European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network (ELPEN) Erling Andersen Danish Centre for Forest, Landscape and Planning Frans Godeschalk The Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI) Brussels 20.11.2002
Dec 19, 2015
European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network (ELPEN)
Erling AndersenDanish Centre for Forest, Landscape and Planning
Frans Godeschalk
The Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI)
Brussels 20.11.2002
ELPENOverall objective
To build a decision support system for spatially explicit assessments of environmental, economic and social impacts of European livestock policy.
The ELPEN approach
Livestock systems
Agricultural statistical data
Farm level information
Contextual information
Economic modelling
Step 1: Agricultural sectors
All farms in the EU50% or more of value
of production frompigs
50% or more ofvalue of production
from poultry
Rest of farms(< 50% OU_GL and <50% OU_Pigs and <50% OU_Poultry)
50% or more ofvalue of
production fromGL
> 0 LU GL 0 LU GL > 0 LUGL
0 LUGL
> 0 LU GL 0 LU GL
Grazinglivestock
GL / Pigs Pigs GL /Poultry
Poultry GL/Arable
and other
Arableand
other84,1% GL LU 1,7% 0% 0,5% 0% 13,7% 0%
Step 2: Grazing livestock sectors
Grazing livestock farms>= 75% Cattle in
LU_GL>= 25% and < 75%Cattle in LU_GL
< 25% Cattle inLU_GL
and >= 50% Sheepin LU Sheep&Goats
< 25% Cattle inLU_GL
and < 50% Sheepin LU Sheep&Goats
CattleMixed grazing
livestockSheep Goats
78% GL LU 11% 10% 1%
Grazing livestock farms>= 75% Milk in OU_GL >= 33% and < 75% Milk in
OU_GL< 33% Milk in OU_GL
Dairy Mixed production Meat42% GL LU 25% 33%
Step 3: Grazing livestock systemsA. Land use
Grazing livestock farms< 150 grazing days outside UAA / LU_GL
< 5 LU grazing livestock per ha UAA>= 55% grass in UAA < 55% grass
in UAA
>= 150grazing
daysoutsideUAA /LU_GL
>= 5 LUgrazing
livestock perha UAA < 40% temporary grass
in total grass>= 40% temporary grass
in total grass Off-farmgrazingsystems
Off-farmproduced
foddersystems
Permanent grasssystems
Grasslandsystems
Arablesystems
2% 3% 51% 13% 31%
Step 3: Grazing livestock systemsB. Intensity
Grazing livestock farmsInput costs
< 150 ECU/ha UAAInput costs
>= 150 - < 600 ECU/ha UAAInput costs
>= 600 ECU/ha UAALow input systems Medium input systems High input systems
24% GL LU 54% 22%
Step 3: Grazing livestock systemsC. Size
Grazing livestock farms< 20 LU_GL >= 20 – < 100 LU_GL >= 100 LU_GL
Small-scale systems Medium-scale systems Large-scale systems6% GL LU 55% 39%
Location of systems
Low input grassland systems
High input grassland systems
Example of application: Two scenarios for area payments
All direct support substituted by:
1. UAA premium- a unionwide homogeneous area payment on the total farmed area
2. Grassland premium- a unionwide homogeneous area payment on permanent and rough grassland
Example of application: Area payments
Share of support:Share of
farmsToday UAA
premiumGrassland
premium
Permanentgrassland
48 45 56 84
Arable 34 38 32 11
Grassland 12 14 11 4
Off-farmgrazing
3 1 1 1
Off-farm pro-duced fodder
3 1 0 0
Source: FADN-CCE-DG Agriculture/A-3; adaptation LEI.
Example of application: Area payments Permanent grassland systems
58 ha58 GLU84% Permanent and rough grassFFI: 19100 Ecu33% older than 6578% of UAA in LFA
Source: FADN-CCE-DG Agriculture/A-3; adaptation LEI.
Example of application: Area payments Permanent grassland systems
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Fertiliser
Crop protection
Stocking density
Grassland
Permanent grass
Grassland pressure
Source: FADN-CCE-DG Agriculture/A-3; adaptation LEI.
Example of application: Area payments Intensity
Share offarms
Share ofsupport
today
UAApremium
Grasslandpremium
High input 18 11 9 7
Medium input 51 56 48 41
Low input 31 33 43 52
Source: FADN-CCE-DG Agriculture/A-3; adaptation LEI.
Example of application: Area payments Size
Share offarms
Share ofsupport
today
UAApremium
Grasslandpremium
Large-scale 13 33 37 40
Medium-scale 63 58 55 53
Small-scale 25 9 7 7
Source: FADN-CCE-DG Agriculture/A-3; adaptation LEI.
Variables used in the typologyNo. Grazing days outside UAAUtilised Agricultural Area (UAA) (ha)Area Temporary grass (ha)Area Permanent pasture + Rough grazing (ha)Cattle (total) (LU)Sheep and goats (LU)Sheep (LU)Total output (ECU)Output Cows' milk and milk prod. (ECU)Output Beef and veal (ECU)Output Pigmeat (ECU)Output Sheep and goats (ECU)Output Poultrymeat (ECU)Output Eggs (ECU)Output Ewes' and goats' milk (ECU)Costs Fertilisers (ECU)Costs Crop protection (ECU)Costs Purchased concentrated feedingstuffs for graz. livestock
Grazing days outside UAA
Source: FADN-CCE-DG Agriculture/A-3; adaptation LEI.
Grassland data
FSS FADNBelgium 18 8Denmark 43 50Germany 4 1Greece 13 35Spain 2 11France 24 33Ireland 17 7Italy 22 3Luxembourg 12 0Netherlands 7 0Austria 2 0Portugal 4 14Finland 97 100Sweden 73 48United Kingdom 13 13EU 15 16 17
Percentage temporary grass of total grassland
Cost of inputs
Supp. Feed dairy Ammonium nitrateBelgium 106 101Denmark 117Germany 67 96Greece 118 61Spain 104 103France 92 115Ireland 93 101Italy 112 123Luxembourg 108 104Netherlands 71 99Austria 105Portugal 127Finland 121Sweden 104 152United Kingdom 81
Source: DGagri web
Price index 1998 100 = average for all the mentioned member states
Conclusions 1
•Based on the expert knowledge and FADN data we have build a typology of grazing livestock systems
•The livestock systems have different environmental profiles enabling policy assessment
•More detailed information on farming practices and location is needed - reference farms and GIS-analysis
Conclusions 2
•We need to check the quality of the variables used to build the typology
•This meeting
•Questionnarie