ENERGY SECTOR OF PAKISTAN By Dr. Ali Kashif 2012.01.11 [email protected] Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd.
ENERGY SECTOR OF PAKISTAN
By Dr. Ali Kashif2012.01.11
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Outline
Energy Sector of Pakistan Facts and Figures of 2006, 07, 08
Energy Crisis Solutions Feasibility for Wind Energy in Pakistan
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Energy Sector
Electricity generated by three modes. Thermal 65 % Hydel 33 % Nuclear 2 %
Two companies that produce electricity in Pakistan WAPDA KESC
About 55 % population have access to electricity
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Proposed Solutions
Improve Existing Plants Hydel Power Plants Construction of Small Dams Underground electrical wiring New energy resources
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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Current Situation
The share of gas consumption stood at 43.7 per cent, followed by oil at 29 per cent, electricity at 15.3 per cent, coal at 10.4 per cent and LPG at 1.5 per cent
In last three years, electricity shortage in country have raised from 4 hours to about 18 hours.
About 150 billion Rs bill of electric companies are unpaid. 39 billion from Sindh 36 billions from KESC 9 billions from Punjab, etc
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National Costs of Load Shedding
Cost to the Industrial Sector Rs 157 billion
Cost to the other sectors of industrialloss of Value Added Rs 53 billion
Total cost of industrial load sheddingto the economy Rs 219 billion
Cost as percentage of GDP 2 %
Loss of employment in the economy 400,000
Loss of exports Rs 75 billion(equivalent to US $ 1 billion)
Source: IPP estimates listed in Beacon House National University publication: State of the Economy – Emerging from Crisis 2008
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ECONOMIC IMPACT DUE TO ENERGY DEFICIT
For firms with self generationAdditional cost of Power self Generation Rs 32 billionValue Added Loss Rs 42 billionTotal Cost Rs 74 billion
For firms without self generationAdditional cost of Power self Generation Rs 6 billionValue Added Loss Rs 77 billionTotal Cost Rs 83 billionOverall Cost to the Industrial Sector Rs 157 billionCost as % of Industrial value added 9%Percentage loss of Production 7%Loss of industrial Employment 300,000 workersSource: IPP estimates listed in Beacon House National University publication: State of the Economy – Emerging from Crisis 2008
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Current Status
Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB), to pursue the path of renewable energy, is focusing on wind and solar sources as viable alternatives.
Pakistan has a potential to produce wind energy ranging from 10000 MW to 50000 MW A project in its first phase has been installed in Jhimpir,
through a Turkish company, and 50 MW will be installed shortly
Zorlu Energy Pakistan has almost completed foundation work for five turbines in Jhimpir. Each capable of producing 1.2 megawatts of electricity.
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In recent years, the government has completed several projects to demonstrate that wind energy is viable in the country. In Mirpur Sakro, 85 micro turbines have been installed to
power 356 homes. In Kund Malir, 40 turbines have been installed, which power
111 homes. The Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB) has also
acquired 18,000 acres for the installation of more wind turbines.
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Current Requirement
Pakistan requires 15,000 to 20000MW electricity per day to meet growing needs 11,000 MW per day, shortfall of about 4000 to 9000 MW In value-added export sector alone, Pakistan is losing $10
billion every year due to power shortage. Gross wind power potential of Sindh coastal area is
43000 MW with exploitable generation of about 11000MW
By setting up wind farms, more wind power plants can be built immediately in Jhampir, Gharo, Keti Bandar and Bin Qasim Karachi.Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd.
Feasibility (1/4) Over the last thirty years, Asia has become a major player
on the global scene. Electricity demand is expected to increase 8% every year
until 2015. Todays need: Electricity will increasingly have to come
from renewable sources such as wind and solar. Pakistan is in a good position to exploit these because it has
abundant wind and sun. Pakistan is fortunate to have high wind speeds near major
centers. Near Islamabad, the wind speed is anywhere from 6.2 to 7.4
metres per second (between 13.8 and 16.5 miles per hour). Near Karachi, the range is between 6.2 and 6.9 (between
13.8 and 15.4 miles per hour). Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd.
Feasibility (2/4)
In Balochistan and Sindh provinces, sufficient wind exists to power every coastal village in the country.
There also exists a corridor between Gharo and Keti Bandar that alone could produce between 40,000 and 50,000 megawatts of electricity.
Given this surplus potential, Pakistan has much to offer Asia with regards to wind energy.
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Feasibility (3/4)
Pakistan is also fortunate that in neighboring India, the company Suzlon manufactures wind turbines, thus decreasing transportation costs. Its turbines start to turn at a speed of 3 meters per second.
Vestas, which is one of the world’s largest wind turbine manufacturers, has wind turbines that start turning at a speed of 4 metres per second.
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Feasibility (4/4)
Sindh coastal areas have greater wind power potential than Balochistan coastal areas. Potential areas cover 9700 square kilometers in Sindh. The gross wind power potential of this area is 43000 MW
and keeping in view the area utilisation constraints, the exploitable electric power generation potential of this area is estimated to be about 11000MW.
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Considerations
Within towns and cities, wind speeds can often change quickly due to the presence of buildings and other structures, which can damage wind turbines.
In addition, many people do not wish for turbines to be sited near cities because of noise, though these problems are often exaggerated.
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