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Economics 172 Issues in African Economic Development Professor Ted Miguel Department of Economics University of California, Berkeley
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Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

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Page 1: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Econ

omic

s 17

2Is

sues

in A

frica

n E

cono

mic

Dev

elop

men

t

Pro

fess

or T

ed M

igue

lD

epar

tmen

t of E

cono

mic

sU

nive

rsity

of C

alifo

rnia

, Ber

kele

y

Page 2: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Econ

omic

s 17

2Is

sues

in A

frica

n E

cono

mic

Dev

elop

men

t

Lect

ure

19 –

Apr

il 3,

200

7

Page 3: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

3

•Th

e m

idte

rm e

xam

will

be

retu

rned

at t

he e

nd o

f cla

ss

toda

y. T

he m

ean

scor

e w

as 1

9.7

(med

ian

scor

e 20

.25)

ou

t of 2

9 po

ints

in to

tal.

Page 4: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

4

The

Afri

can

slav

e tra

de(s

)

•Th

ere

wer

e th

ree

dist

inct

, lar

ge-s

cale

sla

ve tr

adin

g ro

utes

thro

ugh

the

end

of th

e 19

thce

ntur

y:

Atla

ntic

Oce

an tr

ade

11-1

3 m

illio

nS

ahar

a, R

ed S

ea tr

ade

5 m

illio

nIn

dian

Oce

an tr

ade

2 m

illio

nTO

TAL

18-2

0 m

illio

n pe

ople

ens

lave

d

Page 5: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

5

Dat

a on

the

Atla

ntic

Sla

ve T

rade

•A

t the

pea

k of

the

trade

in th

e 18

thce

ntur

y, h

uge

num

bers

of A

frica

ns w

ere

bein

g ca

ptur

ed e

very

yea

r:#

peop

le /

year

(ran

ge)

1450

-160

02,

500-

7,44

116

01-1

700

13,3

24-1

8,68

017

01-1

800

61,3

00-9

7,46

9La

te 1

800s

33,3

00-5

0,23

0

•A

185

0 ce

nsus

of F

reet

own,

Sie

rra

Leon

e in

dica

tes

that

man

y sl

aves

wer

e ta

ken

in w

ar, k

idna

pped

, en

slav

ed a

fter c

omm

ittin

g a

crim

e, s

old

by re

lativ

es

Page 6: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

6

The

Atla

ntic

Sla

ve T

rade

•M

ost s

lave

raid

ing

was

car

ried

out b

y A

frica

ns, w

ho

sold

cap

ture

d pe

ople

to E

urop

ean

trade

rs a

t coa

stal

po

rts(in

toda

y’s

Gha

na, N

iger

ia, C

ongo

, Lib

eria

, Sie

rra

Leon

e, B

enin

, Sen

egal

, Cam

eroo

n, A

ngol

a, …

)

•E

urop

eans

trad

ed s

lave

s fo

r hor

ses,

text

iles,

met

al

good

s an

d to

ols,

and

mos

t im

porta

ntly

gun

s. It

is

estim

ated

that

20

mill

ion

guns

wer

e tra

ded

in a

ll

•M

ilita

ry p

ower

bro

ught

them

mor

e sl

aves

and

mor

e po

litic

al p

ower

. Sla

ve tr

ader

s be

cam

e w

ealth

yan

d po

litic

ally

influ

entia

l in

muc

h of

coa

stal

Wes

t Afri

ca

Page 7: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

7

Why

was

Afri

ca ta

rget

ed b

y sl

ave

trade

rs?

Page 8: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

8

Why

was

Afri

ca ta

rget

ed b

y sl

ave

trade

rs?

•Lo

catio

n re

lativ

ely

clos

e to

the

Am

eric

as, w

ith it

s bo

omin

g su

gar p

lant

atio

ns

Page 9: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

9

Why

was

Afri

ca ta

rget

ed b

y sl

ave

trade

rs?

•Lo

catio

n re

lativ

ely

clos

e to

the

Am

eric

as, w

ith it

s bo

omin

g su

gar p

lant

atio

ns

•P

re-e

xist

ing

inte

rnal

sla

ve n

etw

orks

: in

the

late

180

0s,

18-4

4% o

f Afri

cans

wer

e sl

aves

of o

ther

Afri

cans

(b

ased

on

early

Eur

opea

n co

loni

al s

urve

ys) –

as

dom

estic

sla

ves,

and

in m

ines

and

pla

ntat

ions

Page 10: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

10

Why

was

Afri

ca ta

rget

ed b

y sl

ave

trade

rs?

•Lo

catio

n re

lativ

ely

clos

e to

the

Am

eric

as, w

ith it

s bo

omin

g su

gar p

lant

atio

ns

•P

re-e

xist

ing

inte

rnal

sla

ve n

etw

orks

•Le

ss m

ilita

ry m

ight

(e.g

., co

mpa

red

to A

sia)

Page 11: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

11

Why

was

Afri

ca ta

rget

ed b

y sl

ave

trade

rs?

•Lo

catio

n re

lativ

ely

clos

e to

the

Am

eric

as, w

ith it

s bo

omin

g su

gar p

lant

atio

ns

•P

re-e

xist

ing

inte

rnal

sla

ve n

etw

orks

•Le

ss m

ilita

ry m

ight

(e.g

., co

mpa

red

to A

sia)

•O

ther

reas

ons?

Page 12: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

12

Wha

t im

pact

of t

he s

lave

trad

e on

soc

iety

?

Page 13: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

13

Wha

t im

pact

of t

he s

lave

trad

e on

soc

iety

?

•Lo

wer

pop

ulat

ion

dens

ity

less

urb

aniz

atio

n

•S

trate

gies

to a

void

cap

ture

lo

wer

out

put

Page 14: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

14

Wha

t im

pact

of t

he s

lave

trad

e on

soc

iety

?

•Lo

wer

pop

ulat

ion

dens

ity

less

urb

aniz

atio

n

•S

trate

gies

to a

void

cap

ture

lo

wer

out

put

•S

horte

r tim

e ho

rizon

s le

ss in

vest

men

t

•E

fforts

div

erte

d in

to s

lavi

ng, a

way

from

pro

duct

ion

Page 15: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

15

Wha

t im

pact

of t

he s

lave

trad

e on

soc

iety

?

•Lo

wer

pop

ulat

ion

dens

ity

less

urb

aniz

atio

n

•S

trate

gies

to a

void

cap

ture

lo

wer

out

put

•S

horte

r tim

e ho

rizon

s le

ss in

vest

men

t

•E

fforts

div

erte

d in

to s

lavi

ng, a

way

from

pro

duct

ion

•C

hang

es in

the

natu

re o

f pol

itica

l pow

er

•B

reak

dow

n of

soc

ial c

oope

ratio

n, c

ultu

ral c

hang

es

Page 16: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

16

Long

-run

impa

cts

of s

lave

ry in

Afri

ca

•N

unn

(200

5) c

ompi

led

a ne

w d

atas

et o

n th

e co

untry

of

orig

in o

f ind

ivid

uals

sen

t to

the

New

Wor

ld in

the

Atla

ntic

Oce

an a

nd In

dian

Oce

an s

lave

trad

es, u

sing

sh

ippi

ng re

cord

s, s

lave

eth

nici

ty d

ata

•H

e as

sign

s pe

ople

shi

pped

from

a p

artic

ular

por

t as

orig

inal

ly c

omin

g fro

m th

at c

ount

ry o

r its

nei

ghbo

rs

(e.g

., pe

ople

shi

pped

from

por

ts to

day

in G

hana

are

as

sign

ed to

eith

er G

hana

or B

urki

na F

aso)

--In

form

atio

n fro

m 4

6 di

ffere

nt s

ourc

es o

n 88

,616

pe

ople

from

480

diff

eren

t eth

nic

grou

ps fo

r the

Atla

ntic

tra

de, o

nly

3 so

urce

sfo

r the

Indi

an O

cean

trad

e

Page 17: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

17

Map

of A

frica

Page 18: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

18

Long

-run

impa

cts

of s

lave

ry in

Afri

ca

•N

unn

(200

5) c

ompi

led

a ne

w d

atas

et o

n th

e co

untry

of

orig

in o

f ind

ivid

uals

sen

t to

the

New

Wor

ld in

the

Atla

ntic

Oce

an a

nd In

dian

Oce

an s

lave

trad

es, u

sing

sh

ippi

ng re

cord

s, s

lave

eth

nici

ty d

ata

•H

e as

sign

s pe

ople

shi

pped

from

a p

artic

ular

por

t as

orig

inal

ly c

omin

g fro

m th

at c

ount

ry o

r its

nei

ghbo

rs

(e.g

., pe

ople

shi

pped

from

por

ts to

day

in G

hana

are

as

sign

ed to

eith

er G

hana

or B

urki

na F

aso)

•A

lthou

gh a

n im

prov

emen

t, th

ere

are

man

y w

ays

this

co

uld

gene

rate

impe

rfect

dat

a

Page 19: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

19

Num

bers

of s

lave

s ta

ken,

by

coun

try

•N

unn

cons

truct

s a

mea

sure

of s

lave

ry e

xpos

ure

Page 20: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

20

Long

-run

impa

cts

•Th

e m

ain

regr

essi

on e

quat

ion

is:

•Th

e Y

var

iabl

es h

ere

incl

ude

long

-run

inco

me

leve

ls

(per

cap

ita),

econ

omic

gro

wth

rate

s, p

oliti

cal

outc

omes

. Nun

n fin

ds c

onsi

sten

tly n

egat

ive

impa

cts

of

slav

ery

expo

sure

on

late

r eco

nom

ic a

nd p

oliti

cal

deve

lopm

ent o

utco

mes

in A

frica

Page 21: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

21

Page 22: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

22

Page 23: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

23

Long

-run

impa

cts

•Th

e m

agni

tude

of t

hese

neg

ativ

e ef

fect

s is

qui

te la

rge:

a

1 s.

d. in

crea

se in

sla

ve e

xpor

ts d

ecre

ases

ann

ual

per c

apita

eco

nom

ic g

row

th in

196

0-20

00 b

y 1.

25%

•Th

ere

are

also

adv

erse

impa

cts

on m

any

othe

r pol

itica

l an

d in

stitu

tiona

l out

com

es (T

able

12)

. How

sho

uld

we

inte

rpre

t the

true

cha

nnel

s le

adin

g to

the

poor

econ

omic

dev

elop

men

t out

com

es?

Page 24: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

24

Page 25: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

25

Page 26: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

26

Inte

rpre

tatio

n of

Nun

n’s

resu

lts

•C

ount

ries

mos

t exp

osed

to E

urop

ean

slav

e tra

ding

to

day

look

muc

h w

orse

off

than

oth

er A

frica

n co

untri

es. S

ever

al o

f Afri

ca’s

suc

cess

sto

ries

(e.g

., B

otsw

ana)

wer

e la

rgel

y un

touc

hed

by th

e tra

de

Page 27: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

27

Inte

rpre

tatio

n of

Nun

n’s

resu

lts

•C

ount

ries

mos

t exp

osed

to E

urop

ean

slav

e tra

ding

to

day

look

muc

h w

orse

off

than

oth

er A

frica

n co

untri

es. S

ever

al o

f Afri

ca’s

suc

cess

sto

ries

(e.g

., B

otsw

ana)

wer

e la

rgel

y un

touc

hed

by th

e tra

de

•B

ut it

is u

ncle

ar e

xact

ly w

hat t

he c

ause

of t

his

is. T

here

ar

e m

any

theo

retic

ally

pla

usib

le m

echa

nism

s (e

cono

mic

, pol

itica

l, cu

ltura

l) th

roug

h w

hich

sla

very

co

uld

affe

ct c

urre

nt o

utco

mes

Page 28: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

28

Inte

rpre

tatio

n of

Nun

n’s

resu

lts

•C

ount

ries

mos

t exp

osed

to E

urop

ean

slav

e tra

ding

to

day

look

muc

h w

orse

off

than

oth

er A

frica

n co

untri

es. S

ever

al o

f Afri

ca’s

suc

cess

sto

ries

(e.g

., B

otsw

ana)

wer

e la

rgel

y un

touc

hed

by th

e tra

de

•B

ut it

is u

ncle

ar e

xact

ly w

hat t

he c

ause

of t

his

is. T

here

ar

e m

any

theo

retic

ally

pla

usib

le m

echa

nism

s (e

cono

mic

, pol

itica

l, cu

ltura

l) th

roug

h w

hich

sla

very

co

uld

affe

ct c

urre

nt o

utco

mes

•O

mitt

ed v

aria

bles

: wer

e th

e ar

eas

with

the

wea

kest

po

litic

al in

stitu

tions

his

toric

ally

mos

t pre

yed

upon

?

Page 29: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture19.pdfData on the Atlantic Slave Trade • At the peak of the trade in the 18 Economics 172: Lecture

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

19

29

•Fo

r nex

t tim

e: c

ontin

ue re

adin

gs o

n th

e hi

stor

ical

le

gaci

es o

f sla

very

and

col

onia

lism

(wee

ks 1

0-11

)

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