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Financial Engineering Lecture 4
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Financial Engineering

Feb 23, 2016

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Financial Engineering. Lecture 4. Option Strategies. Bullish StrategiesRiskReward Call purchaselimitedunlimited Synthetic long stockunlimited unlimited Bull spreadlimited limited Protective Putlimitedunlimited Bullish calendar spreadlimitedunlimited - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Financial Engineering

Financial EngineeringLecture 4

Page 2: Financial Engineering

Option StrategiesBullish Strategies Risk RewardCall purchase limited

unlimitedSynthetic long stock unlimited

unlimitedBull spread limited limitedProtective Put limited

unlimitedBullish calendar spread limited

unlimitedCovered call unlimited limitedNaked put write unlimited limited

Page 3: Financial Engineering

Option StrategiesBearish Strategies Risk RewardPut purchase limited

unlimitedSynthetic Put limited

unlimitedSynthetic short sale unlimited

unlimitedBear spread limited limitedCovered put write unlimited limitedBearish calendar spread limited

unlimitedNaked call write unlimited limited

Page 4: Financial Engineering

Covered CallLong Stock, Short Call

Page 5: Financial Engineering

Covered CallLong Stock, Short Call

Profit = S + call - P BE = P - call

Page 6: Financial Engineering

Protective PutLong Stock, Long Put

Page 7: Financial Engineering

Protective PutLong Stock, Long Put

Profit = P - put - S

Page 8: Financial Engineering

Synthetic Long Put Short Stock, Long Call

Page 9: Financial Engineering

Synthetic Long Put Short Stock, Long Call

Page 10: Financial Engineering

Synthetic Short Call Short Stock, Short Put

Page 11: Financial Engineering

Synthetic Short Call Short Stock, Short Put

Page 12: Financial Engineering

Synthetic Stock Short Put, Long Call

Page 13: Financial Engineering

Synthetic Stock Short Put, Long Call

Page 14: Financial Engineering

Synthetic Stock Short Put, Long Call

Page 15: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread Long Call @ s1 s1 < s2 Short Call @ s2

Max Profit = s2 - s1 - c1 + c2 Break Even = s2 - MP = s1 - c2 + c1

Page 16: Financial Engineering

Bull SpreadExamplePrice = 32 Oct35C = 1 t=60days/365Oct30C = 3 v = .24

Buy Oct30C = -3Sell Oct35C = +1Max Profit = 35-30-3+1 = 3BE = 30-1+3 = 32Net Debit = -3 + 1 = -2

Page 17: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread

+3

-2

+1

-330 32 35

Page 18: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread

+3

-2

+1

-330 32 35

Page 19: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread

+3

-2

+1

-330 32 35

Page 20: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread

+3

-2

+1

-330 32 35

Page 21: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread Profit / Loss Diagram Table

Page 22: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread Compute probability of bull spread

Example

Vt = .24 (60/365).5 = .097Prob (<32) = N[ln(32/32) /.097] = .5000Prob (>32) = 1 - .500 = .5000

Max Profit = $300Max Loss = -$200

• at 50% odds, makes good sense

Page 23: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread

Page 24: Financial Engineering

Aggressive Bull Spread s1 < P << s2 Good probability, good profit potential

Page 25: Financial Engineering

Extremely Aggr. Bull Spread P < s1 < s2 Small Cost, high profit, low prob

Page 26: Financial Engineering

Least Aggr. Bull Spread S1 < s2 < P Low profit, high prob

Page 27: Financial Engineering

Put Bull SpreadLong Put @ s1 s1 < s2Short put @ s2

example (Credit Spread)Price = 55Jan50P = 2Jan60P = 7

Net Credit = p2 - p1 = + 7 - 2 = + 5Break Even = S2 - credit = 60 - 5 = 55

Page 28: Financial Engineering

Put Bull Spread+7

-2

+5

-5 50 55 60

Page 29: Financial Engineering

Put Bull Spread+7

-2

+5

-5 50 55 60

Page 30: Financial Engineering

Put Bull Spread+7

-2

+5

-5 50 55 60

Page 31: Financial Engineering

Call Bear SpreadShort Call @ s1 s1 < s2Long Call @ s2 credit spread

Page 32: Financial Engineering

Call Bear SpreadShort Call @ s1 s1 < s2Long Call @ s2 credit spread

ExampleP = 55 Jan60C = 2 Jan50C = 7Net Credit = 7 - 2 = 5 BE = 50 + 5 = 55

Page 33: Financial Engineering

Call Bear SpreadShort Call @ s1 s1 < s2Long Call @ s2 credit spread

ExampleP = 55 Jan60C = 2 Jan50C = 7Net Credit = 7 - 2 = 5 BE = 50 + 5 = 55

+7

-2

+5

-5 50 55 60

Page 34: Financial Engineering

Put Bear SpreadLong Put @ s1 s1 > s2Short Put @ s2 debit spread

Page 35: Financial Engineering

Put Bear SpreadLong Put @ s1 s1 > s2Short Put @ s2 debit spread

ExampleP = 55 Jan50P = 2 Jan60P = 7Net Debit = 7 - 2 = 5 BE = 60 - 5 = 55

Page 36: Financial Engineering

Put Bear SpreadLong Put @ s1 s1 > s2Short Put @ s2 debit spread

ExampleP = 55 Jan50P = 2 Jan60P = 7Net Debit = 7 - 2 = 5 BE = 60 - 5 = 55

-7

+2+5

-5

50 55 60

Page 37: Financial Engineering

Call Bear vs. Put Bear +Credit spread- assignment risk? What causes assignment-Large Credit = P well above lower strike

Example: p = 59, Jan60C=1, Jan50C=9

+9

-1

50 60

Page 38: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread - Roll DownLong Stock, Long Call, Short 2 Calls

ExampleOwn stock @ $48Price = 42Oct40Call = 4 (buy)Oct45Call = 2 (sell 2)Net Credit = 0BE = 44

Page 39: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread - Roll Down

+400

-400

+200

-800 40 44 48

Page 40: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread - Roll Down

+400

-400

+200

-800 40 44 48

Page 41: Financial Engineering

+400

-400

+200

-800 40 44 48

Bull Spread - Roll Down

Page 42: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread - Roll Down

+400

-400

+200

-800 40 44 48

Page 43: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread - Roll Down

+400

-400

+200

-800 40 44 48

Page 44: Financial Engineering

Bull Spread - Roll DownPrice P/LSt P/L Sh C P/L Lg C Net P/L35 -1300 +400 -400 -130038 -1000 +400 -400 -100040 -800 +400 -400 -80042 -600 +400 -200 -40044 -400 +400 0 045 -300 +400 +100 +20048 0 -200 +400 +20050 +200 -600 +600 +200

Page 45: Financial Engineering

Synthetic Covered CallBull spread

If call is deep in the money and has no time to exp, a bull spread can be used to simulate a covered call.

ExamplePrice = 49Sell Apr50C = 3Buy Apr35C = 14

Page 46: Financial Engineering

Synthetic Covered CallBull spread

+3

+11

35 46 50

+4

Page 47: Financial Engineering

Butterfly SpreadA neutral position that combines both a bear spread and a

bull spreadLong call @ s1 s1 < s2 < s3Short 2 calls @ s2Long call @ s3

ExamplePrice = 60buy July50C = 12 1200 debitshort2 July60C = 6 1200 creditbuy July70C = 3 300 debit 300 Net Debit

Page 48: Financial Engineering

Butterfly Spread

+12+7

-12 50 53 60 67 70

Page 49: Financial Engineering

Butterfly Spread

+12+7

-12 50 53 60 67 70

Page 50: Financial Engineering

Butterfly Spread

+12+7

-12 50 53 60 67 70

Page 51: Financial Engineering

Butterfly Spread

+12+7

-12 50 53 60 67 70

Page 52: Financial Engineering

Put Butterfly SpreadMultiple ways to create the butterfly spread

exampleStrike 50 60 70Call 12 6 2Put 1 5 11

Butterfly Positions Net PositionBuy 50C / sell 2 60C / buy 70C 2 debitBuy50C/sell 60C/buy70P/sell60P 12 debitBuy50P/sell60P/Buy70C/sell60C 8 creditBuy50P / sell 2 60P / buy 70P 2 debit

Page 53: Financial Engineering

Ratio Call WriteLong stock, short multiple calls

example 2:1 ratio call writePrice = 49Oct50C = 6sell 2 calls and long 100 stock

Page 54: Financial Engineering

Ratio Call Write

+13+12

-12 37 49 50 63

Page 55: Financial Engineering

Ratio Call Roll Downexample 2:1 ratio call writePrice = 49Oct50C = 6sell 2 calls and long 100 stock

Price drops to 40Oct50C = 1Oct40C = 4Buy 2 Oct50C = profit = 12 - 2 = 10Sell 2 Oct40C

apply to stock price & pretend we own stock at $39

Page 56: Financial Engineering

Ratio Call Roll Down

+9+8

31 49 40 49

Page 57: Financial Engineering

Variable RatiosMax Profit = m(S-P) + nC m = # stock

lotsUpside BE = S + MP/(n-m) n = # of Call

ksDownside BE = S - MP / m

Example

Max Profit = 1 (50-49) + 2 (6) = 13Upside BE = 50 + 13/ (2-1) = 63Downside BE = 50 - 13/1 = 37

Page 58: Financial Engineering

Ratio Call WriteExample 3:1Buy 1 lot stock @ 49sell 3 oct50c@18Max Profit = 1 (50-49) + 3 (6) = 19Upside BE = 50 + 19/ (3-1) = 59.5Downside BE = 50 - 19/1 = 31

+13+12

-12 37 49 50 63

Page 59: Financial Engineering

Ratio Call WriteExample 3:1Buy 1 lot stock @ 49sell 3 oct50c@18Max Profit = 1 (50-49) + 3 (6) = 19Upside BE = 50 + 19/ (3-1) = 59.5Downside BE = 50 - 19/1 = 31

+19+18

-12 31 49 50 59.5

Page 60: Financial Engineering

Variable Ratio WriteLong stock, s1 < P < s2short in money call (s1), short out of money call (s2)

Max Profit = c1 + c2 + s1 - PDownside BE = s1 - MPUpside BE = s2 + MP

ExamplePrice = 65Oct60C = 8Oct70C = 3

Page 61: Financial Engineering

Variable Ratio Write

+8

+3

54 60 65 70 76

+6

Page 62: Financial Engineering

Variable Ratio Write

+8

+3

54 60 65 70 76

+6

Page 63: Financial Engineering

Variable Ratio Write

+8

+3

54 60 65 70 76

+6

Page 64: Financial Engineering

Ratio Put Write

+13+12

-12 37 49 50 63

Don’t do - because

Page 65: Financial Engineering

Ratio SpreadLong call @ s1 s1 < s2Short X calls @ s2

Example 2:1Price = 44Apr40C = 5 buy 1Apr45C = 3 sell 2

BE = 51MP = 6

Page 66: Financial Engineering

Ratio Spread

+ 3

-2

-5 40 42 45

Step 1

Page 67: Financial Engineering

Ratio Spread

+ 3

-2

-5 40 42 45 48 51

Step 2

Page 68: Financial Engineering

Ratio Spread

+ 3

-2

40 42 45 48 51

Step 2

Page 69: Financial Engineering

Ratio Spread

+ 3

-2

+6

40 42 45 48 51

+1

Step 2

Page 70: Financial Engineering

Ratio spread3:1 exampleincrease profitlower BE 2:1

+ 6+9

40 45 51

+1

Page 71: Financial Engineering

Ratio spread3:1 exampleincrease profitlower BE

+ 6+9

40 45 49.5

+4

3:1

Page 72: Financial Engineering

Naked Straddle WriteShort PutShort Call

ExamplePrice = 45Jan45C = 4Jan45P =3

+7

+4+3

38 45 52 55

-3

Page 73: Financial Engineering

Naked Straddle WriteSame Example - But, sell 4 of eachPrice = 45Jan45C = 4Jan45P =3

+28

-12 38 45 52 55

Page 74: Financial Engineering

Covered Straddle WriteLong StockShort CallShort Put

examplePrice = 51 buy 100 sharesJan50C = 5 sell 1 callJan50P = 4 sell 1 put

Max Profit = Premium + S - P = 9 + 50 - 51 = 8BE = (P+S-Prem)/2 = 46

Page 75: Financial Engineering

Covered Straddle Write

+8

+5+4

46 50 51

Page 76: Financial Engineering

Covered Straddle vs Covered call

+8

+4

46 50 51

Page 77: Financial Engineering

Combination Writeor Strangle WriteShort put (out of money)Short call (out of money)

exampleprice = 65Jan70C = 4Jan60P = 3Downside BE = Sp - put - call = 60-3-4 = 53Upside BE = Sc + put + call = 70+3+4 = 77Max Profit = put + call = 3+4 = 7

Page 78: Financial Engineering

Combination Writeor Strangle Write

+7

+3

53 60 65 70 77

+4

Page 79: Financial Engineering

Strangle Straddle Conversionsame exampleprice = 65 (price rises to 70)Jan70C = 4Jan60P = 3 Put falls to 1Jan70P = 4action: buy back the 60 put & sell the 70 put

+7

53 60 70 77

Page 80: Financial Engineering

Strangle Straddle Conversion

+7

53 60 70 77

-1

Page 81: Financial Engineering

Strangle Straddle Conversion

+7

53 60 70 77

-1+4

Page 82: Financial Engineering

Strangle Straddle Conversion

+7

53 60 70 77 80

-1+4

+10

Page 83: Financial Engineering

Splitting The Strikes& Synthetic StocksShort out of money putLong out of money call

example (Bullish Strike Split)price = 53Jan50P = 2Jan60C = 1

BE = 48

Page 84: Financial Engineering

Bullish Strike Split

+2

50 60

-1+1

Page 85: Financial Engineering

Bearish Strike Split

+2

50 60

-1+1

Page 86: Financial Engineering

Calendar SpreadShort near term optionLong distant term option

example (Bull Calendar Spread)Price = 50Today Apr50C = 5 short = +5(Jan) July50C = 8 long = -8 Net Debit = -3Price = 50April Apr50C = 0 July50C = 5

Page 87: Financial Engineering

Bull Calendar Spread

+2

X 50 Y

-3

+5

-8

Page 88: Financial Engineering

Bull Calendar Spread

+2

X 50 Y

-3

+5

-8

Page 89: Financial Engineering

Price Apr50C/PL July50C/PL Net Profit40 0/+500 .5/-750-25045 0/+500 2.5/-550 -5048 0/+500 4/-400 +10050 0/+500 5/-300 +20052 2/+300 6/-200 +10055 5/0 8/0 060 10/-500 10.5/+250 +250

Bull Calendar SpreadApril Profit/Loss Table

Page 90: Financial Engineering

Put Calendar Spread(Bearish)Same as callshort near term & long distant termex - price = 50, Jan50P = 2, Apr50P = 3

+1

X 50 Y

-1

+2

-3

Page 91: Financial Engineering

Reverse SpreadOpposite of all other common positions

Example (Reverse ratio - backspread) 2:1Short call @ s1 s1<s2Long x calls @ s2

Price = 43July40C = 4July45C = 1

Page 92: Financial Engineering

Step 1

+ 3

-2

+4

40 43 45 48

-1

Reverse Ratio Backspread

Page 93: Financial Engineering

Reverse Ratio Backspread

+ 3

-2

+2

40 43 45 48

-1

-3

Page 94: Financial Engineering

Reverse Butterfly

+12+7

-12 50 53 60 67 70

Page 95: Financial Engineering

Diagonal Spreaddiff strikes & diff exp

example (Diagonal Bull Spread)Price = 32Apr30C = 3Apr35C = 1July30C = 4 Long July30CJuly35C = 1.5 Short Apr35C

Normal Bull Spread - Long Apr30C Short Apr35C

Page 96: Financial Engineering

Diagonal Spreadvs Normal Bull Spread

+ 3

-2

30 32 35

Page 97: Financial Engineering

Diagonal Spreadvs Normal Bull Spread

+ 3

-2

30 32 35