FEMA National Watch Center Daily Operations Briefing Daily Ops Briefing 08... · 2021. 8. 8. · Few hundred miles S of Mexico, Guatemala, and El Salvador Could become a tropical

Daily Operations BriefingSunday, August 8, 2021

8:30 a.m. ET

FEMA National Watch Center

Federal Emergency Management Agency

National Current Ops / MonitoringNew Significant Incidents / Ongoing Ops▪ Western Wildfires

Hazard Monitoring▪ Severe Thunderstorms, Heavy Rain and Flash Flooding possible – Midwest and

Great Lakes

▪ Tropical Activity:

o Atlantic:

• Disturbance 1: Med (40%); Disturbance 2: Med (40%);

Disturbance 3: Low (near 0%)

o Eastern Pacific:

• Tropical Storm Kevin; Disturbance 1: High (80%)

o Central Pacific:

• Disturbance 1: Low (20%)

Event Monitoring▪ None

Disaster Declaration Activity▪ None

National Watch Center

Tropical Outlook – Five Day AtlanticEastern PacificCentral Pacific

National Watch Center

Disturbance 1 (as of 8:00 a.m. ET)

▪ Few hundred miles S of Mexico, Guatemala, and El

Salvador

▪ Could become a tropical depression by midweek

▪ Moving WNW at 10 mph

▪ Formation chance – 48-hour: Med (50%);

5-day: High (80%)

Tropical Storm Kevin

▪ See next slide

3

(0%)

Disturbance 1 (as of 8:00 a.m. ET)

▪ Several hundred miles E of the Windward Islands

▪ Moving WNW at 10 to 15 mph

▪ Formation chance – 48-hour: Low (30%);

5-day: Med (40%)

Disturbance 2 (as of 8:00 a.m. ET)

▪ Midway between Cabo Verde Islands and Lesser

Antilles

▪ Could become a tropical depression next few days

▪ Formation chance – 48-hour: Low (30%);

5-day: Med (40%)

Disturbance 3 (as of 8:00 a.m. ET)

▪ 100 miles W of Cabo Verde Islands

▪ Formation chance – 48-hour: Low (near 0%);

5-day: Low (near 0%)

1

(20%)

Disturbance 1 (as of 8:00 a.m. ET)

▪ 1,300 miles SW of Honolulu, HI

▪ Marginal chance for development

▪ Formation chance – 48-hour: Low (20%);

5-day: Low (20%)

1

(40%)

1

(80%)

2

(40%)

Tropical Storm Kevin – Eastern Pacific Situation: (Advisory #4 as of 5:00 a.m. ET)

▪ 495 miles SW of Manzanillo, Mexico

▪ Moving W at 10 mph

▪ Maximum sustained winds 45 mph

▪ Strengthening expected over next few days and forecast to

become a hurricane by Monday

National Watch Center

National Weather ForecastMon

Tue

National Watch Center

Sun

Precipitation & Excessive Rainfall

National Watch Center

Sun-Tue

Mon

Tue

Sun

Long Range Outlooks – Aug 13-17

6-10 Day Temperature Probability 6-10 Day Precipitation Probability

National Watch Center

Wildfire Summary

National Watch Center

(Evacuations: M = Mandatory / V = Voluntary; Structures: H = Homes and Mixed Commercial/Residential / O = Non-residential Commercial/Other Minor Structures)

Fire Name

(County, ST)FMAG #

Acres

Burned

Percent

ContainedEvacuations

Structures (Homes / Other)Fatalities

/ InjuriesThreatened Damaged Destroyed

Cedar Creek

(Okanogan, WA)

5401-FM-

WA52,859

32%

(+6)

M: 800 H: 0

(-151) H: 0 H: 0

0 / 7

V: 0 O: 0 O: 0 O: 2

Dixie

(Plumas, CA)

5400-FM-

CA

447,723

(+1,000) 21%

M: 30,698 H: 13,751 H: 23

(+12)

H: 319

(+175) 0 / 3

(+3)

V: 0 O: 120 O: 4 O: 124

River

(Placer and

Nevada, CA)

5405-FM-

CA2,600

56%

(+16)

M: 1,298

(-5,200)

H: 2,042

(-958)H: 10 H: 66

0 / 1

V: 0O: 272

(-128)O: 10 O: 22

National Watch Center

Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

RegionState /

LocationEvent

IA Number of CountiesStart – End

PA Requested Complete

I

NHSevere Storms and Flooding

Jul 17-19

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 2 0 8/4 – TBD

VTSevere Storms and Flooding

Jul 29

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 2 0 8/4 – TBD

MASevere Storms and Flooding

Jul 16-21

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 5 0 8/9 – TBD

V MISevere Weather and Flooding

Jun 25-26

IA 2 2 7/8 – 7/12

PA 3 0 7/8 – TBD

VII NESevere Storms

Jul 9-10

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 13 11 7/27 – TBD

Declaration Requests in Process – 2

State / Tribe / Territory – Incident Description Type IA PA HM Requested

Fort Peck Assiniboine & Sioux Tribes – Severe Storm, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding DR X X 8/03

MT – Straight-line Winds DR X X 7/29

National Watch Center

FEMA Common Operating PictureN-IMATs

3 Teams Available

Red

White Training

Blue

Gold

R-IMATs≥ 7 Teams Available

I 3

II

III

IV-1

IV-2

V Reconstituting

VI-1

VI-2

VII 1

VIII 2

IX-1 NV

IX-2

X

FMC PMC

NMC Deployed

Team StatusUS&R

>66%

MERS

>66%

FCOs

≤1 Type I

IM

WORKFORCE

IM CADRE AVAILABILITY SUMMARY

Cadres with 25% or Less Availability

Assigned: 28 36 54 14,097 Civil Rights: 14% (15/111);

Environmental Planning and Historical Preservation: 25% (189/766);

Field Leadership: 22% (32/148); Hazard Mitigation: 25% (316/1,287);

Public Assistance: 21% (586/2,843); Planning: 18% (85/462)

Unavailable 2 0 2 3,502 (-21)

Deployed: 0 0 41 (26 FCOR) 5,806 (-15)

Available: 26 36 11 34% / 4,789 (-36)

FEMA HQNWC NRCC

Monitoring Level III

FEMA REGIONSWatch RRCC

Monitoring I Rostered

Monitoring II Rostered

Monitoring III Rostered

Monitoring IV RosteredMonitoring

Alt Loc

Nightshift V Level III

Monitoring VI Level III

Alt Location VII Rostered

Monitoring VIII Rostered

Monitoring IX Rostered

Monitoring X Rostered

Notes:

NRCC:

Day shift, M-F

COVID-19

RRCCs:

COVID-19 Response

RV RWC: Dayshift,

Monitoring/ Night shift

Remote Ops

RVII RWC:

COVID-19 Protocols

PR: Earthquakes

WV & TX: Severe Weather

LA: Tropical & Severe

Weather and Flooding

MT, AZ, CA, ID, WA &

OR: Wildfires

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