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Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1
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Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Dec 20, 2015

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Page 1: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Financial Flows and Money Markets

Economics 71a

Spring 2007

Mayo, chapter 1

Lecture notes 2.1

Page 2: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Outline

Finance fundamentals Investment characteristics

Term Liquidity Return Risk States of nature

Money connections Interest rates

Page 3: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Finance Fundamentals and Functions

Firms

Consumers

Savings

Invest Payout

Return

Time

Page 4: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Finance Fundamentals and Functions

Firms

Consumers

Savings

Invest Payout

Return

Time

Intermediaries/Financial Service Firms

Page 5: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Finance Fundamentals and Functions

Consumers

Consumers

Savings

Borrow Repay loans

Return

Time

Intermediaries/Financial Service Firms

Page 6: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Investment Characteristics

Term Length of time

Liquidity Ease of buying and selling

Return Risk States of nature

Page 7: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Money Connections

Money Store of value Transaction medium Unit of account

Page 8: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Monetary Instruments(High to Low Liquidity)

Cash Debit cards Checking accounts Money market accounts Government bonds Much less liquid (Are these money?)

U.S. Stocks Corporate bonds Gold

Page 9: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Credit Cards

What are they? Not a store of value Not an investment

Roles Transactions Borrowing

Page 10: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Interest Rates

Key price for many financial instruments

Page 11: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Interest Rate Units

Usually in percentage termsExample

Annual interest rate = 8% Time period here = 1 year Lenders lending $100 get $108 in 1 year Borrowers getting $100 loan, pay back

$108 in 1 year

Page 12: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Real Interest Rates

Nominal rate of interest Rate before inflation adjustment

Real rate of interest Rate after adjusting for inflation

More later

Page 13: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Interest Rate Determination

D = demand for loans

InterestRate

Quantity of loans

S = lender supply

Page 14: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

What happens when the economy “heats up”

D = demand for loans

InterestRate

Quantity of loans

S = lender supply

Page 15: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Shifts in Demand and Supply for Loans and Savings

During good times Firms increase demand for loans People probably increase demands for

loans Interest rate rises

What about personal savings? Less clear

Page 16: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Shifts in Demand and Supply for Loans and Savings

Government Borrowing The government is a major player too If it increases or decreases its borrowing

the demand for loans will change

Page 17: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Different Interest Rates

Rates vary over Time (maturities) Risk

Probability of default

Page 18: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Time: The Term Structure

Different rates for different horizons 6 month 1 year 2 years 5 years 10 years 30 years

Page 19: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Yield Curve

1 2 5 10 20

Years into futureTime of maturity

Interest RateAnnual %

5%

Page 20: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

The Yield Curve

The yield curve changes over timeSee “The living yield curve” Inverted yield curvesThe yield curve and GDP

Page 21: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Risk/Return Tradeoff

Return

Risk

U.S. Stocks

U.S. Corporate Bonds

U.S.Government Bonds

EmergingMarketStocks

Page 22: Financial Flows and Money Markets Economics 71a Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 1 Lecture notes 2.1.

Outline

Finance fundamentals Investment characteristics

Term Liquidity Return Risk States of nature

Money connections Interest rates