Mali ECHO 2014 activities I N D I A N O C E A N 7-DAYS RAINFALL FORECAST Source: NOAA/GFS I N D I A N O C E A N PAST 7-DAYS RAINFALL Source: NASA/GPM 250-500 mm 100–250 mm 50-100 mm 250-500 mm 100–250 mm 50-100 mm Uncertainty Cone Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) – DG ECHO Daily Map | 06/03/2018 Madagascar, La Réunion, Mauritius | Tropical Cyclone DUMAZILE Mozambique Channel I N D I A N O C E A N Mozambique Channel Strong Wind and High Wave Warning (Source: Mauritius MET Service ) Heavy Rain, Strong Wind, Thunderstorms and High Wave Alert (Source: Meteo France La Réunion) Heavy Rain Red Alert (Source: Meteo Madagascar ) COMMUNITY ADVISORY As of 6 March 63-92 km/h 93-118 km/h > 118 km/h WIND BUFFER 63 - 118 km/h > 118 km/h INTENSITY TROPICAL CYCLONE Observed position Forecast position STORM SURGE JRC, METEO: HWRF 0.2-0.5 m 0.5-1 m > 1 m Dam Chemical Plant Airport 6 March 06.00 UTC 176 km/h sust. winds 5 March 06.00 UTC 185 km/h sust. winds 4 March 18.00 UTC 148 km/h sust. winds 4 March 12.00 UTC 148 km/h sust. winds 4 March 00.00 UTC 120 km/h sust. winds 3 March 18.00 UTC 93 km/h sust. winds 2 March 12.00 UTC 65 km/h sust. winds 6 March 18.00 UTC 148 km/h sust. winds 7 March 06.00 UTC 120 km/h sust. winds 6 March 18.00 UTC 6 March 16.00 UTC