A FOCUS ON SKILLS WILL ALLOW AUSTRALIA TO REAP FRUITS OF ITS LABOUR PROFESSOR JEFF BORLAND SUGGESTS HOW AUSTRALIA CAN RE-SKILL ITS WORKFORCE, AND BUSTS some MYTHS ON IMMIGRATION AND JOBS any economic commentators with an interest in labour markets seem bedevilled by a bogeyman: the rise ofAsia. Whatever the problem that has arisen in labour markets in Australia in the past 20 years, the elfect of increasing integration with Asia has usually been the explanation that is reached for First. Declining real earnings for low—skilled workers? Well, that must be the efiect of more imports produced using low—wage labour in China. Higher rates of unemployment? Mmm, that could only be happening because of higher rates of Asian immigration. Falling employment of clerical workers and middle managers? Surely that has to be the result ofolf-shoring jobs to the Indian IT sector. WHERE'S THE EVIDENCE? In some ways, this focus on Asia is understandable. Signs of our closer integration with Asia are all around us — in the changing composition of the Australian population, in all the talk ofa mining boom, every time we buy a whitegood. Yet for all the concern, there is very little evidence that integration with Asia is having the dire effects often described. Studies of international trade undertaken by the Reserve Bank and Productivity Commission have employment in Australia. Only within a subset of St that use labour-intensive production methods — as textiles, clothing and footwear ~ can relatively adverse employment effects ofgrowing competitior imports be seen. IMMIGRANTS DON'T TAKE JOBS The story with immigration has been similar Junankar and Glenn Withers showed in a series ofres papers written in the 19905 that immigration has net effect on the labour market in Australia. An immigrant may mean an extra job is needed, but 2 means an extra source of demand for goods and se produced in Australia. So, the effects on labour de and labour supply largely wash out. And while stores ofcall-centre and IT processin being sent offshore to Asia may make interesting re For the supplement sections ofour weekend newsp; it just doesn't seem that the magnitude of these e are substantial enough to make a big difference to 14 markets. Instead, it is technological change that ap to be the main driver ofthe decline in clerical and administrative jobs. FIRST PRINCIPLES The story of Australia’s increasing integration Asia, in fact, seems to be very much as you would pi from a knowledge of first—year economics. 24 E Australia's Fnoaoempni with Am Ir‘(‘In¢r I... (‘--Z.L J—ll '