FINDINGS AND SUGGESTION ON GAP AND NEEDS … 1 5-EWS in the... · Mount Kelud, East Java Satellite Image, 13 Feb 2014 23:03 – 23:48 Volcanic ash spreaded over Java island reaching

FINDINGS AND SUGGESTION ON GAP AND NEEDS ANALYSIS ON MULTIHAZARDS EARLY

WARNING SYSTEM IN PACIFIC

Andi E. Sakya

The Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics

Indonesia

Presented at the First Pacific Regional Workshop on Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment and Early Warning Systems by Using Space and GIS

Applications, Nadi, Fiji, 13 September 2016

BMKG

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CONTENTS

CONTENTS

West Pacific

Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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1. THE SDG – 2030:

Social, Economic and Environmental balance approach giving utmost benefit to people, planets, prosperity, peace and partnership, by encouraging the engagement of non-state actors;

2. THE SENDAI FRAMEWORK FOR DRR 2015-2030:

Gaps at downstream part;

Strengthen effort on DRR to reduce losses;

Develop a new guide on DRR: (i) understanding, (ii) strengthen, and (iii) investing

International and collective endeavour;

Build Back Better in Recovery, Rehab and Reconstruction

INTRODUCTION

CONTENTS

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Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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3. PARIS AGREEMENT – 2015: 1) Global Response to hold the temperature increase <

1.5oC;

2) Mitigation

3) Loss and Damage

4) Capacity Building

5) Education, training and public awareness

4. STRATEGY FOR CLIMATE AND DISASTER RESILIENT DEVELOPMENT IN THE PACIFIC (SRDP),

1) Strengthened integrated risk management to enhance climate and disaster resilience

2) Low carbon development, and

3) strengthened disaster preparedness, response and recovery;

INTRODUCTION

CONTENTS

West Pacific

Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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WEST PACIFIC AND NATURAL DISASTER

Cost of Damage

CONTENTS

West Pacific

Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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http://blogs.worldbank.org/psd/how-can-we-effectively-insure-pacific-island-nations-against-natural-disasters


Natural Disaster Threat

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West Pacific

Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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Fiji A pilot study on implementinng SFDRR serve as first for the region in the Pacific countries to emulate SFDRR and will provide the work required for Fiji in next 15 years to replace HFA;

Vanuatu TC Pam’s Warning had been disseminated, however left 11 loss of life and infratructural damage

Tuvalu TC Pam (Mar’15) caused damage. Warning produced without wave height. Surge reached 20 – 50 m shorelines.

Solomon Islands EWS is avalaible, works 24/7, however not all island provided by observational system


Report on DRR

CONTENTS

West Pacific

Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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Report on DRR

CONTENTS

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Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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1. Observational data and processing to verify warnings issued <-> accuracy

2. Adequate communication tools between head office and provincial offices

3. Common standard of disaster level

4. Response to warnings based on cultural believe

5. Policy, Law and Regulation.


Gap Summarized

CONTENTS

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Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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Mount Kelud, East Java

Satellite Image, 13 Feb 2014 23:03 – 23:48

Volcanic ash spreaded over Java island reaching ~ 1000 km from the location westward.

About 50 Mill-m3 Kelud’s volcanic materials threatened people around the slopes of the mountain;

LESSON LEARNED

Satellite Image

CONTENTS

West Pacific

Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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Heavy rain was predicted around Mount Kelud would occur at 3 pm on Tue, 18 Feb’14 led to cold lava flood;

Cabinet meeting ordered people surrounding impacted area be evacuated without delay Army, Navy, Airforce and Police as wellas Special Unit coordinated by NDMO.

NWP 14 – 20 Feb 2014

Prediction

LESSON LEARNED

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Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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People around Kelud had been ordered to stay alert and away from river banks;

Army, Police, Navy and Airforce helped to evacuating people impacted area coordinated by NDMO to evacuate people surrounding;

Total economic loss ~ 17.8 Tr IDR (~ 1,20 B-US$), 2 life loss due to house collapsed due to heavy weight of Volc ash, but no single life lost during cold lava flood post heavy rain fall.

Action and Reponse

LESSON LEARNED

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Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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Unpredictable Event

LESSON LEARNED

CONTENTS

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Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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CONTENTS

INATEWS

Learning Experiences

Progress and Developments

Introduction

Closing

LESSON LEARNED

Assessment

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Multi-Hazards Early Warning

System

Policy, Law and

Regulation

MULTIHAZARD EARLY WARNING SYSTEM

Flow of Information

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Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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1. Disaster center of location is too close;

2. Populated area;

3. Phenomenon hazard to disaster is not understood;

4. EWS is neither exist or well functioned: (1) Observation, (2) Processing, and (3) Dissemination;

5. People do not correctly and properly responding to warning information;

6. Condition is getting more and more vulnerable;

7. Law and Regulation.

Common Caused


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Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

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Way Forward


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Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

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1. West Pacific is more prone to Hidro-meteorlogical Disaster;

2. Lesson learned of running MHZD-EWS needs filling the gaps: An integrated end-to-end system

Certain level of disaster literacy;

3. Comprehensive MHZD-EWS Technologically dependent at the upstream part;

Culturally dependent at the downstream part;

Regular practice, training and execise to transform readiness into the proper response living harmony with potential disaster

Law and Regulation guarantees longterm process of sustaining the (DRR) development.

Remarks

CLOSING

CONTENTS

West Pacific

Lesson Learned

MHZD EWS

Closing

Introduction

VINAKA VAKALEVU

[email protected]

http\\: www.bmkg.go.id

FINDINGS AND SUGGESTION ON GAP AND NEEDS … 1 5-EWS in the... · Mount Kelud, East Java Satellite Image, 13 Feb 2014 23:03 – 23:48 Volcanic ash spreaded over Java island reaching

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