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Department of Environment, Climate Change and Water NSW Estuary Health – T hi l d T echnical and Policy Integration: A State A State Government Perspective Tony Roper Manager Monitoring Evaluation and Reporting Coordination Reporting Coordination Scientific Services Division [email protected] 1
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Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Jan 20, 2017

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Page 1: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Department of Environment, Climate Change and Water NSW

Estuary Health –T h i l dTechnical and

Policy Integration: A StateA State

Government Perspectivep

Tony RoperManager Monitoring Evaluation and Reporting CoordinationReporting CoordinationScientific Services [email protected]

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Page 2: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Outline of talk• Estuary health monitoring

C t li d t• Current policy and management• Integration

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Page 3: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Estuaries and their catchments• 184 estuaries, 111 close / open• 127,000 km2 of estuary

catchment or 15 8% of NSWcatchment or 15.8% of NSW• 5,370,000 people or 82% of NSW

(and rising) and 26% of Australia( g)• 64 LGAs, up to 10 LGAs per

estuary and 29 estuaries per LGALGA

• Pristine to rural to fully urbanised

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Page 4: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Multiple pressures (human activity)C t l l d l i• Coastal land clearing

• Land use intensification• Fertilisers, pesticides• Riparian degradation• Foreshore development• Fishing and aquacultureg q• Effluent disposal, septics• Acid sulfate soil drainage• Acid sulfate soil drainage• Training walls, artificial entrance opening, dredging

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Page 5: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Multiple stressors (from environment)• Increased nutrient inputs• Sediment load increase• Sediment load increase• Organic material

f• Altered catchment flows• Increased tidal flows• Changed salinity regime• Invasive species Caulerpa taxifolia – Little Manly Cove

• Climate change – sea level rise, rainfall, temp.

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Page 6: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Scope of the estuary management issue• Estuary / catchment diversity:• Estuary / catchment diversity:

- Biophysical- Pressures / stressors- Ecological response - Societal values / needs- Jurisdictions- Tenure

• Policy, management, planning, investment, ecological, temporal scalesg

• Data diversity – coverage, standards, databases, spreadsheets, GIS, custodians

• Need to turn complex data into information useful for decision-makers

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Page 7: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Historical NSW policy response• Estuary Management Policy (1992), estuary specific

plans• Statement of Intent for coastal lakes (2003)

- based on vulnerability / sensitivity- required sustainability assessments and

management strategiesNatural Resources Commission targets (2005)• Natural Resources Commission targets (2005)

• NSW Natural Resources MER Strategy (2006)R ti i S C (2008) S E l l t t ti l• Reporting in SoC (2008), SoE – local, state, national

• NSW State Plan (2006 and 2009)

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Page 8: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

State Plan (NRC) estuaries target

• ‘By 2015 there is an improvement in the condition of estuaries and coastal lake ecosystems’

• 1 of 13 NRM maintain or improve targets

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Page 9: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

MER Strategy 2006 (under review)

• New coordinated system of NR MER in NSW• Periodic formal reports evaluating data• Inform policy, investment and BMP decisions• Assess progress towards targets• Access to underlying knowledge baseccess to u de y g o edge base• Initial objective to assess condition

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Page 10: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Policy / management questions• How big is the problem?• Is it getting better or worse?• Is it getting better or worse?• What’s causing it?

Wh t b d t fi th bl ?• What can be done to fix the problem?• Is management making a difference?• How can the above be communicated?

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Page 11: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Translated into scientific questions

• Condition• Diagnosis• Management

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Page 12: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Estuary health monitoring program• Indicators are ecological endpoints that integrate

effects of multiple sources of degradation:p g- Chlorophyll a and macroalgae- Water clarity (turbidity)Water clarity (turbidity)- Seagrass, mangrove, saltmarsh extent

Fish assemblages- Fish assemblages• Scoring system for each indicator• Predictive models for diagnosis and future

forecasting

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Page 13: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Pressures / stressors• Population (ABS)• Land use (API mapping)• Land use (API mapping)• Hydrology change (2CSalt)• Sediment loads (export rates and point sources)• Sediment loads (export rates and point sources)• Nutrient loads (export rates and point sources)

Water extraction (licences)• Water extraction (licences)• Foreshore structures and aquaculture (licences)

T i i ll d tifi i l i (C il )• Training walls and artificial opening (Councils)• Fishing (commercial catch records)

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Page 14: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Physical / environmental context data• Identifiers and location• Geomorphological type, entrance condition• Estuary and catchment boundaries• Topography

• Bathymetry and volumes• Tidal and mangrove limits• Tidal flows prism planes• Tidal flows, prism, planes• Rainfall / evaporation• Dilution ratiosDilution ratios• Tidal and freshwater flushing

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Page 15: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Estuary report cards by CMA region

Condition report

card

Pressure report

cardSAMPLE SAMPLEcard card

DRAFT DRAFT

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Page 16: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Potential management framework• Scientific priorities:

- NPS/LP: protect good condition

- NPS/HP: reduce pressures, monitor

- EMS/LP: research why- EMS/HP: targeted repair

• Assess high conservation value• Overlay benefit/cost, impacts,

stakeholder interest / capacitystakeholder interest / capacity, investor preferences, etc

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Page 17: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Other NSW policy and planning• Catchment Action Plans, Investment Strategies• Regional Strategiesg g• NSW Biodiversity Strategy• NSW Sea Level Rise Policy• NSW Sea Level Rise Policy• Climate Change Action Plan

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Page 18: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Council policy and planning

• Land use planning• Development controls• Development controls• Management and business plans

E i l i bili i l• Environmental sustainability action plans• State of the Environment reports• Estuary Management Plans

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Page 19: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Examples of integration• Report cards and data on estuary health

- screening level tool for Statewide priorities for conservation protection restoration researchconservation, protection, restoration, research

- prioritisation of effort in CMA CAPs

• CERAT and DEFIRE ecological response models:• CERAT and DEFIRE ecological response models: impact of catchment land use scenarios on eutrophication

• CLAM tool: ecological / socio-economic tradeoffs• Estuary Processes Studies and Management Plans• HCVAE assessments with Aust Govt• Common Assessment and Reporting Framework

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Page 20: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Challenges for scientists, managers and policy makersg p y

DATA MANAGEMENT• Standards corporate storage• Standards, corporate storage• Metadata, directories, access

UNCERTAINTY• Multiple drivers, pressures and stressors• Evolving knowledge of ecosystem response• Data starved environment• Tools that match data and accommodate uncertainty

RESOURCING• Under-valuation of environmental services• Investment in monitoring and assessment

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Page 21: Estuary Health – T h i l d echnical and Policy Integration: A State ...

Challenges for scientists, managers and policy makersSCALES• Spatial

M t hi l i l ith t l- Matching ecological with management scales- Statewide vs more local management response

• Temporal- Matching science with policy and management ‘real time’ needs- Shorten feedout of science to management- Need for short term results / reports to justify investmentNeed for short term results / reports to justify investment- Lag between action and response

COMMUNICATION• Government, industry, community, research, education• Appropriate information products (maps, report cards), processes, Web

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