OECD Employment OutlookChapter 2 Employment Protection Regulation and Labour Market Performance Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 Main findings. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 1. Employment protection regulation in OECD countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 2. Links between EPL, labour market dynamics and labour market outcomes for different groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 3. Making the most of EPL: preliminary considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 Annex 2.A1. Calculation of Summary Indicators of EPL Strictness . . . . . . . . 102 Annex 2.A2. Employment Protection Legislation Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 Annex 2.A3. Data Description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 There has been heated policy debate on the costs and benefits of regulations governing dismissals and other features of employment protection. The key issue is how to keep a balance between the need for firms to adapt to ever-changing market conditions on the one hand, and workers’ employment security on the other. Do employment protection regulations have an impact on firms’ hiring and firing decisions and is this impact different across demographic groups? Do such regulations explain the high incidence of temporary work recorded in certain countries? How to instil labour market dynamism while also protecting workers against job and income loss? 2. EMPLOYMENT PROTECTION REGULATION AND LABOUR MARKET PERFORMANCE OECD EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK – ISBN 92-64-10812-2 – © OECD 200462 Introduction As with most labour market regulations, employment protection legislation (EPL) was first introduced with the aim of enhancing workers’ welfare and improving employment conditions. However, the same provisions that protect employees translate into a cost for employers and thus could have a negative impact on hiring. The literature on EPL highlights positive and negative effects on labour market performance. Among the former, it highlights the benefits of long-term employee-employer contracts including greater willingness to invest in on-the-job training. Among the latter, is the concern that workers hired on regular contracts may enjoy a high degree of employment security to the detriment of other workers hired on temporary contracts. In addition, employment protection may diminish firms’ ability to cope with a rapidly changing environment driven by globalisation, technological change and the derived organisational innovation. The effects of EPL on labour market performance are a controversial subject, both in theory and in applied research. Most available studies have looked at employment protection as an additional labour cost for firms, and have studied the effects of this cost on employment and joblessness, but two important and related aspects have often been left aside: i) the rationale for the existence of employment protection; and ii) its welfare consequences. Some recent studies have sought to address these issues by considering employment protection not just as an exogenous cost for employers, but as a comprehensive policy instrument, able to resolve certain market imperfections, with potential positive welfare implications. Policy recommendations have also evolved towards a more balanced view of the dilemma opposing the need for flexibility expressed by firms to the importance of protecting workers against labour market risks. For instance, the European Commission has recently recommended to EU member states “to review and, where appropriate, reform overly restrictive elements of employment legislation” while “taking account of the need for both flexibility and security” (European Commission, 2003a). The ILO has set similar objectives with the aim of promoting employment stability while maintaining a sufficient level of labour market flexibility. Within the context of the OECD Jobs Strategy re-assessment, it is important to review the issue of employment protection in the light of these recent developments. This chapter starts by presenting a picture of current employment protection regulations in OECD countries. The second section studies the effects of EPL on labour market performance, trying to identify the socio-demographic groups that seem to benefit from it and those who, by contrast, appear to be penalised. The third part looks at the economic rationale for employment protection, and discusses its role as one of the instruments available to governments to protect workers against labour market risks, along with unemployment benefit systems and active labour market policies. 2. EMPLOYMENT PROTECTION REGULATION AND LABOUR MARKET PERFORMANCE OECD EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK – ISBN 92-64-10812-2 – © OECD 2004 63 Main findings Over the past 15 years, a process of convergence across OECD countries has taken place as regards EPL. This process has been driven largely by an easing of regulation in the countries where EPL was relatively strict at the end of the 1980s. In most cases, these reforms consisted in easing the recourse to temporary forms of employment while leaving existing provisions for regular or permanent contracts practically unaltered. Despite this convergence, the relative position of countries across the overall spectrum of EPL strictness, as defined and measured by the OECD, has not changed much since the late 1980s. The overall strictness of EPL continues to vary widely between countries and the regulation of temporary employment remains a key element in explaining cross-countries differences. Employment protection regulation fulfils its stated purpose, namely protecting existing jobs. Indeed evidence presented in this chapter suggests that EPL tends to limit firms’ ability to fire workers. At the same time, EPL would reduce the re-employment chances of unemployed workers – thereby exerting upward pressure on long-term unemployment. Indeed, in deciding whether to hire a worker, employers will take into account the likelihood that firing costs will be incurred in the future. In sum, EPL leads to two opposite effects on labour market dynamics: it reduces inflows into unemployment, while also making it more difficult for jobseekers to enter employment (i.e. lower outflows from unemployment). The net impact of EPL on aggregate unemployment is therefore ambiguous a priori, and can only be resolved by empirical investigation. However, the numerous empirical studies of this issue lead to conflicting results, and moreover their robustness has been questioned. On the other hand, it is possible to detect a link between EPL and employment rates for specific groups. Some studies, as well as the analysis presented in this chapter, suggest the possibility of a negative link between strict EPL and the employment rates of youth and prime-age women, while there may be positive links to the employment rates of other groups. This is consistent with the above findings of the effects of EPL on labour market dynamics. Indeed youth and prime-age women are more likely to be subject to entry problems in the labour market than is the case with other groups, and they are therefore likely to be disproportionately affected by the effects of EPL on firms’ hiring decisions. Differences in the strictness of EPL for regular and temporary jobs may be an important element in explaining the rise in the incidence of temporary work for youth and the low skilled (this is less the case for other groups, notably prime-age men). This means that facilitating the use of temporary work arrangements, while not changing EPL on regular employment, may aggravate labour market duality. It may also affect career progression and productivity of workers trapped in temporary forms of employment, which are typically characterised by weak job attachments and limited opportunities for upgrading human capital. Any overall assessment of EPL has to weigh costs against benefits. EPL may foster long-term employment relationships, thus promoting workers’ effort, co-operation and willingness to be trained, which is positive for aggregate employment and economic efficiency. In addition, by promoting firms’ social responsibility in the face of adjustment to unfavourable economic circumstances, a reasonable degree of employment protection could be welfare-improving, i.e. it can help balance concern for workers’ job security with the need for labour market adjustment and dynamism. Thus, some recent studies suggest that an optimal policy would combine some EPL with effective re-employment services and active labour market policies aiming at counteracting the negative effects of EPL on firms’ hiring decisions. 2. EMPLOYMENT PROTECTION REGULATION AND LABOUR MARKET PERFORMANCE OECD EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK – ISBN 92-64-10812-2 – © OECD 200464 The precise balance between the different policy planks (EPL, unemployment benefits and active labour market policies) depends on country circumstances and institutions. For instance, in Denmark, employment services seem to be rather effective in “activating” benefit recipients while EPL is moderate in this country – the so-called “flexicurity” approach. Such a policy mix has helped guarantee sufficient dynamism in the labour market, while ensuring adequate employment security among workers. In the United States, experience-rating, which links employers’ social security contributions to the layoff history of the firm, was introduced to prevent firms from taking advantage of temporary layoffs in response to cyclical downturns in labour demand. Some evaluation studies of the system in the United States lend support to this policy initiative, in terms of lower unemployment as well as greater job stability, in that experience-rating seems to have reduced the cyclicality of employment. More generally, further analysis of the policy interactions involved is clearly called for as part of the reassessment of the OECD Jobs Strategy. 1. Employment protection regulation in OECD countries Since the seminal paper by Lazear was published in 1990, empirical studies on the effects of EPL on labour market outcomes have proliferated. In order to facilitate this task, constructing a good measure of these regulations has become of crucial importance. The OECD tackled the task in 1999, updating the work done by Grubb and Wells (1993) and extending it to include more dimensions of employment regulation, notably the regulation of collective dismissals. Despite some limitations, the OECD indicator still represents an improvement over the simple measure of severance pay used in the first papers of this literature.1 Besides, it has been shown to be consistent with several proposed alternative measures ranging from employers’ surveys that ask managers to rank the “flexibility of the enterprise to adjust job security to economic reality” to measures of broader-based indices of economic freedom (Addison and Teixeira, 2003). A. Looking into the black box Employment protection regulation, a set of rules governing the hiring and firing process, can be provided through both labour legislation and collective bargaining agreements. In addition, it is important to distinguish these rules from practice, which brings in the enforcement dimension. Therefore, when discussing the extent of employment protection, judicial practices and court interpretations of legislative and contractual rules have to be taken into account as well. The measure of employment protection developed in this chapter is mainly based on legislative provisions, but it also incorporates some aspects of contractual provisions and judicial practices. Nevertheless, given that collective agreements and courts’ decisions often refer to a wide range of rules set on a case-by-case basis, their role is likely to be somewhat understated in the information presented here. The three main components of the indicator The indicator of employment protection in this chapter follows the approach developed in Chapter 2 of the 1999 edition of the OECD Employment Outlook, thereby allowing comparisons over time. It refers to the protection of regular employment and the regulation of temporary work and is intended to measure the strictness of EPL. More precisely, since most of the literature on employment protection emphasises the analogy of EPL to an 2. EMPLOYMENT PROTECTION REGULATION AND LABOUR MARKET PERFORMANCE OECD EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK – ISBN 92-64-10812-2 – © OECD 2004 65 employer-borne tax on employment adjustment, the overall intent is to reflect the cost implications of various regulatory provisions for employers (i.e. stricter is interpreted as more costly). The overall summary measure of EPL strictness relies on three main components related to protection of regular workers against (individual) dismissal, specific requirements for collective dismissals and regulation of temporary forms of employment:2 In order to assess job protection of workers with regular contracts, three main areas are considered: i) difficulty of dismissal, that is legislative provisions setting conditions under which a dismissal is “justified” or “fair”; ii) procedural inconveniences that the employer may face when starting the dismissal process; iii) and notice and severance pay provisions. Regular employment contracts do not generally specify any duration for the employment relationship. Part of the role of the EPL is thus to define “just causes” or “serious reasons” for the termination of an employment relationship and the sanctions applicable to the employer in case of non-respect of this principle of just cause termination. In other words, these provisions set conditions under which it is possible for an employer to dismiss an employee. Procedural inconveniences can be seen as a complement to these provisions. Indeed, they may give the opportunity to the employee to challenge the layoff decision at an early stage of the process. These procedures may also involve a third party (such as a works’ council or the competent labour authority), usually not empowered to stop the process but that can nevertheless help to avoid the dismissal. When the dismissal is certain, notice and severance pay provisions are then the final costs for the employer. Considering that collective dismissals may have a social cost, additional provisions have been introduced in almost all OECD countries to minimise this cost. The related component of the EPL index presented in this chapter only refers to additional delays and procedures required which go beyond those applicable for individual dismissal, and does not reflect the overall strictness of regulation applicable to collective dismissals. Indeed, whatever the number of additional requirements, collective dismissals are de facto strongly regulated when the regulation of individual dismissals is itself relatively strict. Finally, provisions regarding fixed-term contracts and temporary work agencies are also considered. This component of the EPL index is intended to measure the restrictions on the use of temporary employment by firms, with respect to the type of work for which these contracts are allowed and their duration. Protection of regular contracts against (individual) dismissal constitutes the core component of the overall summary index of EPL strictness presented in this chapter. Indeed, although temporary forms of employment have grown in many OECD countries over the past two decades, regular contracts are still the most common employment arrangement (OECD, 2002a, Chapter 3). Temporary work is sometimes regarded as a way to circumvent rules governing regular contracts. For the component related to collective dismissals, the story is quite different: by construction, it includes only regulation applicable in addition to that applied in cases of individual dismissals and cannot therefore be considered as a stand-alone component of EPL. Limits of the indicator: the role of contractual provisions and judicial practices Some potentially important aspects of employment protection are difficult to take into account in the EPL indicator. This is, for instance, the case for trial or probationary periods, which are often not legally required although permitted by law. The length of the trial 2. EMPLOYMENT PROTECTION REGULATION AND LABOUR MARKET PERFORMANCE OECD EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK – ISBN 92-64-10812-2 – © OECD 200466 period is important because, during this period, regular contracts are not fully covered by employment protection provisions and usually unfair dismissal claims cannot be made during probation. Legislative provisions may set a maximum duration but, in practice, the length of the trial period is provided in either individual employment contracts or collective agreements. Probationary periods exist in most OECD countries and in many cases, the corresponding EPL index refers to these contractual provisions. To take another example, in some countries, notice periods and/or severance pay are not legally regulated. Instead, they can be provided by collective agreements and individual contractual clauses. Moreover, even in the large number of countries where there are legal requirements, the latter can be extended by contractual provisions (Box 2.1). However, in countries for which data are available, the coverage of such additional provisions is very low compared with legal provisions that usually relate to all workers with regular contracts. Moreover, in many cases there is simply no detailed information available on such contractual practices. As a consequence, the summary measures of EPL strictness developed in this chapter often rely on minimal requirements set by legislative provisions. For regular contracts, employment protection regulations set rules under which an employee can be dismissed, and the employer can be sanctioned in case of non-respect of these rules. However, these provisions are subject to court interpretations and this may constitute a major (but often hidden) source of variation in EPL strictness both across countries and over time. Recent studies suggest that jurisprudence may be affected by the underlying labour market conditions; for instance, there is some evidence that judge’s decisions may tend to be particularly unfavourable to employers when unemployment is high (Ichino et al., 2003; Bertola et al., 1999). Moreover, compensation for unfair dismissal set by courts can deviate widely from the minima set out in legislation, since judges may account in their final decision for damages corresponding to past and expected future financial losses and psychological damage. The related measures of EPL strictness (namely the two first-level indices, “compensation following unfair dismissal” and “extent of reinstatement”) reflect to some extent these judicial practices, provided that information was available at the time of writing. Although court decisions are potentially important to evaluate how binding employment protection regulations are in practice, preliminary statistics on case numbers and conciliation practices suggest that they may play mainly a threatening role. Indeed, few cases seem to be brought before the courts each year (Table 2.1).3 In appeals to the court, workers are not in a particularly favourable situation, despite often benefiting from the assistance of trade unions. In several countries, the judicial procedure may be very long, from six months to more than one year, while the percentage of cases won by workers is often around 50%, adding uncertainty on both the side of the employee and the employer concerning the outcome of any case. The uncertainty over the court ruling and the length of the procedure may be an incentive to reach a bilateral agreement, through mediation and conciliation. In this respect, the most striking fact…
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