ECOOP WP5 overview “Forecast Production and Information Systems”

© Crown copyright 2005 Page 1

ECOOP WP5 overview“Forecast Production and Information Systems”

ECOOP Consensus and planning meeting

16-17 March 2005


Contents

WP5 Aims and Objectives WP5 Scope: systems, regions,……. WP5 Tasks, interfaces to other WPs Example …….


ECOOP WP5

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: ‘EuroMISS’

To build up integrated coastal ocean forecast production and

dissemination capacity based on existing systems,

providing improved services for GMES

Define initial European Regional and Coastal Seas operational

forecast modelling systems ECOOPSYS V0 (as MERSEA WP9)

providing contributions to GMES Services

Synthesise existing forecast model outputs and observations into

value-added information products for GMES services

Implement developments to ECOOPSYS arising from WP1, WP4

and the Development WPs through WP13


ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS

SCOPE: systems

Priority: GMES Services: water quality, HAB, oil spill drift

forecasting

3D circulation modelling including physical-ecosystem

?? BUT NOT ??

Storm Surges Waves

Except where these are coupled to a 3D physical-ecosystem model

eg waves

OR include minimal waves / surges portal to existing systems


ECOOP WP5

SCOPE: regions COASTAL plus regional

ECOOP operational systems from : Southern North Sea North Sea German Bight

English Channel / SW Approaches Irish Sea Liverpool Bay

Aegean Sea Adriatic

Cyprus CYCOFOS Southern Mediterranean ? Black Sea

Bay of Biscay ESEOO Spanish waters

Skagerrak Baltic Gulf of Bothnia / Gulf of Riga ??

Barents Sea OsloFjord

MERSEA covers Mediterranean; NW Shelf, Baltic


Suggested TASKS

Integration and definition of regional / coastal

forecasting systems

Co-ordinate implementation of upgrades to

ECOOPSYS V0 providing GMES services

Generation and dissemination of value added

information products for GMES services, based on

ECOOP observations and modelling

Particular links to WP3, WP13,…..

ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS


Suggested PRODUCTS: issues

Build on existing capability (MERSEA LAS / DISMAR /

national initiatives………….)

Harmonise and integrate across regional seas

systems

value added products

Dialogue with users; links to GMES Service Element

activity

ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS


Suggested PRODUCTS

Gridded model datasets: MERSEA LAS

Synthesised model and observed parameters,

including marine ecosystem, eutrophication indices,

harmful algal bloom likelihood:

Web based delivery such as (building on) MONCOZE

or POL Coastal Observatory or POSEIDON

Include links to existing systems for wave, surge

forecasts

ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS


Suggested PRODUCTS examples

Drawn from NOOS

Other systems are also available

MONCOZE

POLCOBS

HAB index example for North West shelf

Eutrophication index southern North Sea

ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS

MONCOZE project: Monitoring the Norwegian Coastal Zone EnvironmentPOMS: a web tool for uniform presentation of near-real-time observations and model products – to facilitate monitoring and analysis.

A Norwegian national project: MONCOZE

Pilot Ocean Monitoring System (POMS) http://moncoze.met.no

POL Irish Sea Coastal Observatory Web site - http://coastobs.pol.ac.uk

Different levels

for

Researchers

Managers

Public


Products under development from Met OfficePOLCOMS-ERSEM MRCS model

Early April N to P ratio (left) and the corresponding phaeocystis warning map (right)showing some regions of elevated risk along Welsh and French coastlines

PML POLCOLMS_ERSEM

Eutrophication in southern N Sea 1988


SUMMARY: Suggested TASKS

Integration and definition of regional / coastal

forecasting systems

Co-ordinate implementation of upgrades to

ECOOPSYS V0 providing GMES services

Generation and dissemination of value added

information products for GMES services

ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS


12km

Ex-Hurricane Irene October 1999

Jonswap Gamma (colour) / windsea Hs (contours)

Identifies regions with high sea state AND actively growing waves

POL Irish Sea: JNCC Irish Sea Pilot Project , model derived ecological units

Bed stress frequency of stratification positions of fronts

Real-time model results Ocean-shelf model (12km), Irish Sea model (1.8km)

e.g. sea surface temperaturepoint and click for profile


ECOOP WP5MERSEA system provides:

MERSEA V0 Arctic : TOPAZ : (North Atlantic, Nordic Seas and Arctic), HYCOM,

resolution is 18-35 km. Includes ice and ecosystem model, Assimilates SSH, SST, ice concentration, ARGO floats. Assimilation scheme is EnKF, weekly assimilation cycle.

Baltic : DMI BSH-cmod + OI, resolution of 6-1 nm, twice daily. Mediterranean : MFS : 1/16o, assimilates sea level surface temperature

and profile data using ROOI scheme on weekly basis. NE Atlantic : FOAM 1/9o N Atlantic, ocean and sea-ice model: nested

inside Atlantic model ; assimilation of surface height, temperature and salinity profile data and sea-ice concentration fields using modified analysis correction scheme. POLCOMS system for NE Atlantic shelf using 12 km grid and no assimilation. Both are run daily.

MERSEA V1 Arctic : Adapted to overall MERSEA operation. Assimilation of ocean

colour data. Baltic : BSH-cmod + OI, res. 3-1 nm, twice daily, with boundary

conditions from NE Atlantic model Mediterranean Adapted to overall MERSEA operation. Transition to

daily operation. NE Atlantic : POLCOMS 1/32o no assimilation, nested in global daily.


ECOOP WP5MERSEA system provides:

Mersea Integrated System V.2 Month 36 = Mar 2007 Arctic : horizontal resolution 9-18 km. Assimilation of Cryosat ice

thickness data. [Ecosystem model upgraded.] Transition to daily real-time operations at meto.no underway.

Baltic : increased vertical resolution, data assimilation in test version.

Mediterranean trial nesting of Mediterranean model within the Mersea global; ecosystem demo.

NE Atlantic : OPA/EOMF, 1/32o with tides, assimilation, daily, nested in "global".

Mersea Integrated System V.3 March 2008 All models include ecosystems and delivered, fully nested ; ready

for production Arctic : Final system running operationally at met.no. Baltic : Data assimilation fully operational. Mediterranean: full operational implementation of nesting NE Atlantic : ecosystem model included.

ECOOP WP5 overview “Forecast Production and Information Systems”

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