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EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences <http://www.vki.hu/~tfleisch> <[email protected]> Turkey and EU Enlargement: Prospects and Policies Public Workshop - Central European University Center for EU Enlargement Studies (CENS) and Sabanci University Istanbul Policy Center (IPC) Budapest, 12-13 January 2012
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EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

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Page 1: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS

Tamás FleischerInstitute for World Economics

of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences<http://www.vki.hu/~tfleisch>

<[email protected]>

Turkey and EU Enlargement: Prospects and PoliciesPublic Workshop - Central European UniversityCenter for EU Enlargement Studies (CENS) and Sabanci University Istanbul Policy Center (IPC)

Budapest, 12-13 January 2012

Page 2: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

Main consequences for Turkey (my interpretation)

2012

Turkey

(1) Create a clear social picture about the directions of a local transport future: the possibilities of decreasing the car dependency

(2) Preparation of a transport strategy: what kind of transport structure and strategy is needed for the future development of Turkey?

(4)

Study the EU transport policy, to see what can the EU offer for Turkey -- and what Turkey can offer to the EU

(3) Needs/offers of the EU for external relations

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 3: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

Main consequences for Turkey (my interpretation)

Trans-European North-South Motorway (TEM)

Page 4: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

Main consequences for Turkey (my interpretation)

2012

Turkey

(1) Create a clear social picture about the directions of a local transport future: the possibilities of decreasing the car dependency

(2) Preparation of a transport strategy: what kind of transport structure and strategy is needed for the future development of Turkey?

(4)

Study the EU transport policy, to see what can the EU offer for Turkey -- and what Turkey can offer to the EU

(3) Needs/offers of the EU for external relations

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 5: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

Main EU Transport Policy documents

White Paper 1992 (COM (92) 494 final. The Future Development of the Common Transport Policy – A Global Approach to the Construction of a Community Framework for Sustainable Mobility. Brussels: Commission of the European Communities)

White Paper 2001 (COM (2001.) 370.final. European transport policy for 2010: time to decide. Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, CEC,)

Mid-term review 2006 (COM(2006) 314 final) Keep Europe moving - Sustainable mobility for our continent - Mid-term review of the European Commission’s 2001 Transport White paper. Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament, Brussels, 22.6.2006)

White Paper 2011 (COM(2011) 144 final. White Paper: Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport System. European Commission, Brussels, 28.3.2011.)

Page 6: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

bef. 1992 Specific sub-sector targets; (motivation: competition balancing)

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 7: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

bef. 1992 Specific sub-sector targets; (motivation: competition balancing)

1992CTP

harmonisation of state regulations

„Single network to a single market”

TEN-T

(keep up with USA & Japan/E-Asia)

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

*

Page 8: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

bef. 1992 Specific sub-sector targets; (motivation: competition balancing)

1992CTP

harmonisation of state regulations*

„Single network to a single market”

TEN-T

(keep up with USA & Japan/E-Asia)

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

*

* (Don’t attribute exaggerated significance to the corridors !)

Page 9: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

bef. 1992 Specific sub-sector targets; (motivation: competition balancing)

1992CTP

harmonisation of state regulations*

„Single network to a single market”

TEN-T

(keep up with USA & Japan/E-Asia)

1994-96TEN

TEN-Guidelines + emphasis on 14 priority projects

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 10: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

bef. 1992 Specific sub-sector targets; (motivation: competition balancing)

1992CTP

harmonisation of state regulations*

„Single network to a single market”

TEN-T

(keep up with USA & Japan/E-Asia)

1994-96TEN

TEN-Guidelines + emphasis on 14 priority projects

1997 =>

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 11: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

1991–94–97

PEC

Pan-European (Helsinki) Corridors

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 12: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

1991–94–97

PEC

Pan-European (Helsinki) Corridors

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 13: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

1991–94–97

PEC

Pan-European (Helsinki) Corridors

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

That would be an extension of the TEN grid

Page 14: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

1991–94–97

PEC

Pan-European (Helsinki) Corridors

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

This is the extension of the E-W axes

Page 15: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

1991–94–97

PEC

Pan-European (Helsinki) Corridors

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

And this is what was really happening

Page 16: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

1991–94–97

PEC

Pan-European (Helsinki) Corridors

1995–99

TINA

TINA densified secondary network for the accessing countries

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 17: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

1991–94–97

PEC

Pan-European (Helsinki) Corridors

1995–99

TINA

TINA densified secondary network for the accessing countries

2002 & 2003TIRS & REBIS

Tra. Infrastr. Reg. Study in the Balkans

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 18: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2001

WP „Time to Decide”

Users in the heart of transport policy

Breaking the economic transport

Reduction in

Decreasing

link between growth and growth;

mobility

road transport

TEN-T

Managing the globalisation of transport

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 19: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2001

WP „Time to Decide”

Users in the heart of transport policy

Breaking the economic transport

Reduction in

Decreasing

link between growth and growth;

mobility

road transport

TEN-T

Managing the globalisation of transport

2004 (29 April)

TEN-T Guidelines

30 priority projects

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 20: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2001

WP „Time to Decide”

Users in the heart of transport policy

Breaking the economic transport

Reduction in

Decreasing

link between growth and growth;

mobility

road transport

TEN-T

Managing the globalisation of transport

2004 (29 April)

TEN-T Guidelines

30 priority projects

2006WP review„Keep Europe Moving”

“optimise each

potential”„Mobility

disconnected negative side-

mode’s own

must be from its effects”

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 21: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2001

WP „Time to Decide”

Users in the heart of transport policy

Breaking the economic transport

Reduction in

Decreasing

link between growth and growth;

mobility

road transport

TEN-T

Managing the globalisation of transport

2004 (29 April)

TEN-T Guidelines

30 priority projects

2006WP review„Keep Europe Moving”

“optimise each

potential”„Mobility

disconnected negative side-

mode’s own

must be from its effects”

2007 =>

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 22: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2007Guidelines for transport in Europe and neighbouring regions:

Extension of the major trans-European transport axes to the neighbouring countries and regions.

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 23: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2007Guidelines for transport in Europe and neighbouring regions:

Extension of the major trans-European transport axes to the neighbouring countries and regions.

2011Union guide-lines for the development of the Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T)

Identification of main urban and other nodes

Connecting these main nodes by multimodal links

Missing links of free movementdisparity in quality lack of nodes cap.emission reductiondifferent rules

Dual layer approach: core

&

comprehensive network + core network corridors

Adequate connections to neighboring and third countries

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 24: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2011WP Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system

GHG emissionpass 17 %freight 6 %

GHG emissionpass 33 %freight 23 %

GHG emissionpass 10 %freight 11 %

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 25: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2011WP Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system

GHG emissionpass 17 %freight 6 %

GHG emissionpass 33 %freight 23 %

GHG emissionpass 10 %freight 11 %

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 26: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2011WP Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system

GHG emissionpass 17 %freight 6 %

GHG emissionpass 33 %freight 23 %

Goals: 60 % GHG emission reduction by 2050; reducing oil dependency; barriers to increasing congestion

GHG emissionpass 10 %freight 11 %

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 27: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2011WP Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system

GHG emissionpass 17 %freight 6 %

GHG emissionpass 33 %freight 23 %

Goals: 60 % GHG emission reduction by 2050; reducing oil dependency; barriers to increasing congestion

+ ‘implicit objective’: „…single European transport area”

GHG emissionpass 10 %freight 11 %

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 28: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2011WP Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system

GHG emissionpass 17 %freight 6 %

GHG emissionpass 33 %freight 23 %

Goals: 60 % GHG emission reduction by 2050; reducing oil dependency; barriers to increasing congestion

+ ‘implicit objective’: „…single European transport area”

GHG emissionpass 10 %freight 11 %

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 29: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2011WP Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system

GHG emissionpass 17 %freight 6 %

(1) Phase out conventionally fuelled cars in cities

(9) 0 fatalities by 2050(10) User / polluter pays, harmful subsidies = 0

GHG emissionpass 33 %freight 23 %

(3) 30% of >300km road fright at another mode by 2030; 50% by 2050; (4) 3x more h-s rail 2030, medium dis. Rail by 2050(8) Multimodal inform. Management payment sys

(9) 0 fatalities by 2050(10) User / polluter pays, harmful subsidies = 0

Goals: 60 % GHG emission reduction by 2050; reducing oil dependency; barriers to increasing congestion

+ ‘implicit objective’: „…single European transport area”

GHG emissionpass 10 %freight 11 %

(2) Reduce maritime emissions with 40%, low-carbon fuel planes achieve 40% share in fleet(6) rail provision of air-ports and ports by 2050(7) Transport manag. system for air, land, water by 2020 + Galileo (9) 0 fatalities by 2050(10) User / polluter pays, harmful subsidies = 0

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 30: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

2011WP Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system

GHG emissionpass 17 %freight 6 %

(1) Phase out conventionally fuelled cars in cities

(9) 0 fatalities by 2050(10) User / polluter pays, harmful subsidies = 0

GHG emissionpass 33 %freight 23 %

(3) 30% of >300km road fright at another mode by 2030; 50% by 2050; (4) 3x more h-s rail 2030, medium dis. Rail by 2050(8) Multimodal inform. Management payment sys

(9) 0 fatalities by 2050(10) User / polluter pays, harmful subsidies = 0

Goals: 60 % GHG emission reduction by 2050; reducing oil dependency; barriers to increasing congestion

+ ‘implicit objective’: „…single European transport area”

(5) TEN-T core network by 2030; capacity extension by 2050

GHG emissionpass 10 %freight 11 %

(2) Reduce maritime emissions with 40%, low-carbon fuel planes achieve 40% share in fleet(6) rail provision of air-ports and ports by 2050(7) Transport manag. system for air, land, water by 2020 + Galileo (9) 0 fatalities by 2050(10) User / polluter pays, harmful subsidies = 0

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 31: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU transport policy milestones

bef. 1992 Specific sub-sector targets; : competition balancing

1992 CTP harmonisation of state regulations

„Single network to a single market” + TEN-T

(keep up with USA & Japan/E-Asia)

1996 TEN TEN-Guidelines + emphasis on 14 priority projects

1991–94–97 PEC Pan-European (Helsinki) Corridors

1995–99 TINA TINA densified secondary netw. for accessing countries

2001 WP „Time to Decide”

Users in the heart of transport policy

Breaking the link between econoReduction in

Decreasing

mic growth and transport growthmobility

road transport + TEN-T

Managing the globalisation of transport

2002 TIRS & 2003 REBIS Transport Infrastructure Regional Study in the Balkans

2004 (29 Apr.) TEN-T Guidelines 30 priority projects

2006 WP review„Keep Europe Moving”

“optimise each „Mobility must be disconnected

mode’s own potential”from its negative side-effects”

2007 Guidelines for Europe and neighboring regions:

Extension of trans-European transport axes to neighboring countries and regions.

2011 WP …to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport sy

No. (2) (9) (10) of ten goals No. (3) (4) (8) (9) (10) of ten goals

60 % GHG emiss. reduc. 2050; reducing oil dependency; barriers to increasing congestion + „single European transport area”No. (5) of ten goals

No. (2) (6) (7) (9) (10) of ten goals

2011 TEN-T Guidelines Identification of urban main nodes Dual layer approach: core & comprehensive network + core network corridors

Adequate connections to neighbouring and third countries

2012 Turkey (1) Create clear social picture about local transport future: the possibilities of decreasing car dependency

(2) Preparation of a transport strategy: what kind of trans-port structure and strategy is needed for the future development of Turkey?

(4) Study the EU transport policy, to see what can the EU offer for Turkey -- and what Turkey can offer to EU

(3) Needs/offers of the EU for external relations

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 32: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

Main consequences for Turkey (my interpretation)

2012

Turkey

(1) Create a clear social picture about the directions of a local transport future: the possibilities of decreasing the car dependency

(2) Preparation of a transport strategy: what kind of transport structure and strategy is needed for the future development of Turkey?

(4)

Study the EU transport policy, to see what can the EU offer for Turkey -- and what Turkey can offer to the EU

(3) Needs/offers of the EU for external relations

Years Localurban & suburban

C/Macro-regional<300 – cc.800km

ContinentalEU-wide

Global & intercontinental

Page 33: EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESS Tamás Fleischer Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Turkey and EU Enlargement:

EU TRANSPORT POLICY AND THE ENLARGEMENT PROCESSTamás FleischerInstitute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences<http://www.vki.hu/~tfleisch><[email protected]>

Turkey and EU Enlargement: Prospects and PoliciesPublic Workshop - Central European UniversityCenter for EU Enlargement Studies (CENS) and Sabanci University Istanbul Policy Center (IPC)Budapest, 12-13 January 2012

THANKS FOR YOUR

ATTENTION !