Drought Impacts on California’s Beef Cattle Industry Justin Oldfield, Vice President, Government Affairs California Cattlemen’s Association
Jul 17, 2015
Drought Impacts on California’s Beef Cattle Industry
Justin Oldfield, Vice President, Government Affairs
California Cattlemen’s Association
California’s Cattle Industry• $3.3 billion in total cash receipts, does not include sales of
beef
• #4 agricultural commodity in California
• Beef cattle operations
• 12,600 (1-99)
• 2,000 (100-499)
• 800 (500-999)
• 1,200 (1000+)
• 600,000 beef cows statewide
• Feed deficit state
• Not vertically integrated
Industry Segments Cow-calf producers
Maintain cow breeding herds Pasture based
Stocker/Background Yard Purchases calves to raise to ~700-900 lbs. Largely annual yearling operations for both steers and
heifers Pasture & feedlot based
Cattle Feeder Purchases calves or stocker cattle depending on market Finish cattle on hay and protein (grain) ration Feedlot based
Packer Purchase and harvest cattle at ~1,300 lbs. California lacks large scale processing facilities
Resource Base & Use• Ranchers own or manage 34 million acres
• California dependent on public & private lands• More extensive cuts on faced on federal lands
• Almost all surface waters cross public & private rangeland
• 2/3 of federal & state listed species live on private rangeland
• Ongoing research demonstrates importance of grazing
– Improve wetland & vernal pool habitat
– Reduce fire loads
– Improve habitat for wildlife species
–Mimic historic grazing herds
Resource Challenges• Shorter grazing seasons
• Unproductive stock ponds
• With a Mediterranean climate, California depends on two grazing seasons:
• Spring/Summer (mountain allotments, irrigated pasture)
• Fall/Winter (non-irrigated rangelands, low elevation allotments)
• Large influx of feeder cattle and yearlings
• Reduction in forage base• Recent transition of rangelands to permanent
crops
Business Income & Costs Affected by Drought• Shorter grazing seasons
• Earlier weaned calves
• 350 lbs. Steer ~$1,190
• 600 lbs. Steer ~$1,800
• Net loss of ~$610/steer
• Increased costs for supplemental forage
• Alfalfa ~$180/ton
• Other Hay ~$220/ton
• Largely exported
• Inability to maintain replacement heifers
• Tax liability associated with additional income
• Smallest national beef cow herd since 1953
Sustainable Groundwater Management Act• California groundwater law based on correlative rights
• Some adjudications currently exist
• Implementation:
• Formation of groundwater management agencies
• Development of groundwater management plan
• Law impacts only high and medium priority groundwater basins reflected in Department of Water Resources Bulletin #118
• Control is meant to be done locally and ensure “sustainable yield”
• Enacts state backstop
• Questions remain regarding future adjudication
• Clean up legislation likely this session
Return on Investment• Capital intensive with a small return
• Risk oriented business
• Increased requirements by banks to loan cash
• 35% value in liquid assets required to purchase property or fund capital expenses
• Without incurred costs, 3 year average to payoff cow
• Including cultural costs, 4 – 5 year average to payoff cow
Return on Investment cont.
• Without incurred costs, 3 year average to payoff cow
• Including cultural costs, 4 – 5 year average to payoff cow
• Livestock theft accounts for:• Additional debt without collateral• Loss of a long-term investment if debt has
been serviced• Loss of liquid capital & ability to service annual
operating expenses• Loss of leveragable asset• Loss of cull value
Noninsured Crop Disaster Assistance Program (NAP)• Annual service fee is required, not to exceed $1,875, waiver
available
• Covered disasters include drought
• Planted feed & native pasture available for coverage
• Coverage period established by grazing season
• Payments made on losses in excess of 50 percent of expected production
• Requires actual loss to be documented by at least two “experts” (ag commissioners, UCCE extension agents, etc.)
Livestock Forage Program• Annual Gross Income (AGI) cannot exceed $900,000
• Payments not to exceed $125,000 (Total ELAP, LFP & LIP)
• Payments made in accordance with U.S. Drought Monitor (sever, extreme, exceptional)
• Administered by the University of Nebraska
• Payments made monthly per animal unit or 60 percent of the actual feed costs
• $40.79/cow
• $30.59/yearling >500 lbs.
• New possibilities for collaboration between authors and industry representatives
Taxable Gaines Deferment• Authorized under IRS Code §451(e) & §1033(e)
• Applies to sales in excess of normal business practices
• Principle business must be agriculture
• Postpone capital gains with intent to purchase livestock within four years of the end of the tax year §1033(e)
• Defer income – must be under cash accounting - to the next tax year (disaster area declaration required) §451(e)
• Can be used on state return as well
Questions