityImpact of the heavy rains fall in April 2015 caused around 15% damaged standing wheat crop.Indus RiverKhir thar rangeDadu canalKachhi jii paty nor wahDrought in Kacho areaLack of rain fall (DC8 R1 Phase III)

CONCLUSION:Based on the above indicators the district falls under phase 2 because standing crop was damaged due to natural disaster.

Food AvailabilityCrop Production: - Wheat (2015) = 223.2(000 MT) - Rice (2014) = 143.1 (000 MT) (D3 R3 Phase III)

Livestock Production: - Animal meat (000 MT ) = 6,411 - Fish (000 MT) = 6,211 - Poultry (000 MT) = 1969 (DC4 R3 Phase III)

CONCLUSION: There seems to be a decrease in wheat, and Rice production (-14.9%) and (-8.1%) In livestock, decrease of 4.3%, 20.2% and 21.3% has been noted in meat, fish and poultry, respectively (Phase 2).

Food AccessCash Crops:Cotton: 6,9972 M TonsSugarcane: 2,99544 M Tons(DC3 R3 Phase I)

Price of Staple food:Wheat: Rs 34/kgRice: Rs 20/kg(DC3 R3 Phase I)

Market Access feasible:Daily wages labor Rs. 384/daySkilled labor Rs. 700/day Poor purchasing power of people of Dadu20% population employed in provincial and Federal Govt(DC10 R1 Phase I)

CONCLUSION:The per capita income in Dadu is between Rs. 9,000/- and Rs. 16,000/-per month, which, according to the food security perspective, is considered very lowOne HH of any un-skilled labour earns PKR 384 per day in urban area while in rural area unskilled labour earn under PKR 200 per day. One third of the income of average HH goes to purchase merely main staple food items.

Food UtilizationincludingWaterDrinking Water

86% of HH have access to improved source of drinking water

8% of HHs in Dadu are have access to tap water,

57% to hand pumps, 21% to motor pumps and

7% to dug wells. (DC5 R3 Phase II)

Access to toilet90% of HH have access to toilets36% HH use flush toilets 54% use non flush toilets(DC5 R3 Phase I)

Overall literacy rate is 59%Female literacy rate 49%(DC6 R1 Phase I)

CONCLUSION:The sanitation conditions are relatively poor in district Dadu & Low female literacy rate Unsafe drinking water food utilization status is little bit un-stable

StabilityWheat Stores: Sufficient quantity of wheat stored both at HH of rural area, government stores, &local market but purchasing power of employees and labour is poor.(DC8 R2 Phase II)

CONCLUSION:Majority of the population being under the category of less earners (small Farmer daily wage labourer etc.) they have limited food storage.

99999999

OutcomeElementsCURRENT

PROJECTED

Food ConsumptionHAG A:HAG B:HAG C: HAG D:AREA: 3HAG A:HAG B:HAG C:HAG D:AREA:

Mean Food Consumption of 39.9 placing the division of Hyderabad on the borderline. With reference to food consumption, the condition of Dadu is worse than Hyderabad. Hence, the people of Dadu are highly food insecure, this indicator shows that population of district dadu is highly food insecure and requires immediate action.(DC9 R3 PhaseIII)

CONCLUSION:Situation indicates towards actions in order to get rural labour population out of the risk situation.

Livelihood ChangeHAG A:HAG B:HAG C: HAG D:AREA: 2HAG A:HAG B:HAG C:HAG D:AREA:

Coping Strategies:Self-management, Reversible coping strategies. Assistance From Government and Non Governmental organizations. (DC8 R2 Phase II)

CONCLUSION:Reversible coping strategies, During hard situation people seek assistance/loans from various Govt, NGOs & INGOs. Self-management enables people to deal with the situation. Remittances from foreign countries is very important source for coping strategy. However, this source may decrease due to political un instability. Hence, people are not ready to deal with any major/urgent disaster.Borrowing food, taking loans and eating less qualitative food, have less preference for food.

Nutritional StatusAREA: AREA:

SAM: 4.2% GAM: 14.3%(DC9 R3 Phase 3)

Wasting Rate 13.6(DC10 R3 Phase 3)

CONCLUSION:The borderline ratio for GAM is 14.3% as per WHO standards and immediate actions are required.

MortalityAREA: AREA:

IMR: 74 (DC10 R2 Phase 4)

CONCLUSION:The data shows that infant mortality is high in the district.

STEP 2: Evidence Repository

Document Code To link to template in Step 3 Order is not importantReference Multiple pieces of evidence in Step 3 can link to a single source. Raw Evidence When possible, insert raw evidence (e.g. graph, image, table, quote).

SourceDate

DC1Beauro of Statistics2015Beauro of Statistics estimated population of 2015

DC2District Health DepartmentJan, 2014District health Department, Dadu

DC3Crop reporting services2015Crop Reproting Service Center (CRSC) Department of Agricultur Extention Hyderabad Government of Sindh

DC4Agriculture statistic of Sindh20151- Agriculture statistic of Sindh 2009 2- Development Statistics 2011 Bureau of Statistics Government of Sindh

DC5PSLM2012-13Pakistan Social and Living Standards measurement Surey (PSLM) 2012-13

DC6PSLM2012-13Pkaistan Social and Living Standards Measurement Survey 2012-13 and 2010-2011 (average mean of 2012-13 and 2010-11 is used to determind the figure for 2012 because there is no district wise data available for year 2012)

DC 7Education Department2013Education Department Dadu

DC8Local MarketMarch, 2014Local Market

DC9FSA - 2013 WFP2013FSA - 2013 - WFP

DC10

Bureau of Statistics & Govt. Of sindh20111- Bureau of Statistics Planning & Development Department, Sindh (sindhbos.gov.pk/health) District wise data not available 2- National Nutrition Survey 2011