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Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS e-mail: [email protected]
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Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Jan 18, 2016

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Page 1: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived

geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography

E. Schrama

TU Delft, DEOS

e-mail: [email protected]

Page 2: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Contents

• Static Gravity

• Mean circulation inversion problem

• Satellite altimetry

• Temporal Gravity

• Conclusions

Page 3: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Static gravity

• Existing gravity field solutions

• New gravity missions

• Gravity mission performance

• Cumulative geoid errors

• Characteristics of errors

Page 4: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Existing gravity solutions• Satellite geodesy

– Range/Doppler observations– Model/observe non-conservative accerations– large linear equations solvers– Sensitivity in lower degrees, resonances

• Physical geodesy– Terrestrial gravity data, altimetric g– Relative local geoid improvement wrt global models – Surface integral relations – Sensitivity at short wavelengths

• Quality determined by: data noise, coverage, combination

Page 5: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

New gravity missions

• Measuring (rather than modeling) non-conservative forces (CHAMP concept)

• Low-low satellite to satellite tracking (GRACE concept)

• Observation of differential accelerations in orbit: (GOCE concept)

• New gravity surveys (airborne gravity projects)

Page 6: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Gravity mission performance

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 20010

-14

10-12

10-10

10-8

10-6

10-4

Degree l

Co

eff

icie

nt

rms

by

de

gre

e

Bouman & Visser

Page 7: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Cumulative geoid errors

T = 1 yearSID 2000 report

Page 8: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Characteristics of errors • All calculations so far considered geoid errors to

by isotropic and homogeneous.• We only considered commission errors, and did

not average spatially (beta operator) • In reality there is only one static gravity field• Data subset solution Tailored cases.• Optimal data combination is a non-trivial problem.

• The temporal gravity field is an error source for GOCE.

Page 9: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

EGM96 geoid error map

Lemoine et al

Page 10: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Mean Circulation

• Hydrographic inversion– density gradients and tracer properties– geostrophic balance

• Dynamic topography examples– Hydrography– Satellite Altimetry

Page 11: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Hydrographic inversion• thermal wind equations

• conservation tracers

• geostrophic balance

ref

z

zo

ref

z

zo

vdzxf

gzv

udzyf

gzu

0

0

)(

)(

),,,().().().(

tzyxqz

Cw

y

Cv

x

Cu

....

....

ug

f

y

vg

f

x

Page 12: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Dynamic Topography from hydrographic inversion

Le Grand,1998

Page 13: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Dynamic topography from altimetry

JPL web site

Page 14: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Satellite Altimetry

• System accuracy

• Averaging the mean sea level

• Mesoscale variability

• Gulf stream wall detection

• Sampling characteristics

• Correlated Noise

• Correlated Signals

Page 15: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

System accuracy

• definition of the reference frame (?)• orbits (Laser+Doris, GPS, Altimeter) (2 - 2.5 cm)• accuracy/stability of the instrument (5 mm)• accuracy of environmental corrections

(troposphere, ionosphere, EM-bias) ( 1.5 cm )• accuracy of geophysical corrections ( 3 cm )

– tides (ocean, earth, load, pole), inverse barometer

• Net system accuracy: 4-5 cm for T/P

Page 16: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Averaging the mean sea level• GOCE: 12 months, GRACE: 60 months.• White noise fades out as a sqrt(N) process • If you had 300 T/P cycles then

– 5 cm r.m.s. goes down to 0.3 cm

– 30 cm r.m.s. goes down to 1.7 cm

• Spatial averaging helps to reduce this error. • Yet we can’t average further than the required

resolution of the geoid.

Page 17: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Mesoscale variability map

JPL web site

Page 18: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Gulf stream wall detection

Lillibridge et al

Page 19: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Gulfstream T/P in COFS model

Lillibridge et al

Page 20: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Gulfstream T/P + ERS2 in COFS

Lillibridge et al

Page 21: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Infrared Gulfstream

Lillibridge et al

Page 22: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Gulf stream velocity (ERS-2)

DEOS (Vossepoel?)

Page 23: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Sampling the sea level

• Gravity mapping orbits

• Repeat track orbits

• Sun synchronous

• Frozen orbits

• Repeat length vs intertrack spacing

Page 24: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

122

T/P sampling

121

120

119

Page 25: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Topex/Poseidon groundtrack

Page 26: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Examples systematic errors

• Errors that are definitely not white are:– reference frame

• stability

• definition issues

– instrument biases– geographical correlated orbit errors– tides aliasing– inverse barometer

Page 27: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Examples of time correlated SLA

• Equatorial Rossby and Kelvin waves

• ENSO

• Annual behavior

• Tides

• Internal tides

Page 28: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Equatorial Kelvin and Rossby wavesEquator: 2.8 m/s 20 N: 8.5 cm/s

Page 29: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

El Niño 1997-1998

Page 30: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Four seasons (Annual cycle)

JPL web site

Page 31: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

M2 tide

Page 32: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Internal tides

• Hawaiian Island chain is formed on a sub-surface ridge

• wave hits ridge (perpendicular)

• energy radiates away from ridge

Page 33: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Temporal gravity

• Current situation

• Overview processes

• Challenges

• Separation Signals/Noise

Page 34: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Current situation

• Currently observed in the lower degree and orders• Signal approximately at the 1e-10 level• Traditional observations by SLR: Lageos I + II,

Stella, Starlette, GFZ, Champ• Various geodynamic processes are responsible for

changes in the gravity field.• Increased spatial resolution by the new proposed

missions

Page 35: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Source: NRC 1997

Page 36: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Table 2.1 Geodynamical processes and their predicted effect on the gravity field (from Chao, 1994).Static value of J2 is 1.083x10-3, static value of J3 is -2.533x10-6.

source temporal scale amplitude (peak-to-peak)J2 (10-10) J3 (10-10)

solid Earth tides long period up to 20 ?diurnal 0 0semi-diurnal 0 0

ocean tides all tidal periods Up to 4atmosphere IB days/seasonal/interannual 8 (peak) 10 (peak)

3 (annual) 5 (annual)1 (interannual) 1 (interannual)

atmosphere NIB days/seasonal/interannual 15 (peak) 20 (peak)5 (annual) 6 (annual)2 (interannual) 2 (interannual)

snow seasonal/interannual 2 (annual) 1rain seasonal/interannual 1 (annual) 1.7glaciers secular 0.02 per year 0.01 per yearreservoirs cumulative since 1950 -0.4 0.3ice sheets secular ? ?groundwater seasonal/secular ? ?sea level secular 0.03 per year -0.02 per yearocean circulation seasonal/interannual ? ?earthquakes episodic 0.5 (’64 Alaska) 0.3 (’60 Chile)

cumulative secular (‘77-’90) -0.002 per year 0.008 (peak)postglacial rebound secular -0.3 per year ?tidal braking secular -0.005 per year 0mantle convection/ tectonics secular ? ?core activity secular ? ?

Temporal gravity and geodynamic processes (Chao,1994)

Page 37: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Challenges• Extreme sensitivity of low-low satellite to satellite tracking in

the lower degree and orders (till L=70)

• The entire gravity field can be solved for after 30 days of data, temporal variations can be observed

• It opens the possibility to study e.g.: – the continental water balance

– ocean bottom pressure observations.

• Open questions: – How do you separate between signals.

– How do you suppress nuisance signals

Page 38: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Surface mass layer to geoid

nma

n

p

e

e

w

e

nnma

ppnmanma

nmapp

Hr

r

nr

kgdN

YHh

)1(

2

'1

)12(

)1(3

,),(

• Model

• Purpose: convert equivalent water heights (h) to geoid undulations (dN)

Page 39: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Properties Kernel function

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 5010

-3

10-2

10-1

100

degree

ratio

dN

/dH

Page 40: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Geophysical contamination

• Approximately 1 - 1.5 mbar error (now-cast) is typical ECMWF and NCEP (Velicogna et al, 2001)

• averaging over space and time helps to drive down this error, better than 0.3 mbar is unlikely.

• Some regions are poorly mapped (South Pole) and the errors will be larger

• The low degree and orders are more affected and probably the gravity performance curves are too optimistic (see kernel function)

Page 41: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Other Temporal gravity issues

• Unclear how to separate different signals ( criteria: location, spatial patterns? EOF? Other?)

• Accuracy tidal models (3 cm rms currently)?• Aliasing of S1/S2 radiational tides in sun-

synchronous orbits used for gravity missions• Edge effects near coastal boundaries• Data gaps

Page 42: Error characteristics estimated from CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE derived geoids and from altimetry derived mean dynamic topography E. Schrama TU Delft, DEOS.

Round up

• Gravity missions: new missions discussed and their error characteristics, isotropy, homogeneity.

• Mean circulation: thermal wind, tracers, assimilation of observations, results from exiting approaches

• Satellite altimetry: typical results averaging and sampling in oceanic areas with high mesoscale signal, a sample of the scientific progress since 1992.

• Temporal gravity: current research and processes that are visible, contamination with geophysical signals, separation of individual signals and noise