Public Opinion Survey Residents of Ukraine February 18 – March 4, 2016
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Public Opinion SurveyResidents of Ukraine
February 18 – March 4, 2016
Methodology
2
• The survey was conducted by Rating Group Ukraine on behalf of International Republican Institute.
• The survey was conducted throughout Ukraine (except the occupied territories of Crimea and part of the Donbas)between February 18 and March 4, 2016, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.
• The sample consisted of 2,400 permanent residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. The sample isrepresentative by sex, age, region, and size of the settlement. Additionally, 1,125 respondents were surveyed inMykolaiv and Kherson oblasts. Multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and nextbirthday methods for respondent selection.
• First stage: The territory of Ukraine was split into 25 administrative regions (24 regions of Ukraine andKyiv). The survey was conducted throughout all regions of Ukraine, except for occupied territories ofCrimea and Donbas.
• Second stage: The territory of each region was split into villages and city units. Settlements were groupedinto subtypes according to their size:
• Cities with more than 1 million residents
• Cities with 500,000-999,000 residents
• Cities with 100,000-499,000 residents
• Cities with 50,000-99,000 residents
• Cities with up to 50,000 residents
• Villages
• Cities and villages were selected at random. The number of selected cities/villages in each of the regions isproportional to the share of population living in the cities/villages in each region.
• Third stage: Primary sample points (PSP) were defined.
• The margin of error does not exceed 2.0 percent.
• The average response rate was 63.0 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was financed by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).
Methodology
3
Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample
• Data was collected throughout Mykolaiv and Kherson oblasts between February 18 and March 4, 2016, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.
• The sample consisted of 1,125 citizens from Mykolaiv and Kherson oblasts aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. Thesample is representative of the general population by sex, age, and settlement size.
• Multi-stage probability sampling method was used with random route and next birthday procedures.
• First stage: The sample was proportionally split between Mykolaiv and Kherson oblasts. The survey wasconducted throughout all rayons of the oblasts.
• Second stage: The territory of each rayon of the oblast was split into village and city units. Settlementswere split into types by the number of residents:
• Cities with 500,000-999,000 residents
• Cities with 100,000-499,000 residents
• Cities with 50,000-99,000 residents
• Cities with up to 50,000 residents
• Villages
• Cities and villages were selected at random. The number of respondents in selected cities/villages of eachrayon is proportional to the share of population living in cities/villages of a certain rayon.
• Third stage: Primary sample points (PSP) were defined.
• The margin of error does not exceed 2.9 percent.
• The average response rate was 64.0 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
4
Geographical Key
Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents of Crimea and the separatist-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts were not included in this poll.
Mood of the Country
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction?
6
13% 14% 15%
18%
34%
29%
15%17%
15%
11%
71%
66%69%
64%
48%51%
72%68%
70%76%
16%20%
16%
17% 18% 20%
13% 15% 15%
13%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
November2011
May2012
May2013
February2014
April2014
September2014
July2015
September2015
November2015
February2016
Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer
Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Ukraine changed?
7
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
11%
8%
14%
14%
10%
29%
28%
31%
37%
34%
57%
60%
51%
44%
54%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened a lot Difficult to answer
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
6%
6%
9%
14%
8%
9%
8%
3%
4%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
37%
39%
45%
37%
46%
41%
44%
46%
37%
19%
14%
18%
20%
15%
36%
34%
30%
27%
30%
30%
31%
29%
34%
37%
29%
34%
36%
36%
18%
18%
13%
15%
14%
17%
14%
18%
22%
40%
55%
45%
40%
47%
2%
3%
3%
5%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened a lot Difficult to answer
Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed?
8
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
7%
8%
13%
17%
8%
12%
9%
12%
10%
10%
9%
11%
7%
6%
30%
32%
35%
31%
38%
27%
20%
16%
13%
14%
19%
25%
21%
21%
32%
32%
26%
24%
29%
29%
31%
26%
26%
23%
24%
23%
32%
23%
17%
15%
11%
11%
12%
17%
28%
35%
43%
35%
27%
27%
23%
31%
13%
12%
14%
16%
12%
13%
12%
11%
8%
17%
20%
12%
16%
18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen a lot Difficult to answer
In the next 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine to change?
9
Electoral Moods
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the local elections if they were held next Sunday?
11
25%
37%
10%
21%
7%
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Very unlikely
Difficult to answer
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the local elections if they were held next Sunday?
12
20%
24%
27%
27%
36%
37%
32%
46%
7%
13%
9%
10%
27%
23%
21%
13%
11%
4%
11%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
East
South
Center
West
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Difficult to answer
Do you support the idea of pre-term parliamentary elections in Ukraine?
13
15%
18%
20%
27%
23%
25%
22%
20%
19%
23%
23%
22%
14%
17%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer
34%
40%
39%
46%
34%
34%
41%
42%
49%
42%
29%
34%
28%
28%
33%
33%
32%
33%
36%
34%
35%
33%
32%
32%
35%
40%
33%
34%
7%
9%
8%
5%
8%
7%
8%
5%
4%
7%
9%
4%
10%
9%
13%
11%
14%
11%
19%
20%
10%
12%
11%
15%
20%
16%
20%
21%
12%
8%
8%
5%
4%
5%
6%
8%
3%
5%
8%
6%
9%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer
If pre-term parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, would you vote?
14
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the elections, for which
political party would you vote?
15
16%
27%
3%
1%
1%1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
4%
5%
7%
8%
8%
9%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answer
I would not vote
Other
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
People’s Control
Narodnyi Front
Party of Common People
Left Opposition
Right Sector
NASH KRAI
National Movement of D.Yarosh
Vidrodzhennia
UKROP
Civic Position
Svoboda
Radical Party
BPP “Solidarnist”
Samopomich
Opposition Bloc
Batkivshchyna
(Among All Respondents)
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the elections, for which
political party would you vote?
16
(Among Likely Voters, n=1,487)
17%
4%
1%
1%
1%1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
4%
5%
8%
11%
11%
11%
13%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answer
Other
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
Narodnyi Front
People’s Control
Party of Common People
Left Opposition
Right Sector
NASH KRAI
National Movement of D.Yarosh
Vidrodzhennia
UKROP
Civic Position
Svoboda
Radical Party
BPP “Solidarnist”
Opposition Bloc
Samopomich
Batkivshchyna
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties – including a political party of Mikheil
Saakashvili – participated in the elections, for which political party would you vote?
17
(Among All Respondents)
14%26%
3%1%
1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%
3%5%
7%7%
8%8%8%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answerI would not vote
OtherAgrarian Party of Ukraine
People’s ControlNarodnyi Front
Party of Common PeopleRight Sector
Left OppositionNASH KRAI
National Movement of D.YaroshVidrodzhennia
UKROPCivic Position
SvobodaRadical PartySamopomich
BPP “Solidarnist”Political party of Mikheil Saakashvili
Opposition BlocBatkivshchyna
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties – including political party of Mikheil Saakashvili – participated in the elections, for which political
party would you vote?
18
(Among Likely Voters, n=1,487)
14%4%
1%1%
1%1%1%2%2%2%2%3%3%
4%7%
9%10%10%
11%13%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answerOther
Agrarian Party of UkraineNarodnyi Front
People’s ControlParty of Common People
Right SectorLeft Opposition
NASH KRAINational Movement of D.Yarosh
VidrodzhenniaUKROP
Civic PositionSvoboda
Radical PartyBPP “Solidarnist”
SamopomichPolitical party of Mikheil Saakashvili
Opposition BlocBatkivshchyna
Assessment of Ukrainian Authorities’ Performance
9%
11%
15%
3%
4%
3%
2%
33%
36%
40%
21%
20%
22%
15%
20%
19%
22%
34%
29%
28%
32%
27%
24%
13%
33%
40%
42%
43%
11%
11%
10%
8%
6%
6%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
Feruary 2016
Strongly approve Somewhat approveStrongly disapprove Difficult to answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko is doing?
20
12%
16%
13%
1%
2%
1%
1%
34%
36%
35%
10%
11%
11%
6%
17%
16%
27%
32%
29%
25%
25%
27%
24%
15%
52%
54%
57%
64%
9%
8%
10%
6%
5%
5%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
Feruary 2016
Strongly approve Somewhat approve
Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the job theGovernment of Ukraine under the leadership of Arseniy Yatsenyuk
is doing?
21
2%
6%
6%
3%
1%
11%
32%
33%
14%
9%
10%
10%
5%
30%
24%
24%
36%
35%
35%
31%
29%
50%
26%
26%
37%
49%
48%
52%
59%
8%
11%
11%
9%
6%
6%
7%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
Feruary 2016
Strongly approve Somewhat approveStrongly disapprove Difficult to answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Parliament of Ukraine is doing?
22
What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians and members of the Ukrainian government?
1%
1%
3%
2%
1%
3%
2%
3%
2%
3%
6%
3%
5%
6%
7%
2%
6%
7%
10%
12%
13%
12%
13%
15%
17%
16%
15%
19%
18%
28%
28%
7%
19%
19%
19%
21%
23%
22%
31%
21%
26%
29%
26%
17%
28%
20%
18%
10%
69%
47%
51%
43%
41%
54%
39%
44%
39%
44%
45%
23%
41%
30%
23%
70%
10%
7%
11%
9%
2%
3%
4%
1%
1%
19%
2%
7%
12%
4%
15%
10%
12%
13%
8%
12%
14%
15%
8%
8%
18%
7%
15%
16%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Mayor of Mykolaiv Oleksandr Senkevych
Prime Minister of Ukraine Arseniy Yatsenyuk
One of the leaders of the "UKROP" party Hennadiy Korban
MP, leader of Opposition Bloc Yuriy Boyko
Minister of Finance Nataliya Yaresko
First Deputy Head of the Parliament Andriy Parubiy
Leader of "Svoboda" Oleh Tyahnybok
Head of the Parliament Volodymyr Hroisman
MP, former leader of Right Sector Dmytro Yarosh
Mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klitschko
President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko
MP, leader of "Batkivshchyna" Yulia Tymoshenko
Minister of Economy Aivaras Abromavičius
MP, leader of the Radical party Oleh Lyashko
Governor of Odesa oblast Mikheil Saakashvili
Mayor of Lviv Andriy Sadovyi
Very favorable Somewhat favorableVery unfavorable Have not heard Difficult to answer
23
Views on Issues
Which three of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine?
25
1%
1%
<1%
2%
3%
4%
7%
7%
10%
16%
18%
22%
24%
24%
27%
30%
45%
57%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
Status of Russian language
Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electric power, water
Land property rights
Delay in salaries/pensions payments
Crime
Russian presence in Crimea
Relationships with Russia
Social protection for poor
Hryvnia devaluation
Political instability
Government incompetence
Control over prices' growth
Low industry production
Unemployment
Corruption within state bodies
Military conflict in Donbas
Which three of the following issues are the most important for you personally?
26
1%
4%
<1%
3%
3%
4%
6%
7%
8%
11%
13%
17%
21%
30%
36%
37%
38%
53%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
Status of Russian language
Russian presence in Crimea
Land property rights
Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electric power, water
Crime
Relationships with Russia
Delay of salaries/pensions payments
Political instability
Government incompetence
Low industry production
Corruption within the state bodies
Social protection for poor
Hryvnia devaluation
Military conflict in Donbas
Unemployment
Control over prices' growth
Which three of the following areas should be a priority for the national authorities of Ukraine?
27
7%3%
1%2%2%3%4%
5%6%7%8%
10%10%10%11%12%
15%24%24%
28%37%
51%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Difficult to answerOther
Reform of public procurementDeregulation
Reform of electoral legislationReform of state property management
Constitutional reformProgram on promoting interests of Ukraine in the world
Reform of financial sectorEducational reform
Tax reformReform of law enforcement system
Reform of public administrationEnergy independence program and energy reform
Reform of national security and defense systemDecentralization
Agricultural reformJudicial reform
Entrepreneurship developmentReform of healthcare system
New faces in governmentAnti-corruption reform
Do you support the establishment of new anti-corruption entities in Ukraine to tackle corruption?
28
19%
39%11%
10%
21%Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
Do you think that those newly established anti-corruption entities of Ukraine will effectively tackle corruption?
29
6%
28%
25%
17%
24% Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
Foreign Policy
31
If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous
economy?
13%
17%
16%
20%
19%
20%
34%
30%
29%
18%
20%
22%
15%
14%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
July 2015
November 2015
February 2016
Democracy is definitely more important to me Democracy is somewhat more important to meProsperity is definitely more important to me
Difficult to answer
32
If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, which of the following should it be?
42%
36%
37%
32%
40%
42%
41%
52%
53%
59%
55%
57%
57%
55%
40%
43%
41%
42%
37%
37%
36%
27%
24%
17%
14%
17%
15%
15%
3%
4%
5%
6%
5%
5%
9%
6%
10%
9%
12%
12%
12%
14%
15%
17%
17%
20%
18%
17%
14%
14%
13%
15%
20%
14%
16%
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September2013
February 2012
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
Feruary 2016
European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer
33
If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, which of the following should it be?
31%
40%
62%
82%
30%
25%
9%
2%
21%
19%
11%
7%
17%
16%
18%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
East
South
Center
West
European Union Customs Union of Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer
If a referendum on Ukraine joining NATO were held today, how would you vote?
34%
38%
43%
41%
48%
48%
45%
43%
40%
31%
30%
28%
30%
30%
9%
7%
17%
14%
8%
10%
10%
13%
15%
8%
15%
17%
13%
16%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
Feruary 2016
Would vote for Ukraine joining NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATOWould not vote Difficult to answer
34
26%
30%
52%
67%
44%
43%
23%
12%
18%
11%
5%
6%
12%
15%
20%
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
East
South
Center
West
For Ukraine joining NATO Against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer
If a referendum on Ukraine joining NATO were held today, how would you vote?
35
How important is a visa-free regime between Ukraine and the European Union for you personally?
36
18%
31%
19%
27%
5%
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important at all
Difficult to answer
37
9%
11%
19%
29%
20%
21%
33%
46%
20%
23%
21%
12%
44%
37%
21%
9%
7%
8%
6%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
East
South
Center
West
Very important Somewhat important Somewhat not importantNot important at all Difficult to answer
How important is a visa-free regime between Ukraine and the European Union for you personally?
Do you believe that a visa-free regime between Ukraine and the European Union will be achieved this year?
38
20%
55%
25%Yes
No
44%
4%
7%
21%
23%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Difficult to answer
Parliament of Ukraine
Government of Ukraine
Civil society
President of Ukraine
In your opinion, who is doing the most to achieve a visa-free regime between Ukraine and the European Union?
39
42%
4%
5%
24%
26%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Difficult to answer
Civil society
President of Ukraine
Parliament of Ukraine
Government of Ukraine
In your opinion, who is doing the most to interfere with the process of achieving a visa-free regime between Ukraine and the
European Union?
40
4%
4%
5%
6%
8%
10%
10%
9%
10%
13%
15%
15%
26%
34%
33%
33%
34%
36%
40%
40%
45%
43%
22%
57%
54%
50%
43%
45%
46%
43%
39%
36%
36%
29%
7%
3%
8%
12%
7%
4%
4%
7%
4%
4%
29%
3%
2%
4%
3%
2%
2%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Russia
Turkey
Moldova
Germany
USA
Lithuania
Canada
Georgia
European Union
Belarus
Poland
Very warm Warm Neutral Very cold Difficult to answer
1%
1%
1%
<1%
1%
How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries?
41
1%
Women and Youth in Ukraine
If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one
is a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?
17%
21%
15%
14%
17%
17%
16%
17%
60%
57%
64%
66%
5%
6%
5%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
Would vote for the female candidate Would vote for the male candidateMakes no difference to me Difficult to answer
43
44
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of women”?
22%
26%
20%
22%
30%
31%
33%
32%
21%
23%
24%
24%
5%
5%
8%
8%
21%
15%
15%
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly disagree Difficult to answer
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of young people”?
45
29%
34%
28%
27%
33%
37%
37%
35%
16%
16%
17%
18%
4%
4%
6%
7%
18%
10%
12%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly disagree Difficult to answer
Sources of Information
Which of the following sources of information do you use to obtain political information?(Several Answers Possible)
47
88%
48%
36%
25%
17%
8%
7%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Ukrainian TV
Internet
Relatives, friends
Ukrainian newspapers
Ukrainian radio
Russian TV
Colleagues at work
Billboards on the streets
Ukrainian magazines
Meetings with politicians
Russian radio
Leaflets, other materials
Other
Difficult to answer
Which of the following sources of information do you use to obtain political information?
Support joiningEU
Support joining Customs Union
Support joining NATO
Don’t support joining NATO
Ukrainian TV 90% 82% 90% 85%Internet 54% 41% 54% 45%Relatives, friends 34% 45% 35% 40%Ukrainian newspapers 30% 19% 32% 20%Ukrainian radio 18% 16% 20% 15%Russian TV 4% 23% 4% 16%Colleagues at work 8% 8% 8% 7%Billboards in the streets 3% 7% 3% 5%Ukrainian magazines 3% 2% 3% 2%Meetings with politicians 2% 1% 2% 1%Russian radio 1% 2% 1% 1%
Leaflets, other materials 0% 4% 0% 3%
Other 0% 1% 0% 1%Difficult to answer 0% 1% 0% 1%
(Several Answers Possible)
48
19%
25%
19%
24%
28%
30%
32%
29%
31%
33%
7%
4%
5%
5%
6%
9%
8%
9%
9%
10%
7%
4%
5%
8%
9%
9%
8%
10%
11%
9%
6%
6%
7%
10%
8%
5%
5%
7%
5%
5%
5%
3%
4%
5%
6%
6%
4%
6%
4%
4%
53%
56%
57%
47%
42%
40%
42%
38%
38%
37%
2%
1%
3%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
February 2016
Everyday 5-6 times per week 3-4 times per week 1-2 times per week Less often Never Difficult to answer
How many times per week do you access the Internet?
49
How many times per week do you access the Internet?
39% 39%
36%
47%
51%
53% 53%55%
56%57%
53%
56%57%
47%
42%
40%
42%
38% 38%37%
30%
40%
50%
60%
November2011
March 2012 September2012
May 2013 September2013
February2014
September2014
July 2015 September2015
February2016
At least once per week Never
50
Mykolaiv and Kherson Region, n=1,125
February 18 – March 4, 2016
Do you support the idea of pre-term parliamentary elections in Ukraine?
52
24%
29%20%
14%
12%
Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
If pre-term parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, would you vote?
53
28%
36%
11%
19%
6%
Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Somewhat no
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the elections, which
political party would you vote for?
54
22%
27%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
3%
6%
7%
7%
8%
10%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answer
I would not vote
Other
Narodnyi Front
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
UKROP
Party of Common People
Strong Ukraine
NASH KRAI
Civic Position
Svoboda
Left Opposition
BPP “Solidarnist”
Radical Party
Samopomich
Opposition Bloc
Batkivshchyna
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample; Among All Respondents)
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the elections, which
political party would you vote for?
55
30%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
4%
9%
9%
10%
11%
14%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Difficult to answer
Other
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
Narodnyi Front
UKROP
Party of Common People
Strong Ukraine
NASH KRAI
Civic Position
Svoboda
Left Opposition
BPP “Solidarnist”
Radical Party
Samopomich
Opposition Bloc
Batkivshchyna
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample; Among Likely Voters, N=726)
56
In your opinion, which institution is most responsible for improving the standard of living and quality of life for
Ukrainians?
5%
1%
1%
10%
36%
47%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Difficult to answer
Other
Local authorities
Parliament
President
Government under the leadership of current PrimeMinister
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
In your opinion, should more rights be transferred from central authorities to local authorities and communities?
57
25%
47%
10%
5%
13%
Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Somewhat no
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
58
In your opinion, are your local authorities, who were elected in the last local elections, able to cope with more responsibilities that might result from the adoption of decentralization reform?
17%
47%
14%
5%
17%Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Somewhat no
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
Who do you think should hold the most responsibility for addressing local issues and providing services to your community?
10%
4%
9%
10%
11%
11%
11%
12%
22%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Difficult to answer
Government and central government agencies
Council of your village
Council of your rayon
Your local mayor
Council of your oblast
Governor of your rayon
Governor of your oblast
Council of your city/town
59
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
60
Mykolaiv oblast(N=588)
Kherson oblast(N=537)
Industry 69% 25%Fight against corruption 45% 33%Infrastructure (roads, etc.) 41% 31%Agriculture and land 24% 22%Defense and military 12% 33%Healthcare 17% 19%Security in the city 16% 18%Pensions and social benefits 10% 15%Energy 13% 12%Lustration 5% 18%Housing and communal economy 10% 12%Sea fleet 14% 6%Law-enforcement agencies, including local police 3% 18%Deregulation and support of entrepreneurship 4% 7%Taxation 3% 7%Ecology 4% 5%Schools and kindergartens 2% 5%Youth 3% 3%Education and science 1% 4%Culture 2% 0%Other 2% 1%
In your opinion, which areas should be a priority for the authorities of your oblast?
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample; Up to Three Answers)
61
21%
3%
14%
7%
5%
7%
59%
83%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Mykolaiv
Kherson
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer
Do you approve or disapprove the activities of the Governor of the Mykolaiv Oblast, Vadym Merikov?
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
62
Do you approve or disapprove the activities of the former Governor of the Kherson Oblast, Andriy Putilov?
1%
12% 35% 28%
99%
24%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Mykolaiv
Kherson
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
63
What is your attitude toward the current mayor of Mykolaiv, Oleksandr Senkevych?
5%
9%
26%
18%
10%
25%
9%
42%
23%
6%
27%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Kherson
Mykolaiv
Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorableVery unfavorable Have not heard about him Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
64
In your opinion, which of the following should Ukraine do?
9%
1%
0%
9%
19%
62%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Difficult to answer
Other
Be divided into several countries
Become a federal country
Remain a unitary country, but without Crimea
Remain a unitary country
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
Do you feel that citizens of Ukraine whose native language is Russian are under pressure or threat because of their language?
65
2%
37%
58%
3%
Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Somewhat no
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
66
Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army “to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine?”
2%
23%
72%
3%
Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Somewhat no
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
67
How do you evaluate Russia’s actions toward Crimea?
8%
10%
7%
76%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Difficult to answer
Other
It is a lawful protection of Russian-speaking citizens ofUkraine
It is an illegal invasion and occupation of independentUkraine
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
68
How do you evaluate Russia’s actions toward Crimea?
2%
17%
27%
86%
60%
42%
7%
17%
14%
5%
6%
17%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Among those who believe Ukraineshould remain a unitary country
Among those who believe Ukraineshould remain a unitary country, but
without Crimea
Among those who believe Ukraineshould become a federal country
It is a lawful protection of Russian-speaking citizens of UkraineIt is an illegal invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine
Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
In your opinion, are Ukrainian authorities doing enough to ensure the return of Crimea?
69
2%
14%
33%37%
14%
Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
70
In your opinion, how should Ukraine act regarding Crimea today: use all possible resources in order to return Crimea to Ukraine or
accept the transfer of Crimea to Russia?
19%
37%
44%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Difficult to answer
Accept transfer of Crimea to Russia
Use all possible resources in order to return Crimea toUkraine
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
How would you rate your support of these actions towards Crimea?
71
9%
9%
9%
25%
22%
22%
29%
31%
30%
25%
25%
25%
4%
5%
5%
8%
8%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Energy blockade
Food blockade
Trade blockade
Fully support Somewhat supportTotally don't support Haven’t heard anything about this Difficult to answer
Since September, 2015, Crimean activists have supported a blockade to prevent the shipment of goods from mainland Ukraine to the peninsula.
(Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample)
Demographics
Demographics
45%
55%
33%
25%
43%
45%
32%
21%
1%
1%
3%
23%
39%
35%
24%
1%
19%
1%
31%
3%
9%
8%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Males
Females
18-35
36-50
51+
Ukrainian
Russian
Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally
Both, Russian and other language equally
Other
Primary/Non-complete secondary
General secondary
Vocational secondary
Higher/Non-complete higher
Worker
Farmer
White collar
Higher or medium level executive
Pensioner (not working)
Student
Housewife
Unemployed
Other
SEX
AGE
LAN
GU
AGE
SPO
KEN
AT
HO
ME
EDU
CATI
ON
OCC
UPA
TIO
N
73
Demographics
74
32%
23%
8%
1%
1%
6%
26%
1%
3%
69%
31%
24%
32%
23%
22%
0% 50% 100%
Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)
Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)
Greek Catholic
Catholic
Protestant
Atheist
I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion
Other
Difficult to answer
City
Village
West
Center
South
East
RELI
GIO
NTY
PE O
FSE
TTLE
MEN
TRE
GIO
NS
Demographics
75
17%
35%
34%
11%
1%
2%
0% 50%
We need to save money for food
We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrowmoney for buying clothes and shoes
We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes,but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good
suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner
We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and otherpurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more
expensive things (e.g., appliances)
We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensivepurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a
car or an apartment
I can buy anything at any time
FAM
ILY
FIN
ANCE
S
Demographics
45%
55%
32%
26%
41%
23%
43%
32%
1%
6%
41%
29%
24%
25%
1%
15%
2%
29%
4%
8%
12%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Males
Females
18-35
36-50
51+
Ukrainian
Russian
Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally
Both, Ukrainian and other language equally
Primary/Non-complete secondary
General secondary
Vocational secondary
Higher/Non-complete higher
Worker
Farmer
White collar
Higher or medium level executive
Pensioner (not working)
Student
Housewife
Unemployed
Other
GEN
DER
AGE
LAN
GU
AGE
SPO
KEN
AT
HO
ME
EDU
CATI
ON
OCC
UPA
TIO
N
76
Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample
Demographics
77
29%
20%
1%
9%
1%
1%
6%
64%
36%
52%
48%
0% 50% 100%
Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)
Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)
Muslim
Atheist
I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion
Other
Difficult to answer
City
Village
Mykolaiv
Kherson
RELI
GIO
NTY
PE O
FSE
TTLE
MEN
TRE
GIO
NS
Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample
Demographics
78
20%
48%
26%
4%
1%
2%
0% 50% 100%
We need to save money for food
We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrowmoney for buying clothes and shoes
We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes,but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good
suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner
We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and otherpurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more
expensive things (e.g., appliances)
We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensivepurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a
car or an apartment
Difficult to answer
FAM
ILY
FIN
ANCE
S
Mykolaiv and Kherson Oversample
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