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E-Business Decision Support -

Apr 09, 2018

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Ahsan Jam
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    E-Business Decision Support

    Group members

    Anam Ali (03)

    Husna Anjum (06)

    M Ahsan Nawaz (12)

    Abid Hussain (01)

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    E-Business Decision Support

    Trends 1 of 2 New dimensions of competitions added by

    E-Business and E-commerce:

    Price, Quality and Features comparison bycustomers

    New standards in the speed and quality of

    delivery, service and after sales service

    Time available with managers to takebusiness decisions is shortening.

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    E-Business Decision Support

    Trends 2 of 2 Downsizing or Flattening of Organizations:

    Even an employee at lower level is

    required to take important decisions whichwere taken at higher levels in the old

    economy.

    These factors require an efficient

    information support to take business

    decisions at all levels.

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    Levels of Decisions and

    Information Characteristics 1 of 3 Strategic decisions: By Board of Directors,

    CEO and top Executives. About Overall

    organizational goals, strategies, policies,objectives of the company. Strategic

    Planning & control.

    Characteristics: Unstructured Decisions.

    Information required is ad hoc,

    summarized, Forward looking, external.

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    Levels of Decisions and

    Information Characteristics 2 of 3 Tactical Management Decisions: Middle-

    level management. Short-and mid-term

    plans, budgets. Specifying policies,procedures. Involves allocation of

    resources and fixing of responsibilities for

    execution of plans.

    Characteristics:Scheduled, detailed,

    historical, internal, narrow focus.

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    Levels of Decisions and

    Information Characteristics 3 of 3 Operational Management Decisions:

    Developing short range plans like

    production and delivery schedules, Day-to-day operations and solving problems and

    bottlenecks in daily activities.

    Characteristics: Routine feedback,

    detailed, historical, internal with narrowfocus.

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    Types of Information Systems

    Management Information Systems (MIS)

    On Line Analytical Processing (OLAP)

    Decision Support Systems (DSS) Geographic Information Systems (GIS)

    and Data Visualization Systems (DVS)

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    MIS Vs. DSS

    Predefined Info Products

    for day-to-day decision-

    making.

    For Operational &

    Tactical Managers.

    Structured Decisions

    Reports : Periodic,

    Exception,Demand, Push

    Interactive Info support

    Initiated, controlled by

    decision maker

    tailored to suit personal

    decision style

    Rely on Model bases +

    databases, LP , Multiple

    regression forecasting,

    PV Models

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    Tools and Techniques in DSS

    1 of 2 What if analysis: Changing variables and

    observing change on other

    values:Mortgage Loans: Amt, Int rate,

    period etc.

    Sensitivity Analysis: Value of one variable

    is changes repeatedly and change on

    other variables is observed.

    Goal-Seeking Analysis : Change in

    different variables until a goal is achieved.

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    Tools and Techniques in DSS

    2 of 2 Optimization Analysis : More complex

    extension of goal-seeking analysis.Finding

    optimum values for one or more variables

    within some given constraints.

    Data Mining : Discovering knowledge from

    an ocean of information. Discovering

    patterns, trends and correlations hidden inthe data to get strategic business

    advantage.

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    On Line Analytical Processing

    (OLAP)

    Provide fast answers to complex business

    queries.

    Managers can interactively manipulate large

    amounts of detailed data from manyperspectives.

    Involves analyzing complex relationships among

    vast data to discover patterns, trends Analytical Operations: Consolidation, Drill Down,

    Slicing & Dicing

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    Executive Information Systems

    (EIS) Combines features of MIS and DSS

    Focus: Meet strategic info needs of top

    management

    Info about firms critical success factors.

    Report formats are tailored to suit executives

    preferences.

    Extensive use of graphical user interface andgraphic displays.

    Exception reporting, Drilled down info.

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    Enterprise Info or Knowledge

    Portals Portals for every one in the company.

    Knowledge sharing

    Critical info support to staff all over theworld ( Refer to Real World Case 1)

    Knowledge Management (KM): Creating,

    Sharing and disseminating knowledge insupport of Business Decision Making.

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    Artificial Intelligence

    Technologies in Business

    Section II

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    Artificial Intelligence (AI)

    A field of science and Technology based

    on disciplines such as computer science,

    biology, psychology, linguistics,

    mathematics and engineering.

    Tries to develop computer functions

    normally associated with human

    intelligence such as reasoning, learningand problem solving.

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    Major Application Areas of AI

    1 of 3 Cognitive Science Applications :

    Expert systems

    Learning Systems

    Fuzzy Logic

    Genetic Algorithms

    Neural networks

    Intelligent Agents

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    Major Application Areas of AI

    2 of 3 Robotics Applications

    Visual perceptions

    Tactility Dexterity

    Locomotion

    Navigation

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    Major Application Areas of AI

    3 of 3 Natural Interface Application

    Natural languages Interface

    Speech recognition Multisensory Interfaces

    Virtual Reality

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    Components of Expert Systems

    Knowledge base

    Software Resources: Inference Engine

    and User Interface Programs Refer to Fig 6.29 on page 232

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    Expert Systems Applications Loan Portfolio Analysis

    Investment Decisions Insurance

    Underwriting (Risk

    Analysis)

    Medical Diagnosis

    Machine Control Inventory Control

    Chemical Testing etc

    etc.

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    Limitations of Expert Systems

    Limited focus

    Inability to learn

    Prohibitive development/maintenance Costs

    Can solve specific problems in a limited domain

    of knowledge.

    Fail miserably in solving problems requiring

    broad knowledge base and subjective problemsolving (e.g. Assessment of Political Situation)

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    Summary

    Decision Support in E-Business E-Business Decision Support

    MIS, OAP, DSS,

    Using Decision Support System

    Executive Information System

    Enterprise Portals & Decision Support

    Artificial Intelligence Technologies inBusiness