Empirical Modeling and Knowledge Transfer University of Colorado—LASP The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling Empirical Model Chain The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling empirical model chain consists of models drawn from a wide variety of sources with the goal of providing sun-to-Earth predictions for space weather research and applications. The major goal of this chain is to provide a common framework for empirical models. In this way additional models can be easily integrated, compared, and validated by members of industry, government, and the broader research community. The chain currently consists of the WSA solar-wind propagation model that uses solar magnetogram measurements to specify the solar-wind velocity and other quantities near Earth. Using the velocity as an input driver are two energetic electron models, an Ap index model, and a
Empirical Modeling and Knowledge TransferUniversity of Colorado—LASP The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling Empirical Model Chain The Center.
Dec 22, 2015
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Empirical Modeling and Knowledge Transfer University of Colorado—LASP
The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling Empirical
Model Chain
The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling empirical model chainconsists of models drawn from a wide variety of sources with the goalof providing sun-to-Earth predictions for space weather research andapplications. The major goal of this chain is to provide a commonframework for empirical models. In this way additional models can beeasily integrated, compared, and validated by members of industry,government, and the broader research community. The chain currentlyconsists of the WSA solar-wind propagation model that uses solarmagnetogram measurements to specify the solar-wind velocity and otherquantities near Earth. Using the velocity as an input driver are twoenergetic electron models, an Ap index model, and a dB/dt model.
Empirical Modeling and Knowledge Transfer University of Colorado—LASP
Knowledge Transfer and Empirical Modeling Team
D. Baker (CU/LASP)
R. Weigel(CU/LASP)
D. Vassiliadis (NASA/GSFC)
A. Klimas(NASA/GSFC)
R. McPherron (UCLA)
G. Siscoe (BU)
N. Crooker (BU)
H. Spence(BU)
H. Singer (SEC/NOAA)
T. Onsager (SEC/NOAA)
N. Arge (SEC/NOAA)
Empirical Modeling and Knowledge Transfer University of Colorado—LASP
Outline of Chain
L1-EarthPropagation
SurfacedB/dt
MeV ElectronFlux
External FieldVBSolar Boundary
Measurements
ACE Measurements
SWPropagation
Ap
Empirical Modeling and Knowledge Transfer University of Colorado—LASP
Sharing Knowledge with Space Physics Community
• Common framework allows for rapid addition of new models and ensemble prediction
• Models are presented to research community on a web site with documentation and links to other resources
Empirical Modeling and Knowledge Transfer University of Colorado—LASP
Earth
Leveraging Community-Developed models
Weimer L1-Earth Propagation Model
Tsyganenko External Field model
Empirical Modeling and Knowledge Transfer University of Colorado—LASP
Sun
Earth
Mount Wilson Observatory Solar Magnetograms
Wang-Sheely Model modified by Arge
Solar Wind Velocity
CISM Energetic Electron Models
Sun-to-Earth Modeling and Forecasts
Empirical Modeling and Knowledge Transfer University of Colorado—LASP
Sun
Earth
Mount Wilson Observatory Solar Magnetograms
Wang-Sheely Model modified by Arge
Solar Wind Velocity
Sun-to-Earth Modeling and Forecasts
CISM Surface dB/dt Model
Empirical Modeling and Knowledge Transfer University of Colorado—LASP
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