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Financial Management - Bonds 2014

Jun 01, 2018

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    ecap: egular! "mmediate anddelayed perpetuity

    Regularperpetuity is when the first payment arrives nextperiod(e.g., next year,

    month etc)

    Immediateperpetuity is when the first payment arrives today

    Delayed (or deferred)perpetuity is when the first payment arrives at some

    future period t

    periodper

    periodper

    r

    PMTPV

    )Perpetuity( =

    Note: r is theper periodinterest rate. The formula assumes that r can be used to discount all

    future cash flos, and that the first payment arri!es next period

    periodper

    periodper

    periodperPMT

    r

    PMTmmediatePV )i( +=

    1

    )1(

    1)(

    +=

    t

    periodperperiodper

    periodper

    rx

    r

    PMT"elayedPV

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    #roblems $ou just won a perpetuity that will pay you %&!'''

    every three months( )hat is the present value o thisperpetuity! i you can earn &'* return per year!compounded +uarterly,

    ( &!'''

    B( .!'''

    /( &'!'''

    D( .'!'''

    0ow say that you want the 1rst payment o %&!''' to

    be paid 23 months 4or &5 +uarters6 rom today, Didmoving the start o the scholarship bac8 in timepositively or negatively impact the value, )9$,

    -2

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    ;eneral nnuity

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    Assume that you are 3 years old today! and that you are planning onretirement at age "#$ %o save for your retirement! you plan on ma&ing'3!" in annual contributions to a retirement account each year until you

    reach age "#$ our first contribution will be made on your 31st birthday sothat you ma&e 3# annual contributions$ Assume that the rate of interest is*$

    1$ %he present value (P+) (at age 3) of your retirement savings is closest to:

    a$ ',"!"11 b$ '-!

    c$ '1-! d$ '1."! e$ '#!.3

    .$ %he future value (/+) at age "# of your retirement savings is closest to:

    a$ '1."! b$ ',0!"#3

    c$ '1!! d$ '3!--!."

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    0ow to bonds and valuation

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    Bond is debt contract withcertain standard eatures

    Face amount orpar value whichis re-paid atmaturity

    Typically %&!'''

    or most bonds

    Coupon interest rate:Stated interest rateand does not changeduring the lie o thebond=sually > $T? atissue

    Maturity:

    $ears until

    bond must

    be repaid

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    Bond ?ar8ets

    #rimarily over-the-countertransactions with dealers connectedelectronically

    Ctremely large number o bondissues! but generally low dailyvolume in single issues

    ;etting up-to-date prices dicult!particularly on small company ormunicipal issues

    Treasury securities are an eCception3-E

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    ;overnment Bonds

    Treasury Securities > government debt

    Treasury Bills 4T-bills6 #ure discount bonds

    Original maturity o one year or lessTreasury notes

    /oupon debt

    Original maturity between one and ten years

    Treasury bonds /oupon debt

    Original maturity greaterthan ten years

    3-&'

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    +aluation of oupon 2onds:

    A typical example: hat is the mar&et price of a corporate bond that has a coupon

    rate of 0*! a face value of '1! and matures exactly 1 years from today if theinterest rate is 1* compounded semiannually4 %imeline of coupons and face value repayment loo&s li&e this

    1 . 3 , $$$ . time

    ',# ',# ',# ',# '15 ',# payment

    es! the cash flow from the bond loo& li&e:

    a) an annuity: . identical payments of ',# for 1 years (or . semi6annualpayments)

    b) Plus a lump6sum amount of '1 at the end of the period

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    Bond Falue

    Bond Falue > #F4coupons6 G #F4par6

    Bond Falue > #F4annuity6 G #F4lumpsum6

    emember:

    s interest rates increase present valuesdecrease

    4 r H #F 6

    s interest rates increase! bond pricesdecrease and vice versa

    3-&5

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    The Bond-#ricing +uation

    3-&2

    tt r)(1

    /

    r)(1

    161

    r

    +alue2ond

    ++

    +=

    PV(Annuity) PV(lump sum)

    C = Coupon payment; F = Face value,

    r=discount rate (yield-to-maturity)

    #urrent yield$#oupon%&ond Value

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    Cample o /oupon BondFaluation

    ou are considering the purchase of a # year! 1* coupon bond with a face value

    of '1$ %he bond pays coupons annually$ our cost of capital (discount rate) is

    -*$ hat is the highest price that are you willing to pay for the bond4

    tt r)(1

    /

    r)(1

    161

    r

    +alue2ond

    ++

    +=

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    Iero /oupon Bonds

    ample* ou are considering the purchase of a 3 year%reasury bond with a face value of '1 and 8ero6coupons$ %he mar&et interest rate on similar ris& andmaturity bonds is #*! compounded semi6annually$ hatis the highest price that are you willing to pay for the

    bond4 9ote:

    ero6oupon 2onds ma&e no interest payments (oupon;)

    3-&3

    tt r)(1

    /

    r)(1

    161

    r

    +alue2ond ++

    +=

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    The $ield to ?aturity 4$T?6

    TheYield to maturity (YTM o a bond isthe discount rate that e+uates the todayAsbond price with the present value o theuture cash fows o the bond(

    The yield to maturity is the average annualrate o return that a bondholder will earn ibond held to maturity

    =sually coupon rate at issue e+uals $T?

    )e use $T? as the discount rate to value abond

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    /omputing $ield-to-?aturity$T?6(

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    /omputing $ield-to-?aturity 4$T?6

    $ield to ?aturity o a Iero-/oupon Bond

    The yield to maturity or a Kero-couponbond is the return you will earn as an

    investor by buying the bond at is currentmar8et price! holding the bond to maturity!and receiving the promised ace valuepayment(

    $ield to ?aturity o an n-$ear Iero-/oupon

    Bond

    17

    1

    n

    n

    'ace Value(TM

    Price + =

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    Cample: $ield-to-?aturity4$T?6

    " the #rice o 2 year maturity ris8-ree!Kero-coupon bond is %E&(J2! what is itsyield to maturity, ssume that &'' and annual compounding( ( )

    1P

    +alue/ace

    %>1

    +alue/aceP

    71

    =

    +=

    n

    n

    riceTM

    rice

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    Bond #rices:elationship Between /oupon and $ield

    /oupon rate > $T? #rice >#ar

    /oupon rate L $T? #rice L#ar

    MDiscount bondN )hy,

    /oupon rate P $T? #rice P#ar

    M#remium bondN )hy,

    3-5&

    hi l l i hi

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    ;raphical elationshipBetween #rice and $ield-to-

    maturity

    3-55

    &o!d

    Pr

    i(e

    .ieldtomaturity

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    "nterest ate is8

    #rice is8

    /hange in price due to changes ininterest rates

    Rong-term bonds have more priceris8 than short-term bonds

    Row coupon rate bonds have moreprice ris8 than high coupon ratebonds

    3-5.

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    Treasury uotations

    "" Fe# $% &'% $%'$ $%'$% )*+',+"

    ?aturity > J(* per year Bid price > &.:&5 > &. &525 * o par

    #rice at which dealer is willing to buy rom you

    s8 price > &.:& > &. &25 * o par #rice at which dealer is willing to sell to you

    Bid-s8 Spread > DealerAs pro1t

    /hange > 3.25nds MTic8 SiKeN > &25

    s8ed $ield > 2(.Q2'*

    3-53

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    #roblems &( )hat is the yield to maturity o a one-year!

    ris8-ree! Kero-coupon bond with a %&'!''' acevalue and a price o %E3'' when released,

    5( ris8-ree! Kero-coupon bond with a ace valueo %&!''' has & years to maturity( " the $T? is

    (J*! what is the price this bond will trade at, 2( )hat must be the price o a %&'!''' bond

    with a 3(* coupon rate! semiannual coupons!and two years to maturity i it has a yield tomaturity o J* #,

    3-5Q

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    Say 9ello to the $ield /urvehttp:1nance(yahoo(combondscompositeUbondUrates

    =S Treasury Bonds

    Maturity &ield &esterday ast *ee+ ast Mont

    2 ?onth '(' '('Q '('5 '('.

    3 ?onth '(' '(' '(' '('

    5 $ear '(2' '(2' '(5E '(2J

    2 $ear '(32 '(32 '(35 '(Q2

    $ear &(.Q &(.Q &(.. &(35

    &' $ear 5(3Q 5(3E 5(J 5(J3

    2' $ear 2(3 2(3J 2(2 2(J'

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    #ossible Term Structure Shapes

    hat do each of these shapes say about the relation between

    current and future interest rates4

    Flat Term Structure

    r7

    i!terestrate

    /erm to maturity

    Rising Term Structure

    Declining (Inverted)

    Term Structure

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    )hy Does the Term Structureo "nterest ates ?atter,

    %he term structure of interest rates tells us what interest rate

    we could earn over different investment hori8onsE

    =ow can we use this information4

    PV = CF1

    (1+ r1)1+ CF2

    (1+ r2)2+ CF3

    (1+ r3)3+ CF4

    (1+ r4 )4+ ...+

    CFN

    (1+ rN)N

    = CF

    n

    (1+ ri)nn=1

    4

    ?f weFre going to calculate the P+ of cash flows occurring in

    the future! we should use the discount rate that applies to

    cash flows arriving in that period

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