Finnish Experiences in Technology Foresight Eija Ahola, Tekes l Technology foresight within the Finnish innovation system l “Embedded foresight”: integration of evaluation, assessment and foresight l Tekes perspective: technology strategy and technology programmes l Technology foresight for innovations within industrial clusters: project cases The Third Generation Foresight and Prioritization in Science and Technology Policy 27.-28 February 2003, Japan
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Finnish Experiences in Technology Foresight
Eija Ahola, Tekes
l Technology foresight within the Finnish innovation systeml “Embedded foresight”: integration of evaluation, assessment
and foresightl Tekes perspective: technology strategy and technology
programmesl Technology foresight for innovations within industrial
clusters: project cases
The Third Generation Foresight and Prioritization in Science and Technology Policy27.-28 February 2003, Japan
Tekes
Sitra
Key actors of the Finnish innovation system
Finnish IndustryInvestment Ltd
Business AngelsInvestors
Companies
Research institutes
Universities
Academy of Finland
The Science andTechnology Policy
Council
Ministry of Education
AssociationsInventions
Private investmentsin innovation
Technology Centres
Centres of Expertise
Polytechnics
Regional TE-Centres
Regional Councils
Finnvera
FinproEU structural fundsfor innovation
Ministry of Trade and IndustryOther ministries
Investments in different sectorslike environment, health and traffic
National public investment ininnovation and know-how
Key actorsof the Finnish
innovation system
Key actorsof the Finnish
innovation system
Invest in Finland
Million euros
Innovation systemResources and funding in 2000
Pub
licP
riva
te
Basic research Applied research Business R&D
Business developmentMarketingInternationalisation
R&D at companies3,100
BusinessAngels
380
Finnvera320 (50)
Tekes2.400
VTT210 (60)
Universities790 (350)
Ministries, TE-Centres and sectoral research 290 (210)
“Embedded foresight”: integrating evaluation, technology assessment and technology foresight
Ruud Smits: Technology assessment and user oriented impact evaluation, EU DG Research and Tekes –workshop on Impact evaluation, 1999 Helsinki
operational strategic conceptual
supp
lysu
pply
/dem
and
dem
and
TA
FOREVA
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“Embedded foresight”: integrating evaluation, technology assessment and technology foresight
National technology foresight networks, cooperation and coordination: l Parliamentary Committee for the Future has established an
expert-network to support their goals and projects; TAl Ministry of Trade and Industry has established several
networks within TF; between ministries, between MTI, Tekes, VTT and Academy of Finland, network of TF experts
l The two key processes of Tekes (competitive selection of funding, technology programmes) rely on technology strategy which is based on technology foresight
l Industrial cluster strategy is typically made within a technology foresight project
l Evaluation of technology programmes include integration of TF and TA into evaluations
l (“embedded” and integrated approach is still conceptual; methodologies, methods and processes need to be developed)
TECHOLOGY & INNOVATION POLICY PERFORMANCE
TF
AB
SOR
TIO
N C
APA
CIT
Y
SOCIAL & HUMAN CAPITAL in TF
TF
RE
SEA
RC
H C
APA
CIT
Y
Assessment of technology foresight within the Finnish innovation system
- dispersed IS- individual goals- little experience and expertise in TF
- increasing- cooperation- “policy towards innovations”
- emerging research field- small groups, dispersed- little links with technologyexperts and policy
The Finnish Parliament Committee for the future Regional technology foresight activities The key role of Tekes in the innovation system
Benefits and challenges of Finnish technology foresight practices
Strengthsl Exploitation orientation l Effective; minimum effort, resources and organisationl Ongoing objective-oriented and strategic processl Directly implemented on technology policy level l Based on expertise and technology pushl Problem-orientation, strongly focused, on-demand
Challenges:l New knowledge creation?l Systematic analysis and data coverage?l Cooperation on national level, common visions?l New markets and new ideas for technology and innovations?l Broader views; consumers, citizens?
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY POLICY COUNCIL OF FINLAND, 12.12.2002SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY POLICY REVIEW
KNOWLEDGE, INNOVATION AND INTERNATIONALISATION
“ After an in-depth investigation of the national organisation of foresight and relevant needs, it is evident that it is time to proceed to more extensive and concrete projects.
Finland has the prerequisites for a national foresight exercise.Network-building and the monitoring of foresight methods and needs are not enough to keep up interest in the futures outlook among researchers, business enterprises and other players and to encourage them to contribute to foresight.”
These key functions of Tekes provide for technology foresight:
1. Sources of visions, goals and demand for technologies2. Operative measures to implement technology strategy3. Cooperation and links within the innovation system (domestic and international, companies, universities,
CROs, ministries, other actors in the innovation system )
These key functions of Tekes provide for technology foresight:
1. Sources of visions, goals and demand for technologies2. Operative measures to implement technology strategy3. Cooperation and links within the innovation system (domestic and international, companies, universities,
CROs, ministries, other actors in the innovation system )
Tekes, the National Technology AgencyThe main public financer for applied and industrial R&D
Tekes, the National Technology AgencyThe main public financer for applied and industrial R&D