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Monika Konvicka SmartFacts Data Services GmbH ERES 2013 Vienna, 04.07.2013
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Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

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Page 1: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Monika Konvicka

SmartFacts Data Services GmbH

ERES 2013

Vienna, 04.07.2013

Page 2: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure

sales for the real estate market

The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC)

Market development and trends

Typical applications of SFDC data

Summary and conclusions

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 2

Page 3: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Realistic and actual valuation of real estate property?

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 3

Page 4: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Realistic and actual valuation of real estate property?

Realistic and actual transaction prices?

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 4

Page 5: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Valuation exclusively by court-approved experts

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 5

Page 6: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Valuation exclusively by court-approved experts

Market adaption by application of adequate and

actual factors

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 6

Page 7: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Valuation exclusively by court-approved experts

Market adaption by application of adequate and

actual factors

Best bid reflects actual market prices

for a given property / type of property

in a given location / region

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 7

Page 8: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Complete collection of data since September 2007

Well-structured and categorized

TÜV-certified processes

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 8

Page 9: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Available Key Indicators

Recovery Rates

Best bid as % of appraisal value

Success Rates

Number of best bids as % of total number of foreclosures announced

Overall duration of foreclosure process

Number of days from evaluation to receipt of payment

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 9

Page 10: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Time

Region

Category Creditor

Buyer

Political and

geographic region

3 Categories

16 Types

54 Sub-Types

Up to 60 additional

attributes

M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 04.07.2013 10

Analytical Dimensions

Page 11: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 11

Page 12: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

0%

10%

20%

30%

2008 2012

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 12

Page 13: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

60% 25%

15%

No. of Foreclosures

Residential Commercial Sites

54% 41%

6%

Appraisal Values

Residential Commercial Sites

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 13

Page 14: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

-10

-5

0

5

10

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Arbitrary scale

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 14

Page 15: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

RECOVERY RATES

Vienna

Burgenland

SUCCESS RATES

Vorarlberg

Carinthia

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 15

Page 16: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

17%

14%

10% 5% 5%

9%

1%

14%

2% 14%

1% 8%

Aktienbanken

Sparkassen

Raiffeisen

Volksbanken

Hypothekenbanken

Building Societies

Insurance Companies

Body Corporates

Others, public

Others, private

Others

n.a.

M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 04.07.2013 16

Page 17: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Total No. of foreclosures announced

on Condominiums in Austria

Graz-Umgebung

10%

Styria 16%

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 17

Page 18: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

0%

10%

20%

30%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 18

Page 19: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

0%

25%

50%

<50 T€ 50-100 T€ 100-150 T€ 150-200 T€ 200-250 T€

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 19

Page 20: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Smaller than 70 m2 Larger than 70 m2

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 20

0%

25%

50%

0%

25%

50%

Page 21: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

0%

25%

50%

< 6 6-9 9-12 12-24 24-36 months

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 21

Page 22: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Interest rates

Reluctance of banks to grant mortgages

Job security / employment level

Migration

Existing and new taxes

Complexity and stringency of the legal and regulatory

framework

Strategies for preserving personal financial assets

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 22

Page 23: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

What is the probability of success and which quota

can one expect for a given foreclosure property?

How to best define the optimum minimum bid for a

given foreclosure property?

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 23

Page 24: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Where are the buyers of foreclosure property

geographically situated in relation to the location of

the property bought?

How is my institution performing with foreclosure

sales?

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 24

Page 25: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Off-line: Custom-tailored data records

Specific Reports and Studies

On-line Web-Access via SmartFacts Portal

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 25

Page 26: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Comparatively stable market on foreclosure sales in

Austria from 2007 to 2012

(around 3.000 to 3.500 auctions per year)

2008 financial crisis lead to an impact of approx.

+10% in 2009

Average recovery rates show a trend to increase

Mainly due to pronounced increases in Vienna and

other bigger Austrian cities

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 26

Page 27: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

Application fields of the SmartFacts database

Valuation of property

Decision support during work-out of property in non-

performing loans

LGD grading

BASEL III - requirements

Benchmarking

04.07.2013 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013 27

Page 28: Folie 1 - library.eres.org · The significance of the sub-market on foreclosure sales for the real estate market The SmartFacts Data Centre (SFDC) Market development and trends Typical

www.smart-facts.at

[email protected]

Telefon +43 (0)1 89 00 797

04.07.2013 28 M. Konvicka, Austrian Market on Foreclosure Sales ERES 2013