Top Banner
7KLV SDVW VXPPHU (GLWRUV $VVRFLDWH (GL WRUV DQG QHZ PHPEHUV RI WKH (GLWRULDO %RDUG RI WKH -RXUQDO RI &OLQLFDO (SLGHPLROR J\ $QGUHD %XURQ 5RELQ &KULVWHQVHQ DQG 5LFKDUG +RRSHU JDWKHUHG LQ 2[IRUG 8. :H DOVR HQMR\HG WKH SUHVHQFH RI ,DLQ &KDOPHUV ZKR JDYH D JUHDW WDON DOVR RQ EHKDOI RI 0XLU *UD\ RQ ZKHWKHU WKH -&( LV XVLQJ RSSRUWXQLWLHV WR SURPRWH UHFRJQLWLRQ RI WKH FRQWHPSR UDU\ UHOHYDQFH RI NH\ DUWL FOHV IURP WKH GLVWDQW SDVW DQG RQ +HUE *UHHQ¶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eter Tugwell & André Knottnerus 2[IRUG (GLWRULDO 5HWUHDW JCE -2851$/ 2) &/,1,&$/ (3,'(0,2/2*< 2020 JANUARY (',7256 $QGUH .QRWWQHUXV DQG 3HWHU 7XJZHOO $QGUp 3HWHU DJUHH WKDW WKLV ZDV DQRWKHU VXFFHVVIXO UHWUHDW DQG ZRXOG OLNH WR WKDQN DOO WKH DWWHQGHHV IRU WKHLU RSHQ DQG SRVLWLYH FRPPHQWV :H DUH SOHDVHG WR VKDUH VRPH RI WKH KLJKOLJKWV RI WKLV \HDUV¶ UHWUHDW ZLWK \RX :H DOZD\V LQYLWH \RXU IHHGEDFN YLD HPDLO WR OWXJZHOO# XRWWDZDFD RU WR DQQHNHJHUPHUDDG# PDDVWULFKWXQLYHUVL W\QO %DFN 5RZ 3HWHU 7XJZHOO /XGR YDQ $PHOVYRRUW &DUORV &XHOOR *DUFLD 5RELQ &KULVWHQVHQ 0DUWLMQ %RXUV 5LFKDUG +RRSHU $QGUp .QRWWQHUXV )URQW 5RZ .DWH :LOOLDPVRQ $QGUHD 7ULFFR -HVVLH 0F*RZDQ $QQHNH *HUPHUDDG $QGUHD %XUyQ ,DLQ &KDOPHUV ,QGD\ 'DQV *HRUJH :HOOV /DXUD )LW]SDWULFN 7RQ\ 'DQV Sign up to have the monthly table of contents deliv- ered via email: http:// www.jclinepi.com
9

els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

Jul 17, 2020

Download

Documents

dariahiddleston
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

7KLV�SDVW�VXPPHU��(GLWRUV��$VVRFLDWH�(GL�

WRUV��DQG�QHZ�PHPEHUV�RI�WKH�(GLWRULDO�

%RDUG�RI�WKH�-RXUQDO�RI�&OLQLFDO�(SLGHPLROR�

J\��$QGUHD�%XURQ��5RELQ�&KULVWHQVHQ�DQG�

5LFKDUG�+RRSHU��JDWKHUHG�LQ�2[IRUG��8.��

:H�DOVR�HQMR\HG�WKH�SUHVHQFH�RI�,DLQ�

&KDOPHUV��ZKR�JDYH�D�JUHDW�

WDON��DOVR�RQ�EHKDOI�RI�0XLU�

*UD\��RQ�ZKHWKHU�WKH�-&(�LV�

XVLQJ�RSSRUWXQLWLHV�WR�SURPRWH�

UHFRJQLWLRQ�RI�WKH�FRQWHPSR�

UDU\�UHOHYDQFH�RI�NH\�DUWL�

FOHV�IURP�WKH�GLVWDQW�SDVW��

DQG�RQ�+HUE�*UHHQ¶V�FRXUD�

JHRXV�UROH�DV�SLRQHHU�LQ�HYLGHQFH-EDVHG�

RSSRVLWLRQ�DJDLQVW�RYHUGLDJQRVLV�DQG�RYHU�

WUHDWPHQW��7KH�UHWUHDW�ZDV�DJDLQ�D�ZRQGHU�

IXO�VXFFHVV��WKDQNV�WR�WKH�YDULRXV�H[SHUWLVH�

DQG�LGHDV�VKDUHG�E\�WKH�DWWHQGHHV�WKLV�

\HDU��:H�DOZD\V�ZHOFRPH�VXJJHVWLRQV�DQG�

LGHDV�IURP�RXU�ERDUG�PHPEHUV�DQG�UHDG�

HUV��7KDQN�\RX�WR�WKRVH�ZKR�VHQW�VXJJHV�

WLRQV�DERXW�KRZ�ZH�FDQ�FRQWLQXH�WR�LP�

SURYH�WKH�MRXUQDO�DV�ZHOO�DV�VXJJHVWLRQV�

IRU�LQWHUHVWLQJ�WRSLFV�IRU�VHULHV�

WKDW�ZH�KRSH�WR�LQFOXGH�LQ�WKH�

MRXUQDO�LQ�WKH�QHDU�IXWXUH��:H�

ZRXOG�OLNH�WR�WKDQN�HYHU\RQH�ZKR�

WRRN�SDUW�LQ�WKLV�HYHQW�DQG�PDGH�LW�

SRVVLEOH��:H�ZRXOG�DOVR�OLNH�

WR�LQYLWH�DQ\�VXJJHVWLRQV�RI�

WRSLFV�IRU�WKH������-&(�UH�

WUHDW��ZKLFK�ZLOO�EH�KRVWHG�E\�WKH�2WWDZD�

2IILFH��$�VSHFLDO�WKDQN�\RX�WR�(OVHYLHU�IRU�

RQFH�DJDLQ�VXSSRUWLQJ�WKLV�XQLTXH�DQG�LP�

SRUWDQW�UHWUHDW��

Peter Tugwell & André Knottnerus

2[IRUG�(GLWRULDO�5HWUHDW

JCE

-2851$/�2)�&/,1,&$/�(3,'(0,2/2*< 2 0 2 0 J A N U A R Y

(',7256�� $QGUH�.QRWWQHUXV�DQG�3HWHU�7XJZHOO

$QGUp��3HWHU�DJUHH�WKDW�WKLV�ZDV�DQRWKHU�VXFFHVVIXO�UHWUHDW�DQG�ZRXOG�OLNH�WR�WKDQN�DOO�WKH�DWWHQGHHV�IRU�WKHLU�RSHQ�DQG�SRVLWLYH�FRPPHQWV��:H�DUH�SOHDVHG�WR�VKDUH�VRPH�RI�WKH�KLJKOLJKWV�RI�WKLV�\HDUV¶�UHWUHDW�ZLWK�\RX�� :H�DOZD\V�LQYLWH�\RXU�IHHGEDFN�YLD�HPDLO�WR� OWXJZHOO# XRWWDZD�FD RU�WR�DQQHNH�JHUPHUDDG# PDDVWULFKWXQLYHUVL�W\�QO��

%DFN�5RZ��3HWHU�7XJZHOO��/XGR�YDQ�$PHOVYRRUW��&DUORV�&XHOOR�*DUFLD��5RELQ�&KULVWHQVHQ��0DUWLMQ�%RXUV��5LFKDUG�+RRSHU��$QGUp�.QRWWQHUXV )URQW�5RZ��.DWH�:LOOLDPVRQ��$QGUHD�7ULFFR��-HVVLH�0F*RZDQ��$QQHNH�*HUPHUDDG��$QGUHD�%XUyQ��,DLQ�&KDOPHUV��,QGD\�'DQV��*HRUJH�:HOOV��/DXUD�)LW]SDWULFN��7RQ\�'DQV

Sign up to have the monthly table of contents deliv-ered via email: http://www.jclinepi.com

Page 2: els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

P A G E 2

Sign up to have

the monthly table

of contents

delivered to your

inbox in order to

keep up with what

is published in the

JCE!

6HULHV 7KH�-&(�FXUUHQWO\�KDV�VHYHUDO�VHULHV�LQ-SURFHVV��LQFOXGLQJ�*5$'(�VXUYH\V��*5$'(�QRWHV��HYL�GHQFH�EDVH�UHVHDUFK��DQG�PHDVXULQJ�PXOWL-PRUELGLW\�� �,Q�WKH�SDVW�\HDU��ZH�SXEOLVKHG�VHULHV�RQ LQFOXGLQJ�VHULHV�RQ�HQGRFULQH-GLVUXSWLQJ�FKHPLFDOV� PHPRU\�EDVH�PHWKRGV��DQG�*5$'(�� ,I�\RX�KDYH�DQ�LGHD�IRU�D�6SHFLDO�6HULHV�RU�D�&RQWURYHUV\�DQG�'LVVHQW��SOHDVH�FRQWDFW�'U��-HVVLH�0F*RZDQ�>MPFJRZDQ#XRWWDZD�FD@�RU�'U��$QGUHD�7ULFFR�>7ULFFR$#VPK�FD@�ZLWK�\RXU�LGHDV��7R�YLHZ�SUHYLRXV�6HULHV��5HSRUWLQJ�*XLGHOLQHV�RU�&RQWURYHUV\�DQG�'LVVHQW�DUWLFOHV��SOHDVH�YLVLW�WKH�-&(�ZHEVLWH�>KWWSV���ZZZ�MFOLQHSL�FRP�FRQWHQW�MFH-&ROOHFWLRQV@�

)DFHERRN�LV�DQ�LQIOXHQWLDO�VRFLDO�PHGLD�SODWIRUP�WR�FRPPXQLFDWH�DQG�VKDUH�SHHU-UHYLHZHG�DUWLFOHV�LQ�PDQ\�VFLHQWLILF�ILHOGV��7KH�-&(�LV�QR�H[FHSWLRQ�DQG�ZH�KDYH�PDGH�VXUH�RXU�UHDGHUV�FDQ�FRQQHFW��UHDG��DQG�LQWHUDFW�ZLWK�XV�DQG�RQ�FRPPRQ�LQWHUHVWV��:LWK�������FRQQHFWHG�XVHUV��D�VWHDGLO\�����IROORZHUV�LQFUHDVH�VLQFH�ODVW�\HDU���WKH�-&(-)DFHERRN�ZHEVLWH�DLPV�WR�SURYLGH�DQRWKHU�ZD\�WR�UHDFK�LWV�UHDGHUV��GLVVHPLQDWH�KLJK-TXDOLW\�FRQWHQW��DQG�DOORZ�DQG�SURPRWH�WKH�VKDULQJ�RI�LGHDV�DPRQJ�SHHUV�DQG�FRPPXQLWLHV�ZLWK�FRPPRQ�LQWHUHVWV��)RU�H[DPSOH��DUWLFOHV�FRYHULQJ�WKH�XVH�RI�*5$'(��QHWZRUN�PHWD-DQDO\VLV��DQG�DVVHVVPHQWV�RI�ULVN�RI�ELDV�DUH�DPRQJ�WKH�PRVW�EORRPLQJ�SRVWV�WKDW�UHDFK�D�EURDGHU�DXGLHQFH��$V�LQ�RWKHU�ILHOGV�RI�WKH�KHDOWK�VFLHQFHV��WKH�UHDFK�RI�WKH�-&(�H[WHQGV�EH\RQG�VFKRODUV�DQG�FOLQLFDO�HSLGHPLRORJLVWV��VWUHWFKLQJ�LQWR�PDQ\�KHDOWK�GLVFLSOLQHV�DQG�OD\SHU�VRQV�NHHQ�WR�ILQG�WKH�EHVW�LQIRUPDWLRQ��:H�DUH�KDSS\�WR�KDYH�D�GLYHUVH�DQG�PXOWL-FXOWXUDO�EDVH�RI�IROORZHUV�IURP�DOO�RYHU�WKH�ZRUOG�

)DFHERRN

Kate Williamson

Carlos Cuello Garcia &

Ludo van Amelsvoort

-RXUQDO�3HUIRUPDQFH 7KH�DQQXDO�UHWUHDW�NLFNHG�RII�ZLWK�D�UHYLHZ�RI�SHUIRUPDQFH�RYHU�WKH�SULRU�\HDU�E\�WKH�HGLWRUV�DQG�SXEOLVKHU��:H�FRQWLQXHG�WR�VHH�LPSURYHPHQWV�LQ�HGLWRULDO�DQG�SXEOLVKLQJ�VSHHGV�GXH�WR�TXLFNHU�WXUQDURXQG�WLPHV�LQ�WKH�SHHU�UHYLHZ�SURFHVV�DQG�D�PRYH�WR�DUWLFOH�EDVHG�SXEOLVKLQJ��7KH�WLPH�IURP�VXEPLVVLRQ�WR�ILQDO�SXEOLFDWLRQ�ZDV�UHGXFHG�WR����ZHHNV��:H�FURVVHG�DQRWKHU�PLOHVWRQH�LQ�������ZKHQ�IXOO-WH[W�DUWLFOHV�LQ�-&(�ZHUH�DFFHVVHG�RYHU�����������WLPHV��$FFRUG�LQJ�WR�WKH�ODWHVW�-RXUQDO�&LWDWLRQ�5HSRUW��-&(�UHFHLYHG�RYHU��������FLWDWLRQV�LQ�������DQ�,P�SDFW�)DFWRU�RI�������DQG�D��-\HDU�,PSDFW�)DFWRU�RI��������-&(¶V������&LWH6FRUH�ZDV������

Andrea Tricco & Jessie McGowan

7ZLWWHU

#-FOLQHS�LV�DFWLYH�RQ�WZLWWHU�VLQFH�LQ�������6LQFH�WKDQ�RXU�WZLWWHU�DXGLHQFH�LQFUHDVHG�WR��FXUUHQWO\��RYHU������IROORZHUV�ZLWK�DURXQG���������PRQWKO\�HQJDJHPHQWV��2XU�WZLWWHU�VWUDWHJ\�LV�UDWKHU�ORZ�NH\��:H�VHQG�RXW�DURXQG������WZHHWV�HDFK�\HDU�DWWHQGLQJ�RXU�DXGLHQFH�ZKHQ�SXEOLFDWLRQV�DSSHDU�RQOLQH�DQG�LI�ZKHQ�SXEOLFDWLRQV�DSSHDU�LQ�DQ�VSHFLILF�LVVXH��$GGHG�DUH�VRPH�LQIRUPDWLYH�WZHHWV�DQG�UHWZHHWV�UHODWHG�WR�RXU�VXEMHFW�PDWWHU�� )RU�WKRVH�QRW�\HW�DFWLYH�RQ�WZLWWHU��LW�FDQ�EH�D�JUHDW�DQG�HIILFLHQW�UHVRXUFH�RI�UHOHYDQW�GLVFXVVLRQV�RQ�WRSLFV�DQG�VWDWLVWLFV��UHVHDUFK�PHWKRGV�DQG�PHGLFDO�QHZV��,W�DOVR�PLJKW�SURYLGH�D�ZD\�WR�GLV�WULEXWH�\RXU�LQWHUHVWLQJ�QHZ�ILQGLQJV�WR�D�EURDG�DQG�VWLPXODWLQJ�DXGLHQFH

Page 3: els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

P A G E 3

Sign up to have

the monthly table

of contents

delivered to your

inbox in order to

keep up with what

is published in the

JCE!

Iain Chalmers

Richard Hooper

Page 4: els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

'DYLG�6DFNHWW�<RXQJ�,QYHVWLJDWRU�$ZDUG�

7KLV�DZDUG�LV�LQ�WKH�VSLULW�RI�WKH�ODWH�'DYLG�/��6DFNHWW��ZKR�RYHU�PDQ\�GHFDGHV�DQG�LQ�QXPHURXV�ZD\V�KDV�FRQWLQXRXVO\�LQVSLUHG�DQG�HGXFDWHG�JHQHUDWLRQV�RI�\RXQJ�LQYHVWLJDWRUV�LQ�WKH�ILHOGV�RI�FOLQLFDO�HSLGH�PLRORJ\�DQG�HYLGHQFH-EDVHG�PHGLFLQH��7KLV�DZDUG�LV�WR�UHFRJQL]H�RXWVWDQGLQJ�SDSHUV�E\�\RXQJ�UH�VHDUFKHUV�WKDW�H[HPSOLI\�WKH�YDOXHV�RI�FUHDWLYLW\�DQG�VFLHQWLILF�H[FHOOHQFH��7R�EH�HOLJLEOH�IRU�WKH�'DYLG�6DFNHWW�<RXQJ�,QYHVWLJDWRU�$ZDUG�������WKH�\RXQJ�LQYHVWLJDWRU�KDG�WR�EH�WKH�ILUVW�DXWKRU�RI�WKH�QRPL�QDWHG�DUWLFOH��DQG�\RXQJHU�WKDQ����DW�WKH�WLPH�RI�VXEPLVVLRQ��,Q�������IURP�WKH�PDQ\�QRPLQDWLRQV�UH�FHLYHG��WKH�HGLWRULDO�WHDP�DQG�LWV�DGYLVHUV�KDYH�VHOHFWHG�,JQDFLR�$WDO��EHLQJ�WKH�ILUVW�DXWKRU�RI�UHVSHF�WLYHO\�µ$�PDSSLQJ�RI���������UDQGRPL]HG�WULDOV�UHYHDOHG�D�PLVPDWFK�EHWZHHQ�UHVHDUFK�HIIRUW�DQG�KHDOWK�QHHGV�LQ�QRQ-KLJK-LQFRPH�UHJLRQV�¶� ,Q�DQ�RULJLQDO�DQG�WKRURXJK�ZD\��WKH�UHVHDUFK�UHSRUWHG�LQ�WKLV�DUWLFOH�PHWLFXORXVO\�XQGHUSLQQHG�WKH�GL�YHUJHQFH�EHWZHHQ�WKH�KHDOWK�QHHGV�DQG�UHVHDUFK�HIIRUWV�LQ�ORZ�DQG�PLGGOH�LQFRPH�UHJLRQV��+LV�DS�SURDFK�DQG�UHVXOWV�DUH�QRW�RQO\�LPSRUWDQW�IRU�UHVHDUFKHUV�EXW�UHOHYDQW�WR�LQIRUP�SROLF\�PDNHUV��

5HYLHZ�RI�D�OLFHQVHG�GHQJXH�YDFFLQH� P A G E 4 J A N U A R Y

���,Q�1RYHPEHU�������6DQRIL�DQQRXQFHG�D�ODEHO�FKDQJH��IL�QDOO\�DFFHSWLQJ�WKDW�GHQJYD[LD�VKRXOG�QRW�EH�JLYHQ�WR�FKLOGUHQ�ZLWK�QR�HYLGHQFH�RI�SDVW�GHQJXH�LQIHFWLRQ��7KH�YDFFLQDWLRQ�SUR�JUDP�LQ�WKH�3KLOLSSLQHV�ZDV�LPPHGLDWHO\�KDOWHG�DQG�WKH�YDFFLQH�SXOOHG�RXW�RI�WKH�PDU�NHW��KWWSV���ZZZ�VDQRIL�FRP�HQ�PHGLD-URRP�SUHVV-UHOHDVHV����������-��-��-��-��-�� ���7KH�HUURU�ZDV�LQVWDQWO\�SROLWL�FL]HG��DQG�XVHG�DV�D�ZHDSRQ�DJDLQVW�RIILFLDOV�RI�WKH�SUHYLRXV�DGPLQLVWUDWLRQ�-�LQFOXGLQJ�WKH�3UHVLGHQW��%HQLJQR�$TXLQR��DQG�

WKH�6HFUHWDU\�RI�+HDOWK��-DQHW�*DULQ���6DGO\��RIILFLDOV�RI�WKH�'HSDUWPHQW�RI�+HDOWK�ZHUH�LQ�GLFWHG��DORQJVLGH�DXWKRUV�RI�WKH�SXEOLVKHG�WULDOV�RQ�'HQJYD[LD��$QWL-YD[[HUV�IHDVWHG�RQ�WKH�FDUQDJH�KWWSV���ZZZ�VFLHQFHPDJ�RUJ�QHZV���������GHQJXH-YDFFLQH-ILDVFR-OHDGV-FULPLQDO-FKDUJHV-UHVHDUFKHU-SKLOLSSLQHV ���7KH�:RUOG�+HDOWK�2UJDQL]D�WLRQ�KDV�EHODWHGO\�ZDVKHG�LWV�KDQGV�WKURXJK�VHYHUDO�SUHVV�UHOHDVHV��FODLPLQJ�WKH\�QHYHU�UHFRPPHQGHG�PDVV�YDFFLQD�WLRQ��KWWSV���QHZV�DEV-FEQ�FRP�QHZV����������ZKR-

GHQLHV-UHFRPPHQGLQJ-GHQJYD[LD-IRU-QDWO-LPPXQL]DWLRQ ���0HDQZKLOH��WKH�ILQDO�UHSRUW�RQ�WKH�$VLDQ�'HQJYD[LD�WULDO�KDV�QRW�EHHQ�SXEOLVKHG��HYHQ�LI�ORQJ�WHUP�IROORZ-XS�HQGHG���\HDUV�DJR��7KLV�KDV�OHG�WR�VXVSLFLRQ�WKDW�WKH�UHVXOWV�PD\�QRW�EH�IDYRUDEOH� ���$�GHQJXH�HSLGHPLF� WKLV�\HDU�KDV�OHG�WR�WKH� GHDWK�RI�������FKLOGUHQ��2QFH�DJDLQ��WKLV�KDV�IXHOHG�GHPDQGV�IURP�IRUPHU�SURSRQHQWV�IRU�UH-LQWURGXFWLRQ�RI�WKH�YDFFLQH�LQWR�WKH�PDUNHW��GHVSLWH�QRQ-

RXW�RI�WKHLU�EXV\�VFKHGXOHV�WR�SDUWLFLSDWH�LQ�WKH�SHHU�UHYLHZ� %DVHG�RQ�QRPLQDWLRQV�IURP�WKH�WZR�HGLWRULDO�RIILFHV��WZR�RXW�VWDQGLQJ�UHYLHZHUV�ZHUH�LGHQWL�ILHG�WR�UHFHLYH�WKH�-&(�5HYLHZHU�$ZDUG�������,PSRUWDQW�FULWHULD�WR�EH�QRPLQDWHG�IRU�WKLV�$ZDUG�LQFOXGH�WKH�IROORZLQJ��WKH�TXDOL�W\�RI�WKH�GHOLYHUHG�UHYLHZV��ERWK�FULWLFDO�DQG�FRQVWUXFWLYH��DQG�PDNLQJ�WKH�HVVHQWLDO�SRLQWV�

ZLWKRXW�IRUJHWWLQJ�UHOHYDQW�GH�WDLOV���UHVSRQGLQJ�LQ�WLPH��DQG�EHLQJ�DYDLODEOH�IRU�UHYLHZV�ZKHQ�LQYLWHG��$IWHU�FDUHIXO�UH�YLHZ�RI�DOO�RXU�SHHU�UHYLHZHUV��ZH�DUH�SOHDVHG�WR�DQQRXQFH�WKLV�\HDUV�ZLQQHUV��$QQHWWH�0�2¶&RQQRU�DQG�7LP�0RUULV���

*RRG�UHYLHZV�RI�VXEPLWWHG�PDQXVFULSWV�DUH�HVVHQWLDO�IRU�WKH�TXDOLW\�RI�SXEOLVKHG�UH�VHDUFK��3HHU�UHYLHZ�SURYLGHV�RXU�DXWKRUV�ZLWK�FRQVWUXFWLYH�FRPPHQWV�WR�PDNH�WKHLU�PDQX�VFULSWV�HYHQ�EHWWHU��$V�DQ�HGLWR�ULDO�WHDP��ZH�DUH�H[WUHPHO\�JUDWHIXO�WR�DOO�RXU�FROOHDJXHV�ZKR�KDYH�YROXQWHHUHG�WKHLU�H[SHUWLVH�DQG�KDYH�WDNHQ�WLPH�

3HHU�5HYLHZ�$ZDUGV

GLVFORVXUH�RI�WKH�ILQDO�VWXG\�UHVXOWV� KWWSV���QHZV�PE�FRP�SK������������GRK-UHSRUWV-QXPEHU-RI-GHQJXH-FDVHV-KDV-VRDUHG-WR-PRUH-WKDQ-������� ,Q�VXPPDU\��ZH¶UH�EDFN�ZKHUH�ZH�VWDUWHG�-�WU\LQJ�WR�PDNH�GHFL�VLRQV�EDVHG�RQ�LQFRP�SOHWH��KLGGHQ��HYL�GHQFH� 7KDQNV� 7RQ\�DQG�,QGD\

Annette M O’Connor

Tim Morris

Ignacio Atal

Page 5: els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

723�35,25,7,(6

P A G E 5 J A N U A R Y

Each year we set a goal of top priorities to focus on. The table below shows the top priorities from 2019

����

Top Priorities

Content (Series)

- series on development composite outcomes - paper on big e vs little e

- series use and misuse of evidence

- machine learning/ p values - Step wedge

- causal C & D around definition

- scarce data, infographics & engage-ment

- ethical aspects regarding publications

- PMC in CPG development: values and preferences,

- P value- eliminate or educate, - systematic reviews- real or fake, - IPD access- biased or unbiased, - risk of bias- in depth or simplistic, - C7D real world data vs unreal data -- surrogate/ intermediate outcomes, - C& D on evidence and policy making

- Further develop and implement the process as proposed by Tony and In-day, including editorial protocol (Tony, Inday, editorial team)

����

Publishing process When authors wanted to submit a manu-script to the journal which was already available on the internet as a pre-print, they could simply provide a link to the pre-print rather than uploading a manu-script

- collections

- tutorial heading-add as an article type/ include one pagers

- use list of topics to track what is being accepted and rejected, - time spent searching for reviewers, - blog to have online C&D with more people

- highlight series on social - mediatwitterview, graphics

- List of outright rejections: quarterly reports

- email exchanges about LMIC standard process – by invitation

- Revamp guidelines for authors on methods and stats

����

KƚŚĞƌ - tweet questions - ask authors for their twitter account - Revamp criteria for awards - activism, - more papers for clinicians: misleading stats from a clini-cian’s point of view- quick tips, LMIC papers - social media: invigorating/involving the new members of the editorial board - methods instructions to authors

Page 6: els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

723�35,25,7,(6

P A G E 6 J A N U A R Y

Each year we set a goal of top priorities to focus on. The table below shows the top priorities from 2019

����

Top Priorities

^ƵŐŐĞƐƟŽŶƐ�ĨŽƌ�ƐĞƌŝĞƐͬ�Θ�ͬƉĂƉĞƌƐ�

- One pagers on ‘What is/ are compo-site outcomes?’ (key concepts in clinical epidemiology)/

- Consider C&D on analysis by Raffle et al., as suggested by Iain Chalmers

- short tutorial papers

- social media interaction on behalf of the journal (actual speaking)

- guidance on the series, collections - methodological tools one pagers, - prisma extension to scoping reviews, - series on co-creation, - evolving methods for knowledge syn-thesis, - JBI series, - tutorial on network meta analysis, - more generative approach- next year: pick one thing to continue and one thing to improve -visibility of papers; bridge between statistics & applied science - collections more visibility, - series on statistics ßà application - causal revolution – Judea Pearl (causal diagrams) to write a paper & Donald Rubin two different views C&D on theoretically perfect & practi-cally practical, - making your data available-pro & con, - systematic reviews -is it real research, - GRADE -2nd generation papers – also work towards this with Joanna Briggs

- social media engagement – “twinterview”

����

Publishing Process

- social media engagement – “twinterview

- blog related to articles published, twitter -biases social media, survey tool to collect opinions link to paper (C&D), - make papers more easy to read for end users (infographics), - tweet about articles that relate to (inter) national events and conferences, more accessible versions of (selected) papers for broader audience)

����

Other

Awards (Editorial team) David Sackett Award: Improving process, consider proposals Andrea Reviewer Award: Scoring system Maas-tricht to be considered by Ottawa

Page 7: els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

P A G E 7

In 2018, there was

a full-text accesses

of 1,095,149 of JCE

articles from

ScienceDirect,

ClinicalKey and

JCE. A 5,79 increase

in average full-text

accesses per month

for ScienceDirect. .

7RS����&LWHG�$UWLFOHV�FRQWULEXWLQJ�WR������,PSDFW�)DFWRU

&LWHV�LQ�����

$UWLFOH $XWKRU�V� �� 35(66�3HHU�5HYLHZ�RI�(OHFWURQLF�6HDUFK�6WUDWHJLHV�������*XLGHOLQH�

6WDWHPHQW 0F*RZDQ��-HVVLH�6DPSVRQ� 0DUJDUHW�6DO]ZHGHO��'RXJ�ODV�0���HW�DO�

�� 52%,6��$�QHZ�WRRO�WR�DVVHVV�ULVN�RI�ELDV�LQ�V\VWHPDWLF�UHYLHZV�ZDV�GHYHORSHG

:KLWLQJ��3HQQ\�6DYRYLF��-HOHQD��HW�DO�

�� 0LOOLRQ�9HWHUDQ�3URJUDP��$�PHJD-ELREDQN�WR�VWXG\�JHQHWLF�LQIOX�HQFHV�RQ�KHDOWK�DQG�GLVHDVH

*D]LDQR��-RKQ�0L�FKDHO�+XPSKULHV� 'RQDOG��HW�DO�

�� 5HSOLFDWLRQ�DQG�YDOLGDWLRQ�RI�KLJKHU�RUGHU�PRGHOV�GHPRQVWUDWHG�WKDW�D�VXPPDU\�VFRUH�IRU�WKH�(257&�4/4-&���LV�UREXVW

*LHVLQJHU��-RKDQQHV�0��.LHIIHU��-DFRELHQ 0��HW�DO�

�� $GHTXDWH�VDPSOH�VL]H�IRU�GHYHORSLQJ�SUHGLFWLRQ�PRGHOV�LV�QRW�VLPS�O\�UHODWHG�WR�HYHQWV�SHU YDULDEOH

2JXQGLPX��(PPDQXHO�2��$OWPDQ� 'RXJODV�*��&ROOLQV��*DU\�6�

�� $�FDOLEUDWLRQ�KLHUDUFK\�IRU�ULVN�PRGHOV�ZDV�GHILQHG��IURP�XWRSLD�WR�HPSLULFDO�GDWD

9DQ�&DOVWHU��%HQ�1LHERHU��'DDQ��HW�DO�

�� *5$'(�(YLGHQFH�WR�'HFLVLRQ��(W'��IUDPHZRUNV�IRU�DGRSWLRQ��DGDS�WDWLRQ��DQG�GH�QRYR�GHYHORSPHQW�RI�WUXVWZRUWK\�UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV��*5$'(-$'2/230(17

6FKXQHPDQQ��+ROJHU�-���HW�DO�

�� (YLGHQFH-EDVHG�PHGLFLQH�KDV�EHHQ�KLMDFNHG��D�UHSRUW�WR�'DYLG�6DFNHWW

,RDQQLGLV��-RKQ�3��$� �

�� 3520,6�PHDVXUHV�RI�SDLQ��IDWLJXH��QHJDWLYH�DIIHFW��SK\VLFDO�IXQF�WLRQ��DQG�VRFLDO�IXQFWLRQ�GHPRQVWUDWHG�FOLQLFDO�YDOLGLW\�DFURVV�D�UDQJH�RI�FKURQLF�FRQGLWLRQV

5KRGHV�.�0���7XUQHU�5�0���+LJJLQV�-�3�7�

�� 5HJLVWU\-EDVHG�UDQGRPL]HG�FRQWUROOHG�WULDOV-�ZKDW�DUH�WKH�DG�YDQWDJHV��FKDOOHQJHV��DQG�DUHDV�IRU�IXWXUH�UHVHDUFK"

/L��*XRZHL�'URJRV��/DXUHQ�/���HW�DO�

,03$&7�)$&725�$1$/<6,6�2)�6(5,(6

7RS�&LWHG�6(5,(6�DQG�DYHUDJH�LPSDFW�SHU�DUWLFOH� ¨ &$5(��������������� ¨ &216257��������������� ¨ *5$'(��������������� ¨ *5$'(���������������

Page 8: els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

7RS�$FFHVVHG�$UWLFOHV�MFOLQHSL�FRP�����

P A G E 8 J A N U A R Y

)XOO-WH[W�$FFHVV�

HV

$UWLFOH $XWKRU�V�

����� *5$'(�JXLGHOLQHV�����,QWURGXFWLRQ—*5$'(�HYLGHQFH�SURILOHV�DQG�VXPPDU\�RI�ILQGLQJV�WDEOHV

*RUGRQ�*X\DWW��$QGUHZ�'��2[�PDQ���HW�DO�

����� *5$'(�JXLGHOLQHV�����5DWLQJ�WKH�TXDOLW\�RI�HYLGHQFH +RZDUG�%DOVKHP��0DUN�+HOIDQG��HW�DO�

����� *5$'(�JXLGHOLQHV�����5DWLQJ�WKH�TXDOLW\�RI�HYLGHQFH—VWXG\�OLPLWD�WLRQV��ULVN�RI�ELDV�

*RUGRQ�+��*X\DWW��HW�DO�

����� *5$'(�JXLGHOLQHV�����)UDPLQJ�WKH�TXHVWLRQ�DQG�GHFLGLQJ�RQ�LP�SRUWDQW�RXWFRPHV

*RUGRQ�+��*X\DWW���HW�DO�

����� 7KH�6WUHQJWKHQLQJ�WKH�5HSRUWLQJ�RI�2EVHUYDWLRQDO�6WXGLHV�LQ�(SL�GHPLRORJ\��6752%(��VWDWHPHQW��JXLGHOLQHV�IRU�UHSRUWLQJ�REVHUYD�WLRQDO�VWXGLHV

(�YRQ�(OP��HW�DO�

����� $�KLHUDUFK\�RI�HYLGHQFH�IRU�DVVHVVLQJ�TXDOLWDWLYH�KHDOWK�UHVHDUFK -HDQQH�'DO\��HW�DO�

����� &RQWURYHUV\�DQG�GHEDWH��0HPRU\-%DVHG�0HWKRGV�3DSHU����WKH�IDWDO�IODZV�RI�IRRG�IUHTXHQF\�TXHVWLRQQDLUHV�DQG�RWKHU�PHPRU\-EDVHG�GLHWDU\�DVVHVVPHQW�PHWKRGV

(GZDUG�$UFKHU��0LFKDHO�/��0DU�ORZ��&DUO�-��/DYLH

����� *5$'(�JXLGHOLQHV����5DWLQJ�WKH�TXDOLW\�RI�HYLGHQFH—LPSUHFLVLRQ *RUGRQ�+��*X\DWW��HW�DO�

����� 3UHIHUUHG�5HSRUWLQJ�,WHPV�IRU�6\VWHPDWLF�5HYLHZV�DQG�0HWD-$QDO\VHV��7KH�35,60$ 6WDWHPHQW

'DYLG�0RKHU��$OHVVDQGUR�/LEHUDWL��-HQQLIHU�7HW]ODII� 'RXJODV�*��$OWPDQ

����� *5$'(�JXLGHOLQHV�����5DWLQJ�WKH�TXDOLW\�RI�HYLGHQFH—LQFRQVLVWHQF\

*RUGRQ�+��*X\DWW��HW�DO�

6RFLDO�0HGLD JCE is on social media! Be sure to get and contribute to the latest information about what’s happening in

the journal.

Like us on facebook https://www.facebook.com/JClinEpi/

Or visit our website: www.jclinepi.com

Or check our twitter account Twitter.com/JClinEpi

Page 9: els-jbs-prod-cdn.jbs.elsevierhealth.com · huv 7kdqn \rx wr wkrvh zkr vhqw vxjjhv wlrqv derxw krz zh fdq frqwlqxh wr lp suryh wkh mrxuqdo dv zhoo dv vxjjhvwlrqv iru lqwhuhvwlqj wrslfv

0HPEHUV .��%HOO��6LGQH\��$XVWUDOLD /��%HUR��6DQ�)UDQFLVFR��&$��86$ 2��%HUZDQJHU��6DR�3DXOR��%UD]LO� &��%RPEDUGLHU��7RURQWR��21��&DQDGD $��%XURQ��%DUFHORQD��6SDLQ <��&KHQ��/DQ]KRX��&KLQD� 5��&KULVWHQVHQ��2GHQVH��'HPDUN -��&UDLJ��:HVWPHDDG��$XVWUDOLD ,��'DQV��0DQLOD��3KLOLSSLQHV 5��'HQQLV��%RJRWD��&RORPELD 5��GH�9HW��$PVWHUGDP��7KH�1HWKHUODQGV 6��(QJOLVK��2WWDZD��&DQDGD 3��*ODV]LRX��*ROG�&RDVW��$XVWUDOLD *��*X\DWW��+DPLOWRQ��21��&DQDGD 5��+RRSHU��/RQGRQ��8. '��.RW]��'�VVHOGRUI��*HUPDQ\ 0�$�'��/DQVDQJ��0DQLOD��3KLOLSSLQHV

(GLWRUV -�$��.QRWWQHUXV�0DDVWULFKW�� 7KH�1HWKHUODQGV 3��7XJZHOO� 2WWDZD��21��&DQDGD $VVRFLDWH�(GLWRUV /��YDQ�$PHOVYRRUW��0DDVWULFKW��7KH�1HWKHUODQGV 0��%RXUV��0DDVWULFKW��7KH�1HWKHUODQGV 7��'DQV��0DQLOD��3KLOLSSLQHV -�3�$��,RDQQLGLV��6WDQIRUG��&$��86 -��0F*RZDQ��2WWDZD��21��&DQDGD $��7ULFFR��7RURQWR��&DQDGD� *��:HOOV��2WWDZD��21��&DQDGD (GLWRULDO�0DQDJHUV $��*HUPHUDDG-8ULRW��0DDVWULFKW�� 7KH�1HWKHUODQGV /��)LW]SDWULFN��2WWDZD��21��&DQDGD

)��/ODQDV��7HPXFD��0H[LFR (��0D\R-:LOVRQ��%DOWLPRUH��86 0��0GHJH��=LPEDEZH��=LPEDEZH '��0RKHU��2WWDZD��21��&DQDGD $��0RUDELD��1HZ�<RUN��1<��86 $��2&RQQRU��2WWDZD��21��&DQDGD 3��2OXSRWROXSRW��0DOH��1LJHULD 0��3DJH��0RQDVK��$XVWUDOLD .��3UDVDG��1HZ�'HOKL��,QGLD '�)��5DQVRKRII��&KDSHO�+LOO��1&��86 )��5RVHQGDDO��/HLGHQ��7KH�1HWKHUODQGV 6��6HUJKLRX��6WDQIRUG��86 6��6WUDXV��7RURQWR��21��&DQDGD 0��YDQ�GHQ�$NNHU��0DDVWULFKW��7KH�1HWKHUODQGV .��<XVRI��.XDOD�/XPSXU��0DOD\VLD

Please feel free to contact us for any further information on the JCE, or to send us suggestions contact: Laura Fitzpatrick Editorial Assistant E-mail: [email protected]

-&(�(GLWRULDO�%RDUG

:H�ZRXOG�OLNH�WR�WDNH�WKLV�RSSRUWXQLW\�WR�WKDQN�7RQ\�'DQV�IRU�DOO�WKH�SLFWXUHV�WKDW�DSSHDU�LQ�WKLV�QHZVOHWWHU�� 1HZVOHWWHU�&RPSLOHG�E\��$QQHNH�*HUPHUDDG-8ULRW��/DXUD�)LW]SDWULFN

$11281&(0(176 ================================= $W�WKH�UHWUHDW��$QGUp�.QRWWQHUXV�DQQRXQFHG�WKDW��DIWHU�KDYLQJ�VHUYHG�WKH�MRXUQDO�IRU�PDQ\�\HDUV��KH�ZLOO�VWHS�GRZQ�DV�FR-HGLWRU-LQ-FKLHI�DW�WKH�HQG�RI�������7KH�RIILFLDO�VHDUFK�SURFHVV�IRU�$QGUp¶V�VXFFHVVRU�ZLOO�FRPPHQFH�VRRQ��FRRUGLQDWHG�E\�

.DWH�:LOOLDPVRQ��3XEOLVKHU�RI�-&(��:H�ORRN�IRUZDUG�WR�FHOHEUDW�LQJ�WKH�LPPHQVH�FRQWULEXWLRQV�$QGUp�KDV�PDGH�WR�WKH�MRXUQDO�

DQG�WKH�ILHOG�RI�FOLQLFDO�HSLGHPLRORJ\��

6DGO\��MXVW�DIWHU�*ODG\V�/HRQ�MRLQHG�WKH�(GLWRULDO�%RDUG�RI�WKH�-RXUQDO�VKH�SDVVHG�DZD\���

5HFHQWO\��'DQLHO�.RW]�D�PHPEHU�RI�RXU�HGLWRULDO�ERDUG�KDV�EHFRPH�IDWKHU�RI�0DWWLV�2OH��:H�FRQJDUXODWH�KLP�DQG�KLV�

IDPLO\�ZLWK�WKLV�KDSS\�RFFDVLRQ�

)ULGD\�6HSWHPEHU����������ZDV�D�KDSS\�GD\�IRU�$QGUHD�%XURQ�JHWWLQJ�PDUULHG�ZLWK�KHU�VZHDWKDUW�