Environmental and Climate Finance in a New World Christopher Marcoux DePauw University Michael Tierney The College of William and Mary www.aiddata.org
Jan 15, 2016
Environmental and Climate Finance in a New WorldChristopher Marcoux DePauw University
Michael Tierney The College of William and Mary
www.aiddata.org
www.aiddata.org
Environmental Impacts of Development Finance
Brown vs. Green Environmental Aid
Project Donor Recipient Year Amount
Aluminum Recycling Sweden Serbia 2001 $28,215
Elephant Awareness Education U.S. Zimbabwe 2007 $9,136
Waste Management / Disposal Spain Brazil 2008 $80,753
Water and Sanitation UNICEF Tajikistan 2000 $39,855
Annual Environmental Aid, 1990-2008
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
Billi
ons
USD
(200
0)
Green
Brown
Source: www.aiddata.org
Annual Environmental Aid, 1990-2008
Source: www.aiddata.org
Bargaining Theory and Aid Allocations
Weaker Donor Outside Options
Stronger Recipient Outside Options
Donors More Dependent on Recipient CollaborationDonors Have Less Bargaining Power
Donors Contribute Less
Donors Contribute More
Club Goods Present
Conjectures on Environmental Aid Allocation
• As recipients’ outside options weaken, donor allocation increases. As recipients’ outside options strengthen, donor allocation decreases.
• If donors’ outside options weaken, donor allocations to multilateral organizations will likely decrease. However, donors’ direct activity (e.g. provision of bilateral aid) may remain constant or even increase.
• If donors do not internalize the entire benefit of global public goods (e.g. mitigating climate change), donors may strengthen their outside options by shifting from multilateral to bilateral aid provision.
• The presence of Club Goods tends to increase donor allocation.
Trends in Green Aid Delivery, 1990-2008
Source: www.aiddata.org
Trends in Brown Aid Delivery, 1990-2008
Source: www.aiddata.org
The Future of the Green Climate Fund?
• Developing countries have been united in their demands for climate funds to be administered by the UNFCCC and COP to the Kyoto Protocol.
• Related demands have been for ‘direct access’ to funds, in which national governments in recipient countries administer funds through NIEs.
• While the steps toward establishing the GCF have been celebrated as a victory, questions remain regarding how much funding it will govern.
• Only about 2 per cent of Fast Start climate funds have been channeled through COP and Kyoto Protocol (KP) Funds, with limited consistent or predictable sources of revenue (Ciplet et al. 2013).
• The creation of funding structures that reflect principles of adaptation finance justice may be largely hollow victories.
What AidData Can Do . . .
• Track nearly all climate finance in one place using existing technology
• Leverage open data, linkages, current standards and partnerships
• Consistently identify climate adaptation and mitigation activities across all donors and systems
• By doing so, we would create a quantum leap in transparency and increased participation in monitoring
• Improve targeting and effectiveness of climate finance through mapping and evaluation
Composition of Multilateral Environmental Aid, 1990-2008
Source: www.aiddata.org
Composition of Bilateral Environmental Aid, 1990-2008
Source: www.aiddata.org