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Finance Project Presentation Dollar vs Rupee

Jun 02, 2018

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Dhruv Shah
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    Bhavin Parikh (Team Leader)25

    Harsh Pandav26

    Dhruv Shah18

    Dhrumil Jadia 12

    Dylan Coelho 11

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    What is

    The processof losing

    value

    Increase in

    monetaryvalue

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    What is currency value?

    How currency value is decided?

    There are many economic factors, which decidethe value of a currency.A currency will tend to become more valuablewhen its demand is higher than supply. It is thebasic theory.

    Exchange rates are expressed as a comparisonof two currencies and it is always relative.Interest rates, rate of inflation and exchange ratesare correlated

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    Case Study(DeepakTraders) Deepak Traders are the Manufacturers &

    Exporters of Home Textile products coveringcotton textile made ups & fabric like Bed Linen,Terry Towel, Beach Towel, Bath Towel, CushionCover, Curtain, Kitchen Towel, Table Linen, etc.They established in this business in 1983.

    They are exporting from last 10 years to EEC /USA / CANADA / KENYA and have their own

    quality control. Home textile made ups are madeas per buyer's requirement of size, quality anddesigns.

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    Deepak Traders

    Prior Depreciation

    Present Scenario

    Future Scenario

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    Effects on Crude oil on dollarappreciation Crude oil (that is used to make petrol, diesel, kerosene and

    LPG) is one such commodity that we import in huge quantities.Lets assume you can buy 1 barrel of crude oil for US$ 100today. But you dont have US$ 100 with you. So you go to abank, pay it Rs 5,000 and get US$ 100 in return (assuming US$1 = Rs 50 currently).

    Now assume, the rupee depreciates to Rs 60 per US$ (as ithas), and you again need to buy 1 barrel of crude oil. Now youneed to give the bank Rs 6,000 to get US$ 100 in return to payfor oil.

    While the international oil price has remained at US$ 100 perbarrel, it has still gotten expensive for you to buy it because therupee has depreciated to Rs 60 per US$, from Rs 50 earlier.

    Now convert 1 barrel of oil with everything we import in India.Rupees deprecation would mean that these imported things willbecome expensive for us.

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    Effects on Stock Market onRupees Depreciation

    As we discussed above, rupees depreciation negativelyimpacts imports. Thus, Indian companies that import a lot ofraw materials will face pressure on their profits if the rupeecontinues to weaken against the US dollar, or even if it remainsat the current weak levels.

    The companies that import oil derivatives (crude or palm oil) asraw materialslike those from the paint, plastics and FMCGindustrieswill be especially hurt on their margins in the shortto medium term.

    Also, companies that have foreign borrowings on their bookswill see a negative impact on their profits.

    On the other hand, Indian companies (like those from the IT

    and pharmaceutical sectors) that are major exporters, willbenefit from the falling rupee. So, overall, while rupees current depreciation is bad for you as

    a consumer or an investor in companies that import a lot, it isgood if you own a software company or are an investor in oneof them.

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    Current Value of

    Rupees V/S Dollars

    Why rupee is depreciating now and

    how it will affect you?

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    Dollar V/S Rupees (last 6Month)

    http://in.advfn.com/p.php?pid=charts&symbol=FX^USDINRhttp://in.advfn.com/p.php?pid=charts&symbol=FX^USDINR
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