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EXPONENTIAL OPPORTUNITY ime of exponential opportunity for New Zealand
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EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

Jan 18, 2016

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Rodger Preston
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Page 1: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

EXPONENTIAL OPPORTUNITY

A time of exponential opportunity for New Zealand

Page 2: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH

Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present.

The bigger the system is, the greater the increase.

Page 3: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

Once you take a domain or industry and power it with information technology and information properties its price/performance starts doubling.

Once that starts it doesn’t stop, you get exponential growth. Dr Ray Kurzweil

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH

Source: kurzweilai.net

Page 4: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

COMPUTING TRANSFORMATION

1st Platform – MainframeThousands of appsMillions of users

2nd Platform – PCTens of thousand appsHundreds of millions of

users

3rd Platform – Mobile/CloudMillions of appsBillions of usersTrillions of “Things”

Source: idc.com

Page 5: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

AI

Robotics

Biotech

Nanotech

Medicine

Neuroscience

Energy

Space

Computing

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Page 6: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.
Page 7: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.
Page 8: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.
Page 9: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

AI

Robotics

Biotech

Nanotech

Medicine

Neuroscience

Energy

Space

Computing

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Page 10: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.
Page 11: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

9% global penetration (2011)

25% global penetration (2015)

Exponential Growth of Smart Mobile Devices(Global unit sales, millions)

Source: eMarketer

MOBILE DEVICES

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Page 12: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

Global Internet Users Growing Fast(Global internet users, billions)

Source: ITU

MOBILE INTERNET

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Page 13: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

From $30 /KWh (1980)

To $0.16 /KWh (2014)

200x in 34 years

Cost of Solar Plummeting(Price per KWh)

Sources: DOE NREL Solar Market Report, SolarBuzz Retail Price Environment

SOLAR ENERGY

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Coal/Natural Gas Price Band

Page 14: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

From $10,000,000 (2007)

To $1,000 (2014)

10,000x in 7 years

Cost to Sequence Human Genome (Logarithmic scale)

Source: Lilly Clinical

BIOTECH

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Page 15: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.
Page 16: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

From $500,000 (2008)

To $135,000 (2010)

To $22,000 (2012)

23x in 5 years

Industrial Robot Advances(Indexed)

Sources: htetechnologies.com

INDUSTRIAL ROBOTS

Source: UNECE

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Page 17: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

Do you think you will need a Drivers License?

Source: Google

AUTONOMOUS VEHICALS

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

From $350,000 of sensors (2011)

To $1,000 (2015)

300x in 4 years

Page 18: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

AI

Robotics

Biotech

Nanotech

Medicine

Neuroscience

Energy

Space

Computing

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Page 19: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

Source: Economist

UNICORNS - $1B VALUATIONS

EXPONENTIAL ORGANISATIONS

Page 20: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

PLATFORMS & ECOSYSTEMS

EXPONENTIAL OPPORTUNITY

Page 21: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.
Page 22: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

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