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FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Dr. Ahmed Elyamany 1 Financial Management & Accounting in Construction (CUE304)
61

Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Mar 30, 2018

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Page 1: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

FINANCIAL MANAGEMENTDr. Ahmed Elyamany

1

Financial Management & Accounting in Construction (CUE304)

Page 2: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Course Content

• Project financial management: ▫ Cash flow prediction, Cash flow analysis, Cost of finance

• Basics of accounting: ▫ base of accounting, accounting conventions, Methods of income recognition

• Company financial documents: ▫ Balance sheet, Income statement

• Compilation of financial statement: ▫ Transaction recording, Book keeping fundamentals

• Analysis of financial statement:▫ Vertical analysis, Horizontal analysis, Ratio analysis

• Construction financing: ▫ Sources of finance, cost of finance and company cost of capital

2

Page 3: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Project Pricing

3

Price

Cost

Direct Cost

Indirect Cost

Markup

ProfitFinancial Charge

Risk Allowance

Page 4: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Project Consist of:

4

Material

Labors

Equipment

Sub-Contractors

Money

Page 5: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Project Cost

• Project direct costs

▫ The costs and expenses that are incurred for a specific activity are termed direct costs.

• Project indirect costs

▫ Other costs such as the overhead costs are termed indirect costs. Part of the company’s indirect costs is allocated to each of the company's projects.

5

Page 6: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Indirect costs

6

The indirect costs are classified to:• Project (site) overhead• General (head-office) overhead.

Page 7: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Project overhead

• Project overhead are site-related costs and includes the cost of items that can not be directly charged to a specific work element and it can be a fixed or time-related costs. The Project Overhead includes the costs of

7

Site utilities,

Supervisors,

Housing of project staff,

Parking facilities,

Offices,

Workshops

……..

Page 8: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

General overhead

• The costs that can not be directly attributed a specific project called general overhead.

• costs that used to support the overall company activities.

• The amount of the general overhead that should be allocated to a specific project equals:

• (Project direct cost x general overhead of the company in a year) / (Expected sum of direct costs of all projects during the year)

8

Page 9: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

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Page 10: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Financial Elements

10

Balance Sheet

Assets

Current assets

Cash flowAccount receivables

Inventories

Fixed assets

Lands, buildings, equipment

LiabilitiesNet Worth

Page 11: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Cash Flow Forecasting Information

• Time Schedule

• Cost estimate

• Assign cost to activities

• Indirect cost for each period

• Mark up (profit+ general overhead) or Prices

• Time lag of payment (time between billing by contractor and payment by owner)

• Bank financing charges (interest rate)

• Retention

11

Page 12: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Cash Flow Forecasting Information

• In general for the contractor the expenses are more than the income until the project ends

• To overcome this difference during project time: contractor has to finance the project by loans (even if it is his own money it is considered money that has interest on it)

• The contractor need to calculate the overdraft requirements = maximum over draft value over the project period

12

Page 13: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

How To reduce the over draft:

13

• Subcontracting

• Delay supplier payment

• Initial or down payment

• Unbalancing the bid

Reduce OverdraftReduce Overdraft

Page 14: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Financial Management

• Objective is to supply the project financial requirements: How Much and When?

• Cash Flow Prediction:• Cash flow = Cash in – Cash out = Income – Expense▫ Cash Out (expenses):

� Time Schedule

� Cost Estimate

▫ Cash In (income payments):� Time Schedule

� Unit Price

14

Page 15: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Financial Management

• S-Curve

▫ The curve represents the cumulative expenditures of a project direct and indirect costs over time

• Project Expenses (Cash out)

▫ represents the aggregate of the payments which the contractor will make over a period of time for all resources used in the project such as labor, equipment, material, and subcontractors.

15

Page 16: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Project Expenses (Cash out)

• Project direct costs▫ The costs and expenses that are incurred for a specific activity are termed direct costs.

• Project indirect costs▫ Other costs such as the overhead costs are termed indirect costs. Part of the company’s indirect costs is allocated to each of the company's projects.

• The indirect costs classified to:▫ project (site) overhead▫ General (head-office) overhead.

16

Page 17: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Project Income (Cash-in)

• The flow of money from the owner to the contractor is in the form of progress payments.

• Retention▫ Retention is the amount of money retained by the owner from every invoice, before a payment is made to the contractor.

• Advanced payment▫ This is amount of money paid to the contractor for mobilization purposes.

17

Page 18: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

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Page 19: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

How to Reduce negative Cash Flow?

• Unbalanced Bid: ▫ Raising the Price of the earlier items

• Down Payment : ▫ Needs conceptual approval by the owner(client)

• Using Sub-Contractor: ▫ He will fund the job (migrate the expenses)

• Trade Credit Finance: ▫ Crediting material and resources

• If all of the above is not applicable we can use External Source of Finance (e.g.: Bank)

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Page 20: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 1

• For a given construction project the monthly costs are

provided in the following Table and given that:

• Project mark up = 10%

• Financing cost = 1% /month

• Retentions = 15% of the billing amount

• Time Lag of payment = 1 month

20

Month 1 2 3 4

Direct cost 25,000 70,000 90,000 35,000

Indirect cost 5000 5000 5000 5000

Page 21: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 1

• You are required to:

• Draw the cash flow diagram for that project including:▫ Cash out▫ Cash in▫ Over draft line

• Calculate the maximum over draft• Calculate Contractor final profit considering the financing cost

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Page 22: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 1

22

Month 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Direct cost 0 25,000 70,000 90,00035,000

Indirect cost 0 5000 5000 5000 5000

Total monthly

Cost0 30,000 75,000

95,00040,000

billed 0 33000 82500 104500 44000

retinage 0 4950 12375 15675 6600

Money received 0 0 28050 70125 88825 77,000

Commulative

cost0 30,000 105,000 200,000 240,000 240,000 240,000

Commulative

money received0 0 28050 98175 187000 264000

Page 23: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 1

23

240,000264000

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Commulative cost Commulative money received

Page 24: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 1

24

240,000

264000

18,890

-200000

-150000

-100000

-50000

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Commulative cost Commulative money received

Total amont financed

Page 25: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 2.1

• Monthly Indirect cost 5000/Month▫ Mark Up 5%▫ Retain age 10%▫ Periodic Payment are billed at the end of the month and received one month later.

▫ The accumulated Retain age will be paid within the last payment.

• Req.:▫ Sketch the cash flow profile▫ Sketch the net cash flow profile

25

Page 26: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 2.1

26

Page 27: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 2.1• Cash Out:▫ Month 1=25,000+5,000=30,000

▫ Month 2=65,000+5,000=70,000

▫ Month 3=75,000+5,000=80,000

▫ Month 4=15,000+5,000=20,000

• Cash In:▫ Pay 1=30,000×1.05×0.9=28,350

▫ Pay 2=70,000×1.05×0.9=66,150

▫ Pay 3=80,000×1.05×0.9=75,600

▫ Pay 4=20,000×1.05×0.9+200,000×1.05×0.1=39,900

27

Page 28: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

28

Page 29: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 2.2• Using the previous example givens sketch the net cash flow when we use external source of finance (bank):

29

Month

Trans.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Expenses 30,000 70,000 80,000 20,000 -

(5747)

Overdraft 30,000 100,300 152,953 108,332 33815

Interest 1% 300 1,003 1,529 1,083 338

Total 30,300 101,303 154,482 109,415 34153

Payments - 28,350 66,150 75,600 39,900

Residue 30,300 72,953 88,332 33,815 (5747)

Page 30: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

30

Page 31: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 2.3

• Using example 2 givens sketch the net cash flow if there is Down Payment 20% of tender price:▫ Pay 0=0.2×210,000=42,000

▫ Pay 1=30,000×1.05×0.9×0.8=22,680

▫ Pay 2=70,000×1.05×0.9×0.8=52,920

▫ Pay 3=80,000×1.05×0.9×0.8=60,480

▫ Pay 4=20,000×1.05×0.8×0.9+200,000×1.05×0.1×0.8=31,920

31

Page 32: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

32

Page 33: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 2.4

• For the previous example, sketch the net cash flow if using external source of finance (bank):

33

Month

Trans.0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Expenses - 30,000 70,000 80,000 20,000 -

(7175)

Overdraft - - 58,000 115,900 84,139 24,500

Interest 1% - - 580 1159 841 245

Total - 30,000 58,580 117,059 84,980 24745

Payments 42000 - 22,680 52,920 60,480 31,920

Residue (42000) (12,000) 35,900 64,139 24,500 (7175)

Page 34: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

34

Page 35: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Discounted Cash Flow

• The value of money is dependent on the time at which it is received.

• A sum of money on hand today is worth more than the same sum of money to be received in the future because the money on hand today can be invested to earn interest to gain more than the same money in the future.

• Studying the present value of money (or the discounted value) that will be received in the future is very important.

35

Page 36: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Present Value

• Present value (PV) describes the process of determining what a cash flow to be received in the future is worth in today's pounds.

• The Present Value of a future cash flow represents the amount of money today which, if invested at a particular interest rate, will grow to the amount of the future cash flow at that time in the future.

• The process of finding present values is called Discounting and the interest rate used to calculate present values is called the discount rate.

• F = P (1+r)n• P = F / (1+r)n

36

Page 37: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 3

• Find the present value of the following cash flow stream given that the interest rate is 10%.

• Solution:

37

Year 0 1 2 3 4

Cash flow 100 200 200 300

37.611)1.1(

300

)1.1(

200

)1.1(

200

)1.1(

1004321

=

+

+

+

+

+

+

+

=P

Page 38: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Net Present Value (NPV)

• Net present value (NPV) is the summation of all PV of cash flows of the project, where expenses are considered negative and incomes are considered positive.

• A project will be considered profitable and acceptable if it gives a positive NPV.

• When comparing projects, the project with the largest (positive) NPV should be selected.

38

Page 39: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 4

• The Table below illustrates the net cash flow of two projects over 5 years. Using the NPV, which project would you prefer if the discount rate 10%.

• Project A:

• Project B:

39

Year 1 2 3 4 5

Project A -1000 500 400 200 100

Project B -1000 100 200 400 700

08.134)1.1(

100

)1.1(

200

)1.1(

200

)1.1(

400

)1.1(

5001000

54321=

++

+

+

+

+

+

+

+−=NPV

31.114)1.1(

700

)1.1(

400

)1.1(

200

)1.1(

200

)1.1(

1001000

54321=

++

+

+

+

+

+

+

+−=NPV

Page 40: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

• The internal rate of return (IRR) of a capital budgeting project is the discount rate (r) at which the NPV of a project equals zero.

• The IRR decision rule specifies that a project with an IRR greater than the minimum return on capital should be accepted.

• When choosing among alternative projects, the project with the highest IRR should be selected.

40

Page 41: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 5

• Calculate the IRR for both projects presented in previous Example, and compare among them using the resulted IRR. Assume the return on capital equals 10%.

• Project A

• IRR = 16.82%• Project B

• IRR = 13.28%

41

54321 )1(

100

)1(

200

)1(

200

)1(

400

)1(

50010000

IRRIRRIRRIRRIRR ++

+

+

+

+

+

+

+−=

54321 )1(

700

)1(

400

)1(

200

)1(

200

)1(

10010000

IRRIRRIRRIRRIRR ++

+

+

+

+

+

+

+−=

Page 42: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example 6

• Assume the owner suggest two different diagrams for payment. Which one is the best Alternative? (MARR=2% Monthly)

42

Page 43: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

NPV (1) > NPV (2) the original scenario better than the owner's suggestion

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Page 44: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

44

Page 45: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Project Monitoring and Control

• Monitoring

▫ Collecting, recording, and reporting information concerning project performance that project manger and others wish to know

• Controlling

▫ Uses data from monitor activity to bring actual performance to planned performance

45

Page 46: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Project Control

• Control – process and activities needed to correct deviations from plan

• Control the constraints

▫ Time (schedule)

▫ Cost (budget, expenses, etc)

▫ Performance (specifications, testing results, etc.)

46

Page 47: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Project Control Cycle

47

PLAN

MONITOR

COMPARE

ACTION

Specifications

Project Schedule

Project budget

Resource planVendor contracts

Record statusReport progress / cost

Actual status against planSchedule / Cost

Correct deviations from planRE-PLAN as necessary

Page 48: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Cost Control

• Cost Control system has two functions:▫ Keep the actual cost within the estimated value

▫ Collecting data for estimating cost for future projects.

• The Actual Cost affects the profit.

48

Direct Cost

Site Over Head

MARK UP

General O.H.

Profit + Risk

Construction Cost

Tender Price

Actual Cost

Page 49: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Cost Control Sequence:

1. Cost estimate

2. Measure and report actual field cost:

a) Work Quantity

b) Work hours

c) Cost rate

3. Comparison between actual versus estimated cost

4. Variance Analysis (Earned Value Analysis)

5. Plan and implement corrective actions

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Page 50: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Techniques for monitoring and control

• Earned Value Analysis

▫ A way of measuring overall performance (not individual task) is using an aggregate performance measure - Earned Value

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Page 51: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Earned Value Analysis

• Refer to earned value chart – basis for evaluating cost and performance to date

• If total value of the work accomplished is in balance with the planned (baseline) cost, and actual cost then top mgmt has no particular need for a detailed analysis of individual tasks

• Earned value concept – combines cost reporting & aggregate performance reporting into one comprehensive chart

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Page 52: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Earned Value Analysis

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Page 53: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Earned Value Analysis

• Cost Variance = BCWP – ACWP▫ +ve� Cost saving

▫ -ve � Cost overrun

• Cost Performance Index (CPI) = BCWP/ACWP▫ >1 � Cost saving

▫ <1 � Cost overrun

• Expected Final Cost = Total Expected cost/CPI

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Page 54: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Earned Value Analysis

• Schedule Variance = BCWP – BCWS▫ +ve� Ahead of schedule

▫ -ve � Behind schedule

• Schedule Performance Index (SPI) =BCWP/BCWS▫ >1 � Ahead of schedule

▫ <1 � Behind schedule

• Expected Final Duration = Original Duration / SPI

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Page 55: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Earned Value Analysis

• Baseline cost to completion – referred to as budget at completion (BAC)

• Actual cost to date – referred to as estimated cost at completion (EAC)

• Identify several variances according to two guidelines▫ A negative variance is ‘bad’▫ Cost and schedule variances are calculated as earned value minus some other measure

55

Page 56: Financial Management - Dr. Ahmed H. Elyamanydrahmedelyamany.weebly.com/.../7/0/1/0/7010103/financial_managem… · Course Content • Project financial management: Cash flow prediction,

Example• The cost data for a small construction project are given in the following table; the schedule duration is 20 months the project has been worked on for 15 months.

• Calculate:

▫ BCWS, BCWP, ACWP

▫ Comment on Project Performance

▫ Predict the expected final Cost and Time

56

No. Item Unit QEstimated

cost

Cost report After 15 Months

Quantity Completed Actual Unit CostTarget Actual

1 Excavation m3 600 8 600 600 8.5

2 RC footing m3 500 600 500 450 610

3 RC columns m3 150 650 100 90 645

4 RC slabs m3 120 700 60 65 705

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Example

• BCWS=(8×600) + (600×500) + (650×100) + (700×60) =411800

• BCWP= (8×600) + (600×450) + (650×90) + (700×65) =378800

• ACWP= (8.5×600) + (610×450) + (645×90) + (705×65) =383475

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Example

• Cost Variance = 378,800-383,475=-4,675

• CPI = 378,800/383,475=0.98 (Cost Overrun)

• Expected Final cost = (8*600+600*500+650*150+700*120) /0.98 = 496224.5

• Schedule Variance = 378,800-411,800=-33,000

• SPI = 378,800/411,800=0.92 (behind schedule)

• Expected Final duration = 20 / 0.92 = 21.7 months

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EXAMPLE

• Assume that operations on a Work Package cost 1,500 to complete. They were originally scheduled to finish today. At this point, we actually spent 1,350. And we estimate that we have completed two thirds (2/3) of the work. What are the cost and schedule variances?

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EXAMPLE

• CV = BCWP – ACWP = 1500 (2/3) – 1350 = - 350

• SV = BCWP – BCWS = 1500 (2/3) – 1500 = - 500

• CPI = BCWP/ACWP = 1500(2/3)/1350 = 0.74

• SPI = BCWP/BCWS = 1500(2/3)/1500 = 0.67

• Spending higher than budget, and given what we have spent, we are not as far along as we should be (have not completed as much work as we should have)

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Contact:

Dr. Ahmed Elyamany

[email protected]

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