Fewer Commercial Real Estate Transactions in Q3 TORONTO, October 5, 2011 — Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Commercial Division Members leased almost 3.6 million square feet of commercial space through the TorontoMLS® system in the third quarter of 2011, representing a decline of almost 50 per cent in comparison to almost 6.6 million square feet leased during the same period in 2010. Industrial space accounted for over 78 per cent of the total space leased. The average lease rate for industrial transactions completed on a per square foot net basis and for which pricing was disclosed was $4.83 – down 28 per cent compared to an average of $6.75 in the third quarter of 2010. “The outlook for the Canadian economy became less clear during the spring and summer of this year. The dip in leasing transactions in the third quarter suggests that firms were viewing investment and expansion with more caution compared to the summer of 2010,” said TREB Commercial Division Chair Larry Purchase. In the third quarter, 184 commercial properties were sold through the TorontoMLS® system. This result was 35 per cent lower than the 285 transactions recorded in the third quarter of 2010. The split in sales between industrial and other commercial types was more balanced compared to the leasing market. Industrial sales accounted for 60 per cent of total transactions. The average selling price for industrial transactions with pricing disclosed was $75.42 per square foot – up almost 22 per cent compared to an average of $61.88 in the third quarter of 2010. The average price per square foot for other commercial transactions with pricing disclosed was $196.11 – up 21 per cent compared to an average of $162 per square foot in the third quarter of 2010. “While some firms will continue to approach real estate investments with some degree of caution in the near term, the consensus view is that Canadian economic growth will resume in the second half of 2011 and through 2012. Once the economic situation becomes clearer, GTA firms, especially those focused on exporting goods and services, will be more likely to consider new investment in real estate,” Purchase added. For All Media/Public Inquiries: (416) 443-8158 For All TREB Member Inquiries: (416) 443-8152 Third Quarter 2011 Real GDP Growth 1 Q2 2011 u -0.4% Toronto Employment Growth 2 August 2011 t 0.8% Toronto Unemployment Rate August 2011 u 8.1% Inflation (Yr./Yr. CPI Growth) 2 August 2011 t 3.1% Bank of Canada Overnight Rate 3 September 2011 q 1.0% Prime Rate 4 September 2011 q 3.0% GoC Yield Curve (Aug. 2011) 4 3 Month T-Bill u 0.83% 6 Month T-Bill u 0.87% 1 Year u 0.88% 2 Year u 0.92% 3 Year u 1.07% 5 Year u 1.44% 7 Year u 1.73% 10 Year u 2.19% Sources and Notes: Economic Indicators 1 Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter growth, annualized. 2 Statistics Canada, Year-over-year growth for the most recently reported month 3 Bank of Canada, Rate from most recent Bank of Canada announcement 4 Bank of Canada, rates for most recently completed month 3,595,209 6,578,016 Third Quarter 2011 Third Quarter 2010 * NOTE: This chart summarizes total industrial, commercial/retail and office square feet leased through TorontoMLS® regardless of pricing terms. TorontoMLS® All Leasing Activity* (Sq. Ft.) 184 285 Third Quarter 2011 Third Quarter 2010 * NOTE: This chart summarizes total industrial and commercial/retail sales through TorontoMLS® regardless of pricing terms. Total TorontoMLS® All Sales Activity*
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Fewer Commercial Real Estate Transactions in Q3 TORONTO, October 5, 2011 — Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Commercial Division Members leased almost 3.6 million square feet of commercial space through the TorontoMLS® system in the third quarter of 2011, representing a decline of almost 50 per cent in comparison to almost 6.6 million square feet leased during the same period in 2010. Industrial space accounted for over 78 per cent of the total space leased. The average lease rate for industrial transactions completed on a per square foot net basis and for which pricing was disclosed was $4.83 – down 28 per cent compared to an average of $6.75 in the third quarter of 2010. “The outlook for the Canadian economy became less clear during the spring and summer of this year. The dip in leasing transactions in the third quarter suggests that firms were viewing investment and expansion with more caution compared to the summer of 2010,” said TREB Commercial Division Chair Larry Purchase. In the third quarter, 184 commercial properties were sold through the TorontoMLS® system. This result was 35 per cent lower than the 285 transactions recorded in the third quarter of 2010. The split in sales between industrial and other commercial types was more balanced compared to the leasing market. Industrial sales accounted for 60 per cent of total transactions. The average selling price for industrial transactions with pricing disclosed was $75.42 per square foot – up almost 22 per cent compared to an average of $61.88 in the third quarter of 2010. The average price per square foot for other commercial transactions with pricing disclosed was $196.11 – up 21 per cent compared to an average of $162 per square foot in the third quarter of 2010. “While some firms will continue to approach real estate investments with some degree of caution in the near term, the consensus view is that Canadian economic growth will resume in the second half of 2011 and through 2012. Once the economic situation becomes clearer, GTA firms, especially those focused on exporting goods and services, will be more likely to consider new investment in real estate,” Purchase added.
For All Media/Public Inquiries: (416) 443-8158
For All TREB Member Inquiries: (416) 443-8152 Third Quarter 2011
Real GDP Growth1
Q2 2011 u -0.4%
Toronto Employment Growth2
August 2011 t 0.8%
Toronto Unemployment Rate
August 2011 u 8.1%
Inflation (Yr./Yr. CPI Growth)2
August 2011 t 3.1%
Bank of Canada Overnight Rate3
September 2011 q 1.0%
Prime Rate4
September 2011 q 3.0%
GoC Yield Curve (Aug. 2011)4
3 Month T-Bill u 0.83%
6 Month T-Bill u 0.87%
1 Year u 0.88%
2 Year u 0.92%
3 Year u 1.07%
5 Year u 1.44%
7 Year u 1.73%
10 Year u 2.19%
Sources and Notes:
Economic Indicators
1Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter
growth, annualized.
2Statistics Canada, Year-over-year growth
for the most recently reported month
3Bank of Canada, Rate from most recent
Bank of Canada announcement
4Bank of Canada, rates for most recently
completed month
3,595,209
6,578,016
Third Quarter 2011 Third Quarter 2010
* NOTE: This chart summarizes total industrial, commercial/retail and office square feet leased through TorontoMLS® regardless of pricing terms.
TorontoMLS®
All Leasing Activity*(Sq. Ft.)
184
285
Third Quarter 2011 Third Quarter 2010
* NOTE: This chart summarizes total industrial and commercial/retail sales through TorontoMLS® regardless of pricing terms.
Total TorontoMLS®
All Sales Activity*
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 2
TREB Commercial Division
3.602.83
0.37 0.40
6.58
5.64
0.45 0.49
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
Total Industrial Commercial/Retail Office
Mill
ion
s o
f Sq
uar
e F
ee
t
* NOTE: This chart summarizes total industrial, commercial/retail and office square feet leased through TorontoMLS® regardless of pricing terms.Source: TREB, Commercial Division
Total TorontoMLS® Leasing Activity*
(Millions of Square Feet Leased)
Third Quarter 2011
Third Quarter 2010
$4.83
$20.25
$10.93
$6.75
$18.00
$10.45
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
Industrial Commercial/Retail Office
* NOTE: Average lease rates are reported only for those properties sold on a per square foot net basis and for which the selling price was disclosed.Source: TREB, Commercial Division
TorontoMLS® Average Lease Rates ($/Sq.Ft. Net)*
Third Quarter 2011 Third Quarter 2010
184
10777
285
147 138
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Total Industrial Commercial/Retail
* NOTE: This chart summarizes total industrial and commercial/retail sales through TorontoMLS® regardless of pricing terms.Source: TREB, Commercial Division
Total TorontoMLS® Sales Activity*
(Number of Sales)
Third Quarter 2011
Third Quarter 2010
$75.42
$196.11
$61.88
$162.00
$0.00
$50.00
$100.00
$150.00
$200.00
$250.00
Industrial Commercial/Retail
* NOTE: Average sale prices are reported only for those properties for which the selling price was disclosed.Source: TREB, Commercial Division
TorontoMLS® Average Sale Price ($/Sq. Ft.)*
Third Quarter 2011
Third Quarter 2010
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 3
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF INDUSTRIAL LEASING
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED ON A PER SQUARE FOOT NET BASIS, WITH PRICING DISCLOSED*
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net
*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions completed on a per square foot net basis and for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing square feet
leased on Page 2 of this report, which covers all leasing transactions in the TREB service area.
All Transactions 0 to 5,000 Square Feet 5,001 to 15,000 Square Feet 15,001 to 50,000 Square Feet 50,001 + Square Feet
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 4
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF INDUSTRIAL LEASING
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED ON A PER SQUARE FOOT NET BASIS, WITH PRICING DISCLOSED
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net
Toronto E11 2 4,070 $5.50 2 4,070 $5.50 0 - - 0 - - 0 - -*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions completed on a per square foot net basis and for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing square feet
leased on Page 2 of this report, which covers all leasing transactions in the TREB service area.
CITY OF TORONTO
All Transactions 0 to 5,000 Square Feet 5,001 to 15,000 Square Feet 15,001 to 50,000 Square Feet 50,001 + Square Feet
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 5
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF COMMERCIAL/RETAIL LEASING
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED ON A PER SQUARE FOOT NET BASIS, WITH PRICING DISCLOSED
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net
New Tecumseth 1 361 $16.62 1 361 $16.62 0 - - 0 - - 0 - -*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions completed on a per square foot net basis and for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing square feet
leased on Page 2 of this report, which covers all leasing transactions in the TREB service area.
ALL TREB AREAS
All Transactions 0 to 1,000 Square Feet 1,001 TO 2,500 Square Feet 2,501 TO 5,000 Square Feet 5,001+ Square Feet
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 6
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF COMMERCIAL LEASING
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED ON A PER SQUARE FOOT NET BASIS, WITH PRICING DISCLOSED
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net
Toronto E11 1 598 $32.11 1 598 $32.11 0 - - 0 - - 0 - -*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions completed on a per square foot net basis and for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing square feet
leased on Page 2 of this report, which covers all leasing transactions in the TREB service area.
CITY OF TORONTO
All Transactions 0 to 1,000 Square Feet 1,001 TO 2,500 Square Feet 2,501 TO 5,000 Square Feet 5,001+ Square Feet
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 7
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF OFFICE LEASING
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED ON A PER SQUARE FOOT NET BASIS, WITH PRICING DISCLOSED
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net
*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions completed on a per square foot net basis and for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing square feet
leased on Page 2 of this report, which covers all leasing transactions in the TREB service area.
All Transactions 0 to 1,000 Square Feet 1,001 TO 2,500 Square Feet 2,501 TO 5,000 Square Feet 5,001+ Square Feet
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 8
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF OFFICE LEASING
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED ON A PER SQUARE FOOT NET BASIS, WITH PRICING DISCLOSED
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net
Toronto E11 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - -*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions completed on a per square foot net basis and for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing square feet
leased on Page 2 of this report, which covers all leasing transactions in the TREB service area.
CITY OF TORONTO
All Transactions 0 to 1,000 Square Feet 1,001 TO 2,500 Square Feet 2,501 TO 5,000 Square Feet 5,001+ Square Feet
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 9
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF INDUSTRIAL SALES
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED WITH PRICING DISCLOSED
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF
New Tecumseth 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - -*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing sales on Page 2 of this report, which covers all sale transactions
in the TREB service area.
ALL TREB AREAS
All Transactions 0 to 5,000 Square Feet 5,001 to 15,000 Square Feet 15,001 to 50,000 Square Feet 50,001 + Square Feet
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 10
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF INDUSTRIAL SALES
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED WITH PRICING DISCLOSED
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net
Toronto E11 3 3,827 $113.64 3 3,827 $113.64 0 - - 0 - - 0 - -*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing sales on Page 2 of this report, which covers all sale transactions
in the TREB service area.
CITY OF TORONTO
All Transactions 0 to 5,000 Square Feet 5,001 to 15,000 Square Feet 15,001 to 50,000 Square Feet 50,001 + Square Feet
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 11
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF COMMERCIAL/RETAIL SALES
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED WITH PRICING DISCLOSED
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF
*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing sales on Page 2 of this report, which covers all sale transactions
in the TREB service area.
All Transactions 0 to 1,000 Square Feet 1,001 TO 2,500 Square Feet 2,501 TO 5,000 Square Feet 5,001+ Square Feet
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 12
TREB Commercial Division
SUMMARY OF COMMERCIAL/RETAIL SALES
TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED WITH PRICING DISCLOSED
# Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net # Trans. Sq. Ft. $/SF Net
Toronto E11 2 955 $349.74 2 955 $349.74 0 - - 0 - - 0 - -*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart summarizing sales on Page 2 of this report, which covers all sale transactions
in the TREB service area.
CITY OF TORONTO
All Transactions 0 to 1,000 Square Feet 1,001 TO 2,500 Square Feet 2,501 TO 5,000 Square Feet 5,001+ Square Feet
Toronto E11 0 - - 0 - - 0 - -*NOTE: Figures in this table cover transactions for which pricing was disclosed during the reporting period. This differs from the chart
summarizing sales on Page 2 of this report, which covers all sale transactions in the TREB service area.
All Transactions 0 to 3 Acres 3+ Acres
CITY OF TORONTO
Commercial Realty Watch, Third Quarter 2011 15
TREB Commercial Division
Executive Council Commercial Division 2011-2012 Larry B. Purchase Chair Cynthia Lai, FRI Vice-Chair Garry Lander Past Chair Council Members Bob Airey Armando Bernardo John Borrelli John Crombie Peter De Guerre Dennis Hastings Tony Ma Joe Panchyshyn Donald Patterson George Sachs Neel Surendran, CCIM Mario Vitelli For All Media/Public Inquiries: (416) 443-8158 For All TREB Member Inquiries: (416) 443-8152 www.trebcommercial.com
Glossary of Terms
Net Lease: A leasing agreement whereby the tenant pays the rent and certain expenses connected with the leased premises. Average Square Foot Net: Average of lease rates reported on a per square foot net basis broken down by type and geography.
Industrial: Buildings or space within a building designated for industrial uses. Commercial/Retail: Buildings or space within a building designated for commercial/retail uses. Excludes office space/buildings. Office: Buildings or space designated office uses.