First interim results - A cost and performance database with major power system technologies (generaon, storage, transmission, demand) that will: • Support the power system modeling and simulaon acvies performed in e-Highway2050 with detailed informaon on technology costs and performances up to 2050 • Provide stakeholders with structured informaon on the selected technologies, to be possibly used as a reference database in future planning acvies beyond the e-Highway2050 project Don’t miss the Power System Technologies 2050 Workshop, Brussels, 15 April 2014 • A unique opportunity to debate on the assumpons underlying the construcon of the database • Who should aend? Specialists in prospecve energy technology roadmaps and energy scenarios, TSOs, DSOs, industry associaons, research instutes • Registraons open unl 8 April 2014 Selecon of technologies • Porolio of technologies (generaon, storage, transmission, demand) selected according to their impact on transmission networks with regard to planning issues by 2050; • A dedicated approach developed to idenfy the demand-side technologies with a major impact on electricity demand at 2050 (i.e. electric vehicles, heat pumps and lighng -LED/OLED- technologies). Architecture of the technology database • Organised per technology and sub-technology when relevant; • Different data types (technical performance characteriscs, costs, etc.) described according to quantave and/or qualitave variables (i.e. for offshore wind power, rated power of wind turbines-technical performance characteriscs- and investment costs close to shore-costs-). Key features of the database construcon process • Collecve construcon process with key stakeholders of the electricity value chain. Data gathering, modelling and calculaons ensured by: EURELECTRIC (generaon and storage), EWEA (wind power), T&D Europe (acve transmission technologies), Europacable (passive transmission technologies: cables), a TSO pool (passive transmission technologies: overhead lines) and TECHNOFI (demand). Data validaon is ensured by a Quality Pool of experts as well as by internal workshops and a dedicated workshop with external stakeholders. • Uncertainty management and contextualizaon: extreme values, both quantave (min/max) and qualitave (high/low), for each selected variable, are provided to forecast possible evoluons over me. Moreover, data are contextualized, i.e. the typical uncertainty ranges of the data are fined-tuned according to the five e-Highway2050 scenarios covering the 2020-2050 me period. Selected technology families Offshore wind power: key technical and costs data esmates up to 2050 Partners contribung to the database Project coordinator: RTE Work Package leader: TECHNOFI � � � � • This project has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Programme for research, technological development and demonstraon under Grant Agreement n° 308908 Contact : [email protected] Web: www.e-highway2050.eu Follow us on Twier: @e_Highway2050 Qualitative scenarios European clusters Environmental validation Grid simulations Cost Benefit Analysis Modular plan New methodologies Technology database Quantified scenarios e-Highway 2050 Modular Development Plan of the pan-European Transmission System for 2050 2013 2020 2030 2050 rated power MW 3.8 - 4 5 - 6.0 5 - 8.0 7.5 - 8.0 diameter m 120 150 160 170 cut-in wind speed m/s 4 4 4 4 nominal wind speed m/s 14 14 13 13 cut-out wind speed m/s 25 25 25 25 investment costs (close to shore) €/kW 3500-3740 2731-2900 1965-2700 1487-2300 O&M costs (close to shore) €/kWh 0.035-0.04 0,03 0.02 -0.25 0,01-0,02 investment costs (far from shore) €/kW 4301 3141 2260 1710 - 2500 O&M costs (far from shore) €/kWh 0,05 0,04 0,03 0,01-0,03 capacity factor % 41% - 45% 42,3% 42,8% 43.8% - 55% distance to shore km 29 40 60 93,8 lifespan year 20 25 30 30 Time horizion Technology performance characteristics unit Costs Data type variable Eurelectric Eurelectric Europacable T&D Europe Eurelectric Eurelectric CONSUMPTION Passive technologies Active technologies Storage technologies (decentralized) Demand-side technologies GENERATION TRANSMISSION Generation technologies (centralized and decentralized) Storage technologies (centralized)
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First interim results - A cost and performance database with major power system technologies (generation, storage, transmission, demand) that will:• Supportthepowersystemmodelingandsimulationactivitiesperformedine-Highway2050with detailed information on technology costs and performances up to 2050
• Providestakeholderswithstructuredinformationontheselectedtechnologies,tobepossiblyusedasareferencedatabaseinfutureplanningactivitiesbeyondthee-Highway2050project
Don’t miss the Power System Technologies 2050 Workshop, Brussels, 15 April 2014• Auniqueopportunitytodebateontheassumptionsunderlyingtheconstructionofthedatabase• Whoshouldattend?Specialistsinprospectiveenergytechnologyroadmapsandenergyscenarios,TSOs,DSOs,
industryassociations,researchinstitutes• Registrationsopenuntil8April2014
Selection of technologies • Portfolio of technologies (generation, storage, transmission, demand) selected according to their impact on
transmissionnetworkswithregardtoplanningissuesby2050;• Adedicatedapproachdevelopedtoidentifythedemand-sidetechnologieswithamajorimpactonelectricity
demandat2050(i.e.electricvehicles,heatpumpsandlighting-LED/OLED-technologies).
Architecture of the technology database• Organisedpertechnologyandsub-technologywhenrelevant;• Different data types (technical performance characteristics, costs, etc.) described according to quantitative
and/orqualitativevariables(i.e.foroffshorewindpower,ratedpowerofwindturbines-technicalperformancecharacteristics-andinvestmentcostsclosetoshore-costs-).
Key features of the database construction process• Collectiveconstructionprocesswithkeystakeholdersoftheelectricityvaluechain.Datagathering,modelling
andcalculationsensuredby:EURELECTRIC(generationandstorage),EWEA(windpower),T&DEurope(activetransmission technologies), Europacable (passive transmission technologies: cables), a TSO pool (passivetransmissiontechnologies:overheadlines)andTECHNOFI(demand).DatavalidationisensuredbyaQualityPoolofexpertsaswellasbyinternalworkshopsandadedicatedworkshopwithexternalstakeholders.
• Uncertaintymanagementandcontextualization:extremevalues,bothquantitative(min/max)andqualitative(high/low),foreachselectedvariable,areprovidedtoforecastpossibleevolutionsovertime.Moreover,dataarecontextualized,i.e.thetypicaluncertaintyrangesofthedataarefined-tunedaccordingtothefivee-Highway2050scenarioscoveringthe2020-2050timeperiod.
Selected technology families
Offshore wind power: key technical and costs data estimates up to 2050
Partners contributing to the databaseProject coordinator: RTEWork Package leader: TECHNOFI
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ThisprojecthasreceivedfundingfromtheEuropeanUnion’sSeventhProgrammeforresearch,technologicaldevelopmentanddemonstrationunderGrantAgreementn°308908
Contact : [email protected] Web: www.e-highway2050.eu
Follow us on Twitter: @e_Highway2050
Qualitative scenarios
European clusters
Environmentalvalidation
Grid simulations
Cost BenefitAnalysis
Modularplan
Newmethodologies
Technology database
Quantifiedscenarios
e-Highway 2050Modular Development Plan
of the pan-European Transmission System for 2050
2013 2020 2030 2050
ratedpower MW 3.8-4 5-6.0 5-8.0 7.5-8.0diameter m 120 150 160 170cut-inwindspeed m/s 4 4 4 4nominalwindspeed m/s 14 14 13 13cut-outwindspeed m/s 25 25 25 25
investmentcosts(closetoshore)
€/kW 3500-3740 2731-2900 1965-2700 1487-2300
O&Mcosts(closetoshore) €/kWh 0.035-0.04 0,03 0.02-0.25 0,01-0,02
investmentcosts(farfromshore) €/kW 4301 3141 2260 1710-2500
O&Mcosts(farfromshore) €/kWh 0,05 0,04 0,03 0,01-0,03capacityfactor % 41%-45% 42,3% 42,8% 43.8%-55%distancetoshore km 29 40 60 93,8lifespan year 20 25 30 30
Time horizion
Technology performance characteristics
unit
Costs
Data type
variable
Eurelectric Eurelectric
Europacable T&D Europe
Eurelectric EurelectricCONSUMPTION
Passive technologies
Active technologies
Storage technologies
(decentralized)
Demand-side technologies
GENERATION
TRANSMISSION
Generation technologies (centralized
and decentralized)
Storage technologies (centralized)
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