Management Information System Project Report on: Management Information System Subject : Management Information System Submitted to: Prof. Lukman Patel Prepared by: Mohd. Adil (45) 1
Management Information System
Project Report on:
Management Information System
Subject : Management Information System
Submitted to: Prof. Lukman Patel
Prepared by: Mohd. Adil (45)
Date: 6/4/2011
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Management Information System
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First and foremost let we sincerely thank ALMIGHTY for the great opportunity and
blessings that he has showered up on us for the successful and timely completion of our
project work.
We extent our sincere gratitude to Dr. Vidya Hatangadi Director of AIAIMS institute of
management research and studies for her kind support and guidance for making our
project great success.
We extent our sincere gratitude to guide Mr. Nadeem Merchant, lecturer, Allana
Institute of Management studies for the kind support and proper guidance without which
the project would not have been efficiently completed
We render our whole hearted thanks to librarian, for their assistance and co-operation
given to us in regard to this work.
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CONTENTS:
SR.NO TOPICS PAGE NO.
1. Introduction………………………………………
04----05
2. Structure of Linear Programming…………………
06----08
3. Assumptions of Linear Programming ……….…...
09----11
4. Limitations of Linear Programming…..……….….
12----12
5. Applications of Linear Programming……….……..
13----15
6. Case Study……………………………………….
16----26
7. Conclusion………………………………..………
27---27
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8. Bibliography……………………………….……..
28---28
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EXECUTIVE SUMMERYThere are various agencies involved in the collection and
dissemination of statistics on school education. At the national level,
there are three main agencies that collect statistics on education on
regular basis. They are (a) Planning, Monitoring and Statistics
Division, Department of Education, MHRD on annual basis for all
sectors of school education; (b) University Grants Commission on
higher education; and (c) National Council of Educational Research
and Training (NCERT) on school education through occasional
surveys. In addition, there are agencies, which collect information
from households. The Census of India publications provides
information on levels of educational attainment of population and age-
education classification of children in the age-group 5-14 years. In
addition, the National Sample Survey Organization (NSSO),
International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS) and National
Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) also collect statistics
on educational variables occasionally through household sample
surveys.
Barring Census of India, most of the other agencies generate data
with State/UT as a basic unit of consolidation but hardly any data is
disseminated at the district level. Only in case of the MHRD, selected
district level information was also disseminated on quinquennial basis
for a short period. The UGC compiles data according to university
area, whereas NCERT collects data at the district level but releases
only state-specific information. The latest sixth survey was conducted
in 1993 with September 30 as its date of reference. The dissemination
of district-specific survey data is left to the discretion of the states. All
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the states do not bring out publications that contain district-specific
data. The Directorate of Education, Bureau of Economics and
Statistics, Directorate of Economics etc. in a State/UT also brings out
statistical abstracts and other publications but the data that they
disseminate is not uniform and the year also varies from state to state.
Thus, it can safely be concluded that proper mechanism for
dissemination of district-specific information is not in existence in
most part of the country.
Sporadic attempts have been made to develop computerized
educational management information system with an aim to collect
and disseminate district-specific information among which the District
Primary Education Programme (DPEP) is the most prominent one.
One of the important aims of the recently launched SSA is to develop
educational management information system for which data capture
formats have been evolved and infrastructure created at the district
level in the office of the District Project Coordinator. All the project
districts have been provided with adequate hardwares and MIS
softwares. The data capture format is divided into nine parts. Through
the first part, school location particulars are envisaged to collect
which includes village name and ward number, distance from block
headquarters, number of non-formal education centres in a village
and whether the school is governed by a voluntary organization or it is
a Government school. This part also includes information relating to
Total Literacy Campaigns and Post Literacy Facilities and whether a
Village Education Committee is constituted in the village. The other
important items included in the format are school particulars,
teachers in position, equipments and facilities in terms of adequacy.
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So far as the information relating to enrolment and repeaters is
concerned, all that required for planning at district level including the
age-grade matrix is envisaged to collect. However, rural/urban
distribution will not be made available.
By the end of 2003, the coverage of DISE has extended to about 460
of the 593 districts of the country. these districts are spread over 18
DPEP states. It is expected that all the districts of the country would
adopt DISE in a year or two. The Government of India decided that
the manual collection of information system will gradually be replaced
by the DISE and the statistics generated by it will be accorded the
status of the Official Statistics. Recently ELEMENTARY EDUCATION
IN INDIA: WHERE DO WE STAND, ANALYTICAL REPORT 2006 was
also launched. Barring a few numeric indicators, most of the
indicators required for efficient planning at the district level is now
available through the DISE. The number of schools, enrolment,
teachers, pupil-teacher ratio, literacy rates etc. is available over a
period of time. however, district-wise information is not available from
the MHRD sources. But information on school education is available
from the All-India Educational Surveys but the same is not properly
disseminated and it is latest available for 2002-03..
The computation of many of the identified indicators need age-specific
population which is generally not readily available at the district level
and for that propose population projection exercises would have to be
initiated. Even though the raw data is available, it is not an easy task
to compute indicators especially when the number of districts is more
than 600. Because of DPEP and SSA interventions, awareness about
indicators and its use in planning elementary education has
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significantly improved in the recent past. It is happy to note that all
the districts across the country now develop annual elementary
education plans which are primarily based on the DISE data.
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INTRODUCTION:To achieve goals of Education for All envisaged in the National Policy
on Education and it's Revised Policy Formulations (1992), proper
planning is required. Generally planning exercises are of two types,
micro and macro level planning. In micro level planning, educational
plans are prepared at the sub-national level, such as, institution,
village, block and district level where as macro plans are developed at
the level which is just above the sub-national level i.e. state and
national level. At the district level, blocks, villages and educational
institutions are the unit of micro planning but at the state level,
district is an unit of micro planning. In India, barring a few states,
educational planning is carried-out at the state level that do not
ensure adequate participation of functionaries working at the
grassroots level. Of late, National Policy of Education (NPE,1986 &
1992) and Eighth Plan envisaged disaggregated target setting at least
at the district level that is also one of the major objectives of a
number of projects and programmes currently under implementation
in different parts of the country. Therefore, development of district
plan at the district and lower levels with emphasis on participative
planning is of recent origin. Andhra Pradesh Primary Education
Project with the main objective of enhancing the professional
competence of teachers, UNICEF assisted Bihar Education Project,
World Bank sponsored Uttar Pradesh Basic Education Project, SIDA
assisted Shiksha Karmi project in Rajasthan and IDA assisted District
Primary Education Programme (DPEP) are some of the programmes
which have focus on district planning with emphasis on disaggregated
target settings. Among these, the scope and coverage of DPEP project
is much more wider than other programmes of the similar nature.
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The programme was first introduced in the year 1993 in 43 districts of
seven states, namely, Assam, Haryana, Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka,
Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Maharashtra and later expanded to five
districts each of Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal in year 1995. In
the second phase, four districts each of Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh
and Orissa were included in the programme. Further, it is envisaged
that by the end of the Eighth Five Year Plan period i.e. March 1997,
about 110 districts would come under the programme (MHRD, 1995).
Selections of districts under DPEP are based on the criteria where
female literacy rates are less than the national average of 1991
Census and where Total Literacy Campaigns (TLC) have been
successful leading to an increased demand for elementary education.
The main characteristics of DPEP project (MHRD, 1993) are
summarised as follows:
emphasising the local area planning with district plans being
formulated in their own right instead of being derived from a state
plan project document;
infusing greater rigour and professional inputs in planning and
appraisal;
more focused targeting in educationally backward districts and
districts where Total Literacy Campaign have been successful;
More focused coverage would initially focus on primary stage
(Classes I-V & its NFE equivalent) with stress on girls and for socially
disadvantaged groups; and
emphasising capacity building and networking of district, state
and national level institutes in the fields of education management
and social services to provide the resource support for the
programme.
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The Present Article
In the present article, a detailed list of items on which
information is required both at the macro and micro levels of planning
is briefly presented which is linked to goals of Education for All.
Before that, different stages of plan formulation and implementation
is presented. Keeping in view the planning requirements, information
needed in future is also discussed in detail which is followed by
limitations and gaps in the existing information system. Data gaps
have been grouped under different headings, such as, demographic
and literacy, enrolment and repeaters, teaching personnel and
financial statistics. In the last, suggestions for improvement have
been presented.
Before, a detailed list of variables required for planning both at
the macro and micro levels is presented, different stages of plan
formulation and implementation is briefly presented below.
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Stages of Planning
1. The different stages of planning in general and education in
particular are:
2. Diagnosis of Present Position with respect to:
a. General Scenario and
b. Educational Scenario
3. Review of Past Educational Plans, Programmes and Policies
4. Projections of Major Socio-Economic and Educational Trends
5. Plan Formulation and
6. Plan Implementation.
Data Requirements
In order to meet data requirements of planning stage at I above, a
variety of information relating to both general and educational
scenario needs to be collected. Information such as on, geography,
irrigation, transportation, industry and administrative structure is
required so as to prepare a general scenario of the existing
infrastructural facilities available in a district and its sub-units. So far
as the educational variables are concerned, required information can
be grouped under information relating to demography, literacy and
education sectors. Under the demographic variables, total population
and its age and sex distribution separately in rural and urban areas
needs to be first collected. Apart from total population, age-specific
population in different age-groups is also required. For programmes
relating to primary and elementary education, population of age-
groups 6-10, 11-13 and 6-13 years and for adult literacy and
continuing education programmes, population of age-group 15-35
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years is required. Similarly, single-age population (age `6') is an
important variable on which information needs to be collected. In
addition, information on some of the vital indicators, such as,
expectation of life at birth, mortality (death) rates in different age-
groups, fertility (birth) rate and sex ratio at birth is required so that
the same can be used to project future population. For adult literacy
and continuing education programmes, number of literates and
illiterates in different age-groups is required which should be linked
to population in different age- groups. In addition, complete
information of TLC programmes implemented in the past in a district
with reference to its objectives, strategies and major achievements
would be useful, if similar programmes are undertaken in future.
Universal access to educational facilities is one of the important
components of Educational for All, hence a variety of information
relating to population of a village/habitation is required so that school
mapping exercises are undertaken. Exercises based on school
mapping play an important role in order to open a new school or
whether an existing school is to be upgraded or closed down. Thus,
number of villages distributed according to different population slabs
is required so that opening of school in a habitation is linked to the
existing norms. In case of hilly and desert areas, the population norm
of 300 can be relaxed and lowered down to 200. Habitations served
by schooling facilities and whether they are available within
habitation or a walking distance of one and three kilometers along
with total number of habitations in a district is also required so as to
assess the existing situation with particular reference to goal of
universal access. Similarly, percentage of rural population served by
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the schooling facilities can also be used as an indicator of access
which should be linked to school mapping exercises. Information
relating to adult learning and non-formal education centers are also
required which should be viewed in relation to illiterates, out-of-
school children and child workers.
Once the population is access to educational facilities, the next
important variable on which information is required is number of
institutions. Within institutions, the first important variable is
availability of infrastructural facilities in a school and their utilisation.
Information relating to buildings plays grounds and other ancillary
facilities, such as, drinking water, electricity and toilets needs to be
collected. In other words, complete information relating to scheme of
Operation Blackboard (1987) with particular reference to its
implementation, adequacy, timely supply and utilisation needs to be
collected. Similarly, information relating to number of classrooms
and their utilisation, class size, number of schools distributed
according to class sizes and number of sections is also required which
can be used in institutional planning related exercises.
The major objectives of 1987 Operation Blackboard scheme
consisting of the following three interdependent components
are provision of:
A building comprising at least two reasonably large all-weather
rooms with a deep verandah and separate toilet facilities for
boys and girls;
At least two teachers in every school, as far as possible one of
them a women; and
Essential teaching-learning material including blackboards,
maps, charts, toys and equipment for work experience.
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The scheme was recently revised so as to (MHRD, 1992):
Provide flexibility to schools in providing teaching-learning
material relevant to their curriculum and local needs;
To relate the scheme with micro planning wherever undertaken,
so that supply of inputs is matched by demand side
interpenetrations to promote participation;
Intensify training in the use of teaching-learning equipments;
and
Extend the scheme to upper primary schools.
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Enrolment:
Enrolment is the next important variable on which detailed
information is required. Both aggregate and grade-wise enrolment
together with number of repeaters over a period of time needs to be
collected separately for boys/girls & SC/ST population, rural & urban
areas and for all blocks and villages of a district. The enrolment
together with corresponding age-specific population can be used to
compute indicators of coverage, such as, Entry Rate, Net and Gross
Enrolment Ratio, Age-specific Enrolment Ratio and indicators of
efficiency. Similarly, detailed information on number of teachers
distributed according to age, qualifications, experience, subjects etc.
along with income and expenditure data is also required for critical
analysis so that optimum utilization of the existing resources is
ensured. Thus, from the basic information, a variety of indicators can
be generated which can be of immense help to understand a district
and its sub-units with particular reference to its demographic
structure. It is not only the past and present information that is
required but for proper and reliable educational planning, information
on some of these variables is also required in future. Further, if the
emphasis of planning exercises is on disaggregated target setting,
then the entire set of statistics would have to be collected both at the
micro and macro levels of planning. The POA (1992) identified poor
urban slum communities, family labour, working children, seasonal
labour, construction workers, and land-less agricultural labour, forest
dwellers, and resident of remote and isolated hamlets as some of the
target groups. Thus information on these groups also needs to be
collected, if considerable size of a group(s) is concentrated in a
district or its sub-units.
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A detailed list of items on which information is required for
educational planning is presented below. The list is not exclusive one
and more items may be added looking into the planning requirements
at the national, regional and sub-regional levels.
Demography and Literacy Data
Number of districts/tehsils/talukas/administrative and
educational blocks;
Population by age and sex, school-specific age (6-10, 11-13 & 6-
13 years), regions, castes and economic levels, sex ratio, density
of population, mortality (death) and fertility (birth) rates;
Distribution of habitations according to provision of primary,
middle and secondary schooling facilities, walking distance and
population slabs; habitations without schooling facilities;
Number of villages/towns in different population slabs and
Number of literates and illiterates by age and sex separately for
rural and urban areas and scheduled caste and scheduled tribe
population.
Education:
(a) Institutions
By type, level, management, sex, courses and location; capacity
and utilisation of existing institutions; number, intake, out-turn and
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location of teachers training institutions; institution/teacher ratio,
institution/pupil ratio, hostel facilities with intake capacity and actual
enrolment; number of single teacher primary schools; number of
schools without blackboards; and number of schools with/without
building, type of buildings and vocational and technical institutions.
(b) Enrolment
By age i.e. age-grade matrix, sex (boys/girls), grades (I to XII),
subjects, area (rural/urban) and institution-wise (primary, middle
etc.); average daily attendance; enrolment of SC and ST population;
admission data (entry rate) and data on various courses; out-of-school
children in different age-groups, repeaters and drop-outs by age,
grade and sex and transition rates by sex and at terminal classes and
scholarships granted and number of beneficiaries under different
schemes.
(c) Teaching Staff
Teachers by age and sex, rural/urban, grade and scales of pay,
subjects, qualifications and experience, trained and untrained and
stage for which employed, attrition rate, Operation Blackboard
information on teachers post: sanctioned, appointed and transferred,
teachers-training institutions, persons trained and type of training.
(d) Building and Area
Type, ownership and year of construction, present status; number
and size of rooms with nature of their utilisation and seating capacity;
vacant area available for new or additional construction; intake
capacity; availability of drinking water, toilet and electricity facilities,
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playground facilities and Operation Blackboard information on
number of classrooms/buildings sanctioned and constructed.
(e) Equipment
Physical facilities in school library and their utilisation (number
of books, average number of readers etc.), laboratory equipment,
furniture, sports material, audio-visual aids, additional requirements,
and OB information on educational kits and their utilisation, supply
and adequacy.
(f) Non-teaching Staff
Number and working of inspection and supervisory staff, non-
teaching staff by pay scales, sex and school-wise supervisions or
inspections per month/year, persons involved in data collection
according to qualifications and training at different levels.
(g) Examination Results
Examination results of all terminal classes, results of National
Talent Search Examination, administrative services by state and
universities-wise and policy of no detention.
(h) Income and Expenditure
School-wise, scheme-wise, recurring and non-recurring capital
and revenue, income and expenditure; and expenditure on incentives
and scholarships, private cost on education, tuition fee, laboratory fee
and other fee.
(i) Miscellaneous Information
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In addition, miscellaneous information on the following items is
also required which in most of the cases either not available or very
limited information is available:
Parent Teacher/Mother Parent Organisation
Student Union/Organisation
Student Health Services
Sports Facilities
DIETs
State Institute if Educational Management and Training
Navodaya Vidhalayas
Total Literacy Campaigns
Distance Education
Teaching Material and Text Books
Village Education Committees
Circle Education Committees
Number of Working Days in an Academic Year
Mid-day Meal Scheme and
On-going Programme/Projects.
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It is not that all the data required for planning is available but
information on a good number of variables is conspicuous by their
absence so as the quality of data which is questioned, time and again,
by the data users and researchers (Mehta, 1996,1). Generally,
secondary sources are explored for diagnosis of the existing situation
but for the variables which are not available at lower or the lowest
level, primary data needs to be collected. For example, age-grade
matrix is one such variable which is not available at the micro level
but plays an important role in setting-out disaggregated targets.
Hence, information on age-grade matrix and other variables of similar
nature is required for which sample surveys at the local level needs to
be conducted and data generated. So far as the information on
demographic variables is concerned, Census publications should be
explored for both present and past data. Information on educational
variables can be collected and used from the publications of State
Education Departments which may or may not be available in detail as
required in planning exercises. However, state-wise information is
available on most of the variables from the MHRD publications but
latest publications are not available (Mehta 1993 & 1996,1). As
noticed above, information relating to infrastructure, access, ancillary
facilities, age-grade matrix etc. is available from the NCERT
publications but only at few points of time. Keeping in view the data
requirements at the micro-level, relevant Officers may be approached
for NCERT data at the district level but again time-series information
is not at all available at a single place (Mehta, 1996,2).
Generally cross-sectional data for analysing existing situation and
time-series information for capturing trends is required, time period
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of which depends upon the nature of variable which is to be
extrapolated. The next important question which may crop-up is the
level at which information needs to be collected which depends upon
the unit of planning. As soon as the diagnosis exercise is over, the
next stage of planning needs review of past plans, policies and
programmes implemented in the district with respect to their
objectives (Mehta, 1996,3). Generally, these programmes are related
to promotion of education of SC/ST & girls, Total Literacy Campaigns
etc.. Reasons of failures and success of a particular programme need
to be thoroughly analysed. If need be, the existing programme with
or without modifications can be continued which should be followed
by setting-up of targets on different indicators. Broadly, following are
the areas on which future targets need to be fixed which may vary
from block to block even within a district:
Population Growth Rates
Entry Rate
Gross & Net Enrolment Ratio
Drop-out, Repetition and Promotion Rates in different grades
Retention Rates and
Per Pupil/Unit Cost.
Targets on the above items should be practicable, feasible, achievable
and should be based on the immediate past and linked to policy
guidelines. During the recently concluded (1994) Overseas
Development Administration and Government of India Appraisal
Mission to nineteen districts of Madhya Pradesh under DPEP project,
it was noticed that in most of the districts, enrolment projection
exercises were not undertaken and target on Gross Enrolment Ratio
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in year 2001 was fixed arbitrary by assuming 20 per cent as an
estimate of overage and underage children in all the blocks of
nineteen districts without even knowing of the actual grassroots
realities. Neither aggregate nor grade-wise enrolments were
projected. In the absence of which it is rather impossible to estimate
reliable annual number of beneficiaries, additional requirements of
teachers, opening of new schools, etc.. As mentioned one of the other
important objectives of the DPEP project is to reduce the existing
level of drop-out rate for all students to less than 10 per cent which
means a substantial increase in existing retention rate. Though
retention rate at Grade V has been computed in all the DPEP districts
of Madhya Pradesh, no attempt has been made to compute grade-wise
promotion, repetition and drop-out rates, all which plays a significant
role to obtain goals of Universalisation of Primary Education.
Similarly, the UNICEF, Government of India and Government of
Bihar joint Appraisal Mission to Bihar Education Project (BEP)
observed that process of disaggregated target setting in BEP districts
has been started but the future targets on drop-out and retention
rates are still fixed in an isolation without even knowing the present
status of grade-to-grade drop-out and retention rates. Also, targets on
enrolment ratio (gross) have been fixed even with out knowing the
existing entry rate which infact help us in identifying the
disaggregated areas and groups with in the district. In seven BEP
districts, the methodology adopted in computing drop-out rate is not
conventional which in most of the cases produced retention rate even
more than 90 per cent (see BEP Appraisal Mission Report, 1994). If
the targets are not reliable, future enrolment would also become
unreliable which in turn will make all corresponding estimates
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unreliable. The Eighth Five Year Plan also fixed national targets on
access, retention, attainment and monitoring systems which are
summarised below (MHRD, 1993):
Access
Universal enrolment of all children, including girls and persons
belonging to SC/ST;
Provision of primary school for all children within one kilometer
of walking distance and of facility of non-formal education; and
Improvement of ratio of primary school to upper primary school
to at least 1:2.
Retention
Reduction of drop-out rates between Classes I to V and I to VIII
to 20 and 40 per cent respectively; and
Improvement of school facilities by revamped Operation
Blackboard, to be extended to upper primary level also.
Attainment
Achievement of minimum levels of learning by approximately
all children at the primary level, and introduction of this
concept at the upper primary stage on a large scale.
Monitoring
Local level committee, with due representation to women and
teachers, to assist in the working of primary education to
oversee its functioning and
Improvement of the monitoring system for UEE.
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Future Information Requirements
Once the reliable targets are set-out, the next important task is to
work-out additional number of children who will be joining education
system over a period of time which is required annually so as to know
number of beneficiaries which cannot be reliable unless detailed
enrolment projection exercises are undertaken. For example, a
number of schemes are proposed in the DPEP project which are most
likely to benefit children in the schools, it would be an additional
advantage, if disaggregated estimates of enrolment are made
available at the block level separately for boys and girls, rural and
urban areas and Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes children.
Therefore, apart from the past and present information, information
on a number of variables in future is also needed which may or may
not be readily available. Before a list of items on which future
information required is presented, we first examine enrolment
projection techniques, methods and models with particular reference
to availability of data (see for details, Mehta 1995,2).
The techniques of enrolment projections can broadly be classified
into two groups, namely, mathematical and analytical methods
(Mehta, 1996,4). Mathematical methods require aggregate enrolment
data at least for ten years, and only total enrolment can be projected
by employing both linear and non-linear equation methods. These
methods involve an extrapolation of the past into the future and
assume that the past trend in enrolment would continue into the
future. On the other hand, in analytical methods, apart from actual
enrolment, estimation, assumptions and targets on items mentioned
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above are required. The demographic pressures on education can
also be captured in the analytical techniques as the computation of
entry rate is based on the population of school entrance age `6' years.
This rate has a significant bearing on future enrolment. Analytical
methods are based on Student Flow Analysis which starts at the point
where students enter into an education cycle i.e. Grade I. If the
information on number of repeaters is available, the method is known
as Grade-Transition method, otherwise it is known as Grade-Ratio
Method. Thus, an element of judgement in terms of policy variables
can be introduced in analytical methods, therefore, the method is
appropriate for detailed enrolment projections (for details see Mehta,
1996,2). The method requires following set of data:
Future age-specific (6-10 & 11-13 years) and single age
population (`6'), say up to year 2000-01
Grade-wise enrolment for at least two consecutive years and
Grade-wise repeaters (optional) for the same years of which
enrolment is available.
The above list reveals that age-specific and single-age population are
two important variables on which future enrolment is significantly
based upon. Projection of age and sex distribution of population
requires detailed information on base year vital rates and assumptions
on a number of items mentioned above. Thus, keeping in view scant
demographic data at the state level, it is not possible to undertake
detailed population projection exercise. Similarly, future population
of age `6' plays an important role from which the system is expected
to receive continuous flow of students through Grade I in years which
follow but the same is not available on regular basis and whatever is
available is through Census publications once in a decade. Future
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estimates on the variable is rarely available at the sub-national level
and whatever is available is at state and all-India level and the same
for 1991 is not even released at the state leve (Mehta 1996,5).
However, for fifteen major states estimates of the Standing
Committee of Experts on Population Projections (1989) set-up by
the Planning Commission for the period 1990, 1995, 2000 and 2005
are available. Both age-specific and single-age population separately
for male and female population is available but the same is based on
population up to the 1981 Census. Thus, the Standing Committee
estimates are bound to change as and when revised estimates based
on 1991 Census are made available. However, population projections
is rarely available at the district level and hence, there is no option
but to undertake independent exercises. The available expertise at
the district level do not suggest that they are in a position to
undertake independent population projection exercises but Mehta
(1996, 95) has recently identified that Ratio Method of Population
Projections is appropriate for the micro level projections and do nor
demand detailed set of data on vital indicators which are generally not
available at the micro level. Therefore, unless reliable estimates of
population are available, different indicators of planning would
continue to present mis-leading picture.
The variables required in future can be grouped under population,
enrolment, teachers and cost of education apart from some
information on future indicators of efficiency. Broadly, following are
the items (quantitative) on which information in future is required:
Demographic Variables
(I) Population (Rural & Urban & SC & ST)
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* Total Population
* Age-Sex Composition of Population
* Rate of Population Growth
* Single Age Population and
* Age-specific Population: 6-10, 11-13 & 15-35 years.
(ii) Literacy Status of Population
Literates and Illiterates in different age-groups and distribution
of literates according to educational level.
II. Educational Variables
Enrolment
* Total
* Stage/Level-wise
* Grade-wise
Indicators of Coverage
* Gross Enrolment Ratio\Net Enrolment Ratio and
* Age-Specific Enrolment Ratio
Flow Rates
* Entry Rate
* Promotion Rate
* Repetition Rate
* Transition Rate and
* Drop-Out Rate
(iv) Indicators of Educational Quality
* Internal Efficiency of Education System
* Input/Output Ratio
* Wastage Ratio
* Pupil Teacher Ratio
* Percentage of Non-teaching Expenditure
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* Accessibility of Educational Facilities and
* Pass Percentage in different Examination
(v) Other Miscellaneous Variables
* Projection of Teachers Requirements
* Projections of Financial Requirements
* Additional Number of Schools/Sections Required
* Institutional Building Requirements
* Subject-wise Surplus and Shortage of Staff and
* Manpower Projections.
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Data Distortions(i) Enrolment
Though state-wise enrolment is available but for many a states the
same is not available even for the year for which the publication is
latest available. In many of the remaining states, the previous year
enrolment data is repeated in the next years publication. In Andhra
Pradesh grade-wise enrolment for years 1988-89 and 1989-90 and in
Haryana, enrolment of girls reported in year 1988-89 in Grades V and
VI are exactly the same. In Madhya Pradesh both enrolment and
repeaters reported in years 1988-89 and 1989-90 are same where as
in Orissa, enrolment of Grade I in year 1988-89 is not at all reported.
In Rajasthan, enrolment in Grade I and II are jointly reported for the
same year. Further, it has been noticed that in West Bengal, grade-
wise enrolment reported for three consecutive years namely, 1987-88,
1988- 89 and 1989-90 is exctly the same. Thus, keeping in view the
limitations in enrolment data, it is not possible to undertake detailed
enrolment projection exercise in a number of states.
(ii) Repeaters
Similarly, a number of limitations are also noticed in data on
repeaters. Though, state-wise number of repeaters is available but
many a states do not collect information on it which may be due to
implementation of no detention policy upto primary level. But at the
same time, till recently states such as, Andhra Pradesh, Jammu &
Kashmir, Maharashtra, Tripura and West Bengal did not report
incidence of repetition in any grade. On the other hand some states,
such as Haryana and Madhya Pradesh, strictly follow policy of no
detention upto Grade II, where as Nagaland, Tamil Nadu and Uttar
Pradesh follows it upto Grade III. Also, in Jammu & Kashmir,
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Meghalaya, Rajasthan and Sikkim when repeaters are taken out from
enrolment, they exceed enrolment in the previous grade which give
promotion rate more than hundred per cent. This may be either due
to mis-reporting of number of repeaters or due to large scale
enrolment of migrants from other areas to a particular grade. In
Madhya Pradesh, till recently (1989-90) a large number of children
used to repeat a particular grade but suddenly, it is reported zero.
The drop-out rate in Haryana in Grade I reduced to zero in 1989- 90
from about five per cent in previous year. For capturing the trend in
repetition rate, time-series information on repeaters is required but
the series which was discontinued in 1970-71 but revamped in 1984-
85 is available only up to the year 1991-92 (Mehta 1995,1).
Since, enrolment and number of repeaters in different grades plays an
important role in working-out indicators of efficiency and future
enrolment, unreliable data may dramatically change the future
scenario and even make the exercise meaningless and futile.
Data Gaps
Different data gaps can be grouped under the following sub-
headings:
* General Gaps
* Demography and Literacy
* Infrastructure and Schools Effectiveness
* Enrolment and Repeaters
* Teaching Personnel
* Financial Statistics and
* Miscellaneous Gaps.
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A.General Gaps
(i) Time-series Data
Lack of time-series data at the district level is an important
limitation of the existing information system. At present district-wise
statistics on selected educational items is available for year 1971-72
and 1977-78 and for the year 1981-82, it is available only for some of
the states. As mentioned, the publication which used to disseminate
district-wise information was discontinued and hence no data is being
disseminated at the district level. The unpublished survey data of
NCERT is available for the years 1973, 1978, 1986 and 1993, which if
made available at single place may help in constructing a time-series
at at least six points of time. On the other hand statistical abstracts of
different States & UTs disseminate educational statistics at district
level but their coverage is too limited to undertake detailed planning
exercises. Also the date of reference vary from state to state and the
information available is scattered and coverage not uniform. Due to
change in boundaries and creation of a number of new districts, the
limited time-series information that is available, is not free from the
limitations.
(ii) Rural/Urban Distribution
Until 1970-71, the whole set of data was available separately for
rural, urban and all areas but the series was discontinued in 1971-72
and revamped in the year 1976-77. Also, whatever data is available
for rural areas is found to be inadequate and basic information on a
good number of variables is simply not available.
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(iii) Administrative Staff
Data on administrative and non-teaching staff is too scanty to be
useful, with the result that the total requirement of personnel and
facilities is difficult to determine.
B. Demography and Literacy
Though population figures are available from the Census publications,
projections of population in the specific age-group and single age `6'
at the state level have been found to be suffering with large margin of
errors (Mehta, 1996,5). At the district level, the projections are rarely
available and if available, not reliable. A number of indicators
required in planning is based on population which if not
available/reliable, may significantly affect the targets which are
required to set-out at different stages of planning. One of the other
important characteristics of population on which information is
obtained in the Census is literacy. In 1991 Census, on the request of
MHRD and Planning Commission, the population aged seven years
and above is classified as literates and illiterates as against five years
and above in the previous Census (see Census of India 1991
publications). At this stage, since data on age-population is not
available, the two Census figures on literacy cannot be compared.
Though, officially the school entrance age is six but studies (NIEPA,
1992, 93,1 & 95) show that a large number of under-age children are
in Grade I which do not justify the change in definition of literacy
which is also supported by NSSO data on Participation in Education
(1991). Also, the future population of age-group 15-35 years is rarely
available on regular basis at the district and its sub-units level.
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Therefore, it is very difficult to judge the performance of literacy
promotion programmes in terms of its coverage and achievements.
C. Enrolment & Repeaters
One of the important indicators of coverage is Net Enrolment Ratio
which is based on age-grade matrix but is currently not available. In
the absence of which, progress towards UPE and UEE cannot be
judged and monitored efficiently. However, few estimates are
available at the state level but at the district level reliable estimates
are not available.
D. Teaching Personnel
In order to undertake stock of the existing situation with
regards to teachers at different levels, detailed information on number
of teachers with respect to its adequacy, distribution of teachers
according to sex, qualifications, age, training, subjects etc. seperately
in rural and urban areas is required but unfortunately information on
most of these items is simply not available or the same may be
available at the lowest level but is not properly dissminated. In the
absence of adequate data, it is not possible to ascertain whether
teachers are equally distributed in rural and urban areas or the
distribution of female and qualified teachers are even. Amongst
such variables, teachers attrition rate is an important indicator but
not available. In the absence of which, future estimates of teachers
requirement on account of attrition is difficult to obtain. However, on
sample basis some estimates of attrition rates are now available
(NIEPA, 1995). For the first time, the information on the variable is
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collected in the Sixth All India Educational Survey but the same has
not yet been disseminated.
E. Financial Statistics
Selected Educational Statistics provides budgeted expenditure on
education as aggregate of all levels of education but capital account
budget is not given. Also, budgeted expenditure on education is not
comparable with the data given in the Education in India (Volume II).
The statistics on direct expenditure on education is available by levels
of education where as indirect expenditure is not available by levels.
On the other hand, institutions are classified into primary, middle and
high/higher secondary schools, based on the top class in the school,
which possess serious problems in estimating cost of education by
levels meaningfully.
Miscellaneous Gaps
In addition to the data gaps identified above, there is a limited
or absolutely no data available on the following items;
* Average Daily Attendance in School/College;
* Distribution of Institutions by Capacity and Size and of Classes
by Size and Space;
* Unrecognized Institutions;
* Correspondence Courses;
* Teachers by Age and Qualifications;
* Socio-economic Composition of Enrolment;
* Non-formal Education;
* Information on Scholarships;
* Free Student-ships & Free Concessions;
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* Mid-day Meals;
* Operation Blackboard Scheme;
* District Institutes of Educational Training;
* Navodaya Vidhyalayas;
* Distance Education;
* Part-time Courses etc..
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Conclusions
Going through the list of data-gaps identified above, one gets the
impression that the same have been identified time and again in a number of
seminars and conferences organised in the past but to no significant
improvement has been noticed.. However, sporadic attempts have been
made to bridge the gaps on the basis of sample surveys but the same had a
number of limitations in view of its periodicity and coverage. Till the items
on which information is currently missing are included in regular collection
of statistics/all-india educational surveys, the statistics so collected on
sample basis cannot serve the purpose in a manner for which they are
required in planning exercises. It has also been noticed that the existing
missing information on a number of variables is available but the same is
scattered, hence need efforts to integrate different data bases which are in
existence in the country. Time-series data at the district level is one such
gap which can easily be filled-up with the available statistics. Similarly
future information on variables of vital importance can also be generated, if
built-in procedures and routines are developed within the existing
information system. Some of the missing variables have already been
formed part of the Sixth All India Educational Survey conducted by the
NCERT with September 30, 1993 as its date of reference. The functionaries
of those who are currently engaged in data collection work at different
levels unless involved in the formulation of educational plans, the existing
limitations in the information system cannot be improved upon for which
disaggregation at the lowest possible level i.e. either at the institutional or
village level would ensure participation of all concerned at different levels.
Hence. Local-level Information System (LIS) with focus on infrastructural
facilities and classroom interpenetrations would need to be developed.
Various steps have been initiated in the recent past to develop an integrated
Educational Management Information System in the country, which if
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developed will help us to overcome the limitations and gaps in the existing
information system. Among such efforts, DPEP proposes to develop an
EMIS at the district level which is envisaged to collect information on a
number of missing items but the same would take some more years to fully
develop, as the project is not likely to be expanded to remaining districts of
the country in the near future.
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