Enel Green Power: global leader in the Renewable Energy Sector Roberto Deambrogio Enel Green Power - Head of Italy and Europe Area Rome, November 17 th 2010
Mar 31, 2015
Enel Green Power: global leader in the Renewable Energy Sector
Roberto DeambrogioEnel Green Power - Head of Italy and Europe Area
Rome, November 17th 2010
2
Agenda
Overview of the RE Sector
EGP Key Figures
Competitive positioning and strategy
The IPO decision
Conclusions
3
620
1.030
407 maxmin
2009 2020
Strong fundamentals drive global growth
Source: Enel estimates based on WEO 2009; GWEC 2008; WEO 2009 reference scenario (2020 min) and industry reports/McKinsey (2020 max).
A growing industryExpected worldwide growth in renewables – by geography (GW)
North America
Latin America
Europe
Asia
Total World
Africa
330
550
243 max
min
2009 2020
1.820
3.020
1.225 maxmin
2009 2020
600
1.000
376 maxmin
2009 2020
70
110
35 maxmin
2009 2020
200
330
164max
min
2009 2020
4
Source: Enel estimates based on WEO 2009/GWEC 2008 (2008); WEO 2009 reference scenario (2020 min); industry reports/McKinsey (2020 max); Ren21 “Rapporto Renewables Global Status” 2009-2010.
A growing industryExpected worldwide growth in renewables – by technology
~ €175bn~1,147 GWTOTAL +79 GW~1,225 GW
2008-09 (GW) %
7.4%
~ 25Solar +8~21 56% 32%
n.m. Geothermal n.m. ~11 n.m. 9%
~ 50Wind +38 ~159 31% 16%
8.5%
~ 65Hydro +30~980 3% 2%
~ 35
~14
~10
~121
~950
~52Biomass +2~54 4% 22%
Strong growth in all technologies in 2009
2009 (€bn)CAGR 2009-20202009 (GW)2008 (GW)
TechnologyGlobal installed
baseGlobal installed
baseDelta capacity
EGP tech. presence
InvestmentsExpected growth
5
Annual Growth Rate ‘09 –‘20: 4,5% in produced energy
Annual Growth Rate ‘08–’09:+9,8% in capacity
+9,2% in produced energy
Annual Growth Rate ‘09 –‘20: 4,5% in produced energy
Annual Growth Rate ‘08–’09:+9,8% in capacity
+9,2% in produced energy
MW TWh MW TWh MW TWh
Wind 3.538 5,8 4.850 6,1 13.680 22,8
Solar PV 432 0,2 1.150 0,8
Solar CSP - - - -
Biomass/waste 1.555 6,0 1.905 6,3 3.675 14,7
Geothermal 711 5,5 711 5,3 964 7,5
Ocean - - - - 0 -
Hydro (no pump) 17.623 42,9 17.722 47,5 19.425 42,0
Total 23.859 60,4 26.338 66,0 45.488 97,1
Source GSE
2009
GSEFonte ERSE (ex
CESI) e Stime Enel
7.743 10,1
2008 2020
A growing industryRenewables in Italy – Outlook – 2009/2020
6
Agenda
Overview of the RE Sector
EGP Key Figures
Competitive positioning and strategy
The IPO decision
Conclusions
7
Source: Company information.Note: Presentation includes consolidated financial and operating data unless otherwise stated.
Capacity as of 30 June 2010 - Production end 2009 PF - Pipeline and in execution data as of 30 June 2010.(1) Includes ENEOP (Portugal), 137 MW in execution. Equity consolidated as of 30 June 2010; full consolidation is expected in 2013.(2) Ongoing disposal process of Bulgarian assets, which are included in the figures.
EGP presence
North America
Operating
788 MW
Production
2.4 TWh
In execution
0.3 GW
Pipeline
8.3 GW
Global leader in a growing industryEGP global footprint – H1 2010
Unrivalled footprint in 16 countries across all main renewable technologies
Iberia and Latin America
Operating
2,076 MW
Production
6.4 TWh
In execution
0.5 GW(1)
Pipeline
15.6 GW
Italy and Europe(2)
Operating
2,897 MW
Production
12.0 TWh
In execution
0.4 GW
Pipeline
5.8 GW
Enel Green Power
Operating
5,761 MW
Production
20.9 TWh
In execution
1.2 GW(1)
Pipeline
29.9 GW
8
Pipeline by technologyH1 2010, GW
Installed capacity by technologyH1 2010, GW
2%13%
44%
41%
Production by technology2009 PF, TWh
Unique generation mix and diversified geographical presenceEGP portfolio overview
Source: Company information.(1) Including ENEOP.
Total = 5.8 GW
Well-balanced asset base
3%
52%
21%
25%
Total = 20.9 TWh
3%2%
90%
Total = 29.9 GW
In execution by technology(1)
H1 2010, GW
12%3% 3%
82%
Total = 1.2 GW
OtherWindGeothermalHydro
6%
9
Low dependence on incentive frameworksEGP incentive exposure – 2009 PF
Source: Company information.(1) Percentage of production supported by incentive schemes.
SBU Italy and Europe
SBU Iberia and Latin America
2,859
2,020
SBU North America
788 PTC, ITC, MACRS
28%
31%
55%
Total 5,667 MW 39%
222 100%
• Italy
• Europe
2,637 Feed-in, Green Certificates
Feed-in, Green Certificates
26%
667 12%
1,353 100%
High share of not incentivised hydro and geothermal production
Fully incentivised production from wind assets
Mostly fully incentivised production from wind assets
Exploiting abundant hydro resources
High share of production sold through PPAs
• Iberia
• Latin America
Feed-in, Market +Premium
Auction, mandatory quota
CountryCapacity
(MW)Incentivized production(1) Incentive mechanism Comments
10
0,2 0,5
(3,0)
(2,0)(1,0)
0,0
1,0
Strong and sustainable cash flow generation
20092008
EBITDA net of capex (€bn)
Company 3
Company 2
Company 1
2009 ROACE(1)
Source: Company filings.(1) ROACE defined as operating profit divided by the sum of net debt, shareholder equity and minority interest. Net debt excludes
derivatives financial assets/liabilities. EGP’s operating profit does not include net income/(charges) from commodity risk management. Figures as per company filings.
(2) As of 30 Jun 2010.
10%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Company 2
Company 1
Company 3
H1 2010 net debt(2)/LTM EBITDA
2,5
0x
5x
10x
Company 3Company 2 Company 1
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Agenda
Overview of the RE Sector
EGP Key Figures
Competitive positioning and strategy
The IPO decision
Conclusions
12
Low dependence on incentive frameworks
Unique generation mix and diversified geographical presence
Strong and sustainable cash flow generation
Global leader in a growing industry
EGP competitive positioning
13
Energy production Energy production 0909
(TWh)
5,5
6,6
1,6
10,8
5,7
2,3
Load factor 09Load factor 0911Installed capacity 09Installed capacity 09
(GW)
10,9
11,8
4,4
21,5
20,9
n.a.n.a.
1. Load factor is calculated on average installed capacity between 2008 and 2009Source: Company reports
24%24%
47%47%
25%25%
25%25%
n.a.n.a.
34%34%
Comparables - Operational KPIsDecember 2009
Asset Diversification
14
Comparables - Financial KPIsDecember 2009
543
629
126
1.325
1.331
334
110
119
88
132
235
170
1. EBITDA/MW is calculated on average installed capacity between 2008 and 20092. EBITDA margin from generation activities: 63%; EBITDA margin from other activities: 2%3. Average EBITDA margin includes both generation and development and sale of structured assets (DVAS), the last one
accounting for 42% of total revenuesSource: Company reports
EBITDA 09EBITDA 09
(M€)
EBITDA/MW 09EBITDA/MW 0911
(k€/MW)
Revenues 09Revenues 09
(M€)
245
2.009
2.109
648
1.248
1.173
EBITDA margin 09EBITDA margin 09
(%)
66%66%
63%63%
84%84%
50%50%22
28%28%33
51%51%
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• Consolidate and enhance presence in Italy
• Grow in Southern Europe (France and Greece)
• Exploit excellent combination of resources and Enel’s presence in the Romanian electricity distribution sector
Italy and Europe
EGP Growth Strategic guidelines
Enel.si• Capture growth in the distributed renewable generation market, in
particular solar PV
Iberia and Latin America
• Consolidate and enhance presence in Iberia
• Exploit synergies through the integration of ECyR’s activities
• Pursue growth in selected Latam countries with favourable environmental, macroeconomic and regulatory conditions (Brazil, Mexico and Chile)
• Leverage on the current technologically diversified footprint
• Pursue a target growth strategy in selected attractive StatesNorth America
Selective investments for profitable growth
16
Agenda
Overview of the RE Sector
EGP Key Figures
Competitive positioning and strategy
The IPO decision
Conclusions
17
IPO Stock Exchange Scenario
FTSE MIB Index (Italy)
IBEX 35 Index (Spain)
• 2009: Global Financial Crisis
• 2010: Still uncertainty in the markets
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IPO Enel Green Power Case
• Enel Green Power (EGPW) listed on November 4th on Italian MTA Market and Spanish Stock Exchanges
• With 2.6 billion Euro raised, the biggest IPO in Europe (UK included) since 2008.
• With a share price of 1.6 euro, the capitalization of the company reaches around 8 billion euro.
• High presence of retail investors (1.260 million stocks requested from 340.000 people in Italy and Spain)
• 520 million stocks requested from institutional investors.
Figures confirm the success of the listing
19
Agenda
Overview of the RE Sector
EGP Key Figures
Competitive positioning and strategy
The IPO decision
Conclusions
20
The next evolution path…
•Renewables are already creating value for main stakeholders
• The sector will soon become mature and competitive
•Main value creation levers are:
• Pipeline management
• Enhanced projects execution capabilities and technological competencies
• Global synergies in procurement
• Excellence in O&M
Getting Ready for Real Competition
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Thanks for your attention!