Enhancing Crop Productivity and Food Security: The Role of Agricultural Technologies FAO Biotech Symposium Side event: Helping Farmers Grow: Climate Change, Food Security, and the Technology Nexus FAO – Rome, Italy – February 15, 2016 Nicola Cenacchi IFPRI - Environment and Production Technology Division
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Enhancing Crop Productivity and Food Security: The Role of Agricultural Technologies
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Enhancing Crop Productivity and Food Security: The Role of
Sorghum Drought tolerance Burkina Faso, Eritrea, Ethiopia, India, Mali, Nigeria, Sudan, United Republic of Tanzania (S1)
Groundnut Drought tolerance Burkina Faso, Ghana, India, Malawi, Mali, Myanmar, Niger, Nigeria, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Viet Nam (G1)Heat tolerance
Drought and heat tolerance, high yielding
Adoption regions – by crop and improved trait
Black line represents 2050 yields without climate change with baseline technology
Source: Robinson et al. 2014.
Adoption of improved traits may reduce climate change impacts
Key Messages
Adoption of improved varieties shows the potential for reducing the effects of climate change on yields
There are possible large regional differences in yield impacts - it is important to target specific investments to specific regions
Large scale adoption of improved varieties may translate into positive food security outcomes due both to effects on production and on global food prices
Concluding Thoughts
The traits we model in these studies are independent from the technologies used to produce them
Conventional breeding can provide relatively slow improvements, but a steady progress
GM (transgenics) may allow more stepwise increase, but the regulatory and legislative challenges are slowing the process (including the progress of biosafety regulations and trials.)