WORLD ENERGY INVESTMENT OUTLOOK Global Strategic Energy Challenges Dr. Fatih Birol Chief Economist Head, Economic Analysis Division International Energy Agency INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY U S D OE Spe c ia l Awa rd fo r Ana ly t ic a l Ex c e lle n c e U S D OE Spe c ia l Awa rd fo r Ana ly t ic a l Ex c e lle n c e AB N AM R O A w ar d of Ex ce lle nc e AB N AM R O A w ar d of Ex ce lle nc e W or ld C oa l Ins titut e Spe c ia l Awa rd W or ld C oa l Ins titut e Spe c ia l Awa rd
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Fatih Birol - International Association for Energy Economics · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - Fatih Birol Author: rebecca Created Date: 7/13/2004 10:53:47 PM
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WORLD ENERGY INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
Global Strategic Energy Challenges
Dr. Fatih BirolChief Economist Head, Economic Analysis DivisionInternational Energy Agency
INTERNATIONALENERGY AGENCY
US DOE
Special Award
for Analytical
Excellence
US DOE
Special Award
for Analytical
Excellence
ABN AMRO
Award of
Excellence
ABN AMRO
Award of
Excellence
World Coal
Institute
Special AwardWorld Coal
Institute
Special Award
World Primary Energy DemandWorld Primary Energy Demand
Gas grows fastest in absolute terms & non-hydro renewables fastest in % terms, but oil remains the dominant fuel in 2030
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Mto
e
Oil
Natural gas
Coal
Nuclear power
Hydro powerNon-hydro renewables
Global Strategic ChallengesGlobal Strategic Challenges
Security of energy supplies
Threat of environmental damage caused by energy use
Uneven access of the world’s population to modern energy
Investment in energy-supply infrastructure
Developing Asia Oil and Gas Developing Asia Oil and Gas ImportsImports
20022002 20302030Oil Net Imports
Oil Net Imports
Gas Net Imports
Gas Net Imports
Gas Production
Gas Production
Oil Production
Oil Production
Imports: 45% Imports: 72%
Developing Asia will become more dependent on oil & gas imports, from fewer countries – mainly Middle East and Russia.
Global Strategic ChallengesGlobal Strategic Challenges
Security of energy supplies
Threat of environmental damage caused by energy use
Uneven access of the world’s population to modern energy