ErieCounty1011 Crosstabs

8/3/2019 ErieCounty1011 Crosstabs

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Siena College Research Institute

October 4-5, 2011

831 Erie County Likely Voters

MOE +/- 3.4%

Total Dem Rep

Ind/

Other M F

City of

Buffalo

Buffalo

Suburbs Yes No Yes No White

Non-

White

Under

55 55+ Cath Prot Other <$50K

$50K-

$100K $100K+Chris Collins on the Republican,

Conservative and Independence Party lines49% 28% 81% 57% 53% 45% 27% 56% 37% 56% 51% 47% 51% 28% 53% 46% 50% 57% 35% 43% 53% 44%

Mark Poloncarz on the Democratic and

Working Families Party lines46% 66% 15% 36% 40% 51% 67% 39% 56% 39% 42% 49% 44% 63% 41% 49% 46% 37% 58% 54% 40% 50%

Don't know/No opinion 6% 6% 3% 7% 7% 5% 7% 5% 7% 5% 7% 4% 5% 9% 7% 5% 4% 7% 7% 3% 7% 6%

Total Dem Rep

Ind/

Other Collins Poloncarz M F

City of

Buffalo

Buffalo


Non-

White

Under


$50K-

$100K $100K+

Absolutely certain; there's no chance I willchange my mind

56% 56% 62% 47% 55% 57% 60% 52% 55% 56% 59% 53% 55% 55% 56% 51% 55% 56% 55% 54% 55% 58% 52% 56%

Fairly certain; it's unlikely I will change my

mind34% 35% 32% 38%

36% 32%32% 37% 35% 34% 31% 37% 34% 35% 35% 33% 34% 36% 35% 35% 37% 33% 39% 31%

Not very certain; I very well may change

my mind8% 6% 5% 14%

8% 8%7% 8% 7% 8% 8% 7% 8% 7% 8% 9% 10% 6% 8% 9% 6% 6% 8% 10%

Not certain at all; there's a good chance I

will change my mind2% 2% 1% 2%

1% 3%1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3%

Don't know/No opinion 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Total Dem Rep

Ind/

Other Collins Poloncarz M F

City of

Buffalo

Buffalo


Non-

White

Under


$50K-

$100K $100K+

County spending 34% 32% 37% 39% 47% 23% 31% 37% 32% 35% 31% 36% 40% 28% 36% 20% 39% 31% 34% 34% 38% 34% 28% 41%

Jobs 31% 38% 23% 26% 21% 41% 28% 35% 43% 27% 37% 28% 31% 31% 30% 50% 30% 32% 35% 26% 30% 35% 32% 25%

Taxes 21% 12% 32% 26% 28% 13% 26% 16% 8% 25% 17% 23% 20% 22% 21% 14% 21% 21% 20% 28% 10% 17% 29% 18%

County jail 3% 4% 1% 2% 0% 5% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 5% 2% 7% 1% 4% 2% 3% 3% 4% 2% 4%

Parks 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%

Libraries 6% 8% 3% 3% 1% 11% 5% 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% 3% 8% 6% 3% 4% 7% 5% 4% 8% 5% 5% 5%

Other 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 4% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 0% 2% 3% 1% 4% 3% 2% 1% 5%

Don't know/No opinion 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 1% 1% 7% 2% 1% 2%

Q10. I know it's still a few weeks off, but if the election for Erie County Executive was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:

Party Gender Region Union HH Employed Ethnicity Age Religion Income

Q11. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CANDIDATE NAME]? Are you...

Party Gender Region Union HH Employed Ethnicity Age Religion IncomeVote Choice

Q12. What issue would you say is the single most important in your decision of who to vote for in the County Executive's race?

Party Gender Region Union HH Employed Ethnicity Age Religion IncomeVote Choice

ErieCounty1011 Crosstabs 3 of 6







Siena College Research Institute

October 4-5, 2011

831 Erie County Likely Voters

MOE +/- 3.4%

Party

Democrat 49%

Republican 27%

Independent/Other 21%

Region

City of Buffalo 25%

Buffalo Suburbs 75%

Employed

Yes 54%No 45%

Union Household

Yes 36%

No 64%

Religion

Catholic 54%

Protestant 25%

Other 17%

Age

Under 55 43%

55 and older 56%

Gender

Male 48%

Female 52%

Race/Ethnicity

White 89%

Non-White 8%

Income

Less than $50,000 29%

$50,000 to $100,000 33%

$100,000 or more 20%

Nature of the Sample

Erie County Likely Voters

ErieCounty1011 Crosstabs 6 of 6

ErieCounty1011 Crosstabs

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