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Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti ( [email protected] ) Nancy Laibuni ( [email protected] ) Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis Nairobi, Kenya
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Page 1: Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke.

Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa

John Omiti ([email protected])

Nancy Laibuni ([email protected])

Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and AnalysisNairobi, Kenya

Page 2: Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke.

Widespread Severe Droughts

Seasonal Rainfall to Annual Total (%): 1920 -1980

Source: FEWNET/USGS, 2011

1.Region is severely affected by drought.

2. Rain-fall was below average in all areas.

3.2010/11 being the driest or second driest year since 1950/51.

4.Drought is not a new challenge!

Page 3: Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke.

Livestock Systems – Hot Spots

Drought-affected pastoral areas in East Africa ( + urban poor).

Source: FEWNET/USGS,2011

Page 4: Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke.

Number of persons affected

People Requiring Humanitarian Assistance

Numbers

% of Population

Kenya 3.75 million

10

Ethiopia 4.8 million

7

Somalia 3.7 million

37

Djibouti 165,000 22Somali Refugees SourceKenya 507,000 UNHCR – August 25, 2011Ethiopia 161,000 UNHCR – August 25, 2011Djibouti 17,800 UNHCR – August 25, 2011UNOCHA estimates that across the four countries the persons in need will increased from 12.4 to 13.3 million

Page 5: Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke.

Some Impacts of the crisis

Children under age five

DJIBOUTI

ETHIOPIA

KENYA

SOMALIA

Severe acute malnutrition

2,895 28,233 34,280 190,000

Moderate malnutrition 16,085 n.a 91,202 97,482Source: UNOCHA, 2011

loss of livelihoods

loss of livestock

High food prices

WHAT IS THE ROLE OF THE POLITICAL ECONOMY ???

Page 6: Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke.

Response from Governments and Humanitarian Sources

Source: African Union , August 2011

Amount required US$M

Funding to date US$M

Deficit %

Food and Food Aid 986.8 521.1 42

Health and Nutrition 287.4 67.93 76

Water Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH)

117.75 35.97 77

Regional Requirements (US$ million)

Kenya Somalia Djibouti Ethiopia

Amount required US$M

Funding to date US$M

Amount required US$B

Funding to date US$M

Amount required US$M

Funding to date US$M

Amount required US$M

Funding to date US$M

741 357 1.06 408 33 14 398 146

Page 7: Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke.

Outlook for the region

Page 8: Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke.

Prospects for the Region

Short term Harvest water and grow short-season crops Storage and value-addition technologies for food

crops and livestock feeds. Social Protection Measures (Emergency

Assistance)

Long term Invest in increasing productivity & Regional Trade Control population growth rates Natural resource management Better Management of Food Stocks Good governance and political stability

Page 9: Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke.

Thank you

Asante!